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HelloFresh SE — Investor Presentation 2018
Aug 13, 2018
206_ip_2018-08-13_51ee8f51-5930-489e-9aeb-6b452527bdba.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Highlights Q2: strong group performance across all financial metrics
Another quarter of > 40% year-on-year topline growth for the group (in constant currency)
Operational efficiencies tracking significantly ahead of plan, translating into a strong contribution margin increase in Q2
- Contribution margin1 increase by 5.8% points y-o-y
- 1.8% points increase q-o-q (despite margin dilutive impact of Green Chef acquisition)
- Margin expansion primarily driven by
- o COGS savings across the group
- o Fulfilment efficiencies in Intl,
supported by strong volume growth
- Contribution margin is defined as revenue less cost of goods sold and fulfilment expenses, excluding share-based compensation expenses; contribution margin is shown as % of revenue
Driving down CACs and seasoning of our sticky customer base allow us to decrease our marketing investments as % of Net Revenues
- H1 marketing investment1 as % of Net Revenue decreased y-o-y by 2.5% points
- Lower CACs y-o-y, driven by
- o Refining of ad tech tools, data analytics and data science
- o More disciplined seasonal spending to optimize ROI
- Increasing share of revenues from vintage customers
For the 1st time, HelloFresh reached quasi-AEBITDA1breakeven in Q22
- 0.0% AEBITDA margin in Q22
- 7.4% points y-o-y improvement
- Both segments profitable (ex. Green Chef):
- US AEBITDA margin of 2.0%
- International AEBITDA margin of 4.1%
- (1.2)% AEBITDA margin from Green Chef impact
1.AEBITDA is calculated by adjusting EBITDA for special items and share-based compensation expenses; AEBITDA margin is defined as % of revenue 2.Excluding Green Chef
US: Organic y-o-y revenue growth of 33% (in constant currency)1 and AEBITDA profitability reached (ex. Green Chef) in Q2 2018
OPERATIONAL AND FINANCIAL KPIs
| Q2 17 | Q2 18 | Q2 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Active Customers (m) | 0.8 | (Ex. Green Chef) | (Incl. Green Chef) 1.1 |
| Average Order Rate | 3.4 | 3.4 | |
| Average Order Value (€) | 53.0 | 49.6 | |
| Average Order Value constant currency (€) | 53.0 | 53.9 | |
| Revenue2 (€m) | 143.3 | 175.3 | 188.9 |
| % YoY revenue growth |
100% | 22% | 32% |
| CC3 | 33% | 43% | |
| Contribution margin4 (€m) | 31.4 | 52.9 | 54.2 |
| % Revenue |
21.9% | 30.2% | 28.7% |
| 3.5 | |||
| AEBITDA5 (€m) |
2.0% | -0.3 | |
| Revenue % |
-8.5 -5.9% |
-0.2% |
1.Excluding Green Chef Q2 results
2.Revenue post promotional discounts, customer credits, refunds and excluding VAT; YoY stands for year on year and compares the respective quarter with the same quarter of the previous year
3.Based on constant currency
4.Contribution margin is defined as revenue less cost of goods sold and fulfilment expenses, excluding share-based compensation expenses
5.AEBITDA is calculated by adjusting EBITDA for special items and share-based compensation expenses; AEBITDA margin is defined as % of revenue
International: outstanding y-o-y revenue growth of 55% (in constant currency) and AEBITDA margin improvement of 9% points y-o-y
OPERATIONAL AND FINANCIAL KPIs
| Q2 17 | Q2 18 | |
|---|---|---|
| Active Customers (m) | 0.46 | 0.72 |
| Average Order Rate | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Average Order Value (€) | 43.9 | 44.9 |
| Average Order Value constant currency (€) | 43.9 | 46.2 |
| Revenue1 (€m) | 86.8 | 130.8 |
| % YoY revenue growth CC2 |
11% | 51% 55% |
| Contribution margin3 (€m) | 20.6 | 35.5 |
| % Revenue |
23.7% | 27.1% |
| AEBITDA4 (€m) |
-4.2 | 5.4 |
| % Revenue |
-4.9% | 4.1% |
1.Revenue post promotional discounts, customer credits, refunds and excluding VAT; YoY stands for year on year and compares the respective quarter with the same quarter of the previous year
2.Based on constant currency
3.Contribution margin is defined as revenue less cost of goods sold and fulfilment expenses, excluding share-based compensation expenses
4.AEBITDA is calculated by adjusting EBITDA for special items and share-based compensation expenses; AEBITDA margin is defined as % of revenue
Owning the Future: based on our strength as Global Leader by size, growth and margin, we have decided to reinvest part of our margin gains in H2
Implement Multi-Brand Strategy for the US market
Price & Selection Leadership for HelloFresh US
Ramp up New Geography in International
We will vastly expand our TAM by offering distinct meal plan solutions at different price tiers
Green Chef Integration with very good progress to date, setting us up for growth and success in Q4
•
•
Our brand "EveryPlate" targets a previously untapped demographic, leveraging the scale and cost advantages of the HelloFresh platform
| • | ||
|---|---|---|
| • | o o |
|
| • • |
Recent strong Margin Improvements make a price decrease the superior strategy for long – term LTV optimization and market share
Investment in Price Leadership will adversely impact bottom-line in the shortrun but is very beneficial in the medium- and long-run
In H2, we will also start to ramp up investment in New Business opportunities for sustained long–term value creation
1
2
3
Business Outlook for H2
REVENUE
Organic1 group revenue growth target for 2018 increased to c. 32% - 37% (on constant currency) from previously 30% - 35%
CONTRIBUTION MARGIN
Contribution margin > 25% re-confirmed, in spite of additional investments in price, selection and new verticals in H2
AEBITDA
Given certain investments in growth in H2, we expect that our previous target of AEBITDA breakeven for the Group (ex Green Chef) in Q4 2018 will be reached later during the course of 2019
Profit & loss statement
| (€m) | Q2 2017 | Q2 2018 | H1 2017 | H1 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 230.1 | 319.7 | 435.4 | 615.2 |
| % YoY growth | 49.3% | 38.9% | 49% | 41.3% |
| Cost of goods sold1 | (93.4) | (117.9) | (180.5) | (234.0) |
| Gross profit | 136.7 | 201.8 | 254.9 | 381.2 |
| Margin (% of revenue) | 59.4% | 63.1% | 58.5% | 62.0% |
| Fulfilment expenses1 | (85.9) | (113.0) | (162.8) | (215.7) |
| Marketing expenses1 | (58.5) | (74.3) | (123.1) | (158.3) |
| G&A1 | (11.2) | (26.1) | (20.5) | (44.9) |
| Other operating income & expenses | (1.3) | (2.0) | (1.4) | (3.8) |
| EBIT | (20.2) | (13.6) | (52.9) | (41.5) |
| Margin (% of revenue) | (9)% | (4)% | (12)% | (7)% |
| Financial result | (2.9) | 0.5 | (4.2) | (0.6) |
| EBT | (23.1) | (13.1) | (57.1) | (42.1) |
| Income tax (expense) benefit | 0.4 | (2.1) | 0.4 | (2.9) |
| Net income / (loss) | (22.7) | (15.2) | (56.7) | (45.0) |
Reconciliation starting at EBIT
| EBIT | |
|---|---|
| D&A | |
| EBITDA | |
| SBC | |
| Special Items | |
| AEBITDA2 | |
| Margin (% of revenue) |
| (20.2) | (13.6) |
|---|---|
| (1.9) | (3.6) |
| (18.3) | (10.0) |
| 0.7 | 5.1 |
| 0.7 | 1.0 |
| (16.9) | (3.9) |
| (7.4)% | (1.2)% |
| (52.9) | (41.5) |
|---|---|
| (3.8) | (6.1) |
| (49.1) | (35.4) |
| 1.8 | 8.6 |
| 0.7 | 1.2 |
| (46.5) | (25.6) |
| (10.7)% | (4.2)% |
1.Including share-based compensation expenses
2.AEBITDA is calculated by adjusting EBITDA for special items and share-based compensation expenses; AEBITDA margin is defined as % of revenue
Balance sheet statement and other information
| (€m) | FY 2017 | H1 2018 |
|---|---|---|
| Assets | ||
| Non - current Assets |
66.1 | 86.1 |
| Current Assets* | 386.8 | 353.1 |
| *of which cash | 339.9 | 307.6 |
| Total assets | 452.9 | 439.2 |
| Equity and liabilities | ||
| Equity | 303.3 | 266.4 |
| Non - current liabilities |
41.6 | 42.6 |
| Current liabilities | 108.0 | 130.2 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 452.9 | 439.2 |
| H1 2017 | H1 2018 | |
| Cash flow from operating activities | (29.3) | (9.1) |
| AEBITDA | (46.5) | (25.6) |
Financial calendar 2018
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 14.08.2018 | • | Frankfurt roadshow | |
| st u g u |
13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 15.08.2018 | • | Stockholm/Helsinki roadshow |
| A | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | |||
| 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 16.08.2018 | • | Copenhagen roadshow | |
| er | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 12 - 13.09.2018 |
• | Zurich/Lugano roadshow |
| b m e |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 18.09.2018 | • | London roadshow |
| pt e S |
17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | |||
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 24.09.2018 | • | Berenberg & GS Conference - Munich |
|
| er b m e v o N |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | ||||||
| 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13.11.2018 | • | Publication of Quarterly Financial Statements (Q3 2018) and Earnings Call |
|
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 13.11.2018 | • | Capital Markets Day 2018 - London |
|
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 15.11.2018 | • | Morgan Stanley European Technology, Media & Telecom | |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | Conference - Barcelona |
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