AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Hrvatska Poštanska Banka d.d.

Investor Presentation Nov 2, 2020

2090_rns_2020-11-02_94913d4b-4125-4f84-bffc-e9701cead317.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

HPB d.d. RESULTS Q3 20 Investor information

1

Limitation of liability

  • The information and data contained in this presentation are intended to be general background information on Hrvatska poštanska banka p.l.c. (hereinafter referred to as the Bank or HPB p.l.c.) and its activities and is supplied in summary form and therefore not necessarily complete.
  • This presentation may include information and data derived from publicly available sources that have not been independently verified, therefore HPB p.l.c. hereby expressly makes no representation of warranty of any kind, including, but not limited to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the provided information and data.
  • Contained statements reflect our current views with respect to future events and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions therefore, when making decisions based on predictions of future uncertain events, the investors and/or others should carefully consider such factors and other uncertainties and events.

1 Executive Summary

2 Macroeconomic environment

3 Financials

4 Risk Management

5 Appendix

2017 2018 2019 30
9
2019
30
9
2020
Assets HRK
mil
19
799
21
256
23
844
24
155
25
590
1.745
Net
loans
to
customers
HRK
mil
10
963
11
009
13
341
12
638
14
174
833
Deposits HRK
mil
16
951
18
371
20
069
20
454
21
345
1.276
Equity HRK
mil
1
905
2
003
2
370
2
413
2
443
7 3
Income HRK
mil
1
276
1
173
1
227
941 846
-96
Net
profit
HRK
mil
8 152 144 170 165
-6
Cost-to-income
ratio
% 54
4
,
60
1
,
61
3
,
55
8
,
62
7
-7
,
Return
equity
on
% 0
4
,
7
6
,
6
1
,
7
1
,
6
7
0
,
CET
capital
ratio
1
% 18
1
,
17
9
,
20
2
,
19
9
,
20
6
1
,
Total
capital
ratio
% 18
1
,
17
9
,
20
2
,
19
9
,
20
6
1
,
NPL
share
% 12
8
,
11
7
,
10
8
,
11
8
,
10
4
1
,
NPL
coverage
% 61
1
,
67
3
,
67
5
,
69
5
,
62
5
-7
,

Composition of Net profit as of Sep, 30 2020

Successful completion of a comprehensive assessment provided by the European Central Bank (AQR and Stress Test)

Total assets up +7,32% (ytd) net placements up +6,2% (ytd)

In July 2020 market share increased up to 5,63% (June 2020 = 5,55%)

Net profit lower by 3,3% in comparison with 9M 2019

Selective loan growth largest increase in the segment of placements to the central and local government and retail (housing loan subsidies)

Financial market State Corporate Retail Other

SARK at historically highest level of 20,6%

4

Key Financials Q3 2020

Operating result (in HRK thousand)

Operating profit is lower due to lower operating income mostly affected by COVID-19 disease and higher cost growth

Net interest income increased by +0,92%; net income from fees and commissions decreased by -14,5% due to the suspension of customer fees and the slowdown in economic activities (lower tourist season)

Highest growth in the corporate and public sector segment (HRK +524 million) while retail segment records continuous growth (HRK + 505 million

Net result (in HRK thousand)

CET 1 capital ratio (in %)

Net profit in comparison with same period 2019 is lower mainly due to a decline in operating profit

Provisioning decreased by -67,73% due to the cancellation of provisions for litigation (HRK 89 million); credit risk provisions at the same level

Strong capital base lead to high capital adequacy

Gross loans (in HRK thousand)

5

Gross loans structure per segment

30.9.2020.

  • Total gross loans increased by 5.7%, HRK 848 million (ytd)
  • Most significant growth was achieved in corporate and the public sector + HRK 524 million, while the retail sector recorded continuous growth + HRK 505 million.
  • Increase in housing loans + HRK 469 million, mainly in housing loan subsidies segment
  • 6

31.12.2019

Loan subsidies

  • In a four-year framework, since the introduction of housing loan subsidies, the bank approved a total od about 1,600 loans and placed around billion HRK
  • 70% of newly approved housing loans in Y2020 refers to housing loan subsidies (APN), which represent an increase of 58 bp compared to the beginning of the implementation of measures (September 2017)

0,0%

5,0%

10,0%

15,0%

20,0%

25,0%

30,0%

35,0%

40,0%

  • Increased base of young, highly educated and active clients (80% new clients)
  • Increased quality of Bank's loan portfolio
    • * Sourcehttps://mgipu.gov.hr/
    • ** Data of collected requests as of Oct, 21 2020
    • *** the total number of submitted requests for APN that will be mostly placed to clients by the end of 2020

Loan portfolio quality

NPL share movement

NPL share movement - state guarantees excluded

  • Increased quality of the loan portfolio with adequate coverage
  • The Bank has a high share of NPLs which is 100% covered by the guarantee of the Republic of Croatia and represents a fully recoverable part of loan (although the client is classified in the NPL portfolio due to compliance with the CNB Decision on classification of exposures into risk groups and method of determining credit losses)

Ø Market NPL share* 7,93%

Ø Market NPL

  • Calculation of NPL share include funds with central banks and other a vista deposits (according to EBA guidelines; Risk dashboard data as of Q2 2020) * For period 2016 – 30.6.2020
  • 8

Business development in the channel of Hrvatska Pošta d.d.

History
of
externalization
2011. 2015. 2020. TO BE
Externalization
of
payment
operations
Externalization
of
consumer
lending
Externalization
of
payment
operations

corporate
Strengthening HPB / HP business
collaboration
and harnessing HP's
potential as an acquisition tool
Retail

opening
account
Retail
-
cash
payment
operations
Externalization of a part of
credit business, ie
consumer lending to the
HP channel
Opening
business
accounts and related
services
continuous focus on increasing
market share and non-interest
income

Hrvatska pošta d.d. as an important distinguishing element of the Bank - contractual, IT and ownership connections are the basis of the largest branch network in Croatia which is used for contracting part of the most frequently used financial products and services from the HPB range.

OBJECTIVE: To become the most accessible bank on the Croatian market in physical channels with cost optimization with Hrvatska pošta d.d.

Providing the best service to cash-intensive customers with the use of potential in cooperation with a strategic partner HP

1 Executive Summary

2 Macroeconomic environment

3 Financials

4 Risk Management

5 Appendix

Socioeconomic indicators (y-o-y)

Data from ficscalisation system:

*Source: https://www.porezna-uprava.hr/Dokumenti (data for the period 23.2.-4.10.2019 and 2020.) "I- ACCOMMODATION AND FOOD SERVICE ACTIVITIES " 12

Average account value* (in HRK)

2.11.2020. Rezultati Q3 2020. "G- WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE OF MOTOR VEHICLES AND MOTORCYCLES; REPAIR OF MOTOR VEHICLES AND MOTORCYCLES "

COVID-19 impact on loan portfolio

  • Until September, 30 2020 the moratorium has expired for loans worth HRK 746 million
  • Performing loans that went into repayment after the moratorium are regularly repaid

COVID-19 impact on loan portfolio

COVID 19 impact on corporate performing loans

Most of Bank's portfolio (52%) is not affected by the COVID-19 pandemic or it has a low impact

The Decision on Risk Appetite (RAS) was adopted limiting new exposures to the most affected activities by the COVID 19 pandemic

Maturity of loans under moratorium – COVID 19

  • The Bank regularly monitors loans to clients who have been granted a moratorium, regardless of the COVID impact, and approach the cash flows of clients on an individual basis
  • Until the end of the 3rd quarter, the Bank does not record delays in payment on performing loans

Medium impact – maturities by 2022

Strong impact – maturities by 2022

COVID-19 impact on loan portfolio

Approved moratoriums per maturity (in HRK million)

Approved moratoriums per industry

  • Tourism has an extremely low share in the Bank's total portfolio (6% of gross corporate loans)
  • We actively manages the portfolio, analyzes the industry and the impact of pandemic prevention measures on them

1 Executive Summary

2 Macroeconomic environment

3 Financials

4 Risk Management

5 Appendix

Key financials – Income statement

30
9
2019
30
9
2020
Net
interest
income
HRK
ths
401
248
404
937
3
689
Net
fee
income
HRK
ths
155
865
133
261
(22
604)
Operating
income
HRK
ths
642
472
603
925
(38
547)
Operating
expense
HRK
ths
(358
488)
(378
384)
(19
896)
Operating
profit
HRK
ths
283
984
225
541
(58
443)
Provisioning HRK
ths
(82
876)
(26
741)
56
135
Net
profit
HRK
ths
170
360
164
754
(5
606)
Cost-to-income
ratio
% 8
55
,
62
7
,
6
9
,
Net
interest
margin
% 1
8
,
1
6
,
(0
1)
,
  • Net interest income is higher by HRK 3.7m (+ 0.9%) compared to last year, which is a result of a stronger decline in interest expenses than the decline in income.
  • Net fee income decreased by -14.5%. The largest deviations in the positions of card business and fees from payment transactions with legal entities due to the impact of COVID-19 disease that lead to suspension of fees to clients in order to facilitate access to their funds (Q2), slowdown in economic activities and significantly lower number of tourist arrivals (decrease of -47.6% according to CBS).
  • OPEX increased by +5.5% in the position of employee costs (merger of JABA and HPB Stambena-štedionica) and insurance of savings deposits (increase in customer deposits).
  • Provisions are lower by 67.7% due to revenues collected from suspension of litigation provisions in the amount of HRK 89 million.

Operating profit

Operating profit movement in third quarter (in HRK million)

Operating profit movement (in HRK million)

  • Operating profit is expected to be lower than last year, mostly as a result of the adjustment to the COVID-19 pandemic the previously mentioned impact on the decline in net fee income and slower growth in net interest income
  • Profit from trading lower by -47.1% compared to the same period last year mainly due to the falling prices of securities
  • From March 2020, the calculation and recognition of default interest to clients was suspensioned

Operating income

Composition of net income

  • Interest income slightly lower than 9M 2019, mostly due to the adjustment of the loan portfolio to the COVID-19 pandemic, ie active credit risk management (increase in placements with the central state and housing loan subsidies)
  • The decline in operating income amortized by the decline in operating expenses

Fees and commissions

Net fee income movement (in HRK thousand)

Composition of net fee and commission income

Croatian Post Corporate Retail and card business Financial markets FINA and other provisions

  • Net fee and commission income follows long-term sectoral movement with a share of 5%
  • Fees and commissions amount an average of 24% of total operating income
  • The largest share of income from fees and commissions is made up of retail and card business fees
  • Decline compared to Q3 19 caused by: 1) temporary suspension of fees for cash withdrawals at ATMs outside the parent bank (March 25, 2020 - July 1, 2020) in accordance with the CNB Recommendation due to the COVID-19 pandemic, 2) slowdown in economic activities , 3) significantly lower number of tourist arrivals (decrease by -47.6% according to CBS)

Operating cost

  • Bank successfully reduced costs in 2020 despite increased spending related to the COVID-19 pandemic
  • At the beginning of 2020, significant activities related to the optimization and rationalization of general and operating costs were launched, which were intensified at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Increase in costs of IT equipment and protective and safety equipment due to the adaptation of measures made by Croatian Civil Protection Headquarter and implementation of home office method of work
  • The increase in the rental cost is the result of finding new office space due to the earthquake in Zagreb, but their optimization is being carried out and the effects are expected to happen in 2021

Key financials – Balance sheet

31.12.2019. 30.9.2020.
Asset HRK ths 23.844.461 25.589.779 1.745.318
Gross loans HRK ths 14.825.207 15.672.811 847.604
Deposits HRK ths 20.069.171 21.344.770 1.275.599
Equity HRK ths 2.370.212 2.443.438 73.226
Regulatory capital HRK ths 2.209.224 2.209.303 79
Loan/deposit ratio % 66,5 66,4 (0,1)
ROAE % 6,6 9,4 2,9
NPL share % 11,7 10,4 (1,3)
NPL coverage % 67,3 62,5 (4,8)
Balance of placements value adjustment HRK ths (1.487.615) (1.507.193) (19.578)
  • Assets records continuous growth + 7.3% ytd liquid assets + 29.8%, securities -7.7%, gross loans + 5.7%
  • Deposits up + 6.4% largest increase in the segment of central state and large corporate clients HRK +780m, SMEs HRK +242m, retail HRK +235m
  • Moderate recovery in the price of securities that caused the recovery of the comprehensive income reserve + 12.7% compared to Q2
  • NPL coverage increases when excluding exposures covered by state guarantees (70.0% Q4 19 74.1% Q3 20)

Structure of corporate gross loans per industy

Accommodation service industry (primarily tourism), which was hardest hit by the COVID-19 pandemic, had a low share of 6.0% as of Sep, 30 2020.

; 2,4%

; 2,0%

Large share of exposure (30.1%) to the central and local state, which represents the lowest risk, with a parallel increase in housing loan subsidies to retail sector

Source: management reports of the issuer

23

Gross loan movement

Gross loans (in HRK million)

Total gross loans grew by + 5.7% compared to 2019, and the highest growth was achieved in the public sector,

The retail sector has continuous growth, mostly in housing loans

Composition of equity and liabilities and deposit structure

Equity and liabilities structure

Term deposits A vista deposits Other liabilities Equity

  • Stable deposit base and key financing source
  • Deposits recorded an increase of HRK 1,276 million (+ 6.4%)

Liquidity and financial stability review

Funding mix as of Sep, 30 2020*

  • The bank is highly liquid with significantly low loan-to-deposit ratio
  • The most significant source of funds are customer deposits 92%
  • Stable and constant growth of deposits, primarily retail sector, increased the market share to 5.9% (2016 = 5.3%)
  • Stable structure of received loans foreign financial institutions, CBRD and CNB repo loans

Liquidity ratios

Regulatory capital and adequacy ratio movement

Regulatory capital and adequacy ratio movement (in HRK million)

Capital management optimization measures launched in Q4 19, mostly by optimizing RWA, result in an increase in the adequacy rate through 2020 above the regulatory minimum by + 5.4%

1 Executive Summary

2 Macroeconomic environment

3 Financials

4 Risk Management

28

5 Appendix

Regulatory capital movement

Regulatory capital (in HRK million)

Strong and stable capital base

* on Dec, 31 2019 the Bank included 6-month profit in 2019 in the calculation of regulatory capital (retained earnings position), in accordance with the approval of the regulator. By the decision of the General Assembly of the Bank this year, the net profit in 2019 was allocated to the position of retained earnings and other reserves.

29

RWA – risk-weighted assets

RWA movement (in HRK million)

In line with the growth of the Bank's assets, the risk-weighted assets are decreasing as a result of the strengthening the capital management culture

Provisioning

Structure of provision costs (in HRK million) as of Sep, 30 2020

  • Provisioning costs are lower by 67.7% than in 2019, mainly due to the suspension of legal proceedings provisions (net provisions for credit risk amount to HRK -97.4 million; net legal proceedings provisions + HRK 70.7 million)
  • Provisions on a collective basis also include updates of macroeconomic indicators in the model for calculating provisions due to economic circumstances and projections caused by the impact of COVID-19 disease (HRK 55.8 million additional cost recognized in 6M 2020)

Exposures and coverage per stage

Segment Stage Share
30.9.2019
Coverage
30.9.2019
Share
30.9.2020
Coverage
30.9.2020
CORPORATE S1 66,6% 2,8% 61,8% 3,4%
CORPORATE S2 6,0% 6,3% 5,4% 10,5%
CORPORATE S3 27,5% 68,2% 32,8% 46,8%
SME S1 57,2% 3,3% 50,0% 4,1%
SME S2 7,1% 11,0% 19,0% 14,2%
SME S3 35,7% 69,5% 31,0% 71,0%
STATE S1 99,1% 0,8% 98,6% 0,8%
STATE S2 0,9% 7,3% 1,4% 8,6%
STATE S3 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0%
RETAIL S1 86,4% 0,5% 89,4% 0,6%
RETAIL S2 5,3% 4,5% 2,5% 8,2%
RETAIL S3 8,3% 72,8% 8,1% 74,5%

NPL share per segment as of Sep, 30 2020

The increase in stage 1 and stage 2 coverage mainly reflects the deterioration of macroeconomic indicators and their impact on risk parameters due to the COVID pandemic, while the increase in stage 3 share in the corporate segment, accompanied by a decrease in coverage, is the result of AQR and reclassification of certain exposures covered by state guarantees as a non-performing

CORPORATE SME STATE RETAIL

assets.

1 Executive Summary

2 Macroeconomic environment

33

3 Financials

4 Risk Management

5 Appendix

Trading of HPB-R-A stock during the reporting period

Direct channels

Expected significant increase in mobile banking both in the volume and number of transactions

Transaction volume - Internet banking

Net profit and return on equity

Net profit movement (in HRK million)

Return on average equity ROAE

  • The cumulative net profit amounts to HRK 650 million in observed period
  • The average rate of return on average capital (ROAE) is 6.2% in a period 2016 2019

Asset movement

Asset movement (in HRK billion)

Comparative asset growth rates

  • Stable and sustainable growth of assets, in 2019 acquisition growth through Jadranska banka, in 2020 slower growth than the market
  • In 2020, we recorded the continued growth of the bank's gross loan portfolio
  • During the first half of 2020, a strong increase in sources of funds and consequently an increase in liquid assets (+ HRK 901 million)

Accessibility

branch offices

regional centers business centers financial corners at the Croatian post

Over 1.500 cash-out points with no

fees

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.