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GPT GROUP — Annual Report 2019
Feb 9, 2020
65009_rns_2020-02-09_99c325e6-dd53-45db-ab19-3edb9b219418.pdf
Annual Report
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10 February 2020
2019 Annual Result Presentation
GPT provides its 2019 Annual Result Presentation which is authorised for release by the GPT Group Board.
-ENDS-
For more information, please contact:
INVESTORS MEDIA Brett Ward Grant Taylor Head of Investor Relations & Corporate Communications Manager Affairs +61 437 994 451 +61 403 772 123
www.gpt.com.au
Level 51, MLC Centre, 19-29 Martin Place, Sydney NSW 2000
2019 Annual Result Market Briefing
10 February 2020
The GPT Group acknowledges the Traditional Custodians of the lands on which our business and assets operate, and recognises their ongoing connection to land, waters and community.
We pay our respects to First Nations Elders past, present and emerging.
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Artwork created by Molly Wallace
Agenda
4
4 2019 Annual Result Highlights | Bob Johnston 9 Financial Summary & Capital Management | Anastasia Clarke 13 Office & Logistics | Matthew Faddy 26 Retail | Chris Barnett 33 Funds Management | Nicholas Harris 36 Summary & Outlook | Bob Johnston
Annual Result 2019
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-
- Growing our Office & Logistics portfolio
-
- High weighting to NSW and VIC markets
-
- Increased the development pipeline to an expected end value of approximately $5 billion[1]
-
- Total Assets Under Management of $25.3 billion
Delivering attractive returns
5yr avg. Total Return 13.3%
- 5yr avg. FFOps growth
4.0%
5yr avg. DPS growth
4.5%
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Shifting our TARGET 2019 FOCUS GROUP
strategic SYDNEY & MELBOURNE EARNINGS COMPOSITION
asset Office40% Logistics Office Logistics NSW Logistics
allocation 20% 41% 16% 52% Office 16%
36%
VIC
36%
Retail Funds Retail
40% Retail NT QLD Management 42%
43% 2% 6%
10%
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- Includes both GPT direct interest and Fund opportunities
4
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
2019 Consistently delivering strong returns Annual Result $ 2.6% 4.0% 5.80 FINANCIAL FFO GROWTH DISTRIBUTION NTA PER HIGHLIGHTS PER SECURITY GROWTH PER SECURITY SECURITY UP 3.9 PER CENT
$ 5.80 8.7% NTA PER TOTAL SECURITY RETURN UP 3.9 PER CENT
Investment Portfolio
Portfolio Revaluation $ 96.5% 342.2M occupancy gains Like for like Weighted Average 3.5% 4.95% income growth Capitalisation Rate
161 Castlereagh Street, Sydney
5
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Executing on strategy
Office & Retail Developments Expected end value of $800 million
Darling Park Acquisition & Development Opportunity Expected end value, including Cockle Bay Park development, of >$1 billion[1]
Current
-
- 32 Smith Street, Parramatta, office development
-
Expected yield on cost of approximately 6.75% and an end value >$320 million
-
- Darling Park 1&2 and Cockle Bay Wharf
-
25% interest in the premium Sydney CBD $2.1 billion office and retail complex with an initial yield of 5.3% and average fixed rental growth profile of 4.0% per annum
-
- Cockle Bay Park Development
-
25% interest in a $2 billion landmark Sydney CBD office development opportunity that will provide future growth with an expected IRR of >12%. Development cost of approximately $400 million (GPT’s share)
Proposed 2020 commencements
-
- 300 Lonsdale office development
-
Expected yield on cost of >6.5% and an end value of $220 million
-
Subject to securing a pre-commitment and authority approvals
-
- Melbourne Central retail expansion
-
$70 million expansion and an expected yield on cost of >6.5%
-
- Rouse Hill Town Centre, Sydney, retail expansion
-
$200 million expenditure with an expected yield on cost of >6.0%
Growing GPT’s Investment in Logistics Expected development end value of >$1 billion
-
-
Western Sydney logistics acquisitions
-
- Andrews Road, Penrith, logistics acquisition
-
-
Acquired five assets for $212 million with an - Construction has commenced on a 50,000sqm initial yield of 5.4% fund-through opportunity, leased for 10 years
-
Truganina, Melbourne logistics development + Truganina, Melbourne logistics acquisition
-
- Truganina, Melbourne logistics development
-
Completed Stage 1 (26,500sqm) with five - Secured 23,000sqm pre-leased facility for $42m future stages planned due to settle on completion in 2020
-
- Wembley Business Park, Brisbane logistics + New land acquisitions development - Western Sydney - 36 hectares[2] has been secured - Construction of first two assets underway - Western Melbourne - 48 hectares has been with an expected yield on cost of >6% secured
-
Construction of first two assets underway with an expected yield on cost of >6%
-
GPT direct interest
-
Excludes 10 hectares attributable to Andrews Road, Penrith, fund-through development
6
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Environmental Sustainability
7
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Social Responsibility
8
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Finance & Treasury Annual Result 2019
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Financial Summary
| 12 Months to 31 December ($ million) | 2019 | 2018 | Change |
| Funds From Operations (FFO) Valuation increases |
613.7 342.2 |
574.6 910.7 |
6.8% |
| Treasury instruments marked to market | (82.7) | (39.6) | |
| Other items | 6.8 | 6.0 | |
| Net Profit After Tax (NPAT) | 880.0 | 1,451.7 | |
| Funds From Operations (cents per stapled security) | 32.68 | 31.84 | 2.6% |
| Funds From Operations (FFO) | 613.7 | 574.6 | 6.8% |
| Maintenance capex Lease incentives |
(55.2) (61.0) |
(53.2) (60.9) |
|
| Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) | 497.5 | 460.5 | |
| Distribution (cents per stapled security) | 26.48 | 25.46 | 4.0% |
$ 880M STATUTORY NET PROFIT AFTER TAX
2.6% FFO PER SECURITY GROWTH
4.0% DISTRIBUTION PER SECURITY GROWTH
110
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Segment Result
| 12 Months to 31 December ($ million) |
2019 | 2018 | Change | Comments |
| Office | 276.3 | 268.7 | ▲2.8% | Strong comparable income growth of 6.2% driven by strong leasing outcomes and higher rents. Segment result was offset by reduced income post the sale of MLC |
| Logistics | 121.0 | 109.9 | ▲10.1% | Operations net income up 15.4% driven by acquisitions and development completions, offset by lower development profits |
| Retail | 326.0 | 326.2 | ▼0.1% | Operations net income up 0.9% due to fixed rent increases offset by lower turnover rent, increased downtime and lower development profits |
| Funds Management | 46.3 | 42.6 | ▲8.7% | Strong growth due to a 5.6% increase in assets under management |
| Net Income | 769.6 | 747.4 | ||
| Net interest expense | (108.0) | (124.4) | ▼13.2% | Lower average cost of debt by 60 basis points to 3.6% |
| Corporate overheads | (35.3) | (34.2) | ||
| Tax expense | (12.6) | (14.2) | ||
| Corporate | (155.9) | (172.8) | ||
| Funds From Operations | 613.7 | 574.6 |
111
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Capital Management
-
Modest gearing of 22.1%
-
- Successfully completed $867 million equity raising to fund acquisition and growth opportunities
-
- Increased liquidity to $1.4 billion
-
- Issued US$400 million of debt in US Private Placement market for an average term of 12.9 years and margin of 170 basis points
-
- Hedging reduced following the sale of MLC, with hedging level subsequently increasing as a result of the equity raising
-
- S&P A and Moody’s A2 credit ratings
| Key Statistics | Dec 2019 | Dec 2018 |
| Net tangible assets per security | $5.80 | $5.58 |
| Net gearing | 22.1% | 26.3% |
| Weighted average cost of debt | 3.6% | 4.2% |
| Weighted average term to maturity | 7.7 years | 6.3 years |
| Interest cover ratio | 6.7x | 5.7x |
| Drawn debt hedging | 82% | 83% |
| Credit ratings (S&P / Moody’s) | A / A2 | A / A2 |
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Foreign
Domestic
CPI Bonds bank
bank debt
2% debt
2% Secured
9%
bank debt
3%
Sources of
Drawn Commercial
USPP Paper
Bank Debt
9%
Debt 44%
14%
As at 31 December Debt Capital
2019 Markets
86%
Domestic MTNs
23%
Foreign MTNs
7%
$m
700
Debt
$1.4b
600
Maturity 500 liquidity
Profile 400
As at 31 December 300
2019
200
100
0
1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034
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CPI Bonds US Private Placements Medium Term Notes Drawn Bank Facilities Undrawn Bank Facilities
112
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Office & Logistics Annual Result 2019
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Office Highlights
6.2% 10.0% 147 600 , sqm PORTFOLIO TOTAL PORTFOLIO LEASES LIKE FOR LIKE RETURN SIGNED INCOME GROWTH (12 MONTHS)
Key Highlights
-
- Portfolio occupancy of 98.3%[1] up 1.2% in the 12 months
-
- WALE extended to 5.3 years as a result of significant leasing progress
-
- Assets Under Management of $13.1 billion with 24 prime assets in deepest office markets + Office valuation gains of $271.2 million, WACR firming to 4.85%
Portfolio Size & Geographic Exposure
Office Retail $6.3bn $6.1bn Sydney 59% Melbourne 31% Brisbane 10%
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Logistics $2.4bn
-
- Operations Net Income up 2.8% to $275.3 million as result of underlying portfolio growth and acquisitions / divestments
-
- Low vacancy in Sydney and Melbourne, and improving conditions in Brisbane
580 George Street, Sydney
- Occupancy excludes Queen & Collins, Melbourne as under redevelopment
14
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Office Valuations & Market Fundamentals
m $271.2
PORTFOLIO VALUATION UPLIFT
-
- Office valuation gains in 12 months of $271.2 million, with market rental growth contributing over 50% of increase
-
- Melbourne Central Tower together with Governor Phillip & Governor Macquarie Towers and 2 Park Street in Sydney achieved highest uplift
4.85%
-
- Low vacancy in Sydney and Melbourne, with high levels of pre-commitment for new supply
PORTFOLIO WACR
Gross Supply vs. Vacancy Rate
Vacancy by Grade by Market
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sqm
GPT Portfolio Total Vacancy Rate Prime Vacancy Rate 400,000 Pre-leased Supply Vacant Supply Vacancy Rate (RHS) Vacancy Rate - 20y Avg. 14.0%
350,000 12.0%
100% 11.7%
300,000
Prime Office 11.7% 8.9% 10.0%
250,000
7.8% 8.0%
8.5% 200,000 7.2%
5.0% 6.0%
150,000
3.4%
5.0% 4.8% 5.4% 100,000 4.0%
3.4%
50,000 2.0%
1.8%
0.5% - 0.0%
Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Parramatta
Syd CBD Melb CBD Bris CBD
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
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Source: JLL Research, GPT Research.
Source: Data includes all grades; JLL Research, GPT Research. Vacancy rate reflecting position as at 31 December for each year.
15
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Office Leasing
98.3% 147,600sqm SIGNED LEASES PORTFOLIO With an additional 29,400sqm of terms agreed OCCUPANCY¹
-
- Strong leasing outcomes achieved with 2020 and 2021 expiry reduced from 29% to 17% in the 12 months²
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Community &
Amenity
Sustainability
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-
- WALE extended to 5.3 years and renewals secured with key customers:
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Darling Park 1, Sydney 17,200sqm
Workplace6, Sydney 18,200sqm
Melbourne Central Tower 13,700sqm
111 Eagle Street, Brisbane 7,500sqm
Melbourne Central Tower 7,700sqm
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Technology Enablement Customer Centricity + Customer satisfaction score of 86%, highest score in peer set[3] Flexible On-demand + Renewals and expansions make up >70% of 2019 leasing Space + Targeted upgrades and investment program
-
Occupancy excludes Queen & Collins, Melbourne as under redevelopment
-
Includes leases signed post balance date
-
Survey conduced by Campbell Scholtens, number one position on a rolling three-year average basis
16
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Office Acquisitions & Divestments
-
- Significant transaction activity in 2019, investing in high quality assets providing greater control for the Group
-
- Acquired stake in Darling Park 1 & 2, Sydney, made up of two premium office assets and a harbourfront development opportunity
-
- GPT Wholesale Office Fund acquired the remaining 50% share of 2 Southbank Boulevard, Melbourne for $326 million
-
- Divested MLC Centre for $800 million, capitalising on leasing and asset upgrades completed over past 5 years
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Darling Park 1 & 2
25% Acquisition by GPT
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CBA
renewal of
$
531M
17,200sqm
PURCHASE PRICE
101,900sqm
OFFICE NLA
98.1%
OCCUPANCY¹
6.3
years 2 Southbank Boulevard
WALE [1] 50% Acquisition by GWOF
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$
326M
PURCHASE PRICE
53,300sqm
OFFICE NLA
99.2%
OCCUPANCY¹
5.7
years
WALE [1]
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- As at 31 December 2019
17
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Office Portfolio Composition
-
- Portfolio rebalancing towards newer, less capital intensive assets and securing development opportunities for value creation
6.2%
-
- Consistent high returns delivered over past 5 years, with average annual like for like growth of 5.9%
PORTFOLIO LIKE FOR LIKE INCOME GROWTH
-
- 85% of portfolio subject to structured rental increases, averaging 3.9%
Operations Net Income ($) and Like for Like Growth (%)
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$300 $267.7 $275.3 10%
$247.8
$250 $223.9
$209.5 8%
$200
6%
6.3% 6.3% 6.2%
$150 5.8%
5.0% 4%
$100
2%
$50
$0 0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Millions ($m)
Like for Like Income Growth (%)
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18
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Office Development Pipeline
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Artists impression
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Artists impression
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PHOTO FROM GROUND REQUESTED
32 Smith Street, Parramatta
-
- Construction progressing well, due for practical completion in late 2020
-
- Asset 64% leased¹ with QBE anchoring the development
-
- 32 Smith is designed to reduce energy and water consumption, with a 5 Star NABERS Energy rating and 6 Star Green Star rating targeted
-
- Smart building attributes focused on customer experience and driving operational performance
-
- Expected yield on cost of ~6.75% and an end value in excess of $320 million
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-
- Parramatta prime vacancy of 0.5% with new space under construction substantially pre-committed
-
- Positive net absorption of 46,900sqm in 2019 with tenant relocations into the Parramatta market
-
- Significant infrastructure investment, including Sydney Metro West, that will double rail capacity between Sydney CBD and Parramatta, cutting travel time to ~20 minutes
-
Including Heads of Agreement agreed post balance date
19
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Office Development Pipeline
Artists impression of indicative building scale
Cockle Bay Park, Sydney
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Artists impression
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Frame, 300 Lonsdale Street, Melbourne
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-
- International Design Competition for Cockle Bay Park is nearing completion
-
- Project will deliver approximately 63,000sqm of office space together with a 10,000sqm retail and entertainment precinct
-
- Targeting commencement in 2022
-
- Expected end value of ~$2 billion with a development IRR >12%
-
- Further enhance Melbourne Central as a dominant mixed use precinct, incorporating an office building, connected to elevated garden spaces and a new rooftop retail, entertainment and dining precinct
-
- Designed by the award-winning architecture and urban design practice ARM Architecture, featuring a hotel-inspired sky lobby and floor plates of approximately 2,000sqm
-
- The building is targeted to deliver a minimum 5 Star NABERS Energy and Water rating, a 6 Star Green Star rating, and WELL Gold Standard
-
- Expected yield on cost for office component >6.50% and end value in excess of $220 million
20
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Logistics Highlights
Portfolio Size & Geographic Exposure
15.4%% 12.1% OPERATIONS TOTAL PORTFOLIO NET INCOME RETURN GROWTH (12 MONTHS)
231,600sqm LEASES SIGNED
15.4%%
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Key Highlights
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-
- Portfolio occupancy of 95.7%¹ with long WALE of 7.3 years
-
- Like for Like income growth for 12 months of 3.3% + Logistics valuation gains in 12 months of $117.1 million, WACR firming to 5.40% + Land acquired in Sydney and Melbourne, projects underway and pipeline has capacity to deliver over 550,000sqm of prime logistics facilities with an expected end value in excess of $1 billion
Office Retail $6.1bn $6.3bn Sydney 68% Melbourne 24% Brisbane 8%
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Logistics $2.4bn
-
- Sector continues to benefit from sustained tenant and investor demand, with limited vacancy in prime markets
21 Shiny Drive, Truganina
- Includes leases signed post balance date
21
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Logistics Leasing
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95.7%
231,600sqm
SIGNED LEASES PORTFOLIO
With an additional 27,500sqm of terms agreed OCCUPANCY¹
Development New
24% Leasing
26%
Total Leasing Volume
259,100sqm
across
23 deals
Renewal
50%
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95.7%
-
- Demonstration of active leasing strategies to drive value and lease future expiries, with strong focus on customer relationships
-
- New Truganina facility completed and fully leased[1]
-
- 2020 and 2021 expiry reduced from 21% to 8% in the 12 months
-
- Retention rate for 2019 expiries of 74%
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Yennora, NSW Camellia, NSW Yatala, QLD
33,200sqm 29,500sqm 22,500sqm
Wetherill Park, NSW Altona North, VIC Eastern Creek, NSW
20,500sqm 18,800sqm 15,200sqm
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- Includes leases signed post balance date
22
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Logistics Portfolio Growth
-
- Portfolio growth of $545 million during the year to $2.4 billion
-
- Acquired five prime logistics facilities totalling $212 million in Sydney
-
- Secured a 23,000sqm facility in Truganina, Melbourne for $42 million settling in 2020, pre-leased to an international logistics company for a 10 year term
-
- Two developments completed in Eastern Creek, Sydney and Truganina, Melbourne, with a further four facilities underway and due for completion in 2020
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Composition of Portfolio Growth
$2.4b
$117m
$110m
$212m
$106m
$1.9b
29%
Growth in
2019
Dec-18 Land Investment Development & Valuation uplift Dec-19
acquisitions operational capex
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2019 Developments 2 facilities totaling $105m
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2019 Acquisitions 5 facilities totaling $212m
2020 Acquisitions 1 facility totaling $42m
2020 Underway Developments 4 facilities totaling $167m
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23
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Logistics Market Context
-
Australia population is projected to grow ~20% by 2030 + Population is expected to be increasingly urbanised, with Population ~70% in capital cities Growth + Over $130 billion being invested in transport infrastructure investment by State and Federal Governments Infrastructure + Investment is concentrated in NSW & Victoria Investment + Trade through Australian ports is expected to increase by Trade ~5% per annum over the long term Expansion + Anticipated to drive demand near ports, intermodal terminals and key road networks
-
Online sales reflect approximately 9% of total retail sales E-commerce & + With convenience, speed, and variety of offering driving Supply Chain increased need for inventory management Sophistication
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Other
14%
Wholesale Transport, Postal &
Trade Warehousing
8% Eastern 37%
Seaboard
Industrial Take-Up
by Industry
Manufacturing
17% (2019)
Retail Trade
24%
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-
- Eastern Seaboard take-up dominated by Transport, Postal and Warehousing and Retail Trade, collectively making up 61% of 2019 demand
-
- Melbourne’s West has been the most active market, making up 24% of national take-up
-
- Investment demand for Logistics remains strong, with local and global capital seeking exposure to the sector
Source: JLL Research, GPT Research.
24
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Logistics Development Pipeline
-
- Land parcels secured in key growth corridors:
>550,000sqm
PIPELINE CAPACITY
-
- Truganina (Boundary Road), Melbourne: 32.8 hectare site secured on deferred settlement terms
-
- Truganina (Niton Drive), Melbourne: 14.9 hectare site forming part of The Gateway Logistics Hub
-
- Kemps Creek, Sydney: 33.4 hectare site secured on deferred settlement terms
-
- Penrith, Sydney: 10.2 hectare site acquired with a fund-through development underway
>$1 billion
PIPELINE EXPECTED END VALUE
-
- Glendenning, Sydney: 3.1 hectare site acquired, speculative facility to commence in 1H 2020
-
- Targeting yield on cost in excess of 6%
-
Anticipate commencement of projects across three states in 2020
| State Land (Hectares) Expected GLA (sqm) Completed (sqm) Underway (sqm) Estimated End Value Estimated Timing 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025+ |
State Land (Hectares) Expected GLA (sqm) Completed (sqm) Underway (sqm) Estimated End Value Estimated Timing 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025+ |
State Land (Hectares) Expected GLA (sqm) Completed (sqm) Underway (sqm) Estimated End Value Estimated Timing 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025+ |
State Land (Hectares) Expected GLA (sqm) Completed (sqm) Underway (sqm) Estimated End Value Estimated Timing 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025+ |
State Land (Hectares) Expected GLA (sqm) Completed (sqm) Underway (sqm) Estimated End Value Estimated Timing 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025+ |
State Land (Hectares) Expected GLA (sqm) Completed (sqm) Underway (sqm) Estimated End Value Estimated Timing 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025+ |
State Land (Hectares) Expected GLA (sqm) Completed (sqm) Underway (sqm) Estimated End Value Estimated Timing 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025+ |
State Land (Hectares) Expected GLA (sqm) Completed (sqm) Underway (sqm) Estimated End Value Estimated Timing 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025+ |
State Land (Hectares) Expected GLA (sqm) Completed (sqm) Underway (sqm) Estimated End Value Estimated Timing 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025+ | ||||
| Truganina(Gateway) VIC 23.0 142,000 26,500 - $200m |
||||||||
| Truganina(BoundaryRoad) VIC 32.8 128,200 - - $205m |
||||||||
| Kemps Creek NSW 33.4 162,300 - - $445m |
||||||||
| Penrith(fund-through) NSW 10.2 50,100 - 50,100 $80m |
||||||||
| Glendenning NSW 3.1 17,100 - - $45m |
||||||||
| Yennora NSW 1.1 4,800 - 4,800 $12m |
||||||||
| Berrinba QLD 16.1 74,300 - 34,900 $150m |
||||||||
| Active Development Pipeline 119.7 578,800 |
26,500 89,800 |
~$1,137m | ||||||
1. Including Heads of Agreement post balance date 100% Leased¹ |
||||||||
| The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020 25 |
- Including Heads of Agreement post balance date
25
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Retail
Annual Result 2019
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Retail Highlights
$11,667 SPECIALTY SALES PRODUCTIVITY PER SQUARE METRE
1.2% 99.6% PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIO LIKE FOR LIKE OCCUPANCY INCOME GROWTH
Key Highlights
-
- Retail segment FFO contribution of $326.0 million for 12 months to Dec 2019, which is in line with 2018
-
- Valuation decline of $46 million (<1% of portfolio value) for 12 months to Dec 2019, and a WACR[1] of 4.89%
Portfolio Size & Geographic Exposure
Office $6.1bn Retail $6.3bn
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NSW 41%
VIC 44%
QLD 10%
NT 5%
Logistics
$2.4bn
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-
- Successful launch of new dining precincts at Melbourne Central and Charlestown Square
-
- Completion of Sunshine Plaza development on 28 March 2019
-
- Strong progress with development proposals for Melbourne Central and Rouse Hill, scheduled to commence mid 2020.
Melbourne Central, Melbourne
- Weighted Average Capitalisation Rate
27
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Retail Sales
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SPECIALTY SALES PRODUCTIVITY (<400sqm)
Specialty Sales Productivity
by Category
11.1% MAT $psm growth
$
7.6%
11,667 5.8%
per sqm (psm)
3.3%
2.1% 1.9% 2.3%
1.1%
0.5%
TOTAL SPECIALITY SALES PRODUCTIVITY
-0.7%
-1.1%
GROWTH (PSM) -2.0% -2.4%
-6.5%
-7.0%
1.9%
AVERAGE TOTAL SPECIALTY TENANT SALES
>$1.6 million pa
per store
Total Centre Department Stores DDS Supermarkets Cinemas Total Specialties Tech & Appliances Retail Services Dining Food Retail Leisure General Retail Fashion, Footwear & Accessories Homewares Health & Beauty
----- End of picture text -----
Statistics exclude development impacted centres (Sunshine Plaza, Macarthur Square, Wollongong)
28
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Retail Leasing
-
- 459 leasing deals completed introducing over 70 new retailers to the portfolio in 2019
-
- Strong retail demand reflected in high portfolio occupancy
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----- Start of picture text -----
New
Dining
precincts
delivered
----- End of picture text -----
-
- Holdovers down from the half, and in-line with 2018 at 5.7% of specialty rent
-
- New specialty leases achieving fixed increases of 4.8%
Portfolio Leasing Statistics
| DEC 2019 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio Occupancy | 99.6% | ||
| Retention Rate | 75% | ||
| Avg. Annual Fixed Increase1,2 | 4.8% | ||
| Avg. Lease Term1,2 Leasing Spread1,2 % Debt of Annual Billings |
4.7 years (2.2%) 0.5% |
||
| Specialty Occupancy Cost2 | 17.0% |
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----- Start of picture text -----
The Corner – Charlestown Square
----- End of picture text -----
-
- Precinct opened fully leased (Dec 19)
-
- Introduction of 10 new retailers including well-known local dining retailers
-
- Tenancy mix reflecting the uniqueness of the Hunter Region
-
- Trading performance exceeding expectations
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----- Start of picture text -----
ELLA – Melbourne Central
----- End of picture text -----
-
- Precinct opened fully leased (Oct 19)
-
- Introduction of 13 unique and iconic Melbourne food retailers
-
- Strong synergies with office tower and access to train station
-
- Solid trading performance since opening
-
New leases
-
Specialties <400sqm Statistics exclude development impacted centres (Sunshine Plaza, Macarthur Square, Wollongong) & holdovers
29
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Retail Portfolio
Why Data?
Data driven culture – using digital technology and data to create value, drive market share….
-
Visitation & GPS
oCentre WiFi -
oCustomeroSocial Platforms DatabaseoMobile -
oQuantium DataoWebsite Use
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----- Start of picture text -----
o Sales Reports Data
Sources
----- End of picture text -----
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----- Start of picture text -----
Data Customer
Analysis Insights
----- End of picture text -----
-
Net Promoter Score
-
Leasing Prediction Tool
-
oTableau DashboardsoMachine Learning (AI) -
Voice of Customer
-
Customer Data Platform
-
“Creating a Single View
Retail Offer that is responding to customer demand
Responding to customer feedback and creating reasons for visitation
Investment in physical spaces
| Retail Shift – Total | Specialties (5 Year CAGR | Specialties (5 Year CAGR | 2014-2019) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLA SQM |
Sales PSM Growth |
Total Rent Growth |
||
| Dining | 3.0% | 5.3% | ||
| Health & Beauty | 5.3% | 7.6% | ||
| Leisure | 2.1% | 5.2% | ||
| Apparel | 1.1% | (0.7%) |
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----- Start of picture text -----
Melbourne Central - Customer
Solution for Online Returns Parkmore Outdoor Cinema
----- End of picture text -----
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----- Start of picture text -----
On3 – Melbourne Central
----- End of picture text -----
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----- Start of picture text -----
Main St Dining Precinct – Rouse Hill
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30
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Retail Development Artists impression
Melbourne Central
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----- Start of picture text -----
1
MOST PRODUCTIVE SHOPPING
CENTRE IN AUSTRALIA [1]
----- End of picture text -----
5.7 % pa MARKET GROWTH FORECAST (2020-2029)[2]
-
- Approx. $70 million - 7,000sqm of retail, focused on entertainment, dining and leisure
-
- Approval received for Development Application
-
- Retail pre-leasing well progressed, currently at 40%
-
- Forecast Return | ~ 6.5% stabilised yield
-
- Target Commencement | mid 2020
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----- Start of picture text -----
Artists impression
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==> picture [341 x 153] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Artists impression
----- End of picture text -----
-
Shopping Centre Big Guns Publication 2019
-
GPT Research – using Deloitte Access Economic Forecasts
31
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
==> picture [617 x 335] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Retail
Rouse Hill
Development
7.6%
pa
SALES PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
(2017-2019)
6.1
% pa
MARKET GROWTH FORECAST
(2020-2029) [1]
Artists impression
----- End of picture text -----
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----- Start of picture text -----
Artists impression
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [329 x 153] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Artists impression
----- End of picture text -----
-
- Approx. $200 million - 20,000sqm of retail and commercial space
-
- Residential integrated within retail scheme and adjacent to existing asset
-
- Development Application lodged
-
- Forecast Return | > 6% stabilised yield
-
- Target Commencement | mid 2020
-
GPT Research – using Deloitte Access Economic Forecasts
32
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Funds Management
Annual Result 2019
==> picture [60 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
$ 13.3B 5.6% 8.7% ASSETS UNDER AUM GROWTH FFO MANAGEMENT GROWTH
2019 2018 CHANGE
46.3 42.6 8.7%
-
GWSCF continued its asset recycling strategy with the sale of Norton Plaza for $153 million
-
- GWOF acquired a 50% interest in 2 Southbank Boulevard, Melbourne for $326 million
-
- GWOF raised $260 million of new equity from a mix of existing and new investors in 2019
-
- GWOF completed a 6.5 year $200 million MTN issue at a cost of 2.5%
2010
2019
AUM $5.3b ~~11%~~ $13.3b 9 year CAGR Earnings $11.2m ~~17%~~ $46.3m 9 year CAGR
34
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
GWOF - $2 Billion Development Pipeline
Cockle Bay Park, Sydney
| Asset GWOF Ownership share GWOF Spend Indicative Timing 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Queen & Collins, Melbourne 100% $238m $238m Cockle Bay Park, Sydney 50% $800m $40m $760m 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne (at 32 Flinders Street) 100% $400m $400m Skygarden, Brisbane (at Riverside Centre) 100% $400m $400m Cnr of George & Bathurst, Sydney (at 580 George Street) 100% $150m $150m Corner of George & Bathurst, Sydney Queen & Collins, Melbourne 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne Skygarden, Brisbane Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression |
Asset GWOF Ownership share GWOF Spend Indicative Timing 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Queen & Collins, Melbourne 100% $238m $238m Cockle Bay Park, Sydney 50% $800m $40m $760m 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne (at 32 Flinders Street) 100% $400m $400m Skygarden, Brisbane (at Riverside Centre) 100% $400m $400m Cnr of George & Bathurst, Sydney (at 580 George Street) 100% $150m $150m Corner of George & Bathurst, Sydney Queen & Collins, Melbourne 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne Skygarden, Brisbane Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression |
Asset GWOF Ownership share GWOF Spend Indicative Timing 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Queen & Collins, Melbourne 100% $238m $238m Cockle Bay Park, Sydney 50% $800m $40m $760m 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne (at 32 Flinders Street) 100% $400m $400m Skygarden, Brisbane (at Riverside Centre) 100% $400m $400m Cnr of George & Bathurst, Sydney (at 580 George Street) 100% $150m $150m Corner of George & Bathurst, Sydney Queen & Collins, Melbourne 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne Skygarden, Brisbane Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression |
Asset GWOF Ownership share GWOF Spend Indicative Timing 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Queen & Collins, Melbourne 100% $238m $238m Cockle Bay Park, Sydney 50% $800m $40m $760m 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne (at 32 Flinders Street) 100% $400m $400m Skygarden, Brisbane (at Riverside Centre) 100% $400m $400m Cnr of George & Bathurst, Sydney (at 580 George Street) 100% $150m $150m Corner of George & Bathurst, Sydney Queen & Collins, Melbourne 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne Skygarden, Brisbane Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression |
Asset GWOF Ownership share GWOF Spend Indicative Timing 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Queen & Collins, Melbourne 100% $238m $238m Cockle Bay Park, Sydney 50% $800m $40m $760m 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne (at 32 Flinders Street) 100% $400m $400m Skygarden, Brisbane (at Riverside Centre) 100% $400m $400m Cnr of George & Bathurst, Sydney (at 580 George Street) 100% $150m $150m Corner of George & Bathurst, Sydney Queen & Collins, Melbourne 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne Skygarden, Brisbane Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression |
Asset GWOF Ownership share GWOF Spend Indicative Timing 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Queen & Collins, Melbourne 100% $238m $238m Cockle Bay Park, Sydney 50% $800m $40m $760m 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne (at 32 Flinders Street) 100% $400m $400m Skygarden, Brisbane (at Riverside Centre) 100% $400m $400m Cnr of George & Bathurst, Sydney (at 580 George Street) 100% $150m $150m Corner of George & Bathurst, Sydney Queen & Collins, Melbourne 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne Skygarden, Brisbane Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression |
Asset GWOF Ownership share GWOF Spend Indicative Timing 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Queen & Collins, Melbourne 100% $238m $238m Cockle Bay Park, Sydney 50% $800m $40m $760m 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne (at 32 Flinders Street) 100% $400m $400m Skygarden, Brisbane (at Riverside Centre) 100% $400m $400m Cnr of George & Bathurst, Sydney (at 580 George Street) 100% $150m $150m Corner of George & Bathurst, Sydney Queen & Collins, Melbourne 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne Skygarden, Brisbane Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression |
Asset GWOF Ownership share GWOF Spend Indicative Timing 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Queen & Collins, Melbourne 100% $238m $238m Cockle Bay Park, Sydney 50% $800m $40m $760m 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne (at 32 Flinders Street) 100% $400m $400m Skygarden, Brisbane (at Riverside Centre) 100% $400m $400m Cnr of George & Bathurst, Sydney (at 580 George Street) 100% $150m $150m Corner of George & Bathurst, Sydney Queen & Collins, Melbourne 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne Skygarden, Brisbane Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression |
Asset GWOF Ownership share GWOF Spend Indicative Timing 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Queen & Collins, Melbourne 100% $238m $238m Cockle Bay Park, Sydney 50% $800m $40m $760m 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne (at 32 Flinders Street) 100% $400m $400m Skygarden, Brisbane (at Riverside Centre) 100% $400m $400m Cnr of George & Bathurst, Sydney (at 580 George Street) 100% $150m $150m Corner of George & Bathurst, Sydney Queen & Collins, Melbourne 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne Skygarden, Brisbane Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression |
Asset GWOF Ownership share GWOF Spend Indicative Timing 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Queen & Collins, Melbourne 100% $238m $238m Cockle Bay Park, Sydney 50% $800m $40m $760m 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne (at 32 Flinders Street) 100% $400m $400m Skygarden, Brisbane (at Riverside Centre) 100% $400m $400m Cnr of George & Bathurst, Sydney (at 580 George Street) 100% $150m $150m Corner of George & Bathurst, Sydney Queen & Collins, Melbourne 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne Skygarden, Brisbane Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression Artists impression |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Ownership share Spend |
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||
| Queen & Collins, Melbourne | 100% | $238m $238m |
|||||||
| Cockle Bay Park, Sydney | 50% | $800m | $40m | $760m | |||||
| 51 Flinders Lane, Melbourne (at 32 Flinders Street) |
100% | $400m | $400m | ||||||
| Skygarden, Brisbane (at Riverside Centre) |
100% | $400m | $400m | ||||||
| Cnr of George & Bathurst, Sydney (at 580 George Street) |
100% | $150m | $150m |
Development approved
Under consideration
35
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Summary & Outlook
Market Outlook
Group Outlook
-
- Recovery in residential sector, low interest rates and on-going infrastructure spend expected to support economic growth
-
- GPT’s core markets of Sydney & Melbourne will continue to benefit from strong population growth, densification and low unemployment
-
- Strong investor demand for real estate
-
- 2020 income growth underpinned by structured rental growth across the portfolio, high occupancy and lower interest rates
-
- Development pipeline providing enhanced growth outlook
-
- Capital allocation will continue strategic re-weight toward office and logistics
2020 Guidance FFO per security growth of 3.5% DPS growth of 3.5%
36
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020
Disclaimer
The information provided in this presentation has been prepared by The GPT Group comprising GPT RE Limited (ACN 107 426 504) AFSL (286511), as responsible entity of the General Property Trust, and GPT Management Holdings Limited (ACN 113 510 188).
The information provided in this presentation is for general information only. It is not intended to be investment, legal or other advice and should not be relied upon as such. You should make your own assessment of, or obtain professional advice about, the information in this presentation to determine whether it is appropriate for you.
You should note that returns from all investments may fluctuate and that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. While every effort is made to provide accurate and complete information, The GPT Group does not represent or warrant that the information in this presentation is free from errors or omissions, is complete or is suitable for your intended use. In particular, no representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy, likelihood of achievement or reasonableness of any forecasts, prospects or returns contained in this presentation - such material is, by its nature, subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies. To the maximum extent permitted by law, The GPT Group, its related companies, officers, employees and agents will not be liable to you in any way for any loss, damage, cost or expense (whether direct or indirect) howsoever arising in connection with the contents of, or any errors or omissions in, this presentation.
Information is stated as at 31 December 2019 unless otherwise indicated.
All values are expressed in Australian currency unless otherwise indicated.
Funds from Operations (FFO) is reported in the Segment Note disclosures which are included in the financial report of The GPT Group for the 12 months ended 31 December 2019. FFO is a financial measure that represents The GPT Group’s underlying and recurring earnings from its operations. This is determined by adjusting statutory net profit after tax under Australian Accounting Standards for certain items which are non-cash, unrealised or capital in nature. FFO has been determined based on guidelines established by the Property Council of Australia. A reconciliation of FFO to Statutory Profit is included in this presentation. Key statistics for the Retail and Office divisions include GPT Group’s weighted interest in the GPT Wholesale Shopping Centre Fund (GWSCF) and the GPT Wholesale Office Fund (GWOF) respectively.
37
The GPT Group | 2019 Annual Result | 10 February 2020