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ICL Group Ltd.

Interest Rate Update/Notice Mar 23, 2017

6843_rns_2017-03-23_d0a85067-c325-411c-98ee-02d4e2852ef1.pdf

Interest Rate Update/Notice

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March 23, 2017

FITCH DOWNGRADES ICL'S INTERNATIONAL RATING TO BBB- WITH STABLE OUTLOOK

Tel Aviv, Israel, March 23, 2017 – ICL (NYSE and TASE: ICL) today announced, that Fitch Rating ("Fitch") has lowered the company's international corporate credit rating to BBB- with stable outlook. Fitch's downgrade primarily reflects the weakened state of the global fertilizers market and follows downgrades to several of ICL's peer companies over the past year, including ICL. ICL's rating remains investment grade. According to the company's estimate, the impact on its financial expenses will be negligible, if at all.

The Fitch rating is attached.

Name of the authorized signatory on the report and name of authorized electronic reporter: Lisa Haimovitz Position: SVP, Global General Counsel and Company Secretary Signature Date: March 23, 2017

INVESTOR RELATIONS CONTACT PRESS CONTACT Dudi Musler Gadi Ohana Investor Relations Manager, ICL Debby Communications +972-3-684-4448 +972-3-5683000 [email protected] [email protected]

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תרגום נוחות – הנוסח המחייב הוא נוסח הדיווח באנגלית

23 במרס 2017

Fitch מורידה את דירוגה הבינלאומי של כיל ל--BBB עם תחזית דירוג יציבה

תל אביב, 23 במרס 2017 – כיל )סימול בורסאי NYSE ו-TASE: ICL )הודיעה היום כי, חברת דירוג האשראי Ratings Fitch, הורידה את דירוג האשראי הבינלאומי של החברה ל-BBB- עם תחזית דירוג יציבה. הורדת הדירוג כאמור משקפת בעיקר את מצבו המוחלש של שוק הדשנים העולמי ובאה בהמשך להורדת דירוגן של מספר חברות אחרות בענף בשנה האחרונה, ובכלל זאת כיל. דירוגה של כיל נותר בדירוג השקעה )grade investment). להערכת החברה, השפעת הורדת הדירוג על הוצאות המימון שלה, ככל שתהיה, זניחה.

דוח הדירוג מצורף.

שם מורשה חתימה על הדיווח ושם מורשה חתימה אלקטרונית: לייזה חיימוביץ תפקיד: סמנכ"ל בכיר, יועצת משפטית גלובאלית ומזכירת החברה תאריך החתימה: 23 במרס 2017

קשרי משקיעים קשרי עיתונות דודי מוסלר גדי אוחנה מנהל קשרי משקיעים, כיל דבי תקשורת 03-5683000 03-6844448 [email protected] [email protected]

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FITCH DOWNGRADES ISRAEL CHEMICALS LTD. TO 'BBB-'; OUTLOOK STABLE

Fitch Ratings-London-23 March 2017: Fitch Ratings has downgraded Israel Chemicals Ltd's (ICL) Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to 'BBB-' from 'BBB'. The Outlook is Stable. Fitch has simultaneously downgraded the senior unsecured rating on ICL's USD800 million 4.5% senior unsecured notes due 2024 to 'BBB-' from 'BBB'.

The IDR downgrade reflects Fitch's belief that ICL's FFO net adjusted leverage (leverage) will remain well above the previous negative rating guideline of 2.5x. We expect ICL's leverage to stay within the 3.0x-3.5x range from 2017 onwards, driven by a protracted fertiliser price recovery, moderation in capex and dividends, and gradual cost improvements in Chinese joint-venture (JV) operations. This follows the 4.1x leverage peak at end-2016 as fertiliser prices bottomed out and ICL made USD430 million in cash investments in the Chinese phosphate JV in 4Q15-1Q16.

KEY RATING DRIVERS

Fertiliser Segment Hit Hardest: ICL's Essential Minerals division faced further market pressure in both the potash and phosphate segments. In potash, ICL faced a 25% average realised price decline towards USD211/t in 2016. As ICL sits around the middle of the global potash cash cost curve on average, this price drop translated into a more than 50% reduction in the segment's reported operating profit in 2016. We expect the potash segment's margins to bottom out in 2017 as the average realised potash price drops to USD200/t, and start a modest recovery from 2018 as prices rise to USD210/t, and the higher-cost UK potash mine increasingly moves to cheaper polysulphates production.

The phosphate segment faced a double-digit price decline in 2016 and the share of raw phosphate rock sold declined in favour of more value-added phosphates, resulting in only a 9% decline in the segment's reported operating profit to USD132 million (excluding the Chinese JV) in 2016. However, the high-cost commodity-focused Chinese JV made around USD80 million reported operating loss in 2016 significantly diluting ICL's phosphates' margin. ICL's cost-cutting measures at its JV, together with its transformation into a specialty-focused producer will be key for the segment's margin recovery in the medium term.

Specialty Chemicals Resilient: ICL's Specialty Solutions division incorporates relatively less resilient specialty fertilisers, as well as more resilient bromine-based industrial products and phosphate-based advanced additives and food specialties. ICL maintains its global leadership in several markets such as bromine-based retardants (underpinned by cost and volume leadership in elemental bromine), and phosphate-based branded specialty fertilisers and food additives. The division contributes 55%-60% of ICL's sales, while its reported operating income contribution grew to above 60% from under 40% in 2015 as Essential Minerals' performance slumped.

No one product group of Specialty Solutions suffered a price decline of greater than 3% in 2016, excluding specialty fertilisers (-6%), while most benefited from 5%-10% volume growth. We conservatively expect modest 1% price declines on average across the production portfolio in 2017 followed by a flat trend thereafter, and 2%-3% volume growth, as well as resilient reported operating margins being modestly diluted towards 18% by 2020 from their 19% peak in 2017 on cost inflation (2016: 18.7%).

Discontinued Projects Support Outlook: ICL's decision to discontinue its Harmonisation and Ethiopia-based Allana potash projects, both with remote or uncertain benefits, supports the Stable Outlook. ICL's focus on the existing mining base and its intention to shift from capital-intensive commoditised chemicals to specialty chemicals implies lower, more predictable and smoother capex. We do not expect that the shift to specialties would require ICL to massively intensify R&D or selling expenses (brand development) in the medium term, as ICL's shorter-term plan is to replicate its phosphate expertise in the Chinese JV through to 2020.

Neutral-to-Positive FCF: We expect ICL to generate nil to low single-digit free cash flow over the rating horizon as weaker operating cash flows are offset by reduced capex intensity and moderation in dividends. In particular, we expect ICL's FCF margin to peak at 3.5%-4% in 2017 on minimal dividends and capex before falling towards a 0%-1% range as both dividends and capex increase slightly. This will allow ICL to reduce leverage towards 3.5x in 2017 and to 3.0x-3.2x in 2018 and 2019, which is comfortably well within the revised leverage rating sensitivities.

DERIVATION SUMMARY

ICL's business profile is a mix of the more volatile fertiliser segment and resilient specialty chemicals. ICL's Essential Minerals division has comparable cash costs and margins, albeit with smaller scale, with its US fertiliser peer Mosaic (BBB-/Stable), and weaker cost positioning if compared with its EMEA peers like PhosAgro (BB+/Positive) and OCP (BBB-/Negative). ICL's Specialty Solutions has bigger margins but lower scale and brand leadership if compared with its specialty peers with concentrated end-markets like Akzo Nobel (BBB+/Stable) or Royal DSM (A-/ Stable).

No country-ceiling, parent/subsidiary or operating environment aspects impact the rating.

KEY ASSUMPTIONS

Fitch's key assumptions within our rating case for the issuer include:

  • 2017 Specialty Solutions sales and margins resilient as 2%-3% volumes growth offsets 1% average price pressure;

  • 2017 potash realised price to decline by 5% before 5% growth in 2018 and to be flat in 2019; - 2017 phosphates margin to drop by 1pp-2pp on weak pricing before 6pp-7pp recovery over

2018-2020; - post-2016 neutral-to-positive FCF on 9%-11% capex/sales and USD200 million-USD300 million dividends.

RATING SENSITIVITIES

Future Developments That May, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive Rating Action - Positive FCF translating into the FFO adjusted net leverage sustained at or below 2.5x Future Developments That May, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative Rating Action - Inability to maintain neutral-to-positive FCF leading to FFO adjusted net leverage rebased at above 3.5x

  • Market pressure leading to a sustained margin deterioration with EBITDAR margin falling below 15%

LIQUIDITY

At end-2016 the company had USD106 million cash and equivalents (excluding trading securities) and nearly USD1.3 billion committed unutilised credit facilities which cover the USD585 million short-term debt. Fitch's expectations of ICL's nearly USD200 milion post-dividend positive free cash flow for 2017 is an additional source for the company's 2017 liquidity.

ICL's post-2017 debt maturity profile remains comfortable with only USD366 million debt falling due in 2018-2020 and the remaining USD2,430 million to be repaid after 2020.

Contact:

Principal Analyst Vladislav Nikolov Analyst +44 20 3530 1288

Supervisory Analyst Dmitri Kazakov, CFA Associate Director +7 495 956 7075 Fitch Ratings CIS Ltd 26 Valovaya Street Moscow 115054

Committee Chairperson Peter Archbold, CFA Senior Director +44 20 3530 1172

Summary of Financial Statement Adjustments

  • 8x multiple applied to capitalise end-2016 short-term operating lease commitments of USD46 milion

  • USD60 million of cash reclassified to restricted cash, including USD50m treated by Fitch as unavailable for debt repayment due to minimum operating requirements, and USD10 million trading securities

  • EBITDA adjusted up by USD585 million for non-operating/non-recurring items including noncash asset write down and impairment

  • Cash flow from operations and Working capital outflow adjusted up by USD111m non-operating/ non-recurring provisions

Media Relations: Peter Fitzpatrick, London, Tel: +44 20 3530 1103, Email: [email protected].

Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com. For regulatory purposes in various jurisdictions, the supervisory analyst named above is deemed to be the primary analyst for this issuer; the principal analyst is deemed to be the secondary

Applicable Criteria Criteria for Rating Non-Financial Corporates (pub. 10 Mar 2017) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/895493

ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTPS://WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEB SITE AT WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA, AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE, AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE CODE OF CONDUCT SECTION OF THIS SITE. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU-REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE.

Copyright © 2016 by Fitch Ratings, Inc., Fitch Ratings Ltd. and its subsidiaries. 33 Whitehall Street, NY, NY 10004. Telephone: 1-800-753-4824, (212) 908-0500. Fax: (212) 480-4435. Reproduction or retransmission in whole or in part is prohibited except by permission. All rights reserved. In issuing and maintaining its ratings and in making other reports (including forecast information), Fitch relies on factual information it receives from issuers and underwriters and from other sources Fitch believes to be credible. Fitch conducts a reasonable investigation of the factual information relied upon by it in accordance with its ratings methodology, and obtains reasonable verification of that information from independent sources, to the extent such sources are available for a given security or in a given jurisdiction. The manner of Fitch's factual investigation and the scope of the third-party verification it obtains will vary depending on the nature of the rated security and its issuer, the requirements and practices in the jurisdiction in which the rated security is offered and sold and/or the issuer is located, the availability and nature of relevant public information, access to the management of the issuer and its advisers, the availability of pre-existing third-party verifications such as audit reports, agreed-upon procedures letters, appraisals, actuarial reports, engineering reports, legal opinions and other reports provided by third parties, the availability of independent and competent third- party verification sources with respect to the particular security or in the particular jurisdiction of the issuer, and a variety of other factors. Users of Fitch's ratings and reports should understand that neither an enhanced factual investigation nor any third-party verification can ensure that all of the information Fitch relies on in connection with a rating or a report will be accurate and complete. Ultimately, the issuer and its advisers are responsible for the accuracy of the information they provide to Fitch and to the market in offering documents and other reports. In issuing its ratings and its reports, Fitch must rely on the work of experts, including independent auditors with respect to financial statements and attorneys with respect to legal and tax matters. Further, ratings and forecasts of financial and other information are inherently forward-looking and embody assumptions and predictions about future events that by their nature cannot be verified as facts. As a result, despite any verification of current facts, ratings and forecasts can be affected by future events or conditions that were not anticipated at the time a rating or forecast was issued or affirmed.

The information in this report is provided "as is" without any representation or warranty of any kind, and Fitch does not represent or warrant that the report or any of its contents will meet any of the requirements of a recipient of the report. A Fitch rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a security. This opinion and reports made by Fitch are based on established criteria and methodologies that Fitch is continuously evaluating and updating. Therefore, ratings and reports are the collective work product of Fitch and no individual, or group of individuals, is solely responsible for a rating or a report. The rating does not address the risk of loss due to risks other than credit risk, unless such risk is specifically mentioned. Fitch is not engaged in the offer or sale of any security. All Fitch reports have shared authorship. Individuals identified in a Fitch report were involved in, but are not solely responsible for, the opinions stated therein. The individuals are named for contact purposes only. A report providing a Fitch rating is neither a prospectus nor a substitute for the information assembled, verified and presented to investors by the issuer and its agents in connection with the sale of the securities. Ratings may be changed or withdrawn at any time for any reason in the sole discretion of Fitch. Fitch does not provide investment advice of any sort. Ratings are not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Ratings do not comment on the adequacy of market price, the suitability of any security for a particular investor, or the tax-exempt nature or taxability of payments made in respect to any security. Fitch receives fees from issuers, insurers, guarantors, other obligors, and underwriters for rating securities. Such fees generally vary from US\$1,000 to US\$750,000 (or the applicable currency equivalent) per issue. In certain cases, Fitch will rate all or a number of issues issued by a particular issuer, or insured or guaranteed by a particular insurer or guarantor, for a single annual fee. Such fees are expected to vary from US\$10,000 to US\$1,500,000 (or the applicable currency equivalent). The assignment, publication, or dissemination of a rating by Fitch shall not constitute a consent by Fitch to use its name as an expert in connection with any registration statement filed under the United States securities laws, the Financial Services and Markets Act of 2000 of the United Kingdom, or the securities laws of any particular jurisdiction. Due to the relative efficiency of electronic publishing and distribution, Fitch research may be available to electronic subscribers up to three days earlier than to print subscribers.

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