Earnings Release • Aug 27, 2014
Earnings Release
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Results Q2 - 2014
August 27, 2014
Birgitte Ringstad Vartdal, CFO Golden Ocean Management AS
Key figures:
| 2014 | 2014 | |
|---|---|---|
| Apr-Jun | Jan-Mar | |
| Operating revenue | 72 800 | 74 195 |
| Vessel voyage expenses | -21 842 | -22 260 |
| Vessel operating expenses | -14 308 | -12 037 |
| Charter hire expenses | -13 206 | -17 735 |
| Administrative expenses | -2 788 | -2 784 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | -12 185 | -10 333 |
| Other gain/ (losses net) | 2 523 | 9 360 |
| Operating profit | 10 994 | 18 406 |
| Interest income | 412 | 183 |
| Interest expense | -8 283 | -7 125 |
| Interest swap | -3 396 | -1 712 |
| Other financial items Taxation |
1 2990 | 3950 |
| Profit for the period | 1 026 | 10 147 |
| Profit attributable to: | ||
| Owners of the parent | 1 307 | 10 262 |
| Non-controlling interest | -281 | -115 |
| Profit for the period | 1 026 | 10 147 |
• Recieved \$5.3 million for default on charter contract
• Net voyage results are down mainly due to lower market in Q2 vs Q1
| (in thousands of \$) | 2014 | 2013 |
|---|---|---|
| ASSETS | Jun 30 | Dec 31 |
| Vessels and equipment, net | 833 370 | 667 788 |
| Vessels held under finance leases, net | 126 145 | 130 795 |
| Vessels under construction | 26 694 | 16 144 |
| Investment in Joint Venture | 9 937 | 17 419 |
| Other assets | 8 883 | 8 588 |
| Total non-current assets | 1 005 029 | 840 734 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 133 335 | 98 841 |
| Trade receivables and other current assets | 40 673 | 39 005 |
| Refundable installements for cancelled newbuildings | 149 477 | 192 976 |
| Avaiable-for-sale financial assets | 15 478 | 16 916 |
| Total current assets | 338 964 | 347 737 |
| Non-current assets held for sale | ||
| Total assets | 1 343 993 | 1 188 471 |
| EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | ||
| Equity attributable to equity holders of the parent | ||
| Share capital | 44 731 | 44 726 |
| Additional paid in capital | 99 187 | 99 156 |
| Other reserves | 50 227 | 23 551 |
| Retained earnings | 442 757 | 457 823 |
| Non-controlling interest | 212 | 1 108 |
| Total Equity | 637 115 | 626 364 |
| Long term debt | 492 094 | 319 605 |
| Obligations under finance leases | 107 174 | 110 416 |
| Other long term liabilities | 1 753 - |
1 903 - |
| Deferred income Total non-current liabilities |
601 021 | 431 924 |
| Current Liabilities | ||
| Long-term debt - current portion | 66 144 | 84 414 |
| Obligations under finance leases – current portion | 7 195 | 7 370 |
| Other current liabilities | 32 519 | 38 399 |
| Total current liabilities | 105 857 | 130 183 |
| Total liabilities and shareholders' equity | 1 343 993 | 1 188 471 |
• Vessels and equipment increased by taking delivery of 4 vessels in Q2
• Refundable installments reduced by cash received in Q2, adjusted for increase in value of receivable
• Reduced short term debt due to repyament of debt related to two Jinhaiwan contracts
Equity ratio ~ 47 %
Birgitte Ringstad Vartdal, CFO Golden Ocean Management AS
| Yard | Vessels | Contracted out | Open | Delivery | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMU (Japan) | 2 | 0 | 2 | Q1-15 | ||
| Chengxi (China) | 6 | 0 | 6 | Q1-Q2/2015 Q1-Q2/2016 |
Capesize exposure - Sailing vessels Core Fleet *
| 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total vessel days | 996 | 2 635 | 2 642 |
| Open vessel days | 765 | 2 629 | 2 638 |
| Open position (%) | 77 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Average net rate on fixed days | 16 784 | na | na |
| No of vessels | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| Panamax exposure - Sailing vessels Core Fleet | |||
| 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | |
| Total vessel days | 3 087 | 7 676 | 7 343 |
| Open vessel days | 1 863 | 5 544 | 5 300 |
| Open position (%) | 60 % | 72 % | 72 % |
| Average net rate on fixed days | 13 496 | 19 459 | 21 060 |
| No of vessels | 24 | 23 | 23 |
* Golden Opus included with 50%
| MUSD | Installment | Interest accrued as per awards |
Debt | Net cash | Booked PnL in Q2 |
Book Value end Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Received Q2 | 45,8 | 10,4 | 20,4 | 35,8 | 3,5 | |
| Received Q3 | 38,65 | 8,7 | 11,55 | 35,8 | 3,5 | 47,3 |
| Remaining | 90,8 | 11,5 | 11,25 | 91,05 | 3,5 | 102,3 |
| Total | 175,25 | 30,6 | 43,2 | 162,65 | 10,5 | 149,5 |
Herman Billung, CEO Golden Ocean Management AS
The Chinese economy has continued moving the same direction as earlier in the year, but grew slightly faster in Q2 (7.5%) compared to Q1 (7.4%).
In the property market, there has been a positive turnaround in housing starts over the last few months, with starts in July actually up by 3.4% yoy.
Prices however, have not moved in a positive direction, with accelerating monthon-month declines in most cities. This suggest the sentiment has not improved markedly over the last few months, despite efforts by both central and local authorities to improve the market.
Relatively strong growth in steel production, coupled with a record increase in iron ore supply in (primarily) Australia…. -
… has given an impressive increase in iron ore imports to China in 2014; thus far imports are up 18% as of July, with an annualized level of 925 million tons, above our estimate at the start of the year of 890 million tons.
Low domestic iron ore prices is reducing domestic production, and imports now account for 70% of the steel balance, up from 65% in 2013.
The big disappointment in 2014, and the primary reason for the weak market, is coal. Chinese coal imports in July 2014 were down 19.6% yoy, and for the first seven months of the year overall imports are down 2.2%. Compared to consensus expectations of growth of around 13% this year, Chinese coal imports are now some 30 million tons below expectations, which on an annualized basis translates into the carrying capacity of around 50 capesize vessels or 100 panamaxes.
Coal prices have continued falling in China, and are now down 17% from a year ago, and down 42% compared to 2011. According to the China Coal Association, more than 70% of China's coal companies are currently making losses.
Coal imports only contributed 8% to overall coal supply in China last year, illustrating the sensitivity in the market. If the destocking process is over, coupled with domestic coal production cuts and continued strong demand, coal imports should resurrect in H2/2014.
The energy mix in China has not changed markedly over the last 24 years, 67% of the rise in energy demand has been covered by coal since the year 2000..
Source: RS Platou Economic Research
| CAGR | Handysize | Handymax | Panamax | Capesize | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008-2010 | 3.2% | 13% | 7.7% | 16.8% | 11.2% |
| 2011-2013 | 1.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% |
| $2014(f)-2016(f)$ | 3.3% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% |
Source: Clarksons
| 10yr | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base caseUSD/d | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014e | 2015e | 2016e | 10-yr | ex super cycle | |
| Cape | " | 69,000 | 50,000 | 45,000 | 117,000 | 105,000 | 42,000 | 33,000 | 16,000 | 8,000 | 15,000 | 18,400 | 25,800 | 25,800 | 50,000 | 34,800 |
| Pmax | " | 36,000 | 25,000 | 24,000 | 57,000 | 49,000 | 19,000 | 25,000 | 14,000 | 8,000 | 9,600 | 9,500 | 15,000 | 15,900 | 26,700 | 20,100 |
| Smax | " | 31,000 | 24,000 | 23,000 | 48,000 | 41,000 | 17,000 | 22,000 | 14,000 | 9,000 | 10,400 | 10,800 | 14,400 | 14,900 | 23,900 | 18,800 |
| Hsize | " | 19,000 | 17,000 | 14,000 | 30,000 | 29,000 | 11,000 | 16,000 | 11,000 | 8,000 | 8,200 | 8,400 | 10,200 | 11,000 | 16,300 | 13,000 |
Source: Pareto Research
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