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Hapag-Lloyd AG — Investor Presentation 2019
May 9, 2019
199_ip_2019-05-09_3eb42051-f413-4fcf-9b2a-9c0bdcafd13b.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Investor Presentation Q1 2019 Results Hamburg, 9 May 2019
Opening Remarks
| 1 | Highlights | Positive development of freight rates; Q1 2019 almost 5% above previous year's level Increase in transport volume of +2.4% YoY to TEU 2.9 m in Q1 2019 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Market Update | Despite recent GDP downgrades, trend of container demand growth still intact Slowing supply growth leads to tightening of Supply / Demand Balance in 2019e and 2020e Good acceptance of new IMO 2020 bunker formulas by the market |
| 3 | Financials | Significantly increased EBIT of USD 243 m (thereof USD 5 m IFRS 16 impact) Clearly positive group profit of USD 109 m, although negatively affected by USD -13 m IFRS 16 impact Strong free cash flow of USD 455 m (thereof USD 119 m IFRS 16 impact) |
| 4 | Way Forward | Focus on further implementing "Strategy 2023" Continue to improve results and further deleverage our company Prepare for IMO 2020 |

1 Highlights
3
Financial Highlights Q1 2019
| Transport volume +2.4% Q1 2019: TEU 2.9 m |
TEU1) Transport expenses per +1.1% Q1 2019: 1,015 USD/TEU |
Freight rate +4.9% Q1 2019: 1,079 USD/TEU |
|---|---|---|
| EBIT USD 243 m 7.0% EBIT margin |
Group profit USD 109 m 6.4% ROIC annualized |
EBITDA USD 556 m 16.0% EBITDA margin |
| Equity USD 7.2 bn Equity ratio: 39.1% |
Liquidity reserve USD 1.2 bn |
Net debt USD 7.2 bn Gearing: 99.1% |
4
Container trade growth conditions remain broadly healthy, with an expected growth of approx. 1.2x GDP in 2019e
Real GDP Growth vs. Global Container Trade Growth [%]


In the first 3 months of 2019, global transport volume was stable YoY, while freight rates have stayed above previous year's levels
1.000
Global Transport Volume Development SCFI Comprehensive Index [TEUm]

5

6
Global orderbook remains historically low at only 11%, while idle fleet fell to only 1.3% of the world fleet…
28% 2011 2013 2014 2015 21% 2012 18% 21% 19% 3.8 16% 2016 13% 2017 12% 2018 11% YTD May 2019 4.3 3.4 3.6 3.3 3.2 2.8 2.5 2.5 [TEUm, %] Orderbook Vessels > 13,999 TEU Share of world fleet
Orderbook-to-fleet Newly placed orders
[TEUm, %]

Source: MDS Transmodal (February 2019), Drewry Forecaster (various issues), Clarksons (April 2019), Alphaliner weekly (various sources)

7
…and scrapping activity is expected to increase and the pace of deliveries will slow, which leads to further tightening of S/D balance

Note: IHS will publish updated figures earliest on May 10th, demand estimates for 2019-2020e are therefore taken from Clarksons Container Intelligence Quarterly, Q1 2019.

8
Clearly increased EBIT of USD 243 m
and a strong improvement in group profit to USD 109 m in Q1 2019
| Operational KPIs | Q1 2019 | Q1 2018 | YoY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume [TTEU] | 2,929 | 2,861 | +2% | ||
| Freight rate [USD/TEU] | 1,079 | 1,029 | +5% | ||
| Bunker [USD/mt] | 425 | 372 | +14% | ||
| Exchange rate1) [USD/EUR] |
1.14 | 1.23 | n.m. | Note: Due to the first-time application of IFRS 16 "Leases" as at 1 January 2019, the presentation of the net asset positions is only comparable with that of the corresponding prior year period to a limited degree. Unless stated otherwise, the figures for Q1 2018 refer to |
|
| Revenue [USD m] | 3,478 | 3,221 | +8% | ||
| EBITDA [USD m] | 556 | 266 | +109% | ||
| EBITDA margin | 16.0% | 8.3% | +7.7ppt | ||
| EBIT [USD m] |
243 | 62 | +292% | ||
| EBIT margin | 7.0% | 1.9% | +5.0ppt | ||
| Group profit [USD m] | 109 | -42 | n.m. | ||
| ROIC [annualized] | 6.4% | 1.6% | +4.8ppt | the provisions for leases pursuant to IAS 17.1 |
"Leases" as at 1 January 2019, the presentation of the group earnings, financial and net asset positions is only comparable with that of the corresponding prior year period to a limited degree. Unless stated otherwise, the figures for Q1 2018 refer to the provisions for leases
1) Average rate for the period. Note: Figures as stated in the Investor Report Q1 2019. Rounding differences may occur. Due to the first-time application of IFRS 16 "Leases" as at 1 January 2019, the presentation of the group earnings, financial and net asset positions is only comparable with that of the corresponding prior year period to a limited degree.
Unless stated otherwise, the figures for Q1 2018 refer to the provisions for leases pursuant to IAS 17.1

Group profit of USD 109 m in Q1 2019 was negatively impacted by USD ~13 m due to IFRS 16 effects
Overview of IFRS 16 effects on P&L accounts
| [USD m] | Q1 2019 | Q1 2018 | ∆ | Thereof IFRS 16 | ∆ ex. IFRS 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3,478 | 3,221 | +257 | 0 | +257 |
| Operating expenses (before D&A) | -2,922 | -2,955 | +33 | +113 | -80 |
| EBITDA | 556 | 266 | +290 | +113 | +177 |
| Depreciation & Amortization | -313 | -204 | -109 | -108 | -1 |
| EBIT | 243 | 62 | +181 | +5 | +176 |
| Interest result | -121 | -101 | -20 | -18 | -2 |
| Income tax / other financial items | -13 | -3 | -10 | 0 | -10 |
| Group profit | 109 | -42 | 151 | -13 | 164 |
9

10
Transport volume increased by 2.4% YoY to 2,929 TTEU in Q1 2019 mainly driven by Atlantic, Far East, Latin America and EMAO
Transport volume by trade [TTEU]

Transport volume development by trade [TTEU]


2,929
11
Average freight rate has increased by 4.9% YoY, driven by a positive development in almost all trades
Freight rate [USD/TEU] vs. Bunker price development [USD/mt]


12
Bunker price significantly increased by 14% YoY to 425 USD/mt which drove up bunker expenses per unit by 13 USD/TEU


13
Transport expenses (ex. bunker) remained almost flat YoY
Transport expenses per TEU [USD/TEU]
Due to the application of IFRS 16, for analysis purposes and better traceability of unit cost development, transport expenses are now shown together with depreciation.


14
Strong free cash flow of USD 455 m positively impacted by the first-time application of IFRS 16 in the amount of USD 119 m
Cash flow Q1 2019 [USD m]


Like for like, financial debt has been decreased by USD ~300 m but first time application of IFRS 16 lead to an increase in assets and debt

15 Note: Figures as stated in the Investor Report Q1 2019. Rounding differences may occur. 1) Includes Restricted Cash booked as other assets: USD 7.2 m as of 31 March 2019 & USD 7.4 m as of 31 December 2018

4 Way Forward
Earnings outlook for 2019 confirmed
| FY 2018 | Outlook 2019 (incl. IFRS 16) |
Sensitivities for 20191) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume | 11,874 TTEU | Increasing slightly | +/- 100 TTEU |
+/- USD <0.1 bn |
| Average freight rate | 1,044 USD/TEU | Increasing slightly | +/- 50 USD/TEU |
+/- USD ~0.6 bn |
| Average bunker price |
421 USD/mt | Increasing slightly | +/- 50 USD/mt |
+/- USD ~0.2 bn |
| EBITDA | EUR 1,138 m | EUR 1.6 – 2.0 bn |
Thereof | EUR 370 – 470 m |
| EBIT | EUR 443 m | EUR 0.5 – 0.9 bn |
IFRS 16 Impact |
EUR 10 – 50 m |
2018

4 Way Forward
Major targets for 2019 and beyond:

Continue to increase profitability and further deleverage our company

Prepare for IMO 2020

Continue to implement our "Strategy 2023" and create more value for our customers and shareholders as we strive to become number one for quality

Further develop and offer more digitalized solutions to our customers


Hapag-Lloyd with an equity ratio of 39.1% and a gearing of 99.1%
| 31.03.2019 | 31.12.2018 | |
|---|---|---|
| Assets | ||
| Non-current assets | 15,672.6 | 14,709.1 |
| of which fixed assets | 15,609.7 | 14,654.7 |
| Current assets | 2,765.6 | 2,812.6 |
| of which cash and cash equivalents | 644.3 | 752.4 |
| Total assets | 18,438.2 | 17,521.7 |
| Equity and liabilities | ||
| Equity | 7,215.9 | 7,167.5 |
| Borrowed capital | 11,222.3 | 10,354.2 |
| of which non-current liabilities |
6,892.9 | 6,487.4 |
| of which current liabilities | 4,329.3 | 3,866.8 |
| of which financial debt |
7,804.4 | 6,891.1 |
| thereof Non-current financial debt |
6,476.5 | 6,070.8 |
| Current financial debt | 1,327.9 | 820.3 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 18,438.2 | 17,521.7 |
Balance sheet [USD m] Financial position [USD m]
| 31.03.2019 | 31.12.2018 | |
|---|---|---|
| Financial debt | 7,804.4 | 6,891.1 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 644.3 | 752.4 |
| Restricted Cash | 7.2 | 7.4 |
| Net debt | 7,152.9 | 6131.3 |
| Unused credit lines | 545.0 | 545.0 |
| Liquidity reserve | 1,189.3 | 1,297.4 |
| Equity | 7,215.9 | 7,167.5 |
| Gearing (net debt / equity) (%) |
99.1% | 85.5% |
| Equity ratio (%) | 39.1% | 40.9% |

Hapag-Lloyd with positive EBITDA of USD 555.6 m in Q1 2019
Income statement [USD m]
| Q1 2019 | Q1 2018 | % change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3,477.6 | 3,220.6 | 8% |
| Transport expenses | -2,660.2 | -2,667.7 | 0% |
| Personnel expenses | -189.3 | -195.8 | -3% |
| Depreciation, amortization & impairment | -312.9 | -203.7 | 54% |
| Other operating result |
-82.4 | -101.0 | -18% |
| Operating result | 232.8 | 52.4 | n.m. |
| Share of profit of equity-accounted investees |
9.7 | 9.9 | -2% |
| Result from investments | 0.2 | 0.0 | n.m. |
| Earnings before interest & tax (EBIT) |
242.7 | 62.3 | n.m. |
| EBITDA | 555.6 | 266.0 | 109% |
| Interest result | -120.6 | -101.2 | 19% |
| Income taxes | -13.0 | -7.0 | 86% |
| Other financial items | 0.2 | 3.8 | -95% |
| Group profit / loss | 109.3 | -42.2 | n.m. |

Unit costs slightly increased by 1% to 1,015 USD/TEU in Q1 2019
Operating expenses [USD m] Unit costs [USD]
| Q1 2019 | Q1 2018 | % change |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Transport expenses | 2,660 | 2,668 | 0% |
| Thereof Bunker |
448 | 401 | 12% |
| Handling and Haulage | 1,354 | 1,366 | -1% |
| Equipment and repositioning | 323 | 358 | -10% |
| Vessel and voyage (excluding bunker) |
560 | 551 | 2% |
| Pending Transport expenses | -25 | -8 | n.m. |
| Personnel expenses |
189 | 196 | -3% |
| Depreciation, amortization and impairments | 313 | 204 | 54% |
| Other operating result | -82 | -101 | -18% |
| Total operating expenses | 3,245 | 3,168 | 2% |
| Q1 2019 | Q1 2018 | % change |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Transport expenses | 908 | 932 | -3% |
| Thereof Bunker |
153 | 140 | 9% |
| Handling and Haulage | 462 | 478 | -3% |
| Equipment and repositioning | 110 | 125 | -12% |
| Vessel and voyage (excluding bunker) |
191 | 192 | -1% |
| Pending Transport expenses | -9 | -3 | n.m. |
| Depreciation, amortization and impairment (D&A) |
107 | 71 | 50% |
| Transport expenses incl. D&A | 1,015 | 1,003 | 1% |

Hapag-Lloyd's new P&L structure from Q1 2019 onwards – Transport expenses
New P&L Structure

Change of presentation in the consolidated income statement
| Transport expenses | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2018 – OLD STRUCTURE |
g / & e g g n e a dli n g ul dli a n a ul n a H a a H H H |
d n g nt / g a n n nt ni ni o e e o ositi m m siti p p ui ui p o e q q p R E E e r |
er k er n k u n B u B |
er) / k e n & el g u el ya e b s xcl. s g s o a e es V y V o e V v ( |
n o ati g c sifi ort es n di s as n p n e s e cl P n p e of a x R tr e |
n o ati c sifi er as h cl Ot e r |
Simplified view Q1 2018 – NEW STRUCTURE |
||||
| Revenues | 3,217 | 4 | Revenues | 3,221 | |||||||
| Transport expenses | -2,648 | Transport expenses | -2,667 | ||||||||
| Raw materials and supplies | -428 | 9 | 1 | 401 | 23 | -6 | Handling & Haulage | -1,366 | |||
| Port, canal and terminal costs | -1,182 | 757 | 155 | 270 | Equipment & Repositioning |
-358 | |||||
| Container transport costs | -690 | 575 | 123 | 2 | -2 | -8 | Bunker | -401 | |||
| Chartering, leases & cont. rentals | -270 | 1 | 45 | 224 | Vessel & Voyage (excl. bunker) | -551 | |||||
| Maintenance / repair / other | -77 | 5 | 34 | 32 | 6 | Pending transport expenses | 8 | ||||
| Personnel expenses | -206 | 10 | Personnel expenses | -196 | |||||||
| Depreciation, amortization & impairment | -204 | Depreciation, amortization & imp. | -204 | ||||||||
| Other operating income , other operating expenses |
-103 | 19 | -17 | Other operating result | -101 | ||||||
| Share of profit of equity accounted investees |
10 | Share o. profit of equity acc. investees |
10 | ||||||||
| EBIT | 66 | EBIT | 62 | ||||||||
| 4 | Other financial items | 4 | |||||||||
| 1,366 | 358 | 401 | 551 | -8 |

Overview of IFRS 16 effects on cash flow statement
| [USD m] | Q1 2019 | Q1 2018 | ∆ | Thereof IFRS 16 | ∆ ex. IFRS 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBIT | 243 | 62 | +181 | +5 | +176 |
| Depreciation / Amortization | 313 | 204 | +109 | +108 | +1 |
| EBITDA | 556 | 266 | +290 | +113 | +177 |
| Working Capital and other effects |
53 | 46 | +7 | +6 | +1 |
| Cash flow from operating activities |
609 | 312 | +297 | +119 | +178 |
| Investing cash flow |
-154 | -72 | -82 | 0 | -82 |
| Free cash flow | 455 | 240 | +215 | +119 | +96 |
| Additional payments for liabilities from leases |
-101 | n.a. | -101 | -101 | 0 |
| Additional interest payments for liabilities from leases |
-18 | n.a. | -18 | -18 | 0 |
| Free cash flow (adjusted by IFRS 16 effect) |
336 | 240 | +96 | 0 | +96 |

Reduced financing costs as well as improved maturity structure of financial liabilities
Financial Debt Profile as per 31 March 20191) , [USDm]

1) As of January 2018 financial debt profile has been changed to the statement of repayment amounts. Deviation from the total financial debt as shown in the balance sheet as per 31.12.2018 consist of transaction costs and accrued interest 2) ABS program prolonged until 2020 3) Liabilities from lease contracts consist of 104 USD m liabilities from old contracts and 1,219 USD m of new contracts due to first-time IFRS 16 implementation

Share price development
Share trading since November 2015


Bond trading
Bonds trading

HL EUR 6.75 % 2022 HL EUR 5.125% 2024
| EUR Bond 2024 |
EUR Bond 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Listing | Open market of the Luxembourg Stock Exchange (Euro MTF) |
|
| Volume | EUR 450 m | EUR 280 m |
| ISIN / WKN | XS1645113322 | XS1555576641 / A2E4V1 |
| Maturity Date |
Jul 15, 2024 |
Feb 1, 2022 |
| Redemption Price | as of July 15, 2020:102.563%; as of July 15, 2021:101.281%; as of July 15, 2022:100% |
as of Feb 1, 2019:103.375%; as of Feb 1, 2020:101.688%; as of Feb 1, 2021:100% |
| Coupon | 5.125% | 6.75% |

Financial Calendar 2019
25 February 2019 Preliminary Financials 2018
22 March 2019 Annual Report 2018
09 May 2019 Quarterly Financial Report Q1 2019
12 June 2019 Annual General Meeting 2019
07 August 2019 Half-year Financial Report 2019
14 November 2019 Quarterly Financial Report 9M 2019

Disclaimer
Forward-looking statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Such statements are based on a number of assumptions, estimates, projections or plans that are inherently subject to significant risks, as well as uncertainties and contingencies that are subject to change. Actual results can differ materially from those anticipated in the Company's forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Company, including those set forth from time to time in the Company's press releases and reports and those set forth from time to time in the Company's analyst calls and discussions. We do not assume any obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or offer to buy any securities of the Company, and no part of this presentation shall form the basis of or may be relied upon in connection with any offer or commitment whatsoever. This presentation is being presented solely for your information and is subject to change without notice.



30
Hapag-Lloyd Investor Relations Ballindamm 25 20095 Hamburg Tel: +49 (40) 3001-2896 [email protected] https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/ir.html