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GPT GROUP — Interim / Quarterly Report 2016
Aug 14, 2016
65009_rns_2016-08-14_fcebc2df-2464-447c-838a-3621af7bfabd.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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2016 INTERIM RESULT 15 August 2016
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Agenda
| Section | Speaker | Page |
|---|---|---|
| 2016 Interim Result Highlights | Bob Johnston | 3 |
| Financial Summary & Capital Management | Anastasia Clarke | 5 |
| Retail | Vanessa Orth | 9 |
| Office & Logistics | Matthew Faddy | 14 |
| Funds Management | Nicholas Harris | 23 |
| Summary & Outlook | Bob Johnston | 26 |
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2016 Interim Result Highlights
Delivering results from core business
Investment Portfolio Performance
6.1%
14.3%
3.8%
$ 380m Portfolio valuation uplift
FFO[1] per security Total Return Portfolio like for like growth income growth Distribution Capital Management Portfolio leasing and occupancy
11.5¢
Distribution per security 1H16
24.4% 95.8% 5.2 YRS Net gearing Total portfolio Weighted Average occupancy Lease Expiry
- Funds From Operations
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Progress on Group Strategy
Investment Portfolio
-
Retail, Office & Logistics portfolios all delivering strong returns
-
Full year Group Total Return expected to be greater than 11.5%
-
86% of the investment portfolio is in the Sydney and Melbourne markets
Funds Management
-
GWOF terms renewed, with an increase in the base fee and sharing of pipeline rights
-
• GWSCF consultation process commenced
-
Office fund increased non-core asset sale program to approximately $420m
-
GMF units sold and agreement in place for the sale of management rights
-
Sunshine Plaza development commencing in 3Q16
-
$300 million expansion of Rouse Hill Town Centre expected to commence 1H17
Development
-
Mixed-use opportunities at Rouse Hill, Sydney Olympic Park and Camellia progressing
-
Initial planning process commenced for Darling Park Stage 4
-
New logistics land acquired in Sydney
Strong Balance Sheet & Efficient Structure
-
Credit rating upgrade achieved
-
Balance sheet capacity to fund acquisitions and developments
-
Cost structure rationalised
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Financial Summary
| 6 months to 30 June ($ million) | 2016 | 2015 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Profit After Tax | 586.4 | 421.9 | 39.0% |
| Deduct: Valuation increases | 379.9 | 146.0 | |
| Deduct: Distribution on exchangeable securities | - | 1.7 | |
| Add back: Treasury items marked to market | 65.7 | (7.3) | |
| Deduct: Other items | 2.4 | 17.9 | |
| Funds From Operations (FFO) | 269.8 | 249.0 | 8.4% |
| Deduct: Maintenance capex and lease incentives | 61.7 | 51.8 | |
| Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) | 208.1 | 197.1 | 5.6% |
| Weighted average securities on issue (million) | 1,796.9 | 1,759.6 | |
| Funds From Operations per stapled security (cents) | 15.02 | 14.15 | 6.1% |
| Distribution per stapled security (cents) | 11.5 | 11.0 | 4.5% |
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Segment Result
| 6 months to 30 June ($m) | 2016 | 2015 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail | 148.6 | 149.7 | Comparable income growth of 3% offset by asset sales including Dandenong | ||
| Office Logistics |
107.1 49.7 |
107.3 51.4 |
Comparable income growth of 6% offset by lower GWOF income due to 1H performance fee and Fund accrual for a final performance fee |
||
| Funds Management | 29.2 | 15.6 | GWOF 1H performance fee and higher base fee | ||
| Net Income | 334.6 | 324.0 | |||
| Net interest expense | (50.1) | (59.0) | Lower debt balance, lower fixed & floating rate partially offset by higher margin | ||
| Corporate overheads | (13.8) | (16.4) | |||
| Tax expense | (5.9) | (5.7) | |||
| Non-core income | 5.0 | 6.1 | Ayers Rock Resort interest income. Loan fully repaid 1 July 2016 | ||
| Funds From Operations | 269.8 | 249.0 |
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GWOF Performance Fee
-
GPT earned a performance fee from GWOF in 1H16
-
GWOF terms renewal included a final performance fee to GPT for accrued outperformance
-
GWOF has accrued for the final performance fee expense
-
Payable to GPT in 2H16 and does not form part of GPT’s 1H16 FFO
| Reconciliation | GPT FFO 1H16 | |
|---|---|---|
| GWOFperformance fee – 1H16 | 14.4 | |
| Less adjustments for: | ||
| Tax @ 30% on 1Hperformance fee | (4.3) | |
| Effect on GPT share of GWOF FFO for 1Hperformance fee | (2.9) | |
| Effect on GPT share of GWOF FFO for accrual of finalperformance fee | (2.8) | (5.7) |
| Net GWOFperformance fee – 1H161 | 4.3 |
- Difference in total due to rounding of individual components.
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Capital Management
-
Upgrade of GPT’s long term rating with Standard and Poor’s to A
-
Reduced weighted average cost of debt by 30 basis points to 4.3%
-
Further diversified the Group’s funding sources and increased the weighted average debt term to 5.9 years
-
Net gearing decreased to 24.4% at 30 June, reducing to 23.4% on a pro-forma basis as a result of asset sale proceeds received post 30 June
| Jun 2016 | Dec 2015 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net tangible assets per security Gearing |
$4.38 24.4% |
$4.17 26.3% |
5.0% (190) bps |
| Weighted average cost of debt | 4.3% | 4.6% | (30) bps |
| Weighted average term to maturity | 5.9 years | 5.1 years | 0.8 years |
| Interest cover ratio | 6.3x | 5.3x | 1.0x |
| Credit ratings | A / A3 | A- / A3 | Upgrade |
| Weighted average term of hedging Average hedging over hedge term |
5.3 years 63% |
5.6 years 57% |
(0.3) years 600 bps |
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Sources of Drawn Debt
CPI
Bonds
3%
USPP
23%
Domestic
bank debt
37%
Foreign
MTNs
7%
Foreign
Domestic bank debt
Secured
MTNs 7%
bank debt
19%
4%
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Retail | Highlights
Key Portfolio Statistics
3.0%
$ 43.2m
| Retail Financial Highlights | 2016 | 2015 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| PropertyNet Income | 120.9 | 127.8 | (5.4%) |
| Income from GWSCF | 17.8 | 18.2 | (2.2%) |
Portfolio like for like income growth
Valuation uplift
Portfolio commentary and market conditions
4.2%
Specialty sales MAT growth
99.4%
Total portfolio occupancy
-
Solid like for like growth driven by fixed rent escalations and improved leasing spreads
-
Property Net Income reduced by the divestment of Dandenong Plaza and lost income associated with the Charlestown Square remix
-
The sale of Forestway resulted in a lower contribution from GWSCF
5.52%
Weighted Average Cap Rate
2.7YRS
Specialty WALE
-
Retail sales have benefitted from a strong housing market, low interest rates and reduced household savings
-
Portfolio is well positioned with highly productive assets exposed to markets with solid population growth
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Retail | Specialty Sales
Portfolio Insights
Moving Annual Change in Retail Sales by Category[1 ]
-
Specialty sales growth has moderated to 4.2% in June from
-
6.5% in Dec 15
-
Improved performance in Department Stores and Mini Majors
-
General Retail performing strongly with Cosmetics being a key growth category
-
Apparel growing at 0.3%, or 6.6% per sqm
-
including Mini Majors growth is 1.4%, or 5.6% per sqm
-
Food Retail down 1.1%, up 5.1% on a per sqm basis
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16.4%
Specialty breakdown
10.7% 9.8%
6.2%
4.5% 4.2% 4.5% 4.2%
3.2% [3.7% ]
2.7%
1.6%
0.7% 1.1% 0.3%
(1.1%)
Total Centre Department Store Discount Department Store Supermarket Mini and Other Majors Other Retail Total Specialties General Retail Homewares Jewellery Mobile Phones Leisure Food Catering Retail Services Apparel Food Retail
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- Based on GPT weighted interest. Excludes development impacted assets Wollongong Central and Macarthur Square.
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Retail | Leasing
Leasing Highlights
-
Strong specialty sales growth and productivity is translating into an improvement in leasing spreads and low levels of vacancy
-
Actively shifting the retail mix into growth categories such as food catering and down weighting in certain areas of apparel, translating into lower occupancy costs but stronger specialty rent and sales
-
Strengthening our portfolio position, with the introduction of H&M into Charlestown and Wollongong
| Jun 2016 | Dec 2015 | |
|---|---|---|
| Specialty MAT sales psm | $10,766 | $10,460 |
| Specialty Occupancy Cost | 17.1% | 17.4% |
| Leasing Spreads | 0% | (1.6%) |
| Retention Rate | 69% | 70% |
| Portfolio Occupancy | 99.4% | 99.2% |
| 2016 Specialty Base Rent Expiry | 16% | 28% |
| Specialty WALE | 2.7 years | 2.5 years |
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Retail | Development
Casuarina Square Entertainment & Lifestyle precinct – $34m
Charlestown Square International Mini-Major remix – $44m
-
Creation of a new entertainment & lifestyle precinct, “The Quarter”, to enhance the assets dominant position in the market
-
Focused on outdoor dining and family entertainment
-
Introduced seven new food retailers to the Darwin market
-
Strong trading performance since opening
-
Re-vitalised an existing precinct to strengthen asset performance
-
Significant improvement in mix and quality of retailers, with H&M and Cotton On Mega
-
Specialty sales above portfolio average at $11,000 per sqm
-
• Positive leasing spreads being achieved
-
Trading strongly with 60,000 visitations on opening day
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Retail | Sunshine Plaza Development
-
Dominant asset in a growth market
-
High productivity of $11,800 per sqm
-
Trade area will continue to benefit from population growth, new infrastructure and tourism
-
$400m expansion includes 105 new specialties, David Jones, Big W, International Mini-Majors and an upgraded Myer ( GPT share $200m )
-
Commencement in Q3 2016 with forecast completion Q4 2018
-
Stabilised yield on cost greater than 6%
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Office | Highlights
Key Portfolio Statistics
6.0%
$ 287.3m
| Office Financial Highlights | 2016 | 2015 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| PropertyNet Income | 83.2 | 76.6 | 8.6% |
| Income from GWOF | 25.1 | 31.1 | (19.3%) |
Portfolio like for like income growth
Valuation uplift
97.3%
m[2 ] 41,100
Total portfolio Leases signed occupancy
5.3 YRS
5.58%
Weighted Average Office WALE Cap Rate
Portfolio commentary and market conditions
-
Portfolio has delivered a strong result underpinned by continued leasing activity
-
Net income has risen strongly for the period driven by increased occupancy and comparable income growth of 6%
-
Valuation gains reflect continued investment demand for quality product, firming cap rates and being supported by income growth
-
Market conditions remain favourable in Sydney and Melbourne
-
Sydney market expected to see further tightening in vacancy given positive economy and near term withdrawals
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Office | Valuations
-
All assets independently valued at 30 June 2016
-
Valuation gains a function of income growth and cap rate firming
| Valuation Uplift | Valuation Uplift | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H16 | |||
| Property | $m | % | |
| Australia Square | $50.9 | 14.9% | |
| 1 Farrer Place | $42.7 | 11.3% | |
| MLC Centre | $46.3 | 10.1% | |
| CitigroupCentre | $46.0 | 9.4% | |
| Melbourne Central | $37.4 | 8.0% | |
| CBW Melbourne | $2.7 | 0.9% | |
| 111 Eagle Street | $2.2 | 0.8% | |
| GWOF Ownership1 | $59.1 | 6.0% | |
| Total | $287.3 | 7.7% |
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Weighted Average Valuation Uplift
Sydney Melbourne Brisbane
+10.8% +4.2% +0.3%
Composition of
Valuation Gains
Income
Growth
39%
Cap Rate
61%
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- Based on GPT’s equity interest in GWOF
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Office | Leasing
-
Significant leasing achieved over the last four years, increasing occupancy to 97.3%
-
Leasing results driven by the technology sector and continued demand from the smaller tenant market
-
41,100 sqm of signed leases and 43,000 sqm of deals at heads of agreement
-
Average incentive of 21.9%
Signed Lease Volume 2012 to 1H 2016
Industry Sectors 1H 2016 Signed Leases and Heads of Agreement
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180,000
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 1H 2016H1 2016 [^ ]
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Other
Government 6%
Finance and
1%
Insurance
22%
Property and
Business Services
35%
Information Media
and
Telecommunications
36%
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^ Grey shaded area represents Heads of Agreement
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Office | Sydney Leasing Activity
-
Sydney market represents 57% of GPT’s portfolio weighting
-
Strong leasing results achieved in 1H 2016
-
25,500 sqm of signed leases and an additional 28,100 sqm of heads of agreement
-
Portfolio of ten assets well positioned in the market
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| Total Return (12 months) | 27.1% | 20.3% | 16.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| NLA % Leased last 2 years | 27% | 44% | 47% |
| Occupancy (incl. HoA) – Dec 2015 | 96.8% | 96.1% | 78.7% |
| Occupancy (incl. HoA) – Jun 2016 | 99.5% | 97.8% | 91.7% |
| Leasing 1H 2016 | 1,951 sqm signed leases 935 sqm terms agreed |
3,100 sqm signed leases | 5,499 sqm signed leases 13,538 sqm terms agreed |
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Office | Lease Expiry
-
Low expiry profile with opportunities to capture stronger market conditions
-
Portfolio weighted 89% to the strong markets of Sydney and Melbourne
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Lease Expiry by Income 17.2% 17.5%
Expiry as at Dec-15
Expiry as at Jun-16
9.9% 10.0%
8.3% 8.0% 8.3% 7.9%
4.9%
3.8%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Marsh Mercer ACCC Allianz AMP IAG
(DP3, 0.7%¹) [2 ] (MCT, 1.7%) (MCT, 1.5%) (750C, 1.6%) [2] (CBW, 3.2%)
DHS PwC Google Origin Energy NBN Co
(MCT, 0.7%) (2 SthBank, 0.5%) [2 ] (WP6, 0.7%) [2] (ASQ, 0.9%) (MCT, 2.7%)
Wilson Parking Flight Centre US Government Baker McKenzie Deloitte
(MCT, 0.3%) (545 Queen, 0.5%) [2] (MLC, 0.5%) (CBW, 0.7%) (CBW, 2.6%)
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Portfolio adjusted to exclude Zenith (settled in July 2016). Data adjusted to reflect MCT leasing activity following the balance date. 1. Uncommitted Marsh area
- GWOF asset
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Office | Asset Enhancement & Development
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Asset Upgrades
Darling Park – Development Opportunity
-
580 George $25m lobby and retail upgrade. Advancing stage 2 retail podium scheme
-
Planning continues on MLC Centre stage 2 retail upgrade
-
Value-add projects in planning to enhance assets including Melbourne Central Tower, Farrer Place, 8 Exhibition Street and 750 Collins Street
-
50% owned by GWOF
-
Development application anticipated to be lodged end 2016
-
70,000sqm office tower and 13,000sqm retail
-
Opportunity to reconnect the city to Darling Harbour with 10,000sqm of public space
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Logistics | Highlights
Key Portfolio Statistics
0.1%
$ 42.3m
| Logistics Financial Highlights | 2016 | 2015 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| PropertyNOI | 46.0 | 44.3 | 3.8% |
| Income from GMF | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
Portfolio like for like Valuation uplift income growth
92.7%
m[2 ] 16,800
Total portfolio Leases signed occupancy
Portfolio commentary and market conditions
-
Portfolio has delivered a strong Total Portfolio Return of 13.1% supported by valuation gains
-
Net income growth has been driven by development completions in 2015, with comparable income growth flat
-
Portfolio vacancy primarily relates to assets in Melbourne’s West with supply exceeding demand
6.81%
7.9 YRS
Weighted Average Logistics WALE Cap Rate
-
14.6 hectares of land acquired in Sydney’s West
-
Kings Park in Sydney sold at 8% premium to book value
-
Market conditions continue to be positive in Sydney, but more challenging in Melbourne and Brisbane
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Logistics | Lease Expiry
-
Active lease negotiations progressing for current vacancy and key 2017 expiries
-
Following the sale of Kings Park in July 2016 the 2017 expiry has reduced to 12.9%
Lease Expiry Profile by Income
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18.2%
Expiry as at Dec-15
Expiry as at Jun-16 12.9%
10.2% 10.9% 11.3% 8.8% 9.5%
7.5%
4.3%
2.2%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Yatala Holker Street Rosehill Yennora Eastern Creek
18,300 sqm (2.2%) 7,450 sqm (3.6%) 29,500 sqm (4.3%) 33,200 sqm (4.0%) 15,100 sqm (2.7%)
Citiwest Citiport Sydney Olympic Park Wetherill Park
41,700 sqm (3.5%) 10,350 sqm (2.3%) 13,400 sqm (3.8%) 20,500 sqm (2.2%)
Yatala Somerton [1] Minto [1] Citiport
20,400 sqm (2.3%) 40,600 sqm (1.5%) 15,300 sqm (2.5%) 8,800 sqm (2.1%)
Other Other Other Other
21,200 sqm (3.5%) 15,700 sqm (2.8%) 8,350 sqm (1.0%) 17,850 sqm (2.5%)
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- GLA quoted at 100% whereas percentage impact to lease expiry quoted at 50% interest. Data adjusted to reflect the sale of Kings Park post 30 June.
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Logistics | Development & Land Bank
Development
-
Commenced two speculative developments (44,600sqm GLA) at Abbott Rd, Seven Hills and Eastern Creek Drive, Eastern Creek
-
Secured three transactions at Metroplex, Wacol
Land bank providing potential for approximately $450m of investment product
-
Acquired 14.6 hectares across three sites in Western Sydney
-
Exchanged contracts for the acquisition of 1 Huntingwood Drive, Huntingwood
Abbott Road, Seven Hills
Eastern Creek Drive, Eastern Creek
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Funds Management | Highlights
- Funds Management division has generated a Total Return of 17.6%
• GPT Metro Office Fund (GMF)
-
Takeover offer from Growthpoint recommended by the GMF Board
-
Offer price delivers a Total Unitholder Return of 40.6% for GMF investors since IPO
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GPT Total Return for 12 months ended 30 June 2016
17.6%
4.0%
8.0%
5.6%
Distribution Yield Capital Growth FM Business Contribution Total Return
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- Facilitation agreement in place for the sale of management rights for $9 million
| Fund | Total Assets |
GPT’s Investment | Return (1Yr IRR) |
|---|---|---|---|
| GWOF | $6.1b | $1,042.0m | 18.6% |
| GWSCF | $3.9b | $635.4m | 5.3% |
| GMF | $0.4b | $39.0m | 23.1%1 |
| Total | $10.4b | $1,716.4m |
- Total Unitholder Return
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Funds Management | GWSCF & GWOF
GPT Wholesale Shopping Centre Fund (GWSCF)
-
$240 million expansion of Macarthur Square progressing well
-
Introducing H&M and new format David Jones to Wollongong Central
-
Highpoint Shopping Centre continues to perform strongly, with expansion plans under consideration
-
Consultation process with GWSCF investors for March 2017 liquidity review has commenced
GPT Wholesale Office Fund (GWOF)
-
Performance fee earned in 1H16 of $14.4 million
-
$200 million of asset sales completed with a further $220 million underway
-
Successfully concluded the renewal of Fund terms
-
Liquidity review closed with requests representing 2.4% of issued capital received
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Funds Management | GWOF Fund Terms
| Item | New terms |
|---|---|
| Base management fee | • 50 bps up to $6 billion GAV (from 45 bps) • 45 bps thereafter • Effective 1 July 2016 |
| Performance fee structure | • Removal of performance fee structure • Effective 1 July 2016 • Payment of a final performance fee in 2H16 |
| Pipeline rights | • GPT and GWOF getting access to both established assets and developments • Pipeline rights will operate on a rotational basis |
| GPT minimum investment requirement | • Amended to 15% (from 20%) • Effective 1 July 2017 |
| Investor Representation Committee | • To be established in 2H16 |
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Summary & Outlook
-
Economic conditions in NSW and Victoria continue to be favourable for Retail, Office and Logistics sectors
-
Good progress being made on development led investment opportunities
-
Balance sheet is in a very strong position
-
GWOF terms and liquidity review concluded. No further performance fees beyond 2016
2016 Guidance
FFO per security growth of 5.0 to 5.5%[1 ] DPS growth of approximately 4.0%
- Inclusive of the final GWOF performance fee in 2H16
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27
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2016 INTERIM RESULT 15 August 2016
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Disclaimer
The information provided in this presentation has been prepared by The GPT Group comprising GPT RE Limited (ACN 107 426 504) AFSL (286511), as responsible entity of the General Property Trust, and GPT Management Holdings Limited (ACN 113 510 188).
The information provided in this presentation is for general information only. It is not intended to be investment, legal or other advice and should not be relied upon as such. You should make your own assessment of, or obtain professional advice about, the information described in this paper to determine whether it is appropriate for you.
You should note that returns from all investments may fluctuate and that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Furthermore, while every effort is made to provide accurate and complete information, The GPT Group does not represent or warrant that the information in this presentation is free from errors or omissions, is complete or is suitable for your intended use. In particular, no representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy, likelihood of achievement or reasonableness of any forecasts, prospects or returns contained in the information - such material is, by its nature, subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies. To the maximum extent permitted by law, The GPT Group, its related companies, officers, employees and agents will not be liable to you in any way for any loss, damage, cost or expense (whether direct or indirect) howsoever arising in connection with the contents of, or any errors or omissions in, this presentation.
Information is stated as at 30 June 2016 unless otherwise indicated.
All values are expressed in Australian currency unless otherwise indicated.
FFO is reported in the Segment Note disclosures which are included in the financial report of The GPT Group for the six months ended 30 June 2016.
To provide information that reflects the Directors’ assessment of the net profit attributable to stapled securityholders calculated in accordance with Australian Accounting Standards, certain significant items that are relevant to an understanding of GPT’s result have been identified. The reconciliation FFO to Statutory Profit is useful as FFO is the measure of how GPT’s profitability is assessed.
FFO is a financial measure that represents GPT’s underlying and recurring earnings from its operations. This is determined by adjusting statutory net profit after tax under Australian Accounting Standards for certain items which are non-cash, unrealised or capital in nature. FFO has been determined based on guidelines established by the Property Council of Australia and is intended as a measure reflecting the underlying performance of the Group.
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