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HelloFresh SE — Interim / Quarterly Report 2024
Oct 29, 2024
206_ip_2024-10-29_f6633178-aaf1-438a-a483-a42e7845cb4b.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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HELLOFRESH
GROUP
Q3 2024 Results
October 29th, 2024
Disclaimer
This document has been prepared by HelloFresh SE (the "Company" and, together with its subsidiaries, the "Group"). All material contained in this document and information presented is for information purposes only and must not be relied upon for any purpose, and does not purport to be a full or complete description of the Company or the Group. This document does not, and is not intended to, constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to purchase, subscribe for or otherwise acquire, any securities of the Company, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with or act as any inducement or recommendation to enter into any contract or commitment or investment decision or other transaction whatsoever. This document is not directed at, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction. Persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions.
No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made by the Company or any other Group company as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein, for any purpose whatsoever. No responsibility, obligation or liability is or will be accepted by the Company, any other Group company or any of their officers, directors, employees, affiliates, agents or advisers in relation to any written or oral information provided in this document or in connection with the document. All information in this document is subject to verification, correction, completion, updating and change without notice. Neither the Company, nor any other Group company undertake any obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this document or any information or to correct any inaccuracies in any such information.
A significant portion of the information contained in this document, including market data and trend information, is based on estimates or expectations of the Company, and there can be no assurance that these estimates or expectations are or will prove to be accurate. Where any information and statistics are quoted from any external source, such information or statistics should not be interpreted as having been adopted or endorsed by the Company or any other person as being accurate. All statements in this document attributable to third party industry experts represent the Company's interpretation of data, research opinion or viewpoints published by such industry experts, and have not been reviewed by them. Each publication of such industry experts speaks as of its original publication date and not as of the date of this document.
This document contains forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company, the Group or the industry in which the Group operates. These statements may be identified by words such as "expectation", "belief", "estimate", "plan", "target" or "forecast" and similar expressions, or by their context. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding: strategies, outlook and growth prospects; future plans and potential for future growth; growth for products and services in new markets; industry trends; and the impact of regulatory initiatives. These statements are made on the basis of current knowledge and assumptions and involve risks and uncertainties. Various factors could cause actual future results, performance or events to differ materially from those described in these statements, and neither the Company nor any other person accepts any responsibility for the accuracy of the opinions expressed in this document or the underlying assumptions. No obligation is assumed to update any forward-looking statements.
This document includes certain financial measures not presented in accordance with IFRS, including, but not limited to, AEBITDA. These financial measures are not measures of financial performance in accordance with IFRS and may exclude items that are significant in understanding and assessing the Company's financial results. Therefore, these measures should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative to result for the period or other measures of profitability, liquidity or performance under IFRS. You should be aware that the Company's presentation of these measures may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies, which may be defined and calculated differently. See the appendix for a reconciliation of certain of these non-IFRS measures to the most directly comparable IFRS measure.
We have started a fundamental shift of adapting our marketing strategy to the different maturity stage of the market
From
Maximizing growth at low ROI thresholds
Prioritizing market share considerations
Focusing on first-term buyers
Primarily monetary incentives to drive trial
Maximizing marketing ROI and long-term cash generation
Prioritizing high value customers
Improving brand considerations and strength of the whole new \& existing customer base
Product incentives to drive usage and customer tenure
We bring the strategy through a disciplined full-funnel approach to life...

... and nurture long-term relationships with our existing customer base to increase long-term marketing ROI

Q3 2024 Highlights
Robust quarter, both from a revenue growth and bottom line perspective
Revenue of $€ 1.8$ bn, a constant currency growth of $2 \%$
Further increase in average order value in both segments to Group AOV of $€ 66.2$ (+3.8\% yoy on CC)
Good marketing efficiency with marketing expenses down yoy both in relative and absolute terms
As a result, relatively strong AEBITDA of $€ 72.1 \mathrm{~m}$ for Q3 2024, a margin of $8.5 \%$ for meal kits and $1.3 \%$ for RTE
FCF excluding repayment of lease liabilities stands at $€ 29.9$ m for 9M 2024
Target to maintain strong marketing efficiency in Q4
27m+ orders delivered in Q3 2024, supported by robust behavior from existing customers
- Continued modest yoy decrease in overall order volume for the Group
- Subdued new customer acquisitions in meal kits, partly driven by focus on higher value meal kit customers and marketing budget shift towards rapidly growing RTE
- Continued robust behavior of existing customers, expressed by yoy increasing order rates and retention

Average order value up by $3.8 \%$ on a constant currency basis
- Further AOV growth into Q3, increasing 3.8\% yoy on a constant currency basis
- Both segments showed steady increase
- NA: $4.3 \%$ (cc)
- Intl: $3.0 \%$ (cc)
- AOV increase primarily driven by:
- Increased RTE contribution
- Increase in add-ons

$2 \%$ cc revenue growth for the Group
- Positive revenue growth across both segments
- NA cc growth of $+2.0 \%$
- Intl cc growth of $+1.7 \%$
- Continued strong cc revenue growth in RTE of $40 \%$
- Meal kits negative cc revenue growth of (9\%), with continued overall marketing discipline

Q3 2024 contribution margin at $24.3 \%{ }^{1}$
- Q3 is a seasonally lower quarter for contribution margin given lower utilization rates and warm temperatures (more packaging required)
- Contribution margin still down yoy, but delta sequentially reducing, due to:
- gradual improvement of productivity in RTE
- continuous productivity improvements in meal kits, especially in NA
- Intl still impacted by ramp-up expenses of new fulfilment centers in Germany and UK
- By segment ${ }^{1}$ :
- NA: (1.2pp)
- Intl: (2.4pp)
Q3 Contribution Margin ${ }^{1}$ (in € millions \& as \% of revenue)

Marketing spend at $18.9 \%{ }^{1}$ down yoy both in relative and absolute terms
- Q3 marketing expenses reflect normal seasonality, with September impacted by the 'back-to-school' period
Q3 Marketing ${ }^{1}$
(\% of revenue) - Disciplined focus on marketing ROI results in yoy reduction
- For Q4 we target to maintain our marketing efficiency and, unlike last year, will not spend against seasonally weaker trends in the 2nd half of the quarter
$+0.7 \mathrm{pp}$

AEBITDA of $€ 72 \mathrm{~m}$ delivered in Q3 2024
| Q3 | 9M | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| By segment | ||||
| In MEUR | Q3 2024 | Q3 2023 | 9M 2024 | 9M 2023 |
| North America | 74.0 | 83.3 | 232.4 | 326.6 |
| International | 34.7 | 23.7 | 118.1 | 111.4 |
| Holding | (36.6) | (37.8) | (115.4) | (110.6) |
| Group | 72.1 | 69.2 | 235.1 | 327.2 |
| By product category | ||||
| In MEUR | Q3 2024 | Q3 2023 | 9M 2024 | 9M 2023 |
| Meal kits | 108.6 | 81.7 | 360.3 | 373.7 |
| AEBITDA margin meal kits | $8.5 \%$ | $5.8 \%$ | 8.5\% | $8.0 \%$ |
| RTE | 6.7 | 30.1 | 5.9 | 75.7 |
| AEBITDA margin RTE | $1.3 \%$ | $8.0 \%$ | 0.4\% | $7.2 \%$ |
| Others | (6.6) | (4.8) | (15.6) | (11.7) |
| Holding | (36.6) | (37.8) | (115.4) | (110.6) |
| Group | 72.1 | 69.2 | 235.1 | 327.2 |
Q3 AEBITDA of $€ 109$ m for meal kits, a significant improvement yoy
- Meal kit AEBITDA up yoy in absolute and relative terms
- Key driver is focus on marketing ROI, leading to lower yoy marketing spend (absolute and relative)
- Contribution margin lower than last year, due to lower fixed cost leverage and new fulfilment center ramp-up (DE, UK); however, upside for next year

Slightly positive Q3 RTE AEBITDA of $€ 6.7 \mathrm{~m}$, as investments in growth continue
- Seasonality for RTE is similar to meal kit business
- In Q3, lower trading volume during the summer; then an increase in marketing intensity during "back to school'
- Envisaged breakeven for Q3 2024 over-achieved
- Well positioned to exceed prior year AEBITDA benchmark in Q4 onwards
Q3 AEBITDA Margin
(in € millions \& as \% of revenue)

HELLOFRESH
AEBIT (excl. impairments) of $€ 6.7 \mathrm{~m}^{1}$ in Q3
- Difference to prior year primarily driven by higher D\&A
- Increasing focus on AEBIT as a key performance metric going forward to steer the business to higher capital efficiency

Year-to-date Free Cash Flow of €29.9m
- Cash Flow from Operating Activities lower yoy, primarily driven by lower AEBITDA
- Somewhat offset by lower CapEx
- 9m 2023 CapEx of EUR 235.8m
- 9m 2024 CapEx of EUR 131.6m
9M FCF
(in € millions)

HELLOFRESH
Revised 2024 outlook: 1\%-1.7\%\% cc revenue growth and €360m €400m AEBITDA
FY Guidance
9M 2024
Constant Currency Revenue Growth
$2 \%-8 \%$
$2 \%$
$1 \%-1.7 \%$
$€ 350 \mathrm{~m}-€ 400 \mathrm{~m}$
€235m
€360m - €400m
Indicative mid-term outlook: We are planning to meaningfully expand our AEBIT(DA) and FCF
| Meal kits | RTE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Contribution margin | $\square$ | - Direct labor productivity increase (DE, US, UK) - Site rationalization |
- Direct labor productivity increase |
| Marketing | $\square$ | - Lower new customer acquisitions - Higher ROI thresholds |
- Increased share of existing customer base |
| G\&A | $\square$ | - Streamlining of fixed costs and operating model across the organization | |
| Capex | $\square$ | - Mostly maintenance and selected modernizations | - Other than moderate NA expansion and Intl site buildout, capacity largely sufficient beyond 2026 |

Group: Operational and Financial KPIs

North America: Operational and Financial KPIs

International: Operational and Financial KPIs

Profit and Loss Statement
| 3 months ended | Change \% | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 30-Sep 24 | 30-Sep 23 | YoY | |
| Revenue | 1,828.4 | 1,804.0 | $1.4 \%$ |
| Procurement Expense | (697.3) | (634.4) | $9.9 \%$ |
| Fulfilment Expense | (697.9) | (715.6) | $(2.5) \%$ |
| Contribution Margin | 433.2 | 454.1 | $(4.6) \%$ |
| \% of Revenue | 23.7\% | 25.2\% | (1.5)pp |
| Marketing Expense | (345.1) | (352.4) | $(2.1) \%$ |
| G\&A, other income and expenses | (111.9) | (114.5) | $(2.3) \%$ |
| EBIT | (23.7) | (12.9) | 84.0\% |
| \% of Revenue | (1.3) $\%$ | (0.7) $\%$ | $(0.6) p p$ |
| Financial Result | (26.1) | 0.7 | nm |
| EBT | (49.8) | (12.2) | 308.2\% |
| Income Tax | 16.1 | 0.7 | nm |
| Net Income / (Loss) | (33.6) | (11.5) | 192.2\% |
Recanciliation starting at EBIT
EBIT
D\&A and impairment
EBITDA
\% of Revenue
Special Items
SBC
AEBITDA
\% of Revenue
| (23.7) | (12.9) | 84.0\% |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6 | 55.1 | |
| 44.9 | 42.2 | 6.4\% |
| 2.5\% | 2.3\% | 0.2pp |
| 6.2 | 3.2 | 93.8\% |
| 21.0 | 23.8 | (11.8)\% |
| 72.1 | 69.2 | 4.2\% |
| 3.9\% | 3.8\% | 0.1pp |
EBIT
D\&A and impairment
EBITDA
\% of Revenue
$\begin{array}{ll}\text { (23.7) } & \text { (12.9) } \ 68.6 & 55.1\end{array}$
44.9
2.5\%
6.2
21.0
72.1
3.9\%
| 9 months ended | Change \% | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-Sep 24 | 30-Sep 23 | YoY |
| 5,852.8 | 5,737.6 | 2.0\% |
| (2,203.1) | (2,005.5) | 9.9\% |
| (2,240.3) | (2,218.7) | 1.0\% |
| 1,409.4 | 1,513.4 | (6.9)\% |
| 24.1\% | 26.4\% | (2.3)pp |
| (1,163.0) | (1,083.8) | 7.3\% |
| (352.2) | (350.8) | 0.4\% |
| (105.9) | 78.8 | (234.5) |
| (1.8) $\%$ | 1.4\% | (3.2)pp |
| (16.1) | (19.1) | 15.7\% |
| (122.0) | 59.7 | (304.4) |
| 13.3 | (30.2) | 144.0\% |
| (108.7) | 29.5 | (468.5) |
| (105.9) | $\mathbf{7 8 . 8}$ | (234.5) |
|---|---|---|
| 242.4 | 156.9 | |
| $\mathbf{1 3 6 . 5}$ | $\mathbf{2 3 5 . 6}$ | $(42.1) \%$ |
| 2.3\% | $4.1 \%$ | $(1.8) p p$ |
| 22.5 | 22.8 | $(1.3) \%$ |
| 76.1 | 68.8 | 10.6\% |
| $\mathbf{2 3 5 . 1}$ | $\mathbf{3 2 7 . 2}$ | $(28.1) \%$ |
| 4.0\% | $5.7 \%$ | $(1.7) p p$ |
Q3 2024 Results | 23
Balance Sheet \& Cash Flow Statement
| In MEUR | As at 30-Sep 24 | As at 31-Dec 23 |
|---|---|---|
| Assets | ||
| Non-current assets | $1,717.8$ | $1,756.4$ |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 355.6 | 433.1 |
| Other current assets | 365.8 | 391.8 |
| Total assets | 2,439.2 | 2,581.3 |
| Equity and liabilities | ||
| Equity | 900.8 | $1,019.0$ |
| Non-current liabilities | 535.7 | 649.3 |
| Current liabilities | $1,002.7$ | 913.0 |
| Total equity and liabilites | 2,439.2 | 2,581.3 |
| In MEUR | For the 3 months ended at 30-Sep 24 | For the 3 months ended at 30-Sep 23 |
|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period | 381.9 | 464.5 |
| Net Cash flows from / (used in) operating activities | 14.5 | 73.0 |
| Net Cash flows from / (used in) investing activities | (33.6) | (66.1) |
| Net Cash flows from / (used in) financing activities | (1.9) | (9.2) |
| Effects of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents | (5.3) | 4.4 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period | 355.6 | 466.6 |
Share Count
As of September 30, 2024
Types of share
Stock exchange
Market Segment
Number of shares issued
Number of shares outstanding
Ordinary shares
Frankfurt Stock Exchange
Regulated Market (Prime Standard)
173,190,562
$163,465,079$
Employee Incentive Plan
Vested (in mn)
WAEP (in EUR) - vested instruments
Unvested (in mn)
WAEP (in EUR) - unvested instruments
Total outstanding (in mn)
WAEP (in EUR)
Options
RSU
11.0
1.3
1.3
1.3
21.85
7.8
13.49
18.8
18.40
Total
12.3
19.62
16.7
6.26
29.0
11.91
- Weighted average exercise price
HELLOFRESH
GROUP