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GOODMAN GROUP — Interim / Quarterly Report 2021
Nov 1, 2021
64998_rns_2021-11-01_7b5b6176-ceb0-41f3-be9f-497db5ca543d.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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Goodman Business Park, Chiba, Japan
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Goodman has made a strong start in FY22 with the continuation of structural changes, significant customer demand and intensification of use of sites in Goodman’s target markets. Consistent execution of the Group’s strategy has resulted in increased transactional activity and higher earnings certainty for the full year.
“The results of the deliberate positioning of our portfolio over the last decade to adapt to and leverage the changes in the digital economy, are now being realised. Customer demand for highquality properties close to consumers has never been greater.
This is resulting in rental growth, increased development activity, stronger than expected performance from our Partnerships and generally higher levels of profitability, leading to upgraded earnings guidance for FY22.”
- Greg Goodman, Group CEO
KEY HIGHLIGHTS¹
As at 30 September 2021
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- $62.0 billion total assets under management (AUM)
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- 3.2% like-for-like net property income (NPI) growth in our managed Partnerships
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- 98.4% occupancy across the Partnerships
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- $12.7 billion of development work in progress (WIP)[2]
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- Earnings guidance for FY22 increased with operating EPS growth expected to be in excess of 15%
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- All figures in AUD 2. Based on estimated end value 3. Properties in managed Partnerships
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INVESTMENT
Underlying property fundamentals remain strong globally with like-for-like NPI growth of 3.2%. The growth in demand is driving higher utilisation of space as customers seek to improve their supply chains. Consequently occupancy remains high at 98.4%.
Project completions and deployment of capital into increased development activity will support additional growth in earnings.
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- Leased 4.2 million sqm across the platform over the 12 months to 30 September 2021, equating to $563 million of rent per annum
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- Portfolio WALE of 4.7 years
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- Occupancy of 98.4%
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- 12 month rolling like-for-like NPI growth of 3.2%
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LEASING¹
| Region | Leasing area (‘000 sqm) | Net annual rent ($M) | Average lease term (years) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Australia / New Zealand | 1,623 | 228.8 | 5.1 |
| Asia | 1,611 | 251.1 | 3.3 |
| Continental Europe / UK / Other |
966 | 83.4 | 5.3 |
| Total | 4,200 | 563.3 | 4.3 |
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Goodman Logistics Centre, Fontana, California, USA
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- Leasing of stabilised portfolio over the twelve months to 30 September 2021. Excludes development and acquired leases.
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DEVELOPMENT
Increased customer demand has resulted in an acceleration of development, particularly in infill locations. Work in progress was $12.7 billion at 30 September 2021, with an annual production rate for the year expected to average approximately $6.8 billion.
The continued evolution of the digital economy and resulting growth in customer and development demand is driving strong margins and yield on cost currently at 6.8%.
Regeneration of existing brownfield sites is providing more sustainable development opportunities, closer to consumers. We expect this activity to continue to be a major source of development into the future.
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- At 30 September 2021, development WIP of $12.7 billion, up 19% since June 2021 and is over three times June 2019 WIP
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- Development commencements in the quarter of $3.0 billion with 65% pre-committed¹
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- Development completions of $1.6 billion for the three months with 97% leased¹
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- WIP includes 81 projects with a forecast yield on cost of 6.8%
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- Long WALE on pre-commitments of 14 years
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- Continued capital partnering of projects with 85% of current WIP being undertaken within Partnerships or for third parties
| Q1 FY21 development statistics | Completions1 | Commencements1 | Work in progress |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value ($bn) | 1.6 | 3.0 | 12.7 |
| Area (m sqm) | 0.4 | 0.7 | 3.6 |
| Yield (%) | 6.6 | 6.7 | 6.8 |
| Pre-committed (%) | 97 | 65 | 70 |
| Weighted average lease term (years) | 12.3 | 15.3 | 13.7 |
| Development for third parties or Partnerships (%) | 71 | 88 | 85 |
| Australia / New Zealand (%) | 39 | 15 | 18 |
| Asia (%) | 18 | 32 | 51 |
| Americas (%) | - | 39 | 19 |
| Continental Europe / UK (%) | 43 | 14 | 12 |
Development WIP
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Work in progress as at 30 September 2021
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- For the three months to 30 September 2021
MANAGEMENT
Well-located industrial real estate is recognised as essential infrastructure for the digital economy and making it a highly sought-after asset class. Recent market transactions and strong demand from capital markets is driving cap rate compression. This together with significant rental growth, is expected to support further valuation growth consistent with FY21 levels.
Assets under management were $62.0 billion at 30 September 2021. The outlook remains strong and we expect AUM to continue growing to around $70 billion by June 2022.
The capital position of the Partnerships remains strong with significant liquidity and low leverage.
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- AUM growth driven by:
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Strong revaluation gains, development completions and net acquisitions
Assets Under Management
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- Strong transactional activity through the quarter indicating cap rate compression
Total AUM by geography
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Management Platform – Largest Partnerships
| GAIP GHKLP GEP GCLP GAP GNAP GJCP GMT2 GUKP 1 Total assets $11.1bn $9.8bn $6.3bn $6.2bn $5.6bn $5.5bn $4.1bn $3.7bn2 $1.6bn GMG co- investment 29.1% 20.3% 20.0% 20.4% 55.0% 19.9% 14.6% 24.8% 33.3% GMG co- investment $2.4bn $1.6bn $0.9bn $0.8bn $2.7bn $0.8bn $0.4bn $0.8bn $0.4bn Number of properties 104 12 37 86 21 35 18 112 9 Occupancy1 97% 97% 99% 100% 100% 98% 100% 98%2 96% Weighted average lease expiry1 4.7 years 3.1 years 3.0 years 5.1 years 7.7 years 4.8 years 3.9 years 5.5 years2 8.2 years 3 |
GAIP GHKLP GEP GCLP GAP GNAP GJCP GMT2 GUKP 1 Total assets $11.1bn $9.8bn $6.3bn $6.2bn $5.6bn $5.5bn $4.1bn $3.7bn2 $1.6bn GMG co- investment 29.1% 20.3% 20.0% 20.4% 55.0% 19.9% 14.6% 24.8% 33.3% GMG co- investment $2.4bn $1.6bn $0.9bn $0.8bn $2.7bn $0.8bn $0.4bn $0.8bn $0.4bn Number of properties 104 12 37 86 21 35 18 112 9 Occupancy1 97% 97% 99% 100% 100% 98% 100% 98%2 96% Weighted average lease expiry1 4.7 years 3.1 years 3.0 years 5.1 years 7.7 years 4.8 years 3.9 years 5.5 years2 8.2 years 3 |
GAIP GHKLP GEP GCLP GAP GNAP GJCP GMT2 GUKP 1 Total assets $11.1bn $9.8bn $6.3bn $6.2bn $5.6bn $5.5bn $4.1bn $3.7bn2 $1.6bn GMG co- investment 29.1% 20.3% 20.0% 20.4% 55.0% 19.9% 14.6% 24.8% 33.3% GMG co- investment $2.4bn $1.6bn $0.9bn $0.8bn $2.7bn $0.8bn $0.4bn $0.8bn $0.4bn Number of properties 104 12 37 86 21 35 18 112 9 Occupancy1 97% 97% 99% 100% 100% 98% 100% 98%2 96% Weighted average lease expiry1 4.7 years 3.1 years 3.0 years 5.1 years 7.7 years 4.8 years 3.9 years 5.5 years2 8.2 years 3 |
GAIP GHKLP GEP GCLP GAP GNAP GJCP GMT2 GUKP 1 Total assets $11.1bn $9.8bn $6.3bn $6.2bn $5.6bn $5.5bn $4.1bn $3.7bn2 $1.6bn GMG co- investment 29.1% 20.3% 20.0% 20.4% 55.0% 19.9% 14.6% 24.8% 33.3% GMG co- investment $2.4bn $1.6bn $0.9bn $0.8bn $2.7bn $0.8bn $0.4bn $0.8bn $0.4bn Number of properties 104 12 37 86 21 35 18 112 9 Occupancy1 97% 97% 99% 100% 100% 98% 100% 98%2 96% Weighted average lease expiry1 4.7 years 3.1 years 3.0 years 5.1 years 7.7 years 4.8 years 3.9 years 5.5 years2 8.2 years 3 |
GAIP GHKLP GEP GCLP GAP GNAP GJCP GMT2 GUKP 1 Total assets $11.1bn $9.8bn $6.3bn $6.2bn $5.6bn $5.5bn $4.1bn $3.7bn2 $1.6bn GMG co- investment 29.1% 20.3% 20.0% 20.4% 55.0% 19.9% 14.6% 24.8% 33.3% GMG co- investment $2.4bn $1.6bn $0.9bn $0.8bn $2.7bn $0.8bn $0.4bn $0.8bn $0.4bn Number of properties 104 12 37 86 21 35 18 112 9 Occupancy1 97% 97% 99% 100% 100% 98% 100% 98%2 96% Weighted average lease expiry1 4.7 years 3.1 years 3.0 years 5.1 years 7.7 years 4.8 years 3.9 years 5.5 years2 8.2 years 3 |
GAIP GHKLP GEP GCLP GAP GNAP GJCP GMT2 GUKP 1 Total assets $11.1bn $9.8bn $6.3bn $6.2bn $5.6bn $5.5bn $4.1bn $3.7bn2 $1.6bn GMG co- investment 29.1% 20.3% 20.0% 20.4% 55.0% 19.9% 14.6% 24.8% 33.3% GMG co- investment $2.4bn $1.6bn $0.9bn $0.8bn $2.7bn $0.8bn $0.4bn $0.8bn $0.4bn Number of properties 104 12 37 86 21 35 18 112 9 Occupancy1 97% 97% 99% 100% 100% 98% 100% 98%2 96% Weighted average lease expiry1 4.7 years 3.1 years 3.0 years 5.1 years 7.7 years 4.8 years 3.9 years 5.5 years2 8.2 years 3 |
GAIP GHKLP GEP GCLP GAP GNAP GJCP GMT2 GUKP 1 Total assets $11.1bn $9.8bn $6.3bn $6.2bn $5.6bn $5.5bn $4.1bn $3.7bn2 $1.6bn GMG co- investment 29.1% 20.3% 20.0% 20.4% 55.0% 19.9% 14.6% 24.8% 33.3% GMG co- investment $2.4bn $1.6bn $0.9bn $0.8bn $2.7bn $0.8bn $0.4bn $0.8bn $0.4bn Number of properties 104 12 37 86 21 35 18 112 9 Occupancy1 97% 97% 99% 100% 100% 98% 100% 98%2 96% Weighted average lease expiry1 4.7 years 3.1 years 3.0 years 5.1 years 7.7 years 4.8 years 3.9 years 5.5 years2 8.2 years 3 |
GAIP GHKLP GEP GCLP GAP GNAP GJCP GMT2 GUKP 1 Total assets $11.1bn $9.8bn $6.3bn $6.2bn $5.6bn $5.5bn $4.1bn $3.7bn2 $1.6bn GMG co- investment 29.1% 20.3% 20.0% 20.4% 55.0% 19.9% 14.6% 24.8% 33.3% GMG co- investment $2.4bn $1.6bn $0.9bn $0.8bn $2.7bn $0.8bn $0.4bn $0.8bn $0.4bn Number of properties 104 12 37 86 21 35 18 112 9 Occupancy1 97% 97% 99% 100% 100% 98% 100% 98%2 96% Weighted average lease expiry1 4.7 years 3.1 years 3.0 years 5.1 years 7.7 years 4.8 years 3.9 years 5.5 years2 8.2 years 3 |
GAIP GHKLP GEP GCLP GAP GNAP GJCP GMT2 GUKP 1 Total assets $11.1bn $9.8bn $6.3bn $6.2bn $5.6bn $5.5bn $4.1bn $3.7bn2 $1.6bn GMG co- investment 29.1% 20.3% 20.0% 20.4% 55.0% 19.9% 14.6% 24.8% 33.3% GMG co- investment $2.4bn $1.6bn $0.9bn $0.8bn $2.7bn $0.8bn $0.4bn $0.8bn $0.4bn Number of properties 104 12 37 86 21 35 18 112 9 Occupancy1 97% 97% 99% 100% 100% 98% 100% 98%2 96% Weighted average lease expiry1 4.7 years 3.1 years 3.0 years 5.1 years 7.7 years 4.8 years 3.9 years 5.5 years2 8.2 years 3 |
GAIP GHKLP GEP GCLP GAP GNAP GJCP GMT2 GUKP 1 Total assets $11.1bn $9.8bn $6.3bn $6.2bn $5.6bn $5.5bn $4.1bn $3.7bn2 $1.6bn GMG co- investment 29.1% 20.3% 20.0% 20.4% 55.0% 19.9% 14.6% 24.8% 33.3% GMG co- investment $2.4bn $1.6bn $0.9bn $0.8bn $2.7bn $0.8bn $0.4bn $0.8bn $0.4bn Number of properties 104 12 37 86 21 35 18 112 9 Occupancy1 97% 97% 99% 100% 100% 98% 100% 98%2 96% Weighted average lease expiry1 4.7 years 3.1 years 3.0 years 5.1 years 7.7 years 4.8 years 3.9 years 5.5 years2 8.2 years 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIP | GHKLP | GEP | GCLP | GAP | GNAP | GJCP | GMT2 | GUKP | |
| 1 | 3 | ||||||||
| Total assets | $11.1bn | $9.8bn | $6.3bn | $6.2bn | $5.6bn | $5.5bn | $4.1bn | $3.7bn2 | $1.6bn |
| GMG co- investment |
29.1% | 20.3% | 20.0% | 20.4% | 55.0% | 19.9% | 14.6% | 24.8% | 33.3% |
| GMG co- investment |
$2.4bn | $1.6bn | $0.9bn | $0.8bn | $2.7bn | $0.8bn | $0.4bn | $0.8bn | $0.4bn |
| Number of properties |
104 | 12 | 37 | 86 | 21 | 35 | 18 | 112 | 9 |
| Occupancy1 | 97% | 97% | 99% | 100% | 100% | 98% | 100% | 98%2 | 96% |
| Weighted average lease expiry1 |
4.7 years | 3.1 years | 3.0 years | 5.1 years | 7.7 years | 4.8 years | 3.9 years | 5.5 years2 | 8.2 years |
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- WALE and Occupancy of stabilised portfolio as at 30 September 2021. 2. GMT: Results are for the full year March 2021 as reported to the New Zealand Stock Exchange. 3. Includes GUKP I and GUKP II
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OUTLOOK
The significant level of customer demand, combined with supply restrictions in our markets, is creating a shortage of available space. We are executing our strategy, focusing on infill markets to deliver sustainable opportunities for our customers and investors, while securing cashflow growth for the long-term.
Commenting on the outlook, Greg Goodman said, “High utilisation of space, barriers to entry and limited supply in our markets are underpinning occupancy and cash flow growth in our portfolio, with strong rental growth occurring globally. Development work in progress has grown to $12.7 billion with the production rate expected to average approximately $6.8 billion for the year. We remain focused on regeneration of existing land and buildings in our portfolio, supporting future development work and reducing our impact on the environment.
The value added to our properties through intensification of use, and strong investor appetite for logistics real estate will drive further positive revaluation outcomes in FY22. Combined with increased ongoing development activity, this is expected to lead to AUM of approximately $70 billion by June 2022.”
The Group and Partnerships are well positioned financially. With significant liquidity and low gearing, we maintain the ability to grow development activity and pursue select investment opportunities.
COVID related disruptions in FY22 have been managed such that they have had less impact on the full year projections than we had initially assumed. In addition, given the strength of our development projects, leasing success and the stronger than expected performance of our Partnerships, the outlook for the new financial year is ahead of previous forecasts. Consequently we are upgrading our market guidance for FY22, with Operating EPS growth expected to be in excess of 15%.
Our forecasts are reviewed regularly and are subject to there being no unforeseen material adverse events.
Authorised for release to the ASX by Carl Bicego, Company Secretary and Group Head of Legal .
ABOUT GOODMAN
Goodman Group is an integrated property group with operations throughout Australia, New Zealand, Asia, Europe, the United Kingdom, North America and Brazil. Goodman Group, comprised of the stapled entities Goodman Limited, Goodman Industrial Trust and Goodman Logistics (HK) Limited, is the largest industrial property group listed on the Australian Securities Exchange and one of the largest listed specialist investment managers of industrial property and business space globally. Goodman’s global property expertise, integrated own+develop+manage customer service offering and significant investment management platform ensures it creates innovative property solutions that meet the individual requirements of its customers, while seeking to deliver longterm returns for investors.
CONTACT
Media
Michelle Chaperon + 61 416 285 907
Investors
James Inwood +61 402 058 182
Phillip Henderson + 61 416 449 609 [email protected]
For more information: www.goodman.com
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DISCLAIMER
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This document has been prepared by Goodman Group (Goodman Limited (ABN 69 000 123 071), Goodman Funds Management Limited (ABN 48 067 796 641; AFSL Number 223621) as the Responsible Entity for Goodman Industrial Trust (ARSN 091 213 839) and Goodman Logistics (HK) Limited (Company Number 1700359; ARBN 155911142 – A Hong Kong company with limited liability). This document is a presentation of general background information about the Group’s activities current at the date of the presentation. It is information in a summary form and does not purport to be complete. It is to be read in conjunction with the Goodman Group Financial Report for the year ended 30 June 2021 and Goodman Group’s other announcements released to ASX (available at www.asx.com.au). It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. These should be considered, with professional advice, when deciding if an investment is appropriate.
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- This Presentation uses operating profit and operating EPS to present a clear view of the underlying profit from operations. Operating profit comprises profit attributable to Securityholders adjusted for net property valuations gains, non-property impairment losses, net gains/losses from the fair value movements on derivative financial instruments and unrealised fair value and foreign exchange movements on interest bearing liabilities and other noncash adjustments or non-recurring items e.g. the share based payments expense associated with Goodman’s Long Term Incentive Plan (LTIP). The calculation of fair value requires estimates and assumptions which are continually evaluated and are based on historical experience and expectations of future events that are believed to be reasonable in the circumstances.
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- This document contains certain "forward-looking statements". The words "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "project", "forecast", "estimate", "likely", "intend", "should", "could", "may", "target", "plan" and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Indications of, and guidance on, future earnings and financial position and performance are also forward-looking statements. Due care and attention has been used in the preparation of forecast information. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Group, that may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. There can be no assurance that actual outcomes will not differ materially from these statements. Neither the Group, nor any other person, gives any representation, warranty, assurance or guarantee that the occurrence of the events expressed or implied in any forward looking-statements in this document will actually occur.
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