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Kongsberg Automotive

Investor Presentation Apr 14, 2020

3648_iss_2020-04-14_df80f5fa-589f-47e9-823a-cee8c30ed1a1.pdf

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Kongsberg Automotive Investor Presentation

April 2020

Kongsberg Automotive

Forward-Looking Statements

This presentation contains certain "forward-looking statements". These statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to risks, uncertainty and changes in circumstances, which may cause actual results, performance, financial condition or achievements to differ materially from anticipated results, performance, financial condition or achievements. All statements contained herein that are not clearly historical in nature are forward-looking and the words "anticipate," "believe," "expect," "estimate," "plan," and similar expressions are generally intended to identify forward-looking statements. We have no intention and are under no obligation to update or alter (and expressly disclaim any such intention or obligation to do so) our forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent required by law. The forward-looking statements in this presentation include statements addressing our future financial condition and operating results. Examples of factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements include, among others, business, economic, competitive and regulatory risks, such as conditions affecting demand for products, particularly in the automotive industries; competition and pricing pressure; fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates and commodity prices; natural disasters and political, economic and military instability in countries in which we operate; developments in the credit markets; future goodwill impairment; compliance with current and future environmental and other laws and regulations; and the possible effects on us of changes in tax laws, tax treaties and other legislation. More detailed information about these and other factors is set forth in the 2019 Kongsberg Automotive Annual Report and the Kongsberg Automotive Quarterly Reports.

The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in any company within the Kongsberg Automotive Group. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions.

Non-IFRS Measures

Where we have used non-IFRS financial measures, reconciliations to the most comparable IFRS measure are provided, along with a disclosure on the usefulness of the non-IFRS measure, in the annual report.

Today's Presenter

Henning Jensen, President and Chief Executive Officer

Professional experience

Kongsberg Automotive Oslo, Norway & Zürich, Switzerland June 2016 - Present President and Chief Executive Officer

Kistefos AS Oslo, Norway 2011 - 2015 Chief Executive Officer

RHI AG Vienna, Austria 2010 – 2011 Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer and Chairman

Tyco Electronics / TE Connectivity Frankfurt, Germany and US 2001 – 2009 SVP, Divisional Head (Automotive), Chief Financial Officer (Electronic Components) and other executive positions

General Motors / Delphi Automotive Systems Germany and US 1995 – 2001 Various management and executive positions

Education

Hochschule St. Gallen (Switzerland) Doctoral Studies University of San Francisco (USA) BA & MBA

Kongsberg Automotive

Key investment highlights

  • Kongsberg Automotive a truly global mid-sized automotive supplier with a diversified customer base
  • Diversified revenue base with ~75% from OE-automotive (LD&HD) and ~25% from non-automotive markets including aftermarket
  • Strong market positions in our segments with leadership positions in attractive niche markets
  • Strong and improving financial performance driven by the improvement program initiated in 2016
  • Since 2016, following a turn-around, Kongsberg Automotive developed into a healthy business and achieved
  • above-market revenue growth through strong new business wins
  • doubling of adj. EBIT margins through operational improvements
  • improvements of virtually all KPIs
  • In FY 2019, Kongsberg Automotive
  • achieved above-market revenue growth, maintained an adjusted EBIT margin greater than 6% and increased Net Income.
  • The main drivers were a very challenging macro environment that was more than offset by the reduction in restructuring costs.
  • had significant negative cash flow due to high investments and increases in working capital mainly driven by growth / new business wins.
  • With the consequences of the Corona virus on the automotive industry, as is the case with most automotive suppliers, Kongsberg Automotive is facing a shortage of liquidity.

Kongsberg Automotive

Management team

Virginia Grando, EVP Quality, Zürich, Switzerland

With KA since: November 2017 Head of Corporate Quality Planning, MAHLE Group, Stuttgart, Germany, 2013-2017 Quality Manager, MAHLE Powertrain Ltd, Northampton, UK, 2005-2013 Education: Politecnico di Torino, Italy, Master Engineering

Norbert Loers, CFO, Zürich, Switzerland

With KA since: January 2017 CFO-Hay Group/Musashi Automotive, Bad Sobernheim, Germany, 2013–2016 CFO-Neumayer Tekfor Holding Int., Offenburg, Germany, 2007–2013 Education: University of Bonn, Master of Economics

Dzeki Mackinovski, EVP Purchasing, Zürich, Switzerland

With KA since: May 2019 SVP- Global Purchasing, Knorr-Bremse, Munich, Germany, 2014- 2019 VP Purchasing Projects & Operations APAC and GM, Volvo Trucks, Shanghai, China, 2009-2014 Several leadership function within Volvo 1998-2009 Education: Business Administration Courses, IHM Business School

Jon Munthe, General Counsel, Oslo, Norway

With KA since: March 2008 Chief Legal Counsel, Aibel, Oslo, Norway, 2003-2008 Corporate Legal Counsel, ABB, 1992-2002 Lawyer, Wikborg Rein, Oslo, Norway, 1989-1992 Education: University of Oslo, Norway, Law School

Linda Nyquist-Evenrud, SVP Couplings, Raufoss,

Sales & Marketing Director, Couplings, Raufoss, 2016-2017 Sales & Marketing Manager, Couplings, Raufoss, 2008-2016 Market & Project Coordinator, Raufoss Technology AS, 2004–

2007

Education: Halmstad University, BA- Product development and innovation management

Robert Pigg, SVP Off-Highway, Willis, Texas, USA

With KA since: May 2006,

Several leadership functions within KA Engineering Manager - Briggs & Stratton, Tennessee, US 2005- 2006

Category Manager, Murray, Incorporated, Tennessee, US, 2002- 2005

Senior Project Engineer, Husqvarna Group, Georgia, US, 2002 Education: Auburn University, BA Mechanical Engineering, Freed-Hardeman University, BA-Physical Sciences

Marcus von Pock, EVP HRM/Communication/HSE, Zurich, Switzerland

With KA since: November 2017

SVP HR and Head of Corporate Academy, FLG Group, Haiger, Germany, 2014-2017

Head of Corporate HRM, Kardex AG, Zurich, Switzerland, 2010- 2014

Director HR Carl Zeiss AG, Oberkochen, Germany, 1998-2010 Education: University of Mittweida, Germany, Master in International Management

David Redfearn, EVP Fluid Transfer Systems (FTS), Gothenburg, Sweden

With KA since: 1993

Vice President Of Sales, FTS, Gothenburg, Sweden, March 2013- April 2016

Sales Director - FTS, Gothenburg, Sweden, Apr. 2008-June 2013 Several leadership functions within KA & Teleflex Incorporated (Merger with KA)

Education: Stockholm School of Economics, MBA

Bob Riedford, President P&C, Zürich, Switzerland

With KA since: January 2016 VP Americas, P&C, Novi, Michigan, USA; 2016-2017 Automotive Consultant, Cary, NC, Aug. 2012–Jan. 2017 President Buehler Motor US, 2007-2012 Various positions Delphi Automotive Systems 1986-2007 Education: University of Evansville, BS-Electrical Engineering

Doug Tushar, VP of IS&T Corporate, Novi, Michigan, USA

With KA since: January 2008, Global Director Information Technology, Teleflex Automotive, Detroit MI, US, 2006-2008, Global Business Process Analyst at Teleflex Corp, Limerick Pennsylvania, US, 2004-2006, Business Logistics and Operations Manager at Teleflex Electronics, Sarasota Florida, US, 2002-2004, Business Logistics Manager at Morse Hynautic, Sarasota Florida, US, 2001-2002 Plant Manager at Morse Marine, Clearwater Florida, US, 2000-2001

Education: SBA Business Accounting, Kent State University

Dr. Ralf Voss, President Interior, Zürich, Switzerland

With KA since: March 2018 Interim Management, 2015-2017

Member of the management board, Knorr-Bremse, Systems Rail Vehicles GmbH (SfS), Munich, Germany, 2009-2015

EVP, Division Electronics, Hella KGaA, Lippstadt, Germany, 2005-2009

Director Vehicle Engineering, Daimler Benz AG, International USA, 1989-2005 Education: Ludwig-Maximilians Universität, Munich, Master Crystallography and Mineralogy

Henning Jensen, CEO & President, Zürich, Switzerland

5

The Kongsberg Automotive (KA) management is an experienced team with on average more than 20 years of industry experience and around 7 years of KA tenure.

Diverse customer and end-market exposure with strong market positions

Kongsberg Automotive at a glance (1/2)

Overview Selected KPIs
Listed on Oslo Stock Exchange, parent company in Norway. Revenue
(2016A/2017A / 2018A / 2019A)
Adjusted EBIT
(2016A/2017A / 2018A / 2019A)
3 segments: Interior, Powertrain & Chassis, Specialty Products
Interior: interior comfort systems and light duty cables €986m / €1,057m / €1,123m / €1,161m €28 m / €50 m / €75 m / €71 m

Powertrain & Chassis: gearshift systems and vehicle dynamics applications
Specialty Products: air couplings, FTS and off-highway applications
Revenue growth / Adj. EBIT growth
(2016-2017A, 2017A-2018A & 2018A-2019A)
Booked business / Revenue
(avg. 2017A, 2018A, 2019A)
We estimate that approximately one out of five LD or HD vehicles contain our
products globally
7% / 78%, 6% / 49% & 3% / -5% 1.4x

Kongsberg Automotive at a glance (2/2)

Historical financials overview

The growth in top-line and profitability is a result of the changes initiated in 2016

Revenue performance (€m)

Adj. EBITDA performance (€m)

Key financials (€m)

P&L
€m FY 2016* FY 2017* FY 2018* FY 2019
Revenue 986 1,057 1,123 1,161
% growth (3.0%) 7.2% 6.2% 3.4%
Adj. EBITDA 73 92 110 118
% margin 7.4% 8.7% 9.8% 10.2%
Adj. EBIT 28 50 75 71
% margin 2.9% 4.7% 6.7% 6.1%
Capex (51) (53) (68) (65)
% of revenue (5.2%) (5.0%) (6.1%) (5.6%)
Adj. EBITDA -
Capex
22 40 42 53

New Business Wins – KA Group

Q1-18 Q2-18 Q3-18 Q4-18 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20

New business wins per quarter (Lifetime revenues)

New business wins LTM (Lifetime revenues)

*Lifetime revenue assumptions are based on IHS and LMC production estimates at the time of the booking.

Corona Impact

Corona Virus and its impact on the automotive industry

  • The corona virus (Corona) has impacted the automotive industry significantly.
  • The Corona outbreak started in China slightly before the Chinese new year vacation
    • This led to shutdowns in China extending beyond the normal new year shut down periods.
    • Due to very strict and effective measures, China has returned to somewhat normal automotive operations in early April.
  • As we all have since learned, the economic impact outside of China has been much stronger as the Corona virus has spread rapidly throughout the world.
  • As the first countries European countries started "shutting down", essentially the entire global automotive industry shut down. The shutdowns are both health and supply chain related.
    • The supply chains in the automotive industry are very global, complex, and intertwined.
    • Under normal circumstances, these automotive supply chains are very "well oiled machines". However, when shock is inserted into the system, it stops functioning.
  • For all practical purposes, the automotive industry has shut down outside of China and portions of Japan and South Korea.
    • This has led to sudden and very sharp declines in revenues for all automotive suppliers.
  • There is great uncertainty as to how long the current situation will last and also at what level the economy will "restart" following the reopening of operations.
    • There is a general expectation, that we will have a recession following the Corona related shutdowns. There is great uncertainty as to whether the recovery from the Corona effects will follow the patterns of other downcycles.
  • The automotive industry is in general considered by most large industrial nations as "too big to fail" and will receive significant support from governments. Such efforts, though, will mostly focus on the OEMs, not on the suppliers.

Corona Impact

  • In Q1, 2020, Kongsberg Automotive (KA) saw revenues decline of more than 15% YoY to €262 million. This was driven by a combination of declines in China following the Chinese new year shutdown extension and the almost complete shutdown of Western OEMs in the last 10 days of March.
  • KA's Q1 2020 adjusted EBIT declined by almost 75% to slightly less than €8 million.
  • In the seasonally weak first quarter, we had a negative cash flow of around €8 million. The cash flow performance was strengthened primarily by strong working capital measures..
  • Paradoxically enough, we had strong new business wins (NBW) in Q1 2020 of around €100 million in annualized business, above the levels of previous years' Q1 NBWs (as seen on slides 9 and 10). It should, however, be noted that we saw almost no NBWs in March.
    • As has been the case over the last years, these strong NBWs should enable Kongsberg Automotive to outperform the automotive sector in top line growth.
  • For the remainder of 2020, and for that matter also for 2021, there is great uncertainty. There are three key questions:
  • How long will the current shutdowns last?
  • When, at what pace and to what level will the restart take place?
  • Following 2020, at what level will the business levels be in 2021?
  • In order to plan for the future, KA has developed various scenarios for 2020 and 2021 which are based mainly on management estimates. These scenarios do not reflect any guidance or forecasts and the actual results for 2020 and 2021 could differ from the scenario outputs. These are described on the next slide.
  • Each scenario models the expected P&L performance, working capital levels, capex, and cash flow.
  • Many scenarios have been worked out. For simplicity purposes, this presentation covers three scenarios; high case, medium case, and low case where the "high case" represents the most favorable outcome and the low case represents the least favorable outcome among the scenarios. The difference between the various scenarios is the underlying market assumptions which ultimately drive the revenues of the company and which the company does not control.
  • All the scenarios lead to a significant need for additional liquidity.

Three Scenarios – Revenue impact for Kongsberg Automotive

As mentioned, we have modeled three scenarios:

Revenues High case Medium Case Low case
2019 (for reference) €1,161 million €1,161 million €1,161 million
2020 € 914.6 million
This assumes shutdowns
as we currently
experience through April
with a quick ramp up in
the first two weeks of
May.
€877.9 million
This assumes shutdowns
as we currently experience
through April with a slow
ramp up in May and the first
week of June.
€818.2 million
This assumes shutdowns
as we currently experience
through May with a slow
ramp up in June and the
first week of July.
2021 €1,091 million
This assumes 2021
revenue levels of around
6% less than in 2019.
€1,068 million
This assumes 2021
revenue levels of around
8% less than in 2019.
€1,043 million
This assumes 2021
revenue levels of around
10% less than in 2019.
  • We believe that the "High case" is probably overly optimistic, as the challenges surrounding a quick restart in 2020 are large and the recovery speed for 2021 under this scenario would be aggressive.
  • We believe that the "Low case" is probably overly pessimistic, particularly for 2020 as such a long shutdown period will almost be unbearable for an industry that is broadly seen as "too big to fail".
  • Consequently, we believe that the most likely outcome is somewhere between the "High" and "Low" cases. This is what the "Medium case" represents.
  • Note that for the revenue assumptions for 2021 one should bear in mind that due to KA's strong business wins, we have typically outperformed the market in top line growth by around 3-5% points. Taking this into account, the assumptions for the 2021 revenues reflect underlying market declines of 13-15%, 11-13% and 9-11% for the Low, Medium and High scenarios, respectively. This would represent a drop larger than in previous downcycles/recessions.

Three Scenarios – KPI impact for Kongsberg Automotive

The below table provides the expected liquidity needs from the various scenario models:

(Euro 000) 2020 High 2021 High 2020 Medium 2021 Medium 2020 Low 2021 Low
Revenues 914,616 1,091,390 877,662 1,068,169 818,231 1,043,000
EBITDA 15,774 90,098 -3,072 81,721 -26,812 72,642
EBITDA% 1.7% 8.3% -0.4% 7.7% -3.3% 7.0%
Adj. EBIT -36,613 34,476 -55,459 26,099 -79,198 17,020
Adj EBIT % -4.0% 3.2% -6.3% 2.4% -9.7% 1.6%
Net Income -76,845 9,629 -95,691 -421 -119,430 -9,501
EBITDA 15,774 90,098 -3,072 81,721 -26,812 72,642
Δ Net Working Capital 1,000 22,000 10,000 16,000 8,000 22,000
Capex -63,000 -58,000 -63,000 -58,000 -61,000 -55,000
Taxes & Interest -25,000 -25,000 -25,000 -25,000 -25,000 -25,000
Other non CF EBITDA items incl IFRS 16 -28,000 -20,000 -28,000 -20,000 -28,000 -20,000
Cash Flow (all in) -99,226 9,098 -109,072 -5,279 -132,812 -5,358
Highest cumulative liquidity need in period -91,000 -105,000 -100,000 -116,000 -126,000 -136,000
  • The liquidity need is calculated on the basis of not utilizing the RCF more than 40% thus not triggering covenant testing.
  • The RCF increase of €20 million in April 2020 and the RCF reduction of €20 million (due in October 2021) have been considered in the model above.
  • The liquidity need is smaller than the cumulative cash flow due to liquidity reserves at the beginning of 2020.
  • The highest cumulative liquidity need in the period is generally higher than the end of year need due to large intra-year liquidity variation driven mostly by working capital swings due to intra-year volume swings.
  • The above includes furlough and short time work actions in place for the duration of shutdowns.
  • The cash burn rate for an extra month of shutdowns is around €30 million.
  • The cash breakeven point for the KA operations in a steady state is at an annual revenue level of around €1,080 million at low growth and around €1,150 million in the previous growth mode.
  • In order to fully fund the Corona related downturn and the following expected recession, according to the model parameters, we need to secure additional liquidity of around €120-150 million. This leaves some safety margin. See the next page.
  • Please note that the actual figures for 2020 and 2021 may be outside of the ranges of the high-medium-low scenarios above.
  • Even in the low scenario, Kongsberg Automotive would return to positive EBITDA figures in 2021.

Sources of funding

Potentially likely sources of Funds in € 000:
Capital raise Gross amount: 110,000-120,000 108,000 expenses deducted
Government loan Program (CH + smaller amounts from others) 450 potential for more
Loan backed with Guarantor Assets 17,250 under negotiation
Supply Chain financing net 7,900 under negotiation
Factoring NA 29,200 under negotiation
Factoring EMEA 19,400 following NA
Total "likely" Funding sources 182,200
  • Sources of funding does not include any proceeds from potential divestitures
  • Under the assumption that €150 million in liquidity is needed by the end of 2021, the net debt of the company would be between €200 million and €240 million depending on scenario.
  • We believe KA should get back to and surpass the historical adjusted EBITDA levels (2019: €118 million) following the Corona recovery in the medium to long term.
  • In order to be fully funded (€120-150 million), we need to secure all but one of the items in the above table, in line with the model parameters.
  • We have additional sources of funding that have not been included in this overview due to the greater uncertainty in timing and size. See the overview in the backup section (slide 25).

Debt overview and Bond & RCF Indentures

  • 2019 Year End NIBD amounted to €256 million of which €271 million Bond, €10 million RCF, €25 million cash excluding IFRS16 related liabilities
  • Bond and RCF maturity: July 2025
  • €20 million out of the €70 million RCF matures in October 2021
  • Bond Coupon: 5% payable in Q1 and Q3, RCF interest rate: EURIBOR + 2.25 % pts
  • Undertaking of additional debt
  • Total super senior RCF is capped at € 80 million of which we currently have an RCF credit line of € 70 million.
  • Up to € 20 million in additional guaranteed debt may be undertaken with guarantor assets
  • Up to € 20 million in additional guaranteed debt may be undertaken with non-guarantor assets
  • Additional unsecured debt may be undertaken as long as the LTM EBITDA/Interest cost > 2.0 at the time of undertaking the additional unsecured debt
  • Covenants:
  • Covenant testing takes place if >40% of the RCF is drawn at quarter end.
    • The covenant is LTM NetDebt/EBITDA*<3.5 in additional guaranteed debt may be undertaken with guarantor assets
    • This is a springing RCF covenant
  • * "Normalized EBITDA"

Conclusion

  • Since 2016, following a turn-around, Kongsberg Automotive (KA) developed into a healthy business and achieved above-market revenue growth through strong new business wins, more than doubling of adj. EBIT margins and tripling of absolute adj. EBIT amounts through operational improvements.
  • Through improved focus and increased competitiveness, we have built a strong book of business evidenced by our strong new business wins and better than the sector revenue growth. Our current book to bill ratio has been around 1.2-1.5X over the past years.
  • Strong growth in Sales and adj. EBIT 2017-2019 better than sector
  • Virtually all the significant global automotive OEMs are KA's end customers. These are critical operations in the economy and considered "too big to fail". If needed, they will receive the required financial support from governments to not fail.
  • Although the Corona situation is currently overwhelming to most parts of society, it will not last forever. We believe KA is well positioned following the "Corona recovery".
  • However, the Corona disruption has led to a shortage of liquidity for KA which we plan to fund through a capital raise of €110-120 million. Combined with other sources of liquidity, this should fully fund KA through the Corona crisis according to the scenario parameters.
  • Corona will not last forever we will get back to normal. And normal is pretty attractive to KA! We believe KA should get back to and surpass the historical adjusted EBITDA levels following the Corona recovery in the medium to long term.

Backup Slides

Interior Segment

Powertrain & Chassis Segment

Specialty Products segment

Our Customers

Kongsberg Automotive benefits from a well diversified customer base 1

1 This graphical overview represents approximately 78% of our total end customer revenues.

2 The Volvo passenger car brand is included in the Geely Group.

3 The Land Rover passenger car is included in the Tata Motors Group.

Corporate Responsibility

We commit to operate in an economically, socially & environmentally responsible manner

Guiding Principles

Leadership & Talent

We aim to develop our employees in an inclusive culture that respects diversity and exemplifies our values.

Human Rights & Labor Practices

We advance initiatives which respect human rights and fair labor practices within our organization and throughout our supply chain.

Supply-chain Management

We implement practices that consider and support responsible and sustainable sourcing.

Environmental Performance

We commit to minimizing the use of natural resources and hazardous materials in the development and manufacture of our products.

Integrity & Ethics

We require all employees to comply with applicable laws and observe the highest standards of business and personal ethics in the conduct of duties and responsibilities.

Community Engagement

We contribute our time and financial support to the communities where we work and live.

For Kongsberg Automotive, Corporate Responsibility means to manage our operations so that we achieve an overall positive impact on society

Corporate Responsibility

Highlights and Key Figures

*) tonnes CO2 per 1,000,000 EUR of product revenues

Additional Sources of funding

Additional sources of Funds (in Euro millions):
Subsidies/loans from governments 4.5-10.0 (CH/NO/DE/US)
Loan backed with Guarantor Assets 10.0-20.0
RCF increase 0.0-10.0
Norwegian "Statens
Obligasjonsfond" bonds
50.0-70.0 Expensive debt
Divestitures (1 or 2 non-core business units) 30.0-120.0
Total additional funding sources 94.5 –
230.0

The additional sources of funding above have not been included in the "base case" as there is uncertainty regarding timing and size. Also, particularly for the Statens Obligasjonsfond bonds, the pricing is not attractive from a relative standpoint.

Kongsberg Automotive

Leadership team

Glossary

Term Meaning
AMT Automated Manual Transmission
EV Electric Vehicle
FTS Fluid Transfer System
HDV Heavy Duty Vehicle
HMI Human Machine Interface
HR / AR Headrest / Armrest
ICE Internal Combustion Engine
LDC Light Duty Cable
LDV Light Duty Vehicle
OE Original Equipment
OEM Original Equipment Manufacturer
PRND Park Reverse Neutral Drive

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