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Italgas — Management Reports 2022
Jun 15, 2022
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Management Reports
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Strategic Plan 2022 -2028
CRAFTING THE ENERGY ( R)EVOLUTION
Turin 15.06.2022
1
Italgas a Player of the Energy Transition
Source: IEA – Gas Market and Russian Supply, Eurostat 2020 data, Snam gas balance 2021, MiTE Gas Balance 2021, Eurostat 2020 data, IEA - Reliance on Russian Fossil Fuels Data Explorer Note: (1) Gross available energy; (2) Data include UK
REPowerEU a tipping point
REPowerEU MULTI-YEAR
PATH
The REPowerEU plan sets a new multi-year path, accelerates the energy transition, creates the basis for a proper Energy Union, increases security of supply and reduces dependence on Russia
Short-term
Biomethane growing appreciation
Biomethane accounts for 5% of EU gas demand. Offers significant advantages in terms of assets readiness. Still below potential, but part of REPowerEU plan.
Benefits of Biomethane
- Carbon neutral as CO2 emitted equals that previously captured
- Potential for becoming Carbon Negative if production integrated with CCS-CCUS units
- High combustion quality
- Technological readiness
- Flexible and programmable resource (plan production and storage of energy)
- Promotion of circular economy models
Biomethane under-exploited opportunity
Italy is the world's fourth largest biogas producer1 Biomethane production is expected to accelerate in the coming years supported by regulation
Source: elaboration on Eurostat 2020, Snam, GSE, Italian National Plan for Recovery and Resilience (PNRR)
Note: (1) After Germany, China and US. (2) OFMSW – Organic Fraction Municipal Solid Waste (3) % based on the total number of plants (4) 2021, 54 plants in operation and additional ~50 to be connected to the network
9
Hydrogen momentum building, with Europe playing a leading role
Retrofitting/repurposing existing infrastructure
Integrated H2 project (production, transport, use)
H2 at end-user level
H2 production
84
81
72
Projects
60
34
6
H2 storage
New built H2 infrastructure
REPowerEU and ITALGAS' STRATEGY
Foster energy transition & contribute to security of supply Development, injection, widespread usage of green-gases in networks.
Repurposing of Italian gas network into a smart one Upgrade and repurposing to increase efficiencies and resilience, enable green-gases distribution, via digital transformation.
Already aligned with REPowerEU new targets and guidelines
Since 2017
Contribution to Italian and Greek energy transition and energy security over the long term
Emission reduction and energy efficiency, also via ESCo business Decarbonization of operations and full deployment of energy efficiency initiatives.
External growth/ New opportunities Acquisition, network development, tenders; growth in water and digital services.
Greece Depa Infrastructure acquisition and development.
Setting the Network Of Tomorrow
1 3
Assets Digitization
SMART METERS1
Working to develop new in-house hydrogen ready smart meter. Progressive substitution of GPRS based meters also due to technology phase out by TELCOs
Assets Digitization
- City gates upgrade, including remote control systems 1
- 2 Biomethane connections & reverse flow connections at IPRM
3 District governors GRFD/GMPV replacement and upgrade
4 Gas distribution network upgrade, including THT and gas quality monitoring
5 Central Control Room (Dana)
>€0.2bn
CAPEX 2022-28 Innovation driven by a combination of internal R&D, open innovation and venture capital investing Leverage on internal and external capabilities
Digital factory the first accelerator of the digital transformation
Italgas lab revamping and new renewable gases testing centre in Sardinia
Design new Italgas smart meter
Power to gas project and biomethane connections
International «open innovation» scouting in main ecosystems, leading to adoption and industrialization of new cutting edge technologies
Open Innovation
Participation in corporate venture capital initiatives to get in contact with high potential SME / start-ups with positive impact for gas distribution sector
Venture Capital
Investing
MAIN FOCUS
+ Other countries
DANA a comprehensive output of innovation
DANA, our command-and-control system revolutionising network supervision
3 MAJOR BENEFITS:
- Monitoring of a distributed system where physical variables are interdependent
- Remote management with commands on main network processes and plants and increased governed processes efficiency and flexibility
- Enabler of renewable gases management
Italgas and Hydrogen pulling several levers
Ongoing assessment, upgrade and digitization of the network to allow distribution of green gases as well as to increase efficiency and reliability Design of new H2 ready smart meter
H2 Several initiatives ongoing to ensure network readiness for hydrogen distribution and blending
Development and construction of a P2G pilot project in Sardinia to test the entire green hydrogen value chain, including implications on equipment
Hydrogen Lab to be located next to ITG P2G plant in Sardinia to test boilers/ water heaters, gas metering and odorization, gas quality check equipment, piping and gas meters aging
MOU with Buzzi Unicem for the development of a feasibility study relating to the construction of P2G plants in combination with Carbon Capture Systems in Buzzi Unicem's production sites
International partnerships for knowledge sharing, like those with Jemena (Australia) and Marubeni (Japan)
Hydrogen Readiness equipment testing
Preliminary results of Italgas' network technical assessment has showed high levels of compatibility with hydrogen blends up to 10%
Distribution network compatibility to H2 under test
Ongoing evaluation of Italgas network compatibility in order to identify the investments necessary to upgrade the network
Phase 1
Analysis and preliminary assessment of suitability to distribute a natural gas / hydrogen blends in networks and pressure reduction stations.
Phase 2
Identification of sample networks to test materials and equipment on site and in collaboration with internal R&D laboratories
Completed
Hydrogen Readiness Italgas P2G project
Electrolyser 0.5 MW
Owned RES Plant 1 MW
Sestu
Refuelling station 300 kg/d
Storage & blending 300 kg
An example of sector coupling. Basic design completed; permitting & procurement ongoing. Expected to be in operation in 2023
Electrical and control cabinet
Control
+ Equipment testing
Tier 1 Player in Energy Efficiency
Energy Efficiency a EU priority
REPowerEU enhanced energy efficiency targets at EU wide levels Existing Italian targets already require additional efforts to 2030
Source: Final energy consumption Eurostat; target consumption from PNIEC
Note: (1) PNIEC defines savings expected over the period 2021-2030 based on the ~40% target vs PRIMES 2007 scenario
Energy Efficiency strong market outlook for ESCos
Meeting the targets implies a strong market outlook, while awareness of benefits increases Consolidation opportunity, given overly fragmented market
Source: McKinsey elaboration based on Digital Energy Efficiency Report 2021, Politecnico di Milano; Smart Building Report 2021, Politecnico di Milano;
ESCos
Revenues
Greece
2 6
DEPA Infrastructure in a nutshell
DEPA Infrastructure is the holding company which owns the three gas distribution operators EDA Thess1, EDA Attikis2 and DEDA3 in Greece
The three distribution network operators have exclusive rights in their respective regions. Combined, they cover the quasi-entirety of the Greek market.
Penetration rate is set to increase sharply to let Greece reach its decarbonization goals
(1) Thessaloniki – Thessalia Gas Distribution S.A. (2) Attiki Natural Gas Distribution Single Member Company S.A. (3) Public Gas Distribution Networks S.A.
- ► RAE approval pending for closing. Antitrust approval granted in March 2022
- ► Italgas to acquire DEPA Infrastructure through an Italian BidCo
- ► Consideration of €7331 mn for 100% of the equity of DEPA Infrastructure2
DEPA Infrastructure key plan assumptions
Pending closing the plan incorporates preliminary projections provided by the targets
REDELIVERY POINTS
Other Opportunities
3 0 3 0
Water committed to scale up our presence
Best practices in gas network management applied to water networks to make water distribution more sustainable and reduce losses Targeting selective acquisition
Serving 5 municipalities in the province of Caserta 100% of the network remotely controlled
Plan Period, digitization continues CEM technology1 implementation NB-IoT smart meters roll-out
Italgas Acqua Strategic Positioning
- ★ Deep understanding of the regulation and knowledge of the business
- ★ Expertise in managing pipeline networks, improving their performance & solid partnerships with technical experts
- ★ Opportunity to digitise new grids replicating what Italgas' model
- ★ Sustainability focus
Scouting for M&A opportunities
Competence centre for the entire Group, unlocking value of proprietary solutions in the market
Bludigit Objectives
Spun-off in July 2021
Brings together all the Information Technology (IT) activities and the Digital Factory
Fully owned by Italgas
Business Goal Enablement: develop digital services available to the business, improving resiliency and scalability
Commercial service development: open sales channels and new partnerships
Bludigit pushing capex effectiveness with Capexforce
Capexforce is the further step in capex management effectiveness. Integrated with proprietary solutions, tailored for our core business.
Advantages
Increase capital productivity: roadblocks and downtimes removal through improved end-to-end visibility
Push digital transformation: simplification and automation of internal processes involved, i.e. Planning, Engineering, Permitting, Procurement, Deployment, Operations
New business opportunities: proprietary solutions offered as license to energy and infrastructure operators
CAPEXFORCE
End-to-end digital solution, for the optimization of the capital investment cycle
Leverages on Salesforce technology and on an ecosystem of proprietary solutions (e.g. WorkOnSite, ShareView) to ensure on-quality and on-time deployment of capex
ESG environmental targets enhanced
Net Energy Consumption1 TJ FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2027 FY 2028 FY 2030 -27% 2020-28 -33% 2020-30
Actions identified and reflected into capex plan
Efficiency measures for industrial consumption: preheating processes, onsite renewable energy production and auto-consumption, digitalization of monitoring and control systems of the plants
Office management and buildings renovation effort together with constant process of optimisation, renewal, digitalization of monitoring and control systems of the buildings
Optimisation and renewal of the car fleet
Note: (1) unchanged perimeter, ie excluding M&A, DEPA Infrastructure and tenders (market based scope 2), targets aligned with SBTi in terms of linear annual reduction and in absence of SBTI methodology for gas distribution; (2) baseline recalculated taking into account specific suppliers' emission factors; (3) post 2030;
3 6
ESG social targets prove the change is ongoing
Note: of which Sardina Capex €0.2bn, does not include Centralised capex for €0.3bn
Assets Digitization
Assets Digitization
- City gates upgrade, including remote control
- 2 Biomethane connections & reverse flow connections
- 3 District governors GRFD/GMPV replacement and
4 Gas distribution network upgrade, including THT and
Tenders new timeline reflects more cautious approach
Visibility on timing is low, peak moved to 2026 and tenders to complete beyond plan period Capex opportunity laying outside plan horizon growing
2017-23 Plan 2018-24 Plan 2019-25 Plan 2020-26 Plan 2021-27 Plan 2022-28 Plan
Investments still growing
Investment plan reflects Greek acquisition and repositioning of capex to maximise returns as well as selective disposals
Growth in RAB and redelivery points driven by organic investments, M&A and tenders
Average deflator over the plan period assumed at 2.5%, starting from 0.7%
Balanced Financial Structure through plan period
To ensure value creation, support growth opportunities, guarantee a robust shareholder's return
credit rating preserved
DEBT STRUCTURE a key source of value creation
No major refinancing needs until 2024
Liquidity currently >1.2bn to cover short term outflows and to keep an adequate buffer going forward
Current debt structure allows to keep an average cost of debt <1.2% over plan period
Recourse to sustainable finance sources
31/03/2022 Gross Debt Structure1
0%
5%
50%
4 8
| 2022 | 2025 | 2028 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| € mn |
||||
| Revenues adjusted |
>1.4bn | Revenues | ~2.0bn | >2.6bn |
| EBITDA adjusted | 1.00-1.03bn | EBITDA | ~1.45bn | >1.8bn |
| EBIT adjusted | 570-590 | EBIT/RAB2 | ~7.9% | ~8.8% |
| Technical Capex | 700-750 | Consolidated RAB |
11.0bn | 12.6bn |
| Net Debt with IFRS 161 |
~5.9bn | FFO / RAB | 10% | 11% |
| Leverage1 | 64.9% | Leverage | <64% | ~61% |
Current Dividend Policy to 2023
Solid and visible return, while allowing investors to benefit from growth
DPS equal to
- 65% payout on Adjusted Net Income
- DPS 2019 +4% per annum
Dividend per share (€)
Illustrative chart, DPS paid in the following year
ESG people to support the growth
3 pillars HRO strategy defined in 2021 confirmed and improved. Strategy designed to sustain people development and well-being as a tool to achieve industrial growth
ENGAGEMENT & CHANGE MANAGEMENT
Change passes through people, their engagement. Integration between core and new businesses, safeguarding the unique Italgas' culture
SUSTAINABILITY, DIVERSITY & INCLUSION
Improve business sustainability, diversity, inclusion and gender equality
Launch and set up of a number of new initiatives to support well-being, safety, working instruments and patterns, inclusion and diversity, learning opportunities.
OPERATIONAL EFFICIENCIES
Operational excellence leveraging on digitization
| Energy Policy REPower EU and national policies |
EUROPE | ITALY | GREECE |
|---|---|---|---|
| GREEN GASES | Accelerated green gases development vs Fitx55 (biomethane & hydrogen) |
Development of biomethane to reach 2.5 Bcm by 2026 |
|
| NATIONAL ENERGY PRODUCTION |
Nuclear and coal potential phase-out delay |
Increase of national gas production to 5 Bcm (+50%) |
Lignite power plants phase out delay to 2028, +50% increase in lignite mining |
| INFRASTRUCTURES DEVELOPMENT |
Increase supply from non-Russian routes, new interconnections and maximisation of LNG import capacity |
New agreements with exporting countries (Algeria, Azerbaijan, Egypt, Qatar, USA) + new FSRU/LNG |
New pipeline (IGB) + TAP expansion + new FSRU units |
| STORAGE | Set up of minimum storage requirement targets by end of summer |
Strategic storage– exploring option of strategic storage in Italy |
|
| GAS and ENERGY PRICES | Allow actions to mitigate commodity prices impact on end users – discussion on European gas price |
Actions to mitigate commodity prices impact on end users |
|
| ENERGY EFFICIENCY | Push for energy efficiency to 13% vs 2020 (from 9%) |
Incentives for buildings renovations (superbonus, ecobonus) and temperatures control |
|
| FER ACCELERATION | Renewables acceleration to 45% (from 40%) of final energy consumption led by solar |
New regulatory period for allowed return started in January 2022
Key features of Italian regulation
- RAB-based framework set and regulated by ARERA
- Tariffs ensure return on assets
- No volume risks, temporary tariffs mismatch impact working capital
- Different regulatory period for WACC and other tariff components
- Majority of capex recognized at cost
- 5.6% real allowed return for 2022, trigger mechanism for 2023-24 and rest in 2025 with pre-established rules
- Inflation protection
Italy regulated reveneus scheme
Unitary tariffs are set for the regulatory period for each distribution area: Achieved revenues reflect return on asset base. Working capital temporarily impacted by volumes fluctuations.
Greece regulation
Transparent regulatory framework
with numerous similarities to the Italian system
Long concession duration
allowing to implement Italgas' long-term strategic vision
through compensation mechanism for under-recoveries
Downside protection
Key features of Greek regulation
- RAB-based framework regulated by the Regulatory Authority for Energy
- Tariffs reflect business plans presented by the company, including investments agreed with RAE
- Regulatory periods last 4 years
- 7.03% nominal return in 2021-22E, with an implied tax rate of 24%
- 1.5% additional return for investments meeting certain criteria
- Mechanism in place to compensate of any under / over recovery of required revenues
Greece regulated revenues scheme
1Actual revenues are the revenues collected by the company based on the application of the distribution tariffs to the redelivery points served
Key features
Unitary tariffs are set for the regulatory period for each distribution area:
- Based on the approved business plans and allowed returns, and inflated annually: the DSO is entitled to collect (required) revenues based on all investments and operational costs
- Taking into consideration estimated growth in redelivery points and volumes distributed
Achieved revenues are based on actual bills collection but there is a recoverable difference mechanism in place
5 8
Strategic Plan 2022 -2028
[email protected] Anna Maria Scaglia Armando Iobbi