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LATROBE MAGNESIUM LIMITED — AGM Information 2012
Nov 27, 2012
65247_rns_2012-11-27_d2c3bd4f-a95f-436b-9cb7-7e22ee648c64.pdf
AGM Information
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Latrobe um Magnes Annual General Meeting November 2012
David Paterson Chairman
ASX: LMG
Latrobe um Magnes
Presentation
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Corporate background
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LMG opportunity
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LMG process
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LMG current activities
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Timelines and milestones
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Financial overview
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1. Corporate Background
Valuation Fundamentals and Performance
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Shares issued 741 million at 1.7 cents Market Capitalization $13m
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Shares price history
2009 High 1.5 cents Low 0.3 cents 2010 High 3.6 cents Low 1.1 cents 2011 High 4.2 cents Low 2.2 cents 2012 High 2.4 cents Low 1.2 cents
• Top 4 major shareholders represent 29% of share capital K Torpey 85m D Paterson 55m J Wolfe 35m M Gibbs 31m
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1. Corporate Background
People
Directors and Staff
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David Paterson Executive Chairman
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Kevin Torpey Director & mining consultant
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John Lee Non executive director
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Philip Bruce Non executive director
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Jim Siemon Project director
Consultants
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CSIRO - both Perth & Melbourne - Fine particle specialists.
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Clark & Marron - Magnesium industry experts.
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GHD - Engineers for PFS.
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Beijing Tieforce Engineering - Magnesium smelter construction company.
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Curtin & Monash Universities - Mineralogy analyses & alternative process consultants.
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Prominco & Ecoengineers - Hydromet and smelter advisors.
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Engineered Material Solutions, Daksh Baweja - Cement advisor.
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JJ Wolfe Consulting – Property advisor
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1. Corporate Background
Brief History
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Listed on Australian Stock Exchange (LMG) in 2002.
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Dealing with Latrobe Valley fly ash for over 10 years.
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Tested every proven magnesium process technology.
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Breakthrough with Ecoengineer’s hydromet process some 2.5 years ago.
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Conducted over 100 lab tests and 20 retort tests in proving that LMG’s hydromet process can extract Mg from brown coal fly ash.
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Completed the prefeasibility study in October 2011 and currently finalizing the adjustment study.
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2. LMG opportunity
% 80% of fly ash waste converted into:
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Magnesium
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• Cementitious Material
10 65
- Char
5 ----
80 ----
In addition, 10 to 15 tonnes of carbon credits created per tonne of Mg depending upon feed stock composition.
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2. LMG opportunity
% Magnesium uses
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Steel desulphurization 25
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• Alloy in aluminium can production 45
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• Motor car parts for strength & 30 - ----
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weight savings
New China uses - planes and trains
New Korea uses - consumer products (laptops, mobile phones etc)
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2. LMG opportunity
Magnesium metal production
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2000
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2009
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2011
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2016 projected production
210,300 tons 653,000 tons 809,000 tons 950,000 tons
- 2021 projected production 1,370,000 tons
Average annual growth in the range between 6% to 7%
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2. LMG opportunity
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Magnesium sources in 2011 (tons)
• China 660,000 83% • Russia 37,000 • USA 44,000 • Israel 28,000 • Kazakhstan 20,000 • Brazil 16,000 • Other 4,000 ---------809,000 ----------
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2. LMG opportunity
Magnesium Pricing
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Note: US magnesium price was approx 50% above the FOB China Price for this period.
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2. LMG opportunity
Magnesium cost and demand factors:
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China operating costs between US$2,500 to US$3,100 per tonne
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China rising costs of inputs - FeSi, fuel & labour
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USA anti dumping duties on China Mg
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Mg substitution with Al - cost factor between 1.33 to 1.5 times
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Environmental factor - CO2 emission differential between Mg and Al primary production
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2. LMG opportunity
Conventional magnesium processes
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Feedstock is traditionally a MgCO3 either dolomite, magnesite or brine.
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Process is either thermal (83% of world production) or electrolysis.
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Thermal - modular, smaller production & lower capital cost
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higher labour & energy consumption & high CO2
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Electrolysis - lower operating costs
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complex technology, large plant size
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and a difficult process respectively.
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3. LMG process
LMG business parts
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Access to brown coal fly ash with sufficient MgO.
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Use of proprietary Hydromet technology.
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Construction expertise contracted for the thermal reduction process and its modernization.
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Availability of existing infrastructure and personnel in Latrobe Valley.
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Accessible local and overseas markets for both magnesium and cementitious products.
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3. LMG process
Unique and proprietary process
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Process is a combination of its unique patented hydromet process with the proven thermal reduction process been in operation since 1941.
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Hydromet process uses standard industrial reagents to remove impurities from the ash - SO3, Fe2O3, SiO2, Na2O & K2O.
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Hydromet process simply described as a cyclone extraction process followed by two agitator tank systems.
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Beneficiated material used as feedstock to the established thermal reduction process to produce magnesium.
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Owing to high Mg recoveries, the resultant product represents a cementitious product.
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3. LMG Process
Process attributes
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Simplified proven technology responsible for 83% of world’s magnesium production.
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Can economically produce small quantities of magnesium.
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Production can be expanded on modular basis.
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Much lower capital cost compared to electrolytic plants.
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Plant construction – 1 year.
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Scalability reduces overall risks.
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Production can be initially to meet Australian demand of 10,000 tonnes per annum.
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3. LMG process
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4. LMG Current Activities
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Current Activities:
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Acquiring a brown field site.
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Finalizing the Latrobe Valley fly ash agreement.
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Conducting additional retort process test work.
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Completing a detailed assessment of the cementitious material.
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5. Timelines & Milestones
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Key Dates
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Oct 2011 completed pre-feasibility study on a 10,000 t/a plant.
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Apr 2012 signed Chinese technology cooperation agreement.
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Sep 2012 expand the range of fly ashes - RWE and Yallourn.
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Dec 2012 finalize agreements for fly ash and land.
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Mar 2013 start bankable feasibility study.
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Nov 2013 complete bankable feasibility study.
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Sep 2014 start installation of 5,000 tonnes plant.
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Jul 2015 start production of 5,000 tonnes plant.
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Dec 2016 expand the plant to 40,000 tonnes capacity.
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6. Financial overview
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Key Assumptions per tonne of Mg
1. Revenue Streams Magnesium Cementitious Material Carbon Credits Char Total
A$/tMg 3,870 690 230 50 4,840
2. Operating Costs
Ferrosilicon Labour Natural Gas Hydromet & Feed stock Other Costs Total
1,840 775 646 485 368 4,114
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6. Financial overview
Chinese Comparison
China LMG forecast Pricing: US$/tonne US$/tonne US$/tonne Current Magnesium price 3,250 3,750 4,500 Aluminium Price at 1.5 multiple 2,170 2,500 3,000
Magnesium metal substitution for aluminium takes place between 1.33 to 1.5 times the aluminium price. LME aluminium price currently US$1,850 per tonne.
Costs: Operating Costs 2,500 – 3,100 2,550 Exchange rate used is the current two year forward rate.
Operating costs are stated net of income generated from other products and based on 40,000 tpa of magnesium.
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6. Financial overview
5,000 40,000 Financial Parameters tonnes tonnes A$/tonne A$/tonne Magnesium revenue 3,870 3,870 Net Cash operating costs (3,144) (2,550) -------- -------Operating surplus 726 1,320 ==== ==== Capex A$45M A$260M NPV at 12% discount factor A$ 83M NPV per share 11 cents
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Disclaimer
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This presentation may contain forward looking statements that are subject to risk factors associated with the magnesium business.
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It is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable but they may be affected by a variety of variables and changes in underlying assumptions which could cause actual results or trends to differ materially including but not limited to: price fluctuations, actual demand, currency fluctuations, production results, reserve estimates, loss of market, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions, political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates.
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Investors should undertake their own analysis and obtain independent advice before investing in LMG shares.
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All reference to dollars, cents or $ in this presentation are to Australian currency, unless otherwise stated.
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