AI assistant
Hapag-Lloyd AG — Investor Presentation 2020
Nov 13, 2020
199_ip_2020-11-13_55efc1b3-514e-4f4a-9be5-89f44990d2b1.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer

Investor Presentation 9M 2020 Results Hamburg, 13 November 2020
Opening Remarks
| 1 | Current situation | Performance of container shipping market and Hapag-Lloyd in Q3 better than anticipated Idle fleet continues to decline from record high in May as capacity is coming back into the market Performance Safeguarding Program running successfully |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Financials | In spite of COVID-19, we were able to improve profitability and to strengthen our balance sheet While transport volumes recovered gradually in Q3, we experienced stable freight rates, lower bunker prices and benefited from active cost management S&P and Moody's acknowledged our long-term performance by upgrading our credit rating to BB-/Ba3 |
| 3 | Market update | Container transport volumes are gradually recovering, but market conditions remain volatile and mixed Flexible capacity management remains necessary in order to adequately adjust supply to volatile demand Container shortage in Asia is currently the limiting factor to volume growth in Q4 |
| 4 | Way forward | Earnings guidance has been updated to reflect better than expected business development in Q3 and strong Q4 volume outlook Focus on execution of the Performance Safeguarding Program and risk adequate liquidity steering Continue to roll-out and execute our Strategy 2023 to mitigate delays in implementation |

1 Current situation
3
Global volumes have gradually recovered in Q3 2020, mainly driven by exports from Asia – available capacity have adjusted accordingly
Development of weekly capacity in 2020 Development of global transport volume [TEUm 1) ] Q1 Q2 40.2 Q3 43.2 38.8 43.4 39.3 44.3 -3.5% -9.6% +2.8% Idle fleet [TTEU] - 3.5% TEU 122.5 m 9M 2020 TEU 126.8 m 9M 2019 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 Share of world fleet 1.8%2) Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 70% 80% 90% 100% 110% 120% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Transpacific Far East 2019 2020

Current situation
In light of rising demand, spot freight rates have increased in Q3 2020 while bunker rates remained fairly stable

Bunker price development

1 Current situation
While we are currently seeing a gradual market recovery, COVID-19 uncertainties remain – but we stay focused

OUR TEAM
- We continue to actively track worldwide business continuity risk levels.
- In the light of increasing COVID-19 numbers worldwide, employees are further encouraged to work from home where possible.
- Due to our continuous efforts, we have kept crew changes at a good level, but the situation remains challenging.

OUR BUSINESS OUR FOCUS
- Volumes recovered somewhat in Q3 but remain well below previous year's level.
- Stable freight rates and implemented savings measures have helped us to offset weak demand situation.
- S&P and Moody's acknowledged our long-term efforts to improve our balance sheet structure through continuous operational improvements and debt repayment by upgrading our credit rating to BB-/Ba3.

- Performance Safeguarding Program (PSP) on track, cost saving measures with positive impact across all categories, almost 80% of our FY target has been achieved already.
- We actively keep track on the execution of our Strategy 2023, and offer total visibility of our quality to customers worldwide – individual quality performance can now be reviewed in the new "Customer Dashboard" on our website.

USD m
We were able to improve profitability and to strengthen our balance sheet in the first 9 months of 2020
ROIC %
8.9%
(6.5%)
Operational KPIs P&L effects
| Volume TTEU |
8,696 (9,011) |
Volume declined by 3.5% YoY due to COVID-19 impact on almost all trades, but mainly on main East-West trades |
Revenue USD m |
10,525 (10,654) |
9M revenue decreased slightly (-1.2% YoY) due to lower transport volumes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rate USD/TEU |
1,097 (1,075) |
Average freight rate increased by 2.0% YoY | EBITDA USD m |
2,044 (1,697) |
EBITDA increased by USD 347 m on the back of a strict cost management and lower bunker expenses |
| Bunker USD/mt |
402 (425) |
Average bunker consumption price decreased slightly by 23 USD/mt due to a drop of bunker market prices |
EAT USD m |
605 (333) |
Net profit nearly doubled YoY, interest result improved due to bond repayments in 2019 |
| Balance sheet | Financial KPIs | ||||
| Assets USD m |
18,545 (18,182) |
Total assets increased by USD 363 m vs. 31.12 mainly due to higher cash |
FCF USD m |
1,866 (1,483) |
Strong Free Cash Flow generation due to improved profitability and low investments |
Liquidity 1,546 … and to increase liquidity as a precautionary measure (1,159)


7
Earnings increased on the back of strict cost management driven by our PSP program and lower bunker expenses


Volumes bottomed out in Q2 and gained momentum in Q3, 9M 2020 volumes declined in-line with market trend by 3.5% YoY
Transport volume development by trade Q1 2019 – Q3 2020 [TTEU]


9
Freight rates were fairly stable throughout the first 9 months despite very volatile bunker price trend


10
Unit cost were flat, PSP savings and lower bunker cost were offset by higher D&A expenses
Transport expenses per unit [USD/TEU]

- PSP measures have helped to reduce ex bunker unit cost in spite of lower volumes
- In addition, costs for "Vessel and voyage" decreased due to a higher share of charter vessels considered as Right of Use (RoU) with a respective negative impact on depreciation.
- Besides the Rights of Use related increase, depreciation & amortization increased also due to investments in scrubbers

11
Good earnings development and prudent investment strategy boosted free cash flow to USD 1,866 m in 9M 2020
Cash flow 9M 2020 [USD m]


12
Net debt substantially reduced, leverage ratio down to 2.3x


S&P and Moody's upgraded our rating to highest level ever based on Hapag-Lloyd's performance over the last couple of years
Historical Ratings and Outlook

3 Market update
14
Container transport volumes are significantly affected by COVID-19, but the impact has been less severe – recovery faster than expected
GDP vs. global container volume growth [%]


3 Market update
15
As demand picks up gradually, idle fleet has decreased to an absolute minimum – Orderbook down to below TEU 2 m and 8% of global fleet

Orderbook-to-fleet Newly placed orders
[TEU m]



3 Market update
16
Flexible operational measures continue to be necessary to ensure adequate supply in a volatile and difficult to predict demand situation
Net capacity growth in 2020e
Supply / Demand balance


4 Way forward
Earnings guidance updated to reflect better than expected business development and strong Q4 volume outlook
| 2018 FY 2019 |
Initial Guidance 2020 | Updated Guidance 2020 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume | 12,037 TTEU | Increasing slightly | Decreasing slightly | ||
| Average freight rate | 1,072 USD/TEU | Increasing slightly | Increasing slightly | ||
| Average bunker price |
416 USD/mt | Increasing clearly | Decreasing moderately | ||
| EBITDA | EUR 1,986 m | EUR 1.7 – 2.2 bn |
EUR 2.4 – 2.6 bn |
||
| EBIT | EUR 811 m | EUR 0.5 – 1.0 bn |
EUR 1.1 – 1.3 bn |

4 Way forward
Our priorities for the coming months

Ensure the safety and health of our employees


Continue to follow a prudent financial policy with focus on cost and risk adequate liquidity steering

Keep track on execution of our Strategy 2023

Continuously monitor the global economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and adapt to evolving market conditions


Hapag-Lloyd with an equity ratio of 42.0% and a gearing of 77.3%
| million USD | 30.9.2020 | 31.12.2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Assets | ||
| Non-current assets | 15,517.2 | 15,501.0 |
| of which fixed assets | 15,440.1 | 15,393.6 |
| Current assets | 3,027.5 | 2,680.7 |
| of which cash and cash equivalents | 961.1 | 574.1 |
| Total assets | 18,544.7 | 18,181.7 |
| Equity and liabilities | ||
| Equity | 7,783.8 | 7,430.3 |
| Borrowed capital | 10,760.9 | 10,751.4 |
| of which non-current liabilities | 6,146.5 | 6,269.4 |
| of which current liabilities | 4,614.4 | 4,482.0 |
| of which financial debt and lease liabilities | 6,980.4 | 7,179.6 |
| of which non-current financial debt and lease liabilities | 5,588.1 | 5,786.6 |
| of which current financial debt and lease liabilities | 1,392.3 | 1,393.0 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 18,544.7 | 18,181.7 |
Balance sheet [USD m] Financial position [USD m]
| million USD | 30.9.2020 | 31.12.2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Financial debt and lease liabilities | 6,980.4 | 7,179.6 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 961.1 | 574.1 |
| Restricted Cash | – | – |
| Net debt | 6,019.3 | 6,605.4 |
| Unused credit lines | 585.0 | 585.0 |
| Liquidity reserve | 1,546.1 | 1,159.1 |
| Equity | 7,783.8 | 7,430.3 |
| Gearing (net debt / equity) (%) | 77.3 | 88.9 |
| Net debt to EBITDA1 | 2.3x | 3.0x |
| Equity ratio (%) | 42.0 | 40.9 |

Hapag-Lloyd with positive EBIT of USD 937.3 m in 9M 2020
Income statement [USD m]
| QoQ | YoY | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| million USD | Q3 2020 | Q2 2020 | Q3 2019 | Change | change | 9M 2020 | 9M 2019 | Change |
| Revenue | 3,519.4 | 3,321.2 | 3,607.5 | 6.0% | –2.4% | 10,524.6 | 10,654.1 | –1.2% |
| Transport expenses | –2,486.1 | –2,295.4 | –2,736.7 | 8.3% | –9.2% | –7,696.0 | –8,187.4 | –6.0% |
| Personnel expenses | –201.1 | –184.3 | –191.8 | 9.1% | 4.9% | –576.0 | –566.6 | 1.7% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment |
–354.6 | –382.9 | –334.7 | –7.4% | 5.9% | –1,078.6 | –975.0 | 10.6% |
| Other operating result | –86.5 | –78.5 | –74.4 | –10.2% | –16.3% | –236.8 | –235.5 | –0.6% |
| Operating result | 391.1 | 380.1 | 269.9 | 2.9% | 44.9% | 937.3 | 689.7 | 35.9% |
| Share of profit of equity-accounted investees |
10.6 | 7.1 | 11.3 | 48.0% | –6.8% | 27.9 | 31.1 | –10.4% |
| Result from investments |
0.1 | –0.1 | 1.2 | n.m. | –92.7% | –0.2 | 1.4 | n.m. |
| Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) |
401.7 | 387.1 | 282.4 | 3.8% | 42.2% | 964.9 | 722.2 | 33.6% |
| Interest result | –93.9 | –87.8 | –103.1 | 7.0% | –9.0% | –318.6 | –357.2 | –10.8% |
| Other financial items | –4.8 | –1.9 | 3.3 | 156.0% | n.m. | –1.8 | 2.3 | n.m. |
| Income taxes | –12.8 | –10.4 | –14.5 | 23.1% | –12.0% | –39.8 | –34.0 | 16.9% |
| Group profit / loss | 290.3 | 287.1 | 168.1 | 1.1% | 72.7% | 604.8 | 333.3 | 81.4% |

Interest burden clearly reduced – extraordinary valuation effects weigh on financial result
Extraordinary interest result items [USD m] HLAG Bond trading


Comments
- On the back of successful deleveraging and the early repayment of our 6.75% bond initially due 2022, interest result has substantially improved
- Market turbulences led to a devaluation of interest swaps and the early bond repurchase option in total of USD -32 million in 9M 2020

Bunker expenses per unit decreased by 5% YoY mainly due lower average bunker prices in 9M 2020

Bunker price development


24
Well balanced maturity structure of financial liabilities
Financial Debt Profile as per 30 September 20201) , [USD m]

1) As of January 2018 financial debt profile has been changed to the statement of repayment amounts. Deviation from the total financial debt as shown in the balance sheet as per 30.09.2020 consists of transaction costs and accrued interest 2) Liabilities from lease and charter contracts consist of USD 54 million liabilities from former finance lease contracts and USD 1,561 USD million from lease contracts presented as on-balance financial liability due to first-time application of IFRS 16 3) Repayment amounts based on contractual debt as per 30.09.2020 Note: Rounding differences may occur

Hapag-Lloyd`s shareholder structure

Kühne Maritime GmbH / Kühne Holding AG
CSAV Germany Container Holding GmbH
Qatar Holding Germany GmbH HGV Hamburger Gesellschaft für Vermögens- und Beteiligungsmanagement mbH
The Public Investment Fund on behalf of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Free Float

Share price development


Bond trading

HL EUR 6.75 % 2022 HL EUR 5.125% 2024
| EUR Bond 2024 |
EUR Bond 2022 |
|
|---|---|---|
| Listing | Open market of the Luxembourg Stock Exchange (Euro MTF) |
|
| Volume | EUR 450 m | EUR 450 m |
| ISIN / WKN | XS1645113322 | XS1555576641 / A2E4V1 |
| Maturity Date |
Jul 15, 2024 |
Feb 1, 2022 |
| Redemption Price |
as of July 15, 2020:102.563%; as of July 15, 2021:101.281%; as of July 15, 2022:100% |
as of Feb 1, 2019: 103.375%; as of Feb 1, 2020: 101.688%; as of Feb 1, 2021: 100% |
| Coupon | 5.125% | 6.75% |
Financial Calendar 2021
| January 2021 |
Preliminary Financials 2020 |
|---|---|
| March 2021 | Annual Report 2020 |
| May 2021 |
Quarterly Financial Report Q1 2021 |
| May 2021 | Annual General Meeting 2021 |
| August 2021 | Half-year Financial Report 2021 |
| November 2021 | Quarterly Financial Report 9M 2021 |

Disclaimer
Forward-looking statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Such statements are based on a number of assumptions, estimates, projections or plans that are inherently subject to significant risks, as well as uncertainties and contingencies that are subject to change. Actual results can differ materially from those anticipated in the Company's forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Company, including those set forth from time to time in the Company's press releases and reports and those set forth from time to time in the Company's analyst calls and discussions. We do not assume any obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or offer to buy any securities of the Company, and no part of this presentation shall form the basis of or may be relied upon in connection with any offer or commitment whatsoever. This presentation is being presented solely for your information and is subject to change without notice.



30
Hapag-Lloyd Investor Relations Ballindamm 25 20095 Hamburg Tel: +49 (40) 3001-2896 [email protected] All publication documents can be found here: https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/ir.html