Investor Presentation • May 14, 2020
Investor Presentation
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J O S T W E R K E A G – M A Y 1 4 , 2 0 2 0
THIS PRESENTATION IS CONFIDENTIAL AND MUST NOT BE RELEASED, PUBLISHED, TRANSMITTED OR DISTRIBUTED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY, INTO OR WITHIN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, CANADA, AUSTRALIA, JAPAN OR ANY JURISDICTION WHERE SUCH DISTRIBUTION IS UNLAWFUL.
This presentation (the "Presentation") was specifically prepared by JOST Werke AG (the "Company") for informational purposes only. It is intended to provide a general overview of the Company's business and does not purport to include all aspects and details regarding the Company. This Presentation must not be reproduced in any form, passed on or otherwise made available, directly or indirectly, to any other person, or published or otherwise disclosed, in whole or in part, for any purpose, without prior written consent by the Company. Neither the Company nor any of its directors, officers, employees or advisors, nor any other person makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, and accordingly no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Presentation or of the views given or implied. Neither the Company nor any of its respective directors, officers, employees or advisors nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever for any errors or omissions or any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this information or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
This Presentation is neither an advertisement nor a prospectus and does not, and is not intended to, constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell, or a solicitation, invitation or inducement to purchase, subscribe for, underwrite or otherwise acquire any securities of the Company, nor should it, or any part of it, form the basis of or be relied on in connection with or act as any inducement to enter into any contract to purchase or subscribe for any securities of the Company, nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. This Presentation and the information and opinions contained therein are selective in nature and do not purport to contain all information that may be required to evaluate the Company and/or its shares. The information and opinions contained in this Presentation are provided as of the date of this Presentation and may be subject to updating, revision, amendment or change without notice. Neither the Company nor any of its directors, officers, employees or advisors are under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this Presentation or to correct any inaccuracies in any such information which may become apparent or to provide any additional information whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
This Presentation contains forward-looking statements relating to matters that are not historical facts. These statements reflect the Company's current knowledge, intentions and beliefs as well as its current expectations and projections about future events, including the Company's prospects, growth, strategies, the industry in which it operates and potential or ongoing acquisitions. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the context of such statements or words such as "anticipate," "believe", "estimate", "expect", "forecast", "intend", "plan", "project", "target", "may", "will", "would", "could" or "should" or similar terminology. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions, many of which are beyond the Company's control, that could cause the Company's actual results and performance to differ materially from and adversely affect any expected future results or performance expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements as a result of various factors (including global economic conditions, changed market conditions, competition, costs of compliance, changing political, legal, economic and other conditions). Forward-looking statements should not therefore be read as guarantees of future performance or results and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. Similarly, past performance should not be taken as an indication of future results, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made regarding future performance. In addition, even if the development of the Company's prospects, growth, strategies and the industry in which it operates are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation or past performance, those developments may not be indicative of the Company's results, liquidity or financial position or of results or developments in subsequent periods not covered by this Presentation. The Company undertakes no obligation to release the results of any revisions to any forward-looking statements in this Presentation that may occur due to any change in its expectations or to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this Presentation. To the extent available, the industry and market data contained in this Presentation is derived from third-party sources. Third-party industry publications, studies and surveys generally state that the data contained therein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but that there is no guarantee of the accuracy or completeness of such data. In addition, certain information in this Presentation is selective and may not necessarily be representative for the Company. Further, some of the industry and market data contained in this Presentation is derived from the Company's own internal research and estimates based on the knowledge and experience of the Company's management in the market in which the Company operates. While the Company believes that such research and estimates are reasonable and reliable, they, and their underlying methodology and assumptions, have not been verified by any independent source for accuracy or completeness and are subject to change without notice. Accordingly, no reliance should be placed on the industry or market data contained in this Presentation.
Subject to limited exceptions described below, the information contained in this Presentation is not to be released, published, transmitted or distributed within or into the United States of America ("United States"), Australia, Canada or Japan and does not constitute an offer of securities for sale in any of these jurisdictions. Any securities offered by the Company have not been, and will not be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"), or the securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States and such securities may not be offered or sold within the United States, except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and applicable state or local securities laws. This Presentation does not contain or constitute an offer of, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or subscribe for, securities to any person or in any jurisdiction to whom or in which such offer or solicitation is unlawful. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws.
| • Ålö acquisition closed on January 31 with very solid long-term financing conditions. |
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| M&A | • Ålö contributed positively to JOST's business development in February and March. |
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| • Post merger integration on track. |
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| • Q1 2020 was strongly affected by the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic in China and its global spread across the world. Group sales including Ålö decreased by -3.8% to €192m |
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| SALES | • Sales in Europe were down by only -0.5% to €123m. North America sales grew by +11.3% to €45m while sales in APA declined by -32.6% to €24m due to the 8 weeks total shutdown of our production plant in Wuhan, China. |
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| OPERATING RESULT |
• Despite the drop in sales and the severe negative impacts of the pandemic our business, we were able to reach an adj. EBIT margin of 7.4% |
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| • Adjusted EBIT decreased to €14m and was impacted by the abrupt shutdown in China and higher logistic costs due to disruptions in the supply chain. The sharp decline in first-fit business due to OEM plant shutdowns in Europe had also a negative impact. |
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| CASH FLOW | • Free cash flow increased by €19m to €18m (Q1 2019: €-1m) mostly due to improvements in working capital. • Net Working Capital as % of LTM sales improved by 1.7pp to 20.0% (Q1 2019: 21.7%) |
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| NET EARNINGS | • Earnings after taxes was also burdened by non-cash effect in the financial result. The lower operating earnings resulting from the pandemic combined with higher financial expenses caused adjusted net earnings to fall to €5.4m (Q1 2019: €16.1m). • In view of the strong negative impact of the coronavirus pandemic to our business, the Management Board will propose to the AGM that no dividend be paid in 2020 in order to conserve liquidity. |
| PURCHASE PRICE ALLOCATION | in m€ |
|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 137.8 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 25.5 |
| Inventories | 49.3 |
| Trade receivables | 26.7 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 12.3 |
| Trade payables | -23.1 |
| Loans and borrowings | -98.9 |
| Other assets and liabilities | -50.0 |
| Identified net assets | 79.5 |
| Goodwill | 79.7 |
| Total assets acquired | 159.2 |
1 ROCE=LTM adj. EBIT / interest-bearing capital employed (interest-bearing capital: equity + financial liabilities [excl. refinancing costs] – liquid assets + provisions for pensions)
2 Net debt = Interest-bearing capital (excl. refinancing costs) – liquid assets
3 Leverage = Net debt/LTM adj. EBITDA [LTM EBITDA Q1 2020 = € 113m; LTM EBITDA FY 2019 = € 101m]
1Cash flow defined as adjusted EBITDA – capex; cash conversion defined as (adjusted EBITDA – capex)/adjusted EBITDA 2Capex calculated as payments to acquire property, plant and equipment as well as intangible assets
TRUCK
TRAILER
TRACTORS
Expected market contraction has worsened due to pandemic
Stronger decline than originally anticipated, following a weak 2019
(55) – (50)% (25) – (20)%
Very strong decline of demand for new trucks expected
$$
(25) - (20) \% \ \ \begin{matrix} \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \
$$
The pandemic is expected to have a major negative impact on demand
New-build rates affected by the pandemic, but not as strongly as in other regions
Stronger decline than originally anticipated due to the pandemic
Tractor market is expected to be more resilient than the truck and trailer markets
Demand for agricultural tractors is contracting less than demand for trucks and trailers
Note: Market estimates for heavy truck based on LMC, Clear Consulting and FTR and OEMs announcements (as of April 2020)
JOST current observations – situation is extremely dynamic and changes rapidly
| EUROPE | NORTH AMERICA | APA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TRUCK | All European truck OEMs with shut downs in April have restarted their production again. Volumes are still ramping up. |
Most truck OEMs report massive declines in order intake and full stocks of finished vehicles. Aftermarket business |
After shutdown, Wuhan plant restarted again with high volumes. Chinese truck market is expected to have a strong Q2. Visibility for H2 is still limited. |
| JOST is flexible in adjusting capacity as needed by short-time work and complementary shift models in its production plants. |
remains robust. JOST is reducing production volumes accordingly. |
India, South Africa and Brazil have recommenced at low volumes. |
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| Most trailer builders operate on low volume or are in short-time work. The order book of trailer builders is shrinking. JOST will adjust capacity as needed. |
North American trailer market is also heavily declining. Order intake is shrinking and trailer builders and dealers have full stocks. JOST is adjusting capacity accordingly. |
After shutdown, Wuhan plant restarted again. Trailer market is slowly picking up. |
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| TRAILER | India, South Africa and Brazil have recommenced at low volumes |
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| Ålö and Rockinger Agricultural plants |
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| TRACTORS | reduced capacity slightly using short time work during April. Operations are now back to normal. Agricultural segment so far showing only a slight |
Slight decline in order intake foreseen. All OEM factories are still operating. In general agricultural business appears robust. |
Ålö production plant in Ningbo, China, was affected by a short shutdown in February, but is again back to normal operations. |
| decline in Europe. However, shutdown periods of tractor OEMs, especially in the Nordic countries, are expected. |
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Q1 2020 was strongly affected by the spread of the coronavirus pandemic in China. Especially APA but also Europe and to some extend North America were negatively impacted.
Ålö's business performance in February and March had a positive effect on our operating result as the agricultural business was less affected by the pandemic.
Aftermarket also had a positive impact on the group performance, proving once again to be more resilient than first-fit business in economic downturns
JOST will use all instruments available to reduce the impact of the pandemic to its business. Costs and cash focus further enhanced.
Currently, we are expecting an economic recovery from the third quarter onward. Business in China has stabilized during Q2 and is showing positive signs.
Further information
Earnings in Q1 2020 were strongly impacted by the negative effects of the coronavirus pandemic, especially in China.
| ISIN | DE000JST4000 |
|---|---|
| Trading symbol | JST |
| German Sec. Code Number (WKN) | JST400 |
| Shares in issue | 14,900,000 |
| Index | SDAX |
| Listed since | July 20, 2017 |
1According to German stock exchange definition 100% of shares qualify as free float
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