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Hapag-Lloyd AG — Investor Presentation 2016
Mar 2, 2016
199_ip_2016-03-02_c325b038-b11d-4379-afce-cefee5fac2f1.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Investor Presentation – Preliminary Financials FY 2015
1 2 March 2016
Hapag-Lloyd made material progress in 2015
STRATEGIC HIGHLIGHTS
- CUATRO: The integration is completed substantial portion of synergies already realized in FY 2015
- Net synergies of USD 400 m to be achieved in 2016
- OCTAVE: The additional cost saving program OCTAVE is on track and made a noticeable contribution
- In Q4, OCTAVE 2 has been launched 8 additional work streams to further improve profitability
- Close the Cost Gap: Further investments in the modernization and renewal of our fleet
- Acquisition of 5x 10,500 TEU vessels and 2x 3,500 TEU vessels particularly suited for the Latin America trade
- Compete to Win: Increase in revenue quality and better utilization of stronger market presence
- Improve customer service, raise percentage of highervalue cargo and increase customers' contribution margin
- IPO: In a challenging stock market environment, Hapag-Lloyd completed its IPO in November 2015
EBITDA increased to USD 922 m (margin: 9.4%)
- Hapag-Lloyd significantly increased its EBITDA to USD 922 m (margin: 9.4%) in 2015 – the EBIT reached USD 407 m (margin: 4.1%)
- Transport volume increased to 7.4 TEU m (2014: 5.9 TEU m), while freight rate decreased to USD 1,225/TEU (2014: USD 1,427/TEU)
- Next to reduced bunker prices, the significant result improvement stems from our strategic measures such as cost synergies due to the CCS1) integration and the OCTAVE program
- We plan to further improve our operating result by the full realization of synergies, further cost savings from our strategic initiatives, an expected volume growth and an improvement in revenue quality -509
1) CSAV container shipping activities
Agenda
A. Industry – Our Positioning
- B. Strategy Our "Way Forward"
- C. Financials Strong Earnings Growth
Since our IPO, some peer results have been under pressure especially due to freight rates and very low volume growth
Average carrier operating margins HL EBIT margin
Global freight rate [USD / TEU]
Comments
- In 2015 the total container transport volume increased by +1% compared to 2014
- Market freight rates decreased throughout 2015 and were down -25% in Q3 2015 vs. Q3 2014
- Average carrier operating margins are negative at c. -4% in Q4 2015 while HLAG maintained above average with an EBIT margin of 0.8% in Q4 2015
5 1) Includes Hapag-Lloyd, Maersk, K-Line, APL and OOCL 2) Includes financial statements of Hapag-Lloyd, Maersk, Hanjin, MOL, APL, NYK and K-Line Source: Company information, Alphaliner, CTS, Drewry Container Forecaster Q4 2015c
Global capacity management
6 Source: Alphaliner weekly newsletter; MDS Transmodal, various months; Clarksons; Drewry Hapag-Lloyd's balanced exposure to global trade puts us in a strong position to be successful in tough market conditions
Agenda
- A. Industry Our Positioning
- B. Strategy – Our "Way Forward"
- C. Financials Strong Earnings Growth
We have defined our "Way Forward" – Five key initiatives delivering significant contributions with further upside
Significantly grow the business and increase profitability
Project CUATRO: Integration completed – USD 400 m net synergies will be achieved in 2016
- company with global network
- 38 services worldwide
-
Targeted net synergies of EUR218m in 2008
-
Chilean container shipping company in Valparaíso
- 39 services worldwide
- Targeted net synergies of USD400m in 2017
Transfer of operating business completed
USD400m net synergies targeted
Project OCTAVE: USD 200 m cost improvements across all operation areas – Project OCTAVE 2 launched
Eight clear workstreams defined
| Procurement & Inland |
Inland Pricing & Steering | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bunker Procurement | ||||
| Fleet & Network |
Fleet Renewal | |||
| Fleet Refurbishment | ||||
| Service Structure | ||||
| Sales & Product Portfolio |
Utilisation | |||
| Special Cargo | ||||
| Spot Market |
USD200m cost improvements
OCTAVE 2 program launched in Q4
| Improvement potential identified in 8 additional work streams |
Transshipment Weight & Utilization Service Portfolio G6 Enhancements Procurement Stowage Ship Size Demurrage & Detention |
|---|---|
| --------------------------------------------------------------------------- | ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
Retiring of "Old Ladies" successfully completed
| Decommission | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonn Express | |||||||
| Paris Express | |||||||
| Hoechst Express | |||||||
| Atlanta Express | |||||||
| Kiel Express | |||||||
| Boston Express | |||||||
| Dresden Express | |||||||
| Portland Express | |||||||
| Livorno Express | |||||||
| Norfolk Express | |||||||
| Stuttgart Express | |||||||
| Sydney Express | |||||||
| Wellington Express | |||||||
| Canberra Express | |||||||
| Heidelberg Express | |||||||
| Fremantle Express |
Close the Cost Gap: Investments done throughout the cycle – Further investments to come
Compete to Win: Significant potential to further optimize customer profiles and cargo mix
13 Source: Company information
Development Pilots and Deep Dives (DD) Global Roll-out
Agenda
- A. Industry Our Positioning
- B. Strategy Our "Way Forward"
- C. Financials – Strong Earnings Growth
Strong increase in transport volume (+25.3%) driven by integration of CSAV container shipping activities
Transport volume [TTEU]
1,000 1,300 1,200 1,100 1,600 1,500 1,400 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Ø 1,482 Ø 1,427 Ø 1,225 2013 2014 2015 -14.1%
Freight rate [USD/TEU]
FX-rate (USD/EUR)
Bunker price [USD/mt]
Hapag-Lloyd significantly increased its EBITDA to USD 922 m (EBITDA margin: 9.4%) in the full-year 2015
| Operational KPIs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2015 | FY 2014 | ∆/% | |||
| Transport volume [TTEU] | 7,401 | 5,907 | +1,494 / +25.3% | ||
| Freight rate [USD/TEU] | 1,225 | 1,427 | -202 / -14.2% | ||
| Bunker price [USD/t] | 312 | 574 | -262 / -45.6% | ||
| Exchange rate [EUR/USD] | 1.11 | 1.33 | -0.22 / -16.5% | ||
| Revenue [USD m] | 9,814 | 9,046 | +768 / +8.5% | ||
| EBITDA [USD m] | 922 | 131 | +791 / +603.8% | ||
| EBITDA margin | 9.4% | 1.5% | +7.9 ppt | ||
| EBIT [USD m] | 407 | -509 | +916 / n.a. | ||
| EBIT margin | 4.1% | -5.6% | +9.7 ppt |
Comments
■ 2015 first fiscal year with full reflection of CSAV transaction
Revenue
■ Transport volume increase and lower freight rate influenced by the CCS integration
EBITDA
- Step-change in FY 2015 due to significant synergies and cost savings from Project CUATRO & Project OCTAVE
- EBITDA margin at 9.4% for full-year 2015
EBIT
- EBIT at USD 407 m, up from USD -509 m in full-year 2014
- EBIT margin at 4.1%
Note: Hapag-Lloyd reports in EUR. EBIT for peer converted based on the respective average exchange rate for H1 2014, FY 2014, H1 2015 and FY 2015. For selected peers including terminals and other business if no liner figure available 1) H1 2014 excl. CCS and FY 2014 including 1M of CCS
17 Source: Company information; company reports
Optimization of capital structure and financial position with further tangible savings in 2015
Strong liquidity reserve [USDm] Successful financial measures
1 Debt repricing
Reduced interest by USD 40 m (over remaining life)
2 Bond optimization Saving of bond interest of USD 12 m p.a.
3 Rating upside
Positive outlook on the back of the IPO
Unused credit lines Cash and cash equivalents
18 Source: Company information
| Hapag-Lloyd executed IPO in Q4 2015 |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basic data | Stock trading (since 6-Nov) | |||||
| Stock exchange | Frankfurt Stock Exchange Hamburg Stock Exchange |
120 100 |
||||
| Market segment | Regulated market (Prime Standard) |
80 | ||||
| ISIN | DE000HLAG475 | 60 | ||||
| WKN | HLAG47 | 40 6-Nov 6-Dec 6-Jan 6-Feb Hapag-Lloyd Maersk Evergreen |
||||
| Ticker Symbol | HLAG | NOL OOCL SDAX DAX Global Shipping |
||||
| Primary listing | 6. November 2015 | Shareholder structure | ||||
| Placement price | EUR 20 | Free float | ||||
| Number of shares | 118,110,917 | CSAV 15.5% 31.4% |
||||
| Primary | USD 300 m | TUI 12.3% |
||||
| Lock-up | 4 May 2016 | 20.2% 20.6% HGV Kühne |
19 Source: Company information, Bloomberg (26 February 2016)
Industry highly correlated with global growth – Short term outlook on the lower end of mid term 3-5% range
Volatility of spot rates will remain in the short term – Hapag-Lloyd rates are more stable than SCFI
Shanghai – Latin America (SCFI)
Comments
- Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) only reflects Shanghai outbound rate development
- Freight rates especially on Asia / Europe trade remain volatile
- Freight rates on Transpacific trade tend to be less volatile while freight rates on Latin America show a downward trend
- Hapag-Lloyd freight rates with more stable development
Source: Company information, Shanghai Shipping Exchange (26 February 2016)
* Hapag-Lloyd trade definition
Current M&A deals Changing landscape in a fragmented market…
- All-cash acquisition (0.96x P/B)
- Closing expected by mid 2016
- APL to exit G6 earliest in 2017
+
- 2 state conglomerates merge
- COSCO to charter and operate CSCL's ships and containers
- Influences alliance composition
203 357 349 618 509 715 402 532 637 958 397 493 575 558 544 966 2,677 2,880 Wan Hai K-Line Hyundai ZIM PIL Hanjin Hamburg Süd CSCL 2,362 COSCO MOL APL 1,575 OOCL Maersk MSC CMA CGM Hapag-Lloyd Evergreen NYK UASC 544 1,818 860 715 Yang Ming …including alliance dynamics 2M Non-alliance carriers Ocean Three CKHYE G6 3,042 3,533 3,390 5,557 Ocean 3 Alliance CKYHE Alliance G6 Alliance 2M Alliance
| Vessel fleet structure as of 30 September 2015 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owned1) | Chartered4) | Current fleet |
Current orderbook |
Fleet age [% of total capacity] | ||||
| Capacity [TEU] | 131,674 | 131,674 | 52,945 | Average age 7.2 years5) | ||||
| >10,000 TEU | Vessels | 10 | 10 | 5 | MODERN | |||
| Capacity [TEU] | 243,614 | 68,036 | 311,650 | 74% | 45% 26% 55% |
0% | ||
| 8,000 – 10,000 TEU |
Vessels | 28 | 8 | 36 | ||||
| Capacity [TEU] | 49,743 | 38,905 | 88,648 | ≤10 years | 10-20 years | >20 years | ||
| 6,000 – 8,000 TEU |
Vessels | 7 | 6 | 13 | Fleet ownership [%] | |||
| Capacity [TEU] | 68,154 | 209,094 | 277,248 | Owned 55% | Chartered 45% | |||
| 4,000 – 6,000 TEU |
Vessels | 15 | 44 | 59 | Average vessel size [TEU] | |||
| Capacity [TEU] | 26,784 | 76,141 | 102,925 | +450 | +2,161 | |||
| 2,300 – 4,000 TEU |
Vessels | 9 | 26 | 35 | 5,406 | 4,956 | ||
| Capacity [TEU] | 3,918 | 29,952 | 33,870 | 3,245 | ||||
| <2,300 TEU | Vessels | 2 | 20 | 22 | HL | Top 20 | World Fleet | |
| Capacity [TEU] | 523,8872) | 3) 422,128 |
946,015 | 52,945 | Total container fleet | |||
| Total | Vessels | 712) | 1043) | 175 | 5 | 1.6m TEU | Owned 40% | Leased 60% |
1) Incl. 3 long-term finance leases 2) Incl. 2 chartered -out 3) Incl. 1 chartered-out 4) includes long-term (>3 years), mid-term (1-3 years) and short-term (<1 year) charters 5) Weighted average age by capacity
24 Source: Company information, MDS Transmodal October 2015
| EUR Bond 2019 | EUR Bond 2018 | USD Bond 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Issuer | Hapag-Lloyd AG | Hapag-Lloyd AG | Hapag-Lloyd AG |
| Volume | EUR 250 m | EUR 400 m | USD 125 m1) |
| Minimum order | 100,000 EUR | 100,000 EUR | 150,000 USD |
| Issue date | November 20, 2014 | September 20, 2013 | October 01, 2010 |
| Maturity date | October 15, 2019 | October 01, 2018 | October 15, 2017 |
| Redemption prices | as of Oct 15, 2016: 103.750% as of Oct 15, 2017: 101.875% as of Oct 15, 2018: 100% |
as of Oct 01, 2015: 103.875% as of Oct 01, 2016: 101.938% as of Oct 01, 2017: 100% |
as of Oct 15, 2015: 102.4375% as of Oct 15, 2016: 100% |
| Coupon | 7.50% | 7.75% | 9.75% |
| Coupon payment | April 15 and October 15 | January 15 and July 15 | April 15 and October 15 |
| ISIN | XS1144214993 | XS0974356262 | USD33048AA36 |
| WKN | A13SNX | A1X3QY | A1E8QB |
| Listing | Open market of the LxSE | Open market of the LxSE | Open market of the LxSE |
| Trustee | Deutsche Trustee Company Limited | Deutsche Trustee Company Limited | Deutsche Bank AG, London Branch |
1) Partially redeemed by nominal USD 125 m on 30 Dec 2015
25 Source: Company information Long-standing and diversified customer base of blue chip customers and a diversified base of goods transported
Hapag-Lloyd has a highly diversified customer base: No customer has a share greater than 5% of HL's revenue
Balanced portfolio of goods transported2)… … in a diversified customer portfolio3)
Henrik Schilling
27
Senior Director Investor Relations
Tel +49 40 3001-2896
Fax +49 40 3001-72896
http://ir.hapag-lloyd.com/websites/hapaglloyd/English/0/ir-home.html
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
This presentation is provided to you on a confidential basis. Delivery of this information to any other person, the use of any third-party data or any reproduction of this information, in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of Hapag-Lloyd is prohibited.
This presentation provides general information about Hapag-Lloyd AG. It consists of summary information based on a calculation of USD figures. It does not purport to be complete and it is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors. No representations or warranties, expressed or implied, are made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the accuracy, fairness or completeness of the information presented or contained in this presentation.
This presentation contains forward looking statements within the meaning of the 'safe harbor' provision of the US securities laws. These statements are based on management's current expectations or beliefs and are subject to a number of factors and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ from those set forth in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors (including, but not limited to, future global economic conditions, market conditions affecting the container shipping industry, intense competition in the markets in which we operate, potential environmental liability and capital costs of compliance with applicable laws, regulations and standards in the markets in which we operate, diverse political, legal, economic and other conditions affecting the markets in which we operate, our ability to successfully integrate business acquisitions and our ability to service our debt requirements). Many of these factors are beyond our control.
This presentation is intended to provide a general overview of Hapag-Lloyd's business and does not purport to deal with all aspects and details regarding Hapag-Lloyd. Accordingly, neither Hapag-Lloyd nor any of its directors, officers, employees or advisers nor any other person makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, and accordingly no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the presentation or of the views given or implied. Neither Hapag-Lloyd nor any of its directors, officers, employees or advisors nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever for any errors or omissions or any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this information or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
The material contained in this presentation reflects current legislation and the business and financial affairs of Hapag-Lloyd which are subject to change and audit, and is subject to the provisions contained within legislation.
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This presentation constitutes neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation to buy any securities in the United States, Germany or any other jurisdiction. Neither this presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any offer or commitment whatsoever. In particular, this presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities of Hapag-Lloyd in the United States. Securities of Hapag-Lloyd may not be offered or sold in the United States of America absent registration or an exemption from registration under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Hapag-Lloyd does not intend to conduct a public offering or any placement of securities in the United States.