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IGO LIMITED Earnings Release 2017

Aug 29, 2017

65111_rns_2017-08-29_7bc9ad4c-c314-4342-ae1c-60723ac953dc.pdf

Earnings Release

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INDEPENDENCE GROUP NL

PETER BRADFORD, MANAGING DIRECTOR AND CEO Full Year Results Presentation

30 August 2017

Cautionary statements & disclaimer

  • This presentation has been prepared by Independence Group NL ("IGO") (ABN 46 092 786 304). It should not be considered as an offer or invitation to subscribe for or purchase any securities in IGO or as an inducement to make an offer or invitation with respect to those securities in any jurisdiction.
  • This presentation contains general summary information about IGO. The information, opinions or conclusions expressed in the course of this presentation should be read in conjunction with IGO's other periodic and continuous disclosure announcements lodged with the ASX, which are available on the IGO website. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made in relation to the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information, opinions and conclusions expressed in this presentation.
  • This presentation includes forward looking information regarding future events, conditions, circumstances and the future financial performance of IGO. Often, but not always, forward looking statements can be identified by the use of forward looking words such as "may", "will", "expect", "intend", "plan", "estimate", "anticipate", "continue" and "guidance", or other similar words and may include statements regarding plans, strategies and objectives of management, anticipated production or construction commencement dates and expected costs or production outputs. Such forecasts, projections and information are not a guarantee of future performance and involve unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond IGO's control, which may cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied. Further details of these risks are set out below. All references to future production and production guidance made in relation to IGO are subject to the completion of all necessary feasibility studies, permit applications and approvals, construction, financing arrangements and access to the necessary infrastructure. Where such a reference is made, it should be read subject to this paragraph and in conjunction with further information about the Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves, as well as any Competent Persons' Statements included in periodic and continuous disclosure announcements lodged with the ASX. Forward looking statements in this presentation only apply at the date of issue. Subject to any continuing obligations under applicable law or any relevant stock exchange listing rules, in providing this information IGO does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any of the forward looking statements or to advise of any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.
  • There are a number of risks specific to IGO and of a general nature which may affect the future operating and financial performance of IGO and the value of an investment in IGO including and not limited to economic conditions, stock market fluctuations, commodity demand and price movements, access to infrastructure, timing of environmental approvals, regulatory risks, operational risks, reliance on key personnel, reserve and resource estimations, native title and title risks, foreign currency fluctuations and mining development, construction and commissioning risk. The production guidance in this presentation is subject to risks specific to IGO and of a general nature which may affect the future operating and financial performance of IGO.
  • Any references to IGO Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve estimates, except the Tropicana Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve and Nova Resource should be read in conjunction with IGO's 2016 Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve announcement dated 14 October 2016 and lodged with the ASX, which are available on the IGO website.
  • References to Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve estimates at Tropicana should be read in conjunction with IGO's Tropicana Gold Mine Value Enhancement Update, dated 15 December 2016 and lodged with the ASX, and is available on the IGO website.
  • References to Mineral Resources estimates at Nova should be read in conjunction with IGO's Nova Mineral Resource Estimate and Exploration Update, dated 26 July 2017 and lodged with the ASX, and is available on the IGO website.
  • References to Mineral Resources and Ore Reserve estimates at Triumph should be read in conjunction with IGO's Jaguar Value Enhancement Study, dated 26 July 2017 and lodged with the ASX, and is available on the IGO website.
  • All currency amounts in Australian Dollars unless otherwise noted.
  • Cash Costs are reported inclusive of Royalties and after by-product credits on per unit of payable metal basis, unless otherwise stated
  • IGO reports All-in Sustaining Costs (AISC) per ounce of gold for its 30% interest in the Tropicana Gold Mine using the World Gold Council guidelines for AISC. The World Gold Council guidelines publication was released via press release on 27 June 2013 and is available from the World Gold Council's website.
  • Underlying EBITDA is a non-IFRS measure and comprises net profit or loss after tax, adjusted to exclude tax expense, finance costs, interest income, asset impairments, redundancy and restructuring costs, depreciation and amortisation, and once-off transaction costs.
  • Underlying NPAT comprises net profit (loss) after tax adjusted for; post tax effect of acquisition and integration costs, and impairments.
  • Free Cash Flow comprises Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities and Net Cash Flow from Investing Activities. Underlying adjustments exclude acquisition costs, proceeds from investment sales and payments for investments.

FY17 business highlights

FY17 investments provide the platform for a great FY18

Improved Safety results across major lag indicators

• 12 month rolling LTIFR at 1.7 (FY16 LTIFR at 3.6)

Strong performance from Tropicana and Long combined with higher metal prices to deliver a strong FY17 financial result

• Offset by lower production at Jaguar

Significant progress made at Nova

  • Surface infrastructure and process plant completed on time and on budget
  • Ramp up to nameplate in the September 2017 quarter some 12 months earlier than the Feasibility Study estimate

Well positioned for a strong FY18

  • First full year of production at Nova
  • Higher gold production and lower cash costs at Tropicana
  • Increased exploration investment on the Fraser Range to leverage off belt scale land holding

FY17 financial highlights

Stronger financial results driven by improved metal prices

Higher Revenue and EBITDA

• Driven by higher metal prices and better than guidance production at Tropicana and Long offset by lower production at Jaguar

Higher NPAT of A\$17M compared to FY16 loss of A\$59M

• FY16 incorporated A\$65M of non-recurring acquisition costs

Higher Operating Cash Flow from Tropicana, Jaguar and Long

• Offset by A\$58M of stamp duty payments from prior year acquisitions

Strong balance sheet with A\$36M cash and A\$200M debt

• Further A\$200M revolving credit facility undrawn at year end

Final fully franked dividend of 1 cent per share

Financial results summary

Improving metal prices through FY17 and into FY18

A\$'million FY17 FY16 Change %
Revenue 421.9 417.1 1%
Underlying EBITDA(1) 150.5 137.5 9%
Net Profit after Tax 17.0 (58.8) n/a
Cash Flow from Operations(2) 77.7 102.1 (24%)
Underlying Free Cash Flow (3) (113.2) (141.6) n/a
Cash 35.8 46.3 (23%)

FY17 Results drivers

  • Higher realised base metal prices, Zinc ↑69%, Copper ↑15%, Nickel ↑11%, Gold ↑4%
  • Offset by lower production, primarily Jaguar copper and zinc production
  • C1 Cash Costs from Long ↓ 11%, Jaguar ↑43%, Tropicana ↑11%
  • Exploration expenditure reduced 34%
  • Capex contribution of A\$166M to complete build at Nova
  • Acquisition and consolidation of prospective land package around Nova and Tropicana
  • Announced sale of Stockman project in Victoria

1) Underlying EBITDA is a non-IFRS measure (refer to Disclaimer page).

2) Cash Flow from Operating Activities from Tropicana, Jaguar and Long Operations.

3) Underlying Free Cash Flow is a non-IFRS measure (refer to Disclaimer page). It also excludes net payment for the acquisition of Sirius Resources NL in FY16.

Earnings summary

FY17 a solid year for Revenue, EBITDA and Net Profit after Tax

1) Underlying EBITDA is a non-IFRS measure (refer to Disclaimer page)

FY17 NPAT variance

Lower production offset by strong metal prices and acquisition costs

NPAT variance

  • Unfavourable volume variance driven by lower zinc production from Jaguar; A\$36M, and lower Tropicana grade from cessation of grade streaming; A\$11M
  • Favourable price variance due to higher realised base metal prices: Nickel 11%, Copper 15% and Zinc 69%.

FY17 EBITDA waterfall

External (prices) and internal (production volume) impact earnings

137.5 56.3 2.0 195.8 48.7 3.9 0.9 0.3 1.0 150.5 - 50 100 150 200 250 Price (2) Investments Production volume Costs of production Corporate Share based payments E & E Expense Underlying EBITDA FY16 External Subtotal Internal Underlying EBITDA FY17 A\$M Underlying EBITDA variance(1) External A\$58.3M Internal (A\$45.3M) (2)

FY17 EBITDA components

EBITDA contributions across all operations

Underlying EBITDA(1)

1) Underlying EBITDA is a non-IFRS measure (refer to Disclaimer page)

FY17 cost of production variance

Ongoing focus on cost management

Cost of production variance FY16 to FY17

  • Production costs continued to fall at Long benefiting from business restructuring commenced in FY16
  • Jaguar costs were 3% lower, driven by 12% lower ore milled
  • Tropicana costs were 6% higher driven by 12% additional ore milled

Cash flow summary

Strong balance sheet with A\$200 million debt facility undrawn

1) Underlying Free Cash Flow is a non-IFRS measure (refer to Disclaimer page). It also excludes net payment for the acquisition of Windwards Resources Ltd and Sirius Resources NL

FY17 free cash flow by half year

Lower operating underlying free cash flow in 2H17

  • 34% and 25% lower copper and zinc production from Jaguar in H2 FY17 impacting lower shipping volumes
  • 5% lower gold production from Tropicana
  • Savings in Exploration and corporate business support

Hedge book

Mark to market hedge book value of A\$21M(1)

Hedging Strategy

• IGO will identify, evaluate and pro-actively manage its financial market risks within pre-determined Board approved frameworks with the aim of reducing a portion of the downside price risk

Hedging Units FY18 FY19 Total
Gold Par Forwards oz 60,000 47,988 107,988
Price A\$/oz
Au
1,796 1,859 1,824
Copper Swaps –
Jaguar
t 2,040 - 2,040
Price A\$/t 7,643 - 7,643
Diesel
Par Forwards
L (000's) 33,025 8,640 41,665
Price(2) A\$/L 0.49 0.51 0.49

Current Hedge Book Position

A\$M FY18-FY19 MTM Gold Hedge Profile

  • Current(1) MTM of gold hedges valued at A\$21.2M over FY18 and FY19
  • Copper and diesel hedging net breakeven

2) Base diesel price excludes the cost of GST, Government excise and transportation

Segment financial results

Higher base metals prices drive improved results

Operation Metric FY17
(A\$M)
FY16
(A\$M)
Inc/(Dec)
(A\$M)
Inc/(Dec)
(%)
Tropicana Revenue 211.9 215.0 (3.1) (1%)
Underlying EBITDA 106.1 114.9 (8.8) (8%)
Free Cash Flow 55.6 68.7 (13.1) (19%)
Long Revenue 70.5 63.9 6.6 10%
Underlying EBITDA 32.1 18.9 13.2 70%
Free Cash Flow 28.1 16.8 11.3 67%
Jaguar Revenue 137.5 133.0 4.5 3%
Underlying EBITDA 50.2 43.1 7.2 16%
Free Cash Flow 22.1 24.1 (2.0) (-8%)

Segment drivers relative to previous corresponding period

  • At Tropicana, in preparation for a period of grade streaming in FY18 and FY19, waste stripping was elevated, over 40% higher than the previous corresponding period
  • Consistent delivery and lower costs at Long coupled with improving nickel prices has resulted in improved earnings and cash flow
  • Jaguar cash flow has benefited from improved realised zinc prices which have increased 69% on the previous corresponding period offsetting lower metal production

FY17 operational scorecard and FY18 guidance

Metric Units FY17 Guidance FY17 Actual FY18 Guidance
Nickel in concentrate t 3,400(1) 3,502 23,000
to 27,000
Copper in concentrate t 1,500(1) 2,106 10,000 to 12,000
Cobalt in concentrate t - 112 800 to 1,050
Cash cost (payable)(2) A\$/Ib
Ni
- - 1.90 –
2.50
Capital build capex (net)(3) A\$M 165 to 180 166 0
to 2
Sustaining capex A\$M - - 9 to 13
Development capex A\$M - - 40 to 44
Exploration expenditure A\$M 3.5 to 4.5 4.3 8 to 10

FY17 highlights

  • First concentrates produced December 2016 quarter
  • Commercial production declared at 1 July 2017 and Nova positioned to deliver strong from FY18

  • Ramp up to nameplate capacity in September 2017 quarter

  • Interim Ore Reserve update to be completed during December 2017 quarter
  • Completion of LoM grade control in December 2017 to be followed by resource extension drilling

1) As restated in the 26 June 2017 Nova update ASX release

2) Actual results not reported for FY17 due to extended period of "pre-production" costs and revenue

3) Actual FY17 result differs from FY17 guidance due to extended period of "pre-production" resulting in additional costs capitalised. Actual results include pre-production cash sale receipts of A\$19 million capitalised to the Nova project over the same extended period

Nova

Capital expenditure reconciliation

Nova Capitalised
Development
Costs
Actual
A\$M
Initial
Estimate
A\$M
Variance
A\$M
Change %
Process Plant & Infrastructure 160.6 176.0 (15.4) (9%)
Non-mine Infrastructure 90.4 98.6 (8.2) (8%)
Mine Development 64.4 54.7 9.7 18%
Mine Infrastructure 45.7 45.7 - n/a
Pre-operating Owner's Costs 133.9 74.9 59 79%
Less: capitalised revenue (38.6) (6.9) (31.7) 459%
Total 456.4 443.0 13.4 3%

3% Variance from initial capital estimate a great result

  • Nova construction and development costs have been reconciled to initial, uninflated estimates from January 2015
  • Reconciliation demonstrates good overall discipline in cost management
  • Due to a delay in ramp up and transition to commercial production, higher pre-operating owners costs, together with pre-operating sales, have been absorbed into the total capital result
  • The strong overall result is compounded by the completion of additional mine development relative to the initial estimate and improved specifications of key infrastructure components that will benefit the operation in the long term

Tropicana

FY17 operational scorecard and FY18 guidance

Metric Units FY17 Guidance FY17 Actual FY18 Guidance
Gold produced (100% basis) oz 390,000 to 430,000 431,625 440,000 to 490,000
Gold Sold (IGO's 30% share) oz 117,000 to 129,000 128,601 132,000
to 147,000
Cash cost A\$/oz
Au
850 to 950 817 680
to 750
All-in Sustaining Costs (AISC) A\$/oz
Au
1,150 to 1,250 1,162 1,060
to 1,170
Sustaining
capex (30%)
A\$M 2 to 3 2.2 3
to 5
Improvement capex (30%) A\$M 7 to 8 7.5 6 to 7
Capitalised
waste stripping (30%)
A\$M 37 to 43 39.9 44
to 55
Exploration expenditure (30%) A\$M 6 to 8 5.6 4
to 5

FY17 highlights

  • Nameplate processing capacity increased 29% to 7.5Mtpa
  • Mineral Resources increased to 8Moz(1) Ore Reserve increased to 3.8Moz (1)

  • At the mid point of guidance gold production is expected to increase 8% with AISC falling 4% YoY

  • Improvements to gold production and lower cash costs in FY18 are the result of higher waste stripping in FY17 preparing for a period of further grade streaming in CY18 and CY19

Jaguar

FY17 operational scorecard and FY18 guidance

Metric Units FY17 Guidance FY17 Actual FY18 Guidance
Zinc in concentrate t 39,000 to 43,000 32,638 29,000 to 33,000
Copper in concentrate t 4,600 to 5,100 4,565 2,600
to 3,000
Cash cost (payable) A\$/Ib
Zn
0.70 to 0.80 0.76 0.85
to 1.05
Sustaining capex A\$M 8 to 9 7.6 8 to 9
Development capex A\$M 12 to 13 11.4 10
to 11
Exploration expenditure A\$M 3 to 4 3.2 3
to 5

FY17 highlights

  • Mining volumes and grades impacted by stope availability
  • Higher realised Zinc prices (+69%) and Copper prices (+15%) offset by lower volumes
  • Triumph Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve provide LoM extension options
  • High grade mineralisation intersected at Bentley in the Bentayga lens

  • Development will be focussed on providing drill access to the new Bentayga discovery and lower limits of the Bentley deposit

  • Exploration will continue to test the Bentayga system at Bentley and gold anomalies at Heather Bore

FY17 operational scorecard and FY18 guidance

Metric Units FY17 Guidance FY17 Actual FY18 Guidance
Nickel (contained metal) t 7,400 to 8,200 8,433 5,400 to 6,000
Cash Cost (payable) A\$/Ib
Ni
3.50 to 3.90 3.28 4.40 to 4.90
Sustaining capex A\$M 1 0.8 0.5 to 1
Development
capex
A\$M N/A 0.2 0.5 to 1
Exploration expenditure A\$M 2 to 3 0.4 1 to 2

FY17 highlights

  • Consistent delivery
  • Production and cash costs better than guidance
  • Generated A\$32.1M Underlying EBITDA despite prevailing nickel price

  • Mining at Long is expected to be suspended during 4Q18

  • Current planning for a suspension of mining period is underway while exploration continues

Exploration

Committed to delivering growth through exploration

A\$31M A\$9M A\$5M A\$4M

Key developments and potential

  • Substantial increase in greenfields exploration in FY18
  • Fraser Range the key focus of activity
  • Developing and advancing belt scale opportunities including Lake Mackay

Portfolio catalysts

1H18 activities to generate significant news flow

Concluding comments

FY17 investments provide the platform for a great FY18

Strong performance from Tropicana and Long combined with higher metal prices to deliver a strong FY17 financial result

• Offset by lower production at Jaguar

Significant progress made at Nova

  • Surface infrastructure and process plant completed on time and on budget
  • Ramp up to nameplate in the September 2017 quarter some 12 months earlier than the Feasibility Study estimate
  • Had expected to do better but contractor resourcing issues delayed development

Well positioned for a strong FY18

  • First full year of production at Nova
  • Higher gold production and lower cash costs at Tropicana
  • Increased exploration investment on the Fraser Range to leverage off belt scale land holding