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JOST Werke AG Call Transcript 2017

Nov 27, 2017

237_ip_2017-11-27_e25f0c36-4690-4dd5-a51e-ad58f6e54557.pdf

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9M 2017 Results – Conference Call

Lars Brorsen (CEO) Christoph Hobo (CFO)

November 27, 2017

Disclaimer

THIS FINANCIAL REPORT IS BEING PROVIDED TO YOU SOLELY FOR YOUR INFORMATION. THIS FINANCIAL REPORT, WHICH HAS BEEN PREPARED BY JOST WERKE AG (THE "COMPANY"), SHOULD NOT BE TREATED AS GIVING INVESTMENT ADVICE AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED IN ANY FORM, PASSED ON OR OTHERWISE MADE AVAILABLE, DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY, TO ANY OTHER PERSON, OR PUBLISHED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, FOR ANY PURPOSE. IN PARTICULAR, THIS FINANCIAL REPORT MUST NOT BE RELEASED, PUBLISHED OR DISTRIBUTED IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (THE "UNITED STATES"), AUSTRALIA, CANADA, JAPAN OR ANY OTHER JURISDICTION WHERE SUCH DISTRIBUTION IS UNLAWFUL. ANY FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THESE RESTRICTIONS MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS.

For the purposes of this notice, "report" means this document, its contents or any part of it. This report does not, and is not intended to, constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to purchase, subscribe for or otherwise acquire, any securities of the Company, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with or act as any inducement to enter into any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever.

This report is neither an advertisement nor a prospectus and should not be relied upon in making any investment decision to purchase, subscribe for or otherwise acquire any securities. The information and opinions contained in this report are provided as at the date of this report and may be subject to updating, revision, amendment or change without notice. This report is selective in nature and does not purport to contain all information that may be required to evaluate the Company and/or its shares. Neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this report or to correct any inaccuracies in any such information which may become apparent or to provide you with any additional information. No reliance may or should be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information contained in this report, or any other information discussed verbally, or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness.

Certain information in this report is based on management estimates. Such estimates have been made in good faith and represent the current beliefs of applicable members of management. Those management members believe that such estimates are founded on reasonable grounds. However, by their nature, estimates may not be correct or complete. Accordingly, no representation or warranty (express or implied) is given that such estimates are correct or complete. Where this report quotes any information or statistics from any external source, it should not be interpreted that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate. This report contains forward-looking statements. These statements reflect the Company's current knowledge and its expectations and projections about future events and may be identified by the context of such statements or words such as "anticipate," "believe", "estimate", "expect", "intend", "plan", "project", "target", "may", "will", "would", "could" or "should" or similar terminology. Forwardlooking statements include all matters that are not historical facts. They appear in a number of places throughout this report and include statements regarding the Company's intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company's prospects, growth, strategies, the industry in which it operates and potential or ongoing acquisitions. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the Company's control that could cause the Company's actual results and performance to differ materially from any expected future results or performance expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. Similarly, past performance should not be taken as an indication of future results, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made regarding future performance. The development of the Company's prospects, growth, strategies, the industry in which it operates, and the effect of acquisitions on the Company may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forwardlooking statements contained in this report or past performance. In addition, even if the development of the Company's prospects, growth, strategies and the industry in which it operates are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this report or past performance, those developments may not be indicative of the Company's results, liquidity or financial position or of results or developments in subsequent periods not covered by this report. Any forward-looking statements only speak as at the date of this report is provided to the recipient and it is up to the recipient to make its own assessment of the validity of any forward-looking statements and assumptions. The Company undertakes no obligation publicly to release the results of any revisions to any forward-looking statements in this report that may occur due to any change in its expectations or to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this report.

To the extent available, the industry and market data contained in this report has come from third party sources. Third party industry publications, studies and surveys generally state that the data contained therein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but that there is no guarantee of the accuracy or completeness of such data. In addition, certain information in this report are selective and may not necessarily be representative for the Company. Further, certain of the industry and market data contained in this report come from the Company's own internal research and estimates based on the knowledge and experience of the Company's management in the market in which the Company operates. While the Company believes that such research and estimates are reasonable and reliable, they, and their underlying methodology and assumptions, have not been verified by any independent source for accuracy or completeness and are subject to change without notice. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry or market data contained in this report.

1. Highlights 9M 2017

  • 2. Market outlook
  • 3. Detailed results review
  • 4. Company outlook

5. Q&A

Appendix

JOST – leading global supplier of safety critical truck and trailer solutions

JOST has ~55% market share globally in products representing 64% of sales8

1CAGR assuming MBTAS reflected in 2014 sales, 2Excluding PPA D&A and exceptional items, including pro rata net income from Brazil JV, 3Cash flow (CF) defined as adjusted EBITDA – capex; cash conversion defined as (adjusted EBITDA – capex)/adjusted EBITDA, 4 Sales by region including consolidation effects, 5 Sales by region represent global sales of JOST's branded products including 100% of Brazil JV, which had sales of €29m in 2016, 6 Includes aftermarket and trading, 7 Including other, 8 Fifth wheel: JOST 54%, Other 46%; Landing gear: JOST 56%, Other 44%

Highlights 9M 2017

Listing on Frankfurt stock exchange

  • 4.875m new shares issued
  • Placement price €27.00
  • €132m raised from capital increase
  • +41% share price increase by end of Q3 2017

Sales +10% to €533m

Adj. EBIT +24% to €64m

Adj. net income +76% to €41m

Equity ratio 32%

Attractive new financing

  • €180m term loan raised, maturing in 2022
  • Significantly reduced leverage and interest expenses

Outlook 2017 raised

High single-digit sales growth rate Moderate double-digit adj. EBIT growth rate

Agenda
-------- --
1. Highlights 9M 2017
-- -----------------------

2. Market outlook

3. Detailed results review

4. Company outlook

5. Q&A

Appendix

Note: JOST estimates based on Berger, LMC, Clear, FTR

Agenda
-------- --
1. Highlights 9M 2017
2. Market outlook
3. Detailed results review
4. Company outlook
5. Q&A
Appendix
  • Growth driven by high activity level in APA and recovering truck market in North America
  • Seasonal effect in Q3 not as pronounced as in previous year
  • Adj. EBIT grew by 24% resulting in margin expanding to 12% in 9M 2017
  • Main reasons: completed integration of axle business, efficiency improvements, favorable mix effects and operating leverage benefits

¹ Reported sales figures do not include sales of Brazil JV

Group's sales and adjusted EBIT by quarter

Sales (€m)

Typical seasonality has not been as pronounced in Q3 2017 as in previous years

  • Steady sales growth on an elevated level
  • Typical seasonal Q3 slow-down from vacation period not as pronounced as in previous year

  • 14% adj. EBIT growth in 9M resulting in margin expanding to 10.6%

  • The completed integration of the axle business and general efficiency gains were main drivers for margin improvement

  • Sales grew by 6% in 9M driven by rapidly recovering truck market

  • Trailer market remained stable on an elevated basis

  • 9M adj. EBIT grew by 17% with margins improving by 110bp to 10.7% due to higher efficiencies from automation

  • Q3 2017 adj. EBIT impacted by increasing raw material prices

  • Stronger than anticipated sales growth in Q3, offsetting the usual seasonal slowdown

  • High demand in China continued
  • Sales in other markets in the region also grew stronger than expected
  • 51% adj. EBIT growth in 9M resulting in margin expanding to 15.8%
  • Improvements due to favourable product mix as well as the resulting operating leverage combined with continuous efficiency gains

Reconciliation of adjusted earnings 9M 2017

Key highlights

  • Adjustments to EBIT mainly from D&A of PPA
  • Further adjustments from costs associated with the stock listing

  • For comparability the adjusted net income excludes shareholder loan (SHL) effects on net finance result and income taxes

  • Shareholder loan fully converted prior to stock listing on July 20th

1 Cash flow defined as adjusted EBITDA – capex; cash conversion defined as (adjusted EBITDA – capex)/adjusted EBITDA 2 Capex calculated as payments to acquire property, plant and equipment as well as intangible assets

Balance sheet strengthened

ROCE1 increase by 1.7%-points to 19.7%

1 ROCE=LTM adj. EBIT / interest bearing capital employed (interest bearing capital: equity + financial liabilities – cash + provisions for pensions) 2 Other: Cinven, current and former members of the Management and Supervisory Board, other

Agenda
-------- --
1. Highlights 9M 2017
----------------------- --

2. Market outlook

3. Detailed results review

4. Company outlook

5. Q&A

Appendix

Future business developments in Q4 2017

  • Relocation of trailer parts production from Shanghai to existing plant in Wuhan
  • Shanghai will continue to serve as sales and administration hub
  • Relocation started beginning of Q4 2017 Due to asset light business and expertise in truck parts closer will help offset cost increases in blue collar labor, and counter sharply rising production footprint Quick implementation of machines transfer due to asset light business model and expertise in relocating production units
  • trailer parts is expected to recommence in Expected synergies will help:
  • December 2017 offset cost increases in blue collar labor
  • counter rising production footprint costs in the Shanghai area
  • maintain margin levels
  • Capex plans of approx. 2.5% of sales remain unchanged
FY 2016
(€m)
2016
(% of sales)
Outlook 2017
(old)
Outlook 2017
(new)
Sales 634 Mid
single digit
growth
High
single digit
growth
Adjusted
EBIT
(%
margin)
62 9.8% High single digit
growth
Moderate double
digit
growth
Capex1
(%
of
sales)
18 2.9% 2.0 –
2.5% of sales
2.0 –
2.5% of sales
Net
working
capital
(%
of
sales)
123 19.4% <20% <20%
Leverage 3.5x ~
1.5x
< 1.5x

1 Capex calculated as payments to acquire property, plant and equipment as well as intangible assets

2018
March
22
May
4
22
Publication Annual
of General
2017 Publication of
Annual Meeting
Results Q1 2018 Results
August November
27 22
Publication Publication
of of
H1 9M
2018 2018
Results Results
1. Highlights 9M 2017
2. Market outlook
3. Detailed results review
4. Company outlook
5. Q&A
Appendix

Organic sales development

Profit & loss statement adjusted for exceptionals, PPA and shareholder loan effects

(€m) 9M 2016 9M 2017 %
Sales 487.0 533.3 10%
Cost of sales (355.6) (384.9) 8%
Gross profit 131.4 148.4 13%
Selling expenses adj. for PPA (42.1) (44.3) 5%
R&D expenses (7.8) (7.7) -1%
Administrative expenses (33.8) (37.7) 12%
Other income / expenses 0.4 (0.2)
Share of JV profit 1.0 1.6 69%
Exceptionals 2.4 3.7 53%
Adj. EBIT 51.5 63.8 24%
%
ofsales
10.6% 12.0%
Adj. Net finance result (18.2) (10.5) -43%
Adj. Profit before tax 33.3 53.3 60%
Adj. Income taxes (10.3) (12.8) 25%
Adj. Consolidated net income 23.0 40.5 76%

Profit & loss statement

(€m) 9M 2016 9M 2017
Sales 487.0 533.3
Cost of sales (355.6) (384.9)
Gross profit 131.4 148.4
Selling expenses (61.0) (63.2)
R&D expenses (7.8) (7.7)
Administrative expenses (33.8) (37.7)
Other income / expenses 0.4 (0.2)
Share
of JV profit
1.0 1.6
EBIT 30.2 41.2
Net finance result (28.5) (144.4)
Profit before tax 1.7 (103.2)
Income taxes (9.6) 27.6
Consolidated net income (7.9) (75.6)

Balance sheet as at September 30, 2017

Assets (m€) 31 Dec 2016 30 Sep 2017
Noncurrent assets 365.9 337.2
Intangible assets 261.5 238.2
Property, plant, and equipment 80.1 74.8
Investments accounted for using
the equity method
13.8 12.9
Deferred tax assets 10.3 11.2
Other noncurrent financial assets 0 0
Other noncurrent assets 0 0
Current assets 238.5 273.3
Inventories 90.4 91.5
Trade receivables 90.1 113.8
Receivables from income taxes 3.5 3.3
Other current financial assets 1.1 1.5
Other current assets 6.3 6.8
Cash and cash equivalents 47.2 56.4
Total assets 604.4 610.5
Equity and liabilities (m€) 31 Dec 2016 30 Sep 2017
Equity (137.4) 195.1
Subscribed capital 0 14.9
Capital reserves 79.7 542.0
Other reserves (22.5) -31.0
Retained earnings (194.6) -330.8
Noncurrent liabilities 641.4 304.0
Liabilities to shareholders 132.5 0
Pension obligations 60.7 57.8
Other provisions 3.0 2.8
Interest-bearing loans and
borrowings
314.0 177.8
Deferred tax liabilities 126.2 60.5
Other noncurrent liabilities 5.0 5.1
Current liabilities 100.4 111.4
Pension obligations 1.7 1.7
Other provisions 15.0 17.0
Interest-bearing loans and
borrowings
6.0 0
Trade payables 57.7 67.6
Liabilities from income taxes 3.1 5.0
Other current financial liabilities 0.5 0.5
Other current liabilities 16.4 19.5
Total equity and liabilities 604.4 610.5