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GPT GROUP — Annual Report 2015
Feb 17, 2016
65009_rns_2016-02-17_a1ff72a8-9269-43af-833f-0524a5c7f16b.pdf
Annual Report
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GPT Annual Result 18 February 2016
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Agenda
| Section | Speaker | Page |
|---|---|---|
| Group Strategy | Bob Johnston | 2 |
| 2015 Annual Result Highlights | Bob Johnston | 7 |
| Financial Summary & Capital Management | Anastasia Clarke | 8 |
| Retail | Vanessa Orth | 11 |
| Office & Logistics | Matthew Faddy | 17 |
| Funds Management | Nicholas Harris | 25 |
| Summary & Outlook | Bob Johnston | 26 |
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[1 ]
Group Strategy
Focus on core property sectors
Build on strong market position and high quality portfolio
-
Maintain investment focus on Retail, Office and Logistics sectors
-
Leverage expertise and scale to grow market position in each core sector
-
Targeting a Group Total Return in excess of 8.5% p.a.
GPT Portfolio
31 December 2015
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13%
50%
37%
Retail Portfolio Office Portfolio Logistics Portfolio
14 shopping centres 24 assets 31 assets
990,000 sqm GLA 1,190,000 sqm NLA 810,000 sqm GLA
Retail Office Logistics 3,400 + tenants 450 + tenants 90 + tenants
$5.0b portfolio $3.7b portfolio $1.3b portfolio
$7.9b AUM $8.5b AUM $1.7b AUM
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[2 ]
Group Strategy
Development pipeline
Maximise value of development pipeline opportunities
-
Development pipeline of $3 - 4 billion underpins growth of core portfolio
-
Significant rezoning and mixed use outcomes inherent in the portfolio
-
Continue to build the logistics platform through development and acquisitions
Enhancement Expansion Redevelopment & Renewal MLC Centre Rouse Hill Sydney Olympic Park
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[3 ]
Group Strategy
Funds management platform
Consolidate our position as a leading fund manager
-
Renew GWOF and GWSCF fund management terms
-
Focus on performance, and position for growth in the medium term
-
Sell non-core assets ($280 million identified in GWOF)
GPT Total Return from Funds Management
Growth in Funds Under Management
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14.0%
11.8%
11.0% 11.3%
10.1%
8.9%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
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$10.0b
$9.6b
$7.1b
$6.6b
$5.6b
$5.3b
Dec 2010 Dec 2011 Dec 2012 Dec 2013 Dec 2014 Dec 2015
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[4 ]
Group Strategy
Financial and business management
Maintain strong capital position and efficient operating model
-
Target gearing 25-35%
-
Maintain “A” credit ratings
-
Review of corporate overhead commenced
Sources of Drawn Debt
Management Expense Ratio
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CPI
Bonds 0.66%
3% 0.63%
USPP
16% Domestic 0.58%
bank debt
46%
Foreign
0.40% 0.40%
MTNs 0.38%
4%
Domestic
MTNs
18%
Secured Foreign
bank debt bank debt
4% 9% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
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Group Strategy
Summary
Investment Portfolio Development Funds Management Strong Balance Sheet & Efficient Structure
-
Retain focus on 3 core sectors
-
• Drive organic growth through asset management
-
• Target a Group Total Return of greater than 8.5% p.a.
-
Measured increase in exposure
-
• Internal pipeline of $3 - 4 billion of investment product
-
• Maximise value of repositioning opportunities & mixed use outcomes
-
Consolidate position and renew Fund terms for GWOF and GWSCF
-
• Focus on performance
-
• Position for growth over the medium term
-
• Gearing range 25-35%
-
• Maintain “A” credit ratings
-
• Ongoing focus on business efficiency
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2015 Annual Result Highlights
Strong business platform delivers solid results
Delivering results from core business Investment Portfolio Performance
5.5%
11.5%
10.9%
3.8%
FFO[1] per security growth
Total Return Total Portfolio Return (unlevered return)
Portfolio like for like income growth
Capital Management
Portfolio leasing and occupancy
4.6% Weighted average cost of debt
26.3% Net gearing
95.3%
Total portfolio occupancy
5.3 YRS Weighted Average Lease Expiry
- Funds From Operations
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2015 Annual Result Summary
Financial summary
| 12 months to 31 December ($m) | 2015 | 2014 | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Profit After Tax | 868.1 | 645.3 | 34.5% |
| Less: Valuation increases1 | (432.1) | (249.5) | |
| Less: Distribution on exchangeable securities | (1.7) | (25.0) | |
| Add: Treasury items marked to market | 74.0 | 89.1 | |
| Less: Other | (6.6) | (7.8) | |
| Funds From Operations (FFO) | 501.7 | 452.1 | 11.0% |
| Less: Maintenance capex and lease incentives | (118.6) | (95.1) | |
| Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) | 383.1 | 357.0 | 7.3% |
| Weighted average securities on issue (million) | 1,773.9 | 1,686.3 | |
| Funds From Operations per stapled security (cents) | 28.28 | 26.81 | 5.5% |
| Distribution per stapled security (cents) | 22.5 | 21.2 | 6.1% |
| Total Return (12 months to 31 December) | 11.5% | 9.6% |
- Includes revaluations and fair value adjustments.
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2015 Annual Result Highlights
Segment result
| 12 months to 31 December ($m) | 2015 | 2014 | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Retail NOI | 251.7 | 248.7 | |
| Office NOI | 153.8 | 141.8 | |
| Logistics NOI | 91.4 | 85.9 | |
| GPT share of Fund FFO | 98.2 | 87.1 | |
| Investment Management expenses | (6.3) | (7.6) | |
| Investment Management | 588.8 | 555.9 | 5.9% |
| Asset Management | 7.8 | 5.6 | |
| Development – Retail & Major Projects | 1.8 | 1.9 | |
| Development – Logistics | 2.2 | 6.5 | |
| Funds Management | 44.6 | 32.5 | 37.2% |
| Net interest expense1 | (117.6) | (128.5) | |
| Corporate overheads | (33.1) | (30.1) | |
| Tax expense | (4.9) | (2.8) | |
| Non-core income | 12.1 | 11.1 | |
| Funds From Operations | 501.7 | 452.1 | 11.0% |
Comparable growth +3.0% Comparable growth +6.3% Comparable growth +0.7%
- Includes distribution to exchangeable securities
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Capital Management Strong capital position
| 31 Dec 2015 | 31 Dec 2014 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net tangible assets per security | $4.17 | $3.94 | 5.8% |
| Total borrowings | $2,948m | $2,718m | 8.5% |
| Gearing (net debt to total tangible assets) | 26.3% | 26.3% | - |
| Look through gearing (net debt to total tangible assets) | 27.8% | 28.2% | (40) bps |
| Weighted average cost of debt | 4.6% | 4.8% | 20 bps |
| Weighted average term to maturity | 5.1 years | 5.8 years | (0.7) years |
| Interest cover ratio | 5.3 times | 5.4 times | (0.1) times |
| Credit ratings | A- (positive) A3 (stable) |
A- (positive) A3 (stable) |
- |
| Weighted average term of interest rate hedging | 5.6 years | 6.6 years | (1.0) years |
| Average interest rate hedging over the hedge term | 57% | 60% | (300) bps |
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Retail Portfolio
2015 highlights – High quality portfolio delivering strong results
3.0% like for like income growth
Portfolio Commentary
-
8.9% Total Portfolio Return for the 12 month period
-
Solid like for like income growth
6.5% specialty sales MAT growth $133.7m valuation uplift
-
Strong retail sales
-
Leasing spreads improving
-
Divestment of Dandenong Plaza
Retail Markets & Outlook
5.58%
weighted average cap rate
-
Higher disposable incomes supported by low interest rates and a strong housing market
-
Lower AUD driving domestic spend
99.2% occupancy
-
83% of the Retail portfolio located in strong markets of NSW and Victoria
-
Retail fundamentals remain strong
Note: Portfolio statistics exclude Assets Held for Sale: Dandenong Plaza
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Retail
Cap rate compression contributing to a valuation uplift of $133.7m
- Strong cap rate compression of 29bps across the portfolio
| Valuation Uplift | Valuation Uplift | |
|---|---|---|
| Property | 2015 | |
| $m | % | |
| Melbourne Central | $64.8 | 6.1% |
| Rouse Hill Town Centre | $38.5 | 7.7% |
| Westfield Penrith (50%) | $22.8 | 4.0% |
| Highpoint (16.66%) | $11.0 | 3.3% |
| Casuarina Square (50%) | $4.0 | 1.4% |
| Charlestown Square | $1.6 | 0.2% |
| Sunshine Plaza (50%) | $0.4 | 0.1% |
| GWSCF Ownership | ($9.3) | (1.4%) |
| Total | $133.7 | 2.6% |
Note: Portfolio statistics exclude Assets Held for Sale: Dandenong Plaza
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Retail
Specialty sales up 6.5% in the year to December 2015
Monthly Specialty Sales Growth[1,2 ]
Moving Annual Change in Retail Sales by Category[1 ]
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6 monthly = 7.3% 6 monthly = 5.8%
Quarterly = 5.4%
9.3% 9.3%
7.8% 8.0%
7.3%
6.9%
6.3% 6.0%
5.4%
4.4% 4.5%
2.3%
Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15
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23.0%
Specialty breakdown
14.8%
13.1%
6.5%
8.0% 7.2% 6.1% 6.1%
4.1% 4.2% 3.5%
2.8%
1.9%
1.0%
-0.7% -0.1%
Total Centre Dept Store DDS Supermarket Mini & Other Majors Other Retail Total Specialties Mobile Phones Homewares General Retail Retail Services Food Catering Leisure Jewellery Apparel Food Retail
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- Based on GPT weighted interest. Excludes development impacted assets (Wollongong Central) and Assets Held for Sale (Dandenong Plaza). 2. Chart excludes Forestway Shopping Centre from November 2015 following the sale of the asset by GWSCF.
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Retail
Strong sales growth underpinning positive leasing results
Portfolio Highlights
Highpoint
Delivery of Level 1 Asian Dining and Entertainment Precinct opened July 15
Charlestown Square
Delivery of an International Mini Major precinct, due to open September 16
Melbourne Central
Strong leasing activity including the opening of Sephora (first to Melbourne market), in November 15
| 12 months to 31 December | 2015 | 2014 |
|---|---|---|
| Specialty Base Rent Expiry | 28% | 21% |
| Specialty Base Rent Holdover | 129 (6%) | 110 (6%) |
| Specialty WALE | 2.5 years | 2.5 years |
| Specialty MAT sales psm | $10,460 | $9,754 |
| Specialty Occupancy Cost | 17.4% | 17.9% |
| Leasing Spreads | (1.6%) | (4.2%) |
| Retention Rate | 70% | 61% |
Note: Portfolio statistics exclude Assets Held for Sale: Dandenong Plaza
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Retail
Digital initiatives informing portfolio and tenant strategies
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Using digital technology and data…
MARKET SHARE
GAIN AND
RETURN ON
INVESTMENT
SHOPPER
INSIGHTS
ASSET
RESPONSE
DATA
SOURCES
DATA
ANALYSIS
…to drive market share and
investment returns
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Retail
Evolving retail mix as part of the retail development pipeline
| Property | Forecast Total Cost |
GPT’s Share |
GWSCF’s Share |
Development Opportunity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT Assets | ||||
| Casuarina Square | $34m | $17m | $17m | Leisure and Entertainment |
| Rouse Hill Town Centre | $300m | $300m | - | Dept. Store, specialty retail and mixed use |
| Sunshine Plaza | $400m | $200m | - | Dept. Store and specialty retail |
| Casuarina Square | $230m | $115m | $115m | Dept. Store and specialty retail |
| GWSCF Assets | ||||
| Macarthur Square | $240m | - | $120m | Expanded DDS, Fresh Food, Mini Majors |
| Highpoint | $450m | $75m | $262m | Mini Majors and specialty retail |
| Westfield Woden | $200m | - | $100m | Mini Majors and specialty retail |
| Chirnside Park | $70m | - | $70m | Expanded DDS and specialty retail |
| Parkmore Shopping Centre | $30m | - | $30m | Additional supermarket |
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Office Portfolio
2015 highlights – Portfolio delivering strong results
6.3% like for like income growth
Portfolio Commentary
- 12.8% Total Portfolio Return with all assets recording positive revaluations
133,925 sqm leases signed
-
Occupancy increased by 4.6% to 96.0%
-
Portfolio cap rate tightened 47 bps
-
WALE of 5.8 years
96.0% occupancy
- Investing in the portfolio with $300 million of projects planned or underway
Office Markets & Outlook
$212.7m valuation uplift
-
88% of portfolio in strongest markets of Sydney and Melbourne
-
Sydney and Melbourne achieving positive demand and rental growth
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5.94%
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weighted average cap rate
-
Brisbane showing some early signs of improved office demand
-
Robust investor demand driving cap rates close to historical lows
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Office
Leasing success resulting in high occupancy
-
133,925 sqm of leases signed, and 39,670 sqm of deals at Heads of Agreement stage
-
−Average incentive of 28% (19% including effective deals)
-
Space requirements led by Property and Business Services and Information and Technology sectors
-
−Amazon lease of 9,300 sqm at 2 Park Street concluded in 2H15
-
Small tenants dominating demand
-
−197 negotiated leasing deals (including Heads of Agreement) with average deal size of 881 sqm
Portfolio Occupancy & Leasing by Size Cohort
Total Leasing Volume by Sector
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sqm
180,000 90.5% 91.4% 96.0% 100% Education 2% Other 6% Finance and
160,000 95% Insurance
Government 16%
140,000 90% 10%
85%
120,000
80%
100,000
75%
80,000
70%
60,000 65%
40,000 60% Information
20,000 55% Media and
Telecommunica
- 50% tions
2013 2014 2015 Property and 23%
Business
1,501sqm plus 751 to 1500sqm 251 to 750sqm Less than 250sqm Occupancy including Signed Leases Services
43%
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Office
Leasing and cap rate compression driving 12.8% Total Portfolio Return
- Cap rate compression, market rental growth and a reduction in downtime from forward solving expiries has resulted in $212.7 million of revaluations for the period.
Valuation Uplift 2015
| Property | $m | % | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Park Street | $40.1 | 9.3% | Reduction in downtime and caprate compression |
| Melbourne Central Tower | $28.0 | 6.5% | Reduction in downtime and firmingof metrics |
| One One One Eagle Street | $22.6 | 9.2% | Caprate compression |
| MLC Centre | $17.5 | 4.6% | Reduction in downtime due to a high volume of leasing |
| 1 Farrer Place | $16.3 | 4.8% | Rentalgrowth and caprate compression |
| Corner of Bourke and William Streets (CBW) | $11.3 | 3.7% | Moderate caprate compression and rentalgrowth |
| Australia Square | $3.8 | 1.2% | Moderate caprate compression |
| GWOF Ownership | $73.1 | 8.2% | Rentalgrowth and caprate compression |
| Total | $212.7 | 6.3% |
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Office
Actively resolving future expiries
Lease Expiry Profile by Income
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17.2%
Expiry as at Dec-14 Expiry as at Dec-15
13.2%
8.8% 9.6% 8.3% 8.3% 9.4% 9.9%
7.2%
4.9%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
MCT: MCT: MCT: 750 Collins: CBW:
DHS ACCC Allianz AMP IAG
5,870 sqm 7,560 sqm 7,260 sqm 37,300 sqm 28,520 sqm
(1.3%) (1.7%) (1.5%) (1.6%) (3.0%)
DP3: 2 Southbank: Workplace6: Aus Sq: MCT:
Marsh PwC Google Origin Energy NBN Co.
9,650 sqm [1 ] 22,970 sqm 9,850 sqm 5,150 sqm 10,800 sqm
(0.6%) (0.5%) (0.6%) (0.9%) (2.6%)
Other: Other: Other: CBW: CBW:
36,700 sqm 74,100 sqm 82,100 sqm Baker & McKenzie Deloitte
(3.0%) (6.1%) (6.2%) 4,540 sqm 18,120 sqm
(0.7%) (2.5%)
Other: Other:
79,800 sqm 114,400 sqm
GWOF asset
1. Uncommitted Marsh area (6.7%) (9.1%)
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- Uncommitted Marsh area
Note: Includes Signed Leases and Heads of Agreements
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Logistics Portfolio
2015 highlights – Portfolio well positioned
0.7% like for like income growth
92.3% occupancy
Portfolio Commentary
-
13.7% Total Portfolio Return for 12 month period
-
High portfolio WALE of 8.2 years due to significant leasing and new investment product completed during the year
-
Lower portfolio occupancy due to Melbourne vacancies
-
$112m of asset sales at an average premium to book value of 44%
$300m
developments completed
- Brisbane development projects on track with increasing tenant inquiry
Industrial Markets & Outlook
- Improving tenant demand in key markets of Sydney and Melbourne
$88m valuation uplift[1 ]
-
Strong investment demand for both prime and secondary grade assets
-
Focus on value creation opportunities within portfolio and creating product out of land bank
7.03% weighted average cap rate
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- Excludes the gain on sale of 1&2 Murray Rose
Logistics
13.7% Total Portfolio Return
Revaluations of $99.5m[1] driven by cap rate compression, leasing and sales
DEVELOPMENT
$20.3 million
INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO
$45.3 million
ASSET SALES
$33.9 million
Development
-
$300m completed in FY15
-
Completions:
-
Rand, Erskine Park
-
Coles, Erskine Park
-
3 Murray Rose, SOP
Enhancing and re-leasing
-
Value-add leasing - 165,977 sqm leased
-
Leasing driving valuation upside
-
Somerton leasing to Murray Goulburn
Non-core asset sales
-
$112m in sales
-
44% premium to book value
-
Berry Street
-
Pinkenba
-
1&2 Murray Rose, SOP
-
-
Quad 4 new 15 year lease
-
Citiport 7,600 sqm
-
Yennora lease extension
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- Includes the gain on sale of 1&2 Murray Rose Avenue.
Logistics
Focus on development deliveries and land opportunities
Development completions – $300 million end value
| Asset | End Value | WALE | Completion Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coles RRM, Erskine Park | $135.0m | 20 years | June 2015 |
| Rand, Erskine Park | $84.3m | 20 years | February 2015 |
| 3 Murray Rose, Sydney Olympic Park | $80.2m | 7 years | March 2015 |
Development Pipeline – 135 hectare land bank with potential end value of $400 million
| Asset | Land Value | Area | Timing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metroplex Wacol, Brisbane1 | $46.5m | 58.3 ha | 2016 – 2021 |
| Austrak Business Park, Somerton1 | $19.4m | 35.8 ha | 2016 – 2020 |
| Wembley Business Park, Berrinba, Brisbane | $28.1m | 21.0 ha | 2016 – 2020 |
| Other | $43.5m | 20.2 ha | 2016 – 2018 |
| Total | $137.5m | 135.3 ha |
- Joint venture
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Logistics
Good progress on reducing near-term expiry profile
-
Minimal expiry over next 12 months: two expiries in Dec 2016
-
2017 expiries reduced from 24% to 18%
Lease Expiry Profile by Income
Expiry as at Dec-14 24.0% Expiry as at Dec-15 18.2% 12.6% 10.2% 10.2% 7.5% 8.2% 8.8% 4.3% 3.7% 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yatala: Kings Park: Rosehill: Minto: Eastern Creek: 18,300 sqm 40,300 sqm 29,500 sqm 15,300 sqm 15,100 sqm (2.2%) (4.5%) (4.4%) (2.5%) (2.6%) Sydney Olympic Holker Street: Citiport: Yennora: Wetherill Park: Park: 7,430 sqm 10,346 sqm 33,200 sqm 20,500 sqm 6,800 sqm (3.7%) (2.1%) (4.0%) (2.0%) (2.1%) Citiwest: Somerton: Other: Citiport: 41,700 sqm 40,600 sqm 8,332 sqm 8,807 sqm (3.3%) (1.5%) (1.0%) (1.9%) Other: Other: Other: 47,307 sqm 19,147 sqm 17,845 sqm (6.7%) (2.2%) (2.2%)
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Funds Management
Strong contribution to overall Group return
GPT Total Return from Funds Management
-
FM business generated a 14.0% total return to the Group over the year
-
FUM increased by 4.6% during the year to $10.0 billion
-
GPT Wholesale Office Fund
-
14.9% return over the 12 months
-
Net performance fee of $6.9m
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14.0%
3.0%
4.8%
6.2%
Distribution Yield Capital Growth FM Business Total Return
Contribution
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-
Discussions progressing on the Fund terms review
-
GWSCF return impacted by a decline in portfolio valuation
-
GMF distributions ahead of PDS forecast, and NTA increased by 13.2% to $2.15
Contribution |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| Fund | FUM | GPT’s Investment |
Return (1Yr IRR) |
| GWOF | $5.8b | $980.3m | 14.9% |
| GWSCF | $3.8b | $623.3m | 4.4% |
| GMF | $0.4b | $36.0m | 13.6%1 |
| Total | $10.0b | $1,639.6m |
- Total Unitholder Return
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Summary & Outlook
Well positioned to deliver growth
High portfolio occupancy with structured rent increases
Organic growth opportunities through internal development pipeline
- Strong balance sheet
2016 Guidance
- FFO per security growth of 4-5%
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Disclaimer
The information provided in this presentation has been prepared by The GPT Group comprising GPT RE Limited (ACN 107 426 504) AFSL (286511), as responsible entity of the General Property Trust, and GPT Management Holdings Limited (ACN 113 510 188).
The information provided in this presentation is for general information only. It is not intended to be investment, legal or other advice and should not be relied upon as such. You should make your own assessment of, or obtain professional advice about, the information described in this paper to determine whether it is appropriate for you.
You should note that returns from all investments may fluctuate and that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Furthermore, while every effort is made to provide accurate and complete information, The GPT Group does not represent or warrant that the information in this presentation is free from errors or omissions, is complete or is suitable for your intended use. In particular, no representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy, likelihood of achievement or
reasonableness of any forecasts, prospects or returns contained in the information - such material is, by its nature, subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies. To the maximum extent permitted by law, The GPT Group, its related companies, officers, employees and agents will not be liable to you in any way for any loss, damage, cost or expense (whether direct or indirect) howsoever arising in connection with the contents of, or any errors or omissions in, this presentation. Information is stated as at 31 December 2015 unless otherwise indicated.
All values are expressed in Australian currency unless otherwise indicated.
FFO is reported in the Segment Note disclosures which are included in the financial report of The GPT Group for the twelve months ended 31 December 2015.
To provide information that reflects the Directors’ assessment of the net profit attributable to stapled securityholders calculated in accordance with Australian Accounting Standards, certain significant items that are relevant to an understanding of GPT’s result have been identified. The reconciliation FFO to Statutory Profit is useful as FFO is the measure of how GPT’s profitability is assessed.
FFO is a financial measure that represents GPT’s underlying and recurring earnings from its operations. This is determined by adjusting statutory net profit after tax under Australian Accounting Standards for certain items which are non-cash, unrealised or capital in nature. FFO has been determined based on guidelines established by the Property Council of Australia and is intended as a measure reflecting the underlying performance of the Group.
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