Investor Presentation • Aug 8, 2019
Investor Presentation
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Hannover, 8 August 2019
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 7 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 12 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Outlook 2019 | 18 |
| 6 | Appendix | 23 |
Figures in EUR millions, unless otherwise stated
| Group figures in m. EUR | Q2/2018 | Q2/2019 | Δ | 1H/2018 | 1H/2019 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 4,640 | 5,321 | +14.7% | 9,985 | 11,694 | +17.1% |
| Net premium earned | 4,346 | 4,745 | +9.2% | 8,346 | 9,356 | +12.1% |
| Net underwriting result | 63 | (41) | -164.3% | 101 | (36) | -136.1% |
| - Incl. funds withheld | 119 | (18) | -114.8% | 214 | 58 | -73.2% |
| Net investment income | 352 | 467 | +32.5% | 744 | 866 | +16.4% |
| - From assets under own mgmt. | 297 | 444 | +49.3% | 630 | 772 | +22.5% |
| - From funds withheld | 55 | 23 | -57.8% | 114 | 94 | -17.5% |
| Other income and expenses | 58 | 66 | +14.5% | 63 | 113 | +78.8% |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 473 | 492 | +4.0% | 907 | 942 | +3.8% |
| Financing costs | (20) | (21) | +7.3% | (38) | (42) | +12.4% |
| Net income before taxes | 453 | 471 | +3.8% | 870 | 900 | +3.5% |
| Taxes | (157) | (92) | -41.2% | (273) | (206) | -24.5% |
| Net income | 297 | 379 | +27.5% | 596 | 693 | +16.3% |
| - Non-controlling interests | 15 | 10 | -34.8% | 41 | 31 | -24.3% |
| Group net income | 282 | 369 | +30.8% | 555 | 663 | +19.3% |
| Retention | 91.4% | 90.9% | 91.3% | 90.6% | ||
| EBIT margin (EBIT/Net premium earned) | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | ||
| Tax ratio | 34.5% | 19.6% | 31.4% | 22.9% | ||
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 2.34 | 3.06 | 4.60 | 5.49 |
| 1 Group overview | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
Operating cash flow in m. EUR
Assets under own management (AuM) in m. EUR
| 1 Group overview | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
6 Conference Call on Half-yearly Report 2019
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 7 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 12 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Outlook 2019 | 18 |
| 6 | Appendix | 23 |
| Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR | Q2/2018 | Q2/2019 | 1H/2018 | 1H/2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 2,888 | 3,453 | 6,467 | 7,847 |
| Net premium earned | 2,750 | 3,034 | 5,175 | 5,964 |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
121 | 71 | 221 | 196 |
| Combined ratio incl. interest on funds withheld |
95.6% | 97.7% | 95.7% | 96.7% |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
227 | 252 | 487 | 476 |
| Other income and expenses | 2 | (1) | (19) | (15) |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 350 | 322 | 689 | 657 |
| Tax ratio | 38.5% | 31.1% | 31.0% | 29.7% |
| Group net income | 200 | 212 | 434 | 431 |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.66 | 1.76 | 3.60 | 3.58 |
| Earthquake, Chile | 19 - 20 Jan | 10.5 | 10.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flood, Australia | 26 Jan - 7 Feb | 34.2 | 25.9 |
| Storm "Eberhard", Germany | 10 - 11 Mar | 26.2 | 16.6 |
| 3 Natural catastrophes | 70.9 | 53.0 | |
| 1 Marine claim | 14.3 | 6.8 | |
| 1 Aviation claim | 66.8 | 24.7 | |
| 2 Property claims | 55.9 | 55.9 | |
| 7 Major losses | 208.0 | 140.6 |
1) Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross
11 Conference Call on Half-yearly Report 2019
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 7 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 12 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Outlook 2019 | 18 |
| 6 | Appendix | 23 |
| Life & Health R/I in m. EUR | Q2/2018 | Q2/2019 | 1H/2018 | 1H/2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 1,752 | 1,868 | 3,518 | 3,847 |
| Net premium earned | 1,596 | 1,711 | 3,171 | 3,392 |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
(3) | (89) | (7) | (138) |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
70 | 191 | 142 | 295 |
| Other income and expenses | 57 | 6 8 |
84 | 130 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 123 | 170 | 219 | 286 |
| EBIT margin | 7.7% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% |
| Tax ratio | 23.1% | (0.1%) | 33.1% | 9.2% |
| Group net income | 96 | 169 | 147 | 258 |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 0.79 | 1.40 | 1.22 | 2.14 |
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 7 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 12 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Outlook 2019 | 18 |
| 6 | Appendix | 23 |
Realisations driven by one-off effect from restructuring of shareholding in Viridium
| Q2/2018 | Q2/2019 | 1H/2018 | 1H/2019 | RoI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317 | 376 | 634 | 702 | 3.2% |
| 5 | 105 | 53 | 127 | 0.6% |
| (10) | (24) | (21) | (41) | -0.2% |
| 14 | 16 | 20 | 44 | 0.2% |
| (28) | (30) | (56) | (60) | -0.3% |
| 297 | 444 | 630 | 772 | 3.5% |
| 55 | 23 | 114 | 94 | |
| 352 | 467 | 744 | 866 | |
| Unrealised gains/losses of investments | ||||
| 500 | 1.727 | |||
| 31 Dec 18 | 30 Jun 19 |
thereof Fixed income AFS 91 1.332
thereof Fixed income HTM, L&R 227 280
Off-balance sheet 498 503
Total 998 2.229
1) Incl. results from associated companies
| Investment category | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 30 Jun 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 87% | 87% | 87% | 87% | 87% |
| - Governments | 26% | 28% | 30% | 35% | 34% |
| - Semi-governments | 17% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 16% |
| - Corporates | 34% | 33% | 32% | 29% | 29% |
| Investment grade | 30% | 28% | 27% | 25% | 25% |
| Non-investment grade | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 2) 7% |
| Equities | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| - Listed equity | 1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| - Private equity | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Real estate/real estate funds | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% |
| Others | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Short-term investments & cash | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 39.8 | 42.3 | 40.5 | 42.7 | 45.3 |
Ordinary income split
1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments of EUR 1,416.9 m. (EUR 1,326.4 m.) as at 30 June 2019
2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 70.5%
3) Before real estate-specific costs. Economic view based on market values as at 30 June 2019
| Business group | Key figures | Targets for 2019 | 1H/2019 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Return on investment1) | ≥ 2.8% | 3.5% |
| Return on equity2) | ≥ 9.4% | 14.3% | |
| Earnings per share growth (y-o-y) | ≥ 5% | 19.3% | |
| Economic value creation3) | ≥ 6.4% | n.a. | |
| Solvency ratio4) | ≥ 200% | 248.8% | |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Gross premium growth5) | 3 - 5% | 18.4% |
| Combined ratio6) | ≤ 97% | 96.7% | |
| EBIT margin7) | ≥ 10% | 11.0% | |
| xRoCA8) | ≥ 2% | n.a. | |
| Life & Health R/I | Gross premium growth9) | 3 - 5% | 7.4% |
| Value of New Business (VNB)10) | ≥ EUR 220 m. | n.a. | |
| EBIT growth11) | ≥ 5% | 30.3% | |
| xRoCA8) | ≥ 2% | n.a. |
3) Growth in economic equity + paid dividend; target: 600 bps above 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds 4) According to our internal capital model and Solvency II requirements as of 31 March 2019
5) On average throughout the R/I cycle at constant f/x rates 6) Incl. large loss budget of EUR 875 m.
9) Organic growth only; target: annual average growth over a 3-year period, at constant f/x rates 10) Based on Solvency II principles; pre-tax reporting
11) Annual average growth over a 3-year period
1) Excl. effects from ModCo derivatives 2) After tax; target: 900 bps above 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds
7) EBIT/net premium earned 8) Excess return on allocated economic capital
| 2 April - | 1 July renewals in m. EUR | North America1): +26% • |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change in shares: Change in price & volume: |
+4.4% +6.9% |
– Firming of primary market terms & conditions and continued upward movement on rates in property |
||||||
| 1,865 | – Casualty primary market with slight improvements |
|||||||
| 174 | – As a result, premium grew by 26% mostly from new business |
|||||||
| 1,551 | 140 | Asia, Australia, Middle East1) • : +7% |
||||||
| – Original terms in Australia and New Zealand continue to harden |
||||||||
| +20.3% | – Favourable renewal in Australia led to organic premium growth and new business |
|||||||
| • Cat XL: +39% |
||||||||
| – Rate increases in loss-impacted US programmes (Florida +15% to +30%, California wildfires +60% and higher) |
||||||||
| – Substantial premium increase from US catastrophe business |
||||||||
| Latin America, Iberian Peninsula1) 2): +22% • |
||||||||
| Inforce book | New/ | Changes on | Inforce book | – Growth due to new business and higher shares |
||||
| up for renewal | cancelled/ restructured |
renewed | after renewals | • Credit, surety and political risks: +10% |
||||
| Underwriting year figures at constant foreign exchange rates (31 December 2018) | – Premium increase at stable terms & conditions, driven by new business & organic growth |
1) All lines of P&C reinsurance except those stated separately 2) Including agricultural business
| Lines of business | Volume1) | Profitability2) |
|---|---|---|
| Structured reinsurance and ILS | +/- | |
| North America3) | + | |
| Germany3) | + | |
| Asia, Australia, Middle East3) | +/- | |
| Facultative reinsurance and direct | + | |
| Cat XL | +/- | |
| Continental Europe, Africa3) | +/- | |
| Latin America, Iberian Peninsula3) | + | |
| Credit, surety and political risks | + | |
| UK, Ireland, London market3) | +/- | |
| Aviation and Marine | +/- |
1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different
2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
3) All lines of business except those stated separately
Lines of business ordered by GWP
| Reporting categories | Volume1) | Profitability2) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial solutions | ++ | ||
| Longevity | + | ||
| Mortality | +/- | ||
| Morbidity | +/- |
1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different
2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 Outlook 2019 | 6 |
Hannover Re Group
| • | Gross written premium1) | growth within a single-digit percentage range |
|---|---|---|
| • | Return on investment2) 3) | at least 2.8% |
| • | Group net income2) | ~ EUR 1.1 bn.5) |
| • | ratio4) Ordinary dividend payout |
35% - 45% |
• Special dividend additional payout if profit target is reached and capitalisation remains comfortable
1) At unchanged f/x rates
2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2019 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 875 m.
3) Excluding effects from ModCo derivatives
4) Relative to group net income according to IFRS
5) Excluding positive one-off Viridium effect
| 6 | Appendix | 23 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Outlook 2019 | 18 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 12 |
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 7 |
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | 1H/2018 | 1H/2019 | 1H/2018 | 1H/2019 | 1H/2018 | 1H/2019 |
| Gross written premium | 6,467 | 7,847 | 3,518 | 3,847 | 9,985 | 11,694 |
| Change in GWP | - | +21.3% | - | +9.3% | - | +17.1% |
| Net premium earned | 5,175 | 5,964 | 3,171 | 3,392 | 8,346 | 9,356 |
| Net underwriting result | 205 | 173 | (104) | (209) | 101 | (36) |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld | 221 | 196 | (7) | (138) | 214 | 58 |
| Net investment income | 503 | 498 | 239 | 365 | 744 | 866 |
| From assets under own management | 487 | 476 | 142 | 295 | 630 | 772 |
| From funds withheld | 16 | 23 | 98 | 71 | 114 | 94 |
| Other income and expenses | (19) | (15) | 84 | 130 | 63 | 113 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 689 | 657 | 219 | 286 | 907 | 942 |
| Financing costs | 0 | (1) | 0 | (1) | (38) | (42) |
| Net income before taxes | 689 | 656 | 219 | 285 | 870 | 900 |
| Taxes | (213) | (195) | (73) | (26) | (273) | (206) |
| Net income | 475 | 461 | 147 | 259 | 596 | 693 |
| Non-controlling interest | 41 | 30 | (0) | 1 | 41 | 31 |
| Group net income | 434 | 431 | 147 | 258 | 555 | 663 |
| Retention | 91.4% | 91.5% | 91.2% | 88.9% | 91.3% | 90.6% |
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 95.7% | 96.7% | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 13.3% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% |
| Tax ratio | 31.0% | 29.7% | 33.1% | 9.2% | 31.4% | 22.9% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 3.60 | 3.58 | 1.22 | 2.14 | 4.60 | 5.49 |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q2/2018 | Q2/2019 | Q2/2018 | Q2/2019 | Q2/2018 | Q2/2019 |
| Gross written premium | 2,888 | 3,453 | 1,752 | 1,868 | 4,640 | 5,321 |
| Change in GWP | - | +19.5% | - | +6.6% | - | +14.7% |
| Net premium earned | 2,750 | 3,034 | 1,596 | 1,711 | 4,346 | 4,745 |
| Net underwriting result | 113 | 60 | (49) | (101) | 63 | (41) |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld | 121 | 71 | (3) | (89) | 119 | (18) |
| Net investment income | 235 | 263 | 116 | 203 | 352 | 467 |
| From assets under own management | 227 | 252 | 70 | 191 | 297 | 444 |
| From funds withheld | 8 | 11 | 47 | 12 | 55 | 23 |
| Other income and expenses | 2 | (1) | 57 | 68 | 58 | 66 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 350 | 322 | 123 | 170 | 473 | 492 |
| Financing costs | 0 | (1) | 0 | 0 | (20) | (21) |
| Net income before taxes | 350 | 322 | 123 | 169 | 453 | 471 |
| Taxes | (135) | (100) | (29) | 0 | (157) | (92) |
| Net income | 215 | 222 | 95 | 169 | 297 | 379 |
| Non-controlling interest | 16 | 10 | (1) | 0 | 15 | 10 |
| Group net income | 200 | 212 | 96 | 169 | 282 | 369 |
| Retention | 91.3% | 90.9% | 91.7% | 91.0% | 91.4% | 90.9% |
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 95.6% | 97.7% | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 12.7% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% |
| Tax ratio | 38.5% | 31.1% | 23.1% | (0.1 %) | 34.5% | 19.6% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.66 | 1.76 | 0.79 | 1.40 | 2.34 | 3.06 |
| Portfolio | Scenario | Change in market value in m. EUR |
Change in OCI before tax in m. EUR |
|---|---|---|---|
| -10% | -99 | -99 | |
| Equity (listed and private equity) | -20% | -198 | -198 |
| +50 bps | -1,043 | -973 | |
| Fixed-income securities | +100 bps | -2,031 | -1,894 |
| Credit spreads | +50% | -679 | -671 |
| Real Estate | -10% | -243 | -120 |
| High-quality fixed income book well balanced Geographical allocation mainly in accordance with our broad business diversification |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governments | Semi governments |
Corporates | Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS |
Short-term investments, cash |
Total | |||||||
| AAA | 78% | 57% | 1 % |
61% | - | 47% | ||||||
| A A |
13% | 25% | 14% | 25% | - | 16% | ||||||
| A | 5 % |
6 % |
30% | 11% | - | 14% | ||||||
| BBB | 3 % |
1 % |
46% | 3 % |
- | 17% | ||||||
| <bbb< td=""> | 2 % | 10% | 9 % | 1 % | - | 6 % | </bbb<>
2 % |
10% | 9 % |
1 % |
- | 6 % |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 100% | ||||||
| Germany | 21% | 40% | 4 % |
21% | 14% | 19% | ||||||
| UK | 8 % |
3 % |
7 % |
10% | 13% | 7 % |
||||||
| France | 1 % |
2 % |
8 % |
5 % |
1 % |
4 % |
||||||
| GIIPS | 1 % |
1 % |
4 % |
5 % |
0 % |
2 % |
||||||
| Rest of Europe | 2 % |
13% | 14% | 22% | 3 % |
10% | ||||||
| USA | 51% | 9 % |
33% | 13% | 20% | 33% | ||||||
| Australia | 3 % |
9 % |
8 % |
11% | 7 % |
7 % |
||||||
| Asia | 9 % |
11% | 8 % |
1 % |
30% | 9 % |
||||||
| Rest of World | 4 % |
13% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 10% | ||||||
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||||
| Total b/s values in m. EUR | 15,506 | 7,220 | 12,609 | 3,196 | 1,662 | 40,195 |
IFRS figures as at 30 June 2019
27 Conference Call on Half-yearly Report 2019
| Modified duration | |
|---|---|
| Q2/2019 | 5.2 |
| 2018 | 4.8 |
| 2017 | 4.8 |
| 2016 | 5.0 |
| 2015 | 4.4 |
| 2014 | 4.6 |
This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities.
While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-todate, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information.
Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements.
This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re.
© Hannover Rück SE. All rights reserved. Hannover Re is the registered service mark of Hannover Rück SE.
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