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Grieg Seafood Earnings Release 2016

Feb 16, 2017

3612_rns_2017-02-16_cb57b2ac-93f6-41a3-9a76-d9814bb64a4e.pdf

Earnings Release

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Grieg Seafood ASA

Andreas Kvame | CEO

Atle Harald Sandtorv | CFO

16 February 2017

Agenda

  • Highlights
  • Business Units (Regions)
  • Financials
  • Outlook

HIGHLIGHTS Q4 2016

Highlights Q4 2016

  • GSF's best quarter ever with EBIT of MNOK 456 (EBIT per kg: NOK 21.80).
  • High harvest volume (20 917 tons) in a strong market.
  • The Board proposes a dividend of NOK 3 per share.
  • EBIT per kg: NOK 27.9 in Norway.
  • Fixed price contracts account for 32% of turnover.
  • ISA outbreak in Finnmark, otherwise stable production.
  • Stable and good production in Rogaland.
  • EBIT per kg: NOK 7.0 in BC.
  • EBIT reflects challenges presented by algae in previous quarters.
  • Improved production throughout Q4.
  • EBIT per kg: NOK 8.8 in Shetland.
  • Final harvesting from weak locations.
  • The transition to 18-month production plan progressing as planned.
  • Expected harvest volume in 2017: 70 000 tons.

Financial highlights Q4 2016

Q4 2016 Q4 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015
Total operating income (TNOK) 2 069 178 1 189 313 6 603 591 4 638 370
EBITDA (TNOK) 502 039 86 907 1 341 661 261 311
EBIT before fair value adj. (TNOK) 456 115 43 118 1 167 745 47 742
EBIT / kg (NOK) 21,81 2,82 18,04 0,73
Harvest volume (tons gwe) 20 917 15 279 64 726 65 398

BUSINESS UNITS (REGIONS)

Business units performance – Q4 2016

EBIT before FV adjustment/KG gwt

Business units performance – YTD 2016

EBIT before FV adjustment/KG gwt

GSF Rogaland

  • Harvesting volume up compared to Q3.
  • Cost moving down to a normalised level.
  • Stable and good production throughout Q4.
  • Good control on sea lice situation.
  • Cost expected to be stable in Q1.
  • Expansion of smolt plant moving forward as planned.
Q4 2016 Q4 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015
Harvest (gwt) 5 766 3 713 18 367 15 236
Sales revenues 371 113 183 904 1 140 398 666 074
EBIT 177 054 37 854 466 756 83 516
EBIT/kg 30,7 10,2 25,4 5,5

GSF Finnmark

  • to Q3.
  • Cost, excluding ISA, moving down to a normalised level.
  • ISA in Hammerfest.
  • Increasing cost by MNOK 25 in Q4 (NOK 2.7 per kg).
  • Harvest guiding down 3 000 tons in 2017.
  • Biomass culled, new input spring/summer.
  • EBIT/kg, excluding ISA, of NOK 28.9.
  • Stable production throughout Q4.
  • Harvest volume moving down in Q1 resulting in higher cost.
  • Expansion of smolt plant decided.
Harvesting volume up compared
to Q3. Q4 2016 Q4 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015
Cost, excluding ISA, moving Harvest (gwt) 9 336 5 348 22 104 19 481
down to a normalised level. Sales revenues 580 942 240 521 1 244 255 799 824
ISA in Hammerfest. EBIT 244 317 57 721 447 131 124 004

Increasing cost by MNOK 25 in Q4
EBIT/kg 26,2 10,8 20,2 6,4

GSF BC (Canada)

  • Algae in 2016.
  • Causing high cost in Q4 2016.
  • Cost expected also to be high in Q1 2017.
  • Reduced fish quality and lower realised prices.
  • Good sea production in Q4, harvest guiding 2017 up 1 000 tons.
  • Smolt production stable in Q4.
  • Water intake improved.
  • Focus on finding location for a new smolt plant.
  • Important for new management in BC.
  • Feeding efficiency.
  • Better approach to the challenges presented by algae and low oxygen levels.
Q4 2016 Q4 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015
Harvest (gwt) 1 917 2 245 10 715 14 311
Sales revenues 119 013 112 750 615 438 573 900
EBIT 13 367 22 426 80 526 13 310
EBIT/kg 7,0 10,0 7,5 0,9

GSF Shetland

  • Harvesting from high-cost locations in Q4 2016.
  • Also harvesting from high-cost sites in Q1 2017.
  • Algae and sea lice situation in 2016 moving harvest guiding 2017 down by 1 000 tons.
  • Harvesting of the first fish from the new 18 month production cycle will start in Q2 2017.
  • Good and stable production on these sites.
  • Cost expected to move down.
Q4 2016 Q4 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015
Harvest (gwt) 3 897 3 974 13 541 16 370
Sales revenues 240 039 192 469 859 815 773 525
EBIT 34 336 -68 191 176 558 -164 833
EBIT/kg 8,8 -17,2 13,0 -10,1

Financials

Profit and Loss

All figures in NOK 1,000 Q4 2016 Q4 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015
Total operating income 2 069 178 1 189 313 6 603 591 4 638 370
EBITDA 502 039 86 907 1 341 661 261 311
Depreciation and amortisation -45 925 -43 789 -173 916 -213 569
EBIT before biomass adj 456 115 43 118 1 167 745 47 742
Fair value adj biological assets 227 036 161 252 515 741 33 209
EBIT after biomass adj. 683 151 204 370 1 683 486 80 951
Share of profit from ass. companies - 997 12 083 3 142
Net financial 472 -38 585 -134 734 -93 301
Profit before tax 683 623 166 782 1 560 835 -9 208
Estimated taxation -135 212 -11 024 -342 547 13 574
Net profit in the period 548 411 155 759 1 218 288 4 366

Net financial

All figures in NOK 1,000 Q4 2016 Q4 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015
Changes in fair value from hedging instruments 1 802 5 081 9 287 6 608
Net financial interest -7 568 -39 030 -72 720 -120 925
Net currency gain (losses) 6 991 -2 027 -69 926 26 001
Dividends 0 0 0 0
Net other financial expenses/-income -754 -2 608 -1 375 -4 985
Net financial item 472 -38 584 -134 734 -93 301

Investments

  • Maintenance MNOK 200.
  • Expansion smolt plant Rogaland MNOK 100.
  • Expansion smolt plant Finnmark MNOK 100.
  • New sites MNOK 200.

Cash Flow

Q4 2016 Q4 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015
Cash - opening balance 199 468 309 339 392 020 181 498
EBITDA 502 039 86 907 1 341 661 261 311
Inventory, trade payables and trade receivables -109 824 -87 395 -404 850 72 095
Other adjustments 113 160 -19 161 16 302 33 876
Cash flow from operations 505 375 -19 649 953 113 367 282
Capital expenditure (fixed assets) -88 051 -81 089 -237 653 -320 076
Investments in associated companies/shares 15 593 0 39 592 8 419
Change in other non-current receiveables -1 519 -25 -1 519 -2 507
Cash flow from investments -73 977 -81 114 -199 580 -314 164
Changes in interest-bearing debt -54 227 624 -375 103 331 939
Paid dividends -110 412 0 -165 618 -55 206
Paid dividends to non-controlling interests 0 0 -12 929 0
Net interest and financial items -17 731 -44 510 -91 184 -118 464
Cash flow from financing -128 197 183 114 -644 834 158 269
Currency effect on cash - opening balance 944 330 2 894 -865
Changes in cash (incl currency effect on cash) 304 145 82 681 111 593 210 522
Cash - closing balance 503 613 392 020 503 613 392 020

Net Interest Bearing Debt/EBITDA

NIBD (excl. factoring)

NIBD/EBITDA (according to covenants)

NIBD

MNOK Q4 2016 Q4 2015
Term Loan 1 075 1 165
Revolving Credit 0 450
Bond 0 0
Leasing 317 334
Other interest bearing debt 17 12
Cash - closing balance -504 -392
NIBD excl factoring 906 1 569

Factoring 503 338

Balance sheet 1

ASSETS 31.12.16 31.12.15
Goodw
ill
108 595 110 647
Licenses 1 060 622 1 093 338
Other intangible assets 17 598 16 993
Property, plant and equipment 1 510 379 1 534 770
Investments in associated and joint venture companies 0 25 947
Other non-current assets 7 169 14 410
Total non-current assets 2 704 363 2 796 104
Inventories 89 164 90 867
Biological assets 1 635 138 1 616 636
Fair value biological assets 824 487 312 479
Accounts receivable 826 947 581 904
Other current receivables 136 573 145 767
Derivates and other financial instruments 43 232 0
Cash and cash equivalents 503 613 392 020
Total current assets 4 059 155 3 139 673
Total assets 6 763 517 5 935 777

Balance sheet 2

EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 31.12.16 31.12.15
Share capital 446 648 446 648
Treasury Shares -5 000 -5 000
Retained earnings and other equity 2 762 101 1 795 863
Total equity 3 203 749 2 237 511
Deferred tax liabilities 669 083 539 040
Pension- and other obligations 11 360 4 498
Subordinated loans 15 963 21 425
Borrow
ings and leasing
1 230 327 1 791 229
Total non-current liabilities 1 926 732 2 356 192
Short-term loan facilities 165 446 162 930
Factoring 502 535 338 231
Accounts payable 500 881 653 083
Accrued salary expense and public tax payable 0 0
Tax payable 182 416 24 545
Derivates and other financial instruments 18 245 27 104
Other current liabilities 263 512 136 179
Total current liabilities 1 633 035 1 342 072
Total liabilities 3 559 768 3 698 264
Total equity and liabilities 6 763 517 5 935 777

Key financial indicators

Q4 2016 Q4 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015
EBITDA-margin before adj FV 24 % 7 % 20 % 6 %
EBIT-margin before adj FV 22 % 4 % 18 % 1 %
NIBD/EBITDA before adj FV 0,7 6,3 0,7 6,3
ROCE before adj FV 52 % 5 % 33 % 1 %
Equity ratio 47 % 38 % 47 % 38 %

Equity ratio excluding OQ (bank covenants): 52%

OUTLOOK

Harvest estimate

Guiding 2017
(1,000 tons gw
e)
Rogaland Finnmark BC Shetland GSF Group
Q1 3,8 1,5 1,3 1,8 8,4
Growth % 0 % -76 % -5 % -18 % -39 %
Q2-Q4 16,2 23,5 7,7 14,2 61,6
Growth % 11 % 49 % -18 % 25 % 21 %
Total 20,0 25,0 9,0 16,0 70,0
Growth % 9 % 13 % -16 % 18 % 8 %

Supply outlook

Low expected global supply growth 2017.

  • Norway
  • 2016: -5%
  • 2017: 0% (1,055' MT)
  • Chile
  • 2016: -15%
  • 2017: +4% (473' MT)
  • North America
  • 2016: +6%
  • 2017: -3% (143' MT)
  • UK
  • 2016: -4%
  • 2017: +7% (155' MT)

Global supply growth farmed salmon (YoY):

NASDAQ (Norway) price development :

Outlook summary/actions GSF

  • Strong market expected ahead.
  • Dividend of NOK 3 per share.
  • Cost level down to the industry average, or lower.
  • 10% annual increase in production 2018-2020.
  • Harvest volume 2017 of 70,000 tons (+8% vs 2016).
  • Expected fixed price contracts of 60% in Q1 2017.
  • GSF's smolt programme increasing number and size of smolt.
  • o Increasing smolt input, especially in Finnmark.
  • o Extending the smolt plant in Rogaland and Finnmark.
  • o Shorten the production time in the sea. 18 months plan implemented in Shetland by the end of 2017.
  • o Considering a new smolt plant in BC.

Thank you !

APPENDIX

griegseafood.com 28

Share info

  • − Number of shares
  • 111.7 million (after full conversion of bonds in August 2009).
  • − Last issues: Q2 2009
  • 139 MNOK new share issue.
  • − Subordinated convertible bond issue: Q1 2009
  • 100 mill. convertible at NOK 4.00 per share within 31.12.2010.
  • 85% converted in Q2 2009.
  • 15% converted in Q3 2009.
  • − EPS
  • 4.90 NOK/share Q4 2016.
  • 1.37 NOK/share Q4 2015.
  • − Shareholder structure
  • Largest 20 have 73.51% of total no. of shares.

Shareholders

No. shares %
GRIEG HOLDINGS AS 55 801 409 49,97 %
FOLKETRYGDFONDET 3 390 000 3,04 %
OM HOLDING AS 3 105 000 2,78 %
YSTHOLMEN AS 2 928 197 2,62 %
MORGAN STANLEY AND CO INTL PLC 2 067 749 1,85 %
STATE STREET BANK AND TRUST COMP 1 814 836 1,63 %
VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO INVESTMENT 1 711 000 1,53 %
ARTIC FUNDS PLC 1 397 000 1,25 %
GRIEG SEAFOOD ASA 1 250 000 1,12 %
THE BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON SA/NV 1 241 277 1,11 %
VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO NORDIC 1 036 000 0,93 %
CLEARSTREAM BANKING S.A. 1 017 577 0,91 %
VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG GAMBA 986 273 0,88 %
THE NORTHERN TRUST CO., LONDON BR 786 177 0,70 %
DANSKE BANK AS 784 914 0,70 %
STATOIL PENSJON 584 101 0,52 %
NORDNET BANK AB 556 800 0,50 %
UBS SWITZERLAND AG 550 645 0,49 %
STATE STREET BANK AND TRUST COMP 539 274 0,48 %
UBS EUROPE SE 533 432 0,48 %
Total 20 largest shareholders 82 081 661 73,51 %
Total other 29 580 339 26,49 %
Total numbers of shares 111 662 000 100,00 %

Profit and Loss

All figures in NOK 1,000 Q4 2016 Q4 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015
Total operating income 2 069 178 1 189 313 6 603 591 4 638 370
Share of profit from joint venture 989 -237 569 6 994
Change in inventories 1 521 157 315 338 449 132 503
Raw
materials and consumables used
-1 048 193 -888 043 -3 660 262 -2 871 429
Salaries and personnel expenses -132 980 -117 805 -483 473 -409 432
Other operating expenses -388 475 -253 635 -1 457 214 -1 235 695
EBITDA 502 039 86 907 1 341 661 261 311
Depreciation and amortisation -44 810 -47 112 -175 352 -164 547
Depreciation and amortisation of licenses -1 363 -481 -5 036 -2 827
Impairment adjustments on assets 249 3 805 6 472 -46 195
EBIT before biomass adj 456 115 43 118 1 167 745 47 742
Fair value adj biological assets 227 036 161 252 515 741 33 209
EBIT after biomass adj. 683 151 204 370 1 683 486 80 951
Share of profit from ass. companies 0 997 12 083 3 142
Net financial 472 -38 585 -134 734 -93 301
Profit before tax and biomass adj 456 587 5 530 1 045 094 -42 417
Profit before tax 683 623 166 782 1 560 835 -9 208
Estimated taxation -135 212 -11 024 -342 547 13 574
Net profit in the period 548 411 155 759 1 218 288 4 366