Investor Presentation • Aug 15, 2014
Investor Presentation
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This document is being furnished for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase any security, future or other financial instrument or product. It is not intended to form the basis of an investment decision and has not been verified. Storm Capital Management Ltd. ("Storm") makes no recommendation or representation as to, and accepts no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein or any other information, whether written or oral, made available and any liability therefore is expressly disclaimed. Such information is presented as of the date and, if applicable, time indicated and Storm does not accept any responsibility for updating any such information.
Any simulations, projections, valuations and statistical analyses contained herein have been provided to assist the recipient in the evaluation of the matters described herein; such simulations, projections, valuations and analyses may be based on subjective assessments and assumptions and may utilise one among alternative methodologies that produce differing results; accordingly, such simulations, projections, valuations and statistical analyses are not to be viewed as facts and should not be relied upon as an accurate representation of future events. No representation or warranty is given as to any of the simulations or analyses, or as to the achievement or reasonableness of any future projections or estimates, contained in this document.
This document has been prepared by Storm Capital Management Ltd. and should not be considered impartial research under FCA Rules. The views expressed may not be supported by independent analysis. The author of this document may be remunerated as a result of transactions generated by this information.
Storm Capital Management Ltd. is authorised and regulated in the United Kingdom by the Financial Conduct Authority. Its registered office is at 100 New Bond Street, London W1S 1SP, United Kingdom.
Total comprehensive income US\$ 1.0m in H1 2014
Value increase of the investment in TK Development of US\$ 5.9 million (48%) in H1
3. Property values decreased a US\$ 5.4 million to US\$ 97.7 million during H1
NAV per share of NOK 24.83 in Q2 2014 post dividend payment of NOK 1.60 per share
| F l l Y e a r u |
F i 6 M h t t r s o n s |
nd 2 Q t a r e r u |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| \$ ( S ) U '0 0 0 ; |
/ / 3 1 1 2 1 3 |
( 1) / / 3 0 0 6 1 4 |
( 1) / / 3 0 0 6 1 3 |
( 1) / / 3 0 0 6 1 4 |
( 1) / / 3 0 0 6 1 3 |
| T l I t o a n c o m e |
\$ 1 2, 9 0 1 |
\$ 6, 7 6 7 |
\$ 6, 3 4 8 |
\$ 3, 5 2 2 |
\$ 3, 2 2 5 |
| P t R l t d E r o p e r e a e p e n s e s y x |
( 2, 8 3 2 ) |
( 1, 3 3 ) 5 |
( 1, 3 8 ) 5 |
( 8 1 6 ) |
( 9 0 ) 5 |
| P l E e r s o n n e x p e n s e s |
( 7 4 9 ) |
( 4 1 9 ) |
( 4 6 8 ) |
( 2 6 3 ) |
( 3 0 7 ) |
| O t h O t i E e r p e r a n g x p e n s e s |
( ) 2, 3 6 5 |
( ) 1, 2 4 4 |
( ) 1, 2 5 8 |
( 6 4 9 ) |
( 5 8 5 ) |
| i P f i ( L ) B f F i V l A d j O t t t t p e r a n g r o o s s e o r e a r a u e u s m e n s |
\$ 5 5 6, 9 |
\$ 5 3, 7 2 |
\$ 3, 2 3 7 |
\$ 1, 7 9 4 |
\$ 1, 7 4 3 |
| G / f i L F i V l A d j t t I t t P t a n o s s r o m a r a u e u s m e n s o n n v e s m e n r o p e r |
8, 2 2 0 y |
( ) 2, 0 8 3 |
8, 8 4 3 |
( ) 7, 4 9 7 |
7, 1 1 6 |
| T l O i P f i ( L ) t t t o a p e r a n g r o o s s |
\$ 1 5, 1 5 7 |
\$ 1, 4 8 9 |
\$ 1 2, 0 8 0 |
\$ ( 5, ) 7 0 4 |
\$ 5 8, 8 9 |
| G ( ) N t F i i l i L e n a n c a a n s o s s e s |
3, 9 0 4 |
2 9 0 4, |
1, 0 2 4 |
\$ 1, 6 0 2 |
( ) 1, 1 6 7 |
| E i B f T ( E B T ) a r n n g s e o r e a x |
\$ 1 8, 6 6 5 |
\$ 5, 9 7 7 |
\$ 1 3, 1 0 5 |
\$ ( 4, 1 0 2 ) |
\$ 6 9 2 7, |
| I T n c o m e a x |
( 4 ) 7, 7 5 |
( 9 9 9 ) |
( 9 1 9 ) 5, |
3 6 5 |
( 3, 0 0 ) 5 |
| P f i ( L ) f h P i d t t r o o s s o r e e r o |
\$ 1 1, 1 9 0 |
\$ 4, 7 8 0 |
\$ 7, 1 8 6 |
\$ ( 3, 5 6 6 ) |
\$ 4, 1 9 2 |
| ( 2) O h C h i I ( N f T ) t t e r o m p r e e n s v e n c o m e e o a x |
( 8, 0 4 8 ) |
( 3, 7 8 9 ) |
( 8, 8 1 ) 5 |
3, 0 7 7 |
( 2 6 8 ) 7, |
| ( 2) T l C h i I ( N f T ) t t o a o m p r e e n s v e n c o m e e o a x |
\$ 3, 1 4 2 |
\$ 9 9 1 |
\$ ( 1, 6 6 5 ) |
\$ 1 4 1 |
\$ ( 3, 0 6 ) 7 |
(1) Unaudited
(2) Comprehensive income includes the currency effect of asset revaluations. Storm Real Estate ASA's buildings are revalued by an external valuer. The local functional currency is RUB, the effect of value change in RUB is presented over the income statement. The residual effect in USD is allocated to equity and presented over Other Comprehensive Income.
| i S l l. U D m |
H 1 2 0 1 4 H / 1 2 / 0 1 4 3 1 0 3 0 7 |
H 1 2 0 1 3 H 1 2 0 1 3 P F r o o r m a |
|---|---|---|
| T l C h i I t o a o m p r e e n s v e n c o m e |
1, 0 |
1, 7 - |
| S f j i t u m m a r y o m a o r e m s : |
||
| N O I f i t t t i r o m n v e s m e n p r o p e r e s |
5, 2 |
5, 0 |
| V l h i t t t i a e c a n g e n e s m e n p r o p e r e s u v |
-5 4 , |
0, 3 |
| V l h h i l i t t a u e c a n g e s a r e s n r e a e s a e c o m p a n e s |
9 5, |
1, 7 - |
| O t h t i t e r o p e r a n g c o s s |
1, 7 - |
1, 7 - |
| F d d l i i d i t t u n s a n q u n v e s m e n s |
0, 9 |
1, 2 |
| B i t o r r o n g c o s s w |
1, 5 - |
1, 5 - |
| C d i d i i t t- t t t o n r a c a n n e r e s e r v a v e s |
0, 7 - |
3, 0 |
| T a x e s |
1, 0 - |
-5 9 , |
Total Comprehensive Income US\$ 1.0 million for H1 2014
| \$ ( S '0 ) U 0 0 |
/ / 3 1 1 2 1 3 3 1 / 0 3 / 0 7 |
( 1) / / 3 0 0 6 1 4 P F r o o r m a |
/ / 3 1 1 2 1 3 3 1 / 0 3 / 0 7 |
( 1) / / 3 0 0 6 1 4 P F r o o r m a |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I t t t n e s m e n p r o p e r v y I h t t t n v e s m e n s p r o p e r y s a r e s |
\$ 1 0 3, 1 0 0 \$ 1 2, 1 7 6 |
\$ 9 0 0 7, 7 \$ 1 8, 8 0 9 |
B k l a n o a n s O t h l i b i l i t i e r a e s |
\$ 4 4, 9 7 0 \$ 1 5, 1 5 5 |
\$ 4 3, 7 0 4 \$ 1 5, 8 3 5 |
| T l t t t o a n o n- c u r r e n a s s e s |
\$ 1 1 5, 3 3 5 |
\$ 1 1 6, 7 8 7 |
i i i i T l l b l t t o a a e s |
\$ 6 0, 1 2 5 |
\$ 5 9, 5 3 9 |
| ( 2) C h & l i i d i t t a s q u n v e s m e n s |
\$ 2 2, 5 8 6 |
\$ 1 6, 2 0 5 |
|||
| T l t t t o a c u r r e n a s s e s |
\$ 2 3, 2 2 5 |
\$ 1 6, 7 7 2 |
S h h l d 's i t a r e o e r e q u y |
\$ 8, 4 3 7 7 |
\$ 4, 0 2 3 7 |
| T l t t o a a s s e s |
\$ 5 1 3 8, 6 1 |
\$ 5 1 3 3, 6 0 |
T l i d l i b i l i i t t t o a e q u y a n a e s |
\$ 5 1 3 8, 6 1 |
\$ 5 1 3 3, 6 0 |
(1) Unaudited
(2) Includes cash invested in liquid securities for cash management purposes
Source: Storm Capital Management Ltd. (1) As per 31 July 2014.
Source: Oslo Stock Exchange, Bloomberg
(1) SRE and OSEBX adjusted for dividends. As per 14 Aug 2014.
Source: Bloomberg. (1) As per 14 Aug 2014.
2014 Forecast Remains Unchanged: US\$ 5.0 Billion by the End of the Year
Source: Cushman & Wakefield (July 2014)
Vacancy Rate in Class B Buildings Increased 1.5% in Q2 Due to New Supply
Source: Cushman & Wakefield (July 2014)
(1) Average rental rates is a weighted average rental rate of asking rents of deals closed within the period, US\$ / m²/ annum/ triple net
Source: Cushman & Wakefield, St. Petersburg Research, 2014. (1) Including Utilities and OPEX. Net of VAT.
Source: NASDAQ OMX NORDIC. (1) As per 13 Aug 2014
| B l i e r n S d w e e n |
G f % ( % ) Fo ts d ic t a D P 2. 4 in 2 0 1 4 d t ha t t he loy t r te i l l r in low 7. 5 re ca s p re o an u ne m p m en a w em a ■ Inv to in te t is h ig h, d to f ina is de t – Ho de in fo ig inv tm ts du to t he tro kr es r re s a n ac ce ss nc e ce n we ve r, cr ea se re n es en e s ng on a ■ d t i t io i t h do t ic inv to an co m p e n w m es es rs Co t ies in d loc t io d t ies in da loc t io i t h h ig he is k f i le i l l inc d t in to re p ro p er g oo a ns a n p ro p er se co n ry a ns a r r p ro re as e an co n ue w w ■ inv t tra t to a c es rs E lec io in Se be 2 0 1 4 t te ns p m r ■ |
|---|---|
| D k e n m a r |
M de h ( 1. 5 % ) de i low in f la io d h ig he f i de t g t te ta ts t o s ro w sp x cu n an r c on su m er c on nc e ■ , R is ing de d fo i de ia l p ies in he la i ies ( 1 1. % Yo Y h in Ju 2 0 1 4 in Co ha ) t t t t 5 t m an r r es n ro p er rg e c g ro w ne p en g en ■ fo Ba ks bu ine n a re o p en r s ss ■ fo Fo ig inv to d ins t i tu t io l inv to t ive in t he ke t – l ly loo k ing t la t ies t l ios d j ts re n es rs a n na es rs a c m ar g en er a a rg e p ro p er p or a n p ro ec ■ , Go fo f f in la i t ies ta i l p t ies in h ig h tre ts la t inv to d de d ice t ies in im rg e c re ro p er s e ar e ve ry p op u r a m on g s es rs o m an r o p ro p er p r e – loc t io ho l im i te d ly a ns we ve r su p p , |
| P l d o a n |
fa ( % ) G ( % fo % fo ) Po i t ive ic t loo k w i t h l l ing loy t 1 2 d ing D P 3. 6 2 0 1 4 d 4. 2 2 0 1 5 s m ac ro e co no m ou u ne m p m en an g ro w r an r ■ In te t io l inv to t in to do ina te t he ke t rn a na es rs c on ue m m ar ■ Se l la ing le- t ic ke t a d t fo l io tra t io h ig h l ig h t t he ing f i de d l iq i d i ty in t he ke t – Po la d ve ra rg e s n p or ns ac ns e ve r-g ro c on nc e an m ar n w u ■ d fo 4 0 % f he l l inv lu in he C E E io fa in 2 0 1 4 te t tm t v t ac co un r o o ve ra es en o m e re g n so r |
| C h e c z R b l i e p c u |
G D P t h f 2. 9 t in t he f irs t q te f 2 0 1 4, f i de is im ing d ta i l s les ha inc d ( 6. 4 % g ro w o p er ce n ua r r o c on su m er c on nc e p ro v a n re a ve re as e ■ Yo Y in Ju ly 2 0 1 4 ) Co in ing in fro ins i io l inv fo h ig h i l in Pr bu i la b i l i is l im i d t te t t tu t to tre t r ta t a ty te n u re s m na es rs r s e e ag ue va ■ , T he 's l ia l f ina ing is he in lo is k h, ho he is ing ly try te t -te to t t tro c ou n re nc e on e x rn a nc m a ng rm r g ro w we ve r e co no m y re co ve r s ng ■ de in t o tu as e xp or r rs g a m om en m |
Positive Signals from TK Developments Core Markets
An update on the situation in Ukraine with our view.
APPENDIX
Source: Bloomberg. (1) As per 14 Aug 2014
Economic Activity as Measured by Industrial Production is Struggling to Gain Pace in Current Situation
Office Sector is Increasing in importance as Seen During Previous Crisis's
New Construction Still Higher Than Absorption – Limited Absorption so Far in 2014
The Story Remains:
Realising true value in the portfolio takes time as expected, we have now passed our break-even purchase price
Danish equity brokers revised its rating from Hold to Buy in beginning of April
We reiterate that we still believe TK offers an attractive risk reward
Source: Company data. Copenhagen Stock Exchange. (1) As per 13 August 2014.
100 New Bond Street London, W1S 1SP United Kingdom
E-mail: [email protected] Tel: +44 (0)207 409 3378 Fax: +44 (0)207 491 3464
Web: www.stormcapital.co.uk
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