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Golden Ocean Group — Earnings Release 2015
Aug 27, 2015
6243_rns_2015-08-27_be1defd3-4361-4d99-8840-c6d431141ec2.pdf
Earnings Release
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Results Q2 - 2015
August 27, 2015
Forward-Looking Statements
- Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides safe harbor protections for forward-looking statements, which include statements concerning plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance, and underlying assumptions and other statements, which are other than statements of historical facts. Words such as "believe," "anticipate," "intends," "estimate," "forecast," "project," "plan," "potential," "may," "should," "expect," "pending" and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions. Although we believe that these assumptions were reasonable when made, because these assumptions are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond our control, we cannot assure you that we will achieve or accomplish these expectations, beliefs or projections. The information set forth herein speaks only as of the date hereof, and we disclaim any intention or obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of developments occurring after the date of this communication.
- In addition to these important factors and matters discussed elsewhere herein, important factors that, in our view, could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking statements include the strength of world economies, fluctuations in currencies and interest rates, general market conditions, including fluctuations in charter hire rates and vessel values, changes in demand in the dry bulk market, changes in our operating expenses, including bunker prices, drydocking and insurance costs, the market for our vessels, availability of financing and refinancing, changes in governmental rules and regulations or actions taken by regulatory authorities, potential liability from pending or future litigation, general domestic and international political conditions, potential disruption of shipping routes due to accidents, political events or acts by terrorists, and other important factors described from time to time in the reports filed by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
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Certain shipping, steel, Chinese and global industry information, statistics and charts contained herein have been derived from several sources. You are hereby advised that such industry data, charts and statistics have not been prepared specifically for inclusion in these materials and Golden Ocean has not undertaken any independent investigation to confirm the accuracy or completeness of such information
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Highlights
- Recent developments
- Financials
- Fleet information
- Macro Update
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Q&A
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The merger between Knightsbridge Shipping Limited and the Former Golden Ocean Group Limited was completed on March 31, 2015, with Knightsbridge as the acquiring company. Following the merger the Company was renamed to Golden Ocean Group Limited. Results reported for the second quarter is for the merged company.
- In April, Golden Ocean completed several transactions in order to strengthen its cash position and balance sheet
- The current fleet of Golden Ocean as per August 27, 2015:
| Capesize | Kamsarmax /Panamax |
Iceclass Panamax |
Supramax | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sailing | 17* | 8 | 10 | 5 |
| Newbuilding | 20** | - | - | 3 |
| BB/TC in + JV | 7 + 1(JV) | 2 | - | 1 |
| Total | 45 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
* Of which 1 will be delivered to Ship Finance and chartered back on TC
** Of which 4 are sold and will be delivered to new owners upon completion
Recent development
- Fleet development:
- The Company took delivery of 1 Supramax and 1 Capesize newbuilding during Q2 2015. Debt on the Capesize vessel has been drawn in Q3 2015.
- The Company sold and delivered Channel Navigator in May and Channel Alliance in June 2015
- The Company decided not to declare optional periods for Golden Sakura and the vessel was redelievered in June 2015
- Newbuilding program:
- The Company agreed in April 2015 to sell four Capesize newbuilding contracts, upon delivery of the completed vessels
- The Company agreed during April 2015 to postpone delivery of several of its newbuilding contracts by 79 months in aggregate
Corporate transactions and financing
- In April 2015, the Company received the remaining receivable of \$40.1 million from Jinhaiwan in relation to the claim held by the Former Golden Ocean. In total \$215.8 million has been received between Q2 2014 and Q2 2015, of which \$40.5 million is interest.
- In April 2015, the Company agreed to a sale leaseback transaction with Ship Finance International Ltd (SFL) for eight Capesize vessels
- Sold enbloc for \$272 million
- Time charter at \$17,600 / day for 7 yrs and \$14,900 / day for last 3 yrs (including OPEX of \$7,000 / day) + profit split of 33% to SFL
- En-bloc purchase option of \$112 million after 10 yrs, or SFL has option to extend charter for 3 yrs at \$14,900 / day
- Seven vessels have been delivered so far in the third quarter and we expect the last vessel to be delivered during September.
Profit & Loss
| 2014 | 2015 | 2015 | 2014 | 2014 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr-Jun | Apr-Jun | INCOME STATEMENT | Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | Jan-Dec | |
| (in thousands of \$) | ||||||
| 20,593 | 49,333 | Operating revenues | 67,416 | 40,698 | 96,715 | • The result for Q2 is for the merged company |
| Operating expenses | • Net operating income was |
|||||
| 5,643 | 21,278 | Voyage expenses | 34,692 | 7,242 | 33,955 | |
| 3,315 | 23,924 | Ship operating expenses | 30,974 | 6,357 | 18,676 | reduced by \$8.1M (net) as a result |
| - | 5,348 | Charter hire expense | 5,348 | - | - | of the amortization of favourable |
| 1,095 | 4,811 | Administrative expenses | 5,963 | 2,479 | 5,037 | and unfavourable TC contracts. |
| - | - | Vessel impairment loss | 140,962 | - | - | |
| 3,745 | 14,778 | Depreciation | 24,596 | 6,392 | 19,561 | • Second quarter vessel earnings |
| 13,798 | 70,139 | Total operating expenses | 242,535 | 22,470 | 77,229 | were inline with average spot |
| 6,795 | (20,806) | Net operating (loss) income | (175,119) | 18,228 | 19,486 | market rates for spot vessels |
| Other income (expenses) | ||||||
| 5 | 382 | Interest income | 385 | 10 | 29 | |
| (191) | (11,296) | Interest expense | (12,863) | (755) | (2,525) | • Interest expense includes |
| (141) | (1,752) | Other financial items | (2,167) | (255) | (737) | amortization of the difference |
| - | (2,073) | Bargain purchase gain arising on consolidation | 78,876 | - | - | |
| (327) | (14,739) | Total other income (expenses) | 64,231 | (1,000) | (3,233) | between nominal value and fair |
| 6,468 | (35,545) | Net (loss) income from continuing operations |
(110,888) | 17,228 | 16,253 | value of the CB at date of merger |
| (186) | - | Net loss from discontinued operations | - | (228) | (258) | |
| 6,282 | (35,545) | Net (loss) income | (110,888) | 17,000 | 15,995 | |
| Basic (loss) earnings per share from continuing | ||||||
| 0.15 | (0.21) | operations (\$) | (0.86) | 0.46 | 0.31 | |
| Basic loss per share from discontinued | ||||||
| (0.01) | - | operations (\$) | - | (0.01) | - | |
| 0.14 | (0.21) | Basic (loss) earnings per share (\$) | (0.86) | 0.45 | 0.30 | |
Balance Sheet
| 2015 June 30 |
2014 June 30 |
2014 Dec 31 |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALANCE SHEET (in thousands of \$) |
||||
| ASSETS | ||||
| Short term Cash and cash equivalents Restricted cash |
83,216 1,593 |
18,130 - |
42,221 - |
|
| Other current assets | 113,193 | 16,247 | 22,058 | |
| Long term Restricted cash Vessels, net Newbuildings Other long term assets |
58,245 1,731,191 325,274 127,923 |
15,000 527,898 99,047 3,946 |
18,923 852,665 323,340 3,533 |
• Vessels increased with deliveres of Golden Taurus and Golden Aso in Q2 |
| Total assets | 2,440,635 | 680,268 | 1,262,740 | |
| LIABILITIES AND EQUITY | ||||
| Short term Current portion of long-term debt and obligations under capital lease |
182,972 | 2,604 | 19,812 | |
| Other current liabilities | 46,469 | 12,254 | 14,967 | |
| Long term Long-term debt and obligations under capital lease Other long term liabilities |
941,970 5,785 |
122,396 - |
343,688 - |
• Debt increased with debt on Golden Taurus less debt repaid on two vessels |
| Equity | 1,263,439 | 543,014 | 884,273 | sold and ordinary debt repayments. |
| Total liabilities and equity | 2,440,635 | 680,268 | 1,262,740 | Debt on Golden Aso to be drawn in Q3 |
Amortization of long term TC contracts
- Operating revenues in the three months ended June 30, 2015 have been reduced by \$9.2 million as a result of the amortization of favourable time charter (out) contracts, which were acquired as a result of the merger of Knightsbridge and The Former Golden Ocean on March 31, 2015 and were valued at \$127.1 million. Charter hire expense in the same period has been reduced by \$1.1 million as a result of the amortization of unfavourable time charter (in) contracts, which were acquired as a result of the merger and were valued at \$7.6 million. The net effect was a \$8.1 million reduction in net income in the three months ended June 30, 2015.
- The amortization will affect the results for the remaining period of the TC contracts. Expected net amortization cost per quarter is on average:
- ~ 8.4 million per quarter in 2015
- ~ 6.4 million per quarter in 2016
- ~ 5.0 million per quarter in 2017
- ~ 4.5 million per quarter in 2018 and 2019
- ~ 2.9 million per quarter in 2020
- ~ 0.8 million per quarter in 2021
- ~ 0.2 million (income) per quarter in 2022-2024
- This has no cash effect on the company
Newbuildings: Delivery schedule
| Yard | 2015 (Q3-Q4) | 2016 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Capesize | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| Supramax | 0 | 3 | |
| Capesize (Sold) | 2 | 2 |
- Five vessels unfinanced
- Three Supramax with delivery 2016
- Two Capesize with delivery 2017
Open positions including newbuildings
Capesize exposure - Core Fleet *
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total vessel days | 3 917 | 13 988 | 15 793 |
| Open vessel days | 3 836 | 13 995 | 15 788 |
| Open position (%) | 98 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Average net rate on fixed days | na | na | na |
| No of vessels | 30 | 40 | 42 |
| Panamax exposure - Core Fleet | |||
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
| Total vessel days | 2 561 | 7 148 | 6 903 |
| Open vessel days | 1 188 | 4 376 | 5 285 |
| Open position (%) | 46 % | 61 % | 77 % |
| Average net rate on fixed days | 15 872 | 19 331 | 22 152 |
| No of vessels | 20 | 20 | 19 |
| Supramax exposure - Core Fleet | |||
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
| Total vessel days | 846 | 3 102 | 3 589 |
| Open vessel days | 501 | 3 102 | 3 589 |
| Open position (%) | 59 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Average net rate on fixed days | na | na | na |
| No of vessels | 6 | 9 | 9 |
* Golden Opus included with 50%
Vessel operating expenses
| Vessel type | Q2-15 | |
|---|---|---|
| Supramax | \$/d | 4 699 |
| Panamax | \$/d | 5 929 |
| Capesize | \$/d | 5 395 |
- These numbers include dry dock expences of \$989k, mainly related to Golden Beijing, Golden Eminence and Golden Eclipse
- Based on 5 Supramaxes, 20 Panamax/Kamsarmax and 26 Capesize (Golden Aso only with 1 day)
Macro Update
Herman Billung, CEO Golden Ocean Management AS
Chinese Dry Bulk imports
Source: Custom data / Reuters (Clarkson Platou)
Chinese iron ore supply
| Assumptions base case | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| steel Iron ore |
Domestic | Iron ore | |||
| production demand | lore prod | imports | |||
| 2014 | 838 | 1215 | 290 | 933 | |
| 2015 | 838 | 1215 | 263 | 960 | |
| 2016 | 854 | 1230 | 240 | 1000 | |
| 2017 | 872 | 1251 | 215 | 1045 | |
| Assumptions downside risk scenario | |||||
| steel | Iron ore | Domestic | Iron ore | ||
| production demand | lore prod | imports | |||
| 2014 | 838 | 1215 | 290 | 933 | |
| 2015 | 838 | 1215 | 290 | 933 | |
| 2016 | 854 | 1230 | 290 | 948 | |
| 2017 | 872 | 1251 | 290 | 969 |
Chinese iron ore mining companies closing down
Australian and Brazilian mining companies competing for Chinese mkt
Production Forecast
Source: Lorentzen & Stemoco Research, Pareto Securities
Chinese iron ore imports will surpass 1bn tons this year
Incremental increase in Chinese electricity production
China's coal demand – only 6 % covered by imports
Source: CNEB (Clarkson Platou)
Bulk carriers: Existing fleet and order book per August 2015
| Existing | On | Del. | Rest | Share of | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulk carriers | fleet | order | YTD | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | $2018+$ | fleet |
| Handysize | ||||||||
| 10-14,999 dwt | 3.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7% |
| 15-19,999 dwt | 4.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7% |
| 20-29,999 dwt | 29.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3% |
| 30-39,999 dwt | 52.8 | 13.0 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 24.6% |
| Total | 90.5 | 13.6 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 15.1% |
| Handymax/Supramax | ||||||||
| 40-52,999 dwt | 58.3 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 4.9% |
| 53-64,999 dwt (blt > 1999) | 116.1 | 36.9 | 8.4 | 13.2 | 18.0 | 5.3 | 0.5 | 31.8% |
| Total | 174.3 | 39.7 | 9.4 | 14.9 | 18.9 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 22.8% |
| Total | 264.8 | 53.4 | 13.4 | 19.7 | 25.3 | 7.8 | 0.7 | 20.2% |
| Panamax/Kamsarmax | ||||||||
| 65-84,999 dwt** | 157.7 | 26.1 | 6.0 | 10.6 | 11.4 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 16.5% |
| Post-Panamax | ||||||||
| 85-119,999 dwt | 51.2 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 7.0% |
| Capesize | ||||||||
| 120,000 dwt + | 294.1 | 52.6 | 10.8 | 16.2 | 28.4 | 7.1 | 0.9 | 17.9% |
| Grand total | 767.8 | 135.6 | 31.2 | 47.8 | 66.6 | 18.8 | 2.4 | 17.7% |
| No. of vessels | 10,534 | 1,667 | 412.0 | 625 | 782 | 233 | 27 | 15.8% |
Underlying fleet growth - monthly
Source: Clarkson Platou
Bulk Carrier fleet trend –
Fleet development, Capesize bulk carriers
Vale will phase out VLCC-VLOC conversions
Chinese shipyards are making little or no money
| Price quotations | USD 94.0 mill. |
|---|---|
| Total shipyard costs | USD 90.1 mill. |
| Overhead | $USD$ 6.5 mill. |
| Labour | USD 21.0 mill. |
| Marine equipment | USD 30.0 mill. |
| Engine | USD 11.6 mill. |
| Steel | USD 21.0 mill. |