AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Instone Real Estate Group AG

Investor Presentation May 11, 2022

226_ip_2022-05-11_aa9246b1-caab-487f-a58c-b2a6d5267bc0.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

Q1 2022 Results Presentation

Disclaimer

Highlights

Portfolio Update

Q1 Financial Performance

Outlook

Appendix

Highlights

Highlights

Solid start to the year with continued high margins – High short term uncertainties

Operational
Highlights

Sales: Q1 demand continued at elevated levels; initial signs of demand slow down in our retail projects

Institutional customers still lacking attractive alternative investment opportunities

Supply: Supply bottlenecks have intensified as result of the war in Ukraine

Broad based material shortages likely to increasingly impact construction progress

Subcontractors lack visibility and are reluctant to fix prices for new contracts

Construction costs: Expect double digit y-o-y 2022 CPI growth; INS's margins benefit from high levels of pre-contracted
fixed price works and conservative budgeting

Q1 in line with budget – Prior year benefitted from institutional deals


Adjusted revenues: €118.5m (Q1 2021: €128.1m, -7.5%)
Q1 2022
Adjusted gross profit margin: 29.7% (Q1 2021: 31.6%)
Results
Adjusted EBIT: €17.0m (Q1-2021: €26.7m, -36.3%)

Adjusted earnings after tax (EAT): €9.3m
(Q1 2021: €15.8m, -41.1%)

Guidance for FY-2022 suspended due to low short term visibility

2.9 3.0 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.4 4.1 3.5 3.4 3.4 2.9 3.0 3.1 2.9 2.7 4.6 4.2 4.6 4.4 3.0 3.4 2.6 2.3 1.9 0.9 1.4 2.3 1.9 2.2 1.8 2.3 3.1 3.4 4.2 3.0 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.5 3.8 3.5 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.3 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.3 3.3 4.2 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 Apr-22 Robust retail demand despite crisis and rise in interest rates Sales ratio In % Influenced by bloc sale Influenced by bloc sale Long term Instone sales ratio Sales ratio

Retail sales ratio remains above long term mean since end of 1st lockdown; early indicators point to normalisation

Pricing expected to remain robust

Economic indicators point to rising short term risks

Price expectations building construction2

Material shortage in building construction2 - Worsening since February again

Material shortages have intensified since Russia's invasion

  • Worst material shortage in many decades due to disruptions in supply chains and relevance of Ukraine and Russia on the supply side (e.g. for wooden flooring, bitumen, reinforcing steel)
  • Supply bottlenecks imply rising risks for construction delays (revenues recognition)
  • Rise in construction costs of +15% y-o-y expected despite very high share of fixed price supplier contracts (>70% of expected construction volume 2022e)
  • Margins remain relatively robust considering pre-agreed contracts and generous budgeting as well as ongoing positive price trends

Jump in interest implies rising uncertainty – positive price trend continued in Q1

Interest - Average 10y-fixed rate mortgage2

House price inflation1

  • Strong jump in interest rates within very short time period negatively effects affordability for certain customer groups
  • Strong volatility in interest rates contributes to a rising uncertainty especially of private investors despite structurally strong demand (risk for slowdown in sales speed i.e. revenue recognition)
  • Additional equity requirements imposed on banks by financial regulator (Bafin) might cause delays in lending processes and contribute to rising mortgage costs

    • Bundesbank: Mortgage loans for private households3 reached record high in March. Q1 2022 at €83.7bn (+21.2% qoq / +15.5 % yoy)
  • Q1 signals a continued positive price trend

  • Buying remains affordable compared to renting
  • Instone price index captures official sales price list, inflation of condo sales during marketing phase only

Portfolio Update

Significant pipeline supports visibility for coming years

In €m New approvals Change in 03/2022 sales volume 12/2021 Completed projects 1 1 New approvals Completed 05/2022 projects

New project
approvals
Exp. sales
volume
(€m)
Exp. units
YTD
2022
Metropolitan
area NRW
14 34
Metropolitan
area Nuremberg
85 140
Metropolitan
area Berlin
145 361
Metropolitan
area Frankfurt/Main
41 100
Total 285 635

10 | 11.05.2022 | Q1-2022 1) Share of at-equity JV not included

Project portfolio development (GDV)

Pre-sold units support future cash flow and earnings visibility

Project portfolio as of 31/03/2022 by region (GDV)

55 projects / 16,607 units

  • 87% in metropolitan regions
  • ~80 average sqm / unit
  • ~€5,456 ASP / sqm
  • Additional three JV projects (Instone share of GDV: ~€500m)

Project portfolio as of 31/03/2022 by building right status (GDV)

Kategorie 1 Kategorie 2

Project portfolio as of 31/03/2022 by development (GDV)

-150 -140 -130 -120 -110 -100 -90 -80 -70 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0

102030

The scaling of the business continues to gain momentum

Adjusted revenues

Units under construction – ramping up the business

Construction starts

Q1 2022 Financial Performance

Adjusted Results of Operations

Leading profitability maintained

€m Q1 2022 Q1 2021 Change
Revenues 118.5 128.1 -7.5%
Project
cost
-83.3 -87.6 -4.9%
Gross
profit
35.2 40.5 -13.1%
Gross
Margin
29.7% 31.6%
Platform
cost
-18.7 -16.3 14.7%
Share of
results
of
joint
ventures
0.6 2.5
EBIT 17.0 26.7 -36.3%
EBIT Margin 14.3% 20.8%
Financial
and
other
results
-3.7 -4.1
EBT 13.4 22.6 -40.7%
EBT Margin 11.3% 17.6%
Taxes -4.1 -6.8
Tax
rate
30.6% 30.2%
EAT 9.3 15.8 -41.1%
EAT Margin 7.8% 12.3%
EAT post
minorities
9.4 16.1 -41.6%
EPS 0.20 0.34 -41.2%
  • Lower revenues as prior year's figure benefitted from signing of institutional deals
  • Industry leading gross margin maintained, underpinning strength of INS's business model
  • Lower EBIT and EAT margin mainly due to lower Q1-topline
  • Decreasing interest expenses due to lower gross financial debt position

Strong balance sheet secures defensive profile and leaves headroom for growth

€m 31/03/2022 31/12/2021
Corporate debt 200.3 199.1
Project debt 227.5 191.4
Financial debt 427.7 390.5
Cash and cash equivalents and term
deposits
-160.3 -151.0
Net financial debt 267.4 239.5
Inventories and contract asset /
liabilities
1,223.9 1,190.1
LTC* 21.8% 20.1%
Adjusted EBIT (LTM)** 146.0 155.7
Adjusted EBITDA (LTM)** 150.6 160.3
Net financial debt / adjusted EBITDA 1.8 1.5
  • 21.8% LTC implies very low financial gearing
    • Reminder: inventories are recorded at historical costs
    • Significant hidden reserves provide additional downside cushion
  • Also net debt/adjusted EBITDA of 1.8x confirms strength of the INS balance sheet
  • Strong balance sheet is cornerstone for low risk profile; significant headroom for future growth

Financially strong position

Cash Flow (€m) Q1 2022 Q1 2021
EBITDA adj. 18.2 27.9
Other non-cash items -6.4 -2.5
Taxes paid -0.4 -8.5
Change
in working capital
-24.1 134.4
Operating
cash flow
-12.7 151.3
Land plot acquisition payments (incl.
38.1
RETT*)
8.7
Operating cash flow excl.
investments
25.4 160.0

Positive CF pre land investments

Negative operating cash flow in 2022 expected due to planned investment in land plots for future growth

Liquidity (€m) Total
drawn
t/o
available
Corporate debt
Promissory notes 197.5 197.5 0.0
Revolving Credit Facilities 119.0 0.0 119.0
Total 316.5 197.5 119.0
Cash and cash equivalents and
term deposits
160.3
Total corporate funds
available
279.3
Project debt
Project finance** 390.9 226.9 164.0

Ample financial headroom for future growth

Well balanced financing structure at attractive terms

Maturity profile (corporate debt) as of 31/03/2022

Weighted average corporate debt maturity 2.2 years
Weighted average corporate interest
costs
3.33%
Share of corporate debt with floating
interest
24.1%

Secured/unsecured as of 31/03/2022

Project financing is variable but typically floored at EURIBOR of 0% (currently around -40 bps). This rise in interest has overall only very limited impact on bottom line results.

All calculations based on drawn values

Intrinsic pipeline value indicates fundamental upside

Additional upside from planned future growth investments

Prospective NAV (€m) 31/03/2022
Expected selling prices of project
pipeline (GDV)
7,568 7,500
Payments received -1,297 -1,191
Expected project costs -4,240 -4,293
Net debt* -241 -240
Expected proceeds from "at-equity"
projects
132 132
Prospective
Net Asset Value
1,921 1,909
Number of shares
(m)**
46.9 47.0
Prospective
Net Asset Value per
share (€)
40.96 40.62
  • Payments received reflect project related income received to date from pre-sale of pipeline and rental income
  • Expected project costs include future expected payouts required to complete INS project pipeline
  • Proceeds from "at-equity" projects reflect profit from subsidiaries accounted for "at-equity"

* Net debt incl. expected incoming short term payments that are not shown in Project NAV ** Number of shares excluding treasury shares as at 31/03/2022

Appendix

2021 ESG achievements and disclosures


Scope 1, 2 and 3 GHG1
emissions according to TCFD3
guidelines
Environment SBTI2

compliant net zero targets (Net zero climate neutrality by 2045)

Qualitative climate-scenario analysis

Declared membership of German Sustainable Building Council (DGNB), pre-certification of
pilot project nyoo
in platinum (requirement for series certification)

Completed first stakeholder survey, initiated platform for continuous dialogue

Started construction of first two affordable housing projects under Instone innovative "nyoo" brand
Social
Confirmed Instone's
position as an attractive employer

Re-iterated affirmative diversity policy

Confirmed Instone's
responsibility for work standards at our contractors

Established first independent ESG rating by Sustainalytics; ranked top 2% among global developers

Strengthened ESG governance structure
Governance
Established 3 people strong dedicated ESG team

Established sustainability targets in management compensation scheme

Launched ESG website

1) GHG=Greenhouse gas emissions / Scope 1-3: classification of emissions (direct and indirect) according to GHG Protocol

2) SBTI=Science-Based Targets Initiative / New approach for setting emissions reduction targets with focus on the amount of emissions that have to be reduced in order to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement, limiting global warming to 1.5°C

21 | 11.05.2022 | Q1-2022

3) Task Force on Climate Related Financial Disclosures

GHG emissions of the INS portfolio significantly below German average

GHG emissions Instone portfolio1

22 | 11.05.2022 | Q1-2022

  • High-quality insulation and modern heating technology lead to significantly reduced GHG emissions for Instone projects compared to average of existing resi buildings in Germany
  • Instone targets share of buildings with primary energy demand of less than 90% compared to NZEB2 (NZEB -10%) by 2030 of 100%

Project portfolio per energy efficiency standard (as of 31/12/2021)3

2) As defined as of December 31, 2021

3) Based on share of surface area / Portfolio: All buildings planned, under construction and completed in 2021

Major ESG-KPIs – achievements and targets

Major KPIs 2020 2021 Targets
Expected GHG emissions of portfolio in use 11 kg CO2e/m² 9.5 kg CO2e/m² -50% (2030 vs. 2020)
E Share of projects with renewable energy supply ~14% ~22% At least 40% (2030)
Share
of projects with energy requirements at least NZEB -10%
~79.6% ~82.5% 100% of project portfolio in 2030
GHG emissions
/ scope 1 and 2 abs.
3,387
t CO2e
3,456
t CO2e
-42% (2030 vs.
2020)
GHG emissions
/ scope 1 and 2 Intensity
0.024
t CO2e/sqm
0.010 t CO2e/sqm -42% (2030 vs. 2020)
GHG emissions / scope 3 abs. 110,058 t CO2e 147.849
t CO2e
Net zero
climate neutrality (2045)
GHG emissions / scope 3 Intensity 0.766 t CO2e/sqm 0.416 t CO2e/sqm Net zero climate neutrality (2045)
Charging stations for EVs ~330 ~734 From 2025, 100% of projects in construction to
provide
charging stations
Brownfield developments (land plot size) 833.746sqm 690,204sqm Acquisition
focus on brownfield projects
Collection of environmental KPIs (e.g. environmental diversity, waste,
water and recycling)
/ ongoing 100% data delivered by
2025
S Shares of affordable housing:
social / subsidized / privately financed
(incl. nyoo)
15% / 2% / 83% 17% / 1.5% / 81.5% at least 50% share of revenues with affordable
housing (social / subsidized / nyoo) by 2030
Share
of female employees in management positions (below C-level)
25% (1st)* / 22% (2nd) 25% (1st)* / 23% (2nd) at least stable
Employee
satisfaction and loyalty
75% 70% / 76% 75% / 80%
Code of Conduct for employees and contractors (UN Charter) 100% 100% 100%
G Employee compliance and data protection
training
96% 99% 100%
Compliance
cases (suspected)
2 0 0
Independent
Supervisory Board
100% 100% 100%
of ESG targets into management compensation scheme (1st
Integration
management level)
Implemented Implemented Continuous evaluation and adoption

23 | 11.05.2022 | Q1-2022

KPI definitions and further explanations can be found in our Annual Report 2021, p. 60

Project Portfolio Key Figures

€m Q1 2022 Q4 2021 Q3 2021 Q2 2021 Q1 2021 Q4
2020
Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q1 2020
Volume of
sales
contracts
87.6 761.7 170.7 89.1 118.6** 246.0 94.9 54.1* 69.4
Project Portfolio 7,567.7 7,500.0 7,154.9 6,268.1 6,054.2 6,053.6 5,937.5 5,701.3 5,744.4
thereof already sold 3,070.1 3,038.9 2,308.7 2,444.0 2,360.5 2,328.8 2,108.6 2,017.1 2,189.0
thereof
already realized
revenues
1,684.0 1,621.0 1,276.2 1,436.1 1,307.8 1,265.5 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Units Q1 2022 Q4 2021 Q3
2021
Q2 2021 Q1 2021 Q4 2020 Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q1 2020
Volume of
sales
contracts
191 1,906 468 169 372** 708 128 347* 109
Project Portfolio 16,607 16,418 15,913 14,338 13,678 13,561 13,374 13,075 12,952
thereof already sold
(Unless otherwise stated, the figures are quarterly values)
7,404 7,215 5,401 5,679 5,510 5,381 4,770 4,648 4,799

*Of which €24.3m (303 units) from updated business plan of already sold project Westville.

**Of which €6.3m (186 units) from updated business plan of already sold project part in "Schönhof-Viertel", Frankfurt.

Project Portfolio as of 31/03/2022

(projects > €30m sales volume, representing total: ~ €7.6bn)

Project Location Sales volume
(expected)
Land plot
acquired
Building right
obtained
Sales
started
Construction
started
Hamburg
Schulterblatt "Amanda" Hamburg 96 Mio. €
Kösliner Weg Norderstedt-Garstedt 93 Mio. €
Sportplatz Bult Hannover 120 Mio. €
Rothenburgsort Hamburg 215 Mio. €
Büntekamp Hannover 146 Mio. €
Saeseler Chaussee 211 Hamburg 84 Mio. €
Berlin
Rote Kaserne West Potsdam 67 Mio. €
NRW
Niederkasseler Lohweg Düsseldorf N/A
Unterbach / Wohnen am Hochfeld Düsseldorf 197 Mio. €
Literaturquartier Essen N/A
REME Mönchengladbach 118 Mio. €
west.side Bonn 202 Mio. €
Gartenstadtquartier Dortmund 103 Mio. €
Bickendorf NRW 716 Mio. €
Projekt NRW - I NRW 73 Mio. €

Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has already been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building rights the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.

Project Portfolio as of 31/03/2022

(projects > €30m sales volume, representing total: ~ €7.6bn)

217 Mio. €
306 Mio. €
87 Mio. €
56 Mio. €
41 Mio. €
N/A
186 Mio. €
156 Mio. €
Maintal 207 Mio. €
Hofheim 61 Mio. €
Wiesbaden 284 Mio. €
Maintal 97 Mio. €
Leipzig 109 Mio. €
Leipzig 260 Mio. €
Leipzig 109 Mio. €
Halle (Saale) 38 Mio. €
Wiesbaden
Frankfurt
Frankfurt am Main
Frankfurt am Main
Frankfurt am Main
Frankfurt am Main
Frankfurt am Main
Frankfurt am Main
Wiesbaden
Heusenstamm
106 Mio. €
604 Mio. €

Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has already been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building rights the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.

Project Portfolio as of 31/03/2022

(projects > €30m sales volume, representing total: ~ €7.6bn)

Project Location Sales volume
(expected)
Land plot
acquired
Building right
obtained
Sales
started
Construction
started
Baden-Wurttemberg
City-Prag - Wohnen im Theaterviertel Stuttgart 128 Mio. €
Schwarzwaldstraße Herrenberg 50 Mio. €
S`LEDERER Schorndorf N/A
Neckartalterrassen Rottenburg 164 Mio. €
Schäferlinde Herrenberg 61 Mio. €
Schwarzwaldstraße BA II Herrenberg 70 Mio. €
Bavaria South
Ottobrunner Straße München 100 Mio. €
Beethovenpark Augsburg N/A
Bavaria North
Schopenhauerstraße Nürnberg 68 Mio. €
Stephanstraße Nürnberg N/A
Seetor Nürnberg 112 Mio. €
Eslarner Straße Nürnberg 50 Mio. €
Lagarde Bamberg 81 Mio. €
Boxdorf Nürnberg 59 Mio. €
Marina Bricks Regensburg 30 Mio. €
Thumenberger Weg Nürnberg 111 Mio. €
Worzeldorf Nürnberg 68 Mio. €
Projekt Bayern Nord - I Nürnberg 85 Mio. €

Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has already been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building rights the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.

Instone Share

• ISIN: DE000A2NBX80 • Ticker symbol: INS • No of shares: 46,988,336 • Index: SDAX • Market cap*: €690m • Average daily trading volume: €1.4m • Free float (May 09, 2022): 99.2% • Market segment: Prime Standard, Frankfurt Basic data Shareholder structure (May 09, 2022) Fidelity 9.99% Janus Henderson 8.40% Activum 5.09% Capital 4.87% DWS 4.84% Union Investment 3.38% Allianz 3.31% Amundi 3.07% Schroders 3.07% Aberdeen 3.02% Treasury Shares 0.78% Others 50.18%

Financial Calendar

2022

May 12 Quarterly Statement for the first quarter of 2022
May 13 Roadshow Europe, Deutsche Bank (virtual)
May 16 Roadshow UK, Credit Suisse, (London)
May 19 German SMID Cap Forum,
Stifel
Europe, Frankfurt/Main
May 25 dbAccess
German Corporate Conference, Fankfurt/Main
June 09 Annual
General Meeting
June 16 Morgan Stanley Europe & EEMEA Property
Conference, London
June 29 Pan-European
Real Estate Conference, Kepler Cheuvreux, Paris
August 11 Group Interim Report for the first half of 2022
September 19 11th
German Corporate
Conference, Berenberg/Goldman Sachs, Munich
November 10 Quarterly Statement for the first nine months of 2022

Investor Relations Contacts

Burkhard Sawazki

Head of Business Development & Communication

T +49 201 45355-137 M +49 173 2606034 [email protected]

Simone Cujai

Senior Investor Relations Manager

T +49 201 45355-428 M +49 162 8035792 [email protected]

Tania Hanson

Roadshows & Investor Events

T +49 201 45355-311 M +49 152 53033602 [email protected]

Instone Real Estate Group SE Grugaplatz 2-4, 45131 Essen E-Mail: [email protected] Internet: www.instone.de/en

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.