Investor Presentation • Jul 29, 2020
Investor Presentation
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De conformidad con lo establecido en el artículo 228 del texto refundido de la Ley del Mercado de Valores (la "Ley del Mercado de Valores") aprobado por el Real Decreto Legislativo 4/2015, de 23 de octubre, Inmobiliaria Colonial, SOCIMI, S.A. ("Colonial" o la "Sociedad") comunica el siguiente
Como continuación a la comunicación de información relevante publicada con fecha 27 de julio de 2020 con número de registro 3635, Colonial remite documentación de soporte a la presentación a analistas e inversores relativa a los resultados correspondientes al primer semestre de 2020, que se celebrará hoy miércoles día 29 de julio de 2020 a las 19:30 horas (CET) a través de un webcast.
Los datos de conexión a la conferencia se detallan a continuación:
Desde España: +34911140101 + Pin Code 52982832# Desde Francia: +33 185654601 + Pin Code: 52982832# Desde Holanda: +31207095119 + Pin Code 52982832# Desde el Reino Unido: +442071943759 + Pin Code 52982832# Desde USA: +1 6467224916 + Pin Code 52982832#
La presentación online será visible a través del siguiente link:
https://onlinexperiences.com/Launch/QReg/ShowUUID=912B12CE-1398-4EF4-89B6-344BD91774B1
Adicionalmente, la presentación de resultados estará disponible en la página web de la Sociedad.
En Madrid, a 29 de julio de 2020.
First Half Results 2020
July 2020
By attending this presentation and receiving this document, you are agreeing to be bound by the following limitations. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws and/or may result in civil, administrative or criminal liabilities.
This document is strictly confidential and is being furnished to you solely for your information. It may not be reproduced, or redistributed to any other person, and it may not be published, in whole or in part, for any purpose.
The information contained in this presentation ("Presentation") has been prepared by Inmobiliaria Colonial, SOCIMI S.A. (the "Company") and has not been independently verified and will not be updated. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein and nothing in this Presentation is, or shall be relied upon as, a promise or representation. None of the Company nor any of its employees, officers, directors, advisers, representatives, agents or affiliates shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise, whether direct or indirect, in contract, tort or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this Presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this Presentation.
This Presentation is for information purposes only and is incomplete without reference to, and should be viewed solely in conjunction with, the oral briefing provided by the Company and the Company's publicly available information. The information and opinions in this presentation are provided as at the date hereof and subject to change without notice. It is not the intention to provide, and you may not rely on these materials as providing, a complete or comprehensive analysis of the Company's financial or trading position or prospects.
This Presentation does not constitute investment, legal, accounting, regulatory, taxation or other advice and does not take into account your investment objectives or legal, accounting, regulatory, taxation or financial situation or particular needs. You are solely responsible for forming your own opinions and conclusions on such matters and for making your own independent assessment of the Company. You are solely responsible for seeking independent professional advice in relation to the Company. No responsibility or liability is accepted by any person for any of the information or for any action taken by you or any of your officers, employees, agents or associates on the basis of such information.
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Certain statements in this Presentation are forward-looking. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These include, among other factors, changing economic, business or other market conditions, changing political conditions and the prospects for growth anticipated by the Company's management. These and other factors could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation and based upon past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. The Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
The market and industry data and forecasts included in this Presentation were obtained from internal surveys, estimates, experts and studies, where appropriate as well as external market research, publicly available information and industry publications. The Company, it affiliates, directors, officers, advisors and employees have not independently verified the accuracy of any such market and industry data and forecasts and make no representations or warranties in relation thereto. Such data and forecasts are included herein for information purposes only. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry or market data contained in this Presentation.
NEITHER THIS DOCUMENT NOR ANY OF THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN CONSTITUTES AN OFFER OF PURCHASE, SALE OR EXCHANGE, NOR A REQUEST FOR AN OFFER OF PURCHASE, SALE OR EXCHANGE OF SECURITIES, OR ANY ADVICE OR RECOMMENDATION WITH RESPECT TO SUCH SECURITIES.
| 01 | Highlights | |
|---|---|---|
Solid results with resilient Q2
Total Shareholder Return 2019 of +8.4% YoY
EPRA NAV of €11.21€ per share: +7% YoY
Gross Asset Value of €12.2bn, +4% like-for-like YoY
Gross Rental Income of €177m, +1% like-for-like
Net Rental Income of €165m, +4% like-for-like
Recurring earnings of €83m, +20% YoY
Recurring EPS of €16.24cts. per share, +20%
Group Net Profit of €(26)m
Occupancy of 96%
Letting activity ongoing with good terms
Positive Release Spreads and Rental Growth
Project Pipeline with 33% pre-lets
Disposal of non-core assets on track
Financial Results remain solid in Q2 – Defensive prime positioning
Total Annual Shareholder Return of +8.4%, flat in 1H 20
Net Asset Value of 11.21€/share +6.5%
Recurring EPS of 16.24€Cts/ share, +20%
| Total Annual Return - € per share |
1H 20 | 6M | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN | (0.5%) | +8.4% | |
| EPRA NAV - €/share growth |
11.21 | (2.2%) | +6.5% |
| Profit & Loss - €m |
1H 20 | YoY Var |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Rental Income | €177m | +2% LFL |
| Net Rental Income | €165m | +5% LFL |
| Recurring Net Profit | €83m | +20% |
| Recurring EPS | €16.24cts/share | +20% |
| Strong Capital Value Growth (GAV) | 1H 20 | 6M | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group like-for-like | €12,164m | (0.2%) | +4% |
| Madrid like-for-like | (2%) | +1% | |
| Barcelona like-for-like | (2%) | +5% | |
| Paris like-for-like | +1% | +6% |
| Balance sheet - €m |
1H 20 | YoY Var |
|---|---|---|
| GAV Group | €12,164m | +4 LFL |
| EPRA NAV | €5,697m | +6.5% |
| A solid capital structure | 06/20 |
|---|---|
| LTV | 36.6% |
| Liquidity | €2,488m |
| Rating S&P | BBB+ Stable |
Solid fundamentals driving top line growth
Outstanding NRI Like for Like growth of +4%
Double digit Release Spread & Superior Rental Growth
Strong CBD positioning with high Paris exposure
| Solid Fundamentals | 1H 20 | |
|---|---|---|
| EPRA Vacancy | 4% | |
| Volume of sq m signed |
42,247 | |
| # transactions signed | 32 | |
| Outstanding GRI like for like | 1H 20 | YoY Var |
| Group like-for-like3 | €177m | +1% |
| Offices Like-for-Like3 & 5 | €172m | +3% |
| Madrid like-for-like3 | +7% | |
| Barcelona like-for-like3 | +9% | |
| Paris like-for-like3 | (0.8%) | |
| Outstanding NRI like for like | 1H 20 | YoY Var |
|---|---|---|
| Group like-for-like3 | €165m | +4% |
| Offices Like-for-Like3 & 5 | €161m | +5% |
| Madrid like-for-like3 | +16% | |
| Barcelona like-for-like3 | +14% | |
| Paris like-for-like3 | (1%) |
(1) Rental prices signed vs previous rents
(2) Rental prices signed vs ERV 12/19
(3) EPRA like-for-like variance based on EPRA BPR methodology
(4) Office portfolio in operation with Leed & Breeam certificates
(5) Office portfolio + Prime retail of Galeries Champs Elysées and DAU Pedralbes
Madrid Paris
+6% +10%
Conversations with circa 41% of clients
Agreements almost finalized Spain with agreements on all files
Discounts in very limited cases: 2% impact YTD on annual GRI
10
Agreements almost finalized Spain with agreements on all files
Deferrals in exchange of longer-term maturities
Secured future GRI of €40m YTD through longer maturities
11
Scarcity in Prime Product
In the three markets, 2Q 2020 rental prices continued in line with prior quarter for prime location assets
CBD rental transactions decreased due to COVID-19 crisis and the scarcity of grade A product
| A N O L |
Diagonal 609 Prime CBD |
28 €/sqm/month |
1,245 sqm |
Diagonal 616 Prime CBD |
26 €/sqm/month |
1,063 sqm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E C R A B |
Diagonal 409 Prime CBD |
25 €/sqm/month |
510 sqm |
Diagonal 682 Prime CBD |
25 €/sqm/month |
322 sqm |
| D RI D |
Velázquez 34 Prime CBD |
37 €/sqm/month |
968 sqm |
Serrano 47 Prime CBD |
41.5 €/sqm/month |
329 sqm |
| A M |
Hermosilla 11 Prime CBD |
37 €/sqm/month |
196 sqm |
Torre Picasso Prime CBD |
35 €/sqm/month |
330 sqm |
| S | 83 Marceau Prime CBD |
+++ €/sqm/year |
6,500 sqm |
16 Matignon Prime CBD |
860 €/sqm/year |
1,500 sqm |
| RI A P |
39 Tour Mabourg Prime CBD |
820 €/sqm/year |
1,700 sqm |
36 La Fayette Prime CBD |
760 €/sqm/year |
5,400 sqm |
(1) Market consultants in Spain report gross yields and in France they report net yields 10 year Bond as of 31 December 2019
Source: JLL, CBRE & Bloomberg
Unparalleled exposure to CBD
Letting activity remains solid in Q2 2020 – Contracts signed in good terms
(2) Rental prices signed vs ERV 12/19
(3) Maturity until expiry of the contract
(4) Financial vacancy calculated according to EPRA methodology
(5) Rental prices signed vs previous rents
Letting activity remains solid in Q2 2020
More than 28,000 sqm signed in Q2 2020
Covid19 months 2on quarter letting activity higher than 1st quarter (PreCovid)
Solid rental levels with healthy maturities
Rental Price levels remain solid in 2Q 2020
Price levels remain solid in every segment
Releases Spreads double digit in Spain & France
Rental Prices +11% vs ERV 12/19
(1) Signed rents vs previous contracts (renewals)
(2) Signed rents vs 12/18 ERV (new lettings & renewals)
(3) Signed rents vs 12/19 ERV (new lettings & renewals)
Castellana 163
Marceau
Letting activity remains solid in April & May 2020
Unique asset in Paris Prime location
Project design with the highest environmental standards
Pre-let of more than 6,000 sqm with AAA tenants
More than 6,000 pre-let with Goldman Sachs for its Paris HQ
Just 1,400 sqm left available, project delivery in 2H 2021
Unique location, at 150 meter from Place de l'Étoile.
Fully redesigned by French talented Dominique Perrault's architect.
Six-storey property features an interior courtyard and terraces offering outstanding views of the Arc de Triomphe.
Hybrid building offering meeting areas and high-quality services
Best environmental standards with highest technical performances.
Vacancy at very healthy levels in every segment
Group & Office portfolio vacancy at a healthy 4%
Paris at 2% excluding 103 Grenelle entry into operation
Group at 3% vacancy excluding 103 Grenelle entry into operation
Vacancy at very healthy levels in every segment
Group & Office portfolio vacancy at 4%
1% of new vacancy due to entry in operation of Renovation Program asset Grenelle
Available space in Madrid and Barcelona, mainly in secondary locations
Logistics disposal – Execution of Call Option confirmed
Settlement of Call Option signed in 2019
€100m cash proceeds in July
€64m cash proceeds in Q4 2020
In August 2019 Colonial signed the disposal of its logistics portfolio which included a call option for part of them
In July 2020, the call option has been executed:
It includes 7 assets with 159,000 sqm in the first and second ring of Madrid
The assets include more than 150 decks, cross docking warehouses and more than 1,000 parking units
The 7 assets have Bream or Lead energy efficiency certificates
€100m cash proceeds in July 2020
€64m cash proceeds in Q4 2020
A good start into the year 2020 with solid financials
Gross Rental Income +2% and +1% like for like
Office portfolio GRI +7% and +3% like for like
Madrid and Barcelona outstanding GRI growth
Like-for-like rental growth price driven
Like-for-like growth largely driven by rental price increases
Barcelona fully price driven
Madrid growth driven by a combination of price and volume
1 Like-for-like variance calculation based on EPRA best practice methodology 2 Office portfolio + Prime retail of Galeries Champs Elysées and Pedralbes Centre
NRI like for like growth at +5% like for like
Net Rental Income like-for-like increase at +4%, +5% like for like
Barcelona and Madrid with outstanding NRI growth
Like-for-like growth in 1H20 accelerating by 95 bp YoY
1 Like-for-like variance calculation based on EPRA best practice methodology 2 Office portfolio + Prime retail of Galeries Champs Elysées and Dau Pedralbes
Strong underlying growth in Asset Values
Gross Asset Value of €12,164m (€12,773m including transfer costs)
+4% like for like YoY growth, flat in 6 months
Paris outstanding with +6% like for like YoY (+1% in 6 months)
(0.2%) like for like Capital Value Growth in 1H 2020
Positioning in Paris CBD offsetting slight decline in Spain
Strong Alpha component of +1.2% (Project Delivery)
Profitable growth with enhanced quality
High double digit recurring EPS growth
NRI growth the main profit driver
Non-Core Disposals enhancing the quality of returns
(1) Recurring EPS
Profitable growth with enhanced quality
Recurring Earnings is high double digits
Stabel dividend based on strong cash flow generator
Net profit at €(26)m driven by asset revaluation
| 1H 2020 | |
|---|---|
| +6% LFL | |
| + | |
| + | |
| Recurring Earnings - €m |
83 | 69 | +20% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nosh (mm) | 508 | 508 | - |
| EPS recurring - Cts€/share |
16.24 | 13.51 | +20% |
DIVIDEND PER SHARE
Cts€/share
Ongoing access to debt markets and liquidity
Investment Grade Rating confirmed
€200m of ESG loan signed in Spain and €150m in France
€500m successful bond issuance in France
| Investment Grade Rating Confirmed | New loans signed | Bond issuance in France | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credit Rating confirmed | New ESG loan in Spain – €200m |
Successful issuance in bond market | |
| ✓ Top tier international banks |
✓ €500m |
||
| ✓ | S&P maintains rating at BBB+ | ✓ 1.5% fixed coupon |
|
| ✓ | Moody's maintains rating at Baa2 | ✓ All in cost of 137 bp |
✓ 7 years maturity |
| ✓ Linked to GRESB rating |
✓ 4x oversubscription |
||
| ✓ 60% allocation in France |
|||
| BBB+ ✓ |
By country By investor type |
||
| stable | Revolving Credit Facility in France - €150m |
Rest of Banks Europe 2% 11% Official Instit |
|
| Baa2 ✓ stable |
✓ Increased amount with €150m |
14% Benelux 7% Germany Insurance Asset France 8% 16% Manag 60% ers |
|
| ✓ Extension of maturity until 2025 |
68% UK 14% |
✓ Unsecured debt
An unparalleled high-quality collateral diversified in three cities
A solid financial structure with competitive financing costs
A strong credit profile
More than €12bn of high quality assets
Rating Standard & Poor's BBB+ Stable Outlook
Rating Moody's Baa2 Stable Outlook
| 31/12/2019 | 30/06/2020 | |
|---|---|---|
| GAV | €12,164m | €12,196m |
| Cash | €217m | €773m |
| Net Debt |
€4,609m | €4,644m |
| Group LTV |
36.1% | 36.6% |
| Debt Maturity |
Group | 4.8 years |
| Debt Maturities 2020-21 - €m |
||
| (1) €352m |
||
| Non-Mortgage | debt | 95% |
| Cost of Debt |
Group | 1.69% |
| Cash | €773m | |
| Undrawn | Balances | €1,715m |
| Liquidity | €2,488m |
(1) Excluding ECP Program
Solid Total Shareholder Return
+8.4% Total Annual Shareholder Return YoY, flat in 6 months
EPRA NAV of 11.21 €/share, +6.5% YoY
EPRA NAV per dividend of 11.41€/share, flat vs 12/19
"Alpha" approach providing resilience in downturns
Total Return (NAV pre dividend) almost flat vs 12/19 and +8,4% YoY
Project Delivery providing asset value growth +5% YoY and +1% vs 12/19
Recurring EPS providing cash flow base for dividend
Non Financial Highlights - ESG Strong Commitment to ESG & Decarbonization 06
COLONIAL ALIGNED WITH PARIS AGREEMENT
Objective of carbon neutral portfolio in 2050
Objective of a 75% carbon reduction until 20301
CARBON EMISSIONS – PORTFOLIO LIKE FOR LIKE
2015 – 2019 (KgCo2e/sqm)
| 2018 – 2019 |
|
|---|---|
| (KgCo2e/sqm) |
SCOPE 1 & 2 – FIGURES LIKE FOR LIKE
Office portfolio in operation
Small premise of 2,500sqm above ground
Good location in the 22@ area of Barcelona
JV partnering with Family Office of Barcelona, current owner of the land & project
A building of wood has significant advantages in reducing the carbon footprint
Trade-off Decarbonization vs. Economics
First office building built entirely of wood in Spain
Located in 22@, Barcelona's burgeoning technological district, home to over 8,800 firms
Plot is situated in one of Barcelona's 22@ most dynamic areas: Poblenou's Rambla
Surrounded by multinational companies (e.g. Glovo, General Electric) and flex Buildings
Excellent public transport services and amenities in the vicinity
A diversified Core CBD Portfolio with a strong balance sheet
✓ A super Core CBD Portfolio
✓ AAA Clients with strong solvency
✓ A defensive Project Pipeline
✓ Flight to quality
Colonial as largest office owner in the City Center of Madrid, Barcelona and Paris
Strong market share in CBD
Prime positioning enhances resilience
Strong footprint in Paris through SFL
Unparalleled CBD exposure, far beyond any other peer
Strong fundamentals in the city centre of Paris with significant lack of supply
€7,2Bn exposure to super prime
98,5% of portfolio inside Paris city centre
SFL portfolio Peers Assets in CBD > 15,000 sqm 10 1 0 0 COL Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3
Paris CBD market with 1.6% vacancy
Less than 150.000 sqm of high quality supply in the City Center
Long term take-up well above current supply
A A Super Core CBD Portfolio with solid valuationn levels 1
Prime Yields at very attractive spreads compared to reference rates
Colonial portfolio at prudent valuation levels
Prime product with defensive metrics
(1) Market consultants in Spain report gross yields and in France they report net yields (2) Portfolio in operation (3) According to JLL
1A A Super Core CBD Portfolio – Investment transactions since Covid-19 crisis
Investment market for CBD Offices remains active
Markets continues with solid transaction prices YTD
50
Reversion as solid cash flow "buffer"
Contract Portfolio under-rented
Delivery of high release spreads YTD
Significant Pre-let level with AAA tenants
Top Product in unique locations
| GRI – | Project Pipeline | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% Pre-let |
12/2019 | Current | |||||||||
| 100% Pre-let |
|||||||||||
| 80% Pre-let |
peline Total |
25% Pre-let |
33% Pre-let |
||||||||
| Pi | |||||||||||
| mitted peline |
40% | 52% | |||||||||
| m Pi Co |
Pre-let | Pre-let | |||||||||
| 100% Pre-let |
|||||||||||
GRI Pre-Let €m
3 A defensive project pipeline
Significant Pre-let level with AAA tenants
Top Product in unique locations
| GRI – Path to reversion |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% Pre-let |
||||||||||||
| 100% Pre-let |
55 57 |
436 449 |
||||||||||
| 80% Pre-let |
||||||||||||
| 28 | 381 392 |
|||||||||||
| 353 364 |
||||||||||||
| 100% Pre-let |
Group GRI Group GRI 12/19 6/201 |
Secured project Pipeline |
Proforma I | Rest of pipeline |
Full project reversion |
|||||||
1 Topped-up GRI as of 6/20 excluding logistis & Castellana 163
Flight to quality through active asset management 4
Ongoing flight to quality through disciplined capital allocation
Disposal of non-core asset for €1.4bn
Increasing the prime exposure and defensive profile of our portfolio
Total Shareholder Return 2019 of +9% YoY
Net Asset Value €11.21/share (€11.41/share pre-dividend)
A prime CBD portfolio with defensive value
Solid growth in Income
Recurring earnings of €83m, +20% YoY
Recurring EPS of €16.24cts. per share, +20%
Scarce supply of high quality product
Q2 2020 Letting activity in good terms
Project Pipeline with 33% pre-lets
Investment markets for prime product remain active
Colonial awarded for the 4th year in a row by MSCI as best performing portfolio in Spain
Colonial outperformed the Benchmark in 2019 and over last 3 and 5 years
Spanish index benchmark made of 51 portfolios and 490 assets worth €19Bn
Colonial has been awarded as Best Performing
Colonial outperformed the Benchmark in 2019
and over last 3 and 5 years
Spanish index benchmark made of 51 portfolios and
490 assets worth €19Bn
2020
2019
A solid platform to capture future growth
Solid intrinsic growth profile of CBD portfolio
Colonial well-positioned to capture reversion
Significant future value creation through CBD Project pipeline
1 Topped-up passing GRI
2 Logistics portfolio available for sell
3 Renovation program & GLI under repositioning
4 Breakdown based on GAV 6/20
A solid capital structure
An unparalleled high-quality collateral diversified in three cities
A solid financial structure with competitive financing costs
A strong credit profile
More than €12bn of high quality assets
Rating Standard & Poor's BBB+ Stable Outlook
Baa2 Stable Outlook
| Capital Structure | 31/12/2019 | 30/06/2020 |
|---|---|---|
| Net Debt | €4,609m | €4,644m |
| Group LTV | 36% | 36.6% |
| Liquidity | €2,082m | €2,488m |
| Maturity Spain Maturity Group |
5.6 years 4.9 years |
5.1 years 4.9 years |
| Cost of Debt Group | 1.63% | 1.69% |
A SOLID FINANCIAL STRUCTURE
Delivery of two new hybrid office buildings within Colonial's portfolio during 1H
Enhancement of user experience through the combination of flexible product and new contents
Prime locations and customer centric contents allows for talent attraction
Prime location in the CBD of Madrid
3,600 sqm of flexible space within a Colonial building
New Hybrid product: combination of traditional and flexible offices in
the financial area of Madrid
Prime location in the 22@ of Barcelona
3,850 sqm of flexible space in front of the sea
New Hybrid product in the Barceloneta, a highly sought after neighbourhood for international companies and digital start-ups
traditional flex
© Colonial
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