Investor Presentation • Nov 16, 2022
Investor Presentation
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De conformidad con lo establecido en el artículo 227 del texto refundido de la Ley del Mercado de Valores aprobado por el Real Decreto Legislativo 4/2015, de 23 de octubre, Inmobiliaria Colonial, SOCIMI, S.A. ("Colonial" o la "Sociedad") comunica la siguiente
Como continuación a la comunicación de información relevante publicada con fecha 9 de noviembre de 2022 con número de registro 19129, Colonial remite documentación de soporte a la presentación a analistas e inversores relativa a los resultados correspondientes al tercer trimestre de 2022, que se celebrará hoy miércoles día 16 de noviembre de 2022 a las 18:30 horas (CET) a través de un webcast.
Los datos de conexión a la conferencia se detallan a continuación:
España: +34911140101 PIN: 14505393#
Francia: +33170710159 PIN: 14505393#
Holanda: +31207095119 PIN: 14505393#
Reino Unido: +442071943759 PIN: 14505393#
USA: +1 6467224916 PIN: 14505393#
La presentación online será visible a través del siguiente link:
https://onlinexperiences.com/scripts/Server.nxp?LASCmd=AI:4;F:QS!10100&ShowUUID=AB8E DE80-3D7B-4D8F-B4C9-D6EAD28B2630
Adicionalmente, la presentación de resultados estará disponible en la página web de la Sociedad.
En Madrid, a 16 de noviembre de 2022.
16th November 2022
By attending this presentation and receiving this document, you are agreeing to be bound by the following limitations. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws and/or may result in civil, administrative or criminal liabilities.
This document is strictly confidential and is being furnished to you solely for your information. It may not be reproduced, or redistributed to any other person, and it may not be published, in whole or in part, for any purpose.
The information contained in this presentation ("Presentation") has been prepared by Inmobiliaria Colonial, SOCIMI S.A. (the "Company") and has not been independently verified and will not be updated. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein and nothing in this Presentation is, or shall be relied upon as, a promise or representation. None of the Company nor any of its employees, officers, directors, advisers, representatives, agents or affiliates shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise, whether direct or indirect, in contract, tort or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this Presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this Presentation.
This Presentation is for information purposes only and is incomplete without reference to, and should be viewed solely in conjunction with, the oral briefing provided by the Company and the Company's publicly available information. The information and opinions in this presentation are provided as at the date hereof and subject to change without notice. It is not the intention to provide, and you may not rely on these materials as providing, a complete or comprehensive analysis of the Company's financial or trading position or prospects.
This Presentation does not constitute investment, legal, accounting, regulatory, taxation or other advice and does not take into account your investment objectives or legal, accounting, regulatory, taxation or financial situation or particular needs. You are solely responsible for forming your own opinions and conclusions on such matters and for making your own independent assessment of the Company. You are solely responsible for seeking independent professional advice in relation to the Company. No responsibility or liability is accepted by any person for any of the information or for any action taken by you or any of your officers, employees, agents or associates on the basis of such information.
This Presentation contains financial information regarding the businesses and assets of the Company. Such financial information may not have been audited, reviewed or verified by any independent accounting firm. The inclusion of such financial information in this Presentation or any related presentation should not be regarded as a representation or warranty by the Company, its affiliates, advisors or representatives or any other person as to the accuracy or completeness of such information's portrayal of the financial condition or results of operations by the Company and should not be relied upon when making an investment decision. . Certain financial and statistical information in this document has been subject to rounding off adjustments. Accordingly, the sum of certain data may not conform to the expressed total.
Certain statements in this Presentation are forward-looking. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These include, among other factors, changing economic, business or other market conditions, changing political conditions and the prospects for growth anticipated by the Company's management. These and other factors could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation and based upon past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. The Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
The market and industry data and forecasts included in this Presentation were obtained from internal surveys, estimates, experts and studies, where appropriate as well as external market research, publicly available information and industry publications. The Company, it affiliates, directors, officers, advisors and employees have not independently verified the accuracy of any such market and industry data and forecasts and make no representations or warranties in relation thereto. Such data and forecasts are included herein for information purposes only. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry or market data contained in this Presentation.
NEITHER THIS DOCUMENT NOR ANY OF THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN CONSTITUTES AN OFFER OF PURCHASE, SALE OR EXCHANGE, NOR A REQUEST FOR AN OFFER OF PURCHASE, SALE OR EXCHANGE OF SECURITIES, OR ANY ADVICE OR RECOMMENDATION WITH RESPECT TO SUCH SECURITIES.
Pere Viñolas Chief Executive Officer
Carmina Ganyet Corporate Managing Director
Carlos Krohmer Chief Corporate Development Officer
Delivery of profitable Growth on the back of polarization
6
1) CBD & Madrid Inside M-30 & Paris 7eme and 15eme
02 Financials – Double digit profit growth
Top-line driving double digit profit growth
Significant increase in Earnings
Profit fully top line driven
Recurring Net Profit: +30% YoY
Recurring EPS +23% YoY
Revenue Growth excluding impact of disposals3 of +16%
+10% Revenue increase due to rental growth in Core Portfolio & Acquisitions
+6% Revenue increase through delivery on projects & renovation program
GROSS RENTAL INCOME - €m
+7% like for like in Gross Rental Income on the back of polarization
GRI of €262m +12% year on year, driven by Paris (+17%)
GRI Like-for-like increase of +7%, one of the highest in the sector
Like for like growth with strong pricing power component
Highest like-for-like growth in the last 5 years One of the highest LFL growth rates in the sector
1) Peer Group Office LFL Gross Rental Income growth, based on last reported figures of 9 companies in Eurozone and UK
Strong growth in revenues with +24% profit impact
Improvement in financial costs due to liability management
Additional profit impact through SFL stake acquisition
€84m of secondary assets divested as of October 2022 YTD
Total premium of +9% on last reported GAV
1 Excluding formalization costs accrued over the life of debt. . Including them, the financial cost amounted to 1.57%.
Without considering the ECP program, the spot financial cost amounts to 1.56% (1.71% including the financing costs) 2 Fixed Cost debt = Debt at fixed cost / Net debt
≥ 2025
Superior pricing power on the back of prime positioning
Grade A assets scarce, especially in Paris
Market Take-up with positive momentum in the 3 cities
Letting concentrated in Grade A assets in CityCenter locations
(1) Ile de France
Source: Cushman & Wakefield; CBRE; BNP
Colonial with strong letting activity, +16% on previous year
Letting activity focused on CBD assets with high Sustainability Credentials
Solid mix between renewals and new lettings
1) CBD & Madrid Inside M-30 & Paris 7eme and 15eme 2) CBD includes 22@ in Barcelona
Capturing New Tenants & renewing with Top tier Clients
PARIS MADRID
(1) Market Share: Colonial Stock as a % of total CBD office stock (sqm)
(2) Share on take up: Colonial new lettings as a % of total office take up (sqm)
Source: Cushman & Wakefield, CBRE; Immostat
Strong Occupancy levels on the back of strong letting performance & high client loyalty
Operations – Outperformance through polarization Vacancy at healthy 4.2%: availability of top-quality product 03
4.2% of available high-quality space with solid letting prospects
1.7% renovation program assets in Madrid, Barcelona & Paris
1.5% Grade A CBD premises in Barcelona & Madrid
Solid Market Rental Growth of +5% driven by Madrid & Paris
+7% release spread (+8% in Madrid & +6% Paris)
(1) Signed rents vs 12/21 ERV (new lettings & renewals)
(2) Signed rents vs previous contracts (renewals)
Pricing Power & Alpha driving superior revenue growth
1
Pricing Power – Indexation fully captured securing significant P/L GRI growth
7/8 assets almost fully pre –let
Yield on Cost Confirmed: 5/8 projects delivered
Remaining capex of €160m fully financed
| Project | City | Surface (sqm) |
Let / Pre let |
Delivery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Diagonal 525 | Barcelona CBD | 5,706 | ✓ 100% |
✓ |
| 2 83 Marceau | Paris CBD | 9,600 | ✓ 100% |
✓ |
| 3 Velazquez 86D | Madrid CBD | 16,318 | ✓ 86% |
✓ |
| 4 Miguel Angel 23 | Madrid CBD | 8,204 | ✓ 100% |
✓ 10/22 |
| 5 Biome | Paris City Center |
24,500 | ✓ 100% |
✓ 11/22 |
| 6 Sagasta 27 |
Madrid CBD | 4,896 | Sold ✓ |
Sold ✓ |
| 7 Plaza Europa 34 | Barcelona | 14,306 | High ✓ interest for 100% |
1H 23 |
| 8 Louvre SaintHonoré | Paris CBD | 16,000 | ✓ 100% |
2024 |
| 9 Méndez Alvaro Campus |
Madrid CBD South |
89,871 | Marketing start 4Q 22 |
1H 24 |
| CURRENT PIPELINE |
189,401 |
€54m of Gross Rents secured (67% of €81m full potential)
Substantial immediate P&L impact to come
Further Growth to be captured (€27m until full potential)
1 09/22 YTD GRI (9 months cumulative)
2 Annualized topped-Up passing GRI as of 09/22
2– Alpha – Prime factory – Project pipeline with immediate impact in P&L
7/8 projects pre-let at market's maximum ERVs
Contracts signed with AAA tenants
8 out of 9 projects delivered
6 out of 8 delivered assets are almost fully let
Only 1 project left to start in 2023
€36m of Gross Rents secured (76% of €47m full potential)
Substantial immediate P&L impact to come
17
Secured GRI to come
P&L
Further Growth to be captured (€11m until full potential)
36 11
47
76% Secured YTD
Full Potential
Secured/Passing
2– Alpha – Prime factory – Renovation program with immediate impact in P&L
Renovation program almost fully let
Signed rents well above market ERVs
Contracts signed with AAA tenants
Superior growth & returns through prime positioning
Gross Rental Income +12% (+17% Paris)
Gross Rental Income like-for-like of +7%
Recurring EPS +23% YoY
Strong operations securing additional cash flow
Indexation fully passed through
Strong rental growth ongoing
Renovation Program Strong GRI growth
Project Pipeline Significant GRI growth 23
2022 recurring EPS beating the upper range of guidance
PanEuropean Prime CBD assets outperforming the market
Appendices
Solid profitability with enhanced quality
Group Net Profit of €398m, +116% YoY
Recurring Earnings of €119m, +30% YoY
EPRA EPS of €22.11/share; +23% YoY
| Profit & Loss Account |
||
|---|---|---|
| Results analysis - €m |
3Q 22 |
3Q 21 |
| Gross Rents |
262 | 234 |
| Recurring EBITDA |
207 | 186 |
| Recurring financial result |
(58) | (62) |
| Income expense & others - recurring tax |
(9) | (9) |
| Minority interests - recurring |
(21) | (23) |
| Recurring Earnings |
119 | 92 |
| Change in fair value of & provisions assets |
315 | 146 |
| Non-recurring financial result & MTM |
(3) | (30) |
| Income & others - non-recurring tax |
2 | (15) |
| Minority interests - non-recurring |
(35) | (9) |
| Profit attributable to the Group |
398 | 184 |
| Recurring Earnings - €m |
119 | 92 |
| Nosh (mm) | 539.6 | 513.6 |
| EPS recurring - Cts€/share |
22.11 | 17.91 |
Superior performance on the back of high-quality prime product
(1) Rental prices signed vs previous rents
(2) Signed rents vs 12/21 ERV (new lettings & renewals)
(3) Financial vacancy calculated according to EPRA methodology – Office Portfolio
Vacancy at very healthy levels in every segment
Office portfolio vacancy stable at a healthy 4.2% level (2.5% excluding Torre Marenostrum & Ortega y Gasset)
1.7% renovation program assets in Madrid, Barcelona & Paris
Outstanding Paris at 0.2% vacancy in the office portfolio
Solid ERV YTD growth of +5% driven by Madrid & Paris
+7% release spread YTD (+8% in Madrid & +6% Paris)
(1) Signed rents vs 12/21 ERV (new lettings & renewals)
(2) Signed rents vs previous contracts (renewals)
(3) Excluding the renewal of a tenant a building in the 22@, with a market rent review, extending the maturity of the contract
Project pipeline – GRI reversionary potential going forward
More than €80m of additional rents to flow into the recurring P/L
€54m of secured rents through solid pre-let performance
Project pipeline delivery & pre-letting process on track
1 Total Cost Finished Product= Acquisition Cost/Asset Value pre Project + total Capex to be invested
2Annualized topped-Up passing GRI as of 09/22
3 Pending Capex as of 09/22
| Pending Capex3 - €m |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 42-47 | ||||
| 2023 | 79-84 | ||||
| 2024 | 39-44 | ||||
| Total Pending Capex | 160-175 | ||||
| Thereof Spain | 128-136 | ||||
| Thereof France | 32-39 |
Project pipeline – significant value creation potential going forward
€2.5bn of value expected
Base for significant future NTA growth
2022 Delivery on track
| Project | City | % Group Delivery | GLA (sqm) |
1 Total Cost €m |
Yield on Cost |
Value creation potential - €bn |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diagonal 525 | Barcelona CBD | 100% | Delivered | 5,706 | 41 | ≈ 5% | ||
| 2 | 83 Marceau | Paris CBD | 98% | Delivered | 9,600 | 154 | ≈ 6% | 2.4 – 2.6 |
|
| 3 | Velazquez 86D | Madrid CBD | 100% | Delivered | 16,318 | 116 | > 6% | 2.1 Future 2.0 |
|
| 4 | Miguel Angel 23 | Madrid CBD | 100% | 4Q 22 | 8,204 | 66 | > 5% | Value 1.7 Creation |
|
| 2022 | 5 | Biome | Paris City Center | 98% | 4Q 22 | 24,500 | 283 | ≈ 5% | 1.3 |
| 6 | Sagasta 27 | Madrid CBD | 100% | Sold | 4,896 | ||||
| 7 | Plaza Europa 34 | Barcelona | 50% | 1H 23 | 14,306 | 42 | ≈ 7% | ||
| >2022 | 8 | Mendez Alvaro Campus | Madrid CBD South | 100% | 1H 24 | 89,871 | 323 | 7- 8% | |
| 9 | Prime Louvre SaintHonoré Commercial |
Paris CBD | 98% | 2024 | 16,000 | 215 | 7- 8% | ||
| CURRENT PIPELINE | 189,401 | 1,241 | 6- 7% | 1 | |||||
| Total cost Current value Current value Current value Stabilized 3 2 4 5 12/20 12/21 06/22 Value |
1 Total Cost Finished Product= Acquisition Cost/Asset Value pre Project + total Capex to be invested
Significant value creation potential
▪ 5 Projects already delivered
▪ 3 Projects in 2023/24
Delivery well balanced
Investment markets for prime product remain active
Paris CBD an attractive target for International Investors
Pricing above appraisals for Core product in CBD
| Asset | Area | Price | GLA | Cap. Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S RI A P |
150, Champs-Élysées (3Q 2022) |
CBD | €600m | 18,000 sqm | €33,333/sqm |
| 2 Place Rio (2Q 2022) |
CBD | €282m | 8,676 sqm | €32,570/sqm | |
| Portefeuille Dray (3Q 2022) |
CBD | €900m | 29,700 sqm | €32,260/sqm | |
| SKY (1Q 2022) |
CBD | €108m | 3,500 sqm | €30,928/sqm | |
| 61 rue des belles feuilles (3Q 2022) |
CBD | €317m | 11,170 sqm | €28,380/sqm | |
| 14 EYLAU (3Q 2022) |
CBD | €100m | 3,630 sqm | €27,000/sqm |
Barcelona with solid investment activity– specially in the 22@ district
Investor appetite with increased momentum for Prime in Madrid
| Asset | Area | Price | GLA | Cap. Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D RI D A M |
Castellana 51 (3Q 2022) |
CBD | €239m | 18,700m | €12,750/sqm |
| Goya 36 (1Q 2022) |
CBD | €52m | 4,500 m | €11,556/sqm | |
| Ancora 40 (1Q 2022) |
CBD | €51 | 7,215 sqm | €7,069/sqm | |
| A N O L E C R A B |
Step Up (2Q 2022) |
22@ | €35m | 4,500 sqm | €7,777/sqm |
| Sancho de Ávila 105 (2Q 2022) |
22@ | €18m | 2,500 sqm | €7,200/sqm | |
| Antic de Valencia (2Q 2022) |
22@ | €65m | 10,010 sqm | €6,493/sqm |
Long-term financing profile with extended debt maturities
LTV of 37.9% with a liquidity of €2,140m
A solid financial structure with competitive financing costs
Maturity profile of debt facilities - €bn
© Colonial
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