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Grieg Seafood — Earnings Release 2016
Feb 16, 2017
3612_rns_2017-02-16_cb57b2ac-93f6-41a3-9a76-d9814bb64a4e.pdf
Earnings Release
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Grieg Seafood ASA
Andreas Kvame | CEO
Atle Harald Sandtorv | CFO
16 February 2017
Agenda
- Highlights
- Business Units (Regions)
- Financials
- Outlook
HIGHLIGHTS Q4 2016
Highlights Q4 2016
- GSF's best quarter ever with EBIT of MNOK 456 (EBIT per kg: NOK 21.80).
- High harvest volume (20 917 tons) in a strong market.
- The Board proposes a dividend of NOK 3 per share.
- EBIT per kg: NOK 27.9 in Norway.
- Fixed price contracts account for 32% of turnover.
- ISA outbreak in Finnmark, otherwise stable production.
- Stable and good production in Rogaland.
- EBIT per kg: NOK 7.0 in BC.
- EBIT reflects challenges presented by algae in previous quarters.
- Improved production throughout Q4.
- EBIT per kg: NOK 8.8 in Shetland.
- Final harvesting from weak locations.
- The transition to 18-month production plan progressing as planned.
- Expected harvest volume in 2017: 70 000 tons.
Financial highlights Q4 2016
| Q4 2016 | Q4 2015 | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating income (TNOK) | 2 069 178 | 1 189 313 | 6 603 591 | 4 638 370 |
| EBITDA (TNOK) | 502 039 | 86 907 | 1 341 661 | 261 311 |
| EBIT before fair value adj. (TNOK) | 456 115 | 43 118 | 1 167 745 | 47 742 |
| EBIT / kg (NOK) | 21,81 | 2,82 | 18,04 | 0,73 |
| Harvest volume (tons gwe) | 20 917 | 15 279 | 64 726 | 65 398 |
BUSINESS UNITS (REGIONS)
Business units performance – Q4 2016
EBIT before FV adjustment/KG gwt
Business units performance – YTD 2016
EBIT before FV adjustment/KG gwt
GSF Rogaland
- Harvesting volume up compared to Q3.
- Cost moving down to a normalised level.
- Stable and good production throughout Q4.
- Good control on sea lice situation.
- Cost expected to be stable in Q1.
- Expansion of smolt plant moving forward as planned.
| Q4 2016 | Q4 2015 | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvest (gwt) | 5 766 | 3 713 | 18 367 | 15 236 |
| Sales revenues | 371 113 | 183 904 | 1 140 398 | 666 074 |
| EBIT | 177 054 | 37 854 | 466 756 | 83 516 |
| EBIT/kg | 30,7 | 10,2 | 25,4 | 5,5 |
GSF Finnmark
- to Q3.
- Cost, excluding ISA, moving down to a normalised level.
- ISA in Hammerfest.
- Increasing cost by MNOK 25 in Q4 (NOK 2.7 per kg).
- Harvest guiding down 3 000 tons in 2017.
- Biomass culled, new input spring/summer.
- EBIT/kg, excluding ISA, of NOK 28.9.
- Stable production throughout Q4.
- Harvest volume moving down in Q1 resulting in higher cost.
- Expansion of smolt plant decided.
| • | Harvesting volume up compared | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| to Q3. | Q4 2016 | Q4 2015 | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | ||
| • | Cost, excluding ISA, moving | Harvest (gwt) | 9 336 | 5 348 | 22 104 | 19 481 |
| down to a normalised level. | Sales revenues | 580 942 | 240 521 | 1 244 255 | 799 824 | |
| • | ISA in Hammerfest. | EBIT | 244 317 | 57 721 | 447 131 | 124 004 |
| – Increasing cost by MNOK 25 in Q4 |
EBIT/kg | 26,2 | 10,8 | 20,2 | 6,4 |
GSF BC (Canada)
- Algae in 2016.
- Causing high cost in Q4 2016.
- Cost expected also to be high in Q1 2017.
- Reduced fish quality and lower realised prices.
- Good sea production in Q4, harvest guiding 2017 up 1 000 tons.
- Smolt production stable in Q4.
- Water intake improved.
- Focus on finding location for a new smolt plant.
- Important for new management in BC.
- Feeding efficiency.
- Better approach to the challenges presented by algae and low oxygen levels.
| Q4 2016 | Q4 2015 | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvest (gwt) | 1 917 | 2 245 | 10 715 | 14 311 |
| Sales revenues | 119 013 | 112 750 | 615 438 | 573 900 |
| EBIT | 13 367 | 22 426 | 80 526 | 13 310 |
| EBIT/kg | 7,0 | 10,0 | 7,5 | 0,9 |
GSF Shetland
- Harvesting from high-cost locations in Q4 2016.
- Also harvesting from high-cost sites in Q1 2017.
- Algae and sea lice situation in 2016 moving harvest guiding 2017 down by 1 000 tons.
- Harvesting of the first fish from the new 18 month production cycle will start in Q2 2017.
- Good and stable production on these sites.
- Cost expected to move down.
| Q4 2016 | Q4 2015 | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvest (gwt) | 3 897 | 3 974 | 13 541 | 16 370 |
| Sales revenues | 240 039 | 192 469 | 859 815 | 773 525 |
| EBIT | 34 336 | -68 191 | 176 558 | -164 833 |
| EBIT/kg | 8,8 | -17,2 | 13,0 | -10,1 |
Financials
Profit and Loss
| All figures in NOK 1,000 | Q4 2016 | Q4 2015 | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating income | 2 069 178 | 1 189 313 | 6 603 591 | 4 638 370 |
| EBITDA | 502 039 | 86 907 | 1 341 661 | 261 311 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | -45 925 | -43 789 | -173 916 | -213 569 |
| EBIT before biomass adj | 456 115 | 43 118 | 1 167 745 | 47 742 |
| Fair value adj biological assets | 227 036 | 161 252 | 515 741 | 33 209 |
| EBIT after biomass adj. | 683 151 | 204 370 | 1 683 486 | 80 951 |
| Share of profit from ass. companies | - | 997 | 12 083 | 3 142 |
| Net financial | 472 | -38 585 | -134 734 | -93 301 |
| Profit before tax | 683 623 | 166 782 | 1 560 835 | -9 208 |
| Estimated taxation | -135 212 | -11 024 | -342 547 | 13 574 |
| Net profit in the period | 548 411 | 155 759 | 1 218 288 | 4 366 |
Net financial
| All figures in NOK 1,000 | Q4 2016 | Q4 2015 | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changes in fair value from hedging instruments | 1 802 | 5 081 | 9 287 | 6 608 |
| Net financial interest | -7 568 | -39 030 | -72 720 | -120 925 |
| Net currency gain (losses) | 6 991 | -2 027 | -69 926 | 26 001 |
| Dividends | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Net other financial expenses/-income | -754 | -2 608 | -1 375 | -4 985 |
| Net financial item | 472 | -38 584 | -134 734 | -93 301 |
Investments
- Maintenance MNOK 200.
- Expansion smolt plant Rogaland MNOK 100.
- Expansion smolt plant Finnmark MNOK 100.
- New sites MNOK 200.
Cash Flow
| Q4 2016 | Q4 2015 | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash - opening balance | 199 468 | 309 339 | 392 020 | 181 498 |
| EBITDA | 502 039 | 86 907 | 1 341 661 | 261 311 |
| Inventory, trade payables and trade receivables | -109 824 | -87 395 | -404 850 | 72 095 |
| Other adjustments | 113 160 | -19 161 | 16 302 | 33 876 |
| Cash flow from operations | 505 375 | -19 649 | 953 113 | 367 282 |
| Capital expenditure (fixed assets) | -88 051 | -81 089 | -237 653 | -320 076 |
| Investments in associated companies/shares | 15 593 | 0 | 39 592 | 8 419 |
| Change in other non-current receiveables | -1 519 | -25 | -1 519 | -2 507 |
| Cash flow from investments | -73 977 | -81 114 | -199 580 | -314 164 |
| Changes in interest-bearing debt | -54 | 227 624 | -375 103 | 331 939 |
| Paid dividends | -110 412 | 0 | -165 618 | -55 206 |
| Paid dividends to non-controlling interests | 0 | 0 | -12 929 | 0 |
| Net interest and financial items | -17 731 | -44 510 | -91 184 | -118 464 |
| Cash flow from financing | -128 197 | 183 114 | -644 834 | 158 269 |
| Currency effect on cash - opening balance | 944 | 330 | 2 894 | -865 |
| Changes in cash (incl currency effect on cash) | 304 145 | 82 681 | 111 593 | 210 522 |
| Cash - closing balance | 503 613 | 392 020 | 503 613 | 392 020 |
Net Interest Bearing Debt/EBITDA
NIBD (excl. factoring)
NIBD/EBITDA (according to covenants)
NIBD
| MNOK | Q4 2016 | Q4 2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Term Loan | 1 075 | 1 165 |
| Revolving Credit | 0 | 450 |
| Bond | 0 | 0 |
| Leasing | 317 | 334 |
| Other interest bearing debt | 17 | 12 |
| Cash - closing balance | -504 | -392 |
| NIBD excl factoring | 906 | 1 569 |
Factoring 503 338
Balance sheet 1
| ASSETS | 31.12.16 | 31.12.15 |
|---|---|---|
| Goodw ill |
108 595 | 110 647 |
| Licenses | 1 060 622 | 1 093 338 |
| Other intangible assets | 17 598 | 16 993 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 1 510 379 | 1 534 770 |
| Investments in associated and joint venture companies | 0 | 25 947 |
| Other non-current assets | 7 169 | 14 410 |
| Total non-current assets | 2 704 363 | 2 796 104 |
| Inventories | 89 164 | 90 867 |
| Biological assets | 1 635 138 | 1 616 636 |
| Fair value biological assets | 824 487 | 312 479 |
| Accounts receivable | 826 947 | 581 904 |
| Other current receivables | 136 573 | 145 767 |
| Derivates and other financial instruments | 43 232 | 0 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 503 613 | 392 020 |
| Total current assets | 4 059 155 | 3 139 673 |
| Total assets | 6 763 517 | 5 935 777 |
Balance sheet 2
| EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 31.12.16 | 31.12.15 |
|---|---|---|
| Share capital | 446 648 | 446 648 |
| Treasury Shares | -5 000 | -5 000 |
| Retained earnings and other equity | 2 762 101 | 1 795 863 |
| Total equity | 3 203 749 | 2 237 511 |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 669 083 | 539 040 |
| Pension- and other obligations | 11 360 | 4 498 |
| Subordinated loans | 15 963 | 21 425 |
| Borrow ings and leasing |
1 230 327 | 1 791 229 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 1 926 732 | 2 356 192 |
| Short-term loan facilities | 165 446 | 162 930 |
| Factoring | 502 535 | 338 231 |
| Accounts payable | 500 881 | 653 083 |
| Accrued salary expense and public tax payable | 0 | 0 |
| Tax payable | 182 416 | 24 545 |
| Derivates and other financial instruments | 18 245 | 27 104 |
| Other current liabilities | 263 512 | 136 179 |
| Total current liabilities | 1 633 035 | 1 342 072 |
| Total liabilities | 3 559 768 | 3 698 264 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 6 763 517 | 5 935 777 |
Key financial indicators
| Q4 2016 | Q4 2015 | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA-margin before adj FV | 24 % | 7 % | 20 % | 6 % |
| EBIT-margin before adj FV | 22 % | 4 % | 18 % | 1 % |
| NIBD/EBITDA before adj FV | 0,7 | 6,3 | 0,7 | 6,3 |
| ROCE before adj FV | 52 % | 5 % | 33 % | 1 % |
| Equity ratio | 47 % | 38 % | 47 % | 38 % |
Equity ratio excluding OQ (bank covenants): 52%
OUTLOOK
Harvest estimate
| Guiding 2017 (1,000 tons gw e) |
Rogaland | Finnmark | BC | Shetland | GSF Group |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | 3,8 | 1,5 | 1,3 | 1,8 | 8,4 |
| Growth % | 0 % | -76 % | -5 % | -18 % | -39 % |
| Q2-Q4 | 16,2 | 23,5 | 7,7 | 14,2 | 61,6 |
| Growth % | 11 % | 49 % | -18 % | 25 % | 21 % |
| Total | 20,0 | 25,0 | 9,0 | 16,0 | 70,0 |
| Growth % | 9 % | 13 % | -16 % | 18 % | 8 % |
Supply outlook
Low expected global supply growth 2017.
- Norway
- 2016: -5%
- 2017: 0% (1,055' MT)
- Chile
- 2016: -15%
- 2017: +4% (473' MT)
- North America
- 2016: +6%
- 2017: -3% (143' MT)
- UK
- 2016: -4%
- 2017: +7% (155' MT)
Global supply growth farmed salmon (YoY):
NASDAQ (Norway) price development :
Outlook summary/actions GSF
- Strong market expected ahead.
- Dividend of NOK 3 per share.
- Cost level down to the industry average, or lower.
- 10% annual increase in production 2018-2020.
- Harvest volume 2017 of 70,000 tons (+8% vs 2016).
- Expected fixed price contracts of 60% in Q1 2017.
- GSF's smolt programme increasing number and size of smolt.
- o Increasing smolt input, especially in Finnmark.
- o Extending the smolt plant in Rogaland and Finnmark.
- o Shorten the production time in the sea. 18 months plan implemented in Shetland by the end of 2017.
- o Considering a new smolt plant in BC.
Thank you !
APPENDIX
griegseafood.com 28
Share info
- − Number of shares
- 111.7 million (after full conversion of bonds in August 2009).
- − Last issues: Q2 2009
- 139 MNOK new share issue.
- − Subordinated convertible bond issue: Q1 2009
- 100 mill. convertible at NOK 4.00 per share within 31.12.2010.
- 85% converted in Q2 2009.
- 15% converted in Q3 2009.
- − EPS
- 4.90 NOK/share Q4 2016.
- 1.37 NOK/share Q4 2015.
- − Shareholder structure
- Largest 20 have 73.51% of total no. of shares.
Shareholders
| No. shares | % | |
|---|---|---|
| GRIEG HOLDINGS AS | 55 801 409 | 49,97 % |
| FOLKETRYGDFONDET | 3 390 000 | 3,04 % |
| OM HOLDING AS | 3 105 000 | 2,78 % |
| YSTHOLMEN AS | 2 928 197 | 2,62 % |
| MORGAN STANLEY AND CO INTL PLC | 2 067 749 | 1,85 % |
| STATE STREET BANK AND TRUST COMP | 1 814 836 | 1,63 % |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO INVESTMENT | 1 711 000 | 1,53 % |
| ARTIC FUNDS PLC | 1 397 000 | 1,25 % |
| GRIEG SEAFOOD ASA | 1 250 000 | 1,12 % |
| THE BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON SA/NV | 1 241 277 | 1,11 % |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO NORDIC | 1 036 000 | 0,93 % |
| CLEARSTREAM BANKING S.A. | 1 017 577 | 0,91 % |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG GAMBA | 986 273 | 0,88 % |
| THE NORTHERN TRUST CO., LONDON BR | 786 177 | 0,70 % |
| DANSKE BANK AS | 784 914 | 0,70 % |
| STATOIL PENSJON | 584 101 | 0,52 % |
| NORDNET BANK AB | 556 800 | 0,50 % |
| UBS SWITZERLAND AG | 550 645 | 0,49 % |
| STATE STREET BANK AND TRUST COMP | 539 274 | 0,48 % |
| UBS EUROPE SE | 533 432 | 0,48 % |
| Total 20 largest shareholders | 82 081 661 | 73,51 % |
| Total other | 29 580 339 | 26,49 % |
| Total numbers of shares | 111 662 000 | 100,00 % |
Profit and Loss
| All figures in NOK 1,000 | Q4 2016 | Q4 2015 | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating income | 2 069 178 | 1 189 313 | 6 603 591 | 4 638 370 |
| Share of profit from joint venture | 989 | -237 | 569 | 6 994 |
| Change in inventories | 1 521 | 157 315 | 338 449 | 132 503 |
| Raw materials and consumables used |
-1 048 193 | -888 043 | -3 660 262 | -2 871 429 |
| Salaries and personnel expenses | -132 980 | -117 805 | -483 473 | -409 432 |
| Other operating expenses | -388 475 | -253 635 | -1 457 214 | -1 235 695 |
| EBITDA | 502 039 | 86 907 | 1 341 661 | 261 311 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | -44 810 | -47 112 | -175 352 | -164 547 |
| Depreciation and amortisation of licenses | -1 363 | -481 | -5 036 | -2 827 |
| Impairment adjustments on assets | 249 | 3 805 | 6 472 | -46 195 |
| EBIT before biomass adj | 456 115 | 43 118 | 1 167 745 | 47 742 |
| Fair value adj biological assets | 227 036 | 161 252 | 515 741 | 33 209 |
| EBIT after biomass adj. | 683 151 | 204 370 | 1 683 486 | 80 951 |
| Share of profit from ass. companies | 0 | 997 | 12 083 | 3 142 |
| Net financial | 472 | -38 585 | -134 734 | -93 301 |
| Profit before tax and biomass adj | 456 587 | 5 530 | 1 045 094 | -42 417 |
| Profit before tax | 683 623 | 166 782 | 1 560 835 | -9 208 |
| Estimated taxation | -135 212 | -11 024 | -342 547 | 13 574 |
| Net profit in the period | 548 411 | 155 759 | 1 218 288 | 4 366 |
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