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Grieg Seafood — Earnings Release 2015
Feb 18, 2016
3612_rns_2016-02-18_ac2125e6-10ac-4f52-b2e3-811ae4e013c1.pdf
Earnings Release
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Grieg Seafood ASA
Q4 2015
Andreas Kvame | CEO
Atle Harald Sandtorv | CFO
18 February 2016
Agenda
- Highlights
- Business Units (Regions)
- Financials
- Outlook
HIGHLIGHTS Q4 2015
Highlights Q4 2015
- EBIT of MNOK 43 in Q4 2015.
- EBIT Norway of MNOK 96 in Q4 2015 (EBIT/kg NOK 10,6).
- A strong market with rising prices towards the end of the period.
- Stable production in Finnmark and BC. Slightly weaker in Rogaland.
- Algae and sea lice in Shetland resulted in a high level of mortality and weak production in Q4.
- The production cycle in this region is being changed from 24 to 18 months in order to reduce the biological risk.
- Harvested volume Q4 2016 was 15 279 tons (2015 as a whole was 65 398 tons).
- Guiding volume for 2016 continues at 70 000 tons.
- Bond loan of MNOK 400 was refinanced by bank debt in Q4.
griegseafood.com
Financial highlights Q4 2015
| Q4 2015 | Q4 2014 | YTD 2015 | YTD 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating income (TNOK) | 1 189 313 | 1 045 111 | 4 638 370 | 4 161 484 |
| EBITDA (TNOK) | 86 907 | 168 199 | 261 311 | 483 820 |
| EBIT before fair value adj. (TNOK) | 43 118 | 126 819 | 47 742 | 343 104 |
| EBIT / kg (NOK) | 2,82 | 7,96 | 0,73 | 5,30 |
| Harvest volume (tons gwe) | 15 279 | 15 941 | 65 398 | 64 736 |
BUSINESS UNITS (REGIONS)
Business units performance – Q4 2015
EBIT before biomass adjustment/KG gwt
| Q4 15 | Q4 14 | Q4 15 | Q4 14 | Q4 15 | Q4 14 | Q4 15 | Q4 14 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvest (gwt) | 3 713 | 3 175 | 5 348 | 5 804 | 2 245 | 620 | 3 974 | 6 342 |
| Sales MNOK | 184 | 147 | 241 | 210 | 113 | 42 | 192 | 303 |
Business units performance – YTD 2015
EBIT before biomass adjustment/KG gwt
| Rogaland | Finnmark | BC | Shetland | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD15 | YTD14 | YTD15 | YTD14 | YTD15 | YTD14 | YTD15 | YTD14 | |
| Harvest (gwt) | 15 236 | 12 778 | 19 481 | 26 470 | 14 311 | 6 257 | 16 370 | 19 231 |
| Sales MNOK | 666 | 573 | 800 | 975 | 574 | 278 | 774 | 852 |
GSF Rogaland
- Cost levels are stable, but are still considered to be high, due to previous algae, sea lice and PD.
- Collaboration with other companies in the region is important in order to reduce the biological risk.
- New zones are implemented, up and running within 2017.
- Weaker sea production than expected due to algae.
- Low mortality.
- Smolt production as planned.
| Q4 2015 | Q4 2014 | YTD 2015 | YTD 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvest (gwt) | 3 713 | 3 175 | 15 236 | 12 778 |
| Sales revenues | 183 904 | 146 968 | 666 074 | 572 550 |
| EBIT | 37 854 | 25 598 | 83 516 | 77 835 |
| EBIT/kg | 10,2 | 8,1 | 5,5 | 6,1 |
GSF Finnmark
- The quality of the harvested fish was good.
- Costs have been stable compared with the preceding quarter.
- Sea production has been as expected.
- Smolt production has been as planned.
| Q4 2015 | Q4 2014 | YTD 2015 | YTD 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvest (gwt) | 5 348 | 5 804 | 19 481 | 26 470 |
| Sales revenues | 240 521 | 209 696 | 799 824 | 975 291 |
| EBIT | 57 721 | 38 175 | 124 004 | 205 934 |
| EBIT/kg | 10,8 | 6,6 | 6,4 | 7,8 |
GSF BC (Canada)
- BC harvested fish from a location with especially low costs in Q4.
- Sea production was stable throughout Q4.
- The US market was weak throughout Q4, but 2016 has started with increasing prices.
- Some of the fish to be harvested in Q1 are expected to be mature (10%). This will impact negatively on the realised price.
| Q4 2015 | Q4 2014 | YTD 2015 | YTD 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvest (gwt) | 2 245 | 620 | 14 311 | 6 257 |
| Sales revenues | 112 750 | 41 704 | 573 900 | 277 757 |
| EBIT | 22 426 | 97 | 13 310 | -47 810 |
| EBIT/kg | 10,0 | 0,2 | 0,9 | -7,6 |
GSF Shetland
- The strong GBP in relation to NOK continues to make production in the UK less competitive, compared with Norway.
- Costs in Shetland were high due to weak production in Q4 and in previous quarters.
- Algae and sea lice have resulted in high fish mortality and weak growth.
| Q4 2015 | Q4 2014 | YTD 2015 | YTD 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvest (gwt) | 3 974 | 6 342 | 16 370 | 19 231 |
| Sales revenues | 192 469 | 302 904 | 773 525 | 852 455 |
| EBIT | -68 191 | 26 334 | -164 833 | 81 087 |
| EBIT/kg | -17,2 | 4,2 | -10,1 | 4,2 |
Ocean Quality (GSF 60%, Bremnes 40%)
- Positive margin in Norway.
- High margin in North America due to Coho/roe.
Norway:
Financials
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Profit and Loss
| All figures in NOK 1,000 | Q4 2015 | Q4 2014 | YTD 2015 | YTD 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating income | 1 189 313 | 1 047 753 | 4 638 370 | 4 161 484 |
| EBITDA | 86 907 | 170 841 | 261 311 | 483 820 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | -43 789 | -41 379 | -213 569 | -140 717 |
| EBIT before biomass adj | 43 118 | 129 461 | 47 742 | 343 104 |
| Fair value adj biological assets | 161 252 | 123 450 | 33 209 | -123 737 |
| EBIT after biomass adj. | 204 370 | 252 911 | 80 951 | 219 367 |
| Share of profit from ass. companies | 997 | -78 | 3 142 | 2 865 |
| Net financial | -38 585 | 2 939 | -93 301 | -50 276 |
| Profit before tax | 166 782 | 255 772 | -9 208 | 171 956 |
| Estimated taxation | -11 024 | -48 588 | 18 608 | -27 561 |
| Net profit in the period | 155 759 | 207 184 | 9 400 | 144 395 |
Net financial
| All figures in NOK 1,000 | Q4 2015 | Q4 2014 | YTD 2015 | YTD 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changes in fair value from hedging instruments | 5 081 | -11 754 | 6 608 | -8 377 |
| Net financial interest | -39 030 | -25 989 | -120 925 | -91 786 |
| Net currency gain (losses) | -2 027 | 34 507 | 26 001 | 45 994 |
| Dividends | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Net other financial expenses/-income | -2 608 | 6 175 | -4 985 | 3 893 |
| Net financial item | -38 585 | 2 939 | -93 301 | -50 276 |
Investments
Capex
* Green licenses Finnmark included in 2015 figures – MNOK 40.
Cash Flow
| Q4 2015 | Q4 2014 | YTD 2015 | YTD 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash - opening balance | 309 339 | 196 075 | 181 498 | 182 257 |
| EBITDA | 86 907 | 170 841 | 261 311 | 483 820 |
| Inventory, trade payables and trade receivables | -87 395 | -368 808 | 72 095 | -332 750 |
| Other adjustments | -19 161 | 16 879 | 33 876 | 5 471 |
| Cash flow from operations | -19 649 | -181 088 | 367 282 | 156 541 |
| Capital expenditure (fixed assets) | -81 089 | -162 795 | -320 076 | -305 453 |
| Investments in associated companies/shares | 0 | 66 966 | 8 419 | 71 920 |
| Change in other non-current receiveables | -25 | -76 | -2 507 | 47 |
| Cash flow from investments | -81 114 | -95 905 | -314 164 | -233 486 |
| Changes in interest-bearing debt | 227 624 | 271 023 | 331 939 | 133 325 |
| Paid dividends | 0 | 0 | -55 206 | 0 |
| Net interest and financial items | -44 510 | -13 120 | -118 464 | -61 891 |
| Cash flow from financing | 183 114 | 257 903 | 158 269 | 71 434 |
| Currency effect on cash - opening balance | 330 | 4 513 | -865 | 4 752 |
| Changes in cash (incl currency effect on cash) | 82 681 | -14 577 | 210 522 | -759 |
| Cash - closing balance | 392 020 | 181 498 | 392 020 | 181 498 |
Dividend paid: NOK 0.5 per share in Q2 2015.
Net Interest Bearing Debt/EBITDA
NIBD (excl. factoring)
NIBD/EBITDA
(according to covenants)
NIBD
| MNOK | Q4 2015 | Q4 2014 |
|---|---|---|
| Term Loan | 1 165 | 855 |
| Revolving Credit | 450 | 200 |
| Bond | 0 | 400 |
| Leasing | 334 | 290 |
| Other interest bearing debt | 12 | 3 |
| Cash - closing balance | -392 | -181 |
| NIBD excl factoring | 1 569 | 1 566 |
| Factoring | 338 | 196 |
Balance sheet 1
| ASSETS | 31.12.15 | 31.12.14 |
|---|---|---|
| Goodw ill |
109 863 | 108 708 |
| Licenses | 1 093 338 | 1 066 184 |
| Other intangible assets | 16 975 | 11 518 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 1 534 788 | 1 424 952 |
| Investments in associated and joint venture companies | 25 947 | 22 379 |
| Other non-current assets | 5 193 | 3 765 |
| Total non-current assets | 2 786 104 | 2 637 505 |
| Inventories | 90 867 | 91 016 |
| Biological assets | 1 616 636 | 1 562 812 |
| Fair value biological assets | 312 479 | 281 285 |
| Accounts receivable | 581 904 | 504 110 |
| Other current receivables | 184 251 | 93 371 |
| Derivates and other financial instruments | 0 | 0 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 392 020 | 181 498 |
| Total current assets | 3 178 157 | 2 714 093 |
| Total assets | 5 964 261 | 5 351 599 |
Balance sheet 2
| EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 31.12.15 | 31.12.14 |
|---|---|---|
| Share capital | 446 648 | 446 648 |
| Treasury Shares | -5 000 | -5 000 |
| Retained earnings and other equity | 1 800 948 | 1 799 803 |
| Total equity | 2 242 596 | 2 241 451 |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 569 745 | 560 320 |
| Pension- and other obligations | 4 498 | 2 532 |
| Subordinated loans | 21 425 | 22 795 |
| Borrow ings and leasing |
1 791 229 | 1 196 103 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 2 386 897 | 1 781 750 |
| Short-term loan facilities | 162 930 | 540 895 |
| Factoring | 338 231 | 195 560 |
| Accounts payable | 653 083 | 360 358 |
| Accrued salary expense and public tax payable | 0 | 0 |
| Tax payable | 17 239 | 56 975 |
| Derivates and other financial instruments | 29 985 | 27 932 |
| Other current liabilities | 133 299 | 146 679 |
| Total current liabilities | 1 334 767 | 1 328 398 |
| Total liabilities | 3 721 665 | 3 110 148 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 5 964 261 | 5 351 599 |
Key financial indicators
| Q4 2015 | Q4 2014 | YTD 2015 | YTD 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA-margin before adj biomass | 7 % | 16 % | 6 % | 12 % |
| EBIT-margin before adj biomass | 4 % | 12 % | 1 % | 8 % |
| NIBD/EBITDA before adj biomass | 6,3 | 3,3 | 6,3 | 3,3 |
| ROCE before adj biomass | 5 % | 16 % | 5 % | 10 % |
| Equity ratio | 38 % | 42 % | 38 % | 42 % |
OUTLOOK
Harvest estimate
| Guiding 2016 (1,000 tons gw e) |
Rogaland | Finnmark | BC | Shetland | GSF Group |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | 3,3 | 6,0 | 1,1 | 2,3 | 12,7 |
| Growth % | 21 % | 18 % | -41 % | -32 % | -3 % |
| Q2-Q4 | 15,9 | 17,3 | 11,7 | 12,4 | 57,3 |
| Growth % | 27 % | 20 % | -6 % | -4 % | 9 % |
| Total | 19,2 | 23,3 | 12,8 | 14,7 | 70,0 |
| Growth % | 26 % | 20 % | -11 % | -10 % | 7 % |
- 2016 guiding of 70,000 tons
- Finnmark guiding up 1,000 tons.
- Shetland guiding down 1,000 tons.
Supply outlook
- Global supply moving down, 2016 vs 2015 expected to be -4%. Strong market is expected.
- Norway none growth:
- 2015: +3%
- 2016: -4% (1,072' MT)
- Chile negative growth rate:
- 2015: +1%
- 2016: -7% (495' MT)
- Canada from positive to negative growth rate:
- 2015: +28%
- 2016: 0% (139' MT)
- UK from negative to positive growth rate:
- 2015: +3%
- 2016: 0% (160' MT)
Global supply growth farmed salmon (YoY):
NASDAQ (Norway) price development :
Outlook summary/actions GSF
Aim to bring the cost level down to the industry average, or lower. 10% annual increase in production 2017-2019, increasing biomass in 2016.
- GSF's smolt programme increasing number and size of smolt.
- o Increasing both internal and external smolt capacity.
- o Shorten the production time in the sea.
- Aim is to save 10 % on external purchases.
- IT project to ensure system and process standardization.
- Organisation changes in order to strengthen the focus on operations.
- HR Director appointed.
- Implementing green licenses in Finnmark.
- Oxygen equipment BC implemented in order to lower risk regarding low DO events.
Outlook summary/actions Shetland
- Reduce the production cycle from 24 to 18 months.
- Smolt size UK 2016 +50%.
- Quarterly smolt input.
- Algae monitoring.
- Implementing lumpfish.
- Pen number reduction of 30%.
- Weaker areas temporarily closed, number of sites from 26 to 18, resulting reduced manpower levels.
- Harvesting plant UK, manpower levels are reduced.
- The Board of Directors has decided to initiate a strategic review of the company's operations in Shetland.
Thank you !
APPENDIX
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Share info
- − Number of shares
- 111.7 million (after full conversion of bonds in August 2009).
- − Last issues: Q2 2009
- 139 MNOK new share issue.
- − Subordinated convertible bond issue: Q1 2009
- 100 mill. convertible at NOK 4.00 per share within 31.12.2010.
- 85% converted in Q2 2009.
- 15% converted in Q3 2009.
- − EPS
- 1.37 NOK/share Q4 2015.
- 1.87 NOK/share Q4 2014.
- − Shareholder structure
- Largest 20 have 93.66% of total no. of shares.
Shareholders
| No. shares | % | |
|---|---|---|
| GRIEG HOLDINGS | 55 801 409 | 49,97 % |
| DNB NOR MARKETS, AKSJEHAND/ANALYSE | 22 181 875 | 19,87 % |
| NORDEA BANK NORGE ASA MARKETS | 6 605 998 | 5,92 % |
| KONTRARI AS | 5 862 763 | 5,25 % |
| YSTHOLMEN | 2 928 197 | 2,62 % |
| OM HOLDING AS | 2 610 000 | 2,34 % |
| STATE STREET BANK AND TRUST CO. | 1 305 901 | 1,17 % |
| GRIEG SEAFOOD ASA | 1 250 000 | 1,12 % |
| KVASSHØGDI AS | 1 000 000 | 0,90 % |
| GRIEG SHIPPING II AS | 824 565 | 0,74 % |
| SKANDINAVISKA ENSKILDA BANKEN AB | 804 664 | 0,72 % |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO INVESTMENT | 598 695 | 0,54 % |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO NORDIC | 490 000 | 0,44 % |
| THE BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON | 461 800 | 0,41 % |
| HSBC BANK PLC | 382 691 | 0,34 % |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET DNB SMB | 377 500 | 0,34 % |
| STOREBRAND VEKST | 321 312 | 0,29 % |
| THE BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON SA/NV | 281 741 | 0,25 % |
| MK PENSJON PK | 276 944 | 0,25 % |
| SKANDINAVISKA ENSKILDA BANKEN AB | 219 030 | 0,20 % |
| Total 20 largest shareholders | 104 585 085 | 93,66 % |
| Total other | 7 076 915 | 6,34 % |
| Total numbers of shares | 111 662 000 | 100,00 % |
Profit and Loss
| All figures in NOK 1,000 | Q4 2015 | Q4 2014 | YTD 2015 | YTD 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating income | 1 189 313 | 1 047 753 | 4 638 370 | 4 161 484 |
| Share of profit from joint venture | -237 | -2 037 | 6 994 | 3 576 |
| Change in inventories | 157 315 | 90 854 | 132 503 | 116 243 |
| Raw materials and consumables used |
-888 043 | -603 648 | -2 871 429 | -2 409 520 |
| Salaries and personnel expenses | -117 805 | -101 471 | -409 432 | -359 528 |
| Other operating expenses | -253 635 | -260 609 | -1 235 695 | -1 028 434 |
| EBITDA | 86 907 | 170 841 | 261 311 | 483 820 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | -47 112 | -38 212 | -164 547 | -135 495 |
| Depreciation and amortisation of licenses | -481 | -3 167 | -2 827 | -5 222 |
| Impairment adjustments on assets | 3 805 | 0 | -46 195 | 0 |
| EBIT before biomass adj | 43 118 | 129 461 | 47 742 | 343 104 |
| Fair value adj biological assets | 161 252 | 123 450 | 33 209 | -123 737 |
| EBIT after biomass adj. | 204 370 | 252 911 | 80 951 | 219 367 |
| Share of profit from ass. companies | 997 | -78 | 3 142 | 2 865 |
| Net financial | -38 585 | 2 939 | -93 301 | -50 276 |
| Profit before tax and biomass adj | 5 530 | 132 322 | -42 417 | 295 693 |
| Profit before tax | 166 782 | 255 772 | -9 208 | 171 956 |
| Estimated taxation | -11 024 | -48 588 | 18 608 | -27 561 |
| Net profit in the period | 155 759 | 207 184 | 9 400 | 144 395 |
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