Skip to main content

AI assistant

Sign in to chat with this filing

The assistant answers questions, extracts KPIs, and summarises risk factors directly from the filing text.

Horizonte Minerals PLC Management Reports 2021

May 14, 2021

46840_rns_2021-05-14_bd239334-ceb6-489c-abe9-958bf97601be.pdf

Management Reports

Open in viewer

Opens in your device viewer

HORIZONTE MINERALS PLC

HORIZONTE MINERALS PLC

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS
THREE MONTHS ENDED 31 MARCH 2021

Background

This Managements Discussion and Analysis of the financial position and results of operations was originally prepared as at 14 May 2021 and should be read in conjunction with the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements of Horizonte Minerals plc as at 31 March 2021 approved and filed at the same time as this document. The Amended Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards and International Accounting Standards.

Horizonte Minerals plc ('Horizonte' or the 'Company') is a publicly listed company, the shares of which are listed on the London Stock Exchange on the AIM market ('AIM') and on the Toronto Stock Exchange (the 'TSX'), in both instances under the symbol 'HZM'.

Company Overview

Horizonte has two advanced 100% owned nickel projects located close to the Carajás mining district in northern Brazil.

Araguaia Ferro-Nickel Project ("Araguaia" or the "Project")

  • Araguaia is an advanced nickel project being developed by Horizonte as the next ferronickel operation in Brazil. Araguaia has the following key characteristics:
  • 100% owned by Horizonte
  • Located south of the Carajás Mining district in northern Brazil, with good access to infrastructure

  • Feasibility Study ('FS') issued Q4 2018, has demonstrated:

  • Robust economics based on a 28-year life of mine ('LOM') producing ~14,000 tonnes per annum (tpa) nickel in ferro-nickel from a single line Rotary Kiln Electric Furnace ('RKEF')
  • The Project is expected to generate over US$1.6 billion in free cash flow over LOM using a nickel price of US$14,000/t
  • NPV₈ of US$401M and IRR of 20.1% using the base case of US$14,000, increasing to US$740M and 28.1% using the consensus price of US$16,800
  • High grade ore with average nickel grade of 1.89% for the first 10 years of production
  • C1 cost of US$8,193/t Ni positioning Araguaia in the lower quartile of Nickel Laterite cost curve, C1 cost of US$6,784/t Ni years 1-10
  • Proven and Probable Mineral Reserve Estimate of 27.5 Mt grading 1.69% Ni

2

Vermelho Nickel-Cobalt Project ("Vermelho")

The Vermelho nickel-cobalt project was acquired from Vale in late 2017. It is 100% owned by Horizonte and is located in the eastern part of the Carajás Mining district and approximately 80 kilometres north west of the Company's Araguaia North ferronickel project. A Pre-Feasibility study ('PFS') was released in October 2019 which confirms Vermelho as a low cost, long life nickel sulphate project.

  • The Study confirms Vermelho as a large, high-grade resource, with a long mine life and low-cost source of nickel sulphate for the battery industry
  • The compelling economic and technical results from the study support further development of the project towards a full Feasibility Study
  • A 38-year mine life estimated to generate total cash flows after taxation of US$7.3 billion¹;
  • An estimated Base Case post-tax Net Present Value¹ ('NPV') of US$1.7 billion² and Internal Rate of Return ('IRR') of 26%
  • At full production capacity the Project is expected to produce an average of 25,000 tonnes of nickel and 1,250 tonnes of cobalt per annum utilising the High-Pressure Acid Leach process
  • The base case PFS economics assume a flat nickel price of US$16,400 per tonne ('/t') for the 38-year mine life
  • C1 (Brook Hunt) cash cost of US$8,020/t Ni (US$3.64/lb Ni), defines Vermelho as a low-cost producer
  • Initial Capital Cost estimate is US$652 million (AACE class 4), including US$97.7 million of contingencies (equating to approximately 18% of capital)
  • Vermelho is set to deliver significant socio-economic benefits for communities in the Pará state, including over 1,800 direct jobs in the construction phase, and over 600 jobs during operation, as well as additional economic and social development programs.

Highlights for Q1 2021

  • Undertook a fund raise raising gross proceeds of approximately £12.2m from a placing to institutions in the USA and UK and £6.6m by way of an underwritten bought deal private placement in Canada.
  • As a result of the placing issued 162,718,353 new ordinary shares at a price of 7.5 pence per share and 88,060,100 special warrants convertible into ordinary shares upon the filing of a prospectus.
  • Awarded the construction licence package for the development of the power line for Araguaia, the approved package includes the preliminary licence (Licença Prévia), the construction licence (Licença de Instalação), and the related fauna and flora licences. This

¹ USD/BRL 1/3.8 exchange rate applied for life-of-mine
² NPV calculated using 8% discount rate


licence package permits the implementation of a 120km, 230KV power line, and respective substation and is an important step in the derisking of Araguaia.

  • Appointment of Michael Drake as Head of Projects, responsible for overseeing the development of Araguaia and Vermelho. Michael's experience as a Mechanical Engineer with extensive international leadership experience in the construction, operation and optimisation of medium to large capex projects, with extensive expertise in both ferro-nickel, and nickel acid-leach operations places him well to add to the expending team and skill base at Horizonte. Prior to joining Horizonte, Michael worked for BHP, Newcrest Mining, and WMC Resources.

Events after the Reporting Date

  • Filed and obtained a receipt (the "Receipt") for a final short form prospectus dated April 9, 2021, in connection with its previously completed private placement of 88,060,100 special warrants for gross proceeds of C$11,711,993.30. The Prospectus qualifies the distribution of the 88,060,100 ordinary shares in the capital of the Company and as a result of obtaining the Receipt, the Special Warrants shall be deemed to be exercised and 88,060,100 Ordinary Shares were issued. This completed the fund raise that was undertaken in Q1.
  • Awarded the contract for the Environmental & Social Impact Assessment (ESIA) for the Company's 100% owned nickel cobalt Vermelho project ('Vermelho' or the 'Project') to Ramboll. The ESIA is an essential part of the permitting process for Vermelho and expected to lead to the award of the Preliminary Licence.

Objectives

In the short to medium term the Company's objectives are to:

  • Progress the Araguaia project through to development by securing project financing
  • Advance the newly acquired Vermelho project towards a Feasibility Study
  • Advance the permitting for Vermelho

Review of Operations

Araguaia Ferro-Nickel Project

Araguaia is located on the eastern margin of the State of Pará, north-eastern Brazil, to the north of the town of Conceição do Araguaia (population of 46,206), south of the main Carajás Mining District. The Project has good regional infrastructure including a network of Federal highways and roads, with access to low tariff hydro-electric power. The Carajás Mining District, situated approximately 200km northwest of the Project, is host to a number of major iron and copper mines operated by mining major Vale SA.


The Araguaia Project areas comprise 27 exploration licences totalling 123,611 ha and the landholdings which comprise the Araguaia Projects do not form part of any native reserves.

Araguaia Feasibility Study Detailed Information

Section 1 - Project Summary

The Project will comprise an open pit nickel laterite mining operation that proposes to mine 27.5 million tonnes ('Mt') Mineral Reserve of a 119 Mt Mineral Resource to produce an average of 52,000 tonnes of ferronickel ('FeNi') (containing and average of 14,500 tonnes of nickel) per year, for the 28-year mine life. The metallurgical process comprises a single line Rotary Kiln Electric Furnace (RKEF) to extract FeNi from the laterite ore. The RKEF plant and project infrastructure will be constructed over a 31-month period. After an initial ramp-up period, the plant will reach full capacity of approximately 900,000 tonnes of dry ore feed per year. The FeNi product will be transported by road to the port of Vila do Conde for sale to overseas customers.

The process plant, mining, infrastructure and utilities engineering has been designed to support capital and operating cost estimates to the Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering ('ACE') class 3 standard. This means that capital and operating costs estimates have a combined accuracy of -10%+15%. The capital and operating costs are as of Q3 2018.

The results of the FS demonstrate that Araguaia is viable for the assumptions used, they key findings are highlighted in Table 1, below.

Table 1 Araguaia FS Key Outcomes


Item Unit Nickel price basis (US$/t Ni)
Base (14,000) CIBC (16,800)
Net cash flow US$M 1,572 2,582
NPV_{8} US$M 401 740
IRR % 20.1 28.1
Breakeven (NPV_{8}) Ni price US$/t 10,766 10,766
C1 Cost (Brook Hunt) US$/t Ni 8,193 8,193
Production year payback years 4.2 3.3
LOM Ni recovered kt 426 426
LOM Fe recovered kt 995 995
Average Ni production at 0.9 Mt/a ore3 kt/a 14.5 14.5
Average Fe production at 0.9 Mt/a ore kt/a 32 32
Total revenue US$M 5,970 7,164
Total costs US$M 3,811 3,995
Operating cash flow US$M 2,159 3,169
Capital intensity – Initial capex/t nickel US$/t Ni 1,041 1,041

The results in Table 1 assumes 100% equity, providing scope for increased returns with the ability to leverage using commercial or other debt. The base case was developed using a flat nickel price of US$14,000/t Ni. Another case was prepared using a market consensus price of US$16,800/t Ni. This additional price forecasts represents the upside scenario.

As shown in Table 1(above), for the base case the project has a 4.2-year payback period with cumulative gross revenues of US$5,970 million. The economic analysis indicates a post-tax NPV of US$401 million and an IRR of 20.1% using the base case forecast of US$14,000/t Ni.

Section 2 – Resources / Reserves and Mining

Snowden Mining Industry Consultants completed the mining engineering along with mining capital, operating cost estimates and resource estimation for the Project. Snowden is a global mining consulting and training business with leading skills and technologies in mining engineering, mine optimisation, and resource estimation.

Mineral Resources

The Project has two principal mining centres; Araguaia Nickel South ('ANS') and Araguaia Nickel North ('ANN'). ANS hosts seven deposits: Pequizeiro, Baiao, Pequizeiro West, Jacutinga, Vila Oito East, Vila Oito West and Vila Oito, while ANN hosts the Vale do Sonhos deposit.

A number of phases of diamond drilling has been completed across the Project commencing in 2010. Drilling at ANS has been undertaken by Horizonte and Teck, with drilling at ANN by

3 Average over initial 28 years of processing


Xstrata/Glencore. The Company has been active on the ANS project since the initial discovery in 2010, when it successfully completed the acquisition and integration of the Teck and Xstrata project areas, it has been the sole project operator since 2015. A total of 75,250 metres ('m') of diamond drilling has been completed across 2,627 holes for the Project.

Mineral Resource estimates for the deposits under consideration for the FS are shown in Table 2. The Measured Mineral Resource is estimated at 18 Mt at a grade of 1.44% Ni using a cut-off grade of 0.90% Ni. The Indicated Mineral Resource is 101 Mt at a grade of 1.25% Ni. This gives a combined Mineral Resource of 119 Mt at a grade of 1.27% Ni for Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources at a cut-off grade of 0.90% Ni (inclusive of Mineral Reserves). A further 13 Mt at a grade of 1.19% Ni (at a cut-off grade of 0.90% Ni) is defined as an Inferred Mineral Resource.

6


Table 2: Mineral Resources for ANS and ANN as of February 2017 by material type (0.90% Ni cut-off)

Araguaia Category Material type Tonnage (kt) Bulk density (t/m3) Contained Ni metal (kt) Ni (%) Co (%) Fe (%) MgO (%) SiO2(%) Al2O3(%) Cr2O3(%)
Subtotal Measured Limonite 1,232 1.39 15 1.20 0.15 37.43 2.00 17.15 11.07 2.98
Transition 6,645 1.26 116 1.75 0.07 18.89 10.20 42.06 6.59 1.29
Saprolite 10,291 1.40 130 1.27 0.03 12.03 24.08 41.24 3.95 0.87
Total Measured All 18,168 1.35 261 1.44 0.05 16.26 17.51 39.91 5.40 1.17
Subtotal Indicated Limonite 19,244 1.39 216 1.12 0.12 36.22 2.40 20.46 9.61 2.65
Transition 30,917 1.20 439 1.42 0.07 21.38 11.26 38.95 5.37 1.51
Saprolite 51,008 1.31 610 1.18 0.03 11.83 25.79 40.59 3.16 0.85
Total Indicated All 101,169 1.30 1,264 1.25 0.06 19.39 16.90 36.26 5.06 1.39
Total Measured + Indicated All 119,337 1.30 1,525 1.27 0.06 18.91 16.99 36.81 5.11 1.36
Subtotal Inferred Limonite 2,751 1.37 30 1.08 0.10 34.92 3.04 22.84 9.23 2.50
Transition 4,771 1.20 62 1.30 0.07 21.23 11.04 39.09 5.62 1.40
Saprolite 5,398 1.35 62 1.15 0.03 11.80 24.36 41.81 3.69 0.82
Total Inferred All 12,920 1.30 154 1.19 0.06 20.21 14.90 36.77 5.58 1.39

Notes:
1. Mineral Resources are not Mineral Reserves and do not have demonstrated economic viability. All figures are rounded to reflect the relative accuracy of the estimate and have been used to derive subtotals, totals and weighted averages. Such rounding consequently introduces a small margin of error. Where these occur, Snowden does not consider them to be material.
2. Mineral Resources are reported inclusive of Mineral Reserves.
3. The reporting standard adopted for the reporting of the Mineral Resource estimate uses the terminology, definitions and guidelines given in the CIM Standards on Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves (May 2014) as required by NI 43-101.
4. Snowden completed a site inspection of the deposit by Mr Andy Ross, FAusIMM, an appropriate "Independent Qualified Person" as such term is defined in NI 43-101.
5. kt = thousand tonnes (metric).

Mineral Reserves

The Mineral Reserves were estimated by Snowden Using the JORC Code (2012 Edition) and quoted in accordance with CIM (2010) requirements.

All economic Indicated Mineral Resources within the pit designs were classified as Probable Mineral Reserves and all Measured Mineral Resources at Pequizeiro (ANS) were classified as Proven Mineral Reserves (this classification was tested and supported by the trial mining program completed in this pit in 2017). Measured Mineral Resources at Vale dos Sonhos (ANN) were classified as Probable Mineral Reserves. A summary is provided in Table 33. The Mineral


Reserve of 27.2 Mt gives mine life of 28 years based on the annual ore throughput to the RKEF plant of 900,000 t/a.

Table 3: Open Pit Mineral Reserves reported at October 2018

Category Ore (Mt) Ni (%) Fe (%) SiO_{2}:MgO Al_{2}O_{3} (%)
Proven 7.33 1.72 16.01 3.01 6.00
Probable 19.96 1.68 17.57 2.36 4.56
Total 27.29 1.69 17.15 2.52 4.94

Notes
1. Mt – million dry metric tonnes.
2. A variable cut-off strategy was used based on the economics of each block.
3. Dilution was modelled as part of re-blocking, ore losses applied are 8%.
3. The reporting standard adopted for the reporting of the Mineral Reserve estimate uses the terminology, definitions and guidelines given in the CIM Standards on Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves (May 2014) as required by NI 43-101.
4. Snowden completed a site inspection on three occasions between March 2016 and May 2017 by Mr Frank Blanchfield, B Eng., FAusIMM, an appropriate “Independent Qualified Person” as such term is defined in NI 43-101.

Mining

The deposits will be mined via conventional open pit truck and shovel techniques using contractors. No blasting will be necessary. Reverse circulation ('RC') grade control drilling will be completed at a 10 m x 10 m spacing well ahead of mining. This combined with the use of visual control of the limonite and transition boundary, face sampling, stockpile sampling and ore feed sampling, supports a comprehensive mine-to-mill strategy that is designed to maintain consistent feed to the process plant.

Waste will be stored in external dumps near the pits. Ore will be transported to stockpile hubs near each deposit. Sheeting (using ferricrete won from the overburden) will be required to support trafficability in and around the mine during the wet season. Depending on plant demand, ore will be hauled from hub stockpiles or directly from the pits to the run of mine ('ROM') at the RKEF process facility. Stockpiles on the ROM will be sheeted and classified according to ore type and chemistry for blending.

The resource model was converted to a mining model to reflect the mining method and incorporated anticipated mining dilution and loss. The model was re-blocked to 6.25 m x 6.25 m x 2 m, with a 300 mm “skin” of transition (directly beneath the limonite boundary) treated as loss.

The pits were optimised to target the highest-grade material giving a mine life of approximately 28 years. This resulted in a cut-off grade of 1.4% Ni being applied. The pits were then optimised using Whittle 4X to determine a shell to use for design.

The annual mining rate peaks at 3.5 Mt/annum between production years two and seven before dropping down to 3.0 Mt/annum for the remainder of the Project.

The mine supplies high nickel grades in the early mine life, reaching 2% in production year 2. The Ni grade is above 1.8% for the majority of the first 10 years of production and reduces to average approximately 1.6% Ni for the remaining mine life.

8


Section 3 – Processing

The process plant design, along with capital and operating cost estimates were completed by Ausenco Engineering Canada Inc ('Ausenco'). Ausenco is a global diversified engineering, construction and project management company providing consulting, project delivery and asset management solutions to the resources, energy and infrastructure sectors.

The Project will utilise a single RKEF processing line from ore receipts through to shotting of the FeNi product, Figure 2.

The RKEF process is proven and used successfully in over 40 nickel laterite plants around the world and was deemed appropriate for the Project based on the extensive metallurgical testwork and the pilot plant campaigns completed on the ore.

The key steps in the RKEF flowsheet are (Figure 1);

  • ROM ore, at an average moisture content of 34%, is first blended to meet metallurgical processing requirements, then transported to the primary crushing stage. Here the ore is sized using two stages of crushing to match the requirements of the subsequent steps. A mineral sizer with a 200 mm gap is used for primary sizing, while a mineral sizer with a 50 mm gap is used for the final stage
  • The ore is then homogenised, partially dried and agglomerated to an average moisture content of 18% in a rotary dryer (4.5 m diameter x 40 m long) and fired with pulverized coal
  • The dried agglomerated ore is then fed to the rotary kiln with the addition of reductant coal. In the kiln, the ore is completely dried, calcined to remove chemically-combined moisture, and the iron and nickel oxides are partially pre-reduced. Kiln dust is recycled to the process at the primary crushing stage ahead of the dryer/agglomerator
  • Calcine from the kiln is then transferred to the electric furnace where further reduction of the nickel and iron occurs, melting and separation of the metal and slag occurs at high temperature. Slag is tapped at a temperature of around 1,575°C, while FeNi metal is tapped at a temperature of close to 1,500°C
  • After tapping, the melt is transferred by ladle to the refining stage. The final FeNi product containing 30% Ni is shotted with water, screened, dried and stockpiled prior to dispatch to the port on trucks where it either bagged or loaded bulk into sea containers for shipping to customers
  • The electric furnace slag is granulated and transferred to the slag repository by truck

9


img-0.jpeg
Figure 1 ANP process flow diagram showing the RKEF steps

Section 4 - Financial Evaluation

Capital Cost

The estimate is based on the AACE class 3 with an accuracy range between $-10\%$ and $+15\%$ of the final project cost (excluding contingency) with a base date of October 2018. All amounts expressed are in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

The capital costs estimate ('capex') includes all the direct and indirect costs, local taxes and duties and appropriate contingencies for the facilities required to bring the Project into production, including the process plant, power line, water pipelines and associated infrastructure as defined by the FS. The estimate is based on an Engineering Procurement and Construction Management ('EPCM') implementation approach and the Project contracting strategy.

The total estimated initial (pre-production) capital cost for the project is US$443.1 million (after tax, including growth and contingency, excluding escalation). A summary of the capex is shown in Table 4.


Table 4: Summary of capex

WBS # Area US$'000
1000 Mine 6,003
3000 Ore Preparation 38,731
4000 Pyrometallurgy 137,518
5000 Material Supply 21,413
6000 Utilities and Infrastructure 106,918
7000 Buildings 9,095
8000 Indirect Costs 82,409
Contingency 40,989
Total Costs 443,076

The direct costs in Table 4 include supply, shipping and site installation. The total contingency carried in the capex is US$41.0 million, which combined with the US$24.3 million growth allowance included in the direct costs provides a total provision of US$65.3 million. This combined sum represents $17.2\%$ of the total capex (excluding growth and contingency).

Operational costs

The mining and operating cost estimate ('opex') was calculated for an operation producing 14,500 t Ni per annum and is set out as an annual total and US$/t Ni in Table (below), calculated as an average over the Life of Mine ('LOM'). The operating costs cover the mine, process plant, ore preparation, social and environmental, royalties and general and administrative overheads. The main contributors of the overall operating costs are power, coal, labour and mining costs, with additional consumables and other indirect costs, including G&A.


Table 5 Operating cost estimate

Description Cost/annum (US$) US$/t nickel
Process Plant
Directs
Power 32,114,355 2,410
Coal 21,591,099 1,620
Other directs 17,965,039 1,348
Labour 7,831,286 588
Subtotal - Direct costs 79,501,779 5,966
Indirect costs 10,285,640 772
Mining costs 21,112,173 1,584
Total costs 110,889,592 8,322

Summary Economics

The financial model developed assumes $100\%$ equity. The base case was developed using a flat nickel price of US$14,000/t Ni. An alternative case was prepared using a market consensus price of US$16,800/t Ni. The alternative represents the upside scenario.

As shown in Table 1, the post taxation model for the base case at the ANP has a 4.2-year payback period with cumulative gross revenues of US$5,970 million. The economic analysis indicates a post-tax NPV of US$401 million and an IRR of 20.1% using the base case forecast of US$14,000/t Ni.

Table 6: Project economic performance (pre-taxation)

Item Unit Nickel price basis (US$/t Ni)
Base (14,000) CIBC (16,800)
Net cash flow US$M 1,834 3,208
NPV8 US$M 456 840
IRR % 21.2 29.9
Breakeven (NPV8) Ni price US$/t 10,672 10,672
C1 Cost (Brook Hunt) US$/t Ni 8,193 8,193
Production year payback years 4.0 3.0
Total costs US$M 4,137 4,137
Operating cash flow US$M 2,421 3,616

Sensitivity Analysis

The sensitivity analysis that was completed as part of the FS demonstrates how the $\mathrm{NPV_8}$ is affected by changes to one variable while holding the other variables constant. The results of the sensitivity analysis are presented in Table7 and Figure 2. The breakeven ('B/E') indicates the change in the variable that will bring the project $\mathrm{NPV_8}$ to US$0.000 if all other variables remain unchanged. For example, if the grade of Ni reduces by 23.7% the Project will break even on $\mathrm{NPV_8}$ .

Table 7: Sensitivity table for the Base Case (US$14,000/t) NPV8, after taxation

-20% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 20% B/E4
Grade Ni 65 234 317 401 483 566 731 -23.7%
Recovery Ni 65 234 317 401 483 566 731 -23.7%
Price Ni 56 230 315 401 485 570 740 -23.1%
Pre-production capital 469 435 418 401 383 366 331 110.2%
Production capital 403 402 401 401 400 399 397 -
Mining cost 436 418 409 401 391 383 365 222.6%
Processing cost 531 466 433 401 367 335 269 59.8%
US$/BRL FX rate 222 321 363 401 434 465 519 -35.4%
Electricity price 447 424 412 401 389 377 353 167.2%
Discount factor 524 458 428 401 374 349 304 151.3%
Overhead cost 414 407 404 401 397 393 386 -

img-1.jpeg
Figure 2: Sensitivity to NPV8 for changes in various key inputs

The sensitivity analysis shows that the Project is more sensitive to nickel price, nickel recovery and grade than it is to either opex or capex.


Section 5 – Market Review and Nickel Pricing

A market study was provided by WM, a global natural resource research and consulting company, with speciality in the nickel industry. WM’s findings are summarised below.

World nickel demand is forecast to increase by 3.6% in 2018, to 2.26 Mt before slowing to a compound annual growth rate of 2.1% a year, reaching 2.61 Mt in 2025. Growth over the long term is slightly stronger, at 2.5% a year, to 3.35 Mt in 2035, due to increasing uptake by the battery segment (for electric vehicles). Over this period, primary nickel uptake in stainless will account for 50–70% of total demand, rising from 1.54 Mt in 2018 to 1.66 Mt in 2025, and 1.77 Mt in 2035.

Thus, with an outlook for nickel of structural shortage, deepening deficits and falling stocks, nickel prices are expected to continue to increase above their recently established range of US$12,500/t to US$15,000/t (US$5.90 to US$6.80/lb). A near term forecast for the purposes of the FS is therefore, US$14,000/t (US$6.35/lb). For comparison, WM’s long-term incentive price currently stands at about US$26,450/t (US$12.00/lb).

The composition of ANP FeNi30 is comparable to existing FeNi30 being produced. Consequently, there is no impediment (based on the elemental breakdown provided) to the proposed FeNi30 product being acceptable to the stainless steel market.

World stainless steel production increased by 12 Mt between 2012 and 2017, mostly in China and to a lesser extent across the rest of Asia. Forecast production in 2018 is 50.8 Mt, up 4.5% on 2017. This upward trend is likely to continue over the mid-term, before slowing after 2025. As future growth in stainless production is expected to continue, the demand for FeNi (including FeNi30) should also increase. Consequently, WM forecasts long term FeNi production to be 450,000–460,000 a year, compared with 433,000 in 2018. This suggests there could be a need for the development of new FeNi projects in the future.

Section 6 – Community and Environment

The FS sets out key environmental and social risks and impacts and how the Company plans to minimise, manage and mitigate them and then monitor performance. This will be primarily achieved through a system of Environmental Control Plans, to be implemented before, during and after construction to meet Brazilian and international standards.

The Company is working with Environmental Resource Management ('ERM'), a global leader in this field, together with local Brazilian groups: Integratio Mediação Social e Sustentabilidade (social and land) and DBO Environmental Engineering (fauna) for the FS environmental and social work streams and the project permitting work for the Construction Licence (Licença de Instalação ('LI'). All work has been undertaken to IFC Performance Standards, 1, 2 and 5 and Brazilian CONAMA (environmental) legislation.

The groups have conducted a number of new studies in 2017 and 2018 together with ongoing programs, these included:

  • Environmental Control Plans - elaboration and detailing of socio-environmental programs
  • Inventories of fauna and flora
  • Air dispersion modelling
  • Hydrogeological modelling and water balance
  • Visits by physical, biological and social analysts to site
  • Air, noise and water monitoring – ongoing as part of base line data build up into the construction and operational phase

14


ANP will generate approximately 500 direct and indirect jobs in the south-eastern rural area of Pará State, over the 28 years of operations. The majority of these workers during the operational phase will reside locally. The peak construction workforce is expected to reach over 1,000.

Social contributions are expected to total over US$700 million during the LOM, including:

  • Over US$400 million in corporate taxes
  • Over US$280 million in employee and contractor wages

Vermelho Nickel-Cobalt Project

Project Summary

The Project is located in the north-western Brazilian state of Pará in the Carajás municipality, approximately 85 kilometres ('km') north-west of the Company's 100% owned Araguaia North Project.

The Project comprises a planned 38 year operation with an open pit nickel laterite mining operation that mines a 141.3 million tonne (Mt) Probable Mineral Reserve (at a cut-off of 0.7% Ni) to produce 924,000 tonnes of nickel contained in nickel sulphate, 36,000 tonnes of cobalt contained in cobalt sulphate and a saleable by-product, kieserite (a form of fertiliser) of which 4.48 Mt are produced. The project will utilise a hydro-metallurgical process comprised of a beneficiation plant where ore is upgraded prior to being fed to a High-Pressure Acid Leach (HPAL) and refining Plant which produces the sulphates. The plant will be constructed in two phases, with an initial capacity of 1 Mt per annum (Mt/a) autoclave feed (Stage 1), then after three years of production, a second process train (Stage 2 Expansion) will be constructed effectively doubling the autoclave feed rate to 2 Mt/a. The Stage 1 plant and project infrastructure will be constructed over a 31-month period. The nickel and cobalt sulphate products will be transported by road to the port of Vila do Conde (the same facility planned for Araguaia) for sale to overseas customers. The kieserite will be transported to consumers within Pará state.

The engineering has been developed for the process plant, mining, infrastructure and utilities to support capital ('capex') and operating expenditure ('opex') estimates to an Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering (AACE) class 4 standard. This means that capex and opex estimates have a combined accuracy of between -25% and +20% at a confidence level of 50%. The capex and opex are dated Q2 2019 and are exclusive of future escalation.

The results of the PFS demonstrate that Vermelho shows positive economics (Table 1, below).

Table 1: Key Feasibility Study Project Economic Indicators (post taxation)

15


Item Unit Nickel price basis (US$/t Ni)**
Base Case 16,400 Long Term 19,800
Net cash flow US$ M 7,304 9,546
NPV8 US$ M 1,722 2,373
IRR % 26.3% 31.5%
Breakeven (NPV8) nickel price US$/t 7,483 7,483
C1 cost (Brook Hunt) US$/t Ni 8,029 8,029
C1 cost (Brook Hunt) years 1–10 US$/t Ni 7,286 7,286
Production year payback years 4.2 3.6
LOM nickel recovered kt 924.0 924.0
LOM cobalt recovered kt 46.61 46.61
LOM kieserite produced kt 4,482 4,482
LOM Total revenue US$ M 19,034 22,175
LOM Total costs US$ M 11,729 12,629
Operating cash flow US$ M 8,451 10,693
Capital intensity – initial capex/t Ni US$/t Ni 635 635

Note: ** US$2,000/t premium for battery sulphate production has been added to Nickel revenue, US$34,000/t for the cobalt produced as cobalt sulphate, and a net revenue of US$100/t of the by-product, kieserite.

The economic model assumes 100% equity, providing the opportunity for increased returns leveraging commercial or other debt. The base case was developed using a flat nickel price of US$16,400/t Ni. An alternate case using the Wood Mackenzie long term Nickel price of US$19,800/t Ni was also developed

As shown in Table 1 (above), for the base case the project has a 4.2-year payback period with cumulative gross revenues of US$19,034 million. The economic analysis indicates a post-tax NPV8 of US$1,722 million and an IRR of 26.3% using the base case forecast of US$16,400/t Ni, this increases to US$2,373 million and 31.5% when using the Wood Mackenzie long term price of US$19,800/t Ni.

Resources / Reserves and Mining

The Vermelho nickel deposits consist of two hills named V1 and V2 (after Vermelho 1 and Vermelho 2), aligned on a northeast-southwest trend, overlying ultramafic bodies. A third ultramafic body, named V3, also located in the same trend lies on flat terrain, southwest of V2. The ultramafic bodies have had an extensive history of tropical weathering, which has produced a thick profile of nickel-enriched lateritic saprolite at V1 and V2.

The Vermelho area was explored in various stages by Companhia Vale do Rio Doce ('Vale') from 1974 to 2004 involving approximately 152,000 m of combined drilling and pitting. The drilling density was substantially enhanced in 2002 to 2004, with the majority of the resource upgraded to the Measured category as defined in JORC (2004) and CIM Definition Standards (2014). Pilot plant metallurgical studies were conducted in Australia focused on the HPAL processing method. A PFS was prepared in 2003, and a Feasibility Study ('FS') was completed in August 2004 by GRD-Minproc (2005). This study confirmed the positive economics supporting the outcomes obtained in previous studies and showed production capacity of 46,000 tonnes per annum (t/a) of metallic nickel, and 2,500 t/a of metallic cobalt. The project was given construction approval in 2005 however later that year Vale elected to place the Project on hold after Vale acquired Canadian nickel producer Inco.

Mineral Resources

Snowden Mining and Industry Consultants ('Snowden') were commissioned by Horizonte to produce the Geology and Mineral Resources sections of the PFS for the Project.


Within the mining licence, at a cut-off grade of $0.7\%$ Ni, a total of 140.8 Mt at a grade of $1.05\%$ Ni and $0.05\%$ Co is defined as a Measured Mineral Resource and a total of 5.0 Mt at a grade of $0.99\%$ Ni and $0.06\%$ Co is defined as an Indicated Mineral Resource. This gives a combined tonnage of 145.7 Mt at a grade of $1.05\%$ Ni and $0.05\%$ Co for Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources. A further 3.1 Mt at a grade of $0.96\%$ Ni and $0.04\%$ Co is defined as an Inferred Mineral Resource at a cut-off grade of $0.7\%$ Ni.

The Mineral Resource is summarised in Table 2.

Table 2V1 + V2 - combined classified Mineral Resource report for Vermelho above $0.7\%$ Ni cutoff within the mining licence

Classification Tonnage (Mt) Ni % Ni metal (kt) Co % Co metal (kt) Fe2O3 % MgO2 % SiO2 %
Measured 140.8 1.05 1,477 0.05 74.6 31.1 11.3 41.0
Indicated 5.0 0.99 49 0.06 2.8 26.3 8.6 49.0
Measured + Indicated 145.7 1.05 1,526 0.05 77.3 30.9 11.2 41.3
Inferred 3.1 0.96 29 0.04 1.4 24.0 15.5 42.2

Notes
1. Mineral Resources are not Mineral Reserves and do not have demonstrated economic viability. All figures are rounded to reflect the relative accuracy of the estimate and have been used to derive subtotals, totals and weighted averages. Such calculations inherently involve a degree of rounding and consequently introduce a margin of error. Where these occur, Snowden does not consider them to be material.
2. Mineral Resources are reported inclusive of Mineral Reserves.
3. The reporting standard adopted for the reporting of the Mineral Resource estimate uses the terminology, definitions and guidelines given in the CIM Standards on Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves (May 2014) as required by NI 43-101.
4. Mineral Resources are reported on $100\%$ basis for all Project areas.
5. Snowden completed a site inspection of the deposit by Mr Andy Ross FAusIMM, an appropriate "independent qualified person" as such term is defined in NI 43-101.
6. $kt =$ thousand tonnes (metric).

Mineral Reserves

Snowden Mining and Industry Consultants ('Snowden') were commissioned by Horizonte to produce the Mining and Mineral Reserves sections of the PFS for the Project.

Mineral Reserves were produced in accordance with the CIM Definition Standards (2014). These standards state that Mineral Reserves are classified as either "Probable" or "Proven" Mineral Reserves and are based on Indicated and Measured Mineral Resources only in conjunction "estimation of Mineral Resource and Mineral Reserve best practice guidelines" as provided by the CIM. No Mineral Reserves have been estimated using Inferred Mineral Resources.

All economic Measured and Indicated Resources within the pit designs were classified as Probable Reserves. A summary of the Mineral Reserves is provided in Table 3


Table 3 Open pit Mineral Reserves reported as of October 2018

Value Probable
Ore (Mt) 141.3
Ni (%) 0.91
Co (%) 0.052
Fe (%) 23.1
Mg (%) 3.81
Al (%) 0.79

Notes
1. Cut-off varies by resource model block depending on individual block geochemistry, however, as a guide the cut-off is approximately $0.5\%$ Ni.
2. Snowden completed a site inspection of the deposit four occasions between March 2017 and September 2019 by Mr Anthony Finch B Eng, B Econ, P. Eng. MAusIMM (CP Min.), an appropriate "independent qualified person" as such term is defined in NI 43-101.

Mining

Mining at Vermelho is planned to be undertaken with conventional open pit truck and excavator mining methods. Blasting will be necessary for the upper parts of the deposit. Waste overburden will be stripped on $4\mathrm{m}$ benches, and ore on $2\mathrm{m}$ benches for additional selectivity.

Reverse circulation ('RC') grade control drilling will be completed at $12.5\mathrm{m}\times 12.5\mathrm{m}$ spacing to define the waste/ore/ore type boundary ahead of mining.

Waste will be stored in dumps adjacent to the pits. Ore will be transported to the run of mine ('ROM') stockpile near the processing plant or the low-grade stockpiles for later processing

Due to the wet season, mining (including stockpile rehandling) will be reduced between October and March (as is standard practice in the region). It was assumed that a fleet of Scania G500 8x4 22 m3 heavy tippers will be used as part of the fleet and coarse beneficiation rejects will be used as sheeting, to mitigate trafficability issues.

The mine production schedule targeted a processing rate of 1 Mt/a HPAL feed for the first three years and a doubling in capacity thereafter to 2 Mt/a. To facilitate this, ROM feed of approximately 2.25 Mt/a to 4.5 Mt/a is required as well as an acid production capacity of 350 kt/a to 700 kt/a.

The annual mining rate starts at 8 Mt/a and peaks at 12 Mt/a between production years 5 and 11 during which time a large ore stockpile is developed for subsequent depletion later in the project life. Strip ratios for the deposit are extremely low (0.14 Waste:Ore) consequently waste dumps are relatively small.

The mine supplies higher grade ore in the early mine life to the HPAL circuit, reaching up to $2\%$ Ni and $0.1\%$ Co in the first four production years. The HPAL feed grade (after beneficiation) is above $1.5\%$ Ni and $0.08\%$ Co for the majority of the first 17 years of production and decreases over the remaining LOM as feed is sourced from large lower grade stockpiles that are to be developed in the early years and are processed in the later years.

Processing

The process plant design, along with capital and operating cost estimates were completed by Simulus (Engineers) Pty Ltd, Perth Australia ('Simulus'). Simulus is a specialist in nickel and cobalt laterite project metallurgical testwork, piloting and process design.

The process selected for the Project is the production of a nickel and cobalt sulphate product via HPAL, mixed sulphide precipitation ('MSP'), pressure oxidation leaching ('POX'), cobalt solvent


extraction ('CoSX') and crystallization. Prior to the HPAL process, barren free silica is removed from the ore via a beneficiation process which involves crushing, scrubbing, washing and separation by screening and hydrocyclones. To avoid accumulation of magnesium sulphate in the recycled process water, a portion is sent to the Kieserite (magnesium sulphate monohydrate, MgSO4•H2O) crystallization area where Kieserite is recovered and crystallised for potential sale as fertiliser.

The process plant has been designed to process 4.34 Mt/a of ROM ore at 1.07% Ni. Of this total feed, 2.34 Mt/a is rejected as coarse, low grade siliceous waste from the beneficiation plant. The 2 Mt/a beneficiated product at 1.85% Ni grade is then fed to the HPAL processing plant as upgraded feed (1 Mt/a per train). A common refining circuit treats the MSP produced from each train via POX, CoSX and crystallization.

The proposed process plant has been designed to recover 94.4% and 94.9% of the nickel and cobalt from the HPAL feed at an acid consumption of 347 kg/t. The nickel and cobalt sulphate products are of high purity suitable for sale directly into the battery market. The Kieserite by-product is of appropriate quality to be sold to the local fertiliser market.

Extensive metallurgical testwork and process design was undertaken on the Project by the former owner, Vale, at scoping, prefeasibility and feasibility stages, included drilling and pitting programs totalling 152,000 m, variability batch testwork, full-scale pilot testwork and detailed engineering studies. A five-year, exhaustive, metallurgical testwork and pilot plant program demonstrated that a high degree of mined ore upgradable using a simple beneficiation processes was possible. The resultant feed delivered 96% average leach extraction for nickel and cobalt via HPAL technology.

Additional testwork has been completed by the current Project owner, HZM, during 2018 and 2019. This testwork on selected samples from Vermelho validated the potential to produce high-grade sulphate products using the HPAL process.

The 6,000 plus samples totalling over 160t used for PFS and Final Feasibility Study (FFS) piloting were large diameter drill core and were representative (geographically, of depth, ore type and by lithology). Additionally, 10% of the samples (1 m from every 10 m) was used for variability testing so piloting and variability were related.

The processing plant consists of the following main process unit operations:

  • Beneficiation
  • HPAL
  • Slurry neutralization and residue filtration
  • MSP
  • POX
  • Impurity removal
  • CoSX
  • Nickel sulphate crystallization
  • Cobalt sulphate crystallization
  • Acid liquor neutralization
  • Kieserite crystallization
  • Sulphuric acid plant
  • Reagents and utilities.

19


Financial Evaluation

Capital Cost

The estimate is based on the AACE class 4 standard, with an estimated accuracy range between $-25\%$ and $+20\%$ of the final project cost (excluding contingency).

The largest capital item is the HPAL plant. In order to manage initial capital, this is constructed in two phases. The first phase (Stage 1) has a capacity of $1\mathrm{Mt / a}$ autoclave feed. Stage 2 is brought online in year 3 of production and effectively doubles the HPAL feed rate to $2\mathrm{Mt / a}$ .

The capex estimate includes all the direct and indirect costs, local taxes and duties and appropriate contingencies for the facilities required to bring the Project into production, including the process plant, power line, water pipelines and associated infrastructure as defined by the PFS. The estimate is based on an Engineering Procurement and Construction Management ('EPCM') implementation approach and the is the contracting strategy expected to be utilised for the Project.

The total estimated initial (pre-production) capex for the project is US$652.2 million (after tax, including contingency, excluding growth and escalation). A summary of the capex is shown in Table 4.

Table 4: Summary of capex

Capital cost component Initial (US$ M) Train 2 (year 3) (US$ M) Remainder (US$ M) LOM (US$ M)
Process plant 575.06 446.68 1,022
Mining pre-production 10.78 - 10.78
Tailings and sediment 24.12 - 24.12
Pumping 2.34 - 2.34
Powerline 14.16 - 14.16
Road 2.59 - 2.59
Permitting and land acquisition 23.19 - 23.19
Mining sustaining - - 21.58 21.58
Other sustaining (including land permitting and land) - - 1.33 1.33
Closure - - 29.37 29.37
TOTAL 652.24 446.68 52.28 1,151

The costs in Table 4 include all direct and indirect costs including owner costs, supply, shipping and site installation. The total contingency carried in the capex is US$97.7 million, this represents $18\%$ of the initial capex (excluding contingency) and $25\%$ of the plant direct costs.

Operational costs

The operating costs shown in Table 5 (below) represent the average over the LOM; actual costs for these vary from year-to-year depending on the fixed and variable costs as well as sustaining capital requirement for the given year. The operating costs cover the mine, process plant, ore preparation, social and environmental, royalties and general and administrative costs. The main


contributors of the overall operating costs are power, sulphur, (for acid and power production) labour and mining costs, with additional consumables and other indirect costs, including G&A.

Table 5: Summary of opex

Area LOM total (US$ M) US$/t nickel US$/t ore Average annual (US$ M)
Mining 981 1,062 6.94 25.81
Rejects and tails handling 414 448 2.93 10.89
Processing costs 5,785 6,261 40.93 152.23
Royalties (CFEM) 23 25 0.16 0.60
Royalty (Vale) 66 72 0.47 1.74
G&A and other costs 215 233 1.52 5.67
SHE 24 26 0.17 0.63
TOTAL 7,508 8,126 53.13 197.57

Summary Economics

The financial model based on 100% equity. The Base Case was developed using a flat nickel price of US$16,400/t Ni for LOM. The second case was prepared; using the Wood Mackenzie long term price of US$19,800/t Ni.

The revenue breakdown by product is shown in Table 1.

Table 1 LOM Revenue by product

Revenue by product LOM Revenue (US $M)** % of total
Ni Sulphate 17,001 89%
Co Sulphate 1,585 8%
Kieserite 448 2%
19,034 100%

Note: **A US$2,000/t Ni premium for battery sulphate production has been added to Nickel revenue, US$34,000/t for the cobalt produced as cobalt sulphate, and a net revenue of US$100/t of the by-product, kieserite

As shown in Table 1, the post taxation model for the Base Case has a 4.6-year payback period with cumulative gross revenues of US$19,034 million. The economic analysis indicates a post-tax NPV of US$1,722 million and an IRR of 26.3% using the Base Case of US$16,400/t Ni. These figures increase to US$2,373 million and 31.5% when using the Wood Mackenzie long term price of US$19,800/t Ni. Table 7 shows the pre-taxation results.


Table 7: Project economic performance (pre-taxation)

Item Unit Nickel price basis (US$/t Ni)**
Base Case (consensus) 16,400 WM Long Term 19,800
Net cash flow US$ million 10,379 13,509
NPV8 US$ million 2,342 3,185
IRR % 28.8% 34.5%
Breakeven (NPV8) Ni price US$/t 6,946 6,946
C1 Cost (Brooke Hunt) US$/t 8,029 8,029
Production year payback Years 4.0 3.5
Cash costs US$ million 7,508 7,520
Operating cash flow US$ million 11,526 14,655

Note: ** US$2,000/t premium for battery sulphate production has been added to Nickel revenue, US$34,000/t for the cobalt produced as cobalt sulphate, and a net revenue of US$100/t of the by-product, kieserite.

Sensitivity Analysis

The sensitivity analysis demonstrates how the $\mathrm{NPV_8}$ is affected by changes to one variable while holding the other variables constant. The results of the sensitivity analysis are presented in Table 8 and Figure 1.

Table 8: Sensitivity table for the Base Case (US$16,400/t**) NPV% after taxation

Sensitivity parameter -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30%
Price/Grade/Recovery of Ni 661 1,016 1,369 1,722 2,074 2,427 2,779
Price/Grade/Recovery of Co 1,617 1,652 1,687 1,722 1,757 1,792 1,827
Net revenue from Kieserite 1,693 1,703 1,712 1,722 1,731 1,741 1,751
Pre-Production Capital 1,873 1,823 1,772 1,722 1,671 1,621 1,570
Stage 2 Capital 1,802 1,775 1,749 1,722 1,695 1,668 1,642
Mining Cost 1,799 1,773 1,748 1,722 1,696 1,670 1,645
Fx rate 1,535 1,613 1,674 1,722 1,761 1,794 1,821
Sulphur Price 1,911 1,848 1,785 1,722 1,659 1,596 1,532
Power cost 1,735 1,730 1,726 1,722 1,718 1,713 1,709
Discount rate 2,523 2,217 1,952 1,722 1,521 1,345 1,189

Beneficiation efficacy

1,298

1,439

1,581

1,722

1,863

2,004

2,146

Note: ** US$2,000/t premium for battery sulphate production has been added to Nickel revenue, US$34,000/t for the cobalt produced as cobalt sulphate, and a net revenue of US$100/t of the by-product, kieserite.

img-2.jpeg
Figure 1: Sensitivity chart

Please see image in the full version of the announcement at www.horizonteminerals.com

The sensitivity analysis shows that the Project is more sensitive to nickel price, nickel recovery and grade than it is to either opex or capex.

Section 5 - Market Review and Nickel Pricing

In June 2019, HZM commissioned Wood Mackenzie to develop a report on the market for nickel sulphate. As a consequence of that report the following assumptions with respect to commodity pricing were used in the PFS.

  • The consensus nickel price of US$16,400/t (US$7.44/lb) was used in the Base Case for the PFS along with a US$2,000/t (US$0.91/lb) nickel sulphate product premium. The nickel sulphate premium is driven by the battery market (where nickel sulphate is valued higher than class 1 nickel) and is supported by very strong growth in the EV car market. The US$2,000/t (US$0.91/lb) sulphate premium is the average value realised in the market over the last 12 months. The Wood Mackenzie long-term price currently stands at approximately US$19,800/t (US$8.98/lb); this was used as an alternative case for the PFS. A fixed price for nickel was applied over the LOM. The Qualified Person has reviewed the above and consider that the results support the assumptions in this Technical Report.
  • The cobalt price assumption of US$34,000/t (US$15.43/lb) used in this study is significantly below the long-term consensus bank/broker forecasts which stand at US$55,000/t (US$25/lb).

24

Kieserite

In July 2019, HZM commissioned a report on the market for kieserite in Brazil from Dr Fabio Vale (Director Técnico/Technical Manager) of Adubai Consultoria Agronômica (Adubai).

The study concludes that:

The fertilizer market in Brazil is large. In 2018, 35.6 Mt of fertilizer was sold, of this 77.5% was imported and 22.5% was manufactured locally. The most likely consumers of the kieserite produced at the Project are the palm oil growers in Pará state, as palm oil trees have a very high demand for both magnesium and sulphur, although it has been demonstrated that coffee and cotton would also benefit from kieserite. The location of the Vermelho plant in the centre of the Pará state gives its distribution a competitive advantage over the imported product. The Project will produce approximately 150,000 t of kieserite a year, which is 10 times the current market for imported kieserite. This means there would be oversupply which would be expected to dictate a lower realised price then the current market, and substitution of other agro-products would be required for all Project kieserite to be consumed in the local market. This suggest that it would be unlikely for current prices (approximately US$380/t FOB Barcarena) to be realised. For the study, HZM has assumed a kieserite price of US$180/t (delivered) – about half of the current price in Barcarena. The study assumes a cost of US$80/t for delivery and marketing of kieserite.

Community, Environment and Permitting

The Project is located 3km from the town of Canaã dos Carajás, founded in 1994, which forms the southern limit of the Carajás Mining District (CMD) Pará state, north of Brazil. The CMD is host to a number of tier 1 iron, nickel and copper mines operated by Vale.

Mining and related industries in the CMD play a vital role in the socio-economic fabric of the region, with the municipality presenting considerable per capita income, the second highest of the Pará state.

In 2004, Vale started to operate the Sossego Copper Mine after several infrastructure municipality improvements, and most recently (2017) ramped-up the S11D project, one of the largest standalone iron operations in the world. As a result of the advances of mining in the region, there has been a significant influx of people and investment, which has in turn promoted changes and improvements in the areas of economic growth, cultural diversity and a more developed economy than nearby towns, heavily centred around mining related activities.

Key environmental studies for the advancement of project licensing stages were completed by Vale. HZM will utilize the studies and baseline data collected by previous owners to inform and expedite new EIA RIMA studies.

The following mining and environmental permits were granted to Vale by the end of 2016:

  • EIA/RIMA studies (Environmental Impact Study ('EIS') and Environmental Impact Report ('EIR')) issued
  • Award of Preliminary Licence ('LP')
  • Environmental Controls Plan issued
  • Application for Installation Licence ('LI')
  • Final Exploration Report approved
  • Mine Plan (Plano de Aproveitamento Economico - PAE) approved

Whilst a new permit pathway is proposed, the previously awarded permits for Vermelho provide a solid basis from which to progress the project permitting


HZM will utilize the Vale studies and baseline data collected to inform and expedite new EIA RIMA studies. As HZM will recommence the licensing for Vermelho, the Company will both update studies and undertake new studies to accurately characterize the current physical environment, biological environment and social settings.

Next Steps

The PFS demonstrates that the Project is technically, economically viable, and is expected to obtain all the regulatory and permitting requirements. Consequently, the Project should progress to a Feasibility Stage.

Technical Disclosure

All scientific and technical information contained in this Management's Discussion and Analysis has been prepared by or under the supervision of Mr Anthony Finch BEng(Min), B Econ, P.Eng (APEGBC), MAusIMM(CP), a "qualified person" within the meaning of NI 43-101 for the Vermelho Project and Mr Frank Blanchfield, B.Eng, FAusIMM a "qualified person" within the meaning of NI 43-101 for the Araguaia Project. For further details on the Araguaia Project, please refer to "Amended NI 43-101 Technical Report Feasibility Study for the Araguaia Nickel Project Federative Republic of Brazil Project Number AU9867", dated 30 November 2018, amended 31 March 2021, with an effective date of 30 November 2018" available on the Company's website at www.horizonteminerals.com and on SEDAR at www.sedar.com. For further details on the Vermelho project please refer to "Amended NI 43-101 Technical Report on the Vermelho Project, Pará State, Brazil" dated 31 October 2019, amended 31 March 2021 with an effective date of 31 October 2019" available on the Company's website at www.horizonteminerals.com and on SEDAR at www.sedar.com

25


26

Summary of Financial and Operating Performance

Summary of Cashflows

>> 3 months ended

| | 31 March 2021
£ | 31 March 2020
£ | 31 March 2020
£ |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| >> Net cash flows used in operating activities | (943,728) | | (799,540) |
| >> Net cash used in investing activities | (1,092,748) | | (908,573) |
| >> Net cash flow generated from financing activities | 17,716,217 | | - |
| >> Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | 15,679,741 | | (1,708,113) |

The net cash flows used in operating activities for the three months ended 31 March 2021 and 31 March 2020 are driven by activities in the management of the Araguaia Project and to a lesser extent Vermelho. These management activities were higher during 2021 as work levels increased as a result of increasing the operational team and financing work streams to advance Araguaia towards being construction ready and securing the required project finance package. See 'Results from Operations' for further analysis.

Cash used in investing activities has increased slightly to £1,092,748 from £908,573 in 2020 as a result of the increased level of expenditure related to the advancing the Araguaia Project towards being construction ready.

There were cash flows from financing activities during Q1 2021 of £17,716,217.

Quarterly Financial Information

The quarterly information for the period ended 31 March 2020 has been amended to reflect certain adjustments to the figures as set out in note 2 in the Amended Condensed Consolidated Interim Financial Statements for the 3 months ended.

| Quarter Ended | 31 March 2021
£ | 31 December 2020
£ | 30 September 2020
£ | 30 June 2020
£ | 31 March 2020
£ | 31 December 2019
£ | 30 September 2019
£ | 30 June 2019
£ |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Revenue | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Profit/(Loss) from continuing operations | (954,476) | 359,228 | (1,882,583) | (724,173) | (41,522) | (3,526,208) | (1,119,612) | (677,512) |
| Total comprehensive | (5,059,091) | 1,440,259 | (3,047,883) | (2,181,977) | (6,651,394) | (6,153,147) | (2,678,997) | 1,560,085 |


Profit/(loss) from continuing operations in each of the periods disclosed is driven on an on-going basis by administrative expenses, including exploration costs expensed, together with (loss)/gain on foreign exchange and finance income and costs that are not capitalised.

The loss from continuing operations in the first quarter of 2021 of £954,476 was after administrative expenses of £820,802. There was no share-based payment charge, a change in fair value of special warrant liability of £303,001(loss) and a gain on foreign exchange translation of £184,584.

Total comprehensive income attributable to equity holders of the company is driven by results from continuing operations, combined with finance income and costs and exchange differences arising on translating foreign operations.

Exchange differences arising on translating foreign operations arise as the values of the exploration assets of the Company are denominated in the currency of the country in which they are located.

During the first quarter of 2021 the total comprehensive income attributable to equity holders of the company was after exchange differences arising on translating foreign operations of £(4,104,615) as the Brazilian Real weakened against Sterling in the quarter.

Amended Results from Operations

3 months ended 31 March 2021 3 months ended 31 March 2020
£ £
>>
>> Analysis of Operating Loss:
>> General and Administration Costs
>> Compensation (201,136) (154,349)
>> Travel/Expenses (42,637) (87,725)
>> Exploration Costs Expensed - (164,394)
>> Professional Fees (480,208) (216,841)
>> Investor Relations (67,403) (55,270)
>> TSX fees and associated costs (26,499) 11,027

>>Overheads/Other (2,919) (6,906)
>>Total General and Administration Costs (820,802) (674,458)
>>Change in fair value of special warrant liability (303,001) -
>>Gain / (Loss) on Foreign Exchange 184,584 941,446
>>Operating Loss (939,219) 266,988

General and Administration costs have increased during the three month period to 31 March 2021 compared to the same period in the prior year. This has been driven by an increase in corporate activity as a result of advancing the Araguaia project towards being construction ready and the origination of a project finance package.

Within General and Administration costs:

> Compensation of £201,136 was higher in 2021 versus 2020, when it amounted to £154,349 due to an increase in headcount as a result of building out a team to move the Araguaia project towards construction.
> Exploration costs incurred in 2021 have been capitalized to the Araguaia project mine development asset and Vermelho exploration and evaluation intangible asset.
> The level of professional fees has increased to £480,208 for 2021 compared to £216,841 for 2020 as direct result of increasing levels of activity around seeking to obtain project financing for the Araguaia project. Professional fees include legal fees and fees from technical and specialist advisors as well as corporate advisory, accounting, audit and secretarial charges.
> Investor relations charges were higher in 2021 at £67,403 compared to £55,270 in 2020. This is predominantly due to an overall increase in level of investor related activity in anticipated of closing project financing for the ANP.

Additional movements:

> The gain on foreign exchange is associated with movements arising on cash deposits held by the Company in currencies other than Sterling.
> The change in fair value of special warrant liability relates to the placement of 88,060,100 special warrants at a price of 7.5 pence per warrant on 9 March 2021. The Special Warrants have been classified as a financial instrument under IFRS and measured at fair value through profit and loss.


Analysis of Intangible Assets

Goodwill Exploration licences Exploration and evaluation costs Total
£ £ £ £
Cost
At 1 January 2020 210,585 5,157,366 1,689,495 7,057,446
Additions - - - -
Exchange rate movements (52,337) (151,785) (632,451) (836,573)
Net book amount at 31 December 2020 158,248 5,005,581 1,057,044 6,220,873
At 1 January 2021 158,248 5,005,581 1,057,044 6,220,873
Additions - 17,707 8,592 26,299
Exchange rate movements (15,265) (499,137) (89,372) (603,774)
Net book amount at 31 March 2021 142,983 4,524,151 976,264 5,643,397

Exploration and evaluation costs comprise the costs capitalised to the Vermelho project. Exploration licences comprise the Vermelho licences which were acquired from Vale in 2017. Impairment reviews for exploration and evaluation assets are carried out either on a project by project basis or by geographical area.

The accounting policies of the Group specify that intangible assets are to be denominated in the functional currency of the country in which the asset is located. The Vermelho project is therefore denominated in Brazilian Reais.

Analysis of mine development property

Mine Development Property £
Cost
At 1 January 2020 32,260,061
Transfers to from exploration and evaluation assets -
Additions 4,008,719
Capitalised interest 2,100,521
Exchange rate movements (7,662,503)
Net book amount at 31 December 2020 30,706,798
Additions 939,993
Capitalised interest 1,199,885
Exchange rate movements (2,996,468)
Net book amount at 31 March 2021 29,850,207

In December 2018, a Canadian NI 43-101 compliant Feasibility Study ("FS") was published by the Company regarding the enlarged Araguaia Project which included the Vale dos Sonhos deposit acquired from Glencore.

The financial results and conclusions of the FS clearly indicate the economic viability of the Araguaia Project with an NPV of $401M using a nickel price of $14,000/t Ni. Nothing material had changed with the economics of the FS between the publication date and the date of this report and the Directors undertook an assessment of impairment through evaluating the results of the FS along with recent market information relating to capital markets and nickel prices and judged that there are no impairment indicators with regards to the Araguaia Project.

Carrying value of Royalty financing arrangement

£
Net book amount at 1 January 2020 20,570,411
Unwinding of discount 3,244,873
Change in fair value (910,834)
Effects of foreign exchange (851,109)
Net book amount at 31 December 2020 22,053,341
Unwinding of discount 785,133
Change in fair value 641,456
Effects of foreign exchange (212,942)
Value as at 31 March 2021 23,266,988

During 2019 the Group entered into a royalty funding arrangement with Orion Mine Finance ("OMF") securing a gross upfront payment of $25,000,000 before fees in exchange for a royalty to be paid over the first 426k tonnes of nickel produced from the Araguaia Ferronickel project. The royalty is linked to production and therefore does not become payable until the project is constructed and commences commercial production; it is however accounted for as a long-term liability in accordance with the accounting treatment set out in the audited 2020 annual financial statements.

During the first 3 months of 2021 there was an unwinding of the discount of £785,133 and change in carrying value of £641,456 which was capitalised to the mine development property during the period and as the liability is denominated in US$ which depreciated against GBP during the period the carrying value of the liability decreased by £212,942 as a result of this movement in the foreign exchange rates.


31

Other Information

Outstanding Share Data

2021 2021 2020 2020
>> Group and Company Number £ Number £
>> Issued and fully paid
>> Ordinary shares of 1p each
>> At 1 January 1,449,377,287 14,493,773 1,446,377,287 14,463,773
>> Issue of ordinary shares 162,718,353 1,627,184
>> At 31 March 1,612,095,640 16,120,957 1,446,377,287 14,463,773

As at the date of this document the group had 1,700,155,740 ordinary shares in issue following the placing of 88,060,100 new ordinary shares as part of a placing completed in April 2021.

Stock Options in the Company

Total options outstanding as at the date of this document amount to 125,350,000 with a weighted average exercise price of £0.051, which are currently fully vested.

The Company recognises as an expense the cost of stock based compensation based upon the estimated fair value of new stock options granted. The fair value of each stock option is estimated on the date of grant using the Black-Scholes option pricing model and is expensed over the vesting period.

Liquidity, Capital Reserves and Financing Activities

The Company is not in commercial production on any of its properties and accordingly it does not generate cash from operations and finances its activities by raising capital through equity issues and more recently the issue of a royalty financing arrangement as previously noted.

As at 31 March 2021 the Company had £26,331,015 in cash at bank and on deposit, as at 31 December 2020 cash at bank and on deposit amounted to £10,935,563.

The Company has no immediate debt repayment requirements as the deferred contingent consideration and the Orion royalty only become payable upon commencement of production. The Group has a non material level of current liabilities which occur in the ordinary course of business. The special warrant liability of £6,481,223 was converted into shares in April 2021.

All of the Company's cash and cash equivalents as at 31 March 2021 is held in interest bearing accounts. The Company has not invested in any short-term commercial paper, asset backed securities or other financial instruments.

The audited financial statements prepared as at 31 December 2020 include certain disclosures in note 2.2 regarding the potential effect of Covid-19 on the Groups ability to continue as a going concern. These disclosures remain pertinent as at the date of this report as the effects of the pandemic remain wide ranging and ongoing.

The Directors, having made appropriate enquiries, consider that adequate resources exist for the Group to continue in operational existence for the foreseeable future and that, therefore, it is


appropriate to adopt the going concern basis in preparing the condensed consolidated interim financial statements for the period ended 31 March 2021.

Off-Balance sheet arrangements

We do not engage in off-balance sheet accounting to structure any of our financial arrangements and do not have any interests in unconsolidated special-purpose or structured finance entities.

Related party transactions

The key management personnel of the Company at March 31, 2021 are the directors, including the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer and the Chief Financial Officer. Information about the remuneration of the key management personnel and the shares and options held by each director is included in the audited financial statements for the year ended 2020.

The nature of related party transactions of the Group has not changed from those described in the Group's Annual Report and Financial Statements for the year ended 31 December 2020. There were no significant related party transactions during the 3 month period ended 31 March 2021.

Responsibilities, controls and policies

Evaluation of disclosure controls and procedures

Our Chairman and CEO, and Chief Financial Officer are responsible for establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures for the Company. As such, we maintain a set of disclosure controls and procedures designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed in filings is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified by the Canadian Securities Administrators rules and forms. In designing and evaluating the disclosure controls and procedures, management recognizes that any controls and procedures, no matter how well designed and operated, can provide only reasonable assurance of achieving the desired control objectives, and management necessarily is required to apply its judgment in evaluating the cost/benefit relationship of possible controls and procedures.

Our internal controls over financial reporting are designed to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with IFRS. Because of their inherent limitations, internal controls over financial reporting may not prevent or detect misstatements. Therefore, even those systems determined to be effective can provide only reasonable assurance with respect to financial statement preparation and presentation.

Control weakness

As part of a review of the control environment the requirement for some non cash restatements to the interim financial statements were required under IFRS, it also became clear that the Company did not have sufficient accounting resources with relevant technical accounting skills to address issues related to the financial statement close process. Because of the size of the Company and its staff complement, we were not able to sufficiently design internal controls to provide the appropriate level of oversight regarding the financial recordkeeping and review of the Company's financial reporting. This weakness has been identified and is in the process of being address and will continue to be addressed through 2021 with an increase and restructure of the finance function. As the Company continues to improve its internal controls over financial reporting, we have engaged outside consultants, expert in the valuation of complex financial instruments.

32


33

Risks and uncertainties

The information presented in the heading "Risk Factors" on pages 56 to 60 of our Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2020 has not changed materially since December 31, 2020.

Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates

The financial information disclosed within this document was prepared on a going concern basis using accounting policies consistent with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS).

The preparation of financial statements requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the end of each reporting period.

Significant items subject to such estimates include:

Impairment of exploration and evaluation costs

Exploration and evaluation costs have a carrying value at 31 March 2021 of £5,500,414 (Dec 2020: £6,062,625). Management tests annually whether exploration projects have future economic value in accordance with the accounting policy. Each exploration project is subject to an annual review by either a consultant or senior company geologist to determine if the exploration results returned to date warrant further exploration expenditure and have the potential to result in an economic discovery. This review takes into consideration long-term metal prices, anticipated resource volumes and grades, permitting and infrastructure. In the event that a project does not represent an economic exploration target and results indicate there is no additional upside, a decision will be made to discontinue exploration. The Directors have reviewed the estimated value of each project prepared by management and do not consider any impairment is necessary.

Contingent consideration

Contingent consideration has a carrying value of £5,956,840 at 31 March 2021 (Dec 2020: £5,927,026). There are two contingent considerations arrangement in place as at 31 March 2021:

  • A contingent consideration arrangement that requires the Group to pay Xstrata Brasil Mineração Ltda the remaining consideration of US$5,000,000 to be paid in cash, as at the date of first commercial production from any of the resource areas within the Enlarged Project area. As at 31 March 2021 this had a carrying value of £2,908,434.
  • A contingent consideration payable to Vale Metais Basicos S.A. comprising US$6,000,000 consideration in cash as at the date of first commercial production from the Vermelho project and was recognised for the first time in December 2019, following the publication of a PFS on the project. As at 31 March 2021 this had a carrying value of £3,048,406.

The critical assumptions relating to the assessment of both the contingent consideration amounts are presented in further detail in the 2020 audited annual report and MD&A as at 31 December 2020.

Current and deferred taxation

The Group is subject to income taxes in numerous jurisdictions. Judgment is required in determining the worldwide provision for such taxes. The Group recognises liabilities for


anticipated tax issues based on estimates of whether additional taxes will be due. Where the final tax outcome of these matters is different from the amounts that were initially recorded, such differences will affect the current and deferred income tax assets and liabilities in the period in which such determination is made.

Deferred tax liabilities have been recognised on the fair value gains in exploration assets arising on the acquisition of Lontra Empreendimentos e Participações Ltda but no longer on the acquisition of Araguaia Niquel Mineração Ltda (formerly Teck Cominco Brasil S.A). A deferred tax asset was historically recognised on acquisition of Araguaia Niquel Mineração Ltda to the extent that it could be set against the deferred tax liability arising on the fair value gains. In determining whether a deferred tax asset in excess of this amount should be recognised management must make an assessment of the probability that the tax losses will be utilized and a deferred tax asset is only recognised if it is considered probable that the tax losses will be utilised.

Property plant and Equipment

Mine development property

Following determination of the technical feasibility and commercial viability of a mineral resource, the relevant expenditure is transferred from exploration and evaluation assets to mine development property.

Further development costs are capitalised to mine development properties, if and only if, it is probable that future economic benefits associated with the item will flow to the entity and the cost can be measured reliably. Cost is defined as the purchase price and directly attributable costs. Once the asset is considered to be capable of operating in a manner intended by management, commercial production is declared, and the relevant costs are depreciated. Evaluated mineral property is carried at cost less accumulated depreciation and accumulated impairment losses.

Depreciation and amortisation

Mine development property is not depreciated prior to commercial production but is reviewed for impairment annually. Upon commencement of commercial production, mine development property is transferred to a mining property and is depreciated on a units-of-production basis. Only proven and probable reserves are used in the tonnes mined units of production depreciation calculation.

Accounting for the royalty finance arrangements

The Group has a $25m royalty funding arrangement which was secured in order to advance the Araguaia project towards construction. The treatment of this financing arrangements as a financial liability, calculated using the effective interest rate methodology is a key judgement that has been made by the Company and which has been taken following obtaining independent expert advice. The carrying value of the financing liability is also sensitive to assumptions regarding the royalty rate and future nickel prices. Further information relating to the accounting for this liability and the sensitivity of the carrying value to these estimates is presented in the analysis of the carrying value earlier in this document.

The future price of nickel and date of commencement of commercial production are key estimates that are critical in the determination of the carrying value of the royalty liability.

The future expected nickel price and, volatility of the nickel prices are key estimates that are critical in the fair value of the Buy Back Option associated with the Royalty financing.

34


35

Borrowing costs

Borrowing costs are expensed except where they relate to the financing of construction or development of qualifying assets. Borrowing costs directly related to financing of qualifying assets in the course of construction are capitalised to the carrying value of the Araguaia mine development property. Where funds have been borrowed specifically to the finance the Project, the amount capitalised represents the actual borrowing costs incurred net of all interest income earned on the temporary re-investment of these borrowings prior to utilisation. Borrowing costs capitalised include:

  • Interest charge on royalty finance
  • Adjustments to the carrying value of the royalty finance
  • Unwinding of discount on contingent consideration payable for Araguaia

All other borrowing costs are recognized as part of interest expense in the year which they are incurred.

Additional Information

Additional information relating to the Company, including its annual financial statements for its most recently completed fiscal year as well as its annual information form are available on the Company's website at www.horizonteminerals.com and are also available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.

Forward Looking Statements

Except for statements of historical fact relating to the Company, certain information contained in this management’s discussion and analysis constitutes ‘forward-looking information’ under Canadian securities legislation. Forward-looking information includes, but is not limited to, statements with respect to the potential of the Company’s properties; the future price of minerals; grant of key permits; success of exploration activities; cost and timing of future exploration and development; the estimation of mineral resources; requirements for additional capital and other statements relating to the financial and business prospects of the Company. Generally, forward-looking information can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as ‘plans’, ‘expects’ or ‘does not expect’, ‘is expected’, ‘budget’, ‘scheduled’, ‘estimates’, ‘forecasts’, ‘intends’, ‘anticipates’ or ‘does not anticipate’, or ‘believes’, or variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results ‘may’, ‘could’, ‘would’, ‘might’ or ‘will be taken’, ‘occur’ or ‘be achieved’. Forward-looking information is inherently subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking information, including but not limited to risks related to:

The Company’s goal of creating shareholder value by concentrating on the acquisition and development of properties that have the potential to contain economic mineral deposits:

  • future plans for the Araguaia Project and other property interests held by the Company or which may be acquired on a going forward basis, if at all;
  • management’s outlook regarding future trends;
  • the Company’s ability to meet its working capital needs at the current level in the short term; and
  • governmental regulation and environmental liability.

Forward-looking information is based on the reasonable assumptions, estimates, analysis and opinions of management made in light of its experience and its perception of trends, current conditions and expected developments, as well as other factors that management believes to be relevant and reasonable in the circumstances at the date that such statements are made, and are inherently subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking information, including but not limited to risks related to: unexpected events and delays during permitting; the possibility that future exploration results will not be consistent with the Company’s expectations; timing and availability of external financing on acceptable terms and in light of the current decline in global liquidity and credit availability; uncertainty of mineral resources; future prices of minerals; currency exchange rates; government regulation of mining operations; failure of equipment or processes to operate as anticipated; risks inherent in mineral


exploration and development including environmental hazards, industrial accidents, unusual or unexpected geological formations; and uncertain political and economic environments. Although management of the Company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking information, there may be other factors that cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information. The Company does not undertake to update any forward-looking information, except in accordance with applicable securities laws.

36