Investor Presentation • Nov 27, 2018
Investor Presentation
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Gjensidige Forsikring
Tuesday 27 November 2018
13:00 Presentations
Helge Leiro Baastad, CEO
Sigurd Austin, EVP Private
Catharina Hellerud, EVP Analytics, Product and Price
14:25 Break
Jostein Amdal, CFO
Janne Flessum, EVP Communications and Shared Services
Concluding remarks
16:00 Mingling with management
This presentation and the information contained herein have been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of Gjensidige Forsikring ASA (the "Company"). Such information is being provided to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, retransmitted, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. The information and opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are therefore subject to change without notice. The Company assumes no obligations to update or correct any of the information set out herein.
These materials may contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact including, without limitation, those regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. The Company assumes no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.
This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and is not prepared or made in connection with, an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities and nothing contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The information in this presentation is subject to verification, completion and change. The contents of this presentation have not been independently verified. While the Company relies on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, it does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its owners, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of the Company, its affiliates or any of their respective advisors or representatives or any other person shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation. The Company's securities have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "US Securities Act"), and are offered and sold only outside the United States in accordance with an exemption from registration provided by Regulation S of the US Securities Act.
This presentation should not form the basis of any investment decision. Investors and prospective investors in securities of any issuer mentioned herein are required to make their own independent investigation and appraisal of the business and financial condition of such company and the nature of the securities. Any decision to purchase securities in the context of a proposed offering of securities, if any, should be made solely on the basis of information contained in any offering documents published in relation to such an offering. For further information about the Company, reference is made public disclosures made by the Company, such as filings made with the Oslo Stock Exchange, periodic reports and other materials available on the Company's web pages.
Helge Leiro Baastad CEO
Excel today – Empower for tomorrow Helge Leiro Baastad, CEO
Delivering the best customer experiences today and tomorrow Sigurd Austin, EVP Private
Roadmap to continued strong value creation Jostein Amdal, CFO
Creating sustainable competitive advantage through business intelligence and analytics Catharina Hellerud, EVP Analytics, Product & Price
Retain strong and unique position in Norway
Operational strategic priorities
Strengthen profitability and growth outside Norway
| Koncernen har været no teret på Oslo 2010. I sna Børs siden rt 200 år har vi ans at ildsjæl e, som arbe - jder for at sikre kunde rnes liv, helbred og værdie r. Gjensidige Forsikring Vi er circa 3.100 med arbejde re, he Danma raf 495 i rk, og vi tilbyder skade forsikring i Norge, Danma rk, Sverige og Balti kum. |
Digital customer experiences |
We will provide the best digital customer experiences in the Nordic and Baltic general insurance market |
|---|---|---|
| 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 |
Business intelligence and analytics |
We will increase our analytical use of data to ensure attractive value propositions and profitable operations |
| Dynamic organisational capabilities |
We will continue to invest in our people and organisation |
Capital Markets Day 2018 7 *Source: Published figures 31.12.2017 European players: Direct Line, Generali (France), Aviva UK GI, RSA UK, Ageas. Nordic players: If, Tryg, Sparebank1,TopDanmark, DNB, Frende, RSA Scandinavia
| Cost ratio European GI 40 |
Meet compliance complexity | § |
|---|---|---|
| Nordic GI 30 20 |
Enable strategic/tech investments | |
| 10 Company |
Attract and develop skills | |
| • Superior cost positions • Strong local brands • High customer loyalty |
Increase diversification | |
| • Rational, well-capitalised players • Strong partner structures • Rising risk premiums |
Be preferred alliance partner |
| Leading position | Strong returns | Efficient operation | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other Motor A&H Property |
||||||
Capital Markets Day 2018 8
* Target corridor assumes ~4pp run-off gains and normalised large losses
** Solvency margins when adjusting capital position to reflect best estimate reserves.
Figures as at 30.09.2018. The legal perspective is the regulatory approved version of the partial internal model.
The Solvency II regulation is principle based. The figures are adjusted for a formulaic dividend pay-out ratio of 70 per cent of net profit.
R12M18 CR affected by extreme weather…
Social responsibility through prevention in the areas of safety and health
Demonstrating a strong ability and willingness to adapt to and drive change
Capital Markets Day 2018 13
Capital Markets Day 2018 14
Becoming the most customer-oriented general insurer in the Nordic and Baltic region
CSI: >78 Retention: >90% in Norway and >85% outside Norway
Reduce claims-related CO2 intensity relative to premiums year by year*
* Assuming CR within target range; reflecting normal claims years
| Ambitions | Target 2019-2022 |
|---|---|
| Combined ratio | 86-89%1) |
| Cost ratio | <15% |
| Solvency margin (PIM) | 2) 135-200% |
| ROE after tax | >20%1)-3) |
| UW result outside Norway | NOK 750m4) (in 2022) |
| Dividends | Nominal high and stable 2) (and >80 % over time) |
1) Assuming annual run-off gains ~NOK 1 billion through 2022. Corresponds to 90-93 per cent given zero run-off gains post 2022.
2) Assuming sale of Gjensidige Bank
3) Corresponds to >16 per cent given zero run-off gains post 2022
4) Excluding run-off
Sigurd Austin EVP Private
| Ambitions | Measures | KPI Targets 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maintain high customer satisfaction (CSI*) | Be customer centric | >78 |
| 2 | Maintain high retention | Build loyalty and broad engagements | > 90% Norway > 85% outside Norway |
| 3 | Improve sales effectiveness | Enhance sales activity output | +10% |
| 4 | Increase share of digital claims reporting | Increase speed and enhance precision | 80% Norway |
The Gjensidige experience – Customer centricity is our #1 differentiator An industry leading brand preference
25
Gjensidige
No preference
Competitors
19
13
9
Capital Markets Day 2018 19
| Price and terms | • Value for money • Terms and conditions |
|---|---|
| Claims | • Effective and efficient |
| Interactions | • Available and pleasant • Effective and efficient |
| Trust and adaptability |
• Reputation • Customer oriented solutions |
| Digital solutions | • Available • Low customer effort |
| Customer dividend |
• Customer "profit share" |
*Source: CSI, Ipsos ** Source: Reputation surveys, Ipsos
High customer retention and broad product engagement **
* Relative change in retention and premium growth one year after customer satisfaction score
** Source: Operational customer satisfaction survey 2017-2018, Netlife/Gjensidige
*** Affinity/ loyalty customers, representing 85% of premium volume
– Retention rates are higher for most profitable customer segments
Connecting data
– Applying analytics through the customer journey
Predictive modelling has increased hit rates by 40% and sales per hour by 28%
– Consumer maturity drives digital conversion
Customers prefer online sales and services*
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
First step towards straight through processing - Speed, predictability and precision Two main effects from digital reporting
CSI score claims and online reporting share, Norway
Share of claims reported online for retail customers outside Norway
| Ambitions | Target 2022 |
|---|---|
| Customer satisfaction (CSI) |
> 78 |
| Retention | > 90% Norway > 85% outside Norway |
| Sales effectiveness | +10 % |
| Digital claims reporting | 80% Norway |
Creating sustainable competitive advantage through business intelligence and analytics
Catharina Hellerud EVP Analytics, Product and Price
| Ambitions | Measures | KPI targets 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Automate tariffs | Optimal and dynamic risk selection and risk pricing | 100 % |
| 2 | Increase sales effectiveness | Apply more data, broader application | +10% |
| 3 | Increase straight through processing | Automate frequency claims handling | 64% Norway |
| 4 | Reduce claims cost | Apply analytics | NOK 500m |
Example: Private motor in Norway
– profitability deterioration 2016-2018*
Minimize efficiency loss by:
* Illustration purpose – not based on exact figures.
**Optimal pricing: Illustration of pricing model assuming perfect symmetry with claims, risk and market behaviour
Automation
Capital Markets Day 2018 33
Addressing the right customer – with the right product – at the right time – in the right channel
Combining digital and offline data and contents to personalise customer journeys
Close to 100% of motor windshield and rescue already fully automated in a different process.
| Procurement | • • |
Monitor cost and vendor agreements Incentivise vendors to keep cost down |
|---|---|---|
| Steering/ method |
• | Utilise analytical insight and robotics; i.e. image recognition and smart repair |
| Fraud detection | • • |
Improve analytical models Include new data sources |
| Process optimisation |
• | Automate claims handling |
Example motor: Smart-repair potential for 10% of frequency claims with corresponding potential for 40-70% claims cost reduction
| • Automate pricing processes |
|---|
| --------------------------------------- |
| Ambitions | Target 2022 |
|---|---|
| Automated tariffs | 100% |
| Sales effectiveness | +10% |
| Claims straight through processing | 64% Norway |
| Claims cost | Reduce by NOK 500m |
Jostein Amdal CFO
| Ambitions | Target 2022 |
|---|---|
| Customer satisfaction (CSI) |
> 78 |
| Customer retention | > 90% Norway > 85% outside Norway |
| Sales effectiveness | +10% |
| Automated tariffs | 100% |
| Digital claims reporting | 80% Norway |
| Claims straight-through-processing | 64% Norway |
| Claims cost | Reduce by NOK 500m |
| Claims-related CO2 intensity | Reduce year-by-year |
| Ambitions | Target 2019-2022 |
|---|---|
| Combined ratio | 86-89%1) |
| Cost ratio | <15% |
| Solvency margin (PIM) | 2) 135-200% |
| ROE after tax | >20%1)-3) |
| UW result outside Norway | NOK 750m 4) (in 2022) |
| Dividends | Nominal high and stable 2) (and >80 % over time) |
Capital Markets Day 2018 42 1) Assuming annual run-off gains ~NOK 1 billion through 2022. Corresponds to 90-93 per cent given zero run-off gains post 2022.
2) Assuming sale of Gjensidige Bank
3) Corresponds to >16 per cent given zero run-off gains post 2022
4) Excluding run-off
Strengthen profitability and growth outside Norway
Implement new core IT system
Retain solid capital situation
19
32
8
* General insurance operation, excluding Corporate Center, R12M Q3 2018
** Full year 2017
*** General insurance Norway
.
High profitability
| Split - Rating |
Match portfolio | Free portfolio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK bn | % | NOK bn | % | |
| AAA | 10.9 | 31.7 | 1.1 | 14.1 |
| AA | 3.1 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 12.1 |
| A | 4.7 | 13.6 | 2.1 | 26.6 |
| BBB | 1.8 | 5.1 | 1.2 | 14.8 |
| BB | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 3.9 |
| B | 2.4 | 7.0 | 0.3 | 3.2 |
| CCC or lower | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 |
| Internal rating | 7.9 | 22.8 | 1.5 | 18.8 |
| Unrated | 3.3 | 9.7 | 0.5 | 5.8 |
| Fixed income portfolio | 34.4 | 100.0 | 8.1 | 100.0 |
Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) Capital > SCR
Gjensidige targets high and stable nominal dividends to its shareholders, and a pay-out ratio over time of at least 70 per cent of profit after tax (80 per cent payout ratio from 2019, assuming closing of the sale of Gjensidige Bank). When determining the size of the dividend, the expected future capital need will be taken into account.
Over time, Gjensidige will also pay out excess capital.
Becoming the most customer-oriented general insurer in the Nordic and Baltic region
CSI: >78 Retention: >90% in Norway and >85% outside Norway
Reduce claims-related CO2 intensity relative to premiums year by year*
* Assuming CR within target range; reflecting normal claims years
1) Assuming annual run-off gains ~NOK 1 billion through 2022. Corresponds to 90-93 per cent given zero run-off gains post 2022.
2) Assuming sale of Gjensidige Bank
3) Corresponds to >16 per cent given zero run-off gains post 2022
4) Excluding run-off
| Ambitions | Target 2019-2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Combined ratio | 86-89%1) | |
| Cost ratio | <15% | |
| Solvency margin (PIM) | 2) 135-200% |
|
| ROE after tax | >20%1)-3) | |
| UW result outside Norway | NOK 750m4) (in 2022) |
|
| Dividends | Nominal high and stable 2) (and >80 % over time) |
Retain strong and unique position in Norway
Strengthen profitability and growth outside Norway
Maintain capital discipline and attractive dividends
Digital customer experiences
Business intelligence and analytics
Dynamic organisational capabilities
Mitra Hagen Negård Head of Investor Relations [email protected] Mobile: +47 95 79 36 31
Live Christine Bjønness Investor relations officer [email protected] Mobile: +47 48 21 16 61
Address: Schweigaards gate 21, PO Box 700 Sentrum, 0106 Oslo, Norway www.gjensidige.no/ir
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