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Hapag-Lloyd AG — Investor Presentation 2018
May 14, 2018
199_ip_2018-05-14_cc65d5fc-e3ba-49f5-9b84-91dbb24ed512.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Investor Presentation Q1 2018 Results Hamburg, 14 May 2018
Disclaimer
Forward-looking statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Such statements are based on a number of assumptions, estimates, projections or plans that are inherently subject to significant risks, as well as uncertainties and contingencies that are subject to change. Actual results can differ materially from those anticipated in the Company's forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Company, including those set forth from time to time in the Company's press releases and reports and those set forth from time to time in the Company's analyst calls and discussions. We do not assume any obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or offer to buy any securities of the Company, and no part of this presentation shall form the basis of or may be relied upon in connection with any offer or commitment whatsoever. This presentation is being presented solely for your information and is subject to change without notice.
UASC's Ltd. and its subsidiaries have been included in the figures from the date control was transferred on 24 May 2017.The key figures used are therefore only comparable with the previous year to a limited extent.
Opening Remarks
| 01 Deliverables |
Synergy ramp-up from the UASC integration on track – up to 90% to be realized in 2018 Solid start into the year with an EBIT of USD 66 m (USD 8 m in Q1 2017) despite difficult rate environment |
|---|---|
| 02 Sector Update |
Sector fundamentals remain favourable in the midterm Orderbook remains at low level |
| 03 Financials |
Q1 2018 EBITDA of USD 270 m clearly above previous year's level (USD 144 m in Q1 2017) Strong Operating Cash Flow of USD 312 m in Q1 2018 (USD 158 m in Q1 2017) |
| 04 Way Forward |
Continue to deliver on synergies Clear target to improve profitability further and to deleverage over time |
Total synergies of USD 435 m p.a. from 2019 onwards confirmed – Up to 90% of full run rate expected to be realized in 2018
Synergy ramp-up
- Approximately 60% of expected synergies realized until end of Q1 2018
- Up to 90% of full run rate expected to be realized in 2018
- Visibility of synergies in P&L is limited due to counter effects in other cost items
Financial Highlights: Clearly improved operating result
| Transport volume | Transport expenses per TEU |
Freight rate |
|---|---|---|
| +47.9% | -5.9% | -2.6% |
| Q1 2018: 2.9 TEU m |
Q1 2018: 925 USD/TEU | Q1 2018: 1,029 USD/TEU |
| EBIT | EBITDA | Group profit / loss |
| USD 66 m | USD 270 m | USD -42 m |
| 2.1% EBIT margin | 8.4% EBITDA margin | 1.7% ROIC |
| Equity | Liquidity reserve | Net debt |
| USD 7.2 bn | USD 1.2 bn | USD 6.7 bn |
6
Bunker price significantly above previous year's level putting pressure on freight rates
CCFI vs. Bunker price development
Global Container Volume [TEUm]
Demand: Container shipping growth remains on a healthy and constant level driven by a solid global economic growth
Source: IHS (March 2018), IMF WEO (April 2018)
7
8
Supply: Orderbook remains relatively low with new orders on a reasonable level and very low idle fleet
Orderbook-to-fleet Orders placed
Share of world fleet Idle Fleet [TTEU] 224 595 Q4 356 Q4 1,480 Q4 1,359 Q4 228 Q4 779 Q4 809 Q4 Q4 1,324 Q4 1.0% April 2018 2.0 2012 0.4 2011 1.8 2010 0.6 2009 0.1 0.8 2016 0.2 2015 2.2 2014 1.1 2013 2018 0.4 2008 2017 1.2 2007 3.2 YTD May 2018
2010
2009
Source: MDS Transmodal (April 2018), Drewry (1Q), Clarksons (Q1), Alphaliner weekly (May 2018)
2016
2017
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Even though, short term supply pressure will most likely persists, mid-term supply/demand gap is closing further
Net Capacity Growth
[in % of worldfleet]
9
Supply / Demand Balance
LSF 2020: The whole industry will face major changes – Hapag-Lloyd is exploring and evaluating all possible options
New regulations as of 2020
- Low sulphur regulation to be enforced worldwide beginning January 2020
- IMO announced target to reduce CO2 emissions by 50% by 2050
3 options for the industry
| 1 LNG |
High upfront CAPEX Significantly lower exhaust gas emissions than compliant fuels – regulatory certainty Bunkering logistics not yet sufficiently available in all ports – LNG infrastructure to be expanded |
that are LNG ready |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Install Scrubber |
Lower CAPEX than LNG Allows continued use of HSFO 3.5% High regulatory and technical uncertainty Increased fuel consumption and CO2 emissions |
marine fuel strategy |
| 3 Use compliant fuels |
Minor CAPEX to ensure segregation of fuels Compliant fuels are expected to price at a premium to HSFO – OPEX therefore likely to increase |
"Hapag-Lloyd plans 20% reduction in CO2 emissions by 2020" |
Hapag-Lloyd's position
- HL's owned fleet comprises 17 vessels that are LNG ready
- We are currently evaluating all of the three possible options for a future marine fuel strategy
- Economics and feasibility will need to be checked on a case-by-case basis
20% reduction in CO2 emissions by 2020"
Clearly improved EBITDA of USD 270 m in Q1 2018
Operational KPIs
| Q1 2018 | Q1 2017 | YoY | Q4 2017 | QoQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume [TTEU] |
2,861 | 1,934 | +48% | 2,774 | +3% |
| rate1) Freight [USD/TEU] |
1,029 | 1,056 | -3% | 1,038 | -1% |
| Bunker [USD/mt] | 372 | 313 | +19% | 339 | +10% |
| Exchange rate [USD/EUR] | 1.23 | 1.07 | +15% | 1.18 | +4% |
| Revenue [USD m] | 3,217 | 2,271 | +42% | 3,119 | +3% |
| EBITDA2) [USD m] |
270 | 144 | +87% | 390 | -31% |
| EBITDA margin2) | 8.4% | 6.3% | +2.1ppt | 12.5% | -4.1ppt |
| EBIT2) [USD m] |
66 | 8 | n.a. | 167 | -60% |
| EBIT margin2) | 2.1% | 0.4% | +1.7ppt | 5.4% | -3.3ppt |
| Group profit2) [USD m] |
-42 | -62 | +27% | 27 | n.a. |
Note: UASC's Ltd. and its subsidiaries have been included in the figures from the date control was transferred on 24 May 2017. The key figures used are therefore only comparable with the previous year to a limited extent. USD figures as stated in the Investor Report Q1 2018 1) For 2018, local revenues were included in the calculation of freight rates. Previous year's figures adjusted accordingly. 2) Due to retrospective application of the provisions for designated options, previous year's figures have been adjusted.
Q1 2018 generated one-off costs of USD 3 m related to the merger – Total one-off costs from the merger estimated at USD 115 m
Transaction & integration related one-off costs [USD m]
13
Solid transport volume growth of ~48% YoY due to UASC merger – Pro-forma transport volume grew by 2.5%YoY
Transport volume [TEU m]
14
Persistent stiff competition and UASC integration led to lower rates – On a Pro-Forma basis rates would have increased by 7.1% YoY
Reported freight rate [USD/TEU] vs. Pro-forma freight [USD/TEU]
1) Assuming UASC Group has been included since 1 January 2016 Note: Due to the inclusion of UASC in the Hapag-Lloyd Group from the first-time consolidation date of 24 May 2017, figures provided can only be compared with those of the previous year to a limited extent. The figures for the first quarter of 2017 relate to Hapag-Lloyd only and do not include the UASC Group. For the financial year 2018, local revenues were included in the calculation of freight rates. The previous year's figures have been adjusted accordingly.
Hapag-Lloyd benefits from optimized bunker consumption, but substantial increase in bunker price harms P&L
Bunker consumption price [USD/mt] Bunker consumption & expenses
16
Despite higher bunker prices, transport expenses per TEU were down by ~6% YoY as a result of continuous cost management
Transport expenses per TEU [USD/TEU]
Note: UASC's Ltd. and its subsidiaries have been included in the figures from the date control was transferred on 24 May 2017. The key figures used are therefore only comparable with the previous year to a limited extent. Rounding differences may occur.
1) Cost of purchased services Q1 2018: 776 USD/TEU
17
Substantial free cash flow of USD 240 m in Q1 2018 driven by a solid operating result (EBITDA) and limited investment needs
Cash flow Q1 2018 [USD m]
18
Stable equity base of USD 7.2bn, solid liquidity reserve of USD 1.2 bn and further reduced financial debt in Q1 2018
Equity base [USDm] Net debt [USDm]
725 737 545 495 31.03.2018 1,232 31.12.2017 1,270 Cash Unused credit lines
- Equity ratio almost unchanged at 41.0% and equity of USD 7.3 bn
- Liquidity reserve totals USD 1.2 bn as at 31 March 2018
- Further reduction of USD 141 m in financial debt since year-end 2017
Note: UASC's Ltd. and its subsidiaries have been included in the figures from the date control was transferred on 24 May 2017.
The key figures used are therefore only comparable with the previous year to a limited extent. 1) Includes Restricted Cash booked as other assets: USD 58.6 m as of 31.12.2017 & USD 58.7 m as of 31.03.2018
Outlook for 2018 unchanged
| FY 2017 | Outlook for 2018 |
Sensitivities | for 2018 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume | 9,803 TTEU | Increasing clearly |
+/- 100 TTEU |
+/- USD <0.1 bn |
| Average freight rate | 1,051 USD/TEU | On previous year's level |
+/- 40 USD/TEU |
+/- USD ~0.5 bn |
| Average bunker price |
318 USD/mt | Increasing clearly |
+/- 50 USD/mt |
+/- USD ~0.2 bn |
| EBITDA | USD 1,198 m | Increasing clearly |
||
| EBIT | USD 466 m | Increasing clearly |
4 Way Forward
Hapag-Lloyd with clearly defined financial policy
| Profitability | Profitability going forward supported by improved fleet ownership structure and synergy realization |
|---|---|
| Investments | No planned new vessel investments in next years – Maximize free cash flow |
| Deleveraging | Clear target to significantly deleverage over time |
| Liquidity | Maintain an adequate liquidity reserve for the company |
| Strategy | Develop a midterm strategy to strengthen HL's strategic position going forward |
A Appendix
Convincing equity story resulted in higher share price…
Share trading
| Stock Exchange |
Frankfurt Stock Exchange / Hamburg Stock Exchange |
|---|---|
| Market segment / Index |
Regulated market (Prime Standard) / SDAX |
| ISIN / WKN | DE000HLAG475 / HLAG47 |
| Ticker Symbol | HLAG |
| Primary listing | 6 November 2015 |
| Number of shares | 175,760,293 |
A Appendix
…and bonds continue to trade above par
A Appendix
Hapag-Lloyd with equity ratio of 41%
| 31.03.2018 | 31.12.2017 | |
|---|---|---|
| Assets | ||
| Non-current assets | 15,028.2 | 15,146.1 |
| of which fixed assets | 14,936.7 | 15,071.1 |
| Current assets | 2,632.1 | 2,630.8 |
| of which cash and cash equivalents | 736.5 | 725.2 |
| Total assets | 17,660.3 | 17,776.9 |
| Equity and liabilities | ||
| Equity | 7,233.0 | 7,263.3 |
| Borrowed capital | 10,427.3 | 10,513.6 |
| of which non-current liabilities |
7,039.7 | 7,197.8 |
| of which current liabilities | 3,387.6 | 3,315.8 |
| of whih financial debt |
7,454.6 | 7,595.5 |
| thereof Non-current financial debt |
6,608.2 | 6,750.6 |
| Current financial debt | 846.4 | 844.9 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 17,660.3 | 17,776.9 |
Balance sheet [USD m] Financial position [USD m]
| 31.03.2018 | 31.12.2017 | |
|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | 736.5 | 725.2 |
| Financial debt | 7,454.6 | 7,595.5 |
| Restricted Cash | 58.7 | 58.6 |
| Net debt | 6,659.4 | 6,811.7 |
| Unused credit lines | 495.0 | 200.0 |
| Liquidity reserve | 1,231.5 | 925.2 |
| Equity | 7,230.0 | 7,263.3 |
| Gearing (net debt / equity) (%) |
92.1% | 93.8% |
| Equity ratio (%) | 41.0% | 40.9% |
Hapag-Lloyd with positive EBITDA of USD 269.8 m
| Q1 2018 | Q1 2017 | % change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3,217.2 | 2,270.9 | 42% |
| Other operating income | 44.1 | 28.0 | 58% |
| Transport expenses | -2,647.9 | -1,901.3 | 39% |
| Personnel expenses | -206.0 | -157.0 | 31% |
| Depreciation, amortization & impairment | -203.7 | -136.1 | 50% |
| Other operating expenses | -147.5 | -104.6 | 41% |
| Operating result | 56.2 | -0.1 | n.m. |
| Share of profit of equity-acc. investees |
9.9 | 8.1 | 22% |
| Other financial result | 0.0 | 0.0 | n.m. |
| Earnings before interest & tax (EBIT) |
66.1 | 8.0 | n.m. |
| EBITDA | 269.8 | 144.1 | n.m. |
| Interest result | -101.3 | -65.7 | 54% |
| Income taxes | -7.0 | -4.1 | -71% |
| Group profit / loss | -42.2 | -61.8 | -32% |
Income statement [USD m] Transport expenses [USD m]
| Q1 2018 | Q1 2017 | % change |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expenses for raw materials & supplies |
428.3 | 275.3 | 56% | |
| Cost of purchased services | 2,219.6 | 1,626.0 | 37% | |
| Thereof Port, canal & terminal costs |
1,181.7 | 765.1 | 54% | |
| Chartering leases and container rentals |
270.3 | 258.3 | 5% | |
| Container transport costs |
690.2 | 539.3 | 28% | |
| Maintenance/ repair/ other | 77.4 | 63.3 | 22% | |
| Transport expenses |
2,647.9 | 1,901.3 | 39% | |
| Transport expenses per TEU [USD m] | ||||
| Q1 2018 | Q1 2017 | % change | ||
| Expenses for raw materials & supplies |
149.7 | 142.3 | 5% | |
| Cost of purchased services | 775.8 | 840.7 | -8% | |
| Thereof Port, canal & terminal costs |
413.0 | 359.6 | 4% | |
| Chartering leases and container rentals |
||||
| 94.5 | 133.6 | -29% | ||
| Container transport costs |
241.2 | 278.9 | -13% | |
| Maintenance/ repair/ other | 27.1 | 32.7 | -17% |
25 Note: The previous year's figures have been adjusted due to the retrospective application of the rules for designation of option contracts. This improved the previous year's transport expenses by USD 4.3 million.
Financial Calendar 2018
| February 28th, 2018 |
Preliminary Financials 2017 |
|
|---|---|---|
| March 28th, 2018 |
Annual Report 2017 |
|
| May 14th, 2018 |
Quarterly Financial Report Q1 2018 |
|
| July 10th, 2018 |
Annual General Meeting 2018 | |
| August 10th, 2018 |
Halfyear Financial Report 2018 |
|
| November 8th, 2018 |
Quarterly Financial Report 9M 2018 |
Hapag-Lloyd Investor Relations
Ballindamm 25 20095 Hamburg Tel: +49(40) 3001-2896 [email protected] https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/ir.html