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HelloFresh SE — Earnings Release 2019
Nov 5, 2019
206_ip_2019-11-05_3ea1630d-a792-4ac9-8811-0c13750ecc05.pdf
Earnings Release
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HELLOFRESH SE Q3 2019 RESULTS
November 5th, 2019
This document has been prepared by HelloFresh SE (the "Company" and, together with its subsidiaries, the "Group"). All material contained in this document and information presented is for information purposes only and must not be relied upon for any purpose, and does not purport to be a full or complete description of the Company or the Group. This document does not, and is not intended to, constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to purchase, subscribe for or otherwise acquire, any securities of the Company, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with or act as any inducement or recommendation to enter into any contract or commitment or investment decision or other transaction whatsoever. This document is not directed at, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction. Persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions.
No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made by the Company or any other Group company as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein, for any purpose whatsoever. No responsibility, obligation or liability is or will be accepted by the Company, any other Group company or any of their officers, directors, employees, affiliates, agents or advisers in relation to any written or oral information provided in this document or in connection with the document. All information in this document is subject to verification, correction, completion, updating and change without notice. Neither the Company, nor any other Group company undertake any obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this document or any information or to correct any inaccuracies in any such information.
A significant portion of the information contained in this document, including market data and trend information, is based on estimates or expectations of the Company, and there can be no assurance that these estimates or expectations are or will prove to be accurate. Where any information and statistics are quoted from any external source, such information or statistics should not be interpreted as having been adopted or endorsed by the Company or any other person as being accurate. All statements in this document attributable to third party industry experts represent the Company's interpretation of data, research opinion or viewpoints published by such industry experts, and have not been reviewed by them. Each publication of such industry experts speaks as of its original publication date and not as of the date of this document.
This document contains forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company, the Group or the industry in which the Group operates. These statements may be identified by words such as "expectation", "belief', "estimate", "plan", "target" or "forecast" and similar expressions, or by their context. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding: strategies, outlook and growth prospects; future plans and potential for future growth; growth for products and services in new markets; industry trends; and the impact of regulatory initiatives. These statements are made on the basis of current knowledge and assumptions and involve risks and uncertainties. Various factors could cause actual future results, performance or events to differ materially from those described in these statements, and neither the Company nor any other person accepts any responsibility for the accuracy of the opinions expressed in this document or the underlying assumptions. No obligation is assumed to update any forward-looking statements.
This document includes certain financial measures not presented in accordance with IFRS, including, but not limited to, AEBITDA. These financial measures are not measures of financial performance in accordance with IFRS and may exclude items that are significant in understanding and assessing the Company's financial results. Therefore, these measures should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative to result for the period or other measures of profitability, liquidity or performance under IFRS. You should be aware that the Company's presentation of these measures may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies, which may be defined and calculated differently. See the appendix for a reconciliation of certain of these non-IFRS measures to the most directly comparable IFRS measure.
2 important Management announcements, effective 1 Jan, 2020
Edward Boyes CCO Management Board Uwe Voss US CEO
Q3 Revenue in $\epsilon$ m
Biggest Revenue quarter ever, despite typically slow seasonality in Q3
Strong yoy growth in both segments during the summer and especially in September
Accelerating growth in the US is a key driver
% of Revenue
Seasonally down, but strong yoy expansion
Continued yoy expansion in both segments
COGS efficiencies continue to drive margin expansion
$+1.6$ pp
25.9%
O3
2018
27.5%
$Q3$
Source: Q3 2019 Financial Statement 1. Excluding Share Based Compensation expenses
Q3 Marketing1
% of Revenue
Significant marketing leverage, despite strong customer growth
Attractive CACs achieved during Q3 across most markets
Mix shift from paid marketing to price investments
Meaningfully positive AEBITDA despite seasonality
AEBITDA positive on Group level as well as in both segments
Operating cash flow has already turned positive YTD
2019 full year guidance update
| Initial Guidance (Mar. 2019) |
Narrowed Guidance (Aug. 2019) |
Increased Guidance (Nov. 2019) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Const. Currency Rev. growth |
$25\% - 30\%$ | 28% - 30% | $31\% - 33\%$ |
| Contribution margin |
$> 27.0\%$ | 28.0% - 29.0% | 28.0% - 29.0% |
| AEBITDA margin |
$(2.0)\% - 1.0\%$ | $(1.0)\% - 1.0\%$ | $0.50\% - 1.75\%$ |
| $10 -$ |
| Q3 18 | Q3 19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Active Customers (m) | 1.05 | 1.48 |
| Average Order Rate | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| Average Order Value (€) | 49.4 | 49.4 |
| Average Order Value constant currency (€) | 49.4 | 47.2 |
| Revenue1 | 29.5% | CC4 38.4% |
| (€m) | 29.7% | 44.9% € |
| % YoY revenue growth1 |
||
| Contribution margin2 |
25.8% | 27.5% |
| (€m) % |
||
| Revenue | ||
| AEBITDA3 (€m) |
(10.7)% | 2.6% |
| % Revenue |
||
1.Revenue post promotional discounts, customer credits, refunds and excluding VAT; YoY stands for year on year and compares the respective quarter with the same quarter of the previous year
2.Contribution margin is defined as revenue less cost of goods sold and fulfilment expenses, excluding share-based compensation expenses
3.AEBITDA is calculated by adjusting EBITDA for special items and share-based compensation expenses; AEBITDA margin is defined as % of revenue
4.Based on constant currency
| Q3 18 | Q3 19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Active Customers (m) | 0.78 | 1.13 |
| Average Order Rate | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| Average Order Value (€) | 45.2 | 47.0 |
| Average Order Value constant currency (€) | 45.2 | 47.3 |
| Revenue1 | 59.0% | 47.1% CC4 |
| (€m) | 54.5% | 46.8% € |
| % YoY revenue growth1 |
||
| Contribution margin2 (€m) |
26.5% | 27.7% |
| % Revenue |
||
| AEBITDA3 (€m) |
1.2% | 10.7% |
| % Revenue |
1.Revenue post promotional discounts, customer credits, refunds and excluding VAT; YoY stands for year on year and compares the respective quarter with the same quarter of the previous year
2.Contribution margin is defined as revenue less cost of goods sold and fulfilment expenses, excluding share-based compensation expenses
3.AEBITDA is calculated by adjusting EBITDA for special items and share-based compensation expenses; AEBITDA margin is defined as % of revenue
4.Based on constant currency