AI assistant
Klaveness Combination Carriers — Investor Presentation 2021
Aug 25, 2021
3644_rns_2021-08-25_c618de1c-6d05-4e13-bb7d-d99030f94047.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
Second Quarter 2021 Oslo, 25 August 2021
Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by Klaveness Combination Carriers ASA (the "Company") and is furnished to you for information purposes only and may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, to any other person. The presentation does not constitute or form part of any offering of securities, and the contents of this presentation have not been reviewed by any regulatory authority.
The presentation should not form the basis for any investments nor be deemed to constitute investment advice by the Company including its affiliates or any of their directors, officers, agents, employees or advisers. An investment in the Company's securities involves risk, and several factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by statements and information in this presentation and by attending or reading the presentation you acknowledge that you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the market and the market position of the Company and that you must make your own independent assessment of the information contained in the presentation after making such investigations and taking such advice as may be deemed necessary. In particular, any estimates, projections, opinions or other forward-looking statements contained herein necessarily involve significant elements of subjective judgment, analysis and assumptions and each recipient should make its own verifications in relation to such matters.
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company and/or the industry in which it operates. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances, not historical facts, and are sometimes identified by the words "believes", expects", "predicts", "intends", "projects", "plans", "estimates", "aims", "foresees", "anticipates", "targets", and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation (including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or opinions cited from third party sources) are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to differ materially from any anticipated development. None of the Company, any of its parent or subsidiary undertakings, or any such person's officers, directors, or employees provides any assurance that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors, nor does any of them accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this Presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments described herein.
No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. Accordingly neither the Company nor any of its affiliates accept any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this presentation, including any reproduction or redistribution.
The information and opinions contained in this document are provided as at the date of this presentation and may be subject to change without notice. Except as required by law, neither the Company nor any of its affiliates undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements or other information herein for any reason after the date of this presentation to conform these statements to actual results or to changes in our expectations or publicly release or inform of the result of any revisions to these forward-looking statements which the Company or any of its affiliates may make to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
This presentation speaks as of August 2021. Neither the delivery of this presentation nor any further discussions by the Company with any of the recipients shall, under any circumstances, create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of the Company since such date. The Company does not intend to, or will assume any obligation to, update this presentation or any of the information included herein.
This presentation shall be governed by Norwegian law. Any dispute arising in respect of this presentation is subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of the Norwegian courts with the Oslo City Court as exclusive legal venue.
Highlights Q2 2021
Both tankers and dry bulk vessels - substantially higher earnings capacity
Full fleet on water – a new chapter commences for KCC
H1 2016 H1 2017 H1 2018 H1 2019 H1 2020 H1 2021
CABU CLEANBU
Strong result improvements, more to come...
Note: CABU and CLEANBU TCE Earnings USD per on-hire day is an alternative performance measure (please see slide 45 in enclosures for more details) 1) Dry bulk and MR Tanker TCE-earnings assume one month advance cargo fixing / "lag"
EBITDA driven by strong dry bulk market and improved CABU operation
Increased dividends for Q2 2021
Future proof and profitable business model
2
Lowest carbon emission
1
Lower earnings volatility
Higher earnings CABU Panamax dry bulk MR tanker x 1.8 3 x 1.5 TCE earnings and fuel prices TCE earnings and earnings premium1
1 The most carbon efficient deep-sea shipping solution
- 2 Diversified market exposure and COA portfolio reduce earnings volatility
- 3 Premium earnings vs. standard vessels
UN IPCC Report August 2021
«Code red» for human driven global heating
Summer of decarbonization-regulations
| WHEN? | June 2021 |
July 2021 |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WHO? | IMO (MEPC76) approval | European Commission proposal |
|||
| WHAT? | Short term measures - new requirements to shipowners |
EU Emission Trading Scheme inclusion of shipping |
|||
| HOW? | Energy Efficiency Existing Ship Index (EEXI) setting minimum requirements the technical efficiency of ships, Carbon Intensity Indicator (CII) rating scheme addressing the operational efficiency |
Allowance (EUA) must be bought for emissions from shipping : • 100% from intra-EU voyages • 50% from voyages in/out of EU • 100% at berth in EU port • Based on MRV reporting • No free allowances Gradual phase-in • 20% in 2023 to • 100% in 2026 |
EU regulations will start impacting customer's shipping policy, globally..
CLEANBUs achieve large carbon emissions cuts in the Atlantic
CO2 emission in MT per RV Brazil-Continent
Large savings in ETS costs by using CLEANBUs (2026)
Source: Bloomberg * Assumes 6 round voyages / year in trade Europe - Brazil
Decarbonization becoming key part of KCC's customer discussions
Being the lowest carbon shipping provider "open doors"
KCC includes emission reporting as part of all new main COAs
If you can't measure it, you can't manage it !
Closer co-operation with customers to cut emission
- Carbon emission baseline
- Carbon emission reduction targets
- Carbon pricing mechanism
Average CO2 emissions per vessel on the right track
300 900 600 500 2020 Q1-2021 Q2-2021 CLEANBU fleet Average CO2 emission per vessel (mt/vessel)
Carbon intensity - temporary negative effect of CLEANBU dry trading
1 The most carbon efficient deep-sea shipping solution
2 Diversified market exposure and COA portfolio reduce earnings volatility
3 Premium earnings vs. standard vessels
Flexibility and diversification from 3 markets reduce KCC's earnings volatility
Source: Clarksons SIN
Rebalancing of the tanker market continues
Oil consumption improving but still below 2019 levels
OECD Oil stocks below 5-year average
Continued expected low fleet growth and orderbook
Booming dry bulk market with strong fundamentals
Source: Klaveness Research
20
Orderbook as a% of the fleet
Positioning for strong dry bulk and tanker markets in 2022
Dry bulk market coverage1
Coverage as % of on-hire days
Tanker market coverage1
Coverage as % of on-hire days
F: 61% / O: 91%
1) Coverage for total fleet as per 23 August 2021, F = fixed rate coverage (fixed rate contracts/cargoes + FFAs), O = Operational coverage (fixed rate and index linked contracts/cargoes)
1 The most carbon efficient deep-sea shipping solution
- 2 Diversified market exposure and COA portfolio reduce earnings volatility
- 3 Premium earnings vs. standard vessels
Efficient CABU combi-trading based on strong caustic soda cargo booking
Strong dry bulk market and efficient combi-trading delivers strong CABU earnings
Note: CABU TCE Earnings per onhire day is an alternative performance measure (please see slide 45 in enclosures for more details). Dry bulk earnings and tanker earnings USD per on-hire day are reconciled in enclosures page 46.
Strong CABU Q2 TCE earnings vs. standard markets
Source: Baltic Exchange, Clarksons SIN
Note: CABU TCE Earnings per onhire day is an alternative performance measure (please see slide 45 in enclosures for more details), T x = MR Tanker multiple and B x = panamax dry bulker multiple.
Dry bulk and MR Tanker TCE-earnings assume one month advance cargo fixing / "lag"
Switching CLEANBU capacity to dry trading in a historical weak tanker market
Note: CABU TCE Earnings per on-hire day is an alternative performance measure (please see slide 45 in enclosures for more details), Dry bulk and tanker earnings excl. positive or negative results of FFA s Days as tanker and dry bulk vessel includes both combi-trading and trading as standard dry bulk and tanker vessel
CPP customer backing brings CLEANBUs back in combi in Q3
- New CPP COA employs 1-1.5 CLEANBU vessels in target combi trades
- First combi-voyage fixed to West Africa
- CPP combi-shipments fixed for 5 vessels for end August-early September
Efficient combitrading will improve CLEANBU earnings in 2H 2021
Performed and potential CLEANBU CPP/dry bulk combi-trades
Improving CLEANBU earnings supported by strong dry bulk market
Note: CLEANBU TCE Earnings per onhire day is an alternative performance measure (please see slide 45 in enclosures for more details), Dry bulk earnings and tanker earnings USD per on-hire day are reconciled in enclosures slide 46.
CLEANBUs TCE earnings substantially outperforming standard tankers
Source: Clarksons, Baltic Exchange
Note: CLEANBU TCE Earnings USD per on-hire day is an alternative performance measure (please see slide 45 in enclosures for more details) T x = LR1 Tanker multiple and B x = kamsarmax dry bulker multiple. Dry bulk and MR Tanker TCE-earnings assume one month advance cargo fixing / "lag"
Adjusted EBITDA up 66% Q-o-Q mainly driven by higher CABU revenue
Adjusted EBITDA1 last five quarters (MUSD)
Quarter-on-quarter adjusted EBITDA1 (MUSD) Q2 2021 vs Q1 2021
EBITDA Q2 2021
Last newbuild delivered in Q2
Stable off-hire and OPEX/day compared to Q1 2021
Significantly improved results Q-o-Q
| Income statement (MUSD) | Q2 2021 | Q1 2021 | Δ% | 1H 2021 | 1H 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net revenue | 28.3 | 21.1 | 34% | 49.5 | 47.9 |
| Operating expenses, vessels | (12.6) | (11.2) | 13% | (23.7) | (16.8) |
| SG&A | (1.6) | (1.7) | (5)% | (3.3) | (2.6) |
| EBITDA | 14.2 | 8.3 | 71% | 22.4 | 28.5 |
| EBITDA adjusted | 15.3 | 9.2 | 66% | 24.5 | 28.7 |
| Depreciation | (7.0) | (7.0) | 1% | (14.0) | (8.7) |
| EBIT | 7.1 | 1.3 | 457% | 8.4 | 19.8 |
| Net financial items | (3.7) | (3.3) | 10% | (7.0) | (7.2) |
| Profit/(loss) | 3.5 | (2.0) | 270% | 1.4 | 12.6 |
| EPS (cents/share) | 7.3 | (4.3) | 270% | 2.9 | 26.4 |
| DPS (cents/share) | 4.5 | 3.0 | 50% | 7.5 | 6.0 |
| ROCE1 | 5.5% | 1.5% | +4%-points | 3.5% | 8.7% |
Cash position solid though temporarily impacted by FFA cash settlement
Equity ratio bottoming out at 32.5% after delivery of last newbuild
35
Summary & Outlook
Summary & outlook Q3-Q4 2021
Stronger Q3 2021 TCE earnings guiding Q4 2021 Outlook1
TCE earnings USD/day CLEANBU)
Basis current dry bulk and tanker FFA-curve, earnings outlook for Q4 2021 is currently as follows:
CABU
- 53% of capacity fixed (fixed+floating rate)2
- TCE earnings of \$23-25,000/day
CLEANBU
- 10% of capacity fixed (fixed+floating rate)2
- CPP fixtures in Q3 2021 will bring vessels into dry bulk loading areas in Q4 2021.
- TCE earnings of \$23-26,000/day
Note: CABU and CLEANBU TCE Earnings USD per onhire day are alternative performance measure (please see slide 45 in enclosures for more details) 1) Q4-2021 earnings outlook is based on panamax dry bulk FFA-rates (P4TC) of \$30,000/d and LR1 tanker spot rates in Middle East-Japan trade (TC5) of WS 119 for Q4-2021
Summary & outlook 2022
Prospects for concerted strong dry bulk, tanker and fuel markets in 2022 2022 dividend sensitivity1
Average KCC fleet TCE earnings USD/on-hire day
Future proof and profitable business model
2
Lowest carbon emission
1
Lower earnings volatility
Higher earnings CABU Panamax dry bulk MR tanker x 1.8 3 x 1.5 TCE earnings and fuel prices TCE earnings and earnings premium1
FUTURE BOUND
Enclosures
Detailed 2021 contract coverage
Contract coverage
| CABU: CSS contract coverage | |||
|---|---|---|---|
CLEANBU: CPP contract coverage
| # of days | 03-21 | 04-21 | 2H 2021 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed rate COA/Spot | 184 | $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ | 184 | ٠ |
| Floating rate COA | 94 | 65 | 159 | 264 |
| Total contract days | 278 | 65 | 343 | 264 |
| FFA coverage | ٠ | $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ | - | ٠ |
| Available wet days | 304 | 205 | 509 | 1464 |
Dry bulk contract coverage
| # of days | $03-21$ | 04-21 | 2H 2021 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed rate COA/Spot | 592 | 92 | 684 | |
| Floating rate COA | 59 | 126 | 185 | |
| Total contract days | ▼ 651 |
218 | 869 | ٠ |
| FFA coverage | 50 | 360 | 410 | 660 |
| Available dry days | 840 | 908 | 1748 | 3 0 0 9 |
| Available dry days CABU | 447 | 444 | 891 | 1595 |
| Available dry days CLEANBU | 393 | 464 | 857 | 1414 |
| Average FFA price (\$/d) (P4TC) | 11 605 | 11 527 | 11 566 | 12 523 |
Estimated CAPEX next 12 months (USDmn)
Debt schedule (USDmn)
- Margin on vessel mortgage debt of 2.3 2.75% + LIBOR2
- Fixed rate swaps of USD109 million with varying durations and average fixed rate of 1.6%
- Bond loan swapped to USD fixed rate of 6.22% at USDNOK rate of ~9.15
- First vessel mortgage maturity falls due in March – the facility finances seven 2001 to 2017 built CABU vessels
1) Notes to repayment overview: Overview assumes drawdown on RCF facilities as of 30.06.2021, overdraft facility not included in overview, KCC04 shown at hedged USD amount 2) One debt facility also includes a sustainability margin adjustment of +/-10 bps depending on sustainability performance KPIs
Alternative performance measures used in the quarterly presentation
Definitions and reconciliation
Alternative Performance Measures (APMs) are defined on the company's homepage: https://www.combinationcarriers.com/alternative-performance-measures
All reports and presentations referred to below are published on the company's homepage: https://www.combinationcarriers.com/investor-relations/#reports-presentation.
- CABU and CLEANBU and KCC Total TCE earnings per on-hire day for Q2 2021 and Q2 2021 YTD are reconciled in the quarterly report for Q2 2021, note 2 (page 15).
- CABU and CLEANBU and KCC Total TCE earnings per on-hire day for Q1 2021 are reconciled in the quarterly report for Q1 2021, note 2 (page 14).
- CABU and CLEANBU and KCC Total TCE earnings per on-hire day for Q4 2020 and 2020 are reconciled in the quarterly report for Q4 2020, note 2 (page 17-18).
- CABU and CLEANBU and KCC Total TCE earnings per on-hire day for Q3 2020 is reconciled in the quarterly report for Q3 2020, note 2 (page 16-17).
- CABU and CLEANBU and KCC Total TCE earnings per on-hire day for Q2 2020 are reconciled in the quarterly report for Q2 2020, note 2 (page 16-17).
- CABU and CLEANBU OPEX/day (\$/day) for Q2 2021 are reconciled in the quarterly report for Q2 2021, note 2 (page 15).
- CABU and CLEANBU OPEX/day (\$/day) for Q1 2021 are reconciled in the quarterly report for Q1 2021, note 2 (page 14).
- CABU and CLEANBU OPEX/day (\$/day) for Q4 2020 and 2020 are reconciled in the quarterly report for Q4 2020, note 2 (page 17-18).
- CABU and CLEANBU OPEX/day (\$/day) for Q3 2020 are reconciled in the quarterly report for Q3 2020, note 2 (page 16-17).
- CABU and CLEANBU OPEX/day (\$/day) for Q2 2020 are reconciled in the quarterly report for Q2 2020, note 2 (page 16).
- Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2021, Q2 2021 YTD and Q2 2020 are reconciled in Note 11 (page 22-23) in Q2 2021 report published.
- Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2021 and Q1 2020 are reconciled in Note 11 (page 21) in Q1 2021 report published. Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2020 and 2020 are reconciled in Note 11 (page 25) in Q4 2020 report published. Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2020 is reconciled in Note 11 (page 21) in Q3 2020 report published.
- Equity ratio for 30 June 2021 is reconciled in the quarterly report for Q2 2021, note 11 (page 22-23). Equity ratio for 31 March 2021 is reconciled in the quarterly report for Q1 2021, note 11 (page 21-22).
- ROCE for for Q2-21 and Q1-21 are reconciled in the quarterly report for respectively Q2 2021/Q1 2021, note 11, page 22-23/21-22.
- Interest bearing debt for 30 June 2021 and 31 March 2021 are reconciled in the quarterly report for respectively Q2 2021/Q1 2021, note 11, page 22-23/21-22.
Alternative performance measures used in the quarterly presentation
Reconciliation of dry bulk earnings and tanker earnings for CABU and CLEANBU fleet (slide 24 and 27)
| CABU | $Q3 - 20$ | Q4-20 | $Q1 - 21$ | $Q2 - 21$ | $Jul - 21$ | CLEANBU | $Q3-20$ | Q4-20 | $Q1 - 21$ | $Q2 - 21$ | Jul - 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dry earnings | 5 398 822 | 6 251 222 | 6 356 080 | 11 062 359 | 5 666 978 | Dry earnings | 1643032 | 2 3 5 2 7 7 7 7 | 5 5 3 1 2 8 6 | 10917832 | 4617485 |
| Wet earnings | 8 3 10 7 6 7 | 8 287 462 | 7 298 477 | 9092508 | 2034407 | Wet earnings | 4 8 9 2 0 1 5 | 5445318 | 3 3 5 2 5 4 3 | 982 865 | 1 347 496 |
| FFA | 169 065 $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ |
150 943 - | 748 223 - 2102 324 - 1068 078 | FFA | 56 280 | 488 794 - | 264 297 - 1491 463 | 982 502 $\sim$ |
|||
| Other non-voyage costs | 111 590 $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ |
143 593 - $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ |
89 646 | 263 125 $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ |
29 127 $\sim$ |
Other non-voyage costs | 43 5 72 - | $62162 -$ | $53800 -$ | 115 547 | 26 794 $\sim$ |
| Net revenue | 13 428 935 | 14 546 034 | 12 816 689 | 17 789 418 | 6 604 180 | Net revenue | 6 547 755 | 8 2 2 4 7 2 7 | 8 5 6 5 7 3 2 | 10 293 687 | 4955685 |
| Dry days | 333 | 420 | 445 | 398 | 156 | Dry days | 96 | 160 | 318 | 461 | 174 |
| Wet days | 380 | 348 | 321 | 413 | 93 | Wet days | 175 | 235 | 160 | 95 | 56 |
| Total days | 713 | 768 | 766 | 811 | 249 | Total days | 271 | 395 | 478 | 556 | 229 |
| Dry bulk earnings, TCE \$/d | 16 208 | 14 8 95 | 14 283 | 27809 | 36 234 | Dry bulk earnings, TCE \$/d | 17133 | 14 705 | 17394 | 23 683 | 26 5 98 |
| Wet earnings, TCE \$/d | 21876 | 23 8 15 | 22 708 | 22 005 | 21899 | Wet earnings, TCE \$/d | 27970 | 23 211 | 20 953 | 10 3 24 | 24 14 9 |
| Average TCE \$/d | 18840 | 18958 | 16722 | 21 9 32 | 26 493 | Average TCE \$/d | 24 18 2 | 20 840 | 17924 | 18 4 99 | 21 6 12 |