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Hapag-Lloyd AG — Investor Presentation 2015
Nov 11, 2015
199_ip_2015-11-11_6cb0e8d1-6670-43e0-988c-f3619c5b8285.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Investor Presentation – 9M Results 2015
1 11 November 2015
Material progress made in Q3
STRATEGIC HIGHLIGHTS 9M 2015
- CUATRO: The integration is completed substantial portion of synergies already realized in 9M 2015
- HL targets net synergies of USD 400 m (run-rate)
- OCTAVE: The additional cost saving program OCTAVE is on track and made noticeable contribution
- Additional improvement potential currently being defined (OCTAVE 2 launched in Q4)
- IPO: In a challenging stock market environment, Hapag-Lloyd completed its IPO
-
USD 300 m primary proceeds for investments to increase fleet efficiency and container ownership
-
HL significantly increased its EBITDA to USD 770 m (margin: 10.1%) in 9M 2015.
- EBIT reached USD 389 m (margin: 5.1%)
- Substantial cost synergies due to the CCS1) integration, the OCTAVE program and lower bunker costs offset weaker freight rates
- Driven by increased scale, the transport expenses per TEU decreased by 240 USD/TEU to USD 1,111/TEU (-17.8%)
- Our focus remains to further improve profitability in the years to come: target
Agenda
A. Industry – Our Positioning
- B. Strategy Our "Way Forward"
- C. Financials Strong Earnings Growth
Industry highly correlated with global growth Short term outlook on the lower end of mid term 3-5% range
5 Source: IMF October 2015, IHS Global Insight October 2015
Freight rates on an all time low in October 2015 Rates must go up, but volatility will remain in the short-term
Shanghai – Latin America (SCFI)
Comments
- Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) only reflects Shanghai outbound rate development
- Freight rates on Asia / Europe trade remain volatile
- Freight rates on Transpacific trade tend to be somehow less volatile
Hapag-Lloyd´s balanced exposure to global trade puts us in a strong position to be successful under tough market conditions
| Vessel fleet structure as of 30 September 2015 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owned1) | Chartered4) | Current fleet |
Current orderbook |
Fleet age [% of total capacity] | ||||
| Capacity [TEU] | 131,674 | 131,674 | 52,945 | Average age 7.2 years5) | ||||
| >10,000 TEU | Vessels | 10 | 10 | 5 | MODERN | |||
| Capacity [TEU] | 243,614 | 68,036 | 311,650 | 74% | 45% 26% 55% |
0% | ||
| 8,000 – 10,000 TEU |
Vessels | 28 | 8 | 36 | ||||
| Capacity [TEU] | 49,743 | 38,905 | 88,648 | ≤10 years | 10-20 years | >20 years | ||
| 6,000 – 8,000 TEU |
Vessels | 7 | 6 | 13 | Fleet ownership [%] | |||
| Capacity [TEU] | 68,154 | 209,094 | 277,248 | Owned 55% | Chartered 45% | |||
| 4,000 – 6,000 TEU |
Vessels | 15 | 44 | 59 | Average vessel size [TEU] | |||
| Capacity [TEU] | 26,784 | 76,141 | 102,925 | +450 | +2,161 | |||
| 2,300 – 4,000 TEU |
Vessels | 9 | 26 | 35 | 5,406 | 4,956 | ||
| Capacity [TEU] | 3,918 | 29,952 | 33,870 | 3,245 | ||||
| <2,300 TEU | Vessels | 2 | 20 | 22 | HL | Top 20 | World Fleet | |
| Capacity [TEU] | 523,8872) | 3) 422,128 |
946,015 | 52,945 | Total container fleet | |||
| Total | Vessels | 712) | 1043) | 175 | 5 | 1.6m TEU | Owned 40% | Leased 60% |
1) Incl. 3 long-term finance leases 2) Incl. 2 chartered -out 3) Incl. 1 chartered-out 4) includes long-term (>3 years), mid-term (1-3 years) and short-term (<1 year) charters 5) Weighted average age by capacity
8 Source: Company Information, MDS Transmodal October 2015
Agenda
- A. Industry Our Positioning
- B. Strategy – Our "Way Forward"
- C. Financials Strong Earnings Growth
We have defined our ´way forward´ – Five key initiatives delivering significant contributions with further upside
Significantly grow the business and increase profitability
Project CUATRO: Integration completed USD400m net synergies will be achieved in 2016
- Canadian container shipping company with global network
- 38 services worldwide
-
Targeted net synergies of EUR218m in 2008
-
Chilean container shipping company in Valparaíso
- 39 services worldwide
- Targeted net synergies of USD400m in 2017
Transfer of operating business completed
USD400m net synergies targeted
Project OCTAVE: USD200m cost improvements across all operation areas; Project OCTAVE 2 launched
Eight clear workstreams defined
| Procurement & | Inland Pricing & Steering | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inland | Bunker Procurement | ||||
| Fleet & Network |
Fleet Renewal | ||||
| Fleet Refurbishment | |||||
| Service Structure | |||||
| Sales & |
Utilisation | ||||
| Product | Special Cargo | ||||
| Portfolio | Spot Market |
USD200m cost improvements
OCTAVE 2 program launched in Q4
| Improvement potential identified in 8 additional |
Transshipment Weight & Utilization Service Portfolio G6 Enhancements Procurement |
|---|---|
| work streams | Stowage |
| Ship Size | |
| Demurrage & Detention |
Retiring of "Old Ladies" successfully completed
| Decommission | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonn Express | |||||||
| Paris Express | |||||||
| Hoechst Express | |||||||
| Atlanta Express | |||||||
| Kiel Express | |||||||
| Boston Express | |||||||
| Dresden Express | |||||||
| Portland Express | |||||||
| Livorno Express | |||||||
| Norfolk Express | |||||||
| Stuttgart Express | |||||||
| Sydney Express | |||||||
| Wellington Express | |||||||
| Canberra Express | |||||||
| Heidelberg Express | |||||||
| Fremantle Express |
Close the Cost Gap: Investments done throughout the cycle – Further investments to come
Use of IPO proceeds
Compete to Win: Significant potential to further optimize customer profiles and cargo mix
Improve cargo mix (exemplary)
Pilots well underway and implementation starting 2015 Sales Process Sales Organisation Development Development Solution development Pilot in Asia, North America, Europe DD in Europe, Asia, North America Global Roll-out of Sales Process and Sales Organisation Talent Development Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 2015 2016 Incentive Scheme Roll-out Preparation
Development Pilots and Deep Dives (DD) Global Roll-out
Agenda
- A. Industry Our Positioning
- B. Strategy Our "Way Forward"
- C. Financials – Strong Earnings Growth
Hapag-Lloyd significantly increased its EBITDA to USD 770 m (EBITDA margin: 10.1%) in the first nine months of 2015
| Operational KPIs1) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2015 |
Q3 2014 |
∆ / % | 9M 2015 |
9M 2014 |
∆ / % | |||
| Transport volume [TTEU] | 1,861 | 1,474 | 26.3% | 5,579 | 4,347 | 28.3% | ||
| Freight rate [USD/TEU] | 1,189 | 1,448 | (-17.9)% | 1,260 | 1,432 | (-12.0)% | ||
| Bunker price [USD/t] | 306 | 585 | (-47.7)% | 333 | 591 | (-43.7)% | ||
| Exchange rate [EUR/USD] | 1.11 | 1.32 | (-17.6)% | 1.12 | 1.36 | (-17.6)% | ||
| Revenue [USD m] | 2,376 | 2,229 | 6.6% | 7,589 | 6,634 | 14.4% | ||
| EBITDA [USD m] | 219 | 150 | 46.0% | 770 | 242 | 218.2% | ||
| EBIT [USD m] | 90 | 34 | 164.7% | 389 | -106 | n.a. | ||
| EAT [USD m] | 3 | -66 | n.a. | 179 | -304 | n.a. | ||
| Investments [USD m]2) | 289 | 41 | 600.0% | 791 | 343 | 130.6% |
Comments
■ 2015 first fiscal year with full reflection of CSAV transaction
Revenue
■ Transport volume increase and lower freight rate influenced by the CCS integration
Opex
- Substantially lower bunker price contributing to improvement
- Furthermore, substantial decrease in costs on the back of first achievements from strategic initiatives (CUATRO and OCTAVE)
- Advantageous change in EUR / USD exchange rate with positive impact
EBITDA
■ Step-change in 9M 2015 due to significant cost savings
1) Q3/9M 2015 relates to Hapag-Lloyd incl. CCS activities; Q3/9M 2014 relates to Hapag-Lloyd only 2) Balance sheet investments in PPE
1) Europe, Mediterranean, Africa, Oceania
Freight rate1) [USD/TEU] vs. bunker price2) [USD/t]
1) Hapag-Lloyd average freight rate per year 2) Hapag-Lloyd average consumption price per year for MFO fuel
Significant improvement of cost structure already achieved with still more ahead
1) Cost of purchased services 9M 2014: 1,033 USD/TEU
Benefits from a reduced bunker price and consumption – Change in bunker mix due to emission control areas
Bunker price [Rotterdam; USD/mt]
Bunker consumption [mt/slot; mt/TEU; k mt]
Bunker mix [MFO; MDO]
Bunker expenses4) [USD/TEU; USD m]
20 1) Average nominal deployed capacity in TEU 2) Hapag-Lloyd excl. CCS 3) Due to ongoing integration slight categorization differences may occur 4) Expenses for raw materials and supplies 5) FY 2014: USD 1,810 m / 5,907 TTEU = 307 USD/TEU; 9M 2014: USD 1,383 m / 4,347 TTEU = 318 USD/TEU Source: Company information; Bloomberg (21 August 2015)
Note: Hapag-Lloyd reports in EUR. EBIT for peer converted based on the respective average exchange rate for H1 2014, 9m 2014, H1 2015 and 9m 2015 1) Includes terminals and other businesses 2) H1 2014PF and 9m 2014PF including CSAV
Source: Hapag-Lloyd, company reports
21
Optimisation of financial structure with further tangible savings
■ Secured long-term financing: Five 10,500 TEU vessels financed at attractive conditions 3
Reduced interest by USD40m (over remaining life)
Rating upside
- Improved and positive outlook by Moody's (29 Sep 2015)
-
- Sustainable improvement of financial performance
-
- Significantly reduced bunker price (c. 50% decline)
-
- Fundamental improvement in operating performance from ongoing implementation of synergy programs
Positive outlook on the back of the IPO
1) Gearing defined as net debt / equity 2) Revolving credit facility signed on 14 October 2015 3) Includes senior revolving credit facility increased from USD95m (31 August 2015) to USD200m on 1 October 2015 4) As % of total financial debt. Liquidity includes cash and unused credit lines
Hapag-Lloyd executed IPO in Q4 2015
| Key terms | First day of trading | |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburg Stock Exchange (Prime Standard) | ||
| foster financial flexibility and support growth | ||
| Subject to customary exceptions, no sales for a period of 180 days for the Company, existing shareholders, incl. the Selling Shareholder and Cornerstone Investors, each subject to certain exceptions |
23 Source: Company Information
1) FX Rate 1.13 USD/EUR
Cash flow 9M 2015 [USD m]
1) Revolving credit facility signed on 14 October 2015
On the basis of 9M 2015, Hapag-Lloyd expects a significant improvement in profitability for the Full Year 2015
| Guidance for 2015 | Comments | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume |
Largely unchanged | Guidance for 2015 based on pro-forma inclusion of CCS for 2014 – therefore, one-off volume and rate effects not taken into account in the guidance |
||||
| Freight rate |
Clearly decreasing | • CCS transport volume in 2014 at 1,924 TTEU • CCS avg. freight rate 2014 at 1,174 USD/TEU In the 2014 consolidated financial statements CCS only included from 2 Dec 2014 (i.e. one month) |
||||
| EBITDA | Clearly increasing |
Sensitivities for Q4 2015 | ||||
| Transport volume |
+/- 50 TTEU |
+/- USD ~0.04 bn |
||||
| Operating result1) |
Clearly positive | Freight rate | +/- 50 USD/TEU |
+/- USD ~0.1 bn |
||
| Liquidity reserve |
Remaining adequate | Bunker price | +/- 50 USD/t |
-/+ USD ~0.04 bn | ||
| EUR / USD | +/- 0.05 EUR/USD |
-/+ USD <0.01 bn |
1) EBIT adjusted
| 9M 2015 |
9M 2014 |
∆ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume [TTEU] | 5,579 | 4,347 | 1,232 |
| Freight rate [USD/TEU] | 1,260 | 1,432 | -172 |
| Revenue | 7,589.4 | 6,634.3 | 955.1 |
| Other operating income | 162.7 | 77.6 | 85.1 |
| Transport expenses | 6,199.6 | 5,873.9 | 325.7 |
| Personnel expenses | 401.6 | 353.3 | 48.3 |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment of intangible assets and property, plant and equipment |
381.4 | 347.7 | 33.7 |
| Other operating expenses | 401.0 | 278.3 | 122.7 |
| Operating result | 368.5 | -141.3 | 509.8 |
| Share of profit of equity-accounted investeees | 25.1 | 36.0 | -10.9 |
| Other financial result | -4.9 | -0.2 | -4.7 |
| Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) | 388.7 | -105.5 | 494.2 |
| Interest result | -188.5 | -192.6 | 4.1 |
| Earnings before income taxes | 200.2 | -298.1 | 498.3 |
| Income taxes | -21.3 | -5.5 | -15.8 |
| Group profit/loss | 178.9 | -303.6 | 482.5 |
Income statement Transport expenses
| 9M 2015 |
9M 2014 |
∆ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Transport expenses | 6,199.6 | 5,873.9 | 325.7 |
| Cost of raw materials, supplies and purchased goods | 948.0 | 1,383.2 | -435.2 |
| Cost of purchased services | 5,251.6 | 4,490.7 | 760.9 |
| Thereof: | |||
| Port and terminal costs | 2,371.5 | 1,983.6 | 387.9 |
| Chartering, leases and container rentals | 895.1 | 587.9 | 307.2 |
| Container transport costs | 1,852.5 | 1,795.2 | 57.3 |
| Maintenance / repair / other | 132.5 | 124.0 | 8.5 |
EBIT bridge
| 9M 2015 |
9M 2014 |
∆ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) | 388.7 | -105.5 | 494.2 |
| Purchase price allocation | -45.1 | 22.9 | -68.0 |
| Transaction and restructuring costs | 0.0 | 27.6 | -27.6 |
| Underlying EBIT | 343.6 | -55.0 | 398.6 |
| 30.09.2015 | 30.06.2015 | ∆ | 30.09.2015 | 30.06.2015 | ∆ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goodwill | 1,672.1 | 1,672.1 | 0.0 | Equity | 5,240.6 | 5,234.3 | 6.3 |
| Other intangible assets | 1,520.9 | 1,549.4 | -28.5 | ||||
| Property, plant and equipment | 6,763.7 | 6,576.1 | 187.6 | Provisions | 712.8 | 774.1 | -61.3 |
| Investments in equity-accounted investees | 424.3 | 413.8 | 10.5 | Financial debt | 4,362.0 | 4,420.2 | -58.2 |
| Inventories | 139.2 | 174.7 | -35.5 | ||||
| Trade acocunts receivables | 745.8 | 787.4 | -41.6 | Derivative financial instruments | 41.3 | 41.8 | -0.5 |
| Other assets | 226.2 | 232.2 | -6.0 | Trade accounts payable | 1,508.7 | 1,445.3 | 63.4 |
| Derviative financial instruments | 20.8 | 30.9 | -10.1 | ||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 542.8 | 665.1 | -122.3 | Other liabilities | 190.4 | 186.0 | 4.4 |
| Assets | 12,055.8 | 12,101.7 | -45.9 | Equity and liabilities | 12,055.8 | 12,101.7 | -45.9 |
Assets Equity and liabilities
| 30.09.2015 | 30.06.2015 | ∆ | 30.09.2015 | 30.06.2015 | ∆ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity ratio | 43.5% | 43.3% | +0.2 ppt | |||
| Closing Rate USD/EUR | 1.12 | 1.12 | 0.00 |
Solid long-term and diversified financing portfolio
| EUR Bond 2019 | EUR Bond 2018 | USD Bond 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Issuer | Hapag-Lloyd AG | Hapag-Lloyd AG | Hapag-Lloyd AG |
| Volume | EUR 250 m | EUR 400 m | USD 250 m |
| Minimum order | 100,000 EUR | 100,000 EUR | 150,000 USD |
| Issue date | November 20, 2014 | September 20, 2013 | October 01, 2010 |
| Maturity date | October 15, 2019 | October 01, 2018 | October 15, 2017 |
| Redemption prices | as of Oct 15, 2016: 103.750% as of Oct 15, 2017: 101.875% as of Oct 15, 2018: 100% |
as of Oct 01, 2015: 103.875% as of Oct 01, 2016: 101.938% as of Oct 01, 2017: 100% |
as of Oct 15, 2015: 102.4375% as of Oct 15, 2016: 100% |
| Coupon | 7.50% | 7.75% | 9.75% |
| Coupon payment | April 15 and October 15 | January 15 and July 15 | April 15 and October 15 |
| ISIN | XS1144214993 | XS0974356262 | USD33048AA36 |
| WKN | A13SNX | A1X3QY | A1E8QB |
| Listing | Open market of the LxSE | Open market of the LxSE | Open market of the LxSE |
| Trustee | Deutsche Trustee Company Limited | Deutsche Trustee Company Limited | Deutsche Bank AG, London Branch |
Hapag-Lloyd bonds continuously trade above par
| YTW Hapag-Lloyd bonds |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.75% 2017 | 7.75% 2018 | 7.50% 2019 | |||||
| Current Yield | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | ||||
| Current Trading | 103.8% | 104.1% | 104.1% |
Imbalances: Hapag-Lloyd outperforms the market
1) This ratio reflects the imbalance in the market (industry average) vs. Hapag-Lloyd imbalance of transport volumes (the higher the ratio, the more balanced in both directions). Ratio has been rounded
32 Source: IHS Global Insight October 2015; Hapag-Lloyd FY 2014; market data adapted to Hapag-Lloyd trade lane definition Long-standing and diversified customer base of blue chip customers and a diversified base of goods transported
Hapag-Lloyd has a highly diversified customer base: No customer has a share greater than 5% of HL's revenue
Balanced portfolio of goods transported2)… … in a diversified customer portfolio3)
Henrik Schilling
34
Senior Director Investor Relations
Tel +49 40 3001-2896
Fax +49 40 3001-72896
http://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/investor_relations/overview.html
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
This presentation is provided to you on a confidential basis. Delivery of this information to any other person, the use of any third-party data or any reproduction of this information, in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of Hapag-Lloyd is prohibited.
This presentation provides general information about Hapag-Lloyd AG. It consists of summary information based on a calculation of USD figures. It does not purport to be complete and it is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors. No representations or warranties, expressed or implied, are made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the accuracy, fairness or completeness of the information presented or contained in this presentation.
This presentation contains forward looking statements within the meaning of the 'safe harbor' provision of the US securities laws. These statements are based on management's current expectations or beliefs and are subject to a number of factors and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ from those set forth in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors (including, but not limited to, future global economic conditions, market conditions affecting the container shipping industry, intense competition in the markets in which we operate, potential environmental liability and capital costs of compliance with applicable laws, regulations and standards in the markets in which we operate, diverse political, legal, economic and other conditions affecting the markets in which we operate, our ability to successfully integrate business acquisitions and our ability to service our debt requirements). Many of these factors are beyond our control.
This presentation is intended to provide a general overview of Hapag-Lloyd's business and does not purport to deal with all aspects and details regarding Hapag-Lloyd. Accordingly, neither Hapag-Lloyd nor any of its directors, officers, employees or advisers nor any other person makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, and accordingly no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the presentation or of the views given or implied. Neither Hapag-Lloyd nor any of its directors, officers, employees or advisors nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever for any errors or omissions or any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this information or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
The material contained in this presentation reflects current legislation and the business and financial affairs of Hapag-Lloyd which are subject to change and audit, and is subject to the provisions contained within legislation.
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