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Hapag-Lloyd AG — Investor Presentation 2015
Aug 26, 2015
199_ip_2015-08-26_b1231923-40a9-4a5e-ab7b-5e6fa291319a.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Investor Presentation – Half Year Results 2015
126 August 2015
"Way Forward" well on track
STRATEGIC HIGHLIGHTS H1 2015
- CUATRO: The integration is well on track substantial portion of synergies already realized in H1 2015
- HL targets net synergies of c. USD 400 m p.a. by 2017 (USD 100 m more than initially anticipated)
- OCTAVE: The additional cost saving program showed initial success and made noticeable contribution in H1
- OCTAVE expects to deliver annual improvement of approximately USD 200 m as of 2016
- In 2015, HL will continue to optimize the structure and improve the efficiency of its container vessel fleet
- By July, HL took delivery of the last 9,300 TEU ship
- In April, HL placed an order of five 10,500 TEU ships
-
In H1 2015, HL invested USD 105 m into containers
-
In a challenging market environment, HL significantly increased its EBITDA to USD 551 m (margin: 10.6%) in H1 2015 – EBIT reached USD 299 m (margin: 5.7%)
- Substantial cost synergies by the fast CCS1) integration and lower bunker costs more than offset weaker freight rates
- Driven by increased scale, the transport expenses per TEU decreased by 233 USD/TEU to USD 1,139/TEU (-17.0%)
- HL has a clear strategy to significantly improve its profitability in coming years
-
The company intends to continue improving its EBITDA margin to 11–12%
-
A. Strategy – "Way Forward" well on Track
- B. Industry Improving Mid-term Fundamentals
- C. Financials – Strong Earnings Growth Trajectory
We have a clear way forward – Our five key initiatives are off to a good start with significant further upside
Strong consolidation track record
- Canadian container shipping company with global network
- Leading regional market positions with a strong position on the Atlantic market
- 38 services worldwide
-
Targeted net synergies of EUR 218 m in 2008
-
Chilean container shipping company in Valparaíso
- Top 20 container player with focus on Latin America – largest carrier in this trade
- 39 services worldwide
- Targeted net synergies of USD 400 m in 2017
Transfer of operating business completed
CUATRO takeaways
- The integration process is running well / slightly ahead of plan – we have been able to build on the experience gained with CP Ships
- The migration of the CCS business to the Hapag-Lloyd systems has been completed in Q2 2015
- We target synergies of USD 400 m by 2017 onwards instead of the previously declared USD 300 m
Project OCTAVE: Further improvement measures across all areas of operations
Eight clear workstreams defined OCTAVE delivers as planned
| Procurement & | Inland Pricing & Steering | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inland | Bunker Procurement | ||||
| Fleet Renewal | |||||
| Fleet & Network |
Fleet Refurbishment | ||||
| Service Structure | |||||
| Utilisation | |||||
| Sales & Product Portfolio |
Special Cargo | ||||
| Spot Market |
Retiring of "Old Ladies" completed OCTAVE takeaways
- 3 main synergy areas identified with 8 defined workstreams, each with clear rationale
- Implementation of saving tracked by workstream, on a monthly basis
- EBIT savings of c.USD 200 m planned by 2016 part of which has been realized
- Further initiatives to be launched
10 Source: Company Information
Close the Cost Gap: New ships suitable esp. for Latin America underway – Further investments to come
Delivered: 10x 13,200 TEU
- Strengthened competitiveness and market share along with attractive margins as a result of the increased capacity
- Cost efficient "workhorses" suitable e.g. for Far East trades (Loop 4) – cascading of former vessel in Transpacific
Cost efficient growth e.g. on Far East trades
Delivered: 7x 9,300 TEU
- All seven 9,300 TEU vessels delivered by end of July 2015
- These ships are suitable for the Latin America trades with 1,400 reefer plugs
New order: 5x 10,500 TEU
- New ships will optimise network and product
- Bundle services / redesign cooperation
- Participate in reefer growth
- Generate considerable slot cost advantages
- Best ship design for the trade intended
- Optimised hull shape (less draft)
- Fuel efficient engine room setup
- 2,100 reefer plugs
Consolidate leadership esp. in Latin America
1) Others include APL, HMM, MOL, OOCL, NYK
11 Source: Company Information, MDS Transmodal July 2015
Already initiated… …with more to come
Improve competitiveness on East-West trades
- G6 plans to introduce ULCV loops to grow in line with market and remain competitive (12 ships ordered / more expected)
- The G6 alliance greatly reduces the risk during the phase-in of ULCVs in two ways (cascading and allocation sharing)
Investment in container to optimise cost structure
- Benefit from very low new container prices by purchasing rather than renting containers
- Increase ownership back to 50% (in line with operational peers) stabilising cash flows
Drivers for targeted tangible upside
Hapag- Top 20 World Fleet
Lloyd
| Vessel fleet structure as of 30 June 2015 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owned1) | Chartered3) | Current fleet |
Current orderbook |
Fleet age [% of total capacity] | |||
| >10,000 TEU | Capacity [TEU] Vessels |
131,674 10 |
131,674 10 |
52,945 5 |
MODERN | Average age 7.3 years5) | |
| 8,000 – 10,000 TEU |
Capacity [TEU] Vessels |
234,314 28 |
68,036 8 |
302,350 35 |
9,3004) 1 |
73% 45% |
27% 55% 0% |
| 6,000 – 8,000 TEU |
Capacity [TEU] Vessels |
49,743 7 |
39,438 6 |
89,181 13 |
≤10 years | 10-20 years >20 years |
|
| 4,000 – 6,000 TEU |
Capacity [TEU] Vessels |
68,152 15 |
242,904 51 |
311,056 66 |
Owned 52% | Fleet ownership [%] Chartered 48% |
|
| 2,300 – 4,000 TEU |
Capacity [TEU] Vessels |
26,784 10 |
91,923 32 |
118,707 41 |
Average vessel size [TEU] | ||
| <2,300 TEU | Capacity [TEU] Vessels |
5,996 3 |
30,213 20 |
36,209 23 |
+386 5,2625) |
+2,063 4,876 |
|
| Total | Capacity [TEU] Vessels |
516,663 71 |
2) 472,514 1172) |
989,177 188 |
62,245 6 |
3,199 |
1) Incl. 5 long-term finance leases 2) Incl. 2 chartered-out 3) includes long-term (>3 years), mid-term (1-3 years) and short-term (<1 year) charters 4) Delivery in July 2015 5) Weighted average age by capacity
12 Source: Company Information, MDS Transmodal July 2015
Compete to win: New commercial approach will drive mindset change and energise the sales organisation
Pilots well underway and implementation starting 2016
Agenda
- A. Strategy "Way Forward" well on Track
- B. Industry – Improving Mid-term Fundamentals
- C. Financials Strong Earnings Growth Trajectory
Attractive container shipping volume and global GDP growth1)
2000 – 2008 2014 – 2016e Transport volume 2010 – 2014 +8.1% Global GDP +3.7% +3.6% 2000 = Indexed to 100 GDP multiplier 1.9x 1.0x +4.2% 1.3x +5.4% +3.5% +3.8% +3.3% 100 150 200 250 300 350 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015e 2016e Global GDP Global container shipping volume (loaded TEUm)
- Trade deregulation
- Global relocation of production facilities
- Private consumption and growth of real incomes in developing economies
- Container shipping positively correlated with GDP growth
- Growth to accelerate in 2016
- Global GDP: +3.8%
- World trade: +4.4%
- Container volume: +5.4%
1) Annual comparison of container volume growth rates and GDP growth rates since 2000
Containerisation dynamics are intact
Short-term freight rate pressures and volatilities will remain in the container shipping industry
Shanghai – Latin America (SCFI)
Comments
- Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) only reflects Shanghai outbound rate development
- Freight rates on Asia / Europe trade remain volatile
- Freight rates on Transpacific trade tend to be somehow less volatile
- Freight rates on Latin America trade influenced by economical development in China and Brazil
Increasingly favourable supply side factors provide backdrop for profitable growth in the medium term
Scrapping is increasing (with Panama Canal expansion)
Declining incremental benefits of ever larger vessels
Balanced demand / supply growth by 20161)
1) 2015e and 2016e supply growth netted against expected scrapping
17 Source: IHS Global Insight July 2015, MDS Transmodal July 2015, Drewry, IMF July 2015, OECD
1) Transport volume by trade as at H1 2015
East-West: Substantial presence in important trades and leading expertise in niche businesses
28%
19 Source: Company Information, Alphaliner, Dynamar
North-South: Hapag-Lloyd with significantly strengthened market position in Latin America
New cooperation in Latin America
- Together with Hamburg Süd, CMA CGM and other shipping companies, Hapag-Lloyd will be offering new products between Asia and the western and eastern coasts of Latin America from July onwards
- These services will employ 53 ships in all, with Hapag-Lloyd contributing 19 of them. This includes CSAV's 7x 9,300 TEU newbuildings
1) Far East, Europe, North America to / from SAEC,SAWC and Caribbean / Central America, both directions
20 Source: Company Information, CTS FY 2014
Agenda
- A. Strategy "Way Forward" well on Track
- B. Industry Improving Mid-term Fundamentals
- C. Financials – Strong Earnings Growth Trajectory
Hapag-Lloyd significantly increased its EBITDA to USD 551 m (EBITDA margin: 10.6%) in the first half-year of 2015
| H1 2015 |
H1 2014 |
∆ / % | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume [TTEU] | 3,719 | 2,873 | 846 / 29.4% | |||
| Freight rate [USD/TEU] | 1,296 | 1,424 | -128 / (-9.0)% | |||
| Bunker price [USD/t] | 346 | 592 | -246 / (-41.6)% | |||
| Exchange rate [EUR/USD] | 1.12 | 1.37 | -0.25 / (-18.5)% | |||
| Revenue [USD m] | 5,213 | 4,406 | 807 / 18.3% | |||
| EBITDA [USD m] | 551 | 92 | 459 / 498.9% | |||
| EBIT [USD m] | 299 | -139 | 438 / n.a. | |||
| EAT [USD m] | 176 | -238 | 413 / n.a. | |||
| Investments [USD m]1) | 504 | 303 | 202 / 66.3% |
Operational KPIs
1) Balance sheet investments in PPE
■ 2015 first fiscal year with full reflection of CSAV transaction
Comments
Revenue
■ Transport volume increase and lower freight rate influenced by the CCS integration
Opex
- Substantially lower bunker price contributing to improvement
- Furthermore, substantial decrease in costs on the back of first achievements from strategic initiatives (CUATRO and OCTAVE)
- Advantageous change in EUR / USD exchange rate with positive impact
EBITDA
■ Step-change in H1 2015 due to significant cost savings
22 Source: Company Information
Transport volume [TTEU] Breakdown by trade [TTEU]
Freight rate1) [USD/TEU] vs. bunker price2) [USD/t]
1) Hapag-Lloyd average freight rate per year 2) Hapag-Lloyd average consumption price per year
24 Source: Company Information
Hapag-Lloyd remains focused on unit cost reduction
1) Cost of purchased services H1 2014: 1,049 USD/TEU
Global Trade Further Upside Good Start Industry Structure Project CUATRO Close deal and integrate CSAV business Targeted net synergies of USD400m in 2017 1 Project OCTAVE Short-term profit improvement in 8 modules EBIT savings of USD200m p.a. in 2016 2 Structural Improvements Align board structure and responsibilities 3 Close the Cost Gap Improve profitability in light of new alliances 4 Compete to Win New commercial approach (multi-year effort) 5
25 Source: Company Information
Benefits from a reduced bunker price and consumption – Change in bunker mix due to emission control areas
Bunker price [Rotterdam; USD/mt]
Bunker consumption [mt/slot; mt/TEU; k mt]
Bunker mix [MFO; MDO]
Bunker expenses4) [USD/TEU; USD m]
26 1) Average nominal deployed capacity in TEU 2) Hapag-Lloyd excl. CCS 3) Due to ongoing integration slight categorization differences may occur 4) Expenses for raw materials and supplies 5) FY 2014: USD 1,810 m / 5,907 TTEU = 307 USD/TEU; Q1 2014: USD 457 m / 1,399 TTEU = 327 USD/TEU
Note: Hapag-Lloyd reports in EUR. EBIT for peer converted based on the respective average exchange rate for H1 2014 and H1 2015 1) Includes terminal and other business 2) H1 2014 Hapag-Lloyd standalone, H1 2015 including CCS
27 Source: Company information, Alphaliner June 2015
Hapag-Lloyd further improved its capital structure – Equity at USD 5.2 bn (equity ratio: 43%)
Enhanced equity base
Strengthened liquidity reserve
Comments
Gearing
- Hapag-Lloyd improved its capital structure and is committed to maintaining a solid leverage
- Secure strong equity base
- Manage leverage structure to improve credit rating and increase cash flow through lower interest payments
Covenants and liquidity
- Hapag-Lloyd is subject to financial covenants which require (i) a book equity not less than the higher of (a) EUR 2.75 bn and (b) 30% of the total assets, and (ii) a minimum liquidity of USD 300 m at all times
- The financial covenants will be tested as of the last day of each financial quarter
- However, Hapag-Lloyd targets a minimum liquidity reserve of USD 0.9 bn; liquidity reserve has been shifted from cash on balance to credit lines
- On 06-Aug-2015, Hapag-Lloyd has entered into a revolving credit facility secured by containers in an amount of USD 135 m to further optimize its liquidity reserve
1) Liquidity reserve as % of financial debt 2) Cash and cash equivalents plus undrawn credit lines 3) Revolving credit facility entered in August 2015
Cash flow H1 2015 [USD m]
1) Including change of provision of USD -168 m 2) Revolving credit facility entered in August 2015
29 Source: Company Information
On the basis of H1 2015, Hapag-Lloyd expects a significant improvement in profitability in 2015
| Guidance for 2015 | Comments | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume |
Largely unchanged | Guidance for 2015 based on pro-forma inclusion of CCS for 2014 – however, one-off volume and rate effects not taken into account in the guidance • CCS transport volume in 2014 at 1,924 TTEU • CCS avg. freight rate 2014 at 1,174 USD/TEU In the 2014 consolidated financial statements CCS only included from 2 Dec 2014 (i.e. one month) |
|||
| Freight rate |
Decreasing moderately | ||||
| EBITDA | Clearly increasing |
Sensitivities for H2 2015 | |||
| Operating | Transport volume |
+/- 100 TTEU |
+/- USD <0.1 bn |
||
| result1) | Clearly positive | Freight rate | +/- 50 USD/TEU |
+/- USD ~0.2 bn |
|
| Liquidity reserve |
Remaining adequate | Bunker price | +/- 100 USD/t |
+/- USD ~0.15 bn |
|
| EUR / USD | +/- 0.1 EUR/USD |
+/- USD <0.1 bn |
1) EBIT adjusted
30 Source: Company Information
| H1 2015 |
H1 2014 |
∆ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume [TTEU] | 3,719 | 2,873 | 846 |
| Freight rate [USD/TEU] | 1,296 | 1,424 | -128 |
| Revenue | 5,213.4 | 4,405.7 | 807.7 |
| Other operating income | 115.8 | 36.1 | 79.7 |
| Transport expenses | 4,234.1 | 3,941.2 | 292.9 |
| Personnel expenses | 283.3 | 252.9 | 30.4 |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment of intangible assets and property, plant and equipment |
251.9 | 231.3 | 20.6 |
| Other operating expenses | 271.9 | 176.2 | 95.7 |
| Operating result | 288.0 | -159.8 | 447.8 |
| Share of profit of equity-accounted investeees | 15.4 | 23.9 | -8.5 |
| Other financial result | -4.4 | -3.2 | -1.2 |
| Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) | 299.0 | -139.1 | 438.1 |
| Interest result | -110.8 | -94.3 | -16.5 |
| Earnings before income taxes | 188.2 | -233.4 | 421.6 |
| Income taxes | -12.6 | -4.2 | -8.4 |
| Group profit/loss | 175.6 | -237.6 | 413.2 |
Income statement Transport expenses
| H1 2015 |
H1 2014 |
∆ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Transport expenses | 4,234.1 | 3,941.2 | 292.9 |
| Cost of raw materials, supplies and purchased goods | 656.1 | 926.6 | -270.5 |
| Cost of purchased services | 3,578.0 | 3,014.7 | 563.3 |
| Thereof: | 0.0 | ||
| Port and terminal costs | 1,593.6 | 1,320.4 | 273.2 |
| Chartering, leases and container rentals | 615.6 | 413.3 | 202.3 |
| Container transport costs | 1,275.2 | 1,184.2 | 90.9 |
| Maintenance / repair / other | 93.6 | 96.7 | -3.1 |
EBIT bridge
| H1 2015 |
H1 2014 |
∆ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) | 299.0 | -139.1 | 438.1 |
| Purchase price allocation | -30.3 | 17.4 | -47.7 |
| Transaction and restructuring costs | 0.0 | 20.7 | -20.7 |
| Underlying EBIT | 268.7 | -101.0 | 369.7 |
| 31.06.2015 | 31.03.2015 | ∆ | 31.06.2015 | 31.03.2015 | ∆ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goodwill | 1,672.1 | 1,672.1 | 0.0 | Equity | 5,234.3 | 5,136.0 | 98.3 |
| Other intangible assets | 1,549.4 | 1,571.1 | -21.7 | ||||
| Property, plant and equipment | 6,576.1 | 6,496.6 | 79.5 | Provisions | 774.1 | 937.0 | -162.9 |
| Investments in equity-accounted investees | 413.8 | 430.5 | -16.7 | Financial debt | 4,420.2 | 4,430.1 | -9.9 |
| Inventories | 174.7 | 163.5 | 11.2 | ||||
| Trade acocunts receivables | 787.4 | 807.2 | -19.8 | Derivative financial instruments | 41.8 | 73.2 | -31.4 |
| Other assets | 232.2 | 266.6 | -34.4 | Trade accounts payable | 1,445.3 | 1,511.9 | -66.6 |
| Derviative financial instruments | 30.9 | 36.6 | -5.7 | ||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 665.1 | 832.4 | -167.3 | Other liabilities | 186.0 | 188.3 | -2.3 |
| Assets | 12,101.7 | 12,276.5 | -174.9 | Equity and liabilities | 12,101.7 | 12,276.5 | -174.8 |
Assets Equity and liabilities
| 31.06.2015 | 31.03.2015 | ∆ | 31.06.2015 | 31.03.2015 | ∆ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity ratio | 43% | 42% | +1 ppt | |||
| Closing Rate USD/EUR | 1.12 | 1.07 | 0.04 |
Solid long-term and diversified financing portfolio
Source: Company information
| EUR Bond 2019 | EUR Bond 2018 | USD Bond 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Issuer | Hapag-Lloyd AG | Hapag-Lloyd AG | Hapag-Lloyd AG |
| Volume | EUR 250 m | EUR 400 m | USD 250 m |
| Minimum order | 100,000 EUR | 100,000 EUR | 150,000 USD |
| Issue date | November 20, 2014 | September 20, 2013 | October 01, 2010 |
| Maturity date | October 15, 2019 | October 01, 2018 | October 15, 2017 |
| Redemption prices | as of Oct 15, 2016: 103.750% as of Oct 15, 2017: 101.875% as of Oct 15, 2018: 100% |
as of Oct 01, 2015: 103.875% as of Oct 01, 2016: 101.938% as of Oct 01, 2017: 100% |
as of Oct 15, 2014: 104.8750% as of Oct 15, 2015: 102.4375% as of Oct 15, 2016: 100% |
| Coupon | 7.50% | 7.75% | 9.75% |
| Coupon payment | April 15 and October 15 | January 15 and July 15 | April 15 and October 15 |
| ISIN | XS1144214993 | XS0974356262 | USD33048AA36 |
| WKN | A13SNX | A1X3QY | A1E8QB |
| Listing | Open market of the LxSE | Open market of the LxSE | Open market of the LxSE |
| Trustee | Deutsche Trustee Company Limited | Deutsche Trustee Company Limited | Deutsche Bank AG, London Branch |
Hapag-Lloyd bonds continuously trade above par
Hapag-Lloyd bonds
HL USD 9.75% 2017 HL EUR 7.75% 2018 HL EUR 7.50% 2019
| YTW Hapag-Lloyd bonds |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.75% 2017 | 7.75% 2018 | 7.50% 2019 | |||
| Current Yield | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | ||
| Current Trading | 100.6% | 101.6% | 101.5% |
Imbalances: Hapag-Lloyd outperforms the market
1) This ratio reflects the imbalance in the market (industry average) vs. Hapag-Lloyd imbalance of transport volumes (the higher the ratio, the more balanced in both directions). Ratio has been rounded
37 Source: IHS Global Insight July 2015; Hapag-Lloyd FY 2014; market data adapted to Hapag-Lloyd trade lane definition Long-standing and diversified customer base of blue chip customers and a diversified base of goods transported
Highly diversified customer base1) Strong relationship with blue chip customers
Hapag-Lloyd has a highly diversified customer base: No customer has a share greater than 5% of HL's revenue
Balanced portfolio of goods transported2)… … in a diversified customer portfolio3)
Source: Company information
38
1) Based on H1 2015 HL and CCS volumes 2) Figures based on H1 2015 volumes; for HL (eoy), for CSAV (B/L date) 3) Based on H1 2015 volumes, HL: sos; CSAV: B/L date 4) Others: FAK = Freight of all kinds
Henrik Schilling
39
Senior Director Investor Relations
Tel +49 40 3001-2896
Fax +49 40 3001-72896
http://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/investor_relations/overview.html
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
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This presentation contains forward looking statements within the meaning of the 'safe harbor' provision of the US securities laws. These statements are based on management's current expectations or beliefs and are subject to a number of factors and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ from those set forth in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors (including, but not limited to, future global economic conditions, market conditions affecting the container shipping industry, intense competition in the markets in which we operate, potential environmental liability and capital costs of compliance with applicable laws, regulations and standards in the markets in which we operate, diverse political, legal, economic and other conditions affecting the markets in which we operate, our ability to successfully integrate business acquisitions and our ability to service our debt requirements). Many of these factors are beyond our control.
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