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Grieg Seafood — Earnings Release 2017
Feb 15, 2018
3612_rns_2018-02-15_da688f5a-f0e7-44aa-a85e-1061e8dbae7e.pdf
Earnings Release
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Grieg Seafood ASA
Andreas Kvame | CEO
Atle Harald Sandtorv | CFO
15 February 2018
Agenda
- Highlights
- This is Grieg Seafood
- Business Units (Regions)
- Financials
- Outlook
Highlights Q4 2017
- Profit decline as a result of lower market prices and reduced harvested volumes
- 3 000 tonnes of harvest volume transferred from 2017 to 2018
- Results impaired by PD-affected fish in Rogaland
- Upsurge in market activity and good demand expected in 2018
- tonnes in 2018, up 28 % from 2017
- Number of fish in sea increased by 27 % YoY
- Biomass in sea increased by 20 % YoY
Financial highlights Q4 2017
Long-term targets and near-term priorities
EBIT before FV adjustment/KG gwt (NOK)
Business units performance – YTD 2017
EBIT before FV adjustment/KG gwt (NOK)
GSF Rogaland
- The increase in harvested volume from Q3 2017, led to lower cost per kg
- However, PD fish weaker than normal moving cost up
- The cost per kg is expected to remain high in Q1 2018, due to low harvest volumes
- tonnes less than previously guided, of which 400 tons was related to loss of transferred to 2018
- Sea production has been stable during the quarter
| GSF Rogaland | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| • The increase in harvested volume from Q3 2017, led to lower cost per kg |
Q4 2017 | Q4 2016 | YTD 2017 | YTD 2016 | |
| – However, PD fish weaker than normal |
Harvest (gwt) | 4 278 | 5 766 | 18 111 | 18 367 |
| moving cost up | Sales revenues | 219 948 | 371 113 | 1 151 003 | 1 140 398 |
| • The cost per kg is expected to remain |
EBIT | 29 105 | 177 054 | 393 614 | 466 756 |
| high in Q1 2018, due to low harvest volumes |
EBIT/kg | 6.8 | 30.7 | 21.7 | 25.4 |
| • The harvested volume in Q4 was 1 400 |
|||||
| tonnes less than previously guided, of | |||||
| which 400 tons was related to loss of weight from PD, while 1 000 tons was |
|||||
| transferred to 2018 |
GSF Finnmark
- The cost per kg was reduced somewhat in Q4 2017 over the previous quarter
- The cost per kg is expected to increase in Q1 2018, as a result of low harvest volumes
- less than previously guided, transferred to 2018
- Sub-normal sea temperatures caused some reduction of production, underlying biology stable
- Ready to grow
- New sites established
- Invested in increased smolt capacity
- Increased number of smolt in sea
| GSF Finnmark | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | The cost per kg was reduced somewhat | |||||
| in Q4 2017 over the previous quarter | Harvest (gwt) | Q4 2017 8 626 |
Q4 2016 9 336 |
YTD 2017 22 831 |
YTD 2016 22 104 |
|
| • | The cost per kg is expected to increase | Sales revenues | 422 329 | 580 942 | 1 268 482 | 1 244 255 |
| in Q1 2018, as a result of low harvest | EBIT | 102 681 | 244 317 | 350 649 | 447 131 | |
| volumes | EBIT/kg | 11.9 | 26.2 | 15.4 | 20.2 | |
| • | Harvested volume approx. 1 500 tons |
|||||
| less than previously guided, transferred to 2018 |
||||||
| • | Sub-normal sea temperatures caused |
GSF BC (Canada)
- Compared to the previous quarter, costs increased somewhat during Q4, largely attributable to an incident of increased mortality in connection with lice treatment
- Costs are expected to move down in Q1
- Sea production during the period has been good
- Smolt production according to plan, stable biology
- Initiatives related to algae and low oxygen levels progressing according to plan
| Q4 2017 | Q4 2016 | YTD 2017 | YTD 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvest (gwt) | 2 622 | 1 917 | 9 600 | 10 715 |
| Sales revenues | 155 284 | 119 013 | 580 293 | 615 438 |
| EBIT | 18 977 | 13 367 | 120 162 | 80 526 |
| EBIT/kg | 7.2 | 7.0 | 12.5 | 7.5 |
GSF Shetland
- Costs in Shetland remain high, mainly because of issues with lice and algae
- Nevertheless, the cost level continued to decline during Q4, against the previous quarter
- The cost per kg is, however, expected to increase in Q1 due to low harvested volumes
- Sea production was relatively stable over the quarter
- GSF collaborates closely with other aquaculture companies in the region to solve biologically issues
- Prioritised going forward
- Using the best sites, lower production and cost
- Longer fallowing periods
- Algae monitoring
- Initiatives to lower the number of lice, cleaner fish, fresh water treatment
| Q4 2017 | Q4 2016 | YTD 2017 | YTD 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvest (gwt) | 3 141 | 3 897 | 12 056 | 13 541 |
| Sales revenues | 185 657 | 240 039 | 745 934 | 859 815 |
| EBIT | 29 706 | 34 336 | 68 657 | 176 558 |
| EBIT/kg | 9.5 | 8.8 | 5.7 | 13.0 |
Financials
Profit and Loss
| Profit and Loss | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All figures in NOKm | Q4 2017 | Q4 2016 | YTD 2017 | YTD 2016 | ||
| Total operating income | 1 731 | 2 069 | 7 038 | 6 604 | ||
| EBITDA | 204 | 502 | 1 104 | 1 342 | ||
| Depreciation and amortisation | -54 | -46 | -201 | -174 | ||
| 151 | 456 | 904 | 1 168 | • | Higher depreciations following | |
| EBIT before biomass adj | ||||||
| Fair value adj biological assets | 129 | 227 | -91 | 516 | ||
| EBIT after biomass adj. | 279 | 683 | 812 | 1 683 | growth investments | |
| Share of profit ass. companies | - | - | - | 12 | • | Net financials positive |
| Net financial | 13 | 0 | -14 | -135 | ||
| Profit before tax | 293 | 684 | 798 | 1 561 | cost | |
| Estimated taxation | -84 | -135 | -213 | -339 | • Changes in currency |
- Revenues and earnings down due to lower prices and volume
- Higher depreciations following growth investments
- Net financials positive
- Low NIBD/EBITDA-ratio reducing financial cost
- Changes in currency
EBIT and cost development
- Lower spot-prices offset by higher contract prices
- Cost/kg farming stable
-
The high ASA cost in Q4 2017 mainly related to loss on contracts of ASC certified fish, failed to produce the contracted volume of ASC certified fish.
-
Maintenance NOK 200 million
- Expansion of smolt plant Rogaland/Finnmark NOK 150 million (MNOK 60 moved from 2017)
- Growth on licenses Finnmark MNOK 60
- Improving biology and growth MNOK 240
Cash Flow
(NOKm)
- Working capital increase due higher biomass
- 2018 growth ambitions expected to increase working capital by some NOK 200 million next year
- NOK 300 million draw on revolving credit facility
- Dividend MNOK 110 paid
Dividend
- Dividend policy: 25–35% of the company's profits after tax, adjusted for the effect of biomass adjustments.
- In 2017, dividends for the fiscal year 2016 have been paid in the total amount of NOK 4 per share, which corresponds to 56 % of 2016 profits after tax and fair value adjustment of biomass.
- Dividend for the fiscal year 2017 will be decided by the Annual General Meeting. The Board will return with its recommendation for the size of the dividend.
- The Board will request that the authorisation provided by the Annual General Meeting in 2017 to pay additional dividend later in the year, is carried over.
NIBD
| NIBD | ||
|---|---|---|
| NOKm Term Loan |
Q4 2017 985 |
Q4 2016 1 075 |
| Revolving Credit | 300 | 0 |
| Leasing | 260 | 317 |
| Other interest bearing debt | 11 | 17 |
| Cash - closing balance | -272 | -504 |
- Remaining undrawn rev cred of NOK 400 million
- New term sheet signed, increasing bank frame NOK 500 million
Net Interest Bearing Debt/EBITDA
NIBD (NOK 1,000) (excl. factoring)
NIBD/EBITDA
(according to covenants)
• NIBD increased due to growth
| Balance sheet - Assets |
||
|---|---|---|
| (NOK 1,000) | ||
| ASSETS | 31.12.17 | 31.12.16 |
| Goodw ill |
109 038 | 108 595 |
| Licenses | 1 068 552 | 1 060 622 |
| Other intangible assets | 18 383 | 17 598 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 1 868 622 | 1 510 379 |
| Investments in associated and joint venture companies | 0 | 0 |
| Other non-current assets | 16 068 | 5 612 |
| Total non-current assets | 3 080 664 | 2 702 804 |
| Inventories | 85 516 | 89 164 |
| Biological assets | 2 024 945 | 1 635 138 |
| Fair value biological assets | 682 089 | 824 487 |
| Accounts receivable | 761 407 | 800 591 |
| Other current receivables | 198 527 | 163 246 |
| Derivates and other financial instruments | 48 232 | 48 994 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 271 715 | 503 613 |
| Total current assets | 4 072 431 | 4 065 234 |
| Total assets | 7 153 095 | 6 768 038 |
Balance sheet – Equity and liabilities
(NOK 1,000)
| Balance sheet – | Equity and liabilities | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK 1,000) | |||
| 31.12.17 | 31.12.16 | ||
| EQUITY AND LIABILITIES Share capital |
446 647 | 446 648 | |
| Treasury Shares | -5 000 | -5 000 | |
| Retained earnings and other equity | 2 890 508 | 2 765 303 | |
| Total equity | 3 332 155 | 3 206 951 | |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 720 611 | 674 684 | |
| Pension- and other obligations | 9 799 | 11 360 | |
| Subordinated loans | 15 353 | 15 963 | |
| Borrow ings and leasing |
1 393 587 | 1 230 327 | |
| Total non-current liabilities | 2 139 350 | 1 932 333 | |
| Short-term loan facilities | 157 225 | 165 606 | |
| Factoring | 500 976 | 502 535 | |
| Accounts payable | 584 982 | 493 534 | |
| Tax payable | 174 552 | 172 057 | |
| Derivates and other financial instruments | 28 462 | 23 990 | |
| Other current liabilities | 235 393 | 271 032 | |
| Total current liabilities | 1 681 590 | 1 628 754 | |
| 3 820 940 | 3 561 088 | ||
| Total liabilities |
Key financial indicators
| Key financial indicators | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2017 | Q4 2016 | YTD 2017 | YTD 2016 | |
| EBITDA-margin before adj FV | 12 % | 24 % | 16 % | 20 % |
| EBIT-margin before adj FV | 9 % | 22 % | 13 % | 18 % |
| NIBD/EBITDA before adj FV | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| ROCE before adj FV | 15 % | 52 % | 24 % | 33 % |
OUTLOOK
Harvest estimate
| Harvest estimate | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guiding 2018 (1,000 tons gw e) |
Rogaland | Finnmark | BC | Shetland | GSF Group |
| 3.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8.9 | ||
| Q1 | 2.5 | ||||
| Growth % | -42 % | 110 % | 69 % | -32 % | 4 % |
| Q2-Q4 | 18.5 | 26.1 | 15.4 | 11.1 | 71.1 |
| Growth % | 35 % | 23 % | 84 % | 3 % | 31 % |
| Total | 21.0 | 29.5 | 17.5 | 12.0 | 80.0 |
- 3 000 tons moved from 2017 increasing harvest guiding 2017 to 80 000 tons
- Harvested volume up 28 % from 2017
- Number of fish in sea increased by 27 % YoY
- Biomass in sea increased by 20 % YoY
Supply outlook
27
Expected global harvest quantity growth 2018: 5 %
- Norway 2017: +3% 2018: +8% (1,173' MT)
- Chile
- 2017: +15%
- 2018: +6% (552' MT)
- North America
- 2017: -1%
- 2018: +4% (152' MT)
- UK 2017: +10%
Global supply growth farmed salmon (YoY):
NASDAQ (Norway) price development :
Outlook/summary
• Growth strategy moving forward as planned
- Increased smolt capacity, both internal and external
- Smolt input increased by 27 % in 2017
- 100 000 tons in 2020
• Focusing on cost
- On level with or lower than the industry average
- Increased volumes, improved utilisation of capacity and shorter production time at sea will contribute to higher efficiency and reduced cost of production
- To reach this goal, GSF has started an internal improvement programme, which will operate until 2020
- Ocean Quality per today excluded from exporting Norwegian Salmon to China
- Lower market prices are expected to stimulate the market activity
- Supply growth guidance of 5 % in 2018
- Supply growth guidance of 5 % in 2019
- Expected contract share Norway 22 % for 2018
- Expected contract share UK 22 % for 2018
- The harvest volume for Q1 2018 is expected to be 8 900 tons (80 000 tons for 2018)
Share information • 111.7 million (after full conversion of bonds in August 2009) − Last issues: Q2 2009 • MNOK 139 new share issue − Subordinated convertible bond issue: Q1 2009
- − Number of shares
-
85% converted in Q2 2009 • 15% converted in Q3 2009 • 1.80 NOK/share Q4 2017 • 4.90 NOK/share Q4 2016
-
100 mill. convertible at NOK 4.00 per share within 31.12.2010 • Largest 20 hold 75.76% of total no. of shares
- − EPS
- − Shareholder structure
Shareholders
| Shareholders | ||
|---|---|---|
| No. shares | % | |
| GRIEG HOLDINGS AS | 55 801 409 | 49.97 % |
| OM HOLDING AS FOLKETRYGDFONDET |
5 164 379 2 949 137 |
4.63 % 2.64 % |
| NYE YSTHOLMEN AS | 2 928 197 | 2.62 % |
| STATE STREET BANK AND TRUST COMP VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO INVESTMENT |
2 602 761 1 915 000 |
2.33 % 1.71 % |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG GAMBA | 1 700 796 | 1.52 % |
| JPMORGAN CHASE BANK, N.A., LONDON | 1 477 767 | 1.32 % |
| CLEARSTREAM BANKING S.A. | 1 286 414 | 1.15 % |
| GRIEG SEAFOOD ASA | 1 250 000 | 1.12 % |
| EUROCLEAR BANK S.A./N.V. | 1 038 097 | 0.93 % |
| ARCTIC FUNDS PLC | 926 000 | 0.83 % |
| STATE STREET BANK AND TRUST COMP | 850 452 | 0.76 % |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO NORDIC | 799 000 | 0.72 % |
| JPMORGAN CHASE BANK, N.A., LONDON | 745 897 | 0.67 % |
| VPF NORDEA KAPITAL | 674 006 | 0.60 % |
| Total 20 largest shareholders Total other |
100.00 % | |
| JPMORGAN CHASE BANK, N.A., LONDON VPF NORDEA AVKASTNING MORGAN STANLEY AND CO INTL PLC CREDIT SUISSE SECURITIES (EUROPE) |
649 460 648 523 598 815 587 515 84 593 625 27 068 375 |
0.58 % 0.58 % 0.54 % 0.53 % 75.76 % 24.24 % |
Cash Flow
(NOK 1,000)
| Cash Flow | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK 1,000) | ||||
| Q4 2017 | Q4 2016 | YTD 2017 | YTD 2016 | |
| Cash - opening balance | 341 612 | 199 468 | 503 613 | 392 020 |
| EBITDA | 204 280 | 502 039 | 1 104 240 | 1 341 661 |
| Inventory, trade payables and trade receivables | -172 308 | -109 824 | -290 807 | -404 850 |
| Other adjustments | -71 007 | 113 160 | -112 244 | 16 302 |
| Cash flow from operations | -39 035 | 505 375 | 701 189 | 953 113 |
| Capital expenditure (fixed assets) | -178 073 | -88 051 | -537 501 | -237 653 |
| Investments in associated companies/shares | 0 | 15 593 | 0 | 39 592 |
| Change in other non-current receiveables | 2 922 | -1 519 | -5 705 | -1 519 |
| Cash flow from investments | -175 151 | -73 977 | -543 206 | -199 580 |
| Changes in interest-bearing debt | 266 794 | -54 | 144 729 | -375 103 |
| Paid dividends | -110 412 | -110 412 | -441 648 | -165 618 |
| Paid dividends to non-controlling interests | 0 | 0 | -32 561 | -12 929 |
| Net interest and financial items | -12 017 | -17 731 | -59 756 | -91 184 |
| Cash flow from financing | 144 365 | -128 197 | -389 236 | -644 834 |
| Currency effect on cash - opening balance | -76 | 944 | -645 | 2 894 |
| Changes in cash (incl. currency effect on cash) | -69 897 | 304 145 | -231 898 | 111 593 |
| Cash - closing balance | 271 715 | 503 613 | 271 715 | 503 613 |
Profit and Loss
| Profit and Loss | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All figures in NOK 1,000 | Q4 2017 | Q4 2016 | YTD 2017 | YTD 2016 |
| Total operating income | 1 731 232 | 2 069 178 | 7 037 713 | 6 603 591 |
| Share of profit from joint venture | 325 | 989 | 0 | 569 |
| Change in inventories | 316 342 | 1 521 | 499 768 | 338 449 |
| Raw materials and consumables used |
-1 196 174 | -1 048 193 | -4 222 031 | -3 660 262 |
| Salaries and personnel expenses | -138 167 | -132 980 | -482 827 | -483 473 |
| Other operating expenses | -509 278 | -388 475 | -1 728 382 | -1 457 214 |
| EBITDA | 204 280 | 502 039 | 1 104 240 | 1 341 661 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | -52 357 | -44 810 | -195 744 | -175 352 |
| Depreciation and amortisation of licenses | -1 293 | -1 363 | -4 792 | -5 036 |
| Impairment adjustments on assets | 0 | 249 | 0 | 6 472 |
| EBIT before biomass adj | 150 631 | 456 115 | 903 704 | 1 167 745 |
| Fair value adj biological assets | 128 544 | 227 036 | -91 463 | 515 741 |
| EBIT after biomass adj. | 279 175 | 683 151 | 812 240 | 1 683 486 |
| Share of profit ass. companies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 083 |
| Net financial | 13 408 | 472 | -14 457 | -134 733 |
| Profit before tax | 292 583 | 683 623 | 797 783 | 1 560 836 |
| Estimated taxation | -84 467 | -135 212 | -212 634 | -338 505 |
| Net profit in the period | 208 116 | 548 411 | 585 149 | 1 222 331 |