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Hapag-Lloyd AG — Investor Presentation 2019
Nov 14, 2019
199_ip_2019-11-14_35f8f240-a878-4622-9069-c7214dca3625.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Analyst's & Investor's Conference Call
9M 2019 Result Presentation
Hamburg, 14 November 2019
Opening Remarks
| 1 | Highlights | Strategy 2023 well on track Freight rate increased by +4.2% while transport volume increased by +1.2% YoY (excl. Intra Asia: +2.7%) Stable unit cost compared to prior year despite slightly higher bunker prices |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Market update | Despite weakening GDP expectations, trend of container volume growth still intact Orderbook remains on a reasonably low level with only limited amount of orders placed YTD Net available capacity reduced due to scrubber retrofits |
| 3 | Financials | Strong EBIT of USD 722 m in 9M 2019 (USD 357 m in 9M 2018) Substantially improved group profit of USD 333 m in 9M 2019 (USD 15 m in 9M 2018) Very strong free cash flow of USD 1.483 m in 9M 2019 (USD 651 m in 9M 2018) |
| 4 | Way forward | FY 2019 EBITDA and EBIT expected to be in the upper part of the guided ranges Smooth transition to IMO 2020 Focus on further implementing "Strategy 2023" |
1 Highlights
3
Financial Highlights 9M 2019
| Transport volume +1.2% 9M 2019: TEU 9.0 m |
TEU1) Transport expenses per +0.2% 9M 2019: 1,017 USD/TEU |
Freight rate +4.2% 9M 2019: 1,075 USD/TEU |
|---|---|---|
| EBIT USD 722 m 6.8% EBIT margin |
Group profit USD 333 m 6.5% ROIC annualized |
EBITDA USD 1,697 m 15.9% EBITDA margin |
| Equity USD 7.3 bn Equity ratio: 40.2% |
Liquidity reserve USD 1.2 bn |
Net debt USD 6.7 bn Gearing: 92.0% |
1 Highlights
Tangible steps made on Strategy 2023
GLOBAL PLAYER
We have reinforced our market share and expanded in niche markets
- Global market share stable around 10% (excl. IRT Asia)
- Continued growth in reefer and special equipment towards 10% market share target
- Strengthened position in attractive markets by launching new services e.g. from Turkey to North America East Coast (Apr 2019), from South East India to Europe (Oct 2019) and from Middle East / India to Africa (Oct 2019)
We are on-track to deliver on profitability and deleveraging targets
- Financial result significantly up, EBIT +102% vs. 9M 2018
- Financial debt reduced by USD ~800m (excl. IFRS 16) , e.g. due to early Bond repayments
- Net leverage improved to 3.2x (excl. IFRS 16), earlier than expected
- Strong cash conversion (>90%) and adequate liquidity reserve of USD >1.1 bn available
- Cost Management Program (incl. restructuring of unprofitable services) on track with positive effect on unit cost
- Overall good results achieved with Revenue Management
We have made further progress in achieving our quality targets
- Quick Quotes (Web Channel) with ongoing strong growth rates in 2019
- A new CRM tool for our sales force launched in summer 2019
- Further Quality Service Centers (QSCs) to strengthen our delivery consistency and organizational efficiency
- Substantial improvement in Net Promoter Score (NPS)
1 Highlights
5
Cost management program continues to be well on track
2019 2020 350 – 4001) 2021 Full savings run rate Cost savings potential Terminal Total Partnering Network Container Steering Collaboration Procurement 350 – 4001) Full run rate [USD m] Cost savings ramp up [USD m] Savings implemented for 2019
2 Market update
Despite slowing market growth…
Real GDP Growth vs. Global Container Volume Growth [%]
2 Market update
7
…the historically low orderbook of only 11%…
[TEU m, %]
2 Market update
…combined with an expected increase in scrapping, further indicates a healthier outlook for the industry
8
Results are substantially higher YoY…
| Operational KPIs | Q3 2019 | Q3 2018 | YoY | 9M 2019 | 9M 2018 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume [TTEU] | 3,045 | 3,052 | 0% | 9,011 | 8,900 | +1% |
| Freight rate [USD/TEU] | 1,084 | 1,055 | +3% | 1,075 | 1,032 | +4% |
| Bunker [USD/mt] | 416 | 446 | -7% | 425 | 406 | +5% |
| Exchange rate1) [USD/EUR] |
n/a | n/a | n/a | 1.12 | 1.20 | n.m. |
| Revenue [USD m] | 3,608 | 3,565 | +1% | 10,654 | 10,141 | +5% |
| EBITDA [USD m] | 617 | 453 | +36% | 1,697 | 970 | +75% |
| EBITDA margin | 17.1% | 12.7% | +4.4ppt | 15.9% | 9.6% | +6.4ppt |
| EBIT [USD m] |
282 | 248 | +14% | 722 | 357 | +102% |
| EBIT margin | 7.8% | 6.9% | +0.9ppt | 6.8% | 3.5% | +3.3ppt |
| Group profit [USD m] | 168 | 137 | +23% | 333 | 15 | n.m. |
| ROIC [annualized] | 7.6% | 6.8% | +0.8ppt | 6.5% | 3.1% | +3.4ppt |
1) Average rate for the period. Note: Figures as stated in the Investor Report Q3/9M 2019. Rounding differences may occur. Due to the first-time application of IFRS 16 "Leases" as at 1 January 2019, the presentation of the group earnings, financial and net asset positions is only comparable with that of the corresponding prior year period to a limited degree.
9 Unless stated otherwise, the figures for Q3/9M 2018 refer to the provisions for leases pursuant to IAS 17.1
…also when correcting for IFRS 16 effects
| [USD m] | 9M 2019 | 9M 2018 | ∆ | Thereof IFRS 16 | ∆ ex. IFRS 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 10,654 | 10,141 | +513 | 0 | +513 |
| Operating expenses (before D&A) | -8,957 | -9,171 | +214 | +383 | -169 |
| EBITDA | 1,697 | 970 | +727 | +383 | +344 |
| Depreciation & Amortization | -975 | -613 | -362 | -358 | -4 |
| EBIT | 722 | 357 | +365 | +26 | +339 |
| Interest result | -357 | -311 | -46 | -56 | +10 |
| Income tax / other financial items | -32 | -31 | -1 | 0 | -1 |
| EAT | 333 | 15 | +318 | -30 | +348 |
10
Transport volume increased by 1.2% YoY to 9,011 TTEU in 9M 2019, excluding Intra-Asia transport volume grew by 2.7% YoY
Transport volume by trade [TTEU]
Transport volume development by trade (excl. Intra-Asia) [TTEU]
Average freight rate has increased by 4.2% YoY in 9M 2019, while average bunker prices have increased by 4.7% YoY
Freight rate [USD/TEU] vs. Bunker price development [USD/mt]
Transport expenses per unit remained almost flat YoY despite slightly higher bunker costs
Transport expenses per unit [USD/TEU]
- Slight YoY increase driven by higher "Bunker" costs.
- Decrease in "Handling and haulage" as less profitable inland business was actively reduced in light of Strategy 2023.
- Decrease in "Equipment and repositioning" due to IFRS 16. However, depreciation for rented container more than offset this decrease. Higher empty container repositioning cost drove the net increase.
- Decrease in "Vessel and voyage" due to IFRS 16 – increase in depreciation more than offset this decrease. Net increase driven by a capacity expansion and an increase in charter prices has been partly offset by higher slotcharter revenues.
14
Free cash flow generation of USD 1,483 m significantly stronger than last year, notwithstanding IFRS 16 effects of USD 399 m
Cash flow 9M 2019 [USD m]
15
We have continued deleveraging the company…
16
…and have already surpassed our 2019 Net Debt / EBITDA target (excl. IFRS 16) of 3.5x
4 Way forward
Earnings outlook for 2019 substantiated: EBITDA and EBIT now expected to be in the upper part of the guided ranges
| 2018 FY 2018 |
Outlook 2019 (incl. IFRS 16) |
Sensitivities for 20191) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume | 11,874 TTEU | On previous years level | +/- 300 TTEU |
+/- USD ~0.2 bn |
| Average freight rate | 1,044 USD/TEU | Slightly increasing | +/- 50 USD/TEU |
+/- USD ~0.6 bn |
| Average bunker price |
421 USD/mt | On previous years level | +/- 50 USD/mt |
+/- USD ~0.2 bn |
| EBITDA | EUR 1,138 m | EUR 1.6 – 2.0 bn (upper part) |
Thereof | EUR 370 – 470 m (upper part) |
| EBIT | EUR 443 m | EUR 0.5 – 0.9 bn (upper part) |
IFRS 16 Impact |
EUR 10 – 50 m (upper part) |
4 Way forward
Major targets for 2019 and beyond continue to remain unchanged
Continue to increase profitability and further deleverage our company
Continuously proactively adjust to changing market conditions
Prepare for IMO 2020
Continue to implement our "Strategy 2023" and create more value for our customers and shareholders as we strive to become number one for quality
Further develop and offer more digitalized solutions to our customers
Hapag-Lloyd with an equity ratio of 40.2% and a gearing of 92.0%
| million USD | 30.9.2019 | 31.12.2018 |
|---|---|---|
| Assets | ||
| Non-current assets | 15,524.2 | 14,709.1 |
| of which fixed assets | 15,453.7 | 14,645.7 |
| Current assets | 2,710.0 | 2,812.6 |
| of which cash and cash equivalents | 635.0 | 752.4 |
| Total assets | 18,234.1 | 17,521.7 |
| Equity and liabilities | ||
| Equity | 7,332.2 | 7,167.5 |
| Borrowed capital | 10,902.0 | 10,354.2 |
| of which non-current liabilities | 6,471.8 | 6,487.4 |
| of which current liabilities | 4,430.2 | 3,866.8 |
| of which financial debt and lease liabilities | 7,379.2 | 6,891.1 |
| of which non-current financial debt and lease liabilities | 5,998.8 | 6,070.8 |
| of which current financial debt and lease liabilities | 1,380.4 | 820.3 |
| Total equity and liabilities |
18,234.1 | 17,521.7 |
Balance sheet [USD m] Financial position [USD m]
| 30.9.2019 | 31.12.2018 | 30.9.2018 |
|---|---|---|
| 7,379.2 | 6,891.0 | 7,272.1 |
| 635.0 | 752.4 | 694.4 |
| – | 7.4 | 42.6 |
| 6,744.2 | 6,131.2 | 6,535.1 |
| 565.0 | 545.0 | 470.0 |
| 1,200.0 | 1,297.4 | 1,164.4 |
| 7,332.2 | 7,167.5 | 7,171.3 |
| 92.0 | 85.5 | 91.1 |
| 40.2 | 40.9 | 40.9 |
Hapag-Lloyd with positive EBIT of USD 722.2 m in 9M 2019
Income statement [USD m]
| QoQ | YoY | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| million USD1 | Q3 2019 | Q2 2019 | Q3 2018 | Change | change | 9M 2019 | 9M 2018 | Change |
| Revenue | 3,607.5 | 3,569.0 | 3,564.6 | 1% | 1% | 10,654.1 | 10,141.3 | 5% |
| Transport expenses | –2,736.7 | –2,790.5 | –2,899.6 | –2% | –6% | –8,187.4 | –8,416.9 | –3% |
| Personnel expenses | –191.8 | –185.5 | –175.8 | 3% | 9% | –566.6 | –559.5 | 1% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment |
–334.7 | –327.3 | –205.4 | 2% | 63% | –975.0 | –612.9 | 59% |
| Other operating result | –74.4 | –78.7 | –56.7 | 5% | –31% | –235.5 | –233.8 | –1% |
| Operating result1 | 269.9 | 187.0 | 227.2 | 44% | 19% | 689.7 | 318.2 | 117% |
| Share of profit of equity-accounted investees |
11.3 | 10.1 | 8.0 | 12% | 42% | 31.1 | 26.7 | 17% |
| Result from investments |
1.2 | 0.0 | 12.5 | n.m. | –90% | 1.4 | 12.5 | –89% |
| Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT)1 |
282.4 | 197.1 | 247.7 | 43% | 14% | 722.2 | 357.4 | 102% |
| Interest result | –103.1 | –133.5 | –101.7 | –23% | 1% | –357.2 | –310.8 | 15% |
| Other financial items | 3.3 | –1.2 | 4.4 | n.m. | –25% | 2.3 | 2.1 | 12% |
| Income taxes | –14.5 | –6.6 | –13.2 | 121% | 10% | –34.0 | –33.8 | 1% |
| Group profit / loss1 | 168.1 | 55.9 | 137.2 | n.m. | 23% | 333.3 | 14.9 | n.m. |
Overview of IFRS 16 effects on cash flow statement
| [USD m] | 9M 2019 | 9M 2018 | ∆ | Thereof IFRS 16 | ∆ ex. IFRS 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBIT | 722 | 357 | +365 | +26 | +339 |
| Depreciation / Amortization | 975 | 613 | +362 | +359 | +3 |
| EBITDA | 1,697 | 970 | +727 | +383 | +344 |
| Working Capital and other effects |
30 | -98 | +128 | +16 | +112 |
| Cash flow from operating activities |
1,727 | 872 | +855 | +399 | +456 |
| Investing cash flow |
-244 | -221 | -23 | 0 | -23 |
| Free cash flow | 1,483 | 651 | 832 | +399 | +433 |
Reduced financing costs as well as improved maturity structure of financial liabilities
Financial Debt Profile as per 30 September 20191) , [USD m]
1) As of January 2018 financial debt profile has been changed to the statement of repayment amounts. Deviation from the total financial debt as shown in the balance sheet as per 30.09.2019 consists of transaction costs and accrued interest 2) ABS program maturity in 2020, assumed to be prolonged 3) Total financial liabilities without IFRS 16 at USD 6,111 m 4) Repayment amounts based on contractual debt as per 30.09.2019 Note: Rounding differences may occur.
23
24
Bunker price increased by 4.7% YoY to 425 USD/mt in 9M 2019, which drove up bunker expenses per unit to 155 USD/TEU
Hapag-Lloyd`s shareholder structure as of 30 September 2019
Kühne Maritime GmbH / Kühne Holding AG
CSAV Germany Container Holding GmbH
Qatar Holding Germany GmbH HGV Hamburger Gesellschaft für Vermögens- und Beteiligungsmanagement mbH
The Public Investment Fund on behalf of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Free Float
Share price development
Indexed Price Performance since 1 January 2018
| Stock Exchange |
Frankfurt Stock Exchange / Hamburg Stock Exchange |
|---|---|
| Market segment | Regulated market (Prime Standard) |
| ISIN / WKN | DE000HLAG475 / HLAG47 |
| Ticker Symbol | HLAG |
| Primary listing | 6 November 2015 |
| Number of shares | 175,760,293 |
Bond trading
HL EUR 6.75 % 2022 HL EUR 5.125% 2024
| EUR Bond 2024 |
EUR Bond 2022 |
|
|---|---|---|
| Listing | Open market of the Luxembourg Stock Exchange | (Euro MTF) |
| Volume | EUR 450 m | EUR 450 m |
| ISIN / WKN | XS1645113322 | XS1555576641 / A2E4V1 |
| Maturity Date |
Jul 15, 2024 |
Feb 1, 2022 |
| Redemption Price |
as of July 15, 2020:102.563%; as of July 15, 2021:101.281%; as of July 15, 2022:100% |
as of Feb 1, 2019: 103.375%; as of Feb 1, 2020: 101.688%; as of Feb 1, 2021: 100% |
| Coupon | 5.125% | 6.75% |
Financial Calendar 2019
25 February 2019 Preliminary Financials 2018
22 March 2019 Annual Report 2018
09 May 2019 Quarterly Financial Report Q1 2019
12 June 2019 Annual General Meeting 2019
07 August 2019 Half-year Financial Report 2019
14 November 2019 Quarterly Financial Report 9M 2019
Disclaimer
Forward-looking statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Such statements are based on a number of assumptions, estimates, projections or plans that are inherently subject to significant risks, as well as uncertainties and contingencies that are subject to change. Actual results can differ materially from those anticipated in the Company's forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Company, including those set forth from time to time in the Company's press releases and reports and those set forth from time to time in the Company's analyst calls and discussions. We do not assume any obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or offer to buy any securities of the Company, and no part of this presentation shall form the basis of or may be relied upon in connection with any offer or commitment whatsoever. This presentation is being presented solely for your information and is subject to change without notice.
Hapag-Lloyd Investor Relations Ballindamm 25 20095 Hamburg Tel: +49 (40) 3001-2896 [email protected] https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/ir.html