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Hapag-Lloyd AG — Investor Presentation 2017
Aug 29, 2017
199_ip_2017-08-29_c020c5ef-a41f-4e29-b1b5-e89a91433303.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Investor Presentation
H1 2017 Results Hamburg, 29 August 2017
Disclaimer
Forward-looking statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Such statements are based on a number of assumptions, estimates, projections or plans that are inherently subject to significant risks, as well as uncertainties and contingencies that are subject to change. Actual results can differ materially from those anticipated in the Company's forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Company, including those set forth from time to time in the Company's press releases and reports and those set forth from time to time in the Company's analyst calls and discussions. We do not assume any obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or offer to buy any securities of the Company, and no part of this presentation shall form the basis of or may be relied upon in connection with any offer or commitment whatsoever. This presentation is being presented solely for your information and is subject to change without notice.
UASC's Ltd. and its subsidiaries have been included in the figures from the date control was transferred on 24 May 2017.The key figures used are therefore only comparable with the previous year to a limited extent.
Opening remarks
| 01 Deliverables |
We continued to progress on our initiatives (UASC Integration, THE Alliance & continuous cost control) Substantially improved positive operating result of USD 97 m in H1 2017 |
|---|---|
| 02 Sector Update |
Sector fundamentals continue to improve Historic low level of new orders and depleting order book |
| Reported 03 Financials |
Clearly positive EBITDA of USD 393 m in H1 2017 (USD 253 m in Q2 2017) First time consolidation of UASC generated one-off income of USD 52.3 m (badwill) and restructuring cost of USD 73 m |
| UASC 04 Integration |
The merger with UASC was successfully completed on 24 May 2017 Integration well on track with sizeable initial optimization measures already implemented in the areas of network and shipping systems |
| 05 Way forward |
Main focus going forward is to quickly integrate the UASC business and cost optimization Substantial deleveraging from 2018 onwards |
Strategic highlights: We achieved major progress on our initiatives…
The merger with UASC was successfully completed on 24 May 2017 and will strengthen Hapag-Lloyd's competitive position substantially:
- Strengthened market position as one of the Top 5 players in the industry
- Solid position in all trades and an enhanced market presence in the attractive Middle East trade
- Efficient and young fleet with a low level investment needed in the future
- Annual synergies of USD 435 m fully starting in 2019, significant ramp up already in 2018
The Alliance deploys a fleet of more than 240 modern ships in the Asia / Europe, North Atlantic and Trans-Pacific trade lanes including the Middle East and the Arabian Gulf / Red Sea
After the consolidation of the UASC container shipping activities Hapag-Lloyd does not plan further investments in new vessels
Hapag-Lloyd successfully placed two new bonds in 2017 to repay upcoming debt maturities in 2018 & 2019 with material interest savings
Financial highlights: …and delivered a positive operating result in H1 2017
6
Demand: Strong GDP and volume growth leads to gradually increasing freight rates but substantially higher bunker price
Global Container Trade Growth [%]
CCFI vs. Bunker
7
Supply: Capacity growth slowing – Market recovery reflected in historically low order book
Comments
- With ongoing consolidation industry fundamentals are improving
- Order book continuously depleting orderbook-to-fleet ratio expected to fall to 14% in 2017
- In the first six months of the year, no new orders for vessels > 4,000 TEU have been placed
- Scrapping remains at high levels keeping net capacity growth low – net capacity growth of 2.7% expected for 2017
8
Consolidation: As a result of consolidation capacity share of Top 5 players in the industry is strongly increasing
Current consolidation wave leads to higher concentration
Carrier capacity [TEU m] and global capacity share [%]
Source: Drewry (Forecaster 2Q17), MDS Transmodal (July 2017, October 2013)
Note: Diagram assuming that all currently announced mergers (NYK & MOL & K-Line, Maersk & Hamburg Süd, COSO & OOCL) will receive regulatory approvals and are executed as announced. Simple sum of stand-alone operating capacity as of June 30, 2017.
As of 1 April, Alliances have been reshuffled – THE Alliance is competitive on all trades
Competitive on all trades
Alliance members
9
EBITDA of USD 393 m in H1 2017 – Operating result clearly above previous year's level
Operational KPIs
| Q1 2017 | Q2 2017 | H1 2017 | H1 2016 | YoY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume [TTEU] Transport volume [TTEU] |
1,934 1,934 |
2,287 | 4,221 | 3,703 | 14% |
| Freight rate [USD/TEU] |
1,047 1,047 |
1,064 | 1,056 | 1,042 | 1% |
| [USD/t]1) Bunker price |
300 313 |
311 | 312 | 198 | 58% |
| Exchange rate [EUR/USD] | 1.07 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.11 | -3% |
| Revenue [USD m] | 2,271 | 2,629 | 4,900 | 4,212 | 16% |
| EBITDA [USD m] | 140 | 253 | 393 | 219 | 80% |
| EBITDA margin | 6.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.8ppt |
| EBIT [USD m] | 4 | 93 | 97 | -44 | n.m. |
| EBIT margin | 0.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | -1.0% | 3.0ppt |
| Group profit / loss [USD m] |
-66 | 18 | -49 | -158 | n.m. |
H1 result incl. one-off effects related to first-time consolidation and integration of UASC / Total one-off costs estimated at USD 130 m
Transaction & integration related one-off costs [USD m] H1 2017
Comments
- In H1 2017 first time consolidation of UASC generated one-off income of USD 52.3 m (badwill) and restructuring cost of USD 73 m
- Net one-off effect on H1 2017 EBIT of USD ~20 m
Comments
Total transaction and integration related one-off costs approx. USD 130 m2)
Strong increase in transport volume of 14% in H1 2017 – UASC adds additional 248 TTEU since the initial consolidation
Transport volume per trade [TTEU]
Comments:
- Organic increase of 270 TTEU (7.3%) and additional 248 TTEU added by UASC resulting in a transport volume of 4,221 TTEU in H1 2017
- Enhanced market presence in the attractive Middle East trade
- Strong growth as a result of balanced positioning in all trades
- All trades contributed to this positiv performance
Freight rates slightly up 1.3% YoY - Hapag-Lloyd profits from optimized bunker consumption
As a result of continuous cost cutting transport expenses per TEU came down 1% YoY – despite higher bunker prices
Transport expenses per TEU [USD/TEU]
14
Substantial free cash flow in H1 2017 – Clearly improved EBITDA major driver for free cash flow generation
Cash flow H1 2017 [USD m]
Equity at USD 6.8 bn and liquidity reserve at USD 1.3 bn – Structure of balance sheet reflects first time consolidation of UASC
Equity base [USD m] Net debt [USD m]
Liquidity position [USD m]
16
Comments
- Strong liquidity reserve of USD 1.3 bn (consisting of cash, cash equivalents and unused credit facilities)
- Equity ratio decreases to 37.5% due to a substantial increase in assets
- Net debt increased by USD 3.6 bn compared to 31.12.2016 as a Cash result of first time consolidation of UASC Group
Hapag-Lloyd / UASC merger successfully completed on 24 May 2017 – First optimization measures already implemented
17
| Combined Entity1) |
Combined Entity3) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate HQ |
Hamburg | Dubai | Hamburg | Hamburg |
| Alliance membership |
G6 (until 31 March 2017) |
Ocean 3 (until 31 March 2017) |
THE Alliance (since 1 April 2017) |
The Alliance (since 1 April 2017) |
| Services | 118 | 45 | 1632) | 129 |
| Vessels [#] | 172 | 58 | 230 | 219 |
| Capacity [TEU m] |
1.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Container [TEU m] |
1.6 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Employees | 9,413 | 3,534 | 12,947 | 12,585 |
At a glance Deal rationale
Fleet optimization – Efficient and young fleet with a low level of investment needed
Young and fuel-efficient fleet
| e z si |
Hapag-Lloyd | 7,110 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| el s |
MSC | 6,168 | |
| U]1) s e v E |
COSCO | 6,055 | |
| e T [ g |
Maersk | 5,371 | |
| a er v |
Top 15 | 5,271 | |
| A | CMA CGM | 5,160 |
18
| Hapag-Lloyd | 68% | 32% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COSCO | 61% | 39% | ||
| Maersk | 52% | 48% | ||
| 2) Top 15 |
49% | 51% | ||
| CMA CGM | 44% | 56% | ||
| MSC | 35% | 65% | ||
Vessel fleet (as of 30 June)
| Vessel | Owned | Chartered | Current fleet |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >14,000 TEU | |||||||
| TEU Vessels |
254,157 15 |
- - |
254,157 15 |
||||
| 10,000 – 14,000 TEU |
|||||||
| TEU Vessels |
305,876 24 |
61,087 6 |
366,963 30 |
||||
| 8,000 – 10,000 TEU |
|||||||
| TEU Vessels |
243,613 28 |
142,175 16 |
385,789 44 |
||||
| 6,000 – 8,000 TEU |
|||||||
| TEU Vessels |
108,327 15 |
71,779 11 |
180,106 26 |
||||
| 4,000 – 6,000 TEU |
|||||||
| TEU Vessels |
109,164 25 |
118,318 23 |
227,482 48 |
||||
| 2,300 – 4,000 TEU |
|||||||
| TEU Vessels |
33,800 11 |
82,930 28 |
116,730 39 |
||||
| <2,300 TEU | |||||||
| TEU Vessels |
3,918 2 |
21,868 15 |
25,786 17 |
||||
| Capacity [TEU] | 1,058,856 120 |
498,157 99 |
1,557,013 219 |
||||
| Vessels |
current owned fleet current chartered fleet
1) Diagram assuming that all currently announced mergers (NYK & MOL & K-Line; Maersk & Hamburg Süd; COSCO & OOCL) will receive regulatory approvals and are executed as announced. Simple sum of stand-alone operating capacity 2) Weighted by carrier capacities
Trade portfolio optimization – Enhanced market presence in attractive Middle East trade and solid position in all other trades
Transport volume by trade, H1 2017 (indicative)
Hapag-Lloyd
UASC1) Combined Entity1)
Network optimization – Network of 129 services offers a highly efficient global product
- As UASC vessels were already part of THE Alliance services which commenced on 1 April 2017, network synergies could already be realized from day 1 onwards
- Through combined services and an efficient new fleet Hapag-Lloyd has increased its network efficiency 118 former Hapag-Lloyd services and 45 former UASC services have been combined to 129 services offering an improved product
Major integration projects well on track – Commercial integration to be completed by end of Q3
Synergies of USD 435 m p.a. expected from 2019 onwards – Focus on fast-track integration and realization of synergies
Synergy potential, full run-rate [USD m]
Strong consolidation track record
| 2005 | ||
|---|---|---|
| | Realized net synergies of EUR 218 m in 2008 |
|
| 2014 | ||
| Realized net synergies of |
Comments
- Optimized new vessel deployment/network
- Slot cost advantages
- Efficient use of new fleet
Network Overhead
- Consolidation of Corp. and Regional HQs
- Consolidation of country organizations
- Other overhead reductions (e.g. marketing, consultancy, audit)
Other (terminals, equipment and intermodal)
- Lower container handling rates per vendor/location
- Imbalance reduction and leasing costs optimization
- Optimization of inland haulage network
- Best practice sharing
Solid underlying volume growth and moderate rate improvement on pro forma basis for the first six months of 2017
Pro forma transport volume per trade Pro forma freight rate
Transport volume [TTEU]
Comments
- Combined pro forma freight rate moderately improving
- UASC stand-alone freight rate below Hapag-Lloyd stand-alone freight rate, therefore freight rate will not substantially increase in 2017
- Pro forma transport volume with solid growth in all trades
- UASC contributes 1,657 TTEU in H1 2017
Combined Entity Hapag-Lloyd UASC
Hapag-Lloyd with clearly defined financial policy
5 Way forward
Hapag-Lloyd Guidance including UASC
| Guidance for 2017 | ||
|---|---|---|
| FY 2016 (HL stand-alone) |
Guidance for 2017 (Combined Entity) |
|
| Transport volume | 7.6 TEU m | Increasing clearly |
| Average bunker consumption price | 210 USD/mt | Increasing clearly |
| Freight rate | 1,036 USD/TEU | Unchanged |
| EBITDA | USD 671 m | Increasing clearly |
| EBIT | USD 140 m | Increasing clearly |
5 Way forward
Our commitment: A seamless and quick integration
Indicative timeline for the transition
Convincing equity story resulted in higher share price…
Share trading
…and lower bond yields
Bonds trading
HL EUR 7.75% 2018 HL EUR 7.50% 2019 HL EUR 6.75% 2022 HL EUR 5.125% 2024
| EUR Bond 2024 |
EUR Bond 2022 | EUR Bond 2019 | EUR Bond 2018 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Listing | Open market of the Luxembourg Stock Exchange | (Euro MTF) | ||
| Volume | EUR 450 m2) | EUR 450 m | EUR 250 m |
EUR 200 m1) |
| ISIN / WKN | XS1645113322 | XS1555576641 / A2E4V1 | XS1144214993 / A13SNX | XS0974356262 / A1X3QY |
| Maturity Date |
Jul 15, 2024 |
Feb 1, 2022 | Oct 15, 2019 | Oct 1, 2018 |
| Redemption Price | as of July 15, 2020:102.563%; as of July 15, 2021:101.281%; as of July 15, 2022:100% |
as of Feb 1, 2019:103.375%; as of Feb 1, 2020:101.688%; as of Feb 1, 2021:100% |
as of Oct 15, 2016:103.750%; as of Oct 15, 2017:101.875%; as of Oct 15, 2018:100% |
as of Oct 1, 2015:103.875%; as of Oct 1, 2016:101.938%; as of Oct 1, 2017:100% |
| Coupon | 5.125% | 6.75% | 7.50% | 7.75% |
1) Partial redemption by nominal EUR 200 m on 9 March 2017;2) Bond will be listed on the Luxembourg Stock Exchange from mid July onwards
30
Partner: New core shareholders with strategic interest in the Combined Entity
Transaction overview
- UASC shares contributed to Hapag-Lloyd in exchange for newly issued Hapag-Lloyd shares
- Continued investment of sovereign wealth funds QIA and PIF highlight continued strategic importance of HL for the region
- C. 39% of shareholders representing governmental bodies and interests
- C. 37% of shareholders backed by wealthy entrepreneurs with focus on and long experience in logistics
- Planned cash capital increase of USD 400 m 50/50 backstopped by incumbent and new key shareholders within six months post closing
Hapag-Lloyd optimized its maturity profile via debt capital markets at more attractive pricing levels
Bond coupon and maturity profile
- On 18 Jan 2017 Hapag-Lloyd successfully priced a new bond of EUR 250 m due 2022 – on 7 Feb 2017 the company tapped the new bond by additional EUR 200 m at issue price of 102.375%
- The proceeds were used to redeem the outstanding 9.75% USD bond due 2017, partially redeem the 7.75% EUR bond due 2018 and for general corporate purposes (including further repayment of existing indebtedness)
- On 4 Jul 2017 Hapag-Lloyd successfully priced an additional bond of EUR 450 m due in 2024
- The proceeds will be used to redeem the outstanding 7.75% EUR bond due 2018 as well as the 7.50% EUR bond due in 2019
Supply: Scrapping and postponements help to keep net capacity growth low
Supply / demand gap
Freight rates with continued slow recovery – Steady trend since historic low in Q2 2016
Comprehensive Index (SCFI)
Shanghai – USA (SCFI)
33
Shanghai – Europe (SCFI)
Shanghai – Latin America (SCFI)
Source: Shanghai Shipping Exchange (25 August 2017)
H1 2017: Hapag-Lloyd with positive EBITDA of USD 393 m
| H1 2017 | H1 2016 | % change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4,899.7 | 4,212.2 | 16% |
| Other operating income | 114.3 | 65.2 | 75% |
| Transport expenses | -4,035.5 | -3,561.3 | 13% |
| Personnel expenses | -373.3 | -283.0 | 32% |
| Depreciation, amortization & impairment | -296.6 | -263.0 | 13% |
| Other operating expenses | -232.2 | -227.8 | n.m. |
| Operating result | 76.4 | -57.7 | n.m. |
| Share of profit of equity-acc. investees |
19.9 | 13.4 | 49% |
| Other financial result | 0.2 | 0.1 | n.m. |
| Earnings before interest & tax (EBIT) |
96.5 | -44.2 | n.m. |
| EBITDA | 393.1 | 218.8 | 80% |
| Interest result | -132.0 | -100.0 | 32% |
| Income taxes | -13.0 | -13.9 | n.m. |
| Group profit / loss | -48.5 | -158.1 | n.m. |
Income statement [USD m] Transport expenses [USD m]
| H1 2017 | H1 2016 | % change |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Expenses for raw materials & supplies |
587.2 | 319.0 | 84% |
| Cost of purchased services | 3,448.3 | 3,242.3 | 6% |
| Thereof Port, canal & terminal costs |
1,662.2 | 1,460.2 | 14% |
| Chartering leases and container rentals |
496.4 | 626.1 | -21% |
| Container transport costs |
1,155.1 | 1,036.3 | 11% |
| Maintenance/ repair/ other | 134.6 | 119.7 | 12% |
| Transport expenses |
4,035.5 | 3,561.3 | 13% |
| Transport expenses per TEU [USD / TEU] | |||
| H1 2017 | H1 2016 | % change | |
| Expenses for raw materials & supplies |
139.1 | 86.1 | 61% |
| Cost of purchased services | 816.8 | 875.6 | -7% |
| Thereof Port, canal & terminal costs |
393.8 | 394.4 | 0% |
| Chartering leases and container rentals |
117.6 | 169.1 | -30% |
| Container transport costs |
273.6 | 279.9 | -2% |
Transport expenses 955.9 961.7 -1%
H1 2017: Hapag-Lloyd with equity ratio of 37.5% - reflecting the capital increase as well as the initial inclusion of UASC
| 30.06.2017 | 31.12.2016 | 30.06.2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | |||
| Non-current assets | 15,443.3 | 10,267.4 | 10,320.0 |
| of which fixed assets | 15,169.7 | 10,183.3 | 10,249.0 |
| Current assets | 2,580.3 | 1,698.0 | 1,577.4 |
| of which cash and cash equivalents | 859.6 | 602.1 | 527.2 |
| Total assets | 18,023.6 | 11,965.4 | 11,897.4 |
| Equity and liabilities | |||
| Equity | 6,763.1 | 5,341.7 | 5,283.3 |
| Borrowed capital | 11,260.5 | 6,623.7 | 6,614.1 |
| of which non-current liabilities |
7,712.4 | 3,836.7 | 3,914.9 |
| of which current liabilities | 3,548.1 | 2,787.0 | 2,699.2 |
| of which financial debt |
8,339.3 | 4,414.9 | 4,264.6 |
| thereof Non-current financial debt |
7,274.3 | 3,448.4 | 3,489.7 |
| Current financial debt | 1,065.0 | 966.5 | 774.9 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 18,023.6 | 11,965.4 | 11,897.4 |
Balance sheet [USD m] Financial position [USD m]
| 30.06.2017 | 31.12.2016 | 30.06.2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | 859.6 | 602.1 | 527.2 |
| Financial debt | 8,339.3 | 4,414.9 | 4,264.6 |
| Net debt | 1) 7,408.1 |
1) 3,793.1 |
3,737.4 |
| Unused credit lines | 460.0 | 200.0 | 336.6 |
| Liquidity reserve | 1,319.6 | 802.1 | 863.8 |
| Equity | 6,763.1 | 5,341.7 | 5,283.3 |
| Gearing (net debt / equity) (%) |
109.5% | 71.0% | 70.7% |
| Equity ratio (%) | 37.5% | 44.6% | 44.4% |
Hapag-Lloyd Investor Relations Tel +49 40 3001-2896 Fax +49 40 3001-72896 [email protected] https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/ir.html