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Hapag-Lloyd AG — Investor Presentation 2017
Nov 14, 2017
199_ip_2017-11-14_c37535d9-89b5-4f49-ab6c-f1139778806a.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Investor Presentation
9M 2017 Results
Hamburg, 14 November 2017
Disclaimer
Forward-looking statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Such statements are based on a number of assumptions, estimates, projections or plans that are inherently subject to significant risks, as well as uncertainties and contingencies that are subject to change. Actual results can differ materially from those anticipated in the Company's forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Company, including those set forth from time to time in the Company's press releases and reports and those set forth from time to time in the Company's analyst calls and discussions. We do not assume any obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or offer to buy any securities of the Company, and no part of this presentation shall form the basis of or may be relied upon in connection with any offer or commitment whatsoever. This presentation is being presented solely for your information and is subject to change without notice.
UASC's Ltd. and its subsidiaries have been included in the figures from the date control was transferred on 24 May 2017.The key figures used are therefore only comparable with the previous year to a limited extent.
Opening remarks
| 01 Deliverables |
We continued to deliver on our initiatives (UASC integration, cash capital increase & continuous cost control) Substantially improved positive operating result of USD 299 m in 9M 2017 |
|---|---|
| 02 UASC Integration |
Integration of the operational business of UASC successfully concluded in only five months after Closing Synergies of USD 435 m confirmed – high ramp up in 2018 expected |
| 03 Sector Update |
Sector fundamentals remain favourable Orderbook remains at low level despite recent new orders |
| 04 Financials |
Significantly improved EBITDA of USD 808 m in 9M 2017 (USD 415 m in Q3 2017) Integration of UASC generated one-off costs of USD 82 m in 9M 2017 (net of USD 52m badwill) |
| 05 Way Forward |
Main focus going forward is to realise the synergies of the UASC integration and further cost optimization Substantial deleveraging from 2018 onwards |
Strategic highlights: We achieved major progress on our initiatives…
The merger with UASC was successfully completed on 24 May 2017 and has strengthened Hapag-Lloyd's competitive position substantially:
- Strengthened market position as one of the Top 5 players in the industry
- Solid position in all trades and an enhanced market presence in the attractive Middle East trade
- Efficient and young fleet with a low level investment needed in the future
- Annual synergies of USD 435 m fully starting in 2019, significant ramp up already in 2017 & 2018
The operative integration is progressing very well and is close to completion (commercial cut-over after only 5 months)
We have continued to strengthen our capital structure:
- Issuance of EUR 450 m bond with a maturity of seven years and a coupon of 5.125%
- Issue proceeds were used for the early repayment of existing 7.75% and 7.50% EUR bonds which were to fall due in 2018 and 2019
- Capital Increase of USD 413.4 m through the issue of 11,717,353 new no-par value shares shortly after balance sheet date, with positive impact on relevant balance sheet ratios
After the consolidation of the UASC container shipping activities Hapag-Lloyd does not plan further investments in new vessels
Financial highlights: …and delivered a clearly improved operating result in 9M 2017
Integration of UASC well on track – Commercial cut-over achieved only five months after Closing
Timeline of UASC merger and integration
Since Closing, we successfully integrated the UASC business and staff and have strengthened our position amongst the TOP 5 carriers
Integration facts and figures
8
Network optimization ongoing – Fleet and Network optimization as key contributor to synergies
Trade portfolio optimization – Enhanced market presence in attractive Middle East trade and solid position in all other trades
Transport volume by trade
Hapag-Lloyd 9M 2016
9
761
Far East
285
Transpacific
68 95
LatAm
Atlantic
60
EMAO
683
Middle East
320
Intra Asia
UASC 9M 20161) Combined Entity 9M 2017
1) Pro forma, UASC historic data allocated according to HL trade definition Note: Rounding differences may occur.
Total synergies of USD 435 m p.a. to be achieved from 2019 onwards – Significant synergy ramp-up in 2018 expected
Synergy potential, full run-rate [USD m]
Total transaction and integration related one-off costs are expected to amount to USD 130 m1)
| s e |
Network | Overhead | Other (terminals, equipment and intermodal) |
|---|---|---|---|
| gi r e n y S |
Optimized new vessel deployment/network Slot cost advantages Efficient use of new fleet |
Consolidation of Corp. and Regional HQs Consolidation of country organizations Other overhead reductions (e.g. marketing, consultancy, audit) |
Lower container handling rates per vendor/location Imbalance reduction and leasing costs optimization Optimization of inland haulage network Best practice sharing |
3 Sector Update
Demand: Strong GDP and volume growth leads to gradually increasing freight rates
GDP Growth [%]
CCFI Development
Comments
- IHS Global Insight expects the global container shipping volume to increase by 4.8% in 2017, outpacing the forecast rate of growth for global trade
- For 2018 to 2021 IHS is predicting annual growth of between 4.8% and 5.1%
3 Sector Update
Supply: Consolidation leads to structurally lower orderbook, reflecting a more disciplined market environment
Comments
- The Orderbook-to-fleet ratio remains well below its peak of approximately 61% in 2007 (recently placed new orders included)
- Based on the container ships on order and planned deliveries, the globally available transport capacity should see increases of around 1.1 million TEU in 2017 and around 1.3 million TEU in 2018
- Supply/Demand expected to further balance from 2018 onwards due to strong overall demand
EBITDA of USD 808 m in 9M 2017 – Operating result significantly above previous year's level
| Operational KPIs | Q3 2017 | Q3 2016 | YoY | 9M 2017 |
9M 2016 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume [TTEU] Transport volume [TTEU] |
2,808 | 1,947 | 44% | 7,029 | 5,650 | 24% |
| Freight rate [USD/TEU] |
1,065 | 1,027 | 4% | 1,060 | 1,037 | 2% |
| [USD/t]1) Bunker price |
308 | 238 | 29% | 311 | 212 | 47% |
| Exchange rate [USD/EUR] | 1.18 | 1.12 | n.m. | 1.11 | 1.11 | n.m. |
| Revenue [USD m] | 3,268 | 2,152 | 52% | 8,168 | 6,364 | 28% |
| EBITDA [USD m] | 415 | 206 | 101% | 808 | 425 | 90% |
| EBITDA margin | 12.7% | 9.6% | +3.1 ppt | 9.9% | 6.7% | +3.2 ppt |
| EBIT [USD m] | 202 | 73 | 177% | 299 | 29 | 931% |
| EBIT margin | 6.2% | 3.4% | +2.8 ppt | 3.7% | 0.5% | +3.2 ppt |
| Group profit / loss [USD m] |
56 | 9 | 522% | 8 | -149 | 105% |
| ROIC [Annualized in %] |
5.5% | 3.1% | +2.4 ppt | 2.6% | 0.2% | +2.4 ppt |
13
9M result incl. one-off effects related to first-time consolidation and integration of UASC – Total one-off costs estimated at USD 130 m
Transaction & integration related one-off costs [USD m] 9M 2017
Total transaction & integration related one-off costs [USD m]
Comments
- In 9M 2017 first time consolidation of UASC generated one-off income of USD 52.3 m (badwill) and restructuring cost of USD 82 m
- Net one-off effect on 9M 2017 EBIT of USD ~30 m
- One-off costs amounted to USD ~10 m in Q3 2017
- Further one-off costs of USD ~30 m will occur
Strong increase in transport volume of 24.4% YoY in 9M 2017 – Pro forma volume increased by 6.5% YoY
Transport volume [TTEU]
Transport volume per trade [TTEU]
Pro forma freight rates significantly up 15.9% YoY in Q3 2017 – despite the merger effect, reported rates have increased 3.7% YoY
Freight rate development Hapag-Lloyd reported vs. Combined Entity Pro forma1) [USD/TEU]
4 Financials
Hapag-Lloyd benefits from optimized bunker consumption, but substantial increase in bunker price harms P&L
Bunker consumption price [USD/mt] Bunker consumption & expenses
18
Despite higher bunker prices, transport expenses per TEU are flat YoY due to continuous cost-cutting – excl. bunker -5% YoY
Transport expenses per TEU [USD/TEU]
19
Substantial free cash flow of USD 886 m in 9M 2017 – Improved EBITDA major driver for CF generation
Cash flow 9M 2017 [USD m]
Solid equity at USD 6.8 bn and strong liquidity reserve at USD 1.9 bn which were partly used for bond repayments after balance sheet date
Equity base [USD m] Net debt [USD m]
Liquidity position [USD m]
Comments
- Strong liquidity reserve of USD 1.9 bn partly used for repayment of existing bonds of USD 450 m shortly after balance sheet date
- Equity ratio decreases to 36.5% due to a substantial increase in assets; Capital Increase of USD 413.4 m in October will strengthen equity going forward
- Net debt increased compared to 31.12.2016 as a result of first time consolidation of UASC Group but decreased by USD 150 m compared to 30.06.2017; proceeds from Capital Increase will reduce net debt further
5 Way Forward
Hapag-Lloyd Guidance (incl. UASC): Unchanged compared to H1 2017
Guidance for 2017
| FY 2016 (HL stand-alone) |
Guidance for 2017 (Combined Entity) |
|
|---|---|---|
| Transport volume | 7.6 TEU m | Increasing clearly |
| Bunker price | 210 USD/mt | Increasing clearly |
| Freight rate | 1,036 USD/TEU | Unchanged |
| EBITDA | USD 671 m | Increasing clearly |
| EBIT | USD 140 m | Increasing clearly |
Hapag-Lloyd with clearly defined financial policy
Convincing equity story resulted in higher share price…
Share trading
…and lower bond yields
Bonds trading
HL EUR 7.75% 2018 HL EUR 7.50% 2019 HL EUR 6.75% 2022 HL EUR 5.125% 2024
| EUR Bond 2024 |
EUR Bond 2022 | EUR Bond 2019 | EUR Bond 2018 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Listing | Open market of the Luxembourg Stock Exchange (Euro MTF) |
|||
| Volume | EUR 450 m | EUR 450 m | m2) EUR 250 |
EUR 200 m1) |
| ISIN / WKN | XS1645113322 | XS1555576641 / A2E4V1 | XS1144214993 / A13SNX | XS0974356262 / A1X3QY |
| Maturity Date |
Jul 15, 2024 |
Feb 1, 2022 | Oct 15, 2019 | Oct 1, 2018 |
| Redemption Price | as of July 15, 2020:102.563%; as of July 15, 2021:101.281%; as of July 15, 2022:100% |
as of Feb 1, 2019:103.375%; as of Feb 1, 2020:101.688%; as of Feb 1, 2021:100% |
as of Oct 15, 2016:103.750%; as of Oct 15, 2017:101.875%; as of Oct 15, 2018:100% |
as of Oct 1, 2015:103.875%; as of Oct 1, 2016:101.938%; as of Oct 1, 2017:100% |
| Coupon | 5.125% | 6.75% | 7.50% | 7.75% |
1) Full redemption on 1 October 2017; 2) Full Redemption on 15 October 2017
Current consolidation wave leads to higher concentration
Note: Diagram assuming that all currently announced mergers (NYK & MOL & K-Line, Maersk & Hamburg Süd,
26 COSCO & OOCL) will receive regulatory approvals and are executed as announced. Simple sum of stand-alone operating capacity as of October, 2017. Source: Drewry (Forecaster 3Q17), MDS Transmodal (October 2017, October 2013)
27
Supply / Demand: Scrapping and postponements help to keep net capacity growth low – Supply / demand gap is closing
Supply / demand gap
Demand Supply
Fleet optimization ongoing – Efficient and young fleet with a low level of investment needed
Young and fuel-efficient fleet
| e z si |
Hapag-Lloyd | 7,250 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| el s |
MSC | 6,267 | ||
| U]1) s e v E |
COSCO | 6,093 | ||
| e T [ g |
Maersk | 5,325 | ||
| a er v |
Top 15 | 5,323 | ||
| A | CMA CGM | 5,261 |
Vessel fleet (as of 30 September 2017)
| Vessel | Owned3) | Chartered | Current fleet | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >14,000 TEU | ||||||
| TEU | 284,143 | - | 284,143 | |||
| Vessels | 17 | - | 17 | |||
| 10,000 – 14,000 TEU4) |
||||||
| TEU | 305,876 | 61,087 | 366,963 | |||
| Vessels | 24 | 6 | 30 | |||
| 8,000 – 10,000 TEU |
||||||
| TEU | 243,614 | 142,161 | 385,775 | |||
| Vessels | 28 | 16 | 44 | |||
| 6,000 – 8,000 TEU |
||||||
| TEU | 108,327 | 63,933 | 172,260 | |||
| Vessels | 15 | 10 | 25 | |||
| 4,000 – 6,000 TEU |
||||||
| TEU | 96,861 | 114,539 | 211,400 | |||
| Vessels | 22 | 22 | 44 | |||
| 2,300 – 4,000 TEU |
||||||
| TEU | 33,800 | 79,211 | 113,011 | |||
| Vessels | 11 | 27 | 38 | |||
| <2,300 TEU | ||||||
| TEU | 3,918 | 21,340 | 25,258 | |||
| Vessels | 2 | 15 | 17 | |||
| Capacity [TEU] | 1,076,539 | 482,271 | 1,558,810 | |||
| Vessels | 119 | 96 | 215 |
1) Diagram assuming that all currently announced mergers (NYK & MOL & K-Line; Maersk & Hamburg Süd; COSCO & OOCL) will receive regulatory approvals and are executed as announced. Simple sum of stand-alone operating capacity 2) Weighted by carrier capacities 3) Includes finance leased vessels 4) Thereof 4 vessels chartered out
As of 1 April, Alliances have been reshuffled
Atlantic Transpacific Far East 2 2M 43% Ocean 15% Others 10% THE Alliance 32% 2 2M 22% Ocean 40% Others 12% THE Alliance 26% 3 2M 39% Ocean 36% Others 1% THE Alliance 24%
THE Alliance competitive on all trades
Alliance members
Capital increase successfully completed – Key terms of the rights issue
| Offer size | 11,717,353 new shares (c. 7.1 % of current share capital), resulting in EUR 351.5 m of gross proceeds |
|---|---|
| Subscription price |
EUR 30 per share (17.8 % discount to XETRA closing price as of 27 September 2017, 16.8 % discount to TERP) |
| Use of proceeds |
Repayment of existing indebtedness, with any remainder to be used for general corporate purposes |
| Listing | Regulated market of Frankfurt Stock Exchange (Prime Standard) and the regulated market of the Hamburg Stock Exchange |
| Distribution | Public offer in Germany and Luxembourg Offering in the US to QIBs under Rule 144A Private placement to institutional investors outside the US in reliance on Reg S |
| Take-up ratio | 96% |
Freight rates with continued recovery since historic low in Q2 2016
Comprehensive Index (SCFI)
Shanghai – Europe (SCFI)
9M 2017: Hapag-Lloyd with Group profit of USD 7.7 m
| 9M 2017 | 9M 2016 | % change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 8,167.7 | 6,364.0 | 28% |
| Other operating income | 143.4 | 100.7 | 42% |
| Transport expenses | -6,597.5 | -5,315.1 | 24% |
| Personnel expenses | -577.5 | -420.6 | 37% |
| Depreciation, amortization & impairment | -509.1 | -395.8 | 29% |
| Other operating expenses | -363.0 | -324.6 | 12% |
| Operating result | 264.0 | 8.6 | n.m. |
| Share of profit of equity-acc. investees |
34.4 | 21.8 | 58% |
| Other financial result | 0.5 | -1.6 | n.m. |
| Earnings before interest & tax (EBIT) |
298.9 | 28.8 | n.m. |
| EBITDA | 808.0 | 424.6 | 90% |
| Interest result | -271.2 | -161.5 | 68% |
| Income taxes | -20.0 | -16.4 | 22%. |
| Group profit / loss | 7.7 | -149.1 | n.m. |
Income statement [USD m] Transport expenses [USD m]
| 9M 2017 | 9M 2016 | % change |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Expenses for raw materials & supplies |
948.8 | 531.4 | 79% |
| Cost of purchased services | 5,648.7 | 4,783.7 | 18% |
| Thereof Port, canal & terminal costs |
2,761.9 | 2,209.8 | 25% |
| Chartering leases and container rentals |
805.2 | 823.8 | -2% |
| Container transport costs |
1,857.7 | 1,568.4 | 18% |
| Maintenance/ repair/ other | 223.9 | 181.7 | 23% |
| Transport expenses |
6,597.5 | 5,315.1 | 24% |
| Transport expenses per TEU [USD / TEU] | |||
| 9M 2017 | 9M 2016 | % change | |
| Expenses for raw materials & supplies |
135.0 | 94.1 | 44% |
| Cost of purchased services | 803.7 | 846.7 | -5% |
| Thereof Port, canal & terminal costs |
392.9 | 391.1 | 0% |
Container transport costs 264.3 277.6 -5% Maintenance/ repair/ other 31.9 32.2 -1% Transport expenses 938.7 940.7 0%
32
9M 2017: Hapag-Lloyd with equity ratio of 36.5% - reflecting the capital increase as well as the initial inclusion of UASC
| 30.09.2017 | 31.12.2016 | 30.09.2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | |||
| Non-current assets | 15,331.2 | 10,267.4 | 10,241.0 |
| of which fixed assets | 15,080.4 | 10,183.3 | 10,169.0 |
| Current assets | 3,355.3 | 1,698.0 | 1,586.2 |
| of which cash and cash equivalents | 1442.7 | 602.1 | 549.3 |
| Total assets | 18,686.5 | 11,965.4 | 11,827.2 |
| Equity and liabilities | |||
| Equity | 6,829.0 | 5,341.7 | 5,280.1 |
| Borrowed capital | 11,857.5 | 6,623.7 | 6,547.1 |
| of which non-current liabilities |
7,931.7 | 3,836.7 | 3,875.9 |
| of which current liabilities | 3,925.8 | 2,787.0 | 2,671.2 |
| of which financial debt |
8,768.0 | 4,414.9 | 4,360.9 |
| thereof Non-current financial debt |
7,500.3 | 3,448.4 | 3,449.9 |
| Current financial debt | 1,267.7 | 966.5 | 911.0 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 18,686.5 | 11,965.4 | 11,827.2 |
Balance sheet [USD m] Financial position [USD m]
| 30.09.2017 | 31.12.2016 | 30.09.2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | 1,442.6 | 602.1 | 549.3 |
| Financial debt | 8,768.0 | 4,414.9 | 4,360.9 |
| Net debt | 1) 7,257.6 |
1) 3,793.1 |
3,811.6 |
| Unused credit lines | 460.0 | 200.0 | 75.0 |
| Liquidity reserve | 1,902.7 | 802.1 | 624.3 |
| Equity | 6,829.0 | 5,341.7 | 5,280.1 |
| Gearing (net debt / equity) (%) |
106.2% | 71.0% | 72.2% |
| Equity ratio (%) | 36.5% | 44.6% | 44.6% |
Note: USD figures as stated in Investor Report 9M 2017
33
1) incl. Restricted Cash (USD 19.7 million at 31.12.2016 and USD 67.7 million at 30.09.2017 booked as other assets)
Hapag-Lloyd Investor Relations Tel +49 40 3001-2896 Fax +49 40 3001-72896 [email protected] https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/ir.html