AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Instone Real Estate Group AG

Earnings Release Mar 17, 2022

226_ip_2022-03-17_a7a6d9ce-c34c-4e95-80ff-90468eb447cf.pdf

Earnings Release

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

FY 2021 Results Presentation

Disclaimer

Highlights

Portfolio Update

FY Financial Performance

Outlook

Appendix

Highlights

Highlights

Impressive operational results

Operational
Highlights

Sales: Strong demand from private and institutional investors continues unabated; continued upward pressure on prices

Strong momentum in Q4 (7 institutional deals signed), FY-2021 sales volume of c.€1.1bn ahead of expectations

Favourable
demand and pricing environment continues in 2022 YTD

Acquisitions:
€1.8bn of new projects approved in 2021; GDV climbs to €7.5bn (+ 23,9% yoy)

Supply: Instone well positioned to cope with ongoing supply bottlenecks and cost price inflation

Sustainability: Voluntary first time publication of fully-fledged sustainability report including "limited assurance" provided by
Deloitte and covering i.a. Scope 1,2,3 emissions as well as various social and governance aspects
--------------------------- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Strong earnings – slightly exceeding guidance – underscore strength of business model

FY-2021
Results

Adjusted revenues: €783.6m (FY 2020: €480.1m, +63.2%)

Adjusted gross profit margin: 28.3% (FY 2020: 30.5%)

Adjusted EBIT: €155.7m (FY 2020: €83.8m, +85.8%)

Adjusted earnings after tax (EAT): €96.9m
(FY 2020: €41.1m; +135.8%)

Dividend proposal €0.62 per share (FY 2020: €0.26/share; +138.5%)
-------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Guidance for FY-2022 confirmed


Adj. revenues of €900-1,000m

Adj. gross profit of 25-26%
Outlook
Adj. EAT of €90-100m

Sales volume of >€1,000m

Management is
closely
monitoring
the
full
extent
of
developments
triggered
by
Russian
invasion
of
Ukraine

Retail sales ratio remains above long term mean since end of 1st lockdown

Pricing environment remains favourable

German residential prices: upward trend intact

House price inflation1

Interests - Average 10y-fixed rate mortgage2

Q4 market reports show continued positive price dynamic – Outlook for 2022 remains positive

  • Buying remains affordable and attractive compared to renting
  • Instone price index captures official sales price list, inflation of condo sales during marketing phase only

Affordability

Apartment
85 sqm, metropolitan area
Owner occupier
Buying
Price/sqm 5,500 €
Purchase price (incl. transaction
costs 7.5%)
502,563 €
Financing (20% equity) 402,050 €
Financing costs
at 1.6% (per month)
536 €
Total monthly charges (2.0% amortisation) 1,206 €
Renting
Rent
14 €/sqm/month
1,190 €

7 | 17.03.2022 | FY-2021

Instone well positioned to cope with continued cost inflation

Construction price inflation1

Observations

  • Construction price index up 14.4% yoy based on official data
  • qoq increase peaked in Q1-21 and has since eased
  • economic implications of Russia's invasion of Ukraine to be monitored closely

Instone has a clearly defined strategy to mitigate construction price inflation 1. Pre-sold projects

  • high level of (mostly) fixed price supplier contracts awarded concurrently or shortly after forward sale agreement
  • superior supplier relationships and construction management expertise
  • conservative budgeting of expected construction costs fully taking recent construction price inflation into account
  • as of Dec-21 a significant share of total expected project costs of our pre-sold portfolio has been fixed based on pre-awarded supplier contracts

Condo sales projects

  • high level of (mostly) fixed price supplier contracts awarded prior to construction start (i.e. when pre-sales contracts become legally binding)
  • realistic budgeting of expected construction costs
  • continuous sales price increase tends to fully compensate construction cost inflation
  • 2. Energy-efficiency related subsidies
  • previously unexpected approved subsidies create additional buffer
  • 3. Favourable CPI to HPI relationship
  • construction costs account for c 40% of selling price
  • 1 percentage point of CPI growth is neutralised by 0.4 percentage point of HPI

Effective 2021 Instone cost price inflation substantially below Y-o-Y construction price index 2022 Strategy will remain unchanged

Political environment supportive of expanding residential construction

Key elements of coalition agreement

Relevance for Instone


Construction of 400k resi
units p.a., of which 100k are
publicly subsidized
Positive:
Although support schemes are unclear, there is commitment to support new
developments. INS benefits from role as forerunner in the segment of affordable housing

Strengthening of climate protection in new construction
(KfW40 standard), focus on GHG (expiry of KfW55-
programme) -
Neutral to negative:
General commitment to support high energy standard for new builds (future focus on
KfW40 equivalent properties) –
Short term uncertainty due to limited budget for new
projects in 2022 (€1bn) and still no clarity for support schemes in 2023 and beyond

Accelerated energetic refurbishment of existing housing stock
(energy standard EH 70 for larger refurbishments; new
heating systems share of 65% from renewable energies)
Neutral:
Return on investments for landlords of existing housing stock is unclear

Extension of existing rental regulation (rent price break),
introduction of qualified rent tables
Neutral:
In the existing legal framework new builds are exempt from the rent restrictions

Promotion of the state owned housing company (BlmA) for
more new construction
Neutral to positive:
INS has a highly competitive product (nyoo)

Increase of regular depreciation for residential investments
from 2% to 3%
Positive
Supportive for post tax returns (IRRs)

Subsidies for the foundation of housing companies with low
return target (with rents below market levels)
Neutral to positive:
INS with competitive edge (nyoo
product) for the affordable segment

Potential introduction of reduced real estate transfer tax for
first time buyers
Positive:
Help to buy-scheme could create additional demand from retail clients

Abolishment of tax benefits associated with share deals
Neutral:
No noticeable impact as Instone sales are almost entirely asset deals

9 | 17.03.2022 | FY-2021

Portfolio Update

Significant GDV increase paves way for future growth

Project portfolio development (GDV)

volume
(€m)
Exp. units
2021
Metropolitan
area Stuttgart
70 160
Metropolitan
area Nuremberg
111 180
Metropolitan area Rhine-Main 55 100
Metropolitan
area Nuremberg
68 160
Metropolitan area Rhine-Main 283 600
Metropolitan area Rhine-Main 31 40
Metropolitan area
NRW
715 1,500
Metropolitan area Hamburg 84 120
Metropolitan
area Rhine-Main
97 220
Metropolitan area
NRW
73 180
SUBTOTAL 1,587 3,260
At-equity investment
Stuttgart region
200 /
TOTAL 1,787 /

Pre-sold units support future cash flow and earnings visibility

Project portfolio as of 31/12/2021 by development (GDV)

The scaling of the business continues to gain momentum

Units under construction – ramping up the business

Construction starts

13 | 17.03.2022 | FY-2021

FY 2021 Financial Performance

Adjusted Results of Operations

Leading profitability maintained

€m Q4 2021 Q4 2020 Change FY 2021 FY 2020 Change
Revenues 378.0 188.8 100.2% 783.6 480.1 63.2%
Project
cost
-277.5 -136.3 103.6% -562.1 -333.5 68.5%
Gross
profit
100.5 52.5 91.4% 221.5 146.6 51.1%
Gross
Margin
26.6% 27.8% 28.3% 30.5%
Platform
cost
-22.2 -20.7 7.2% -80.5 -65.5 22.9%
Share of
results
of
joint
ventures
12.0 2.0 14.6 2.7
EBIT 90.4 33.8 167.5% 155.7 83.8 85.8%
EBIT Margin 23.9% 17.9% 19.9% 17.5%
Financial
and
other
results
-9.1 -8.9 -19.2 -22.0
EBT 81.3 25.0 225.2% 136.5 59.4 129.8%
EBT Margin 21.5% 13.2% 17.4% 12.4%
Taxes -24.7 -8.7 -39.6 -18.3
Tax
rate
-30.4% -34.8% 29.0% 30.8%
EAT 56.6 16.2 249.4% 96.9 41.1 135.8%
EAT Margin 15.0% 8.6% 12.4% 8.6%
EAT post
minorities
55.9 16.2 244.2% 98.7 41.1 140.1%
EPS1 1.19 0.39 204.4% 2.10 0.99 112.4%
  • Strong topline growth despite ongoing negative COVID19 related effects
  • Industry leading gross margin
  • Rising platform costs in line with guidance
  • Exceptional EBIT margin supported by €14.6m income from associates

EPS more than doubled, despite increased number of shares outstanding

Institutional sales increased to 71% in 2021

Volume of sales contracts by customer segment In €m Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY 2021 119 89 171 762 1,140 809 331

  • Institutional sales account for 71% of aggregate 2021 sales (2020: 39%)
  • Substantial portion of overall sales contracts agreed in seasonally strong Q4

Adjusted revenues by customer segment

  • Institutional revenues account for 62% 2021 revenues (2020: 42%)
  • Almost 50% of aggregate revenues recognised in seasonally strong Q4

Strong balance sheet leaves significant headroom for growth

€m 31/12/2021 31/12/2020
Corporate debt 199.1 207.2
Project debt 191.4 274.5
Financial debt 390.5 481.7
Cash and cash equivalents and term
deposits
-151.0 -232.0
Net financial debt 239.5 249.7
Inventories and contract asset /
liabilities
1,190.1 946.4
LTC* 20.1% 26.4%
Adjusted EBIT (LTM)** 155.7 83.8
Adjusted EBITDA (LTM)** 160.3 87.9
Net financial debt / adjusted EBITDA 1.5 2.8
  • 20.1% LTC implies very low financial gearing
  • Reminder: inventories are recorded at historical costs
  • Significant hidden reserves provide additional downside cushion
  • Decline in net debt/adjusted EBITDA to a low level of 1.5x mainly due to rising operating profit
  • INS's financial strength remains a competitive edge for acquisitions in a highly fragmented market

Positive cash flow despite growth investments

Cash Flow (€m) Q4 2021 Q4 2020 FY 2021 FY 2020
EBITDA adj. 91.6 34.9 160.3 87.9
Other non-cash items -25.1 1.6 -36.6 -3.8
Taxes paid -0.3 1.9 -8.3 -11.4
Change
in working capital
-134.3 55.0 -71.5 47.2
Operating
cash flow
-68.1 93.5 43.9 119.9
Land plot acquisition payments (incl.
RETT*)
139.3 32.9 212.4 105.1
Operating cash flow excl.
investments
71.3 126.4 256.3 225.0

Positive operating CF based on retail prepayments and institutional milestone payments

  • despite build-up of inventories for future growth
  • Negative operating cash flow in 2022 expected due to planned investment in land plots for future growth
Liquidity (€m) Total t/o
drawn
t/o
available
Corporate debt
Promissory notes 197.5 197.5 0.0
Revolving Credit Facilities 119.0 0.0 119.0
Total 316.5 197.5 119.0
Cash and cash equivalents and
term deposits
151.0
Total corporate funds
available
270.0
Project debt
Project finance** 295.6 190.9 104.7

Ample financial headroom for future growth

Intrinsic pipeline value indicates fundamental upside

Additional upside from planned future growth investments

Prospective NAV (€m) 31/12/2021 31/12/2020
Expected selling prices of project
pipeline (GDV)
7,500 6,054
Payments received -1,191 -942
Expected project costs -4,293 -3,368
Net debt -240 -250
Expected proceeds from "at-equity"
projects
132 71
Prospective
Net Asset Value
1,909 1,566
Number of shares
(m)
47.0 47.0
Prospective
Net Asset Value per
share (€)
40.62 33.32
  • Payments received reflect project related income received to date from pre-sale of pipeline and rental income
  • Expected project costs include future expected payouts required to complete INS project pipeline
  • Proceeds from "at-equity" projects reflect profit from subsidiaries accounted for "at-equity"

Outlook

Strong structural growth ahead: outlook confirmed

€m Outlook
2021
2021
results
Outlook
2022
Revenues (adjusted) 780-800 783.6 900-1,000
Gross profit margin
(adjusted)
c.28% 28.3 25-26%
EAT (adjusted) 93-96 96.9 90-100
Volume
of concluded
Sales contracts
>1,000 1,140.1 >1,000

Dividend policy: 30% payout ratio based on adjusted EAT

Secured via projects with masterplan in place*: Secured via existing projects *: Secured via pre-sales*: 100% 100% 58%

21 | 17.03.2022 | FY-2021 * % figures as of 31 December 2021; referring to midpoint of guidance

ESG Update

2021 ESG achievements and disclosures

Scope 1, 2 and 3 GHG1
emissions according to TCFD3

guidelines
SBTI2

compliant net zero targets (Net zero climate neutrality by 2045)
Environment
Qualitative climate-scenario analysis

Declared membership of German Sustainable Building Council (DGNB), pre-certification of
pilot project nyoo
in platinum (requirement for series certification)

Completed first stakeholder survey, initiated platform for continuous dialogue

Started construction of first two affordable housing projects under Instone innovative "nyoo" brand
Social
Confirmed Instone's
position as an attractive employer

Re-iterated affirmative diversity policy

Confirmed Instone's
responsibility for work standards at our contractors

Established first independent ESG rating by Sustainalytics; ranked top 2% among global developers

Strengthened ESG governance structure
Governance
Established 3 people strong dedicated ESG team

Established sustainability targets in management compensation scheme

Launched ESG website

1) GHG=Greenhouse gas emissions / Scope 1-3: classification of emissions (direct and indirect) according to GHG Protocol

2) SBTI=Science-Based Targets Initiative / New approach for setting emissions reduction targets with focus on the amount of emissions that have to be reduced in order to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement, limiting global warming to 1.5°C

23 | 17.03.2022 | FY-2021

3) Task Force on Climate Related Financial Disclosures

GHG emissions of the INS portfolio significantly below German average

GHG emissions Instone portfolio1

  • High-quality insulation and modern heating technology lead to significantly reduced GHG emissions for Instone projects compared to average of existing resi buildings in Germany
  • Instone targets share of buildings with primary energy demand of less than 90% compared to NZEB2 (NZEB -10%) by 2030 of 100%

Project portfolio per energy efficiency standard (as of 31/12/2021)3

1) Diagram refers to the entire Instone portfolio based on the planned energy efficiency during usage (operational carbon only

2) As defined as of December 31, 2021

24 | 17.03.2022 | FY-2021

3) Based on share of surface area / Portfolio: All buildings planned, under construction and completed in 2021

Major ESG-KPIs – achievements and targets

Major KPIs 2020 2021 Targets
Expected GHG emissions of portfolio in use 11 kg CO2e/m² 9.5 kg CO2e/m² -50% (2030 vs. 2020)
Share of projects with renewable energy supply ~14% ~22% At least 40% (2030)
Share
of projects with energy requirements at least NZEB -10%
~79.6% ~82.5% 100% of project portfolio in 2030
GHG emissions
/ scope 1 and 2 abs.
3,387
t CO2e
3,456
t CO2e
-42% (2030 vs.
2020)
GHG emissions
/ scope 1 and 2 Intensity
0.024
t CO2e/sqm
0.010 t CO2e/sqm -42% (2030 vs. 2020)
E GHG emissions / scope 3 abs. 110,058 t CO2e 147.849
t CO2e
Net zero
climate neutrality (2045)
GHG emissions / scope 3 Intensity 0.766 t CO2e/sqm 0.416 t CO2e/sqm Net zero climate neutrality (2045)
Charging stations for EVs ~330 ~734 From 2025, 100% of projects in construction to
provide
charging stations
Brownfield developments (land plot size) 833.746sqm 690,204sqm Acquisition
focus on brownfield projects
Collection of environmental KPIs (e.g. environmental diversity, waste,
water and recycling)
/ ongoing 100% dates delivered by
2025
Shares of affordable housing:
social / subsidized / privately financed
(incl. nyoo)
15% / 2% / 83% 17% / 1.5% / 81.5% at least 50% share of revenues with affordable
housing (social / subsidized / nyoo) by 2030
S Share
of female employees in management positions (below C-level)
25% (1st)* / 22% (2nd) 25% (1st)* / 23% (2nd) at least stable
Employee
satisfaction and loyalty
75% 70% / 76% 75% / 80%
Code of Conduct for employees and contractors (UN Charter) 100% 100% 100%
Employee compliance and data protection
training
96% 99% 100%
Compliance
cases (suspected)
2 0 0
G Independent
Supervisory Board
100% 100% 100%
of ESG targets into management compensation scheme (1st
Integration
management level)
Implemented Implemented Continuous evaluation and adoption

25 | 17.03.2022 | FY-2021

KPI definitions and further explanations can be found in our Annual Report 2021, p. 60

Appendix

Well balanced financing structure at attractive terms

167 Corporate debt Project debt Maturity profile as of 31/12/2021 In €m In %

Weighted average corporate debt maturity 2.4 years
Weighted average corporate interest
costs
3.33%
Share of corporate debt with floating interest 24.1%

Secured/unsecured as of 31/12/2021

27 | 17.03.2022 | FY-2021 All calculations based on drawn values

Project Portfolio Key Figures

€m Q4 2021 Q3 2021 Q2 2021 Q1 2021 Q4
2020
Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q1 2020
Volume of
sales
contracts
761.7 170.7 89.1 118.6** 246.0 94.9 54.1* 69.4
Project Portfolio 7,500.0 7,154.9 6,268.1 6,054.2 6,053.6 5,937.5 5,701.3 5,744.4
thereof already sold 3,038.9 2,308.7 2,444.0 2,360.5 2,328.8 2,108.6 2,017.1 2,189.0
thereof
already realized revenues
1,621.0 1,276.2 1,436.1 1,307.8 1,265.5 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Units Q4 2021 Q3
2021
Q2 2021 Q1 2021 Q4 2020 Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q1 2020
Volume of
sales
contracts
1,906 468 169 372** 708 128 347* 109
Project Portfolio 16,418 15,913 14,338 13,678 13,561 13,374 13,075 12,952
thereof already sold
(Unless otherwise stated, the figures are quarterly values)
7,215 5,401 5,679 5,510 5,381 4,770 4,648 4,799

*Of which €24.3m (303 units) from updated business plan of already sold project Westville.

**Of which €6.3m (186 units) from updated business plan of already sold project part in "Schönhof-Viertel", Frankfurt.

28 | 17.03.2022 | FY-2021

Project Portfolio as of 31/12/2021

(projects > €30m sales volume, representing total: ~ €7.5bn)

Project Location Sales volume (expected,
in milion EUR)
Land plot
acquired
Building right
obtained
Sales
started
Construction
started
Hamburg
Schulterblatt "Amanda" Hamburg 96
Kösliner Weg Norderstedt-Garstedt 93
Sportplatz Bult Hannover 120
Rothenburgsort Hamburg 215
Büntekamp Hannover 146
Saeseler Chaussee Hamburg 84
Berlin
Wendenschlossstr. Berlin N/A
Rote Kaserne West Potsdam 64
NRW
Niederkasseler Lohweg Düsseldorf N/A
Unterbach / Wohnen am Hochfeld Düsseldorf 186
Literaturquartier Essen N/A
REME Mönchengladbach 118
west.side Bonn 202
Gartenstadtquartier Dortmund 103
Bickendorf NRW 715
Projekt NRW - I NRW 73

Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has already been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building rights the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.

Project Portfolio as of 31/12/2021

(projects > €30m sales volume, representing total: ~ €7.5bn)

Project Location Sales volume (expected,
in milion EUR)
Land plot
acquired
Building right
obtained
Sales
started
Construction
started
Rhine-Main
Wiesbaden-Delkenheim, Lange Seegewann Wiesbaden 106
Siemens-Areal Frankfurt 602
St. Marienkrankenhaus Frankfurt am Main 217
Friedberger Landstraße Frankfurt am Main 306
Elisabethenareal Frankfurt Frankfurt am Main 87
Steinbacher Hohl Frankfurt am Main 53
Gallus Frankfurt am Main 41
Westville Frankfurt am Main N/A
Aukamm Wiesbaden 186
Heusenstamm Heusenstamm 156
Kesselstädter Str. Maintal 207
Polaris Hofheim 61
Rheinblick Wiesbaden Wiesbaden 284
Eichenheege Maintal 97
Leipzig
Semmelweisstrasse Leipzig 109
Parkresidenz Leipzig 258
Rosa-Luxemburg-Straße Leipzig 109
Heide Süd Halle (Saale) 38

Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has already been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building rights the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.

Project Portfolio as of 31/12/2021

(projects > €30m sales volume, representing total: ~ €7.5bn)

Project Location Sales volume (expected,
in milion EUR)
Land plot
acquired
Building right
obtained
Sales
started
Construction
started
Baden-Wurttemberg
City-Prag - Wohnen im Theaterviertel Stuttgart 128
Schwarzwaldstraße Herrenberg 50
S`LEDERER Schorndorf N/A
Neckartalterrassen Rottenburg 163
Schäferlinde Herrenberg 61
Schwarzwaldstraße BA II Herrenberg 70
Bavaria South
Ottobrunner Straße München 100
Beethovenpark Augsburg N/A
Bavaria North
Schopenhauerstraße Nürnberg 68
Stephanstraße Nürnberg N/A
Seetor Nürnberg 112
Eslarner Straße Nürnberg 50
Lagarde Bamberg 81
Boxdorf Nürnberg 59
Marina Bricks Regensburg 30
Thumenberger Weg Nürnberg 111
Worzeldorf Nürnberg 68

Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has already been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building rights the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.

• ISIN: DE000A2NBX80 • Ticker symbol: INS

  • No of shares: 46,988,336
  • Index: SDAX
  • Market cap*: €822m
  • Average daily trading volume: €1.3m

Instone Share

  • Free float: 100%
  • Market segment: Prime Standard,

Frankfurt

Financial Calendar

2022

March 17 Annual Report 2021
March 21 Roadshow Germany (Warburg)
March 22 Roadshow UK (Deutsche Bank)
March 23 Roadshow France (Kepler
Cheuvreux)
May 12 Quarterly Statement for the first quarter of 2022
May 19 German SMID Cap Forum,
Stifel
Europe, Frankfurt/Main
June 09 Annual
General Meeting
June 16 Morgan Stanley Europe & EEMEA Property
Conference, London
August 11 Group Interim Report for the first half of 2022
September 19 11th
German Corporate
Conference, Berenberg/Goldman Sachs, Munich
November 10 Quarterly Statement for the first nine months of 2022

Investor Relations Contacts

Burkhard Sawazki

Head of Business Development & Communication

T +49 201 45355-137 M +49 173 2606034 [email protected]

Simone Cujai

Senior Investor Relations Manager

T +49 201 45355-428 M +49 162 8035792 [email protected]

Tania Hanson

Roadshows & Investor Events

T +49 201 45355-311 M +49 152 53033602 [email protected]

Instone Real Estate Group SE Grugaplatz 2-4, 45131 Essen E-Mail: [email protected] Internet: www.instone.de/en

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.