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HelloFresh SE — Earnings Release 2020
Nov 3, 2020
206_ip_2020-11-03_cc570fc9-5471-481f-a3ec-33f1c8ff1be2.pdf
Earnings Release
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Q3 2020 RESULTS November 3th, 2020
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Disclaimer
This document has been prepared by HelloFresh SE (the "Company" and, together with its subsidiaries, the "Group"). All material contained in this document and information presented is for information purposes only and must not be relied upon for any purpose, and does not purport to be a full or complete description of the Company or the Group. This document does not, and is not intended to, constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to purchase, subscribe for or otherwise acquire, any securities of the Company, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with or act as any inducement or recommendation to enter into any contract or commitment or investment decision or other transaction whatsoever. This document is not directed at, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction. Persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions.
No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made by the Company or any other Group company as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein, for any purpose whatsoever. No responsibility, obligation or liability is or will be accepted by the Company, any other Group company or any of their officers, directors, employees, affiliates, agents or advisers in relation to any written or oral information provided in this document or in connection with the document. All information in this document is subject to verification, correction, completion, updating and change without notice. Neither the Company, nor any other Group company undertake any obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this document or any information or to correct any inaccuracies in any such information.
A significant portion of the information contained in this document, including market data and trend information, is based on estimates or expectations of the Company, and there can be no assurance that these estimates or expectations are or will prove to be accurate. Where any information and statistics are quoted from any external source, such information or statistics should not be interpreted as having been adopted or endorsed by the Company or any other person as being accurate. All statements in this document attributable to third party industry experts represent the Company's interpretation of data, research opinion or viewpoints published by such industry experts, and have not been reviewed by them. Each publication of such industry experts speaks as of its original publication date and not as of the date of this document.
This document contains forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company, the Group or the industry in which the Group operates. These statements may be identified by words such as "expectation", "belief', "estimate", "plan", "target" or "forecast" and similar expressions, or by their context. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding: strategies, outlook and growth prospects; future plans and potential for future growth; growth for products and services in new markets; industry trends; and the impact of regulatory initiatives. These statements are made on the basis of current knowledge and assumptions and involve risks and uncertainties. Various factors could cause actual future results, performance or events to differ materially from those described in these statements, and neither the Company nor any other person accepts any responsibility for the accuracy of the opinions expressed in this document or the underlying assumptions. No obligation is assumed to update any forward-looking statements.
This document includes certain financial measures not presented in accordance with IFRS, including, but not limited to, AEBITDA. These financial measures are not measures of financial performance in accordance with IFRS and may exclude items that are significant in understanding and assessing the Company's financial results. Therefore, these measures should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative to result for the period or other measures of profitability, liquidity or performance under IFRS. You should be aware that the Company's presentation of these measures may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies, which may be defined and calculated differently. See the appendix for a reconciliation of certain of these non-IFRS measures to the most directly comparable IFRS measure.

Third Quarter Highlights

Refresh of Corporate Identity

HelloFresh reaches 5.00m active customers for the first time, up 91.5% versus Q3 2019

Record number of orders (19.49m, up 114% from Q3 2019) and meals (162.0m, up 135% from Q3 2019)

Q3 revenue of EUR 970.2m, constituting YoY revenue growth of 120.2% (in constant currency: 127.7 % )
Continued strong Free Cash Flow generation with EUR 118.5m in Q3 2020 alone

AEBITDA margin up year-on-year by 8.3 pp to 11.8%
Group Customer base up strongly, both year-on-year and sequentially

Structurally higher Order Rate, despite easing of lockdown measures in Q3 across several markets
2020 2019
Order rates continue to trend meaningfully above previous base line
- US up 18.7% YoY
- Intl. up 4.3% YoY


Record number of customer orders in Q3 2020

Average order value up by c. 7% on a constant currency basis


As a result, we even accelerated further our revenue growth to 128 % (on const. currency)
2020 2019
- Higher constant currency revenue growth than in the exceptionally strong Q2 2020
- Very little summer seasonality
- Successful ongoing debottlenecking and creation of new production capacity across both segments


Similar triple-digit constant currency revenue growth across both segments

Q3 2020 RESULTS
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Contribution Margin down YoY due to ongoing COVID effects, but up sequentially
2020 2019
- -0.8 pp Contribution margin expansion vs. Q2 2020, despite typically higher fulfillment costs during the summer
- US segment more affected by temporary Covid-related cost increases than INTL
Q3 Contribution margin1 (in % of revenue)

Marketing as % of revenue up sequentially, but meaningfully down YoY

Q3 2020 RESULTS 1. Excl. SBC 11
Very meaningfully AEBITDA growth to € 115m in Q3 2020

2020 2019
AEBITDA margin of > 10% in each segment in each quarter to date

Despite continuing to invest strongly in our capabilities and infrastructure, we generate best-in-class cash flows


Updated FY 2020 Outlook
| G u i d ance ( A u g 2 0 2 0 ) |
G u i d ance ( O c t 2 0 2 0 ) |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| C o n s t . C u r r e n c y R e v . g r o w t h |
75% - 95% |
95% - 105% |
|
| A E B I T D A m a r g i n |
9% - 11% |
11.25% - 12.75% |
|
| Q3 2020 RESULTS |

USA: Operational and Financial KPIs

1.Revenue post promotional discounts, customer credits, refunds and excluding VAT; YoY stands for year on year and compares the respective quarter with the same quarter of the previous year
2.Contribution margin is defined as revenue less cost of goods sold and fulfilment expenses, excluding share-based compensation expenses
3.AEBITDA is calculated by adjusting EBITDA for special items and share-based compensation expenses; AEBITDA margin is defined as % of revenue
4.Based on constant currency
INTL: Operational and Financial KPIs

1.Revenue post promotional discounts, customer credits, refunds and excluding VAT; YoY stands for year on year and compares the respective quarter with the same quarter of the previous year
2.Contribution margin is defined as revenue less cost of goods sold and fulfilment expenses, excluding share-based compensation expenses
3.AEBITDA is calculated by adjusting EBITDA for special items and share-based compensation expenses; AEBITDA margin is defined as % of revenue
4.Based on constant currency
GROUP: Operational and Financial KPIs

1.Revenue post promotional discounts, customer credits, refunds and excluding VAT; YoY stands for year on year and compares the respective quarter with the same quarter of the previous year
2.Contribution margin is defined as revenue less cost of goods sold and fulfilment expenses, excluding share-based compensation expenses
3.AEBITDA is calculated by adjusting EBITDA for special items and share-based compensation expenses; AEBITDA margin is defined as % of revenue
4.Based on constant currency
Profit and Loss Statement
| (€m) | |
|---|---|
| (€m) | Q3 2019 | Q3 2020 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 440.6 | 970.2 |
| % YoY growth | 45.8 % | 120.2% |
| Procurement Expenses1 | (156.4) | (332.4) |
| Gross profit | 284.2 | 637.8 |
| Margin (% of revenue) | 64.5% | 65.7% |
| Fulfilment expenses1 | (163.5) | (379.8) |
| Marketing expenses1 | (88.6) | (124.3) |
| G&A1 | (30.2) | (39.1) |
| Other operating income & expenses | (1.0) | (2.5) |
| EBIT | 0.9 | 92.1 |
| Margin (% of revenue) | 0.2% | 9.5% |
| Financial result | 25.4 | (11.5) |
| EBT | 26.3 | 80.6 |
| Income tax (expense) benefit | (2.6) | (6.0) |
| Net income / (loss) | 23.7 | 74.6 |
Reconciliation starting at EBIT
| EBIT | |
|---|---|
| D&A | |
| EBITDA | |
| SBC | |
| Special Items2 | |
| AEBITDA3 | |
| Margin (% of revenue) |
| 0.9 | 92.1 |
|---|---|
| 9.3 | 11.6 |
| 10.2 | 103.7 |
| 5.1 | 6.3 |
| 0.2 | 4.7 |
| 15.5 | 114.7 |
| 3.5% | 11.8% |
FY 2019 1,809.0 41.4% (640.5) 1168.5 65% (652.0) (405.2) (137.1)
(25.8) (1.4)%
(10.1)
(25.8) 41.5
18.8 12.0 46.5
15.7
2.6%
(82.8) 13.3
13.4 1.6 (54.5)
(69.5)
(4.3)%
1.Including share-based compensation expenses
2.Does not include expenses related to Covid-19
3.AEBITDA is calculated by adjusting EBITDA for special items and share-based compensation expenses. Excluding holding fees.
Balance Sheet and Cash-Flow Statements
(€m)
| 31.12.2019 | 30.09.2020 | |
|---|---|---|
| Assets | ||
| Non - current Assets |
288.7 | 307.6 |
| Current Assets* | 281.5 | 864.9 |
| *of which cash | 193.6 | 722.5 |
| Total assets | 570.2 | 1,172.5 |
| Equity and liabilities | ||
| Equity | 245.3 | 518.5 |
| Non - current liabilities |
111.1 | 272.1 |
| Current liabilities | 213.8 | 381.9 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 570.2 | 1,172.5 |
| Q3 2019 | Q3 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operating activities | 36.1 | 134.8 | |
| Cash flow used in investing activities | (11.0) | (14.2) | |
| *of which M&A | - | - | |
| Cash flow from financing activities | (4.9) | 0.9 |
Share Count
As of September 30st, 2020
| Types of share | Ordinary shares |
|---|---|
| Stock exchange | Frankfurt Stock Exchange |
| Market Segment | Regulated Market (Prime Standard) |
| Number of shares issued | 173,864,415 |
| Number of shares outstanding | 173,501,251 |
| Employee incentive plan | Options | RSU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vested (in mn) | 3.70 | 0.18 | 3.88 |
| Unvested (in mn) | 4.06 | 0.58 | 4.64 |
| Outstanding (in mn) | 7.77 | 0.75 | 8.52 |
| WAEP1 (in EUR) Vested |
8.98 | 0.00 | 8.57 |
| WAEP1 (in EUR) Unvested |
14.05 | 0.00 | 12.31 |
| WAEP1 (in EUR) |
11.53 | 0.00 | 10.51 |
Financial Calender


