Earnings Release • Nov 10, 2016
Earnings Release
Open in ViewerOpens in native device viewer
Hannover, 10 November 2016
| Gross written premium: Net premium earned: |
EUR 12,454 m. (-3.8%) EUR 10,767 m. (-0.6%) |
|
GWP in line with expectations (f/x adjusted -1.7%) NPE f/x-adj. growth of +1.7% |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBIT: Group net income: |
EUR 1,189 m. EUR 790 m. |
contribution from L&H |
EBIT and net income benefitting from improved P&C underwriting result and increased earnings |
|
| RoE: Book value per share: Shareholders' equity: |
12.5% EUR 72.81 EUR 8,781 m. |
RoE remains well above our minimum target Shareholders' equity up by 8.8%, despite dividend payment in Q2/2016, driven by net income and increase in valuation reserves |
||
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Investments | ||
| EBIT: EUR 893 m. Improved C/R (95.0%) fuelled by |
EBIT: EBIT increased significantly by |
EUR 290 m. | NII: EUR 1,146 m. RoI from AuM: 3.0% RoI slightly above full-year target |
|
| strong underwriting result Net major losses of EUR 393 m. (6.6% of NPE) well below expected level, driven by benign Q3/2016 Premium development in line with selective underwriting approach |
+17.9% F/x-adj. GWP -2.0%; decreasing growth in UK Longevity |
premium due to discontinuation of large-volume treaties in Australia and China, partly offset by attractive |
(2.9%) Ordinary investment income lower mainly due to positive one-off effect in L&H in previous year AuM increased by 3.4% |
| Group figures in m. EUR | Q3/2015 | Q3/2016 | Q1-3/2015 | Q1-3/2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 4,359 | 4,170 | 12,946 | 12,454 |
| Net premium earned | 3,811 | 3,600 | 10,830 | 10,767 |
| Net underwriting result | (33) | 47 | (73) | 44 |
| - Incl. funds withheld | 63 | 121 | 220 | 294 |
| Net investment income | 426 | 402 | 1,225 | 1,146 |
| - From assets under own mgmt. | 330 | 327 | 932 | 897 |
| - From funds withheld | 95 | 74 | 293 | 250 |
| Other income and expenses | 8 | (5) | 38 | (2) |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 401 | 444 | 1,190 | 1,189 |
| Interest on hybrid capital | (18) | (18) | (66) | (54) |
| Net income before taxes | 383 | 426 | 1,124 | 1,135 |
| Taxes | (114) | (112) | (298) | (307) |
| Net income | 269 | 314 | 826 | 828 |
| - Non-controlling interests | 15 | 10 | 40 | 38 |
| Group net income | 254 | 304 | 786 | 790 |
| Retention | 87.3% | 89.4% | 87.9% | 89.6% |
| EBIT margin (EBIT/Net premium earned) | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% |
| Tax ratio | 29.7% | 26.3% | 26.5% | 27.0% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 2.11 | 2.52 | 6.52 | 6.55 |
* Affected by a financial solutions treaty with approx. EUR 500 m. cash inflow in Q4/2015
| Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR | Q3/2015 | Q3/2016 | Q1-3/2015 | Q1-3/2016 | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 2,347 | 2,493 | 7,319 | 7,121 | GWP f/x adjusted -1.5%; growth mainly from US and structured R/I, reduced volume from |
| Net premium earned | 2,071 | 2,087 | 5,965 | 5,925 | China motor business and specialty lines NPE f/x adjusted +0.9% |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
87 | 116 | 268 | 294 | Major losses of EUR 393 m. well below budget of EUR 621 m. for Q1-3/2016 |
| Combined ratio incl. interest on funds withheld |
95.8% | 94.4% | 95.5% | 95.0% | Positive reserve run-off as expected, no extraordinary effects in Q3/2016 |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
242 | 219 | 657 | 624 | Satisfactory ordinary investment income |
| Other income and expenses | 25 | (4) | 12 | (25) | Other income and expenses unremarkable, Q1-3/2015 benefitted from positive f/x effects |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 353 | 332 | 936 | 893 | EBIT margin of 15.1% (Q1-3/2015: 15.7%) well above 10%-target |
| Tax ratio | 30.0% | 25.8% | 26.4% | 27.4% | |
| Group net income | 233 | 237 | 651 | 613 | |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.93 | 1.97 | 5.40 | 5.09 |
2) 2006 adjusted to new segmentation
| Catastrophe losses* in m. EUR | Date | Gross | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquake, Taiwan | 6 Feb | 21.2 | 19.9 |
| Earthquake, Japan | 14 Apr | 25.9 | 24.5 |
| Earthquake, Ecuador | 16 - 17 Apr | 56.4 | 55.5 |
| Wildfires, Canada | 30 Apr - 5 May | 186.2 | 125.3 |
| Storm "Elvira", Germany, France | 27 - 28 May | 19.8 | 12.7 |
| Storm / Flood, China | 1 Jun - 31 Jul | 13.0 | 13.0 |
| Storm / Hail, Netherlands, Germany | 22 - 23 Jun | 15.7 | 7.7 |
| 7 Natural catastrophes | 338.1 | 258.6 | |
| 3 Marine claims | 96.7 | 50.2 | |
| 3 Property claims | 80.9 | 62.1 | |
| 1 Credit claim | 22.3 | 22.3 | |
| 14 Major losses | 538.1 | 393.2 |
* Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross
NPE (in m. EUR)
| Target | * North America |
96.3% | 1,099 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| markets | * Continental Europe |
94.3% | 942 | |
| Marine | 31.6% | 146 | ||
| Specialty | Aviation | 86.4% | 186 | |
| lines | Credit, surety and political risks | 103.9% | 437 | |
| worldwide | UK, Ireland, London market and direct |
96.8% | 303 | |
| Facultative R/I | 97.2% | 651 | ||
| * Worldwide Treaty R/I |
101.5% | 1,259 | ||
| Global R/I |
Cat XL | 68.6% | 212 | |
| Structured R/I and ILS | 97.6% | 691 | ||
| Total | 95.0% | 5,925 | ||
| 0% 20% 40% 60% |
80% 100% |
120% 140% 160% |
MtCR = Maximum tolerable Combined Ratio Combined Ratio
* All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately
| Life and health R/I in m. EUR | Q3/2015 | Q3/2016 | Q1-3/2015 | Q1-3/2016 | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 2,012 | 1,677 | 5,627 | 5,333 | GWP f/x-adj. -2.0%, reduced premium due to discontinued large-volume treaties in Australia & |
| Net premium earned | 1,739 | 1,513 | 4,864 | 4,841 | China partly offset by growth from UK Longevity NPE f/x-adjusted growth +2.8% |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
(24) | 5 | (48) | 1 | Improved technical result in line with expectation |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
87 | 105 | 266 | 263 | Ordinary investment income in line with expectation (Q1/2015 affected by positive |
| Other income and expenses | (17) | 0 | 28 | 26 | one-off of EUR 39 m.) Decreased impact from positive f/x effects |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 46 | 111 | 246 | 290 | EBIT margins: |
| EBIT margin | 2.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | • Financial solutions: 19.7%, (target 2.0%) • Longevity: 2.4% (target 2.0%) |
| Tax ratio | 28.4% | 28.8% | 26.9% | 26.9% | • Mortality and Morbidity: 4.3% (target 6.0%) |
| Group net income | 32 | 78 | 178 | 209 | |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 0.27 | 0.65 | 1.47 | 1.73 |
| in m. EUR | Q3/2015 | Q3/2016 | Q1-3/2015 | Q1-3/2016 | RoI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary investment income* | 318 | 285 | 921 | 855 | 2.8% |
| Realised gains/losses | 58 | 74 | 124 | 154 | 0.5% |
| Impairments/appreciations & depreciations |
(9) | (13) | (24) | (61) | -0.2% |
| Change in fair value of financial instruments (through P&L) |
(8) | 9 | (9) | 29 | 0.1% |
| Investment expenses | (28) | (27) | (80) | (80) | -0.3% |
| NII from assets under own mgmt. | 330 | 327 | 932 | 897 | 3.0% |
| NII from funds withheld | 95 | 74 | 293 | 250 | |
| Total net investment income | 426 | 402 | 1,225 | 1,146 | |
| Unrealised gains/losses of investments | 31 Dec 15 | 30 Sep 16 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 30 Sep 16 | |
|---|---|---|
| On Balance-sheet | 1,146 | 2,087 |
| thereof Fixed income AFS | 636 | 1,593 |
| Off Balance-sheet | 497 | 557 |
| thereof Fixed income HTM, L&R | 411 | 456 |
| Total | 1,643 | 2,644 |
* Incl. results from associated companies
| Investment category | 30 Sep 16 |
|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 86 % |
| - Governments | 27 % |
| - Semi-governments | 18 % |
| - Corporates | 32 % |
| Investment grade | 28 % |
| Non-investment grade | 4 % |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered Bonds, ABS | 2) 9 % |
| Equities | 4 % |
| - Listed Equity | 2 % |
| - Private Equity | 2 % |
| Real estate/real estate funds | 4 % |
| Others | 1 % |
| Short-term investments & cash | 5 % |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 41.2 |
Economic view based on market values as at 30 September 2016
1) Before real estate-specific costs
2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 77.2%
| Business group | Key figures | Strategic targets for 2016 |
Q1-3/2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Return on investment1) | ≥2.9% | 3.0% |
| Return on equity2) | ≥10.0% | 12.5% | |
| Earnings per share growth (y-o-y) | ≥6.5% | 0.5% | |
| Value creation per share3) | ≥7.5% | n.a. | |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Gross premium growth | 3% - 5%4) | -1.5% |
| Combined ratio | ≤96%5) | 95.0% | |
| EBIT margin6) | ≥10% | 15.1% | |
| xRoCA7) | ≥2% | n.a. | |
| Life & Health R/I | Gross premium growth | 5% - 7%8) | -2.0% |
| Value of New Business (VNB)9) | ≥ EUR 220 m. | n.a. | |
| EBIT margin6) Financial solutions/Longevity | ≥2% | 9.4% | |
| EBIT margin6) Mortality/Morbidity | ≥6% | 4.3% | |
| xRoCA7) | ≥3% | n.a. | |
| 1) Excl. effects from ModCo derivatives |
2) After tax; target: 900 bps above 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds |
3) Growth in book value per share + paid dividend 4) On average throughout the R/I cycle; at unchanged f/x rates
5) Incl. expected net major losses of EUR 825 m. 6) EBIT/net premium earned
9) Based on a cost of capital of 6% (until 2014: 4.5%)
7) Excess return on allocated economic capital 8) Organic growth only; annual average growth (5 years), at unchanged f/x rates
Hannover Re Group
1) At unchanged f/x rates
2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2016 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 825 m.
3) Excluding effects from ModCo derivatives
4) Related to group net income according to IFRS
| Lines of business | Volume1) | Profitability2) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Target | North America3) | | + |
| markets | Continental Europe3) | | +/- |
| Marine | | + | |
| Aviation | | - | |
| Specialty lines |
Credit, surety and political risks | | +/- |
| worldwide | UK, Ireland, London market and direct | | +/- |
| Facultative R/I | | +/- | |
| Worldwide treaty3) R/I | | +/- | |
| Global R/I |
Cat XL | | - |
| Structured R/I and ILS | | +/- |
1) In EUR
2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
3) All lines of business except those stated separately
| Reporting categories | Volume1) | Profitability2) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial solutions |
Financial solutions | ++ | |
| Longevity | | +/- | |
| Risk solutions |
Mortality | | +/- |
| Morbidity | +/- |
1) In EUR 2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
Hannover Re Group
2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2017 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 825 m.
3) Excluding effects from ModCo derivatives
4) Related to group net income according to IFRS
1) At unchanged f/x rates
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q1-3/2015 | Q1-3/2016 | Δ | Q1-3/2015 | Q1-3/2016 | Δ | Q1-3/2015 | Q1-3/2016 | Δ |
| Gross written premium | 7,319 | 7,121 | -2.7% | 5,627 | 5,333 | -5.2% | 12,946 | 12,454 | -3.8% |
| Net premium earned | 5,965 | 5,925 | -0.7% | 4,864 | 4,841 | -0.5% | 10,830 | 10,767 | -0.6% |
| Net underwriting result | 251 | 276 | +9.6% | (325) | (231) | -28.9% | (73) | 44 | - |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld | 268 | 294 | +9.9% | (48) | 1 | - | 220 | 294 | +33.7% |
| Net investment income | 673 | 642 | -4.5% | 543 | 495 | -8.9% | 1,225 | 1,146 | -6.4% |
| From assets under own management | 657 | 624 | -5.0% | 266 | 263 | +38.8% | 932 | 897 | -3.8% |
| From funds withheld | 16 | 19 | +14.4% | 277 | 231 | -16.4% | 293 | 250 | -14.7% |
| Other income and expenses | 12 | (25) | - | 28 | 26 | -5.3% | 38 | (2) | - |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 936 | 893 | -4.6% | 246 | 290 | +17.9% | 1,190 | 1,189 | -0.1% |
| Interest on hybrid capital | (0) | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | (66) | (54) | -18.9% |
| Net income before taxes | 936 | 893 | -4.6% | 246 | 290 | +17.9% | 1,124 | 1,135 | +1.0% |
| Taxes | (247) | (244) | -1.3% | (66) | (78) | +18.0% | (298) | (307) | +3.0% |
| Net income | 689 | 649 | -5.8% | 180 | 212 | +17.9% | 826 | 828 | +0.3% |
| Non-controlling interest | 38 | 35 | -7.1% | 2 | 3 | +48.6% | 40 | 38 | -4.0% |
| Group net income | 651 | 613 | -5.8% | 178 | 209 | +17.5% | 786 | 790 | +0.5% |
| Retention | 88.8% | 88.3% | 86.8% | 91.5% | 87.9% | 89.6% | |||
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 95.5% | 95.0% | 101.0% | 100.0% | 98.0% | 97.3% | |||
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 15.7% | 15.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | |||
| Tax ratio | 26.4% | 27.4% | 26.9% | 26.9% | 26.5% | 27.0% | |||
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 5.40 | 5.09 | 1.47 | 1.73 | 6.52 | 6.55 |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q3/2015 | Q3/2016 | Δ | Q3/2015 | Q3/2016 | Δ | Q3/2015 | Q3/2016 | Δ |
| Gross written premium | 2,347 | 2,493 | +6.2% | 2,012 | 1,677 | -16.6% | 4,359 | 4,170 | -4.3% |
| Net premium earned | 2,071 | 2,087 | +0.8% | 1,739 | 1,513 | -13.0% | 3,811 | 3,600 | -5.5% |
| Net underwriting result | 80 | 109 | +35.6% | (113) | (62) | -45.6% | (33) | 47 | - |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld | 87 | 116 | +34.2% | (24) | 5 | - | 63 | 121 | +94.1% |
| Net investment income | 248 | 226 | -8.6% | 176 | 173 | -2.1% | 426 | 402 | -5.7% |
| From assets under own management | 242 | 219 | -9.2% | 87 | 105 | +21.1% | 330 | 327 | -1.0% |
| From funds withheld | 6 | 7 | +15.2% | 89 | 67 | -24.8% | 95 | 74 | -22.2% |
| Other income and expenses | 25 | (4) | -114.3% | (17) | 0 | - | 8 | (5) | -161.7% |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 353 | 332 | -5.8% | 46 | 111 | +140.6% | 401 | 444 | +10.7% |
| Interest on hybrid capital | 0 | (0) | - | (0) | (0) | - | (18) | (18) | -0.2% |
| Net income before taxes | 353 | 332 | -5.8% | 46 | 111 | +140.6% | 383 | 426 | +11.2% |
| Taxes | (106) | (86) | -19.1% | (13) | (32) | +144.3% | (114) | (112) | -1.4% |
| Net income | 247 | 246 | -0.2% | 33 | 79 | +139.2% | 269 | 314 | +16.6% |
| Non-controlling interest | 14 | 9 | -35.7% | 1 | 1 | -1.6% | 15 | 10 | -33.5% |
| Group net income | 233 | 237 | +2.0% | 32 | 78 | +143.5% | 254 | 304 | +19.6% |
| Retention | 87.3% | 88.5% | 87.2% | 90.8% | 87.3% | 89.4% | |||
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 95.8% | 94.4% | 101.4% | 99.6% | 98.4% | 96.6% | |||
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 17.0% | 15.9% | 2.7% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.3% | |||
| Tax ratio | 30.0% | 25.8% | 28.4% | 28.8% | 29.7% | 26.3% | |||
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.93 | 1.97 | 0.27 | 0.65 | 2.11 | 2.52 |
| Investment category | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 30.09.2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 92% | 90% | 90% | 87% | 86% |
| - Governments | 19% | 19% | 21% | 26% | 27% |
| - Semi-governments | 23% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 18% |
| - Corporates | 33% | 36% | 36% | 34% | 32% |
| Investment grade | 30% | 33% | 33% | 30% | 28% |
| Non-investment grade3 ) |
3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered Bonds, ABS | 17% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 2) 9% |
| Equities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% |
| - Listed Equity | <1% | <1% | <1 % | 1% | 2% |
| - Private Equity | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Real estate/real estate funds | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| Others3 ) |
1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Short-term investments & cash | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 32.5 | 32.2 | 36.8 | 39.8 | 41.2 |
1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments of EUR 983.2 m. (EUR 837.1 m.) as at 30 September 2016
2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 77.2%
3) Reallocation of High Yield Funds from "Others" to "Corporates – Non-investment grade"
| Portfolio | Scenario | Change in market value in m. EUR |
Change in OCI before tax in m. EUR |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -10% | -156 | -156 | ||
| Equity (listed and private equity) | -20% | -312 | -312 | |
| +50 bps | -855 | -767 | ||
| Fixed-income securities | +100 bps | -1,667 | -1,495 | |
| Credit spreads | +50% | -752 | -722 |
As at 30 September 2016
| Governments | Semi governments |
Corporates | Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS |
Short-term investments, cash |
Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAA | 76.1% | 65.2% | 1.2% | 67.2% | - | 45.6% | ||||||
| A A |
11.6% | 28.2% | 13.6% | 15.1% | - | 16.1% | ||||||
| A | 6.6% | 2.5% | 37.3% | 5.3% | - | 16.8% | ||||||
| BBB | 4.4% | 1.2% | 40.0% | 8.7% | - | 17.2% | ||||||
| <bbb< td=""> | 1.3% | 2.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | - | 4.3% | </bbb<>1.3% | 2.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | - | 4.3% |
| Total | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | - | 100.0% | ||||||
| Germany | 9.4% | 47.1% | 4.2% | 26.9% | 44.9% | 18.6% | ||||||
| UK | 5.5% | 3.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | ||||||
| France | 2.4% | 2.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 4.3% | ||||||
| GIIPS | 1.3% | 1.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 0.0% | 2.8% | ||||||
| Rest of Europe | 5.1% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 25.1% | 3.5% | 13.2% | ||||||
| USA | 60.6% | 5.1% | 35.8% | 4.3% | 14.9% | 33.2% | ||||||
| Australia | 2.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | ||||||
| Asia | 7.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 16.1% | 5.8% | ||||||
| Rest of World | 5.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | ||||||
| Total | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
| Total b/s values in m. EUR | 11,165 | 7,048 | 12,544 | 3,624 | 2,044 | 36,425 |
IFRS figures as at 30 September 2016
| 2015 | 4.4 |
|---|---|
| 2014 | 4.6 |
| 2013 | 4.4 |
| 2012 | 4.5 |
| 2011 | 4.2 |
This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities.
While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-to-date, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information.
Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements.
This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re.
© Hannover Rück SE. All rights reserved.
Hannover Re is the registered service mark of Hannover Rück SE.
Building tools?
Free accounts include 100 API calls/year for testing.
Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.