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Industrivärden

Quarterly Report Oct 5, 2017

2928_10-q_2017-10-05_d89897d5-3d45-48fd-89d7-340025f82f87.pdf

Quarterly Report

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INTERIM REPORT 9M:2017

January 1 – September 30, 2017

  • The total return for the first nine months 2017 amounted to 23 % for the Class A shares and 25 % for the Class C shares, compared with 12 % for the Stockholm Stock Exchanges' total return index (SIXRX).
  • Net asset value on September 30, 2017, was SEK 95.9 billion, or SEK 220/share, an increase since year-end 2017 of SEK 29/share or by 18 % including reinvested dividend.
  • Earnings per share during the first nine months 2017 amounted to SEK 34.73 per share.
  • The debt-equities ratio as per September 30, 2017, was 10 %, a decrease since year-end of 2 %-points.
  • In February, the convertible bond worth EUR 550 M matured, whereby approximately 9 % was converted to 2.9 million new Class C shares.
  • In June, the portfolio company SCA was divided in the hygiene and health company Essity as well as the forest products company SCA.

VALUE PERFORMANCE

Annual average change as per September 30, 2017

Total return
Net asset value* Industrivärden C Index (SIXRX)
9M:2017 18% 25% 12%
1 year 27% 33% 16%
3 years 16% 22% 13%
5 years 16% 21% 16%
7 years 11% 16% 12%
10 years 6% 9% 8%

*Including reinvested dividend.

CEO's message

Continued favorable growth in net asset value

Distinct value creation in portfolio companies that have taken major change steps

EXTERNAL FACTORS

Generally speaking the growth forecasts are favorable for the major economies, both this year and for 2018, although differences remain from region to region.

The recovery in Europe continues. The growth forecasts have strengthened, and the political risks have subsided somewhat. The uncertainty surrounding Brexit remains, however.

Growth in the U.S. economy is good, but the growth rate has been revised downwards. This is mainly due to expectations for further tightening in monetary policy and more modest stimuli than what were previously announced. Uncertainty surrounding the effects of Trump's policies is magnifying this sentiment.

In China, growth has stabilized at a slightly higher level. Several growth countries benefit from a weaker US dollar, which strengthened their competitiveness and stabilized the situation.

From a geopolitical perspective, there are number of hot spots, including the situation surrounding North Korea, which is creating uncertainty regionally as well as for the global economy.

All in all, a strong macroeconomic environment and continued favorable outlooks for companies have buttressed the favorable stock market growth, even though we have seen somewhat higher volatility since the half-year mark. From an overall perspective, low interest rates have set the stage for continued capital inflows to the stock market, which favors investments in equities.

PORTFOLIO COMPANIES

In recent years several of our portfolio companies have carried out major changes designed to bolster their long-term competitiveness and enhance value creation. Against this background it is gratifying to see that several of these portfolio companies have had exceptional growth in value during the year. Sometimes it is necessary to take more sweeping actions, but perhaps what's most important is to work with continuous improvements.

One portfolio company that is going through an extensive change process is Volvo. As part of the company's stronger focus on organic growth and improved profitability, during the third quarter Volvo introduced new financial targets. Among these, the Volvo Group has set a new target for its operating margin, which shall exceed 10% measured over a business cycle.

I also want to mention something about our two "new" portfolio companies, Essity and SCA. In recent years the former SCA has performed very well, which has been reflected in its strong growth in value. The split of SCA into a hygiene and health company and a forest products company increase the scope for action and opportunities for value creation. These standalone companies are now working with greater focus on generating continued favorable growth. We believe that both Essity and SCA have good opportunities to create enhanced value creation.

Finally, a few words about Ericsson. The company works in an industry with tough competition and rapid technological development. Ericsson is now working on the implementation of its focused business strategy and has intensified its work on cutting costs and increasing efficiency.

INDUSTRIVÄRDEN'S PERFORMANCE

Net asset value on September 30, 2017, was SEK 95.9 billion, or SEK 220 per share, representing an increase of 18% during the year, including reinvested dividend. At the end of the period, the portfolio's value was SEK 106.7 billion and net debt was SEK 10.7 billion, corresponding to a debt-equities ratio of 10%. This means that the debt-equities ratio has decreased by two percentage points since year-end.

The total return for the Class A and Class C shares was 23% and 25%, respectively, compared with 12% for the total return index (SIXRX).

Stockholm, October 5, 2017

Helena Stjernholm CEO

Overview

INDUSTRIVÄRDEN IN BRIEF

Industrivärden conducts long-term asset management that creates value through active ownership. The long-term goal is to increase net asset value and thereby generate a return for Industrivärden's shareholders that exceeds the market's required rate of return. Taking into account the risk profile of the portfolio's investments, the shareholders are to be given a total return which over time is higher than the average for the Stockholm Stock Exchange.

More information can be found on www.industrivarden.net.

EQUITIES PORTFOLIO, SEPTEMBER 30, 2017

COMPOSITION OF EQUITIES PORTFOLIO AND NET ASSET VALUE

9/30/2017 9M:2017
Share of
ownership, %
Market value Total
return
TR for the
stock
Portfolio companies No. of shares Capital Votes Share of
value, %
SEK M SEK/share SEK M %
Handelsbanken A 194 923 948 10.0 10.2 22 23 956 55 258 1
Volvo A 142 154 571 6.7 21.8 21 22 247 51 7 589 50
Sandvik 147 584 257 11.8 11.8 19 20 736 48 4 511 27
Essity A
Essity B
35 000 000
31 800 000
9.5 29.8 14 7 721
7 047
34 1 512 11
11
ICA Gruppen 20 625 000 10.3 10.3 6 6 313 15 807 14
Skanska A
Skanska B
12 667 500
16 343 995
6.9 23.9 5 2 390
3 084
13 -542 -9
-9
SCA A
SCA B
35 000 000
31 800 000
9.5 29.7 4 2 511
2 194
11 1 238 35
34
SSAB A
SSAB B
63 105 972
54 633 318
11.4 18.2 4 2 476
1 766
10 487 13
12
Ericsson A
Ericsson B
86 052 615
1 000 000
2.6 15.1 4 4 054
47
9 -440 -10
-11
Other 0 197 0 48
Equities portfolio 100 106 740 245 15 468 16
Interest-bearing net debt -10 678 -25 Index: 12
Adjustment regarding exchangeable bond -182 -0
Net asset value 95 881 220
Debt-equities ratio 10%

The total return for Essity and SCA has been calculated as the respective company's share of the original company, SCA's, total return before the split (based on share of value at the time of division), and then based on the value development in each company. The split was carried out on June 9 and the first trading day in Essity was on June 15, 2017.

Performance

NET ASSET VALUE

Net asset value on September 30, 2017, was SEK 95.9 billion, or SEK 220 per share, an increase during the first nine months of SEK 29 per share, corresponding to 15 % or by 18 % including reinvested dividend. The dividend payed out in 2017 amounted to SEK 5.25 per share. The total return index (SIXRX) increased by 12 % during the same period.

During the last five and ten-year period, net asset value grew by 16 % and 6 %, respectively, per year including reinvested dividend. The total return index (SIXRX) increased by 16 % and 8 %, respectively, during the same period.

EQUITIES PORTFOLIO

During the first nine months 2017 the value of the equities portfolio increased by SEK 12.5 billion. On September 30, 2017 the equities portfolio amounted to SEK 106.7 billion, or SEK 245 per share. The shareholdings in Volvo, Sandvik, Essity and SCA made significant positive contributions to the equities portfolio's value performance.

During the last three-year period the shareholdings in Volvo, SCA, Sandvik and Essity have had higher total returns than the total return index (SIXRX) while the shareholdings in ICA Gruppen and Skanska have had a development in line with the total return index. The shareholdings in Handelsbanken, SSAB and Ericsson have had lower total returns than the total return index (SIXRX).

CASH FLOW

Investment activities

During the first nine months 2017 no purchases or sales were made in the portfolio companies.

On April 5, 2017 the Annual General Meeting of SCA decided to distribute all shares in Essity (formerly SCA Hygiene) to SCA's shareholders. The distribution to the shareholders was conducted in accordance with the Swedish "Lex Asea" rules, entailing that the distribution was exempt from taxation. One share of Class A in SCA carried entitlement to one share of Class A in Essity and one share of Class B in SCA carried entitlement to one share of Class B in Essity. The first day of trading was on June 15, 2017.

Dividend payed out

The Annual General Meeting on May 9, 2017 approved the Board of Directors' proposal of a dividend of SEK 5.25 per share (5.00). The total dividend payout amounted to SEK 2 285 M (2 162).

Management cost

The management cost during the first nine months 2017 amounted to SEK 82 M (86), which on a yearly basis corresponded to 0.10 % of the equities portfolio's value on September 30, 2017.

DEVELOPMENT OF NET ASSET VALUE 9M:2017

9/30/2017 12/31/2016
SEK bn SEK/share SEK bn SEK/share
Equities portfolio 106.7 245 94.2 218
Interest-bearing net debt -10.7 -25 -11.5 -27
Adjustment exchangeable -0.2 -0 - -
Net asset value 95.9 220 82.8 191

CONTRIBUTION ANALYSIS OF SHAREHOLDINGS 9M:2017

PERFORMANCE OF SHAREHOLDINGS, 3 YEARS

Annual average total return, %
3 years
Volvo 29
SCA* 28
Sandvik 23
Essity* 20
ICA Gruppen 13
Skanska 12
Handelsbanken 8
SSAB -6
Ericsson -16
Total return index (SIXRX) 12

*For calculation methodology see table at page 3.

NET DEBT

Interest-bearing net debt amounted to SEK 10.7 billion on September 30, 2017. The debt-equities ratio was 10 %, and the equity ratio was 89 % (85). The debt-equities ratio is calculated as interest-bearing net debt in relation to the market value of the equities portfolio.

On September 30, 2017, interest-bearing liabilities had an average capital duration of approximately 2 years and carried an average interest rate of approximately 0.2 %. Current unutilized committed bank loans that can be used for refinancing needs amounts to SEK 2 billion.

No part of Industrivärden's borrowings is conditional on any covenants. Standard & Poor's credit ranking on Industrivärden's is A/Stable/A-1.

In 2014 a SEK 4.4 billion exchangeable bond was issued based on ICA Gruppen's stock. The bond matures in 2019 and was issued at a premium of approximately 38 % to ICA Gruppen's, share price at the time and carries no interest. The strike price amounted to SEK 293.86 per share as per September 30, 2017. In the event of a potential future exchange, there is a possibility to pay either with shares or with cash equivalents.

The six-year convertible bond worth EUR 550 M that was issued in January 2011 matured on February 27, 2017, whereby approximately 9 % of the convertible bond, corresponding to 50.9 MEUR, was converted to 2 868 606 new Class C shares.

INDUSTRIVÄRDEN SHARE DATA

The market prices for Industrivärden's Class A and C shares were SEK 217.40 and SEK 206.30 on September 30, 2017. At year-end 2016 the corresponding market prices were SEK 180.20 and SEK 169.80.

The total return for Industrivärden's Class A and C shares during the first nine months 2017 were 23 % and 25 %, respectively, compared with 12 % for the total return index (SIXRX). The total returns for Industrivärden's shares over longer periods of time are shown in the table on page 1.

At the 2011 Annual General Meeting, a share conversion clause was added to the Articles of Association. Shareholders have the right at any time to request conversion of Class A shares to Class C shares. During the first nine months 2017, 1 025 shares were converted.

INTEREST-BEARING NET DEBT, SEPTEMBER 30, 2017

Credit
facility,
Utilized
amount,
SEK M SEK M Maturity
Exchangeable bond 4 331 2019
MTN-program 8 000 3 317 2018-2021
Commercial paper 2 000 2 000 2017
Pension debt 120
Other short-term borrowing 1 233 2017
Total borrowing 11 001
Less:
Interest-bearing receivables 323
Interest-bearing net debt 10 678

SHARE STRUCTURE, SEPTEMBER 30, 2017

Capital, Votes,
Share class No. of shares No. of votes % %
A (1 vote) 268 184 405 268 184 405 61.6 94.1
C (1/10 vote) 167 025 472 16 702 547 38.4 5.9
Total 435 209 877 284 886 952 100.0 100.0

Other

FINANCIAL CALENDAR

Year-end report 2017: February 8, 2018 Interim report January–March: April 9, 2018 Annual General Meeting: April 17, 2018 in Stockholm Interim report January–June: July 5, 2018 Interim report January–September: October 5, 2018

CONTACT PERSONS

Sverker Sivall, Head of Corporate Communication and Sustainability, Phone: +46-8-666 64 19 E-mail: [email protected] Martin Hamner, CFO, Helena Stjernholm, CEO

CONTACT INFORMATION

AB Industrivärden (publ) Box 5403, SE-114 84 Stockholm, Sweden Registered office: Stockholm Reg. no.: 556043-4200 Switchboard: +46-8-666 64 00 [email protected] www.industrivarden.net

TICKER CODES

INDUC:SS, Bloomberg INDUc.ST, Reuters INDU C, NASDAQ OMX

PUBLICATION

This information is information that AB Industrivärden is obliged to make public pursuant to the EU Market Abuse Regulation. The information was submitted for publication, through the agency by the Head of Corporate Communication and Sustainability stated above, at 10:00 a.m. CET on October 5, 2017.

This interim report has not been reviewed by the Company's auditors.

Financial statements

GROUP

2017 2016 2017 2016 2016
SEK M Jul.-Sep. Jul.-Sep. Jan.-Sep. Jan.-Sep. Jan.-Dec.
INCOME STATEMENT
Dividend income from stocks 0 0 2 786 3 078 3 078
Change in value of stocks, etc. 1 551 7 098 12 475 7 106 13 687
Management cost -27 -26 -82 -86 -112
Operating income 1 524 7 072 15 179 10 098 16 653
Financial items -5 -52 -75 -153 -202
Income after financial items 1 519 7 020 15 104 9 945 16 451
Tax - - - - -
Net income for the period 1 519 7 020 15 104 9 945 16 451
Earnings per share, SEK 3.49 16.23 34.73 23.00 38.05
Earnings per share after dilution, SEK 3.49 15.43 34.73 21.31 34.93
STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
Comprehensive income for the period 1 519 7 020 15 104 9 945 16 441
BALANCE SHEET as per end of period
Equities 106 740 87 771 94 250
Other non-current assets 12
106 752
312
88 083
214
94 464
Total non-current assets
Cash and cash equivalents 0 931 823
Other current assets 332 56 337
Total current assets 332 987 1 160
Total assets 107 084 89 070 95 624
Shareholders' equity 95 431 75 633 82 129
Non-current interest-bearing liabilities 7 268 6 843 7 382
Non-current non interest-bearing liabilities* 503 500 414
Total non-current liabilities 7 771 7 343 7 796
Current interest-bearing liabilities 3 733 5 855 5 425
Other liabilities 149 239 274
Total current liabilities 3 882 6 094 5 699
Total shareholders' equity and liabilities 107 084 89 070 95 624
CASH FLOW
Cash flow from operating activities 2 633 2 922 2 854
Cash flow from investing activities 0 856 834
Cash flow from financing activities** -3 456 -2 852 -2 870
Cash flow for the period -823 926 818
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period 0 931 823

* Of which, the option component of the exhangeable bond, totaling SEK 429 M, which at the time of issue amounted to a total of SEK 335 M.

** Of which, dividends of SEK 2 285 (2 162) M paid to shareholders.

2017 2016 2016
SEK M Jan.-Sep. Jan.-Sep. Jan.-Dec.
CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
Opening shareholders' equity as per balance sheet 82 129 67 850 67 850
Conversion 482 - -
Comprehensive income for the period 15 104 9 945 16 441
Dividend -2 285 -2 162 -2 162
Closing shareholders' equity as per balance sheet 95 431 75 633 82 129
INTEREST-BEARING NET DEBT at end of period
Cash and cash equivalents 0 931 823
Interest-bearing assets 323 330 503
Non-current interest-bearing liabilities 7 268 6 843 7 382
Current interest-bearing liabilities 3 733 5 855 5 425
Interest-bearing net debt 10 678 11 437 11 481

PARENT COMPANY

2017 2016 2016
SEK M Jan.-Sep. Jan.-Sep. Jan.-Dec.
INCOME STATEMENT
Operating income 11 797 6 772 11 343
Income after financial items 11 776 6 711 11 259
Income for the period 11 776 6 711 11 259
Comprehensive income for the period 11 776 6 711 11 249
BALANCE SHEET as per end of period
Non-current assets 63 674 48 932 53 333
Current assets 511 1 260 1 284
Total assets 64 185 50 192 54 617
Shareholders' equity 53 304 38 793 43 330
Non-current liabilities 7 771 5 343 5 796
Current liabilities 3 110 6 056 5 491
Total shareholders' equity and liabilities 64 185 50 192 54 617

Accounting policies and notes

ACCOUNTING POLICIES

This interim report has been prepared in accordance with IAS 34 Interim Financial Reporting. The consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) as endorsed by the EU, and the Swedish Annual Accounts Act. The Parent Company's financial statements have been prepared in accordance with RFR 2 – Accounting for Legal Entities, and the Swedish Annual Accounts Act. New or amended IFRSs and IFRIC interpretations have not had any effect on the Group's or Parent Company's earnings or financial position.

ESSITY SHARES

Revenue amounting to 16 120 M from received Essity shares have been reported in the income statement on the line Change in value of stocks, etc. The corresponding negative change in value of SCA shares have been reported on the same line.

ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE MEASURES

The definitions for the alternative performance measures net asset value, debt-equities ratio, market value of the equities portfolio and interest-bearing net debt are provided in the 2016 Annual Report. The equity ratio is defined as equity in relation to total assets. These alternative performance measures are essential for the understanding and evaluation of an investment company's business.

FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT OF FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS

In accordance with IFRS 13, financial instruments are measured at fair value according to a three level hierarchy. Classification is based on input data that is used in measuring the instruments. Instruments in Level 1 are valued according to quoted prices for identical instruments in an active market. Instruments in Level 2 are valued in a valuation model which uses input data that are directly or indirectly observable in the market. Instruments in Level 3 are valued using a valuation technique based on input data that are not observable in a market.

Responsibility for the measurement of fair value, which is based on documentation produced by the company's risk manager, rests with management. ISDA master agreements exist with the pertinent counterparties.

9/30/2017 Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Total
Assets
Equities 106 543 - 197 106 740
Derivatives, etc. - 3 - 3
Total assets 106 543 3 197 106 743
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Total
Liabilities
Option component of
exchangeable bond - -429 - -429
Derivatives, etc. - -84 - -84
Total liabilities - -513 - -513

No changes have been made between levels compared with the preceding year.

RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES

The dominant risk in Industrivärden's business is share price risk, i.e., the risk of a change in value caused by changes in share prices. A 1% change in the share price of the holdings in the equities portfolio as per September 30, 2017, would have affected its market value by approximately +/– SEK 1 100 M.

RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS

During the first nine months 2017, dividend income was received from associated companies.

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