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Hannover Rueck SE — Earnings Release 2016
Mar 9, 2017
197_ip_2017-03-09_423be49c-1f95-4652-8a3e-636cc4ea98ff.pdf
Earnings Release
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Welcome to Hannover Re's Analysts' Conference Annual Results 2016
London, 9 March 2017
Hannover Re posts fifth consecutive record result Dividend proposal increased to EUR 5.00 in total
| | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | ||||||
| | ||||||
| RoE |
remains well above our minimum target | |||||
| BVPS +11.5%, driven by strong earnings EUR 74.61 |
||||||
| Investments | ||||||
| EUR 1,340 m. EBIT: |
EUR 343 m. | NII: RoI from AuM: |
||||
| Strong EBIT margin of 16.8% driven by favourable U/W result (C/R: 93.7%) Major losses of EUR 627 m. higher than 2015 but below expected level Premium development in line with selective underwriting approach |
RoI above full-year target of 2.9% Ordinary investment income current interest environment AuM increased by 6.2% |
|||||
| EUR 16,354 m. (-4.2%) EUR 14,418 m. (-1.2%) EUR 1,689 m. EUR 1,171 m. 13.7% EUR 3.50 + 1.50 230% Life & Health R/I EBIT in line with expectation; 2015 Strong profit contribution from financial solutions; technical result F/x-adj. GWP -4.3% mainly due to discontinuation of large-volume |
GWP in line with guidance (f/x adjusted -2.1%) NPE f/x-adj. growth of +1.0% Good performance in U/W result and net investment income EUR 1,550 m. 3.0% benefited from positive one-off effect remains at attractive level in view of from US mortality below expectation treaties |
Continued increase in AuM (+6.2%) ... ... supported by positive cash flow
Shareholders' equity up by 11.5% Higher dividend payment offset by strong earnings and increasing OCI
Growth in ordinary dividend reflects strong earnings power Payout: EUR 3.50 ordinary dividend + EUR 1.50 special dividend per share
| Dividend per share | in EUR | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payout ratio: [38%] |
[-] | [35%] | [37%] | [42%] | [43%] | [40%] | [52%] | [50%] | [51%] |
| 4.75 | 5.00* | ||||||||
| 4.25 | 1.50 | ||||||||
| 1.25 | 1.50 | ||||||||
| 3.00 | 3.00 | ||||||||
| 2.30 | 2.10 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 0,40 | |||||
| 0,50 | 2.60 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.25 | 3.50 | ||||
| 1.80 | 1.80 | ||||||||
| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 |
Dividend per share Special dividend per share
* Subject to consent of AGM
RoE on very attractive level, despite continued capital growth Continuous outperformance of minimum RoE target
* After tax; target: 900 bps above 5-year rolling average of 10-year German government bond rate ("risk free")
Hannover Re is one of the most profitable reinsurers
| 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2012 - 2016 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Company | RoE | Rank | RoE | Rank | RoE | Rank | RoE | Rank | RoE | Rank | avg. RoE | Rank |
| Peer 5, Bermuda, Property & Casualty |
17.5% | 1 | 17.1% | 2 | 16.6% | 1 | 13.0% | 3 | 12.7% | 2 | 15.4% | 1 |
| Hannover Re | 15.4% | 3 | 15.0% | 3 | 14.7% | 2 | 14.7% | 1 | 13.7% | 1 | 14.7% | 2 |
| Peer 8, Bermuda, Property & Casualty |
15.9% | 2 | 18.0% | 1 | 13.7% | 3 | 9.5% | 7 | 10.0% | 5 | 13.4% | 3 |
| Peer 3, Switzerland, Composite |
13.4% | 5 | 13.7% | 4 | 10.5% | 7 | 13.7% | 2 | 10.6% | 3 | 12.4% | 4 |
| Peer 2, Germany, Composite |
12.6% | 6 | 12.5% | 5 | 11.3% | 5 | 10.2% | 6 | 8.3% | 7 | 11.0% | 5 |
| Peer 7, Bermuda Property & Casualty |
8.8% | 9 | 11.8% | 6 | 13.2% | 4 | 10.3% | 5 | 7.7% | 8 | 10.4% | 6 |
| Peer 6, France, Composite |
9.1% | 8 | 11.2% | 7 | 9.6% | 9 | 10.7% | 4 | 9.3% | 6 | 10.0% | 7 |
| Peer 1, US, Property & Casualty |
15.2% | 4 | 9.4% | 9 | 9.4% | 10 | 7.5% | 10 | 5.9% | 10 | 9.5% | 8 |
| Peer 4, US, Life & Health |
9.9% | 7 | 6.5% | 10 | 10.6% | 6 | 7.6% | 9 | 10.6% | 4 | 9.0% | 9 |
| Peer 9, Bermuda Property & Casualty |
4.9% | 10 | 10.0% | 8 | 10.4% | 8 | 7.7% | 8 | 6.8% | 9 | 8.0% | 10 |
List shows the Top 10 of the Global Reinsurance Index (GloRe) Data based on company data, own calculation
Group net income at record level Favourable earnings contribution from both underwriting and investments
| Group figures in m. EUR | Q4/2015 | Q4/2016 | 2015 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 4,123 | 3,900 | 17,069 | 16,354 |
| Net premium earned | 3,763 | 3,651 | 14,593 | 14,418 |
| Net underwriting result | 167 | 71 | 94 | 116 |
| - Incl. funds withheld | 269 | 154 | 489 | 448 |
| Net investment income | 440 | 404 | 1,665 | 1,550 |
| - From assets under own mgmt. | 338 | 322 | 1,270 | 1,218 |
| - From funds withheld | 102 | 82 | 395 | 332 |
| Other income and expenses | (42) | 25 | (4) | 23 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 565 | 500 | 1,755 | 1,689 |
| Interest on hybrid capital | (18) | (18) | (84) | (72) |
| Net income before taxes | 547 | 482 | 1,671 | 1,618 |
| Taxes | (158) | (84) | (456) | (391) |
| Net income | 389 | 398 | 1,215 | 1,226 |
| - Non-controlling interests | 24 | 17 | 64 | 55 |
| Group net income | 365 | 381 | 1,151 | 1,171 |
| Retention | 84.0% | 88.2% | 87.0% | 89.3% |
| EBIT margin (EBIT/Net premium earned) | 15.0% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% |
| Tax ratio | 29.0% | 17.5% | 27.3% | 24.2% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 3.02 | 3.16 | 9.54 | 9.71 |
- YTD
- GWP f/x-adjusted growth -2.1%
- NPE f/x-adjusted growth +1.0%
- Satisfactory EBIT margin of 11.7%
- Decrease in outstanding hybrid capital leads to lower leverage and savings in interest
- Tax ratio within normal range
Underwriting result increased by 11% Premium development in line with selective underwriting approach
| Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR | Q4/2015 | Q4/2016 | 2015 | 2016 | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 2,019 | 2,084 | 9,338 | 9,205 | GWP f/x adjusted -0.2%; growth mainly from structured R/I and US, reduced volume from |
| Net premium earned | 2,134 | 2,060 | 8,100 | 7,985 | China motor business and specialty lines NPE f/x-adjusted +0.0% |
| Net underwriting result incl. interest on funds withheld |
185 | 209 | 452 | 503 | Major losses of EUR 627 m. below budget Conservative reserving of the most recent U/Y |
| Combined ratio incl. interest on funds withheld |
91.3% | 89.9% | 94.4% | 93.7% | leads to positive run-off; confidence level of loss reserves largely stable |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
268 | 253 | 925 | 877 | Satisfactory ordinary investment income |
| Other income and expenses | (48) | (15) | (36) | (40) | Other income and expenses within normal range, decreased positive f/x effects |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 405 | 447 | 1,341 | 1,340 | EBIT margin of 16.8% (2015: 16.6%), well above target (10%) |
| Tax ratio | 29.9% | 21.2% | 27.5% | 25.3% | Net income increased by 3.8% |
| Group net income | 264 | 336 | 915 | 950 | |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 2.19 | 2.79 | 7.58 | 7.88 |
Diversified reinsurance portfolio outperforms the MtCR
| 2016: Combined Ratio vs. MtCR | EBIT | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| margin | ||||||||
| Target | North America* | 91.0% | 26.1% | |||||
| markets | Continental Europe* | 94.3% | 15.8% | |||||
| Marine | 38.5% | 73.5% | ||||||
| Aviation | 72.8% | 43.1% | ||||||
| Specialty | Credit, surety and political risks | 104.9% | 1.4% | |||||
| lines worldwide |
UK, Ireland, London market and direct |
95.6% | 25.0% | |||||
| Facultative R/I | 95.6% | 10.8% | ||||||
| Worldwide Treaty* R/I | 103.9% | 4.0% | ||||||
| Global R/I |
Cat XL | 55.9% | 56.0% | |||||
| Structured R/I and ILS | 97.3% | 7.8% | ||||||
| Total | 93.7% | 16.8% | ||||||
| 0% | 20% | 40% | 60% | 80% | 100% | 120% |
MtCR = Maximum tolerable Combined Ratio Combined Ratio
* All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately
Major losses below budget
Natural and man-made catastrophe losses* in m. EUR
1,730 724 627 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Gross Net Expected large losses (net) Natural and man-made catastrophe losses in % of Property & Casualty premium 8 % 13% 5 % 14% 25% 9 % 9 % 7 % 8 % 9 % 6 % 11% 5 % 12% 16% 7 % 8 % 6 % 7 % 8 % Expected large losses (net) in m. EUR 428 450 500 530 560 625 670 690 825
* Up to 2011 claims over EUR 5 m. gross, from 2012 onwards claims over EUR 10 m. gross
Large losses above 2015 level
| Catastrophe losses* in m. EUR | Date | Gross | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquake, Taiwan | 6 Feb | 21.6 | 19.2 |
| Storm / Hail, USA | 10 - 16 Apr | 11.4 | 8.4 |
| Earthquake, Japan | 14 Apr | 21.7 | 20.3 |
| Earthquake, Ecuador | 16 - 17 Apr | 59.3 | 58.3 |
| Wildfires, Canada | 30 Apr - 5 May | 190.8 | 127.9 |
| Storm "Elvira", Germany, France | 27 - 28 May | 18.5 | 11.9 |
| Storm / Flood, China | 1 Jun - 31 Jul | 13.2 | 13.2 |
| Storm / Hail, Netherlands, Germany | 22 - 23 Jun | 18.2 | 9.2 |
| Hail, Canada | 30 Jul | 15.1 | 9.1 |
| Typhoon "Meranti", Taiwan, China | 13 - 14 Sep | 12.2 | 12.2 |
| Hurricane "Matthew" Caribbean, USA | 3 - 8 Oct | 91.3 | 70.3 |
| Earthquake, New Zealand | 13 Nov | 85.2 | 56.3 |
| 12 Natural catastrophes | 558.3 | 416.4 | |
| 4 Marine claims | 124.6 | 66.5 | |
| 4 Property claims | 116.0 | 97.3 | |
| 1 Aviation claim | 12.3 | 11.1 | |
| 1 Credit claim | 35.2 | 35.2 | |
| 22 Major losses | 846.5 | 626.6 |
* Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross
Favourable earnings contribution from L&H business Lower EBIT mainly due to positive one-off effect in previous year
| Life & Health R/I in m. EUR | Q4/2015 | Q4/2016 | 2015 | 2016 | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 2,104 | 1,816 | 7,731 | 7,149 | GWP f/x adj. -4.3%, decrease in premium due to discontinued large-volume treaties in |
| Net premium earned | 1,628 | 1,591 | 6,492 | 6,432 | Australia and China; reduced volume from UK annuities; NPE f/x-adjusted growth +2.2% |
| Net underwriting result incl. interest on funds withheld |
83 | (55) | 35 | (55) | Negative impact from legacy US mortality business masks positive underlying trend |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
68 | 67 | 334 | 331 | Ordinary investment income in line with expectation |
| Other income and expenses | 8 | 41 | 36 | 67 | Improved other income mainly driven by positive f/x effects and reduced LoC costs |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 159 | 53 | 405 | 343 | EBIT margins: |
| EBIT margin | 9.8% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | • Financial solutions: 18.5% (target: 2%) |
| Tax ratio | 27.3% | 15.6% | 27.1% | 25.2% | • Longevity: 2.2% (target: 2%) • Mortality/Morbidity 3.4% (target: 6%) |
| Group net income | 112 | 44 | 290 | 253 | |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 0.93 | 0.37 | 2.40 | 2.10 |
Strong increase in Value of New Business ... ... mainly driven by Financial Solutions business
1) Based on MCEV principles and post-tax reporting (in 2015 cost of capital already increased from 4.5% to 6% in line with Solvency II) 2) Based on Solvency II principles and pre-tax reporting
RoI target outperformed
Equities, RE and realisations largely compensate for lower ordinary income from FIS
| in m. EUR | Q4/2015 | Q4/2016 | 2015 | 2016 | RoI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary investment income* | 351 | 317 | 1,273 | 1,171 | 2.9% |
| Realised gains/losses | 12 | 53 | 136 | 206 | 0.5% |
| Impairments/appreciations & depreciations |
(14) | (15) | (38) | (76) | -0.2% |
| Change in fair value of financial instruments (through P&L) |
10 | (3) | 1 | 26 | 0.1% |
| Investment expenses | (21) | (29) | (101) | (109) | -0.3% |
| NII from assets under own mgmt. | 338 | 322 | 1,270 | 1,218 | 3.0% |
| NII from funds withheld | 102 | 82 | 395 | 332 | |
| Total net investment income | 440 | 404 | 1,665 | 1,550 |
| Unrealised gains/losses of investments | 31 Dec 15 | 31 Dec 16 |
|---|---|---|
| On Balance-sheet | 1,146 | 1,355 |
| thereof Fixed income AFS | 636 | 728 |
| Off Balance-sheet | 497 | 509 |
| thereof Fixed income HTM, L&R | 411 | 370 |
| Total | 1,643 | 1,864 |
YTD
- Decrease in ordinary income due to challenging yield environment and last year´s one-off effect from L&H business; higher contribution from dividends and real estate
- Realised gains up mainly due to private equity and last year´s oneoff burden from inflation swaps
- Increasing impairments driven by listed equities as well as regular depreciation on real estate
- Valuation reserves up year-on-year – driven by equities as well as narrowing credit spreads
* Incl. results from associated companies
Ordinary income supported by asset classes with higher risk Diverging contribution to investment income from different asset classes
Asset allocation
| Investment category | 31 Dec 16 |
|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 87% |
| - Governments | 28% |
| - Semi-governments | 17% |
| - Corporates | 33% |
| Investment grade | 28% |
| Non-investment grade | 4% |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered Bonds, ABS | 9% |
| Equities | 4% |
| - Listed Equity | 2% |
| - Private Equity | 2% |
| Real estate/real estate funds | 5% |
| Others | 1% |
| Short-term investments & cash | 4% |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 42.3 |
Economic view based on market values as at 31 December 2016 * Before real estate-specific costs
Barbell strategy visible in fixed income composition Moderate increase in listed equities and real estate portfolios
Asset allocation1)
| Investment category | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 92% | 90% | 90% | 87% | 87% |
| - Governments | 19% | 19% | 21% | 26% | 28% |
| - Semi-governments | 23% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 18% |
| - Corporates | 33% | 36% | 36% | 34% | 33% |
| Investment grade | 30% | 33% | 33% | 30% | 28% |
| Non-investment grade3 ) |
3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS | 17% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 2) 9% |
| Equities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% |
| - Listed equity | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% |
| - Private equity | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Real estate/real estate funds | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
| Others3 ) |
1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Short-term investments & cash | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 32.5 | 32.2 | 36.8 | 39.8 | 42.3 |
1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments
of EUR 1,036.8 m. (EUR 837.1 m.) as at 31 December 2016
2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 76.3%
3) Reallocation of High Yield Funds from "Others" to "Corporates – Non-investment grade"
Solvency II reporting as at 31 December 2016
Hannover Re Group maintains comfortable capital position Capital adequacy above target with substantial excess capital
| in m. EUR | 31.12.2016 economic |
31.12.2016 Solvency II |
31.12.2015 Solvency II |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Available Economic Capital / Own Funds |
13,485 | 12,859* | 11,983 | |
| Confidence Level | 99.97% | 99.5% | 99.5% | 99.5% |
| Required Capital / Solvency Capital Requirements |
10,382 | 5,150 | 5,586 | 5,433 |
| Excess Capital |
3,103 | 8,335 | 7,273 | 6,549 |
| Capital Adequacy Ratio |
130% | 262% | 230% | 221% |
| Minimum Target Ratio (Limit) | 100% | 200% | 180% | 180% |
| Minimum Target Ratio (Threshold) | 110% | n/a | 200% | 200% |
* The figure is based on the Solvency II reporting as of 31 December 2016. The related audits are at present (not fully) completed.
Hannover Re Group is well capitalised under Solvency II From economic view to regulatory view
| in m. EUR |
Available Capital |
Required Capital |
CAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internal Model at VaR 99.97% | 13,485 | 10,382 | 130% |
| -5,232 | |||
| Internal Model at VaR 99.5% |
13,485 | 5,150 | 262% |
| Haircut for Minority Interests1) |
-626 | ||
| 12,8592) | 5,150 | 250% | |
| Add-On, Standard Formula OpRisk |
+436 | ||
| Regulatory View at VaR 99.5% |
12,8592) | 5,586 | 230% |
- Economic view: internal target confidence level at 99.97%, full internal model
- Regulatory view: partial internal model with standard formula for operational risk, confidence level at 99.5%, transferability restrictions on minority interests
1) Non-available minority interests mostly consist of non-controlling interests in E+S Rückversicherung AG
2) The figures are based on Solvency II reporting as of 31 December 2016. The related audits are at present (not fully) completed
Capital efficiency supported by high diversification Breakdown of Solvency II capital requirements
Risk capital for the 99.5% VaR (according to Solvency II) in m. EUR
As at 31 December 2016
1) Operational risk according to standard formula
2) Including differences stemming from diversification effects considered in the full internal model
High-quality capital base
Own funds largely dominated by Tier 1 capital supplemented by hybrid capital
Reconciliation (IFRS Shareholders' Equity/Solvency II Own Funds) in m. EUR
As at 31 December 2016
1) Adjustments for technical provisions incl. risk margin
2) Foreseeable dividends and distributions refer to Hannover Rück SE dividend as well as dividends to minorities within Hannover Re Group
Target Matrix 2016 Profit targets largely achieved
| Business group | Key figures | Strategic targets for 2016 |
2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Return on investment1) | ≥2.9% | 3.0% |
| Return on equity2) | ≥9.9% | 13.7% | |
| Earnings per share growth (y-o-y) | ≥6.5% | 1.8% | |
| Value creation per share3) | ≥7.5% | 18.6% | |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Gross premium growth | 3% - 5%4) | -0.2% |
| Combined ratio | ≤96%5) | 93.7% | |
| EBIT margin6) | ≥10% | 16.8% | |
| xRoCA7) | ≥2% | 7.1% | |
| Life & Health R/I | Gross premium growth | 5% - 7%8) | -4.3% |
| Value of New Business (VNB)9) | ≥ EUR 220 m. | EUR 893 m. | |
| EBIT margin6) Financial solutions/Longevity | ≥2% | 9.4% | |
| EBIT margin6) Mortality/Morbidity | ≥6% | 3.4% | |
| xRoCA7) | ≥3% | 3.5% |
5) Incl. expected net major losses of EUR 825 m. 6) EBIT/net premium earned
9) Based on a cost of capital of 6% (until 2014: 4.5%)
1) Excl. effects from ModCo derivatives 2) After tax; target: 900 bps above 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds
3) Growth in book value per share + paid dividend 4) On average throughout the R/I cycle; at unchanged f/x rates
7) Excess return on allocated economic capital 8) Organic growth only; annual average growth (5 years), at unchanged f/x rates
Outlook 2017
Overall profitability still above margin requirements Property & Casualty reinsurance: mixed picture by line of business
| Lines of business | Volume1) | Profitability2) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Target markets |
North America3) | + | |
| Continental Europe3) | +/- | ||
| Specialty lines worldwide |
Marine | +/- | |
| Aviation | - | ||
| Credit, surety and political risks | +/- | ||
| UK, Ireland, London market and direct | +/- | ||
| Facultative reinsurance | + | ||
| Global reinsurance |
Worldwide treaty3) reinsurance | +/- | |
| Cat XL | - | ||
| Structured reinsurance and ILS | +/- |
1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different
2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
3) All lines of business except those stated separately
Improving profitability driven by Financial Solutions business Life & Health reinsurance: stable to promising outlook
| Reporting categories | Volume1) | Profitability2) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial solutions |
Financial solutions | ++ | |
| Longevity | +/- | ||
| Risk solutions |
Mortality | +/- | |
| Morbidity | +/- |
1) In EUR 2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
Guidance for 2017
Hannover Re Group
- Gross written premium1) low single-digit increase
- Return on investment2) 3) ~2.7%
- Group net income2) more than EUR 1 bn.
-
Dividend payout ratio4) 35% 40% (If comfortable level of capitalisation remains unchanged, this ratio will increase through payment of another special dividend)
-
2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2017 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 825 m.
- 3) Excluding effects from ModCo derivatives
- 4) Relative to group net income according to IFRS
1) At unchanged f/x rates
Increasing earnings in the medium term Short-term stable earnings and payment of extraordinary dividends
Appendix
Our strategic business groups at a glance 2016 vs. 2015
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | 2015 | 2016 | Δ | 2015 | 2016 | Δ | 2015 | 2016 | Δ |
| Gross written premium | 9,338 | 9,205 | -1.4% | 7,731 | 7,149 | -7.5% | 17,069 | 16,354 | -4.2% |
| Net premium earned | 8,100 | 7,985 | -1.4% | 6,492 | 6,432 | -0.9% | 14,593 | 14,418 | -1.2% |
| Net underwriting result | 432 | 479 | +10.8% | (340) | (363) | +6.7% | 94 | 116 | +23.6% |
| Net underwritung result incl. funds withheld | 452 | 503 | +11.2% | 35 | (55) | - | 489 | 448 | -8.3% |
| Net investment income | 945 | 901 | -4.7% | 709 | 639 | -9.9% | 1,665 | 1,550 | -6.9% |
| From assets under own management | 925 | 877 | -5.2% | 334 | 331 | -1.1% | 1,270 | 1,218 | -4.1% |
| From funds withheld | 20 | 24 | +19.2% | 375 | 308 | -17.8% | 395 | 332 | -15.9% |
| Other income and expenses | (36) | (40) | +10.6% | 36 | 67 | +86.9% | (4) | 23 | - |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 1,341 | 1,340 | -0.1% | 405 | 343 | -15.3% | 1,755 | 1,689 | -3.8% |
| Interest on hybrid capital | 0 | (0) | - | (0) | 0 | - | (84) | (72) | -15.0% |
| Net income before taxes | 1,341 | 1,340 | -0.1% | 405 | 343 | -15.3% | 1,671 | 1,618 | -3.2% |
| Taxes | (368) | (339) | -8.0% | (110) | (87) | -21.1% | (456) | (391) | -14.2% |
| Net income | 973 | 1,001 | +2.9% | 295 | 257 | -13.1% | 1,215 | 1,226 | +1.0% |
| Non-controlling interest | 58 | 51 | -11.8% | 6 | 4 | -33.3% | 64 | 55 | -13.7% |
| Group net income | 915 | 950 | +3.8% | 290 | 253 | -12.7% | 1,151 | 1,171 | +1.8% |
| Retention | 89.3% | 88.5% | 84.2% | 90.4% | 87.0% | 89.3% | |||
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 94.4% | 93.7% | 99.5% | 100.8% | 96.7% | 96.9% | |||
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 16.6% | 16.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | |||
| Tax ratio | 27.5% | 25.3% | 27.1% | 25.2% | 27.3% | 24.2% | |||
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 7.58 | 7.88 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 9.54 | 9.71 |
Our strategic business groups at a glance Q4 stand-alone
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q4/2015 | Q4/2016 | Δ | Q4/2015 | Q4/2016 | Δ | Q4/2015 | Q4/2016 | Δ |
| Gross written premium | 2,019 | 2,084 | +3.2% | 2,104 | 1,816 | -13.7% | 4,123 | 3,900 | -5.4% |
| Net premium earned | 2,134 | 2,060 | -3.5% | 1,628 | 1,591 | -2.3% | 3,763 | 3,651 | -3.0% |
| Net underwriting result | 181 | 204 | +12.5% | (15) | (132) | - | 167 | 71 | - |
| Net underwritung result incl. funds withheld | 185 | 209 | +13.1% | 83 | (55) | - | 269 | 154 | - |
| Net investment income | 272 | 258 | -5.0% | 166 | 144 | -13.2% | 440 | 404 | -8.3% |
| From assets under own management | 268 | 253 | -5.7% | 68 | 67 | -0.9% | 338 | 322 | -4.9% |
| From funds withheld | 4 | 5 | +39.3% | 98 | 77 | -21.8% | 102 | 82 | -19.5% |
| Other income and expenses | (48) | (15) | - | 8 | 41 | - | (42) | 25 | - |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 405 | 447 | +10.5% | 159 | 53 | - | 565 | 500 | -11.5% |
| Interest on hybrid capital | 0 | (0) | - | (0) | (0) | - | (18) | (18) | -0.2% |
| Net income before taxes | 405 | 447 | +10.5% | 159 | 53 | - | 547 | 482 | -11.8% |
| Taxes | (121) | (95) | - | (43) | (8) | - | (158) | (84) | - |
| Net income | 284 | 353 | +24.1% | 115 | 45 | -61.4% | 389 | 398 | +2.4% |
| Non-controlling interest | 20 | 16 | -20.6% | 4 | 1 | -83.8% | 24 | 17 | -30.1% |
| Group net income | 264 | 336 | +27.6% | 112 | 44 | -60.6% | 365 | 381 | +4.5% |
| Retention | 91.1% | 89.1% | 77.2% | 87.2% | 84.0% | 88.2% | |||
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 91.3% | 89.9% | 94.9% | 103.5% | 92.9% | 95.8% | |||
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 19.0% | 21.7% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 15.0% | 13.7% | |||
| Tax ratio | 29.9% | 21.2% | 27.3% | 15.6% | 29.0% | 17.5% | |||
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 2.19 | 2.79 | 0.93 | 0.37 | 3.02 | 3.16 |
Well balanced international portfolio
1) Japan 2% 2) CEE and Russia 2%
Property & Casualty reinsurance: selective growth
* All lines of business except those stated separately
Life & Health reinsurance: a well diversified portfolio
Stress tests on assets under own management Unchanged focus on spreads while relevance of equities rises
| Portfolio | Scenario | Change in market value in m. EUR |
Change in OCI before tax in m. EUR |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity (listed and private equity) | -10% | -169 | -169 | |
| -20% | -339 | -339 | ||
| +50 bps | -903 | -808 | ||
| Fixed-income securities | +100 bps | -1,760 | -1,575 | |
| Credit spreads | +50% | -865 | -832 | |
| -10% | -194 | -73 | ||
| Real estate | +10% | 194 | 44 |
As at 31 December 2016
Fixed-income book well balanced Geographical allocation mainly in accordance with our business diversification
</bbb<>| Governments | Semi governments |
Corporates | Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS |
Short-term investments, cash |
Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAA | 76.8% | 65.7% | 1.0% | 67.1% | - | 45.8% | ||||||
| A A |
11.4% | 27.9% | 13.4% | 14.1% | - | 15.7% | ||||||
| A | 6.2% | 2.3% | 35.5% | 5.4% | - | 16.1% | ||||||
| BBB | 4.1% | 1.2% | 41.6% | 9.4% | - | 17.8% | ||||||
| <bbb< td=""> | 1.4% | 3.0% | 8.5% | 4.0% | - | 4.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 8.5% | 4.0% | - | 4.6% |
| Total | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | - | 100.0% | ||||||
| Germany | 10.1% | 49.5% | 3.9% | 27.3% | 38.1% | 18.5% | ||||||
| UK | 5.4% | 2.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | ||||||
| France | 1.9% | 2.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 4.5% | ||||||
| GIIPS | 1.2% | 0.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 2.6% | ||||||
| Rest of Europe | 4.4% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 23.4% | 2.7% | 12.7% | ||||||
| USA | 61.0% | 5.0% | 36.0% | 5.4% | 14.7% | 33.9% | ||||||
| Australia | 3.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | ||||||
| Asia | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 21.4% | 5.9% | ||||||
| Rest of World | 4.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.3% | ||||||
| Total | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
| Total b/s values in m. EUR | 11,655 | 7,173 | 12,977 | 3,666 | 1,688 | 37,158 |
IFRS figures as at 31 December 2016
Currency allocation matches liability profile of balance sheet Investment portfolio adjusted to increased duration of liabilities
Currency split of investments
- Modified duration of fixedincome mainly congruent with liabilities
- GBP's higher modified duration predominantly due to life business
Modified duration
| 2015 | 4.4 |
|---|---|
| 2014 | 4.6 |
| 2013 | 4.4 |
| 2012 | 4.5 |
| 2011 | 4.2 |
Modified duration as at 31 December 2016: 5.0
Partial inflation hedge: inflation expectation still low... ...but especially in US higher inflation trend anticipated from 2018 onwards
Average hedged inflation levels:
- 1.44% EUR p.a.
- 2.12% USD p.a.
- 2.34% AUD p.a.
Sensitivity to inflation
| in m. EUR | Inflation-linked bonds: Change in market value through OCI |
|---|---|
| Inflation expectation*: +100 bps | +94 |
| Inflation expectation*: -100 bps | -87 |
| Inflation expectation*: +400 bps | +423 |
Bond volume
Nominal value of inflation-linked bonds
- USD: EUR 1,146 m.
- EUR: EUR 347.9 m.
- AUD: EUR 124.0 m.
- Total amount: EUR 1,618.2 m.
Disclaimer
This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities.
While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-to-date, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information.
Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements.
This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re.
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