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Grieg Seafood Earnings Release 2017

Feb 15, 2018

3612_rns_2018-02-15_da688f5a-f0e7-44aa-a85e-1061e8dbae7e.pdf

Earnings Release

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Grieg Seafood ASA

Andreas Kvame | CEO

Atle Harald Sandtorv | CFO

15 February 2018

Agenda

  • Highlights
  • This is Grieg Seafood
  • Business Units (Regions)
  • Financials
  • Outlook

Highlights Q4 2017

  • Profit decline as a result of lower market prices and reduced harvested volumes
  • 3 000 tonnes of harvest volume transferred from 2017 to 2018
  • Results impaired by PD-affected fish in Rogaland
  • Upsurge in market activity and good demand expected in 2018
  • tonnes in 2018, up 28 % from 2017
  • Number of fish in sea increased by 27 % YoY
  • Biomass in sea increased by 20 % YoY

Financial highlights Q4 2017

Long-term targets and near-term priorities

EBIT before FV adjustment/KG gwt (NOK)

Business units performance – YTD 2017

EBIT before FV adjustment/KG gwt (NOK)

GSF Rogaland

  • The increase in harvested volume from Q3 2017, led to lower cost per kg
  • However, PD fish weaker than normal moving cost up
  • The cost per kg is expected to remain high in Q1 2018, due to low harvest volumes
  • tonnes less than previously guided, of which 400 tons was related to loss of transferred to 2018
  • Sea production has been stable during the quarter
GSF Rogaland

The increase in harvested volume from
Q3 2017, led to lower cost per kg
Q4 2017 Q4 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2016

However, PD fish weaker than normal
Harvest (gwt) 4 278 5 766 18 111 18 367
moving cost up Sales revenues 219 948 371 113 1 151 003 1 140 398

The cost per kg is expected to remain
EBIT 29 105 177 054 393 614 466 756
high in Q1 2018, due to low harvest
volumes
EBIT/kg 6.8 30.7 21.7 25.4

The harvested volume in Q4 was 1
400
tonnes less than previously guided, of
which 400 tons was related to loss of
weight from PD, while 1
000 tons was
transferred to 2018

GSF Finnmark

  • The cost per kg was reduced somewhat in Q4 2017 over the previous quarter
  • The cost per kg is expected to increase in Q1 2018, as a result of low harvest volumes
  • less than previously guided, transferred to 2018
  • Sub-normal sea temperatures caused some reduction of production, underlying biology stable
  • Ready to grow
  • New sites established
  • Invested in increased smolt capacity
  • Increased number of smolt in sea
GSF Finnmark
The cost per kg was reduced somewhat
in Q4 2017 over the previous quarter Harvest (gwt) Q4 2017
8 626
Q4 2016
9 336
YTD 2017
22 831
YTD 2016
22 104
The cost per kg is expected to increase Sales revenues 422 329 580 942 1 268 482 1 244 255
in Q1 2018, as a result of low harvest EBIT 102 681 244 317 350 649 447 131
volumes EBIT/kg 11.9 26.2 15.4 20.2
Harvested volume approx. 1
500 tons
less than previously guided, transferred
to 2018
Sub-normal sea temperatures caused

GSF BC (Canada)

  • Compared to the previous quarter, costs increased somewhat during Q4, largely attributable to an incident of increased mortality in connection with lice treatment
  • Costs are expected to move down in Q1
  • Sea production during the period has been good
  • Smolt production according to plan, stable biology
  • Initiatives related to algae and low oxygen levels progressing according to plan
Q4 2017 Q4 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2016
Harvest (gwt) 2 622 1 917 9 600 10 715
Sales revenues 155 284 119 013 580 293 615 438
EBIT 18 977 13 367 120 162 80 526
EBIT/kg 7.2 7.0 12.5 7.5

GSF Shetland

  • Costs in Shetland remain high, mainly because of issues with lice and algae
  • Nevertheless, the cost level continued to decline during Q4, against the previous quarter
  • The cost per kg is, however, expected to increase in Q1 due to low harvested volumes
  • Sea production was relatively stable over the quarter
  • GSF collaborates closely with other aquaculture companies in the region to solve biologically issues
  • Prioritised going forward
  • Using the best sites, lower production and cost
  • Longer fallowing periods
  • Algae monitoring
  • Initiatives to lower the number of lice, cleaner fish, fresh water treatment
Q4 2017 Q4 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2016
Harvest (gwt) 3 141 3 897 12 056 13 541
Sales revenues 185 657 240 039 745 934 859 815
EBIT 29 706 34 336 68 657 176 558
EBIT/kg 9.5 8.8 5.7 13.0

Financials

Profit and Loss

Profit and Loss
All figures in NOKm Q4 2017 Q4 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2016
Total operating income 1 731 2 069 7 038 6 604
EBITDA 204 502 1 104 1 342
Depreciation and amortisation -54 -46 -201 -174
151 456 904 1 168 Higher depreciations following
EBIT before biomass adj
Fair value adj biological assets 129 227 -91 516
EBIT after biomass adj. 279 683 812 1 683 growth investments
Share of profit ass. companies - - - 12 Net financials positive
Net financial 13 0 -14 -135
Profit before tax 293 684 798 1 561 cost
Estimated taxation -84 -135 -213 -339
Changes in currency
  • Revenues and earnings down due to lower prices and volume
  • Higher depreciations following growth investments
  • Net financials positive
  • Low NIBD/EBITDA-ratio reducing financial cost
  • Changes in currency

EBIT and cost development

  • Lower spot-prices offset by higher contract prices
  • Cost/kg farming stable
  • The high ASA cost in Q4 2017 mainly related to loss on contracts of ASC certified fish, failed to produce the contracted volume of ASC certified fish.

  • Maintenance NOK 200 million

  • Expansion of smolt plant Rogaland/Finnmark NOK 150 million (MNOK 60 moved from 2017)
  • Growth on licenses Finnmark MNOK 60
  • Improving biology and growth MNOK 240

Cash Flow

(NOKm)

  • Working capital increase due higher biomass
  • 2018 growth ambitions expected to increase working capital by some NOK 200 million next year
  • NOK 300 million draw on revolving credit facility
  • Dividend MNOK 110 paid

Dividend

  • Dividend policy: 25–35% of the company's profits after tax, adjusted for the effect of biomass adjustments.
  • In 2017, dividends for the fiscal year 2016 have been paid in the total amount of NOK 4 per share, which corresponds to 56 % of 2016 profits after tax and fair value adjustment of biomass.
  • Dividend for the fiscal year 2017 will be decided by the Annual General Meeting. The Board will return with its recommendation for the size of the dividend.
  • The Board will request that the authorisation provided by the Annual General Meeting in 2017 to pay additional dividend later in the year, is carried over.

NIBD

NIBD
NOKm
Term Loan
Q4 2017
985
Q4 2016
1 075
Revolving Credit 300 0
Leasing 260 317
Other interest bearing debt 11 17
Cash - closing balance -272 -504
  • Remaining undrawn rev cred of NOK 400 million
  • New term sheet signed, increasing bank frame NOK 500 million

Net Interest Bearing Debt/EBITDA

NIBD (NOK 1,000) (excl. factoring)

NIBD/EBITDA

(according to covenants)

• NIBD increased due to growth

Balance sheet -
Assets
(NOK 1,000)
ASSETS 31.12.17 31.12.16
Goodw
ill
109 038 108 595
Licenses 1 068 552 1 060 622
Other intangible assets 18 383 17 598
Property, plant and equipment 1 868 622 1 510 379
Investments in associated and joint venture companies 0 0
Other non-current assets 16 068 5 612
Total non-current assets 3 080 664 2 702 804
Inventories 85 516 89 164
Biological assets 2 024 945 1 635 138
Fair value biological assets 682 089 824 487
Accounts receivable 761 407 800 591
Other current receivables 198 527 163 246
Derivates and other financial instruments 48 232 48 994
Cash and cash equivalents 271 715 503 613
Total current assets 4 072 431 4 065 234
Total assets 7 153 095 6 768 038

Balance sheet – Equity and liabilities

(NOK 1,000)

Balance sheet – Equity and liabilities
(NOK 1,000)
31.12.17 31.12.16
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Share capital
446 647 446 648
Treasury Shares -5 000 -5 000
Retained earnings and other equity 2 890 508 2 765 303
Total equity 3 332 155 3 206 951
Deferred tax liabilities 720 611 674 684
Pension- and other obligations 9 799 11 360
Subordinated loans 15 353 15 963
Borrow
ings and leasing
1 393 587 1 230 327
Total non-current liabilities 2 139 350 1 932 333
Short-term loan facilities 157 225 165 606
Factoring 500 976 502 535
Accounts payable 584 982 493 534
Tax payable 174 552 172 057
Derivates and other financial instruments 28 462 23 990
Other current liabilities 235 393 271 032
Total current liabilities 1 681 590 1 628 754
3 820 940 3 561 088
Total liabilities

Key financial indicators

Key financial indicators
Q4 2017 Q4 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2016
EBITDA-margin before adj FV 12 % 24 % 16 % 20 %
EBIT-margin before adj FV 9 % 22 % 13 % 18 %
NIBD/EBITDA before adj FV 1.2 0.7 1.2 0.7
ROCE before adj FV 15 % 52 % 24 % 33 %

OUTLOOK

Harvest estimate

Harvest estimate
Guiding 2018
(1,000 tons gw
e)
Rogaland Finnmark BC Shetland GSF Group
3.4 2.1 0.9 8.9
Q1 2.5
Growth % -42 % 110 % 69 % -32 % 4 %
Q2-Q4 18.5 26.1 15.4 11.1 71.1
Growth % 35 % 23 % 84 % 3 % 31 %
Total 21.0 29.5 17.5 12.0 80.0
  • 3 000 tons moved from 2017 increasing harvest guiding 2017 to 80 000 tons
  • Harvested volume up 28 % from 2017
  • Number of fish in sea increased by 27 % YoY
  • Biomass in sea increased by 20 % YoY

Supply outlook

27

Expected global harvest quantity growth 2018: 5 %

  • Norway 2017: +3% 2018: +8% (1,173' MT)
  • Chile
  • 2017: +15%
  • 2018: +6% (552' MT)
  • North America
  • 2017: -1%
  • 2018: +4% (152' MT)
  • UK 2017: +10%

Global supply growth farmed salmon (YoY):

NASDAQ (Norway) price development :

Outlook/summary

• Growth strategy moving forward as planned

  • Increased smolt capacity, both internal and external
  • Smolt input increased by 27 % in 2017
  • 100 000 tons in 2020

• Focusing on cost

  • On level with or lower than the industry average
  • Increased volumes, improved utilisation of capacity and shorter production time at sea will contribute to higher efficiency and reduced cost of production
  • To reach this goal, GSF has started an internal improvement programme, which will operate until 2020
  • Ocean Quality per today excluded from exporting Norwegian Salmon to China
  • Lower market prices are expected to stimulate the market activity
  • Supply growth guidance of 5 % in 2018
  • Supply growth guidance of 5 % in 2019
  • Expected contract share Norway 22 % for 2018
  • Expected contract share UK 22 % for 2018
  • The harvest volume for Q1 2018 is expected to be 8 900 tons (80 000 tons for 2018)

Share information • 111.7 million (after full conversion of bonds in August 2009) Last issues: Q2 2009 • MNOK 139 new share issue Subordinated convertible bond issue: Q1 2009

  • − Number of shares
  • 85% converted in Q2 2009 • 15% converted in Q3 2009 • 1.80 NOK/share Q4 2017 • 4.90 NOK/share Q4 2016

  • 100 mill. convertible at NOK 4.00 per share within 31.12.2010 • Largest 20 hold 75.76% of total no. of shares

  • − EPS
  • − Shareholder structure

Shareholders

Shareholders
No. shares %
GRIEG HOLDINGS AS 55 801 409 49.97 %
OM HOLDING AS
FOLKETRYGDFONDET
5 164 379
2 949 137
4.63 %
2.64 %
NYE YSTHOLMEN AS 2 928 197 2.62 %
STATE STREET BANK AND TRUST COMP
VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO INVESTMENT
2 602 761
1 915 000
2.33 %
1.71 %
VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG GAMBA 1 700 796 1.52 %
JPMORGAN CHASE BANK, N.A., LONDON 1 477 767 1.32 %
CLEARSTREAM BANKING S.A. 1 286 414 1.15 %
GRIEG SEAFOOD ASA 1 250 000 1.12 %
EUROCLEAR BANK S.A./N.V. 1 038 097 0.93 %
ARCTIC FUNDS PLC 926 000 0.83 %
STATE STREET BANK AND TRUST COMP 850 452 0.76 %
VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO NORDIC 799 000 0.72 %
JPMORGAN CHASE BANK, N.A., LONDON 745 897 0.67 %
VPF NORDEA KAPITAL 674 006 0.60 %
Total 20 largest shareholders
Total other
100.00 %
JPMORGAN CHASE BANK, N.A., LONDON
VPF NORDEA AVKASTNING
MORGAN STANLEY AND CO INTL PLC
CREDIT SUISSE SECURITIES (EUROPE)
649 460
648 523
598 815
587 515
84 593 625
27 068 375
0.58 %
0.58 %
0.54 %
0.53 %
75.76 %
24.24 %

Cash Flow

(NOK 1,000)

Cash Flow
(NOK 1,000)
Q4 2017 Q4 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2016
Cash - opening balance 341 612 199 468 503 613 392 020
EBITDA 204 280 502 039 1 104 240 1 341 661
Inventory, trade payables and trade receivables -172 308 -109 824 -290 807 -404 850
Other adjustments -71 007 113 160 -112 244 16 302
Cash flow from operations -39 035 505 375 701 189 953 113
Capital expenditure (fixed assets) -178 073 -88 051 -537 501 -237 653
Investments in associated companies/shares 0 15 593 0 39 592
Change in other non-current receiveables 2 922 -1 519 -5 705 -1 519
Cash flow from investments -175 151 -73 977 -543 206 -199 580
Changes in interest-bearing debt 266 794 -54 144 729 -375 103
Paid dividends -110 412 -110 412 -441 648 -165 618
Paid dividends to non-controlling interests 0 0 -32 561 -12 929
Net interest and financial items -12 017 -17 731 -59 756 -91 184
Cash flow from financing 144 365 -128 197 -389 236 -644 834
Currency effect on cash - opening balance -76 944 -645 2 894
Changes in cash (incl. currency effect on cash) -69 897 304 145 -231 898 111 593
Cash - closing balance 271 715 503 613 271 715 503 613

Profit and Loss

Profit and Loss
All figures in NOK 1,000 Q4 2017 Q4 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2016
Total operating income 1 731 232 2 069 178 7 037 713 6 603 591
Share of profit from joint venture 325 989 0 569
Change in inventories 316 342 1 521 499 768 338 449
Raw
materials and consumables used
-1 196 174 -1 048 193 -4 222 031 -3 660 262
Salaries and personnel expenses -138 167 -132 980 -482 827 -483 473
Other operating expenses -509 278 -388 475 -1 728 382 -1 457 214
EBITDA 204 280 502 039 1 104 240 1 341 661
Depreciation and amortisation -52 357 -44 810 -195 744 -175 352
Depreciation and amortisation of licenses -1 293 -1 363 -4 792 -5 036
Impairment adjustments on assets 0 249 0 6 472
EBIT before biomass adj 150 631 456 115 903 704 1 167 745
Fair value adj biological assets 128 544 227 036 -91 463 515 741
EBIT after biomass adj. 279 175 683 151 812 240 1 683 486
Share of profit ass. companies 0 0 0 12 083
Net financial 13 408 472 -14 457 -134 733
Profit before tax 292 583 683 623 797 783 1 560 836
Estimated taxation -84 467 -135 212 -212 634 -338 505
Net profit in the period 208 116 548 411 585 149 1 222 331