Investor Presentation • Nov 4, 2021
Investor Presentation
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Hannover, 4 November 2021
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Target Matrix | 17 |
| 6 | Outlook | 19 |
| Appendix | 22 |
Figures in EUR millions, unless otherwise stated
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Target Matrix | 17 |
| 6 | Outlook | 19 |
| Appendix | 22 |
| Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR | Q3/2020 | Q3/2021 | Q1-3/2020 | Q1-3/2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 4,173 | 5,003 | 13,348 | 15,269 |
| Net premium earned | 3,643 | 4,229 | 10,512 | 12,076 |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
15 | (64) | (146) | 253 |
| Combined ratio incl. interest on funds withheld |
99.6% | 101.5% | 101.4% | 97.9% |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
234 | 387 | 667 | 957 |
| Other income and expenses | 50 | (40) | 67 | (148) |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 299 | 283 | 589 | 1,061 |
| Tax ratio | 35.4% | 43.7% | 25.2% | 26.1% |
| Group net income | 173 | 147 | 418 | 739 |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.44 | 1.22 | 3.47 | 6.13 |
Natural and man-made catastrophe losses1) in m. EUR
| 25% 16% | 9% 7% |
9% 8% |
7% 6% |
8% 7% |
9% 8% |
17% 12% | 14% 8% |
10% 7% |
13% 11% | 12% 9% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Large loss budget (net) in m. EUR | ||||||||||
| 530 | 560 | 625 | 670 | 690 | 825 | 825 | 825 | 875 | 975 | 1,100 |
1) Up to 2011 claims over EUR 5 m. gross, from 2012 onwards claims over EUR 10 m. gross
8 Conference Call on Q3/2021 financial results
| Large-loss budget Q1-3/2021 exceeded for both NatCat | and man-made losses | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Catastrophe losses1 ) in m. EUR |
Date | Gross | Net |
| Storm "Filomena", Spain | 7 - 8 Jan | 12.9 | 12.9 |
| Texas winter storm/freeze, USA | 11 - 21 Feb | 259.2 | 158.1 |
| Floods, Australia | 18 - 23 Mar | 16.4 | 13.3 |
| Cyclone "Seroja", Australia | 11 - 14 Apr | 13.6 | 13.6 |
| Storm "Volker", Germany | 21 - 25 June | 75.0 | 59.0 |
| Flood "Bernd", Europe | 8 - 16 July | 643.0 | 214.2 |
| Rain and flood, China | 16 - 22 July | 34.7 | 34.5 |
| Hurricane "Henri", USA | 22 - 24 Aug | 10.6 | 7.4 |
| Hurricane "Ida", USA | 26 Aug - 4 Sept | 527.3 | 305.7 |
| 9 Natural catastrophes | 1,592.8 | 818.9 | |
| 1 Aviation loss | 13.7 | 13.7 | |
| 2 Marine losses | 33.8 | 22.5 | |
| 1 Credit loss | 21.2 | 21.2 | |
| 7 Property losses | 194.0 | 194.0 | |
| 11 Man-made losses | 262.7 | 251.4 | |
| 20 Major losses | 1,855.5 | 1,070.2 |
1) Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross Large loss budget 2021: EUR 1,100 m. thereof EUR 225 m. man-made and EUR 875 m. NatCat
1) All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Target Matrix | 17 |
| 6 | Outlook | 19 |
| Appendix | 22 |
| Life & Health R/I in m. EUR | Q3/2020 | Q3/2021 | Q1-3/2020 | Q1-3/2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 1,975 | 2,152 | 5,947 | 6,350 |
| Net premium earned | 1,751 | 1,889 | 5,259 | 5,558 |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
(124) | (122) | (293) | (315) |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
129 | 61 | 352 | 185 |
| Other income and expenses | 96 | 102 | 257 | 351 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 101 | 41 | 315 | 220 |
| EBIT margin | 5.8% | 2.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Tax ratio | (7.1%) | (9.8%) | 5.3% | 31.3% |
| Group net income | 108 | 45 | 297 | 150 |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 0.90 | 0.37 | 2.46 | 1.24 |
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Target Matrix | 17 |
| 6 | Outlook | 19 |
| Appendix | 22 |
Increasing ordinary income and moderate realised gains compensate for valuation effects
| in m. EUR | Q3/2020 | Q3/2021 | Q1-3/2020 | Q1-3/2021 | RoI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary investment income1) | 370 | 408 | 984 | 1,106 | 2.8% |
| Realised gains/losses | 52 | 96 | 192 | 238 | 0.6% |
| Impairments/appreciations & depreciations |
(16) | (13) | (102) | (52) | -0.1% |
| Change in fair value of financial instruments (through P&L) |
(9) | (5) | 41 | (48) | -0.1% |
| Investment expenses | (33) | (36) | (95) | (101) | -0.3% |
| NII from assets under own management |
364 | 449 | 1,021 | 1,142 | 2.9% |
| NII from funds withheld | 28 | 42 | 164 | 215 | |
| Total net investment income | 392 | 491 | 1,185 | 1,357 |
| Unrealised gains/losses of investments | 31 Dec 20 | 30 Sep 21 |
|---|---|---|
| On-balance sheet | 3,019 | 2,487 |
| thereof Fixed income AFS | 2,347 | 1,525 |
| Off-balance sheet | 557 | 546 |
| thereof Fixed income HTM, L&R | 217 | 167 |
| Total | 3,576 | 3,033 |
1) Incl. results from associated companies
YTD
| Investment category | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | Q3/2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 87% | 87% | 87% | 85% | 84% |
| - Governments | 30% | 35% | 35% | 34% | 32% |
| - Semi-governments | 17% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 14% |
| - Corporates | 32% | 29% | 31% | 30% | 32% |
| Investment grade | 27% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 28% |
| Non-investment grade | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 2) 6% |
| Equities | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| - Listed equity | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| - Private equity | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| Real Assets | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| Others | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| Short-term investments & cash | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 40.5 | 42.7 | 48.2 | 49.8 | 55.6 |
1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments of EUR 1,344.4 m. (EUR 1,275.6 m.) as at 30 September 2021
2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 60.7%
3) Before real estate-specific costs. Economic view based on market values as at 30 September 2021
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Target Matrix | 17 |
| 6 | Outlook | 19 |
| Appendix | 22 | |
| Business group | Key figures | Strategic targets | Q1-3/2021 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Return on equity1) | 900 bps above risk-free | 10.2% |
| Solvency ratio2) | ≥ 200% | 239% | |
| Property & Casualty reinsurance | Gross premium growth3) | ≥ 5% | +17.7% |
| EBIT growth4) | ≥ 5% | +80.3% | |
| Combined ratio | ≤ 96% | 97.9% | |
| xRoCA5) | ≥ 2% | n.a. | |
| Life & Health reinsurance | Gross premium growth3) | ≥ 3% | +6.9% |
| EBIT growth4) | ≥ 5% | -30.2% | |
| Value of New Business (VNB)6) | ≥ EUR 250 m. | n.a. | |
| xRoCA5) | ≥ 2% | n.a. |
1) After tax; risk-free: 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds 2) According to our internal capital model and Solvency II requirements
3) Average annual growth at constant f/x rates 4) Average annual growth
5) Excess return (one-year economic profit in excess of the cost of capital) on allocated economic capital 6) Based on Solvency II principles; pre-tax reporting
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Target Matrix | 17 |
| 6 | Outlook | 19 |
| Appendix | 22 |
| Gross written premium1) | ≥ upper single-digit growth |
|---|---|
| 2) Return on investment |
> 2.4% |
| Group net income 2) | EUR 1.15 - 1.25 bn. |
| Ordinary dividend | ≥ prior year |
• Special dividend if capitalisation exceeds capital requirements for future growth and profit targets are achieved
1) At unchanged f/x rates
2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in Q4/2021 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 251 m.
| • | Gross written premium1) | ≥ 5% |
|---|---|---|
| • | 2) Return on investment |
≥ 2.3% |
| • | Group net income 2) | EUR 1.4 - 1.5 bn. |
| • | Ordinary dividend | ≥ prior year |
• Special dividend if capitalisation exceeds capital requirements for future growth and profit targets are achieved
1) At unchanged f/x rates
2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2022 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 1.3 bn. and no material Covid-19 impact in L&H
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Target Matrix | 17 |
| 6 | Outlook | 19 |
| Appendix | 22 |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q1-3/2020 | Q1-3/2021 | Q1-3/2020 | Q1-3/2021 | Q1-3/2020 | Q1-3/2021 |
| Gross written premium | 13,348 | 15,269 | 5,947 | 6,350 | 19,295 | 21,620 |
| Change in GWP | +14.4% | +6.8% | +12.0% | |||
| Net premium earned | 10,512 | 12,076 | 5,259 | 5,558 | 15,772 | 17,634 |
| Net underwriting result | (187) | 220 | (416) | (497) | (603) | (277) |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld | (146) | 253 | (293) | (315) | (439) | (63) |
| Net investment income | 708 | 989 | 475 | 367 | 1,185 | 1,357 |
| From assets under own management | 667 | 957 | 352 | 185 | 1,021 | 1,142 |
| From funds withheld | 41 | 32 | 123 | 182 | 164 | 215 |
| Other income and expenses | 67 | (148) | 257 | 351 | 321 | 201 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 589 | 1,061 | 315 | 220 | 903 | 1,281 |
| Financing costs | (2) | (2) | (1) | (1) | (72) | (61) |
| Net income before taxes | 587 | 1,060 | 314 | 219 | 831 | 1,219 |
| Taxes | (148) | (276) | (17) | (69) | (142) | (318) |
| Net income | 439 | 784 | 298 | 150 | 690 | 901 |
| Non-controlling interest | 21 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 45 |
| Group net income | 418 | 739 | 297 | 150 | 668 | 856 |
| Retention | 90.3% | 90.4% | 89.5% | 88.3% | 90.1% | 89.8% |
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 101.4% | 97.9% | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 5.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% |
| Tax ratio | 25.2% | 26.1% | 5.3% | 31.3% | 17.1% | 26.1% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 3.47 | 6.13 | 2.46 | 1.24 | 5.54 | 7.10 |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q3/2020 | Q3/2021 | Q3/2020 | Q3/2021 | Q3/2020 | Q3/2021 |
| Gross written premium | 4,173 | 5,003 | 1,975 | 2,152 | 6,149 | 7,155 |
| Change in GWP | +19.9% | +9.0% | +16.4% | |||
| Net premium earned | 3,643 | 4,229 | 1,751 | 1,889 | 5,394 | 6,119 |
| Net underwriting result | (1) | (82) | (136) | (147) | (137) | (229) |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld | 15 | (64) | (124) | (122) | (109) | (187) |
| Net investment income | 250 | 405 | 142 | 86 | 392 | 491 |
| From assets under own management | 234 | 387 | 129 | 61 | 364 | 449 |
| From funds withheld | 16 | 18 | 12 | 25 | 28 | 42 |
| Other income and expenses | 50 | (40) | 96 | 102 | 144 | 63 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 299 | 283 | 101 | 41 | 399 | 325 |
| Financing costs | (1) | (1) | 0 | 0 | (24) | (21) |
| Net income before taxes | 298 | 283 | 101 | 41 | 375 | 303 |
| Taxes | (105) | (124) | 7 | 4 | (90) | (106) |
| Net income | 193 | 159 | 108 | 45 | 285 | 197 |
| Non-controlling interest | 19 | 12 | (0) | 0 | 19 | 12 |
| Group net income | 173 | 147 | 108 | 45 | 265 | 185 |
| Retention | 88.0% | 88.4% | 89.9% | 88.4% | 88.6% | 88.4% |
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 99.6% | 101.5% | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| Tax ratio | 35.4% | 43.7% | -7.1% | -9.8% | 24.1% | 35.0% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.44 | 1.22 | 0.90 | 0.37 | 2.20 | 1.54 |
Focus still on credit exposures with further spread tightening
| Portfolio | Scenario | Change in market value in m. EUR |
Change in OCI before tax in m. EUR |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -10% | -199 | -199 | ||
| Equity (listed and private equity) | -20% | -399 | -399 | |
| +50 bps | -1,356 | -1,308 | ||
| Fixed-income securities | +100 bps | -2,637 | -2,542 | |
| Credit spreads | +50% | -764 | -762 |
| High-quality fixed-income book well balanced Geographical allocation mainly in accordance with our broad business diversification |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governments | Semi governments |
Corporates | Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS |
Short-term investments, cash |
Total | |||||||
| AAA | 73% | 54% | 1 % |
57% | - | 41% | ||||||
| A A |
11% | 25% | 11% | 15% | - | 14% | ||||||
| A | 10% | 7 % |
34% | 14% | - | 19% | ||||||
| BBB | 4 % |
2 % |
45% | 12% | - | 20% | ||||||
| <bbb< td=""> | 2 % | 12% | 10% | 2 % | - | 7 % | </bbb<>
2 % |
12% | 10% | 2 % |
- | 7 % |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 100% | ||||||
| Germany | 16% | 27% | 3 % |
17% | 12% | 13% | ||||||
| UK | 6 % |
2 % |
7 % |
8 % |
17% | 6 % |
||||||
| France | 3 % |
2 % |
7 % |
6 % |
0 % |
4 % |
||||||
| GIIPS | 0 % |
3 % |
6 % |
8 % |
0 % |
3 % |
||||||
| Rest of Europe | 4 % |
18% | 12% | 24% | 2 % |
10% | ||||||
| USA | 50% | 14% | 34% | 16% | 23% | 35% | ||||||
| Australia | 1 % |
16% | 5 % |
4 % |
5 % |
5 % |
||||||
| Asia | 17% | 18% | 17% | 12% | 33% | 18% | ||||||
| Rest of World | 3 % |
1 % |
9 % |
6 % |
6 % |
5 % |
||||||
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||||
| Total b/s values in m. EUR | 17,795 | 7,664 | 17,392 | 3,341 | 2,180 | 48,371 |
IFRS figures as at 30 September 2021
26 Conference Call on Q3/2021 financial results
| Modified duration | |
|---|---|
| Q3/2021 | 5.7 |
| 2020 | 5.8 |
| 2019 | 5.7 |
| 2018 | 4.8 |
| 2017 | 4.8 |
As at 31 December 2020
1) A return period of 250 years is equivalent to an occurrence probability of 0.4%; based on the aggregate annual loss.
2) Approx. 3 weeks of power outage in a larger area of a developed country
3) Distributed denial-of-service-attack on main DNS provider
4) Average stress level of +50 bps. Stress level differs by corporate bond issuer rating Excl. government bonds and incl. impact of changes in dynamic volatility adjustment.
This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities.
While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-todate, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information.
Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements.
This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re.
© Hannover Rück SE. All rights reserved. Hannover Re is the registered service mark of Hannover Rück SE.
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