AI assistant
Hapag-Lloyd AG — Investor Presentation 2023
Nov 9, 2023
199_ip_2023-11-09_6965f560-6125-4ea1-a77e-106ee92d3bf4.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer

Investor Presentation 9M 2023 Results Hamburg, 9 November 2023
Opening Remarks
| 1 | HIGHLIGHTS | Growing terminal activities bundled in new business segment Launch of new joint venture company for the growing cabotage business in Brazil |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE |
Solid financial performance in 9M 2023 but quarterly earnings trend clearly declining While volumes picked up in Q3, the average freight rate continued to fall With a net liquidity position of USD 3.0 bn balance sheet ratios remain strong |
| 3 | MARKET UPDATE |
High orderbook will lead to strong capacity growth in the coming quarters Demand is expected to recover only slowly Supply will outpace demand in 2023 & 2024 making active cost management inevitable |
| 4 | WAY FORWARD |
Gradual normalisation of the earnings trend set in as expected – FY 2023 outlook narrowed EBITDA is now expected between USD 4.5 to 5.5 bn and EBIT between USD 2.4 to 3.4 bn Focus on quality, competitive cost base and expansion of terminal business |
Freight rates remain under pressure leading to an increasingly challenging market environment

1 Highlights
Container volumes picked up recently, but freight rates remain under pressure leading to an increasingly challenging market environment
GLOBAL CONTAINER VOLUMES

SHANGHAI CONTAINERIZED FREIGHT INDEX

MARKET DEVELOPMENT
Q3 2023 container volumes picked up but overall demand situation remains muted
Effective capacity increased strongly due to normalisation of supply-chains and continuing influx of newbuild vessels
Spot rates have reached unsustainable territory on many trade lanes
Inflationary pressure keeps transport costs on elevated levels despite easing of congestion

1 Highlights
We are intensifying our efficiency and cost-cutting measures to mitigate the impact of lower freight rates
COST SAVING INITIATIVES
- Accelerate full removal of congestion related cost
- Adjust service network swiftly to market demand
- Bring down non-essential spend and improve efficiency
- Improve the procurement process and actively renegotiate contracts
- Deliver benefits from investments (e.g., newbuilds, terminals, Fleet Upgrade


Since Q3, Terminal & Infrastructure serves as a second pillar of our business

TERMINAL HOLDING
- Set up of Terminal Holding in Rotterdam to deliver safe, sustainable, reliable & efficient terminal operations supporting Number One For Quality
- Dheeraj Bhatia has been appointed the CEO of the Terminal Holding and Chief Terminal Officer (CTO) of the Group as of January 2024

Launch of new cabotage joint venture in Brazil
NEW PLAYER NORCOAST
| 时. | |
|---|---|
| 12 | |
Founded by Hapag-Lloyd and Norsul as a 50-50 partnership

Weekly service offering for cabotage & feeder cargo

Integrated container transport and inland services
STRATEGIC RATIONALE
- Brazil is the largest economy in South America with a constantly growing coastal transport sector
- Improved connectivity for deep-sea cargo to and from secondary ports in Brazil
- High synergy potential, such as added volumes and terminal cost savings


Solid financial performance in 9M 2023 but quarterly earnings trend clearly declining
9M 2023 GROUP RESULTS
Transport volume1 8.9 MTEU PY: 9.0 MTEU
USD 15.3 bn PY: USD 28.4 bn Revenue EBITDA
USD 4.5 bn PY: USD 16.6 bn
Free Cash Flow USD 3.4 bn PY: USD 14.3 bn
7
Net Liquidity USD 3.0 bn FY 2022: USD 13.4 bn
Equity USD 21.0 bn FY 2022: USD 29.8

Earnings normalised in Q3 as the full tailwind from last year's exceptional freight rate environment dissipated

Q3 2022 Q3 2023 9M 2022 9M 2023 5,708 744 16,649 4,519 -87% -73% 58% Margin 59% 17% 30%
8

EBIT [USD m] GROUP PROFIT [USD m]

Note: Figures as stated in the Investor Report 9M 2023. Rounding differences may occur.
Growing terminal activities have contributed USD 29 m to Group EBIT in 9M 2023 (Spinelli as of 01/23, J M Baxi as of 04/23, SAAM as of 08/23)

9
SEGMENT PERFORMANCE


| USD m | 9M 2023 |
|---|---|
| Revenue | 92.1 |
| EBITDA | 38.4 |
| EBITDA margin | 41.7% |
| EBIT | 29.4 |
| EBIT margin | 31.9% |

10
9M 2023 volumes close to previous year's level following volume rebound in Q3
TRANSPORT VOLUME DEVELOPMENT BY TRADE [TTEU]1


2 Financial Performance
11
Average freight rate continued to fall due to supply pressure
FREIGHT RATE [USD/TEU] VS. BUNKER PRICE DEVELOPMENT [USD/MT] 1


2 Financial Performance
12
Unit cost improved clearly as a result of lower bunker prices, active cost management and easing of port congestion


13
Good cash generation used for fleet investments, expansion of terminal business and dividend distribution
CASH FLOW 9M 2023 [USD m]


2 Financial Performance
With a net liquidity position of USD 3.0 bn balance sheet ratios remain strong
14

LIQUIDITY RESERVE [USD m]¹

1) From the first quarter 2023, the liquidity reserve includes money market transactions and fixed income investments which are recognised under other financial assets. Prior year figures adjusted accordingly.
EQUITY [USD m] NET LIQUIDITY [USD m]

COMMENTS
- Following the AGM approval on 3 May 2023, we used excess funds for a dividend distribution to our shareholders in the amount of USD 12.2 bn.
- Fixed-income investments recognised under other financial assets amounted to USD 2.0 bn.

Note: Figures as stated in the Investor Report 9M 2023. Rounding differences may occur.
3 Market Update
High orderbook will lead to strong capacity growth in the coming quarters
GLOBAL ORDERBOOK

SCHEDULED VESSEL DELIVERIES
[before scrapping]


INACTIVE FLEET


3 Market Update
16
Global supply will outpace demand in 2023 & 2024
GLOBAL DEVELOPMENTS OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND


Only slow recovery of demand expected in the next quarters

Strong inflow of new capacity


Scrapping, slippage and slow steaming will offset high newbuild supply partly

Supply will outpace demand in 2023 & 2024 making active cost management inevitable

4 Way Forward
17
Normalisation of earnings set in as expected – FY 2023 outlook narrowed
| FY 2022 | Original Outlook | Updated Outlook | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume | 11,843 TTEU |
Increasing slightly | Increasing slightly |
| Bunker consumption price |
753 USD/mt |
Decreasing clearly | Decreasing clearly |
| Freight rate | 2,863 USD/TEU |
Decreasing clearly | Decreasing clearly |
| EBITDA | 20,474 USD m |
USD 4.3 – 6.5 bn EUR 4.0 – 6.0 bn |
USD 4.5 – 5.5 bn EUR 4.1 – 5.0 bn |
| EBIT | 18,467 USD m |
USD 2.1 – 4.3 bn EUR 2.0 – 4.0 bn |
USD 2.4 – 3.4 bn EUR 2.2 – 3.1 bn |
Comments
- Gradual normalisation of the earnings trend set in as expected.
- The FY 2023 outlook has been narrowed to reflect a solid 9M 2023 performance and an increasingly challenging market environment.
- The outlook is subject to uncertainty given the many geopolitical conflicts, persistent inflationary pressures, and the high inventory levels of customers.
- While freight rates are likely to stabilise above the cost level in the medium term, rising overcapacity could have a significant negative impact on industry profitability in 2024.

Priorities for 2023 and beyond Remain focused on service quality and

customer satisfaction
Adapt to challenging market environment by improving cost base
Expand terminal business further and leverage synergies between both segments

Finalise new medium-term strategy to set the course for 2030


20
A Appendix
Hapag-Lloyd's group profit came in at USD 3.4 bn in 9M 2023
INCOME STATEMENT [USD M]
| QoQ | YoY | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2023 | Q2 2023 | Q3 2022 | Change | change | 9M 2023 | 9M 2022 | Change |
| 4,464.5 | 4,819.0 | 9,877.7 | –7.4% | –54.8% | 15,311.6 | 28,439.5 | –46.2% |
| –3,303.0 | –3,070.2 | –3,828.3 | 7.6% | –13.7% | –9,632.7 | –10,804.7 | –10.8% |
| –292.8 | –255.2 | –224.5 | 14.7% | 30.5% | –807.0 | –691.5 | 16.7% |
| –516.2 | –508.8 | –483.1 | 1.4% | 6.8% | –1,529.7 | –1,506.2 | 1.6% |
| –123.6 | –105.4 | –123.9 | 17.3% | –0.2% | –376.7 | –380.3 | –1.0% |
| 228.9 | 879.3 | 5,217.9 | –74.0% | –95.6% | 2,965.6 | 15,056.8 | –80.3% |
| –1.3 | 5.8 | 10.8 | –122.2% | –112.0% | 21.2 | 86.3 | –75.4% |
| –0.1 | 2.4 | –4.1 | n.m. | –98.3% | 2.4 | 0.0 | n.m. |
| 227.5 | 887.6 | 5,224.6 | –74.4% | –95.6% | 2,989.1 | 15,143.2 | –80.3% |
| 53.1 | 110.5 | 11.4 | –52.0% | 366.2% | 326.3 | –81.6 | n.m. |
| 2.2 | 102.1 | 4.1 | –97.8% | –46.3% | 166.8 | –314.9 | n.m. |
| 9.9 | 1.4 | –41.1 | n.m. | n.m. | –57.0 | –82.0 | –30.6% |
| 292.7 | 1,101.6 | 5,199.0 | –73.4% | –94.4% | 3,425.3 | 14,664.7 | –76.6% |
| 1.63 | 6.25 | 29.56 | –73.9% | –94.5% | 19.42 | 83.36 | –76.7% |
| 743.7 | 1,396.5 | 5,707.7 | –46.7% | –87.0% | 4,518.8 | 16,649.3 | –72.9% |
| 16.7 | 29.0 | 57.8 | -12.3 ppt | -41.1 ppt | 29.51 | 58.54 | -29.0 ppt |
| 227.5 | 887.6 | 5,224.6 | –74.4% | –95.6% | 2,989.1 | 15,143.2 | –80.3% |
| 5.1 | 18.4 | 52.9 | -13.3 ppt | -47.8 ppt | 19.52 | 53.25 | -33.7 ppt |
A Appendix
Hapag-Lloyd with an equity ratio of 65% and a net liquidity of USD 3.0 bn at the end of 9M 2023
| million USD | 30.9.2023 | 31.12.2022 |
|---|---|---|
| Assets | ||
| Non-current assets | 20,563.0 | 18,034.8 |
| of which fixed assets | 20,315.7 | 17,876.5 |
| Current assets | 11,710.5 | 23,263.7 |
| of which cash and cash equivalents | 6,734.0 | 16,264.5 |
| Total assets | 32,273.5 | 41,298.5 |
| Equity and liabilities | ||
| Equity | 20,981.8 | 29,795.1 |
| Borrowed capital | 11,291.6 | 11,503.4 |
| of which non-current liabilities | 4,871.2 | 4,674.6 |
| of which current liabilities | 6,420.4 | 6,828.7 |
| of which financial debt and lease liabilities | 5,785.5 | 5,803.8 |
| of which non-current financial debt and lease liabilities | 4,344.2 | 4,317.9 |
| of which current financial debt and lease liabilities | 1,441.4 | 1,485.9 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 32,273.5 | 41,298.5 |
BALANCE SHEET [USD M] FINANCIAL POSITION [USD M]
| million USD | 30.9.2023 | 31.12.2022 |
|---|---|---|
| Financial debt and lease liabilities | 5,785.5 | 5,803.8 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 6,734.0 | 16,264.5 |
| Money market transactions & funds / fixed income investments | ||
| (other financial assets) | 2,013.3 | 2,976.0 |
| Net Liquidity | 2,961.8 | 13,436.7 |
| Unused credit lines | 725.0 | 725.0 |
| Liquidity reserve¹ | 9,472.3 | 19,965.5 |
| Equity | 20,981.8 | 29,795.1 |
| Assets | 32,273.5 | 41,298.5 |
| Equity ratio (%) | 65.0 | 72.1 |

Well balanced maturity structure of financial liabilities
FINANCIAL DEBT PROFILE AS PER 30 SEPTEMBER 20231 , [USD M]

Note: Rounding differences may occur
23

A Appendix
Share price development

HLAG Evergreen OOCL Maersk COSCO

Bond trading
| EUR Bond 2028 |
108 | |
|---|---|---|
| Listing | Open market of the Luxembourg Stock Exchange (Euro MTF) |
105 102 |
| Volume | EUR 300 m | 99 |
| ISIN / WKN | XS2326548562 | 96 |
| Maturity Date |
April 15, 2028 | 93 |
| Redemption Price |
as of 15 April 2024: 101.375% as of 15 April 2025: 100.688% as of 15 April 2026: 100% |
90 87,4 87 HL EUR 2.500% 2028 |
| Coupon | 2.500% | 84 Jul-21 Jan-22 Jul-22 Jan-23 Jul-23 Jan-24 |

Our shareholder base is long-term oriented

- Kühne Maritime GmbH / Kühne Holding AG
- CSAV Germany Container Holding GmbH
- HGV Hamburger Gesellschaft für Vermögens- und Beteiligungsmanagement mbH
Qatar Holding Germany GmbH
The Public Investment Fund on behalf of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Free Float
- Kühne: majority owner of Kühne + Nagel, shareholder since 2009
- CSAV: Chilean stock listed company, majority owned by Luksic Group, shareholder since merger with CSAV in 2014
- HGV Hamburg: City of Hamburg, shareholder since 2009
- Kühne, CSAV and HGV agreed to uniformly exercise their voting rights
- Sovereign wealth funds of Qatar and Saudi Arabia became shareholders after the merger with UASC in 2017

Disclaimer
Forward-looking statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Such statements are based on a number of assumptions, estimates, projections or plans that are inherently subject to significant risks, as well as uncertainties and contingencies that are subject to change. Actual results can differ materially from those anticipated in the Company's forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Company, including those set forth from time to time in the Company's press releases and reports and those set forth from time to time in the Company's analyst calls and discussions. We do not assume any obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or offer to buy any securities of the Company, and no part of this presentation shall form the basis of or may be relied upon in connection with any offer or commitment whatsoever. This presentation is being presented solely for your information and is subject to change without notice.


Hapag-Lloyd Investor Relations Ballindamm 25 20095 Hamburg Tel: +49 (40) 3001-3705 [email protected] All publication documents can be found here: https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/ir.html
29