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ISS

Earnings Release Nov 6, 2019

3368_iss_2019-11-05_e17cf367-7b70-4008-9104-b6d670a68a93.pdf

Earnings Release

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TRADING UPDATE FOR 1 JANUARY – 30 SEPTEMBER 2019

Strong organic growth. Outlook for operating margin and free cash flow reduced

ISS (ISS.CO, ISS DC, ISSDY), a leading workplace experience and facility management company, announces its trading update for the first nine months of 2019.

HIGHLIGHTS

  • Revenue increased by 6.3% in the first nine months of 2019 and 8.9% in Q3 (Q2 2019: 5.0%).
  • Organic growth of 6.8% in the first nine months of 2019 and 8.4% in Q3 (Q2 2019: 5.8%) was driven by the launch of the Deutsche Telekom contract, strong commercial momentum with a high level of key account contract wins, extensions and expansions as well as projects and above-base work. Organic growth from key accounts was 9.7% in the first nine months of 2019 and 12.9% in Q3, representing 62% of Group revenue (H1 2019: 61%).
  • On 1 July 2019, Deutsche Telekom, the single largest contract in ISS history, was launched on time across all sites, hereby driving close to 4% organic growth in Q3. The operational stabilisation following the launch is progressing and is expected to be completed in the coming months. On that basis, contract revenue and profitability expectations for 2019 remain unchanged.
  • On 27 May 2019, we announced that our current contract with Novartis maturing 31 December 2019, with an annual revenue of around DKK 2.0 billion, is not likely to be extended. There are ongoing discussions with the customer and the new provider. We now expect to continue service delivery in a few key countries.
  • The 2019 outlook for organic growth remains unchanged from our Q2 Interim Report 2019, whereas outlook for operating margin and free cash flow is adjusted:
  • o Organic growth expectations for 2019 remain unchanged at 6.5%-7.5%, and we are on track to deliver organic growth of more than 4% in 2020.
  • o Operating margin is, however, negatively impacted by delayed operational improvements in France. In addition, one loss-making contract in Denmark and one in Hong Kong are not recovering according to plan, which is expected to require a one-off provision for onerous contracts. As a result, the outlook for operating margin for 2019 is adjusted to above 4.2% (previously 5.0%-5.1%). In 2020, we expect operating margin to be around 5.0%.
  • o We have made good progress on a number of free cash flow improvement initiatives, among others debtor days, supplier payment terms and capital investments. However, our free cash flow is expected to be impacted by the lower operating margins as well as a stricter factoring policy, leading to an expected reduction of factoring in 2019 of around DKK 1 billion (previously an expected reduction of around DKK 200 million). As such, the outlook for free cash flow for 2019 is adjusted to DKK 0.6-1.0 billion (previously DKK 1.8-2.2 billion) and to DKK 1.6-2.0 billion excluding the variation in factoring (previously DKK 2.0-2.4 billion). In 2020, we expect free cash flow to be DKK 2.1-2.5 billion with a broadly neutral impact from factoring.
  • Our medium-term targets remain unchanged with 4%-6% organic growth, around 5.5% operating margin and around DKK 3.0 billion in free cash flow. However, as a result of our decision to spread the transformational investment programme over 2019-2021 (previously 2019-2020), we may not reach these medium-term targets until 2022 (previously 2021).

Lord Allen of Kensington Kt CBE Jeff Gravenhorst Chairman Group CEO

For investor enquiries Martin Kjær Hansen, Head of Group Investor Relations, +45 38 17 64 31

For media enquiries Rajiv Arvind, Senior Communications Manager, +45 38 17 62 11

GROUP PERFORMANCE

REVENUE DEVELOPMENT 1)

January – September 2019

Group revenue for the first nine months of 2019 was DKK 57.7 billion, an increase of 6.3% compared with the same period last year. Organic growth was 6.8% and currency effects were 0.8%, while acquisitions and divestments, net reduced revenue by 1.3%.

The strong organic growth was driven by the launch of the Deutsche Telekom contract as well as generally strong commercial momentum with a high level of key account contract wins, extensions and expansions. In addition, the contribution from projects and abovebase work remained solid, albeit with a slow-down towards the end of the period. All regions delivered positive organic growth with double-digit rates in Continental Europe and mid-single digit rates in Northern Europe and Asia & Pacific. Americas also delivered positive growth despite revenue reductions on the back of planned exits from small specialised services contracts.

exits from small specialised services contracts. 1) All comments covering revenue and organic growth are on continuing operations.

Q3 2019

Group revenue in Q3 was DKK 19.8 billion, an increase of 8.9% compared with the same period last year. Organic growth was 8.4% (Q2 2019: 5.8%), currency effects were 1.2%, while acquisitions and divestments, net reduced revenue by 0.7%.

Organic growth was supported by the launch of the Deutsche Telekom contract on 1 July driving close to 4% organic growth, as well as generally strong commercial momentum with a high level of key account contract wins, extensions and expansions. Organic growth from projects and above-base work was broadly neutral as a result of high 2018 comparator performance and lower demand in a few countries. All regions delivered positive organic growth with significant double-digit growth rates in Continental Europe. Northern Europe and Asia & Pacific delivered strong growth in the mid-single digit range. Americas continued to deliver organic growth despite revenue reductions on the back of planned

DKK million 2019 2018 Organic
growth
Acg./div. Currency
adj.
Growth
2019
Continental Europe 22.354 20,700 11 % $(2)\%$ (1)% 8 %
Northern Europe 18,412 17,979 4 % (1)% (1)% 2%
Asia & Pacific 10.179 9.414 5% $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ 3 % 8 %
Americas 6.229 5.770 2% $\overline{\phantom{0}}$ 6 % 8%
Other countries 558 483 9% 4% 3% 16 %
Corporate / eliminations (36) (52) $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ $\overline{\phantom{a}}$
Group 57,696 54,294 6.8% (1.3)% 0.8% 6.3%
DKK million Q3 2019 Q3 2018 Organic
growth
Acg./div. Currency
adj.
Growth
Q3 2019
Continental Europe 7.977 6,889 16 % (2)% 2% 16 %
Northern Europe 6.068 5.956 3% $(0)\%$ (1)% 2%
Asia & Pacific 3.461 3,198 5 % $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ 3% 8%
Americas 2,122 2.006 1% $(0)\%$ 5 % 6 %
Other countries 191 164 8% 4 % 4 % 16 %
Corporate / eliminations (9) (16) $\sim$ $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ $\overline{\phantom{a}}$
Group 19,810 18,197 8.4 % (0.7)% 1.2% 8.9%

BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT

Delivering service solutions to our key account customers, especially Integrated Facility Services (IFS), is a key part of our strategy.

In total, key accounts represented 62% of Group revenue in the first nine months of 2019 (H1 2019: 61%). Organic growth from key accounts was 9.7% (Q3 2019: 12.9%) significantly supported by the launch of the Deutsche Telekom contract on 1 July, the single largest contract in ISS history. The launch was on time and on all sites. The operational stabilisation following the launch is progressing and is expected to be completed in the coming months. On that basis, contract revenue and profitability expectations for 2019 remain unchanged.

Revenue from global key accounts represented 16% of Group revenue in the first nine months of 2019 and organic growth was 7.9% (Q3 2019: 9%).

Growth was driven by contracts launched in 2018, primarily with an international food and beverage company and a company in the Industry & Manufacturing segment.

Furthermore, growth was driven by the start-up of a new contract with a technology service company and the expansion with Vattenfall, as well as recent expansion of the Barclays contract, partly driven by our strengthened capabilities within catering and workplace management and design. We also experienced high demand for non-portfolio services across our global key account contracts.

Since full year results published in February 2019, we have signed a significant new key account contract with the Danish Building and Property Agency in Denmark. In addition, we extended and expanded a number of contracts, see the contract overview below.

On 27 May 2019, we announced that our current contract with Novartis maturing 31 December 2019, with an annual revenue of around DKK 2.0 billion, is not likely to be extended. The annualised first year net negative margin impact, including exit-related costs, is expected to be 0.1-0.2%-points. There are ongoing discussions with the customer and the new provider. We now expect to continue service delivery in a few key countries.

MAJOR KEY ACCOUNT DEVELOPMENTS 1 ) COUNTRIES SEGMENT TERM EFFECTIVE
DATE
WINS
Public Administration Company Iberia Public Administration 1 year Q3 2019
The Danish Building and Property Agency Denmark Public Administration 7 years Q4 2019
EXTENSIONS/EXPANSIONS
CITI Americas Mexico Business Services & IT 5 years Q1 2019
Santander UK Business Services & IT 5 years Q2 2019
Singapore General Hospital Singapore Healthcare 5 years Q2 2019
Food and beverage company Global Industry and Manufacturing 5 years Q2 2019
International bank Italy Business Services & IT 5 years Q2 2019
Danske Bank Global Business Services & IT 3 years Q2 2019
National University Health Systems Singapore Healthcare 3 years Q2 2019
Roy Hill Holdings Australia Energy and Resources 3 years Q2 2019
Financial services company Spain Business Services & IT 5 years Q3 2019
International manufacturing company Global Industry and Manufacturing 5 years Q3 2019
Global professional services company Nordic Business Services & IT 5 years Q4 2019
International Bank Switzerland Business Services & IT 5 years Q4 2019
Hotel chain Norway Hotel, Leisure & Entertainment 5 years Q1 2020
Energy and resource company Germany Energy and Resources 2 years Q1 2020
Vattenfall Germany Industry and Manufacturing 2 years Q1 2020
Foreign Commonwealth Office Asia & Pacific Business Services & IT 1 year Q1 2020
Brisbane Airport Asia & Pacific Transportation and storage 3 years Q4 2019
LOSSES/REDUCTIONS
Novartis Global Pharmaceuticals - Q1 2020
Norwegian Defence Norway Public Administration - Q1 2020
ICA Sweden Retail and Wholesale - Q4 2019

1) Update since Annual Report 2018.

REGIONAL PERFORMANCE

CONTINENTAL EUROPE

Revenue increased 8% to DKK 22,354 million in the first nine months of 2019. Organic growth was 11% (H1 2019: 8%), while acquisitions and divestments, net and currency effects reduced revenue by 2% and 1%, respectively. Growth was mainly driven by Germany due to the launch of the Deutsche Telekom contract as well as high demand for non-portfolio services in the automotive and pharma divisions. Organic growth was also supported by key accounts in especially Turkey, Iberia and the Netherlands as well as price increases in Turkey due to high inflation. Adjusted for price increases in Turkey, organic growth in Continental Europe was 9%.

In Q3, revenue increased 16% to DKK 7,976 million driven by organic growth of 16% (Q2 2019: 9%) and positive currency effects of 2%, while the impact from acquisitions and divestments, net decreased revenue by 2%. The organic growth was especially driven by the contract launch of Deutsche Telecom, which went live on 1 July. Furthermore, organic growth was supported by key accounts in Turkey, Spain and Belgium and generally strong growth across the region with several countries reaching double-digit growth rates. Growth was partly offset by lower demand for projects and above-base work.

NORTHERN EUROPE

Revenue increased 2% to DKK 18,412 million in the first nine months of 2019. Organic growth was 4% (H1 2019: 5%), while acquisitions and divestments, net reduced revenue by 1% and currency effects had a negative impact of 1%. Growth was mainly supported by several contract launches in the UK and Denmark as well as a generally solid demand for projects and above-base work.

In Q3, revenue increased 2% to DKK 6,068 million, reflecting an organic growth of 3% (Q2 2019: 4%) and a negative currency impact of 1%. The organic growth was mainly driven by key account contract launches in the UK. The demand for projects and above-base work was broadly unchanged compared to the same period last year.

ASIA & PACIFIC

Revenue increased 8% to DKK 10,179 million in the first nine months of 2019. Organic growth was 5% (H1 2019: 5%) and currency effects were 3%. Almost all countries in the region delivered positive organic growth though mainly driven by contract launches in the second half of 2018 in Australia and global key account contract launches in China. Furthermore, growth was supported by project work in Singapore and price increases in Indonesia.

In Q3, revenue increased 8% to DKK 3,461 million representing an organic growth of 5% (Q2 2019: 5%) and positive currency effects of 3%. The organic growth was mainly due to contract launches, especially in Australia, as well as price increases in Indonesia. The demand for projects and above-base work was broadly unchanged compared to the same period last year.

AMERICAS

Revenue increased 8% to DKK 6,229 million in the first nine months of 2019. Organic growth was 2% and currency effects increased revenue by 6%. North America delivered positive organic growth driven by key account contract expansions and launches in Food Services and the aviation segment. This was partly offset by the planned exits from small specialised services contracts. Mexico delivered positive organic growth due to key account contract launches.

In Q3, revenue increased 6% to DKK 2,122 million reflecting organic growth of 1% (Q2 2019: 2%) and positive currency effects of 5%. Organic growth was negatively impacted by the planned exits from small specialised services contracts. Excluding these exits, organic growth was 5%, mainly driven by key account contract launches on the back of strengthening capabilities within Food Services and workplace management and design. The aviation segment in North America also delivered solid growth, while the demand for projects and above-base work was broadly unchanged compared to the same period last year.

STRATEGIC ACQUISITIONS AND DIVESTMENTS

In December 2018, we announced our intention to divest 13 countries (in addition to Argentina and Uruguay) and a number of business units. The strategic divestment programme, to be completed by 2020, is proceeding according to plan.

Argentina and Uruguay were divested in January and Estonia was divested in July. Additionally, the divestment of the Group's activities in Israel was completed in October. Thus, by the end of October 2019, four of the 15 countries classified as discontinued operations had been divested.

During the first nine months of 2019, we divested some minor non-core cleaning activities in Spain and in October, we divested some minor non-core activities in Germany.

Furthermore, on 4 September 2019 we reached an agreement to divest the Group's Hygiene & Prevention business in France.

As communicated in the Q2 Interim Report 2019, we acquired JH Catering Ltd. in Austria and the Front of House activities of Avarn Security Oy with an estimated annual revenue of DKK 63 million and DKK 61 million, respectively and around 240 employees in total.

STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION

There have been no material changes in our statement of financial position since the announcement of our Q2 Interim Report 2019.

On 14 October 2019, we announced the early redemption of EUR 700 million bonds (maturing 9 January 2020), with the purpose of reducing gross debt and excess liquidity, using EUR 200 million in surplus cash from operations together with net proceeds from the 11 June 2019 issuance of EUR 500 million bonds.

OUTLOOK

OUTLOOK 2019 AND EXPECTATIONS FOR 2020

This outlook should be read in conjunction with "Forward-looking statements", cf. the table on next page.

The 2019 outlook for organic growth remains unchanged from our Q2 Interim Report 2019, whereas outlook for operating margin and free cash flow is adjusted.

Organic growth expectations for 2019 remain unchanged at 6.5%-7.5%, and we are on track to deliver organic growth of more than 4% in 2020.

Operating margin is, however, negatively impacted by delayed operational improvements in France. In addition, one loss-making contract in Denmark and one in Hong Kong are not recovering according to plan, which is expected to require a one-off provision for onerous contracts. As a result, the outlook for operating margin for 2019 is adjusted to above 4.2% (previously 5.0%-5.1%). In 2020, we expect operating margin to be around 5.0%.

We have made good progress on a number of free cash flow improvement initiatives, among others debtor days, supplier payment terms and capital investments. However, our free cash flow is expected to be impacted by the lower operating margins as well as a stricter factoring policy, leading to an expected reduction of factoring1) in 2019 of around DKK 1 billion (previously an expected reduction of around DKK 200 million). As such, our outlook for free cash flow for 2019 is adjusted to DKK 0.6-1.0 billion (previously DKK 1.8-2.2 billion) and to DKK 1.6-2.0 billion excluding the variation in factoring1) (previously DKK 2.0-2.4 billion). In 2020, we expect free cash flow to be DKK 2.1-2.5 billion with a broadly neutral impact from factoring1) .

EXPECTED IMPACT FROM DIVESTMENTS, ACQUISITIONS AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES IN 2019

We expect the divestments and acquisitions completed by 31 October 2019 (including in 2018) to negatively impact the revenue growth in 2019 by approximately 1%-point. Based on the forecasted average exchange rates for the year 2019 2) we expect a positive impact on revenue growth in 2019 of approximately 0%-1%-point from the development in foreign exchange rates.

2019 OUTLOOK
Trading Update
30 September 2019 30 June 2019
Interim report Annual
report 2018
Organic
growth
6.5%-7.5% 6.5%-7.5% 5%-7%
Operating
margin
Above 4 2% 5.0%-5.1% 5.0%-5.2%
Free
cash flow
DKK 0.6-1.0 bn DKK 1.8-2.2 bn DKK 18-22 bn
EXPECTATIONS FOR 2020 AND MEDIUM-TERM
2020 Medium-term
Organic
growth
Above 4% Industry-leading organic growth of
$4\% - 6\%$
Operating
margin
Around 5 0% Stable operating margins around
5.5%
Free
cash flow
DKK 2.1-2.5 bn Strong free cash flow around
DKK 3.0 bn

MEDIUM-TERM TARGETS

Our medium term targets remain unchanged with 4%- 6% organic growth, around 5.5% operating margin and around DKK 3.0 billion in free cash flow.

However, as a result of our decision to spread the transformational investment programme over 2019- 2021 (previously 2019-2020), we may not reach these medium-term targets until 2022 (previously 2021).

1) Factoring and participation in certain customers' supply chain finance arrangements.

2) The forecasted average exchange rates for the financial year 2019 are calculated using the realised average exchange rates for the first ten months of 2019 and the average forward exchange rates (as of 1 November 2019) for the remaining two months of 2019.

OUR GLOBAL FOOTPRINT

ISS is a leading workplace experience and facility management company. In partnership with customers, ISS drives the engagement and well-being of people, minimises the impact on the environment, and protects and maintains property. ISS brings all of this to life through a unique combination of data, insight and service excellence at offices, factories, airports, hospitals and other locations across the globe. In 2018, Group revenue amounted to DKK 73.6 billion.

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