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Hapag-Lloyd AG — Investor Presentation 2017
May 12, 2017
199_ip_2017-05-12_155069f9-12a3-4b26-8355-0f71f6cfcb54.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Investor Presentation
Q1 2017 Results
Hamburg, 12 May 2017
Disclaimer
Forward-looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Such statements are based on a number of assumptions, estimates, projections or plans that are inherently subject to significant risks, as well as uncertainties and contingencies that are subject to change. Actual results can differ materially from those anticipated in the Company's forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Company, including those set forth from time to time in the Company's press releases and reports and those set forth from time to time in the Company's analyst calls and discussions. We do not assume any obligation to update the forwardlooking statements contained in this presentation.
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or offer to buy any securities of the Company, and no part of this presentation shall form the basis of or may be relied upon in connection with any offer or commitment whatsoever. This presentation is being presented solely for your information and is subject to change without notice.
Opening remarks
| 01 | Introduction | We continued to progress on our strategic initiatives (THE Alliance, UASC Merger) and delivered a positive operating result in the first quarter of 2017 |
|---|---|---|
| 02 | Market Update | Improving industry fundamentals – 2017 dependent on continuous market discipline Sector consolidation & alliance re-shaping with Hapag-Lloyd proactively taking part |
| 03 | Hapag-Lloyd Financials |
Despite challenging market conditions, Hapag-Lloyd achieved a positive EBIT of USD 3.7 m in the first quarter of 2017 – we are delivering on our savings with top-tier unit costs |
| 04 | UASC Merger | Closing of our merger with UASC is expected to take place until the end of May 2017 Significant CAPEX savings and USD 435 m p.a. anticipated cost synergies from 2019 onwards |
| 05 | Way Forward | Main focus going forward with THE Alliance, completing the transaction with UASC and quickly integrating the UASC business to further reduce costs |
Strategic highlights: We continued to progress on our initiatives …
On 18 Jan 2017 Hapag-Lloyd successfully priced a new bond of EUR 250 m due 2022 – on 7 Feb 2017 the company tapped the new bond by additional EUR 200 m at emission price of 102.375%.
The proceeds were used to proactively refinance by redeeming the outstanding 9.75% USD bond due 2017, partially redeem the 7.75% EUR bond due 2018 and for general corporate purposes (including further repayment of existing indebtedness).
Hapag-Lloyd received the last of the five vessels of the newbuilding series with 10,500 TEU capacity end of April. All five of the new vessels are now sailing and are designed to fit through the new locks of the Panama Canal.
Due to their wide-beam design and high reefer capacity, they are ideally suited for the Latin America trade. In addition, they are highly efficient which will need to additional savings in bunker consumption.
THE Alliance as the most integrated liner shipping consortia has become operational in April 2017 (subject to completion of all regulatory requirements).
THE Alliance deploys a fleet of more than 240 modern ships in the Asia / Europe, North Atlantic and Trans-Pacific trade lanes including the Middle East and the Arabian Gulf / Red Sea.
Financial highlights: … and delivered a positive operating result in Q1 2017
| Transport volume | Freight rate | Transport expenses per TEU |
|---|---|---|
| +6.8% | -1.9% | +1.6% |
| Q1 2017: 1.9 TEU m | Q1 2017: 1,047 USD/TEU | Q1 2017: 985 USD/TEU |
| EBITDA | EBIT | Group profit / loss |
| USD 140 m | USD 4 m | USD -66 m |
| 6.2% EBITDA margin | Positive operating result | 0.0% ROIC annualized |
| Equity | Liquidity reserve | Net debt |
| USD 5.3 bn | USD 0.9 bn | USD 3.8 bn |
| 44.1% equity ratio | Solid liquidity | 72.6% gearing |
Q1 2017 showed solid volume growth with gradually increasing freight rates but a substantially higher bunker price
CCFI vs. Bunker
6
Global Container Volume [TEUm]
Demand: Container shipping remains an industry with healthy growth and balanced trade dynamics
Container shipping volume and global GDP growth
7
Freight rates have clearly recovered from Q2 2016 lows – But continuous market discipline needed during 2017
Comprehensive Index (SCFI)
Shanghai – USA (SCFI)
Shanghai – Europe (SCFI)
Supply: Capacity growth is slowing – very few deliveries post 2017 expected
Vessel deliveries by year [TEU m]
9
Supply: Scrapping and postponements help to keep net capacity growth low
… keeping net capacity growth low …
Net capacity growth 2017E
… reducing supply / demand gap
On the back of consolidation, alliances have been re-shaped
Hapag-Lloyd – a strong partner in THE Alliance
- THE Alliance covers all East-West trades
- Comprehensive network of 32 services will connect more than 78 major ports
- Combined capacity of ~3.6m TEU or around 17%2) of world fleet vessel pool of more than 241 ships
- Leading product characterized by fast transit times, broad port coverage & latest vessels
- Unique contingency plan Independent trust fund to safeguard customers' cargo on board
After Japanese JV1) we are three partners in THE Alliance:2)
1) Subject to regulatory approvals and closing; 2) Total operating capacity of THE alliance partners, not all to be deployed in alliance (Hapag-Lloyd including UASC)
THE Alliance offers fast, competitive services on the three major East-West trades
Competitive on all trades
1) 2M including Hamburg Süd
We achieved a clearly positive EBITDA in Q1 2017
Operational KPIs
| Q1 2017 | Q1 2016 | YoY ∆% | Q4 2016 | QoQ ∆% |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume [TTEU] |
1,934 | 1,811 | +7% | 1,949 | -1% |
| Freight rate [USD/TEU] |
1,047 | 1,067 | -2% | 1,033 | +1% |
| Bunker price (MFO) [USD/t] |
300 | 178 | +69% | 257 | +17% |
| Exchange rate [EUR/USD] | 1,07 | 1.10 | n/a | 1.10 | n/a |
| Revenue [USD m] | 2,271 | 2,124 | +7% | 2,182 | +4% |
| EBITDA [USD m] |
140 | 136 | +3% | 246 | -43% |
| EBITDA-margin | 6.2% | 6.4% | -0.2 ppt | 11.3% | -5.1 ppt |
| EBIT [USD m] | 4 | 5 | -30% | 111 | -96% |
| EBIT-margin | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0 ppt |
5.1% | -4.9 ppt |
| Group profit / loss [USD m] | -66 | -47 | -40% | 46 | -243% |
The effects of our cost savings are clearly visible when looking at our relative performance
Carrier Revenue vs. EBIT-Margin FY 2016 Q1 2017 EBIT [USDm]
Transport volume increased by solid 6.8% to 1,934 TTEU in Q1 2017
- The 6.8% volume increase was mainly driven by a strong growth on Intra-Asia and Transpacific trades
- In preparation of the integration of UASC, the trades have been restructured and a new trade Middle East has been added. The assignment of individual services and historic figures have been amended accordingly
Bunker price increased by 69%, whereas average freight rate showed a slower recovery
Freight rate1) [USD/TEU] vs. bunker price2) [USD/t]
Bunker prices have increased significantly – However, Hapag-Lloyd benefits from a reduced consumption
1) Average nominal deployed capacity in TEU 2) Expenses for raw materials and supplies
Transport expenses ex bunker decreased as compared to the prior year's level due to further cost savings
Transport expenses per TEU [USD/TEU]
Equity at USD 5.3 bn and liquidity reserve at USD 0.9 bn – Capital increase of USD 400 m post Closing
31.03.2017 5,277 31.12.2016 5,342
Solid liquidity position [USD m]
Strong equity base [USD m]
1) incl. Restricted Cash (USD 19.7 million at 31/12/2016 and USD 45.3 million at 31/03/2017 booked as other assets)
Stable net debt [USD m]
UASC merger implications
- Cash capital increase of USD 400 m (equivalent) to be executed within six months after closing (backstopped by certain core shareholders)
- Strengthening of shareholder base with the new key shareholders Qatar Holding LLC and the Public Investment Fund of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
- Value protection via guaranteed equity, cash and debt covenants (as of certain Relevant Dates)
We expect a clearly increasing EBITDA for 2017 with the majority of revenue and operating profits in H2 2017
Hapag-Lloyd guidance for 2017 Hapag-Lloyd sensitivities (EBIT) for 2017
| FY 2016 | Guidance for 2017 |
Transport volume | +/- 100 TTEU |
+/- USD <0.1 bn |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume | 7.6 TEU m | Increasing moderately |
Freight rate | +/- 50 USD/TEU |
+/- USD ~0.3 bn |
| Bunker consumption price (MFO) |
210 USD/mt |
Increasing clearly | Bunker price | +/- 100 USD/mt |
+/- USD ~0.2 bn |
| Freight rate | 1,036 USD/TEU |
Increasing moderately |
EUR / USD | +/- 0.1 EUR/USD |
+/- USD <0.1 bn |
| EBITDA | USD 671 m | Increasing clearly | |||
| EBIT | USD 140 m | Increasing clearly |
Hapag-Lloyd / UASC merger creates a top tier pure-play carrier – Final preparations on track for closing end of May
At a glance Deal rationale
1) Sum of stand-alone figures as of 31 March 2017 (rounding differences may occur)
Well-balanced
trades
Strong partnerships
Large, young fleet
Network: The Combined Entity will have a very balanced trade portfolio – more than any TOP 5 carrier
Breakdown of capacity by trade1)
1) As of March 2017. Breakdown based on capacity deployed by individual carriers on direct services only. Excl. wayport capacity, transshipment services, slot exchange arrangements and cross-trade intra-alliance arrangements; numbers for Hapag-Lloyd based on exposure to global trades; 2) Includes idle fleet
22 Source: Alphaliner monthly newsletter (April 2017), plus HL/UASC internal data (as of 31.03.2017)
23
Fleet: Access to young and fuel-efficient fleet with large share of ULCVs with no planned need to invest in next years
Young and fuel-efficient fleet
| Combined e1) g CMA CGM a |
7.2 7.4 |
-1.3 | Vessel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| et e |
COSCO 2) |
7.6 | yrs | 19,500 TEU | |||
| e fl g a er v |
Top 15 Hapag-Lloyd Maersk |
8.3 8.5 8.5 |
TEU Vessels |
||||
| A | MSC | 8.7 | 15,000 TEU | ||||
| %]1) p [ |
Combined COSCO |
66% 60% |
34% 40% |
TEU Vessels |
|||
| hi | Hapag-Lloyd | 57% | 43% | 10,500 TEU | |||
| s er |
Maersk | 53% | 47% | TEU | |||
| n w o |
2) Top 15 |
49% | 51% | Vessels | |||
| et e |
CMA CGM | 46% | 54% | 9,300 TEU | |||
| Fl | MSC | 36% | 64% | TEU | |||
| e z |
Combined | current owned fleet | current chartered fleet | 6,839 | Vessels | ||
| si | CMA CGM | 6,181 | 3,500 TEU | ||||
| el s U]1) s |
COSCO | 5,970 | +982 | TEU | |||
| e v E |
Hapag-Lloyd | 5,858 | Vessels | ||||
| e T [ g |
Top 15 | 5,281 | |||||
| a er |
Maersk | 5,163 | Capacity [TEU] | ||||
| v A |
CMA CGM | 5,038 | Vessels |
Ship deliveries 2015-2017
| Vessel | H1 | 2015 H2 |
H1 | 2016 H2 |
2017 H1 |
H2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19,500 TEU | ||||||
| TEU Vessels |
19,000 1 |
57,000 3 |
38,000 2 |
|||
| 15,000 TEU | ||||||
| TEU Vessels |
45,000 3 |
15,000 1 |
60,000 4 |
30,000 2 |
||
| 10,500 TEU | ||||||
| TEU Vessels |
21,000 2 |
31,5003) 3) 3 |
||||
| 9,300 TEU | ||||||
| TEU Vessels |
37,200 4 |
9,300 1 |
||||
| 3,500 TEU | ||||||
| TEU Vessels |
7,000 2 |
|||||
| Capacity [TEU] Vessels |
101,200 8 |
81,300 5 |
105,000 8 |
21,000 2 |
31,5003) 3) 3 |
30,000 2 |
1) Diagram assuming that all currently announced mergers (Hapag-Lloyd & UASC; NYK & MOL & K-Line; Maersk & Hamburg Süd) will receive regulatory approvals and are executed as announced.
Simple sum of stand-alone operating capacity 2) Weighted by carrier capacities 3) All three vessels have been delivered within the first four months of 2017
Source: MDS Transmodal (April 2017) plus HL internal data (HL Fleet as of 31.03.2017, Combined as of 31.03.2017), only vessels >399 TEU
Synergies: Synergies of USD 435 m expected from 2019 onwards – Focus on fast-track integration and realization of synergies
Synergy potential, full run-rate [USD m]
- Optimized new vessel deployment/network
- Slot cost advantages
-
Efficient use of new fleet
-
Consolidation of Corp. and Regional HQs
- Consolidation of country organizations
- Other overhead reductions (e.g. marketing, consultancy, audit)
Network Overhead Other (terminals, equipment and intermodal)
- Lower container handling rates per vendor/location
- Imbalance reduction and leasing costs optimization
- Optimization of inland haulage network
- Best practice sharing
Partner: New core shareholders with strategic interest in the Combined Entity
Transaction overview
- UASC shares contributed to Hapag-Lloyd in exchange for newly issued Hapag-Lloyd shares
- Continued investment of sovereign wealth funds QIA and PIF highlight continued strategic importance of HL for the region
- C. 39% of shareholders representing governmental bodies and interests
- C. 37% of shareholders backed by wealthy entrepreneurs with focus on and long experience in logistics
- Planned cash capital increase of USD 400 m 50/50 backstopped by incumbent and new key shareholders within six months post closing
Closing remarks
| 01 | Introduction | We continued to progress on our strategic initiatives (THE Alliance, UASC Merger) and delivered a positive operating result in the first quarter of 2017 |
|---|---|---|
| 02 | Market Update | Improving industry fundamentals – 2017 dependent on continuous market discipline Sector consolidation & alliance re-shaping with Hapag-Lloyd proactively taking part |
| 03 | Hapag-Lloyd Financials |
Despite challenging market conditions, Hapag-Lloyd achieved a positive EBIT of USD 3.7 m in the first quarter of 2017 – we are delivering on our savings with top-tier unit costs |
| 04 | UASC Merger | Closing of our merger with UASC is expected to take place until the end of May 2017 Significant CAPEX savings and USD 435 m p.a. anticipated cost synergies from 2019 onwards |
| 05 | Way Forward | Main focus going forward with THE Alliance, completing the transaction with UASC and quickly integrating the UASC business to further reduce costs |
We delivered on our defined initiatives
Tangible results and further upside
Hapag-Lloyd with clearly defined financial policy
1) 50% backstopped by QH and PIF, 50% backstopped by CSAV and Kühne
Positive free cash flow of USD 38 m in Q1 2017
Cash flow Q1 2017 [USD m]
Unused credit lines Cash and cash equivalents
Hapag-Lloyd shares with supportive tradings in recent months
Share trading
Hapag-Lloyd bonds continuously trade above par
Bonds trading
HL EUR 7.75% 2018 HL EUR 7.50% 2019 HL EUR 6.75% 2022
| EUR Bond 2022 | EUR Bond 2019 | EUR Bond 2018 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Listing | Open market of the Luxembourg Stock Exchange (Euro MTF) |
||||
| Volume | EUR 450 m | EUR 250 m |
EUR 200 m1) | ||
| ISIN / WKN | XS1555576641 / A2E4V1 | XS1144214993 / A13SNX | XS0974356262 / A1X3QY | ||
| Maturity Date |
Feb 1, 2022 | Oct 15, 2019 | Oct 1, 2018 | ||
| Redemption Price | as of Feb 1, 2019:103.375%; as of Feb 1, 2020:101.688%; as of Feb 1, 2021:100% |
as of Oct 15, 2016:103.750%; as of Oct 15, 2017:101.875%; as of Oct 15, 2018:100% |
as of Oct 1, 2015:103.875%; as of Oct 1, 2016:101.938%; as of Oct 1, 2017:100% |
||
| Coupon | 6.75% | 7.50% | 7.75% |
1) Partial redemption by nominal EUR 200 m on 9 March 2017
Hapag-Lloyd optimized its maturity profile via debt capital markets at more attractive pricing levels
Bond coupon and maturity profile
- On 18 Jan 2017 Hapag-Lloyd successfully priced a new bond of EUR 250 m due 2022 – on 7 Feb 2017 the company tapped the new bond by additional EUR 200 m at emission price of 102.375%
- The proceeds were used to proactively refinance by redeeming the outstanding 9.75% USD bond due 2017, partially redeem the 7.75% EUR bond due 2018 and for general corporate purposes (including further repayment of existing indebtedness)
- The yield to maturity at issuance was 6.50%1) and thereby clearly below the existing bond pricings
- Hapag-Lloyd was able to engage a high quality and diversified investor base in this new bond issuance
Hapag-Lloyd with positive EBITDA of USD 139.8 m
| Q1 2017 | Q1 2016 | % change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2,270.9 | 2,124.0 | 7% |
| Other operating income | 28.0 | 24.8 | 13% |
| Transport expenses | -1,905.6 | -1,756.0 | 9% |
| Personnel expenses | -157.0 | -156.3 | 0% |
| Depreciation, amortization & impairment | -136.1 | -130.8 | 4% |
| Other operating expenses | -104.6 | -106.8 | -2% |
| Operating result | -4.4 | -1.1 | -300% |
| Share of profit of equity-acc. investees |
8.1 | 6.4 | 27% |
| Other financial result | 0.0 | 0.0 | n.m. |
| Earnings before interest & tax (EBIT) |
3.7 | 5.3 | -30% |
| EBITDA | 139.8 | 136.1 | 3% |
| Interest result | -65.7 | -47.5 | 38% |
| Income taxes | 4.1 | -5.0 | n.m. |
| Group profit / loss | -66.1 | -47.2 | -40% |
Income statement [USD m] Transport expenses [USD m]
| Q1 2017 | Q1 2016 | % change |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Expenses for raw materials & supplies |
279.6 | 154.7 | 81% |
| Cost of purchased services | 1,626.0 | 1,601.3 | 2% |
| Thereof Port, canal & terminal costs |
765.1 | 718.4 | 6% |
| Chartering leases and container rentals |
258.3 | 311.3 | -17% |
| Container transport costs |
539.3 | 507.5 | 6% |
| Maintenance/ repair/ other | 63.3 | 64.1 | -1% |
| Transport expenses |
1,905.6 | 1,756.0 | 9% |
| Transport expenses per TEU [USD m] | |||
| Q1 2017 | Q1 2016 | % change | |
| Expenses for raw materials & supplies |
144.6 | 85.4 | 69% |
| Cost of purchased services | 840.6 | 884.2 | -5% |
| Thereof Port, canal & terminal costs |
395.6 | 396.7 | 0% |
| Chartering leases and container rentals |
133.5 | 171.9 | -22% |
| Container transport costs |
278.8 | 280.2 | -1% |
| Maintenance/ repair/ other | 32.7 | 35.4 | -8% |
| Transport expenses |
985.2 | 969.6 | 2% |
Hapag-Lloyd with equity ratio of 44.1%
| 31.03.2017 | 31.12.2016 | 31.03.2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | |||
| Non-current assets | 10,289.2 | 10,267.4 | 10,371.2 |
| of which fixed assets | 10,180.7 | 10,183.3 | 10,299.4 |
| Current assets | 1,679.9 | 1,698.0 | 1,605.2 |
| of which cash and cash equivalents | 555.2 | 602.1 | 518.8 |
| Total assets | 11,969.1 | 11,965.4 | 11,976.4 |
| Equity and liabilities | |||
| Equity | 5,276.5 | 5,341.7 | 5,423.9 |
| Borrowed capital | 6,692.6 | 6,623.7 | 6,552.5 |
| of which non-current liabilities |
4,144.1 | 3,836.7 | 3,903.8 |
| of which current liabilities | 2,548.5 | 2,787.0 | 2,648.7 |
| of which financial debt |
4,433.6 | 4,414.9 | 4,207.0 |
| thereof Non-current financial debt |
3,759.4 | 3,448.4 | 3,497.7 |
| Current financial debt | 674.2 | 966.5 | 709.3 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 11,969.1 | 11,965.4 | 11,976.4 |
Balance sheet [USD m] Financial position [USD m]
| 31.03.2017 | 31.12.2016 | 31.03.2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | 555.2 | 602.1 | 518.8 |
| Financial debt | 4,433.6 | 4,414.9 | 4,207.0 |
| Net debt | 1) 3,833.1 |
1) 3,793.1 |
3,688.2 |
| Unused credit lines | 350.0 | 200.0 | 385.0 |
| Liquidity reserve | 905.2 | 802.2 | 903.8 |
| Equity | 5,276.5 | 5,341.7 | 5,423.9 |
| Gearing (net debt / equity) (%) |
72.6% | 71.0% | 68.0% |
| Equity ratio (%) | 44.1% | 44.6% | 45.3% |
35 1) incl. Restricted Cash (USD 19.7 million at 31/12/2016 and USD 45.3 million at 31/03/2017 booked as other assets)
Hapag-Lloyd Investor Relations Tel +49 40 3001-2896 Fax +49 40 3001-72896 [email protected] https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/ir.html