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Kajaria Ceramics Ltd Call Transcript 2023

Oct 26, 2023

60694_rns_2023-10-26_2dce1067-5bb5-4763-87dc-4aa8215fc116.pdf

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October 26, 2023

BSE Limited P.J. Towers Dalal Street Mumbai - 400 001 The National Stock Exchange of India Limited Exchange Plaza Bandra Kurla Complex Bandra (E) Mumbai - 400 051

Dear Sir,

Re.: Transcript of Conference Call

In continuation of our letter dated October 20, 2023, informing about the uploading of the audio recording of the Conference Call held on October 20, 2023, we enclose herewith transcript of the said Conference Call, in compliance of the provisions of the SEBI (Listing Obligations and Disclosure Requirements) Regulations, 2015.

The above said transcript has been uploaded at the Company's website www.kajariaceramics.com

Kindly take the above on your records.

Thanking you,

For Kajaria Ceramics Limited

RAM CHANDR A RAWAT Digitally signed by RAM CHANDRA RAWAT Date: 2023.10.26 17:41:23 +05'30'

R.C. Rawat COO (A&T) & Company Secretary

Encl.: As above

Kajaria Ceramics Limited

Corporate Office: )1/B1 (Extn.), Mohan Co- op Industrial Estate, Mathura Road, New Delhi ·110044, Ph.: +91-11-269464091 Fax: +91-11- 26946407 Regd Office: SF-ll, Second Floor, )MDRegent Plaza, Mehrauli Gurgaon Road, Village Sikanderpur Ghost, Gurgaon-122001, Haryana, Ph.: +91-0124-4081281 CINNo.: L26924HR198SPLCOS6150, E-mail: [email protected] IWeb.: www.kajariaceramics.com

"Kajaria Ceramics Limited Q2 FY2024 Earnings Conference Call"

October 20, 2023

ANALYST: MR. PRANAV MEHTA - EQUIRUS SECURITIES

Moderator: Ladies and gentlemen,
good day and welcome
to Q2 FY2024 Earnings
Conference
Call for
Kajaria Ceramics
Limited hosted by Equirus Securities.
As a reminder
all participant
lines
will be in the listen-only
mode and there will be an opportunity
for you to ask questions
after the presentation
concludes.
Should
you need
assistance
during
the conference
call
"*,, then "0" on your touchtone
please
signal an operator
by pressing
phone.
Please note
that the conference
is being
recorded.
Please
note
that certain
statements
made
by the
management
may be forward looking within the meaning of applicable
laws and regulation.
Actual result might differ substantially
from those expressed
or implied.
Kajaria Ceramics
Limited will not be in any way responsible
for any action taken based on such statement.
I
now hand the conference
over to Mr. Pranav Mehta. Thank you and over to you Sir!

Pranav Mehta: Good evening, everyone. Thank you for joining this call. Today we have with us the management of Kajaria Ceramics Limited. From the management side we have Mr. Ashok Kajaria, CMD; Mr. Rishi Kajaria, JMD; Mr. Chetan Kajaria, JMD; Mr. Sanjeev Agarwal, CFO; Mr. Nehal Shah, DVP Strategy and Mrs, Pallavi Bhalla, GM Investor Relations. Without wasting much time, I will hand over the call to Mr. Ashok Kajaria for his opening remarks after which we will open up the floor for questions and answers. Sir over to you.

Ashok Kajaria: Thank you Pranav. Good evening everyone. You have already made the introduction so I will not do that again. We must acknowledge the ongoing challenges in the domestic tile market as the demand continues to remain weak. In Q2 FY2024 our volume showed a modest year-to-year growth of 6.23% reaching 26.47 million square meters. The consolidated revenue for the quarter amounted to Rs.l122 Crores reflecting a 4% increase compared to the same period last year. Our EBITDA margin strengthened exceeding 16% a notable improvement from 12% in Q2 of FY2023 primarily due to reduction in fuel costs. While first half of 2024 witnessed weaker demand than anticipated we have observed a gradual uptake in volume since September. Furthermore we expect a favorable shift in the demand environment driven by the positive impact of the healthy growth in the real estate sector. This outlook augurs well for an improvement in volume growth in second half of FY2024.

We are pleased to announce a successful commissioning of the Sikandrabad and Gailpur modernization cum expansion projects. These projects hold great promise for our future growth. In August 2023 we commissioned 3 million square meters of GVT capacity in Sikandrabad followed by the expansion cum modernization of our ceramic tile capacity by 1.92 million square meters at Gailpur in September 2023. These newly operational facilities allow us to produce larger tiles while achieving energy efficiency due to advanced killns technology. The recent commissioning of these projects signifies a positive step forward for our growth trajectory.

On the export front India is becoming an inevitable production hub for global exports. Being the lowest cost producer in the world, India's exports grew 25% to approximately Rs.l6000 Crores in FY2023 which is likely to reach Rs.20000 Crores to Rs.21000 Crores in FY2024 as compared to Rs.l2750 Crores in FY2022. India exports accounted for 15% of the world's total tile exports. If the current trend of India's tile exports continues, India may aim towards becoming the world's largest tile exporter in volume terms by FY2025.

Now for this quarter's fmancial performance, In Q2FY24, the company achieved a 4% year-on-year increase in consolidated revenue from operations, reaching n,122 crores compared to n,078 crores in Q2FY23. Despite the challenging market conditions, the bathware segment performed well, registering a notable 15% increase in revenue during Q2FY24, reaching ~85 crores compared to ~74 crores in Q2FY23. The plywood revenue increased by 21 % during Q2FY24, to ~23 crores as compared to n 9 crores in Q2FY23. Revenue from the Adhesive grew by 35% to n3 crore in Q2FY24 as compared to no crore in Q2FY23. PAT for the year grew by 55% to n08 crore in Q2FY24 as compared to ~70 crore in Q2FY23. As of30th September 2023, the working capital days decreased to 53 days from 62 days as of 30th June 2023.

Looking forward, we remain steadfast in our commitment to our growth strategy. This strategy entails a continued emphasis on expanding our reach in smaller towns and introducing innovative products. We are confident that our strong foundation and unwavering commitment to excellence will sustain our success in the quarters to come. With this I take the opportunity of thanking you all for joining us today in spite of a busy schedule. Over to you Pranav!

Pranav Mehta: Thank you Sir! Operator we can open up the floor for questions and answers.

Moderator: Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session. Ladies and gentlemen we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. The first question is from the line of Rahul Agarwal from InCred Capital. Please go ahead.

Rahul Agarwal: Good evening Sir thank you for the opportunity. My first question essentially anything you would like to put as a revised guidance for tile volume growth and revenue growth and margins for this year?

Ashok Kajaria: See two things as I said earlier every quarter will be better than the earlier one and that is what we are talking about. Weare looking at a positive scenario for Q3 and Q4 should be better than Q3. As far as revenue guidance it is linked to the growth of volume and as far as margins are concerned we are keeping that at 14% to 16% but we will be at the upper end that much I can assure you because even if you see the 6% volume growth in this quarter

7% in the Q I we have been able to achieve this 16% margin. I think going forward it should be slightly better that is the way I look at it.

  • Rahul Agarwal: Got it Sir and secondly on the fuel pricing if you could help us with the 2Q average and outlook for second half of this year?
  • Ashok Kajaria: As far as the Q2 is concerned the total if you take all the plants it is about Rs.38 and going forward it will be more or less same plus or minus Rs.l because as you all know brent has slightly increased in the international market so it should be a plus or minus Rs.l like that but at the same time since we are using biofuel so we are confident that it will not go beyond it.
  • Rahul Agarwal: The regional breakdown ifit is possible for the North, South, and West?
  • Ashok Kajaria: Gas is RsAO in North, Rs.38 in South, West is Rs.33 and average is about Rs.38 for Q2.
  • Rahul Agarwal: Got it Sir and last question the savings from power and fuel I think it was expected to be about Rs.150 Crores for the full year how much was that in first half, is it equal like is it Rs.75 Crores?
  • Ashok Kajaria: No, it should be slightly better than that. I would say slightly better and part of it will be passed on to the trade as I said earlier.
  • Rahul Agarwal: Yes I am aware of that Sir so in terms of passing on to the trade but should be like Rs.80 Crores to Rs.85 Crores is it?
  • Ashok Kajaria: Approximately.
  • Rahul Agarwal: Thank you so much Sir. I will come back in the queue. All the best.
  • Moderator: Thank you. The next question is from the line of Sonali Salgaonkar from Jefferies. Please go ahead.
  • Sonali Salgaonkar: Sir thank you for the opportunity. My first question is regarding the capex any revision in the guidance for the capex or do we hold to our guidance of last quarter?
  • Ashok Kajaria: The capex guidance remains the same I think this year we should be spending close to about Rs.370 Crores in FY2023-FY2024 and going forward I think it should be about Rs.200 Crores to Rs.250 Crores every year for the next three years.

Sonali Salgaonkar: Understand.
Sir secondly
on the export
front you actually
gave a very good summary
of
how India is faring well as a low cost producer
so any any updates on the Q2 exports how
much have we grown and which are the new markets that we will be currently targeting?
Ashok Kajaria: You see total first six months exports are from India is about Rs.l 0000 Crores plus.
Sonali Salgaonkar: Got it Sir. Sir any relevant pricing actions in Q2 that we have seen in either tiles or sanitary
ware?
Ashok Kajaria: Any.
Sonali Salgaonkar: Any pricing action pricing price hike or reductions.
Ashok Kajaria: Prices
as I said earlier
also the prices
per se do not get reduced
but we pass on certain
benefits to the traders or the dealers to sell more basically that is what has been market.
Sonali Salgaonkar: Any relevant
pricing
actions
across your product
portfolio,
any segment
where you have
increased or probably rolled back the prices?
Ashok Kajaria: Right now there has been no price increase in any segment. No change as such.
Sonali Salgaonkar: Got it. Sir just one last question in your starting commentary
you said that demand is a bit
weak so if you could help us understand
where is this weakness
primarily
coming from, is
this urban driven or Tier-2 or Tier-3 rural driven?
Ashok Kajaria: See all of you have been saying that real estate has been good for the last two years which
we accept,
now what has happened
is first year as I said earlier they have sold their old
inventory what was there, second year the new construction
started. Our demand has started
coming
now
as I said September
has been better
than
last five months
and things
are
looking
positive.
First they use steel and cement
and all kinds
of things
for making
the
building cables and all that, now a time has come where they will be using the fmishing end
where the tiles, sanitary wear, ply and all kinds of things will come and paints and all that
all will come in so that is a scenario which is now emerging
and I think it should be better
from here.
Rishi Kajaria: Now we are seeing the demand coming in the real estate sector so going forward things are
going to be much better.
Sonali Salgaonkar: I understand.
Sir if I am correct your revised volume guidance was 11% to 13% is that right
for the full year?

Ashok Kajaria: No, we are not saying that. What we are saying is see QI we did the volume growth of7%, Q2 we did 6%. What we are honestly saying is with the market looking up Q3 will be definitely better than first and two and Q4 will be better than third so if you average it out I think it should be close to about 9% to 10%. I think that is what we should look at.

Sonali Salgaonkar: Understood Sir. Right that is all from my side. Thank you.

  • Moderator: Thank you. The next question is from the line of Shubham Aggarwal from Axis Capital. Please go ahead.
  • Shubham Aggarwal: Thank you for the opportunity. My questions have been answered thanks.
  • Moderator: Thank you. The next question IS from the line of Onkar Ghugardare from Shree Investments. Please go ahead.
  • Onkar Ghugardare: My question was regarding the volume growth earlier you targeted was around 15% to 20% at the start of the year so now you are revising it to 9% to 10% so any comments on that?
  • Ashok Kajaria: We never give a guidance of 15% to 20%. What we gave guidance was 13% to 15% in volume terms at our day conference when we did our annual results. You are also aware what is happening in the industry it is not that Kajaria has to do something which is beyond expectations, results have started coming from many multinationals, they all are saying that the markets have been very tough so are we. Looking at the current scenario, we have revised our target and have just shared it.
  • Onkar Ghugardare: So just now you shared that now things have started in for the tile sector as earlier the cable and wire sector or other sectors are doing well so how confident are you about this recovery which will be taking place as the results from other players have been very strong other players in the other relevant industries to real estate?
  • Ashok Kajaria: Don't give a general statement. Talks about a specific industry where the results have been good. We are also aware of what is happening.
  • Onkar Ghugardare: I am talking about infrastructure; I am talking about cables and wires.
  • Ashok Kajaria: As I said earlier cables and WIres are being used at the time of construction. Post construction tiles, sanitary ware, paints, and plywood, all these things come in. As far as ASTRAL is concerned you said they are also catering to agriculture sector and do not forget agriculture is doing very well in India. So do not mix that. See you should compare an apple to an apple I would say that.

Onkar Ghugardare: So I was asking about the same thing how confident
are you that since the allied industries
are doing?
Ashok Kajaria: What we are saying is in the consolidated
six months we had a volume growth over 6% to
7% and going forward
it will be better than that. Things
are looking
up now, things
are
looking better and next six months are going to be much better than the first six months.
Onkar Ghugardare: Alright. Thank you.
Moderator: Thank you. The next question
is from the line of Sneha Talreja from Nuvama.
Please go
ahead.
Sneha Talreja: Good evening
Sir and thanks a lot for the opportunity.
Just two questions
from my end that
is related
to your,
one is employee
cost we have seen sudden
increase
in employee
cost
jump, any specific one-off or will it be now the new run rate?
Ashok Kajaria: It is some provision
of increment
in the Q2.
Sneha Talreja: It is probably
this run rate basically
can continue for full year considering
these increments
will stay here?
Ashok Kajaria: Yes so the next quarter is going to be similar to Q2 slightly maybe very slightly higher than
Q I, you can take employee
cost in Q3 and Q4 what we have shown in Q2.
Sneha Talreja: Understood
Sir and secondly
I just wanted to understand
what has been the add spend for
first half as well as Q2?
Chetan Kajaria: So we spent roughly
Rs.l08
Crores
last year and we spent Rs.60 Crores
in the first six
months.
Our target is to increase
this and have a total spend of Rs.130 Crores to Rs.l40
Crores for the fmancial year ending 2023-2024.
Sneha Talreja: So the second half with volumes improving
there you will see aggressive
happening?
Ashok Kajaria: Correct.
Sneha Talreja: Understood.
Thanks a lot and all the very best to you.
Moderator: Thank you. The next question
is from the line of Dhananjay
Kumar Mishra
from Sunidhi
Securities.
Please go ahead.

  • Dhananjay Kumar M: Thanks for the opportunity. Just wanted to know we have done growth we have done in terms of volume 6% to 7% so from where this demand is coming, whether it is coming from replacement market up gradation or more coming from new builders so do you have any estimate of that and what kind of growth in both the segment is happening as of now?
  • Rishi Kajaria: As we said, the first six months was 6% to 7% and the next six months will better in terms of volume. And the growth is coming from everywhere in good proportion mainly from Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities where new houses are being built. Metros are more for renovation basically that is the overall scenario. Dealers are opening more showrooms and stores in Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities. So we are looking at a much higher volume growth from smaller towns.
  • Dhananjay Kumar M: Then incremental demand will coming once as you said that we are expecting good demand once the project will come in completion stage right?
  • Company Speaker: Right.
  • Dhananjay Kumar M: Thank you Sir.
  • Moderator: Thank you. The next question is from the line of Akash Shah from UTI Mutual Fund. Please go ahead.
  • Akash Shah: Good evening. Thank you very much for the opportunity. Ashok ji just wanted to ask so we are sort of increasing our footprint in international market like let us say Dubai and also we had set up a N to sell products in UK market so any sort of thoughts whether are we willing to ramp up our export sales or it would still remain small in the overall scheme of things?
  • Ashok Kajaria: See overall we are very, very strong in the domestic market. Export will always be a small percentage of our overall sale. By opening a showroom in Dubai and by opening a showroom in London we are trying to see how we can get some share of the export market and increase our export sales. It will be a slow and gradual process, but we are putting our effort to get some share of the market.
  • Akash Shah: Sure, and we will be selling product tiles in our own brand name, right?
  • Ashok Kajaria: Absolutely because Kajaria products are being sold in Dubai or London.
  • Akash Shah: Sure and just sorry I missed that part so we shared the gas cost region wise so what was the number for West and South?

Ashok Kajaria: West is 33 and South is 38 and north is 40 and average is 38.
Akash Shah: Sure thank you very much.
Moderator: Thank you. The next question is from the line of Amit from Elara Capital. Please go ahead.
Amit: Good evening.
Thank you for this opportunity,
Sir. Sir I was saying that I just wanted
to
know you have been talking
about getting
into smaller towns
aggressively
and you also
highlighted
Tier-2 and Tier-3 markets I just wanted to know if you could share what would
be the revenue
split like if possible
or the dealer
split like if possible,
for our existing
current dealers or our current revenue?
Ashok Kajaria: See currently metro is about 15% to 16%, Tier-l
what we call it is about 30%, Tier-2 would
be about 30% and Tier-3 will be the balance, Tier-4 will be hardly 2%.
Amit: So our expansion plan are we looking at Tier-4 or are we saying Tier-3 and Tier-4?
Ashok Kajaria: Tier-2 and Tier-3 will be the area where the major construction
is happening
and partly into
Tier-4 as we go.
Amit: In terms
of our distribution
current
mix what would
it will, it should be similar
to the
revenue mix right?
Ashok Kajaria: Yes it will be similar to the revenue mix.
Amit: Thank you Sir.
Moderator: Thank
you.
The
next
question
IS from
the
line
of Parv
from
Niveshaay
Investment
Advisory.
Please go ahead.
Parv: Sir can you please share the split of revenue between
tiles, bathware
and adhesive and their
respective
margins?
Company
Speaker:
For the last six months?
Parv: Yes.
Ashok Kajaria: Tiles is 90%, bathware is 7%, plywood and adhesives together is 2% to 3%.
Parv: The respective
margin?

Ashok Kajaria: So tiles is about 16% EBITDA,
bathware
is bout is 9% EBITDA
and plywood
is negative
margin.
Parv: How do we see the bathware
demand coming up you did give some good guidance on tiles?
Rishi Kajaria: So bathware
market for us first half grew about
16%, the next six months
are going to be
much, much better than the first six months
so we are looking at a blended
growth of 20%
plus for the entire year.
Parv: This is in the bath ware alone?
Rishi Kajaria: This is the bathware
segment yes bathware
and sanitary are combined.
Parv: All combined we will see a volume growth of 9% to 10% right?
Rishi Kajaria: No, tiles we are talking about 9% to 10%, for bathware we are talking about 20% plus value
growth.
Parv: Can you please share the dealer numbers as on September
30, 2023?
Ashok Kajaria: For?
Parv: Number of dealers you had guided 150 additions this year are we on track on that?
Ashok Kajaria: We are very much.
Right now, the current
no of dealers
is about
1950. We started with
1840 current status is 1950.
Parv: Majority are in T2 and T3 cities?
Ashok Kajaria: No they are in metro and all over India. How can they only be in Tier-2 and Tier-3.
Parv: Sorry I missed?
Ashok Kajaria: They are all over India. Kajaria is sitting all over India metro,
Tier-l , Tier -2, Tier-3 and
partly Tier-4. The addition will also be all over but out of 110 dealers which we have added
you can say about 35 are exclusive Kajaria.
Parv: Thank you Sir.
Moderator: Thank you. The next question
is from the line of Lavanya
Tottala
from UBS. Please go
ahead.

Lavanya Tottala: Sir thank you for the opportunity. Most of my questions are answered. Just wanted to check on other expenses even other expenses saw a spike in this quarter so anything one off or with higher outsourced it is at a higher rate?

Ashok Kajaria: We cannot hear you properly. It is mainly because of advertisement expenses.

Lavanya Tottala: So it will be higher for the next half also with increased?

Ashok Kajaria: It will be similar to what we have shown in Q2. There will not be the same increase in Q3 what we have shown between Q I and Q2.

Lavanya Tottala: Got it. Thank you Sir.

Moderator: Thank you. The next question is from the line of Ronald Siyoni from Sharekhan. Please go ahead.

  • Ronald Siyoni: Good afternoon Sir. Sir I just wanted a perspective on the Indian tile exports market so as you said that India is poised to become the largest tile exporter by FY2025 so is it that only the lower gas prices compared to globally is what domestic exporters are getting benefits of or are there any other benefits compared to other Southeast Asian countries I mean to say during COVID and after just before the COVID the global gas prices were much higher so versus what are the pros and cons with respect to this cost versus the Southeast Asia exporters?
  • Ashok Kajaria: See gas prices what they are today are also there internationally. Indian manufacturers are paying whatever are international prices. Last year if I take you back in the calendar year 2022 gas prices Europe were 8X and lOx and India was about 1.5x and 2x but right now everywhere is the prices have come down more or less 2X or IX. India per share has become very competitive and the credit goes to Morbi because there are almost 600 manufacturer there and out of that you can see about 120 are focusing mainly on exports because we are a very competitive producer as a country so that is why our exports are picking up and looking forward I think we have a feeling that it should go further up as the time passes.
  • Ronald Siyoni: So this is a very sustainable trend that exports would continue because the gas prices are comparable?
  • Ashok Kajaria: Exactly.
  • Ronald Siyoni: Thank you very much Sir.

Moderator: Thank you. The next question
is from the line of Nikhil Agarwal
from VT Capital.
Please
go ahead.
Nikhil Agarwal: Good evening Sir and thank you for the opportunity.
I had a couple of years of questions.
In
Q2 your realization
for subsidiaries
has gone up and outsourcing
has gone down
quite
significantly
so any reason behind that?
Pallavi Bhalla: Nikhil there is some mistake from our end. Revenue from one of the subsidiaries
got added
in the outsourcing
revenue.
Now we have corrected
the number
and going forward
this is
going to be the trend.
Nikhil Agarwal: So the Q2 numbers that are reported those are correct right?
Pallavi Bhalla: Yes so every number in this earning release is corrected and now this going to be the trend.
Ashok Kajaria: We have regrouped
the number for the previous quarter to make it comparable
with the Q2.
Nikhil Agarwal: Got it and one more question
it was like on the gas cost, gas cost as a percentage
of the
topline
and as a percentage
of operating
expenses
they have increased
quarter-an-quarter
while you said that your average cost was 38 in Ql it was 39 if I am not wrong so like what
could be the possible reason?
Pallavi Bhalla: No, so it has gone up slightly because of the slight increase in the power cost. In one of our
units in Rajasthan
there are some changes
in the duty, and it has increased
the power cost
slightly and gas cost is more or less same.
Ashok Kajaria: So if you look at production
as well the capacity utilization
in Q2 is higher than Q I so that
is the reason the power cost has also gone up quarter-an-quarter.
Nikhil Agarwal: Got it. Your capacity utilization
in Q2 would be around 95% plus if I am not wrong?
Ashok Kajaria: Yes.
Nikhil Agarwal: Got it. That is it from me. Thank you so much.
Moderator: Thank
you. The next question
is from the line of Mohit
Agrawal
from IIFL Securities.
Please go ahead.
Mohit Agrawal: Thanks
for the opportunity.
Sir just one question
can you quantify
the volume
growth for
the month of September
and if possible could you give some color on October
15 days also
the demand side?

Chetan
Kajaria:
September
was roughly about 9% and from October things should be a little better.
Mohit Agrawal: Should be little better. Thank you Sir.
Moderator: Thank you. The next question is from the line of Jenish Karia from Antique
Stock Broking.
Please go ahead.
Jenish Karia: So last year
we were
saying
that
Morbi
would
take
annual
shutdown
so IS there
any
shutdown planned during the Q3 from Morbi?
Rishi Kajaria: We would not know. You should ask somebody
in Morbi we would not know that.
Jenish Karia: I thought you might be aware because we have N
s no problem.
Ashok Kajaria: Our JV's have not taken any shutdown.
Last year also when they had shutdown,
we did not
take any shutdown.
Jenish Karia: Sure Sir that helps. Secondly
Sir if you could just reiterate the capex guidance
for FY2024
and where would we be spending it in the second half?
Ashok Kajaria: So we spent roughly
Rs.51 Crores in the Gailpur modernization,
SKD was Rs.IOO Crores
plus, the Nepal project is Rs.91 Crores and Kerovit Global is roughly Rs.80 Crores and our
corporate
office will be around Rs.50 Crores and Rs.26 Crores is the capex maintenance
and miscellaneous
will be another RS.25 Crores that is Rs.370 Crores for this financial year.
Jenish Karia: Next year will be Rs.200 Crores to Rs.250 Crores each?
Ashok Kajaria: Yes correct. The next three years should be around.
Company
Speaker:
There is no major expansion plan as of now for next year.
Jenish Karia: That is all from mine. All the best for the future. Thank you.
Moderator: Thank you. The next question
is from the line of Ritesh
Shah from Investec.
Please
go
ahead.
Ritesh Shah: Thanks for the opportunity.
Sir my first question is on this data pertaining
to ceramic world
review what it surprisingly
indicates
is that India production
and consumption
actually
in
volumetric
terms declined
for CY2024
any thoughts
over here that you would like to share
is there something that one should read across?

  • Ashok Kajaria: No, you are correct what ceramic world review says but it is actually for the calendar year and when you look at the financial year because in India we do it financial year and that is where we have updated the export data also as per the Ministry of Commerce and if you look at the financial year we have been flat on domestic volumes and exports have grown from Rs.l2500 Crores to Rs.l6000 Crores. Overall industry has been very tough last year for calendar year 2022 if you can see the ceramic world review data worldwide it has degrown by 9.6% because the fuel prices went up in certain parts of the world 8X, lOX and 2X depending on where you are so that was a reason but I think everything has come back to X or maybe maximum of 1.5X so that is the scenario. So the industry overall one should also do better.
  • Ritesh Shah: Right Sir sorry just to dig into it basically it indicates 15% decline even if it is CY how should one believe this number, is it something realistic?
  • Ashok Kajaria: Whatever they have given we cannot argue on that but after seeing that data when we went to the fair in September we consulted all the Morbi people also they also felt that the industry has not degrown in spite of a shutdown last year. Please note that they have shut down one month and some of the units have, some of the units have not they felt that per se the production has been flat you can say that and some of the production has been diverted to exports. Part of the production for domestic was flat exports have grown up, so some of that production went to exports.
  • Company Speaker: Market share from Morbi.
  • Ritesh Shah: That is helpful. Sir second is we have given our volume guidance but given we have bunching up of festivities this time of the year, we have Diwali and Chhath Puja altogether so do you hear or do you worry about concerns around labor availability which can actually put a concern on volume growth and given there are multiple state level elections are there any historical trends from which basically has labor availability been a problem or is it okay life goes on?
  • Ashok Kajaria: If I take you back for the first five months except for the month of July where there was excessive rainfall in North there were no major holidays still we could not do volume growth what we like to do but as you know in last six months of the year if you take it historically for the last 10 years at least the growth has always been better. Whatever you plan happens so holiday will always come, Diwali will always come either in October and November and Chhath will be there all that. Elections per se are beneficial. Whenever local elections are there or national elections are there there is more work in the system. They try to clear more projects so that work can take place so basically it is positive, positive and positive.

Ritesh Shah: Sure and lastly if you could give some comments
on the pricing
and discounting
trends
what we saw in Q2 and how do you see that in Q3?
Ashok Kajaria: Whatever
has happened
has happened
in Q2 because the gas prices were like that. Slightly
gas prices have went up by Rs.S on September
1,2023,
August 21,2023
and September
1,
2023 in Morbi but if you look at that nothing
much should happen
in Q3. Nothing
much
should happen as far as the pricing is concerned.
Weare
not looking at any changes.
Ritesh Shah: Sure this is helpful. Thank you so much. All the very best Sir.
Moderator: Thank
you. The next question
is from the line of Akash
Shah from UTI Mutual
Fund.
Please go ahead.
Akash Shah: Thank you very much for followup
opportunity.
Sir we have recently
seen that in plywood
the company
would
be able to give a bit higher
loan to the subsidiary
so any sort of
threshold
limit that we have the broad amount that we will invest in plywood business?
Ashok Kajaria: Last year we did Rs.77 Crores turnover in plywood this year we are looking at 100 plus and
the loan limit we have not fixed that till now. We look at a positive
future going forward
and this also should come down as we go ahead so we take it as it comes basically.
Akash Shah: Sure Sir so as of now the plan is to invest in this business as we see huge opportunity
in this
business?
Chetan Kajaria: Yes because the plywood
industry size is Rs.27S00 Crores in the country, organized
is only
Rs.7000
Crores, unorganized
Rs.20S00 Crores and the GST coming in we see a lot of shift
from the unorganized
to the organized
peers. It is a big size industry and we are hopeful of
gaining some market share as we keep on moving forward.
Akash Shah: Right sure Sir. Thank you very much Sir.
Moderator: Thank
you.
The
next
question
from
the
line
of
Onkar
Ghugardare
from
Shree
IS
Investments.
Please go ahead.
Onkar
Ghugardare:
I just wanted to know what is the capacity utilization
currently you are working at?
Ashok Kajaria: Capacity utilization
in the Q2 is 98%.
Onkar
Ghugardare:
You said 98% right?
Ashok Kajaria: 98%.

Onkar
Ghugardare:
Thank you very much.
Moderator: Thank you. The next question
is from the line of Allvallavhi
Rumgta
from Robo Capital.
Please go ahead.
Allvallavhi
Rumgta:
Sir my question
relates to the gas so when can we expect the impact of natural
gas to be
corrected?
Ashok
Kajaria:
Natural gas is linked to Brent and we are all aware Brent prices have gone up recently it has
touched
as high as \$97. The prices of gas for us in North would have been much higher but
fortunately
since we are using biofuel we are safe by that so that is what we said the current
price of the Q2 was Rs.38 average. For Q3 we are looking at almost the same scenario plus
Rs.l
max because
otherwise
it could have been much much higher so that is a scenario
so
that is where we are right now.
Allvallavhi
Rumgta:
That was very helpful.
Moderator: Thank you. The next question is from the line of Udit Gajiwala from Yes Securities.
Please
go ahead.
Udit Gajiwala: Sir just one question
earlier you had mentioned
that there are no new capacities
coming up
in Morbi but off late we are seeing some signs of fresh investments
coming
in over there
from the smaller
unorganized
players
so do we see this as the hindrance
or you would
attribute the same for the export growth?
Ashok
Kajaria:
No, our information
also say that almost 25 to 30 plants are coming in Morbi but mainly
they will be for exports. You are absolutely
correct there are 25 to 30 plants coming good
size plants are coming
I was told and mainly
for exports
because
export market
is really
picking up so they have they want a bigger share and better share of that pie.
Udit Gajiwala: Got it. Thank you Sir. Thank you so and all the best.
Moderator: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen
that was the last question
for today.
I will now like to
hand the conference
over to Mr. Ashok Kajaria for closing comments.
Please go ahead Sir.
Ashok
Kajaria:
Thank
you very much
for all the people
who have joined
us today
and spending
their
available
time. I hope we been able to answer few of the questions
that they have put to us
and any further questions
can be sent to our team of Sanjeev, Nehal and Pallavi
for more
answers. Thank you very much for joining us today. Thank you.

Moderator: Thank you. On behalf of Equirus Securities that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.