AI assistant
GRAMMER AG — Investor Presentation 2017
Mar 15, 2017
186_ip_2017-03-15_f3153662-5873-4306-985a-5ac6578f80c7.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
Investor Presentation
March / April 2017
1GRAMMER at a Glance
2Strategic Roadmap for Profitable Growth & Value Generation
3Strategic Partnership GRAMMER & Ningbo Jifeng
4Outlook 2017
AAppendix
GRAMMER at a Glance
GRAMMER GROUP – KEY FACTS
1
Leading global player in the automotive and commercial vehicle industry
Revenues by product segment (FY 2016)
GRAMMER GROUP – GLOBAL FOOTPRINT
Global production and R&D network on 4 continents
1
GRAMMER GROUP – LONG-TERM GROWTH1
Strong track record of global revenue growth
GRAMMER GROUP – KEY FIGURES 20161
2016 performance proofs success of long-term profitable growth strategy
Highlights 2016
- Highest earnings in company history & 6th straight year with new sales record
- Group revenue climbed by 19% to 1.7 billion €, mainly driven by Automotive division
- 71% increase in EBIT to 73 million € (2015: 43)
- EPS improved by 90% to 4.01 € (2015: 2.10)
- Record dividend of 1.30 € / share proposed
- Share price +70% in 2016, #1 in SDAX-index
GRAMMER AG – SHARE PRICE DEVELOPMENT
Management has strongly increased shareholder value
GRAMMER share price in €2030405060Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17
Selected Broker Recommendations
1
| Br ok er |
Da te |
Cu nt Re rre co mm |
Cu nt TP rre ( €) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ba nk ha La us mp e |
2-M 17 ar- |
Ho ld |
52 .0 |
| DZ Ba nk |
-Fe b-1 22 7 |
Bu y |
65 .0 |
| La nd ba nk BW es |
15 -Fe b-1 7 |
Ho ld |
60 .0 |
| Ba ad He lve er- a |
14 -Fe b-1 7 |
Ho ld |
55 .0 |
| Mo nte g a |
14 -Fe b-1 7 |
Ho ld |
50 .0 |
| Wa rbu Inv est nt rg me |
9-F eb -17 |
Bu y |
63 .0 |
| Qu irin Ba nk |
1-F eb -17 |
Bu y |
62 .0 |
| Me dia n |
60 .0 |
Top 5 Shareholders
| Ha log * |
1 0. 2 2 % |
|---|---|
| Ca de * sc a |
1 0. 0 0 % |
| D im ion l en s a |
4. 9 9 % |
| O l d M l P lc tu u a |
3. 0 7 % |
| Un ion Inv tm t es en |
3. 0 % 7 |
| Ow Tr S ha n ea su ry re s |
2. 8 6 % |
| *) Co ies d b Ha mp an ow ne y |
fam sto ily r |
Basic Share Data
| I S I N |
D E 0 0 0 5 8 9 5 4 0 |
|---|---|
| / Co W K N de |
/ G 5 8 9 5 4 0 M M |
| Nu be f s ha m r o re s |
1 1, 5 4 4, 6 7 4 |
| Ma ke t c r ap [ Ma r 2 0, 20 17] |
6 2 5 € i l l ion m |
| Av d ing l. ( tra e. vo Xe ) tra |
ha / da 7 0, 0 0 0 s re s y |
| Av d ing l. ( tra h.) e. vo all exc |
/ 1 1 0, 0 0 0 ha da s re s y |
| In de S D A X / D A x |
X Se Au b i les to to c r m o |
Strategic Roadmap forProfitable Growth & Value Generation
GRAMMER GROUP – ON THE MOVE2
Our strategic roadmap for driving profitable growth & value generation
Driving Global Growth
1
2Driving Innovations
3Driving Strategic Development
4Driving Profitable Growth
Global setup, innovative products & strategic acquisitions build crucial basis for future success
Strategic Partnership with Ningbo Jifengsupports continuation of GRAMMER'ssuccessful global growth
Optimized processes and structures for better cost base
GRAMMER Group is set for profitable growth and strong value generation
GRAMMER GROUP – DRIVING GLOBAL GROWTH2
GRAMMER to continue outpacing market growth
GRAMMER GROUP – DRIVING GLOBAL GROWTH2
Impressive revenue growth to >2.2 billion € by 2021 expected
Group Revenue (IFRS) in € billion – Strategic Development until 2021e
GRAMMER GROUP – DRIVING INNOVATIONS2
Business model disruption proof, with low risk execution
GRAMMER GROUP – DRIVING INNOVATIONS2
Development focus secure our innovative leadership in interior & seating
HMI, FunctionalSurfaces & Ambient Lighting
Comfort &Ergonomics + Health Solutions
Elegant & LuxuriousAppearance
Digital Interfaces& Sensors
Light Weight and"Green" Materials Active & PassiveSafety
Interior as main differentiation factor for the OEM1
Interior defines well-being and comfort of driver/passenger
2 Massive upgrade & expansion of interior functionality 3
Superb comfort & luxurious appearance
Optimized ergonomics and functionality Intuitive HMIs on functional surfaces
Genius Cab – innovative cabin interior
Scientific research for comfort & safety
Intelligent interior for all driving situations
GRAMMER GROUP – DRIVING CORPORATE DEVELOPMENT2
Focused M&A strategy to enhance product portfolio, technology & profitability
GRAMMER's M&A History
| 2 0 1 1 |
E i A E l i B l i t e c r o n c s, e g u m |
|---|---|
| 2 0 1 2 |
N C h R b l i t e c e c, z e c e p u c |
| 2 0 1 3 |
C J V J i Y h h i a n g s a, n a u u u |
| 2 0 1 5 |
G G R & P l d e m r o p, e r m a n o a n u u y |
| 2 0 1 6 |
J V S h i, C h i a a n x n a |
1
Commercial Vehicles (Offroad) Automotive (Headrest) Commercial Vehicles (Truck) Automotive (Consoles)Commercial Vehicles (Truck)
Expansion of electronic know-howAdditional safety technologiesEntry into Chinese truck marketExpansion of product & technologySecure growth in Chinese truck market
Successful M&A transactions and acquisitions in the past in all core product segments
Larger M&A DealsPurchase price> €500 million GRAMMER's M&A Transaction ScopeMidsize M&A DealsPurchase price€100 to 500 millionSmaller M&A DealsPurchase price< €100 million 2
GRAMMER's M&A radar focused on smaller/midsize targetsto strengthen regional and innovative position
Adequate firepower of approx. € 150-250 m. for M&A strategy w/o deterioration in credit metrics & covenant breachAdditional financial headroom due to proceeds from Ningbo Jifeng's investment
GRAMMER GROUP – DRIVING PROFITABLE GROWTH2
Lower footprint costs, better cost base and volume impact drive EBIT
Performance in 2016 sets base for further strong profitability improvement
Reduction of footprint costs combined with improved cost base will generate better incremental profits from higher volumes
Main EBIT driver Seating Systems Division:
Reduction of Brazilian loss situation and slight volume improvement in offroad markets will result in margin upside
GRAMMER GROUP – DRIVING PROFITABLE GROWTH2
Best-in-class growth among peers, profitability in line with strong potential
GRAMMER operational performance vs. interior & seating peers
*) Peer divisional metrics exclude corporate costs
GRAMMER revenues and profitability roadmap by product segment
FutureEBITDrivers Commercial Vehicles: Recovery of profitable market segments. Higher value due to functional (e.g. electronics) integrationInterior Components: Further synergies with GRAMMER Group. Global growth within GRAMMER's existing infrastructureConsoles: Higher maturity of plants & products. Higher R&D efficiency and higher value due to functional integrationHeadrests: Ongoing consequent cost optimization & production transfers. Plus: active portfolio management (JV China / M&A)
Strategic Partnership GRAMMER & Ningbo Jifeng
GRAMMER GROUP – STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP NINGBO JIFENG3
Highlights & core elements
Compelling industrial logic & value creation potential due to complementary geographic focusand product offering1
Subscription of 60 million € mandatory convertible bond by Ningbo Jifeng's associated company, representing ca. 9.2% of shares outstanding and enlarges the shareholder base of GRAMMER 2
Reinforcement of GRAMMER's shareholder structure as Ningbo Jifeng's associated companyto become a long-term shareholder of GRAMMER AG3
Envisaged future joint venture(s) and shared projects in China and other markets between GRAMMER and Ningbo Jifeng4
This strategic alliance will:
- expand GRAMMER's market presence & customer penetration in the largest car market of the world
- support the continuation of GRAMMER's successful growth and innovation strategy
- help to secure GRAMMER's business relations with key customers
- secure the future growth and enhance the value of both companies
Compelling industrial logic & value creation potential
- Largest and fastest growing automotive market globally - Access to Ningbo Jifeng's supply and distribution networks - Strong product complementary creates substantial potential for cross-selling <<- Partnership underlined by Ningbo Jifeng's associated company becoming a long-term GRAMMER shareholder - Strategic partnership important to safe-guard business relationship with main customers - Ningbo Jifeng supportive of GRAMMER's strategic course and governance structures - Partnership to improve both companies access to local and internat. OEMs in China & Europe - GRAMMER's & Jifeng's products are complementary & comparable in the relevant segments - Key customers are welcoming the strategic partnership between GRAMMER & Ningbo Jifeng - Significant synergy potential combining best practices from 2 automotive suppliers - Platform for future potential joint programs and value chain optimization programs - Potential across entire value chain: R&D, procurement, manufacturing, distribution Expand GRAMMER's Presence in ChinaImprove joint competitive position of two automotive interior specialistsAmple Potential for Joint Value CreationStrengthened GRAMMER's Shareholding Structure
Outlook 2017
GRAMMER GROUP – MARKET OUTLOOK 20174
Global car & truck markets with solid growth. Brazil to recover in 2017
Car production – Actual 2016 & Forecast 2017[in % yoy]
| A l t c a u 2 0 1 6 |
F t o r e c a s 2 0 1 7 |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E u r o p e |
3 % + |
2 % + |
E u r o p e |
|
| S U A |
2 % + |
1 % - |
S U A |
|
| B i l r a z |
1 1 % - |
1 0 % + |
B i l r a z |
|
| C h i n a |
1 4 % + |
3 % + |
C h i n a |
|
| W l d o r |
5 % + |
2 % + |
W l d o r |
|
| So IHS Fe b. 20 17 urc e: , |
So IHS Ja urc e: n. , |
20 17 |
Truck production – Actual 2016 & Forecast 2017[Trucks >6t, in % yoy]
| A l t c u a 2 0 1 6 |
F t o r e c a s 2 0 1 7 |
|
|---|---|---|
| E u r o p e |
3 % + |
1 % + |
| S U A |
1 1 % - |
4 % + |
| B i l r a z |
2 0 % - |
1 0 % + |
| C h i n a |
2 4 % + |
% 7 + |
| W l d o r |
6 % + |
4 % + |
xxx^^Agricultural market outlook 2017 by our main customers
| x x x |
E u r o p e |
N h A i t o r m e r c a |
S h A i t o u m e r c a |
|---|---|---|---|
| J h D * o n e e r e |
0 % 5 % t o - |
5 % 1 0 % t o - - |
1 5 % 2 0 % t + o + |
| G C O G A ** r o u p |
0 % 5 % t o - |
5 % 1 0 % t o - - |
1 0 % + |
Source: *) John Deere Q1 2017 (17.02.2017) **) AGCO Group Q4 2016 (07.02.2017)
GRAMMER Group – Outlook:
- At Group level GRAMMER forecasts a moderate increase in revenue to more than 1.75 billion € in 2017
- As communicated, a Group operational EBIT margin of around 5% is expected in 2017
Potential risk in case of change-of-control intended by investment company of Hastor family:
- Minority shareholder Cascade International Investment GmbH is seeking a change of control inGRAMMER AG's currently independent governance bodies
- If successful, this potential change of control could have an adverse effect on customer relations
- In this case GRAMMER cannot exclude the possibility of existential risks to future order intake
Appendix
GRAMMER GROUP – APPENDIXA
Financial calendar and IR contact
| I i M t t n e r m a n a g e m e n S Q / 1 2 0 1 M 1 2 0 1 t t t 7 5 7 a e m e n s a y , |
R l f H a o p p e V P Inv Re la io C ic io t t t e s o r ns o m m u n a ns , , S M ke ing & ic Pr du P la ing t t t t a r ra e g o c nn |
|---|---|
| G A l l M i M 2 4 2 0 1 t 7 n n a e n e r a e e n g a u y , |
P h ( ) 4 9 0 9 6 2 1 6 6 2 2 0 0 o n e : + |
| Q / I i R 2 2 0 1 A 0 9 2 0 1 t t 7 t 7 n e r m e p o r g s u u , |
( ) F 4 9 0 9 6 2 1 6 6 3 2 2 0 0 a + x : @ E i l i l i t t m a n v e s o r- r e a o n s g r a m m e r. c o m : |
| I i M t t n e r m a n a g e m e n S Q / 3 2 0 1 N b 1 3 2 0 1 t t t 7 7 a e m e n s o e m e r v , |
I / i l i t t t t n e r n e : w w w g r a m m e r. c o m n v e s o r- r e a o n s |
GRAMMER GROUP – INFORMATION ON NINGBO JIFENGA
Corporate Overview
Company Description
- Ningbo Jifeng specializes in automotive headrest assembly, armrest assembly, headrest stems and door stems
- Main products consist of passenger car seat headrests, headrest struts, seat armrests and other automotive seating components
- Its products are mainly used in the passenger car industry
- Main customers include Lear, Adient (formerly Johnson Controls) and Faurecia
- Production facilities in China (Ningbo, Changchun, Shenyang, Wuhan, Chengdu, Liuzhou, and Guangzhou) and in CeskáLípa, Czech Republic, with a total of ~2,600 employees
Revenue Development
Top CustomersSeat ManufacturersCar Manufacturers
GRAMMER GROUP – INFORMATION ON NINGBO JIFENGA
Overview of the Chinese automotive market
Market Key Facts
- Largest market world-wide for commercial vehicles & cars
- Strong forecast volume growth in seating and interiors market
- Increasing wealth and economic growth driving demand for greater content per vehicle
China Automotive Interior Market (07A–30E)
Volume (MM Units)
China Light Vehicle Sales (10A-22E)
Seating Markets: Size, Growth, Content/Vehicle
GRAMMER GROUP – APPENDIXA
Key figures full year 2016 and Q4 2016
| [ I F R S i € i l l i ] n m o n , |
1- 1 2 2 0 1 6 |
1- 1 2 2 0 1 5 |
C h g |
Q 4 2 0 1 6 |
Q 4 2 0 1 5 |
C h g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G R r o u p e v e n u e s |
1, 6 9 5 5 |
1, 4 2 5 7 |
1 8 9 % + |
4 3 0 2 |
3 6 9 7 |
1 6 4 % + |
| E B I T D A E B I T D A M i a r g n - |
1 2 0 2 1 % 7 |
8 3 2 8 % 5 |
4 4 5 % 1. 3 % P - |
3 5 0 8 1 % |
2 4 3 6 6 % |
4 4 0 % 1. % P 5 - |
| E B I T E B I T- M i a r g n |
7 3 0 4 3 % |
4 2 7 3 0 % |
7 1. 0 % P 1. 3 % - |
2 3 4 5 4 % |
1 3 0 3 5 % |
7 9 0 % P 1. 9 % - |
| O i E B I T t p e r a n g O i E B I T- M i t p e r a n g a r g n |
6 8 1 4 0 % |
3 9 0 2 % 7 |
7 4 6 % 1. 3 % P - |
2 0 6 4 8 % |
1 2 3 3 3 % |
6 7 5 % 1. % P 5 - |
| P f i f t t t r o a e r a x e s E P S i € n |
4 2 5 4 0 1 |
2 3 8 2 1 0 |
8 9 9 % 9 1. 0 % |
1 9 6 1. 7 4 |
1 7 0 6 3 |
1 6 1 % 7 1 7 6 2 % |
| T l A t t o a s s e s E i t q u y E i R i t t q u y a o - |
1, 0 5 0 6 2 1. 2 7 2 6 % |
9 9 2 1 2 3 4 5 2 6 % |
5 9 % 0 % 7 0 % P - |
1, 0 5 0 6 2 1. 2 7 2 6 % |
9 9 2 1 2 3 4 5 2 6 % |
5 9 % 0 % 7 0 % P - |
| N F i i l D b t t e n a n c a e G i R i t e a r n g a o |
1 3 9 1 5 1 % |
1 5 5 5 6 1 % |
1 0 % 5 - P 1 0 % - - |
1 3 9 1 5 1 % |
1 5 5 5 6 1 % |
1 9 % 5 P 1 0 % - |
| C ( / ) M & A a p e o x w D i i t e p r e c a o n |
6 2 5 4 2 7 |
4 9 7 4 0 5 |
1 3 % 7 1 6 % 5 |
2 2 1 1 1. 6 |
2 2 9 1 1. 3 |
3 % 5 - 2 % 7 |
| E l ( h- d ) t m p o y e e s m o n e n |
1 2 2 0 5 , |
1 1, 3 9 7 |
% 7 5 |
1 2 2 0 5 , |
1 1, 3 9 7 |
% 7 5 |
GRAMMER GROUP – APPENDIXA
Financial key figures 5-year overview
| S [ I F R i € i l l i ] n m o n , |
2 0 1 6 |
2 0 1 5 |
2 0 1 4 |
2 0 1 3 |
2 0 1 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G R r o u p e v e n u e |
1, 6 9 5 5 |
1, 4 2 5 7 |
1, 3 6 5 9 |
1, 2 6 5 7 |
1, 1 3 3 0 |
| E B I T D A |
1 2 0 2 |
8 3 2 |
9 3 7 |
9 2 3 |
8 1 7 |
| E B I T D A M i a r g n - |
1 % 7 |
8 % 5 |
6 9 % |
3 % 7 |
6 9 % |
| E B I T |
3 0 7 |
4 2 7 |
5 7 0 |
5 8 0 |
4 9 0 |
| E B I T- M i a r g n |
4 3 % |
3 0 % |
4 2 % |
4 6 % |
4 3 % |
| P f i f t t t r o a e r a x e s S E P i € n / S D i i d d h i € v e n a r e n |
4 5 2 4 0 1 * 1. 3 0 |
2 3 8 2 1 0 0 7 5 |
3 3 6 3 0 9 0 7 5 |
2 9 6 2 6 7 0 6 5 |
2 6 8 2 3 8 0 5 0 |
| T l A t t o a s s e s E i t q u y E i R i t t q u y a o - |
1, 0 0 6 5 2 7 1. 2 2 6 % |
9 9 2 1 2 5 3 4 2 6 % |
8 3 6 5 2 3 1. 8 2 8 % |
6 6 0 7 2 2 4 7 2 9 % |
6 6 8 8 2 1 0 3 3 1 % |
| N F i i l D b t t e n a n c a e G i R i t e a r n g a o |
1 3 9 1 5 1 % |
1 5 5 5 6 1 % |
8 6 7 3 7 % |
9 3 2 4 1 % |
6 7 5 3 6 % |
| C ( / ) M & A a p e o x w D i i t e p r e c a o n |
6 2 5 4 2 7 |
4 9 7 4 0 5 |
1. 5 5 3 6 7 |
4 6 8 3 4 3 |
3 9 0 2 9 1 |
| E l ( D ) 3 1 m p o y e e s e c. ) |
1 2 2 5 0 , |
1 1, 3 9 7 |
1 0 7 0 0 , |
1 0 0 8 2 , |
8 6 2 0 , |
GRAMMER GROUPLegal disclaimer
By attending the presentation to which this document relates or by accepting this document and not immediately returning it, you agree to bebound to the following limitations:
This presentation and the topics addressed therein have been compiled for discussion purposes only and are not intended to be acomprehensive summary of all business, financial, legal, practical and other aspects or to cover all issues relating to an investment in GRAMMERAG. A binding commitment will only result from a definitive andbinding agreement.
This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or subscribe for any securities and neither this presentation nor anything contained herein shall act as an inducement to enter into or form the basisof, or be relied on in connection with, any offer or contract or commitment whatsoever.
This presentation does not constitute an offer for sale of any securities in the United States. Neither this presentation nor any copy of it may betaken or transmitted in or into the United States of America, its territories or possessions or distributed, directly and indirectly, in the United Statesof America, its territories and possessions or to U.S. Persons (as such term is defined in Regulation S under the Securities Act). Any failure tocomply with this restriction may constitute a violation of U.S. securities laws. Neither this presentation nor any copy of it may be taken ortransmitted in or into Australia, Canada or Japan or distributed, directly and indirectly, in Australia, Canada or Japan. The distribution of thispresentation in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this presentation comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions.
This presentation contains estimates, forecasts and expectations. Such estimates, forecasts and expectations are subject to risks and elementsof uncertainty that could result in deviation of actual developments from expected developments. The estimates, forecasts and expectations areonly valid at the time of publication and there can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with any such estimates, forecasts or expectations. GRAMMER AG does not intend to update any such estimates, forecasts or expectations and assumes no obligation todo so. GRAMMER AG does not assume any liability for the statementsmade.
Neither GRAMMER AG nor any of its respective directors, officers, or employees nor any other person accept – to the extent legally possible –any liability for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise in connection therewith. Please takeappropriate advice before applying anything contained in these materials to specific issues or transactions.
This presentation is confidential and is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on toany other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. This presentation or any copy of it may not be distributed to any third party, including the media or the press.