Business and Financial Review • May 26, 2024
Business and Financial Review
Open in ViewerOpens in native device viewer
Report On Realization And Evaluation of the Assumptions Used in Determining the IPO Price January 1 – December 31, 2023
This report has been prepared pursuant to the Capital Markets Board Communiqué on Shares No. VII‐128.1 article 29/5.
May 26, 2024
Pursuant to the Capital Markets Board Communiqué on Shares No. VII/128.1 article 29/5, the Audit Committee has prepared this report on "Realization and Evaluation of the Assumptions used in Determining the IPO Price", which includes evaluations on whether the assumptions used in determining the initial public offering price of Kaleseramik, Çanakkale Kalebodur Seramik Sanayi A.Ş.. ("Kaleseramik" or "Company") have been realized.
According to the Price Determination Report, prepared on June 14, 2023 by Yapı Kredi Yatırım Menkul Değerler A.Ş. ("Yapı Kredi Yatırım"), the intermediary facilitating the IPO of the company shares together with Ak Yatırım Menkul Değerler A.Ş., and published on the Public Disclosure Platform on July 17, 2023, the company's market value and the initial public offering price have been determined based on the following assumptions.
The equity value of the Company was calculated as a result of EV/EBITDA and P/E analyses, and the equity value was calculated as a result of Market Multipliers Analysis by giving equal weight to the values calculated as a result of the analysis.
The company's enterprise value was calculated separately using foreign peers EV/EBITDA multiple and domestic peers EV/EBITDA multiple method. The final equity value was determined based on two multiple analysis by deducting the net debt position as of March 31, 2023 from the calculated enterprise values, and the equity value was calculated according to the Company's EV/EBITDA multiple analysis by giving equal weight to each calculated equity value.
Multiples of peers were obtained from the "Bloomberg" platform as of the closing of June 9, 2023 for foreign companies, and from the Rasyonet platform as of the closing of June 9, 2023 for domestic companies.
EV/EBITDA multiple was calculated by dividing the current enterprise values of peer public companies by the EBITDA values of the relevant companies as of the 12-month period ending on March 31, 2023.
The median EV/EBITDA multiple of foreign peers is calculated as 8.6X. According to this multiple value, the company's enterprise value and equity value are calculated in the table below.
| Foreign Peers EV/EBITDA | 8,6x | |
|---|---|---|
| EBITDA* | TL | 809.929.512 |
| Enterprise Value | TL | 6.933.804.520 |
| Net Debt | TL | 1.730.710.526 |
| Equity Value according to Foreign Peers EV/EBITDA Multiple | TL | 5.203.093.994 |
*Excluding other operating income/expense
The median EV/EBITDA multiple of domestic peers is calculated as 10.4x. According to this multiple value, the company's enterprise value and equity value are calculated in the table below.
| Domestic Peers EV/EBITDA | 10,4x | |
|---|---|---|
| EBITDA* | TL | 809.929.512 |
| Enterprise Value | TL | 8.440.915.504 |
| Net Debt | TL | 1.730.710.526 |
| Equity Value according to Domestic Peers EV/EBITDA Multiple | TL | 6.710.204.978 |
* Excluding other operating income/expense
By giving equal weight to the equity values calculated, using the EV/EBITDA multiples of foreign and domestic peers, an equity value of TL 5,956,649,486 was reached as a result of the EV/EBITDA multiple analysis.
| Table 3: Average Equity Value According to EV/EBITDA Multiple Analysis | ||
|---|---|---|
| Equity Value according to foreign peers EV/EBITDA Multiple | TL | 5.203.093.994 |
|---|---|---|
| Equity Value according to domestic peers EV/EBITDA Multiple | TL | 6.710.204.978 |
| Equity Value according to EV/EBITDA Multiple | TL | 5.956.649.486 |
The equity value of the Company was calculated separately using the foreign and domestic peers P/E multiples, and by giving equal weight to the calculated equity values.
Multiples of peers were obtained from the "Bloomberg" platform as of the closing of June 9, 2023 for foreign companies, and from the Rasyonet platform as of the closing of June 9, 2023 for domestic companies.
P/E multiple is calculated by dividing the current equity values of peer public companies by the net profit values of the relevant companies as of the 12-month period ending on March 31, 2023.
The median P/E multiple of foreign peers is calculated as 13.4X. According to this multiple, the Company's equity value is calculated in the table below.
| Foreing Peers P/E | 13,4x | |
|---|---|---|
| Net Profit | TL | 1.474.351.806 |
| Equity Value according to P/E Multiple | TL | 19.779.974.412 |
The median P/E multiple of domestic peers is calculated as 10.0X. According to this multiple, the Company's equity value is calculated in the table below.
| Domestic Peers P/E | 10,0x | |
|---|---|---|
| Net Profit | TL | 1.474.351.806 |
| Equity Value according to P/E Multiple | TL | 14.767.658.582 |
By giving equal weight to the equity values calculated, using the P/E multiples of foreign and domestic peers, an equity value of TL 17.273.816.497 was reached as a result of the P/E multiple analysis.
Tablo 6: Average Equity Value According to P/E Multiple Analysis
| Equity Value according to foreign peers P/E Multiple | TL | 19.779.974.412 |
|---|---|---|
| Equity Value according to domestic peers P/E Multiple | TL | 14.767.658.582 |
| Equity Value according to P/E Multiple | TL | 17.273.816.497 |
Of the two methods, equal weight is given to the EV/EBITDA multiple and 50% to the P/E multiple. As a result of the multiple analysis, the Company's equity value was calculated as TL 11,615,232,992.
| Evaluation Methodology | Calculated Equity Value (TL) |
Weight | Calculated Equity (TL) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peers EV/EBITDA Multiple | 5.956.649.486 | 50% | 2.978.324.743 |
| Peers P/E Multiple | 17.273.816.497 | 50% | 8.636.908.249 |
| Equity Value | 11.615.232.992 |
According to the valuation study, the discounted cash flow method and multiple analysis method were weighted by 50% and 50%, respectively. In the market multiple analysis method, EV/EBITDA and P/E multiples are also weighed equally at 50%.
The equity values calculated by discounted cash flow analysis and market multiple analysis are listed below.
| Table 8: Results of Valuation Methods |
|---|
| --------------------------------------- |
| Valuation Method | Equity Value (TL) | Weight | Contribution to Final Calculated Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow Analysis | 12.342.654.936 | 50% | 6.171.327.468 |
| Market Multiple Analysis | 11.615.232.992 | 50% | 5.807.616.496 |
| Weighted Equity Value | 11.978.943.964 |
With 50%-50% weight, the company's average pre-public offering equity value is calculated as TL 11,978,943,964.
The public offering price is calculated as TL 25.00 per share by applying a 15.4% pre-public offering discount rate, based on the equity value calculated by valuation methods.
| Equity Value (TL) | |
|---|---|
| Nominal Capital Value | 405.388.196 |
| Pre-IPO Equity Value based on valuation methods | 11.978.943.964 |
| IPO Discount | %15,4 |
| Public Offering Discounted Market Value | 10.134.704.888 |
| IPO Price (TL/per share) | 25,00 |
Since the projection data in the Price Determination Report (FTR), dated June 14, 2023, and published by Yapı Kredi Investment on July 17, 2023 was prepared before the decision to implement the IAS 29 standard, the inflation accounting method was not applied in the Price Determination Report (PDR).
As the Company's financials dated December 31, 2023 were prepared in accordance with IAS-29 (inflation accounting principles), and the assumptions in the price determination report were not prepared according to IAS-29, the comparison was made between financials, which are not adjusted by IAS-29.
| (TL mio.) | 2023 12 M (Actual) – IAS 29 not applied |
2023 12 M (PDR Forecast) – IAS 29 not applied |
Realization |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Sales | 7.419,5 | 8.866,8 | 83,7% |
| Cost of Goods Sold | 5.546,5 | 6.369,9 | 87,1% |
| Gross Profit | 1.873,0 | 2.496,8 | 75,0% |
| Operating Expenses* | 1.328,5 | 1.402,6 | 94,7% |
| Amortization adj. | 132,8 | 122,0 | 108,9% |
| EBITDA** | 677,3 | 1.216,2 | %55,7 |
* Operating Expenses = Marketing, Sales & Distribution Expenses + General Administrative Expenses + R&D Expenses
** EBITDA = Gross Profit – Operating Expenses + Amortization
Since other income and expense items from main activities were not taken into account in the DCF method in the price determination report, a similar analysis was made in the table above. However, in order to monitor its operational profitability, the company makes internal and external reporting, taking into account these items, most of which are related to operations. With this approach, the EBITDA figure for 2023 reaches 96% of the assumptions in the PDR with TL 1,170.4 million.
The company reached 84% of the revenue predicted in the Price Determination Report (PDR) prepared by Yapı Kredi Investment, for the whole of 2023.
In 2023, the 38% decline in Turkiye's ceramic exports and the pressure created by high interest rates in the domestic market on housing demand were the factors affecting net sales, and hence, gross and EBITDA margins due to decreasing sales volume.
Regards,
Audit Committee
Cengiz SOLAKOĞLU Fahri Okan BÖKE
Chairman Member
Building tools?
Free accounts include 100 API calls/year for testing.
Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.