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Gjensidige Forsikring ASA

Investor Presentation Nov 27, 2018

3606_rns_2018-11-27_368cdb40-ad94-4d4c-8c2a-ac0f54471af9.pdf

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Gjensidige Forsikring

Capital Markets Day

Tuesday 27 November 2018

Programme

13:00 Presentations

Helge Leiro Baastad, CEO

Sigurd Austin, EVP Private

Catharina Hellerud, EVP Analytics, Product and Price

14:25 Break

Jostein Amdal, CFO

Janne Flessum, EVP Communications and Shared Services

Concluding remarks

16:00 Mingling with management

Disclaimer

This presentation and the information contained herein have been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of Gjensidige Forsikring ASA (the "Company"). Such information is being provided to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, retransmitted, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. The information and opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are therefore subject to change without notice. The Company assumes no obligations to update or correct any of the information set out herein.

These materials may contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact including, without limitation, those regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. The Company assumes no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.

This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and is not prepared or made in connection with, an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities and nothing contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The information in this presentation is subject to verification, completion and change. The contents of this presentation have not been independently verified. While the Company relies on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, it does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its owners, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of the Company, its affiliates or any of their respective advisors or representatives or any other person shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation. The Company's securities have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "US Securities Act"), and are offered and sold only outside the United States in accordance with an exemption from registration provided by Regulation S of the US Securities Act.

This presentation should not form the basis of any investment decision. Investors and prospective investors in securities of any issuer mentioned herein are required to make their own independent investigation and appraisal of the business and financial condition of such company and the nature of the securities. Any decision to purchase securities in the context of a proposed offering of securities, if any, should be made solely on the basis of information contained in any offering documents published in relation to such an offering. For further information about the Company, reference is made public disclosures made by the Company, such as filings made with the Oslo Stock Exchange, periodic reports and other materials available on the Company's web pages.

Excel today – Empower for tomorrow

Helge Leiro Baastad CEO

Today's CMD agenda

Excel today – Empower for tomorrow Helge Leiro Baastad, CEO

Delivering the best customer experiences today and tomorrow Sigurd Austin, EVP Private

Roadmap to continued strong value creation Jostein Amdal, CFO

Creating sustainable competitive advantage through business intelligence and analytics Catharina Hellerud, EVP Analytics, Product & Price

Excellence in our core operations is our first priority

Retain strong and unique position in Norway

Operational strategic priorities

Strengthen profitability and growth outside Norway

Maintain capital discipline and attractive dividends

Koncernen har
været
no teret på Oslo
2010. I sna
Børs siden
rt 200 år har vi
ans at ildsjæl e, som arbe -
jder for at sikre kunde rnes
liv, helbred og værdie r.
Gjensidige Forsikring
Vi er circa 3.100 med
arbejde re, he
Danma
raf 495 i
rk, og vi tilbyder
skade forsikring i Norge,
Danma
rk, Sverige og
Balti
kum.
Digital customer
experiences
We will provide the best digital customer experiences in the Nordic and
Baltic general insurance market
5
4
3
2
1
1 2 3 4 5
Business
intelligence
and analytics
We will increase our analytical use of data to ensure attractive value
propositions and profitable operations
Dynamic
organisational
capabilities
We will continue to invest in our people and organisation

We operate in an attractive market place - further consolidation expected

Stable market and high barriers to entry… …size and scale are increasingly important

  • Superior cost positions
  • Strong local brands
  • High customer loyalty
  • Rational, well-capitalised players
  • Strong partner structures
  • Rising risk premiums

Capital Markets Day 2018 7 *Source: Published figures 31.12.2017 European players: Direct Line, Generali (France), Aviva UK GI, RSA UK, Ageas. Nordic players: If, Tryg, Sparebank1,TopDanmark, DNB, Frende, RSA Scandinavia

Cost ratio
European GI
40
Meet compliance complexity §
Nordic GI
30
20
Enable strategic/tech investments
10
Company
Attract and develop skills

Superior cost
positions

Strong
local
brands

High customer
loyalty
Increase diversification

Rational, well-capitalised
players

Strong
partner structures

Rising risk premiums
Be preferred alliance partner

Gjensidige is a highly profitable and leading general insurer in the Nordic and Baltic market…

Leading position Strong returns Efficient operation
Other
Motor
A&H
Property

Capital Markets Day 2018 8

…delivering ahead of targets…

KPI targets 2018 Annual financial targets 2014-2018

…and continuing to return high, stable and predictable dividends on a regular basis

Attractive and predictable cash dividends

…strong capital position supports the dividend

* Target corridor assumes ~4pp run-off gains and normalised large losses

** Solvency margins when adjusting capital position to reflect best estimate reserves.

Figures as at 30.09.2018. The legal perspective is the regulatory approved version of the partial internal model.

The Solvency II regulation is principle based. The figures are adjusted for a formulaic dividend pay-out ratio of 70 per cent of net profit.

R12M18 CR affected by extreme weather…

Our mission is to safeguard life, health and assets - sustainability is in our DNA…

…reflected also in the important role of the Gjensidige Foundation in the Norwegian society

Social responsibility through prevention in the areas of safety and health

Our vision is "knowing the customer best and caring the most"…

Demonstrating a strong ability and willingness to adapt to and drive change

Capital Markets Day 2018 13

… and our strategy is Excel Today – Empower for Tomorrow

We have what it takes! Strong brand, loyal customers, attractive partners, analytical skills, advanced processes and solid financial capacity And it's still all about people…!

Capital Markets Day 2018 14

Our targets towards 2022 are both ambitious and achievable

Becoming the most customer-oriented general insurer in the Nordic and Baltic region

CSI: >78 Retention: >90% in Norway and >85% outside Norway

CSR target 2022

Reduce claims-related CO2 intensity relative to premiums year by year*

* Assuming CR within target range; reflecting normal claims years

Customer targets 2022 Annual financial targets 2019 - 2022

Ambitions Target 2019-2022
Combined ratio 86-89%1)
Cost ratio <15%
Solvency margin (PIM) 2)
135-200%
ROE after tax >20%1)-3)
UW result outside Norway NOK 750m4)
(in 2022)
Dividends Nominal high and stable
2)
(and >80 % over time)

1) Assuming annual run-off gains ~NOK 1 billion through 2022. Corresponds to 90-93 per cent given zero run-off gains post 2022.

2) Assuming sale of Gjensidige Bank

3) Corresponds to >16 per cent given zero run-off gains post 2022

4) Excluding run-off

Delivering the best customer experiences today and tomorrow

Sigurd Austin EVP Private

We have four key ambitions towards 2022

Ambitions Measures KPI Targets 2022
1 Maintain high customer satisfaction (CSI*) Be customer centric >78
2 Maintain high retention Build loyalty and broad engagements >
90% Norway
>
85% outside Norway
3 Improve sales effectiveness Enhance sales activity output +10%
4 Increase share of digital claims reporting Increase speed and enhance precision 80% Norway

Delivering the best customer experiences - Operating and developing through customer centricity

The Gjensidige experience – Customer centricity is our #1 differentiator An industry leading brand preference

25

Gjensidige

No preference

Competitors

19

13

9

We will improve customer experiences even more through analytics and digitalisation

Capital Markets Day 2018 19

Target 2022: Maintain high customer satisfaction – Group CSI >78

Price, quality and trust remain the key drivers for customer satisfaction We have record high customer satisfaction

We have the best reputation in Norway

Price and terms
Value for money

Terms and conditions
Claims
Effective and efficient
Interactions
Available and pleasant

Effective and efficient
Trust and
adaptability

Reputation

Customer
oriented solutions
Digital solutions
Available

Low customer effort
Customer
dividend

Customer "profit share"

*Source: CSI, Ipsos ** Source: Reputation surveys, Ipsos

High retention levels drive cost efficiency

Satisfied customers buy more and stay longer * Keeping the best customers

Example Private segment:

High customer retention and broad product engagement **

Average number of products

* Relative change in retention and premium growth one year after customer satisfaction score

** Source: Operational customer satisfaction survey 2017-2018, Netlife/Gjensidige

*** Affinity/ loyalty customers, representing 85% of premium volume

– Retention rates are higher for most profitable customer segments

Retention by customer score

Target 2022: Maintain high and stable retention – Norway > 90 per cent, outside Norway > 85 per cent

Potential for improved retention Key drivers for retention Retention rates, %

  • Increase customer satisfaction
  • Price, quality and trust
  • Broaden product engagement
  • Relevant product and service offerings
  • CRM excellence
  • Improve pricing and scoring models
  • Optimal risk selection and risk pricing

We will make every customer interaction more relevant and convenient

Connecting data

– Applying analytics through the customer journey

Personalizing interactions

  • Internal /external data
  • Rule engines
  • Application for all customer contacts

CRM analytics drives sales effectiveness

Predictive modelling has increased hit rates by 40% and sales per hour by 28%

Adapting distribution model to customer needs

– Consumer maturity drives digital conversion

Customers prefer online sales and services*

Online sales ambition towards 2022: ~ 20 % annual growth 100 258 Online sales Index

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Target 2022: 10 per cent increase in sales effectiveness

Further improve low cost distribution model Drivers for increased sales effectiveness

Digital claims reporting improves customer experience and operational efficiency

First step towards straight through processing - Speed, predictability and precision Two main effects from digital reporting

  • Improved customer experience
  • Follow claims status process online
  • Faster claims settlement
  • Frees up capacity for better handling of more complicated claims
  • Efficiency gains
  • Reduced average claims handling cost per claim
  • 20% reduction since 2016 (FTE cost)

Target 2022: 80 per cent digital reporting of frequency claims

CSI score claims and online reporting share, Norway

Strong ambitions for digitalisation Drivers for increasing digital reporting

Share of claims reported online for retail customers outside Norway

  • Sweden: 51%
  • Denmark: 47%
  • Baltics (Lithuania): 67%

We have four key ambitions towards 2022

KPI targets 2022

  • Deliver the best customer experiences through customer centricity
  • Maintain customer loyalty and broad engagements
  • Enhance sales activity output
  • Further digitalise and improve speed and precision
Ambitions Target 2022
Customer
satisfaction (CSI)
>
78
Retention >
90% Norway
>
85% outside Norway
Sales effectiveness +10 %
Digital claims reporting 80% Norway

Creating sustainable competitive advantage through business intelligence and analytics

Catharina Hellerud EVP Analytics, Product and Price

We have four key ambitions towards 2022

Ambitions Measures KPI targets 2022
1 Automate tariffs Optimal and dynamic risk selection and risk pricing 100 %
2 Increase sales effectiveness Apply more data, broader application +10%
3 Increase straight through processing Automate frequency claims handling 64% Norway
4 Reduce claims cost Apply analytics NOK 500m

We use data analytics to establish increasingly advanced pricing models …

Development of pricing strategy Strategic initiatives for next generation tariffs

… and continuously aim to achieve optimal pricing

Example: Private motor in Norway

– profitability deterioration 2016-2018*

Illustration of efficiency losses

Minimize efficiency loss by:

* Illustration purpose – not based on exact figures.

**Optimal pricing: Illustration of pricing model assuming perfect symmetry with claims, risk and market behaviour

We are now on a journey to automate pricing

Target 2022: 100 per cent data driven tariffs in our new pricing regime

Automation

Capital Markets Day 2018 33

We are improving sales effectiveness through state-of-the-art analytical CRM

Addressing the right customer – with the right product – at the right time – in the right channel

Target 2022: 10 per cent increase in sales effectiveness

Further improve low cost distribution model Drivers for increased sales effectiveness

  • Real time use of data and content
  • Model factory
  • Machine learning
  • Real-time event processing
  • Improved digital marketing and analytics platform

Combining digital and offline data and contents to personalise customer journeys

Straight through processing of claims will further increase efficiency

Second step towards STP - Speed, predictability and precision

Three main effects from STP

  • Improved customer experience
  • Faster claims settlement
  • Frees up capacity for better handling of more complicated claims
  • Efficiency gains
  • Further reduced average claims handling cost per claim
  • Lower claims pay-outs
  • Automated and prioritised repairs, e.g. Smart Repair

Illustration: Our rule engine provides a unique claims score

Target 2022: 64 per cent straight-through processing

Further potential for straight-through processing

Close to 100% of motor windshield and rescue already fully automated in a different process.

Drivers for increased straight-through processing and improved efficiency

  • Increase share of claims reported online
  • Continue improving claims rule engine
  • Advance data capture
  • Continue monitoring of claims payment and leakages

Target 2022: Reduce annual claims cost by NOK 500m

Cost reduction potential across several areas Drivers to reduce claims cost

Procurement
Monitor cost and vendor agreements
Incentivise vendors to keep cost down
Steering/
method
Utilise analytical insight and robotics;
i.e. image recognition and smart
repair
Fraud detection
Improve analytical models
Include new data sources
Process
optimisation
Automate claims handling

Example motor: Smart-repair potential for 10% of frequency claims with corresponding potential for 40-70% claims cost reduction

We have four key ambitions towards 2022

KPI targets 2022


Automate
pricing
processes
---------------------------------------
  • CRM excellence
  • Automate claims processes
  • Achieve further claims savings
Ambitions Target 2022
Automated tariffs 100%
Sales effectiveness +10%
Claims straight through processing 64% Norway
Claims cost Reduce by NOK 500m

Continued strong value creation

Jostein Amdal CFO

We have ambitious targets

Ambitions Target 2022
Customer
satisfaction (CSI)
>
78
Customer retention >
90% Norway
>
85% outside Norway
Sales effectiveness +10%
Automated tariffs 100%
Digital claims reporting 80% Norway
Claims straight-through-processing 64% Norway
Claims cost Reduce
by NOK 500m
Claims-related CO2 intensity Reduce year-by-year

KPI targets 2022 Annual financial targets 2019-2022

Ambitions Target 2019-2022
Combined ratio 86-89%1)
Cost ratio <15%
Solvency margin (PIM) 2)
135-200%
ROE after tax >20%1)-3)
UW result outside Norway NOK 750m
4)
(in 2022)
Dividends Nominal high and stable
2)
(and >80 % over time)

Capital Markets Day 2018 42 1) Assuming annual run-off gains ~NOK 1 billion through 2022. Corresponds to 90-93 per cent given zero run-off gains post 2022.

2) Assuming sale of Gjensidige Bank

3) Corresponds to >16 per cent given zero run-off gains post 2022

4) Excluding run-off

Excellence in our core operations is our first priority

Retain strong and unique position in Norway

  • Adjust prices and terms
  • Improve tariffs
  • Increase digitalisation and automation

Strengthen profitability and growth outside Norway

Maintain capital discipline and attractive dividends

  • Reduce total costs
  • Improve tariffs
  • Increase digitalisation and automation
  • Strengthen own distribution
  • Implement new core IT system

  • Retain solid capital situation

  • Pursue disciplined and rational M&A
  • Deliver high and stable nominal dividends
  • Support ROE target

We will continue to be among the most cost efficient insurance companies…

19

32

8

Low cost base Efficiency measures in place

* General insurance operation, excluding Corporate Center, R12M Q3 2018

** Full year 2017

*** General insurance Norway

… and build a profitable operation outside Norway

Growing outside Norway to improve stability and long-term dividend potential Where are we heading outside Norway?

Increasing profitability outside Norway

  • Target 2022: total underwriting result outside Norway at NOK 750m (excl run-off)
  • Improving CR, but above level in Norway
  • Building on best practice from our Norwegian business
  • Growth through value enhancing M&As
  • Private and SME segments
  • Returns above cost of capital
  • Generate dividend capacity

Private – Leveraging our unique position

Very strong profitability

.

Leading position and high customer retention Private will remain the most profitable segment

  • Turning point for motor during 1H 2019
  • Improving tariffs
  • Adjusting prices and terms
  • Developing advanced digital solutions
  • Automating internal processes
  • Increasing sales efficiency
  • Organic growth ambitions

Commercial – Maintaining our strong position

High profitability

Leading position and high customer retention Underlying improvements in profitability

  • Turning point for motor during 1H 2019
  • Strong focus on SME
  • Implementing best practice digitalisation in distribution and claims handling from Private segment
  • Improving tariffs
  • Adjusting prices and terms
  • Organic growth ambitions

Denmark – Strengthening our competitive position

Profitability improving

Well established player with further potential Improved profitability through streamlining processes and products

  • Reducing costs focus on simplification and digitalisation
  • Increase sales efficiency and retention
  • Implementing new IT core system
  • Re-underwriting activities
  • Improving tariffs and CRM
  • Reconsidering partnerships
  • Seeking attractive M&A opportunities

Sweden - Laying the ground for future profitability

Profitability turned the corner in 2018

Need to build scale and strengthen position Attractive potential, focus on efficiency

  • Reducing cost through digitalisation and automation
  • Implementing new IT core system
  • Repricing and improving risk selection / tariffs
  • Strengthening internal sales force, increase sales efficiency and retention
  • Seeking attractive M&A opportunities

Baltics - Robust profitability, positioned for growth

Profitability turned the corner in 2018

Well established player with further potential Profitability reached, ready to focus on growth

  • Strengthening internal sales force, improve CRM and increase sales efficiency
  • Enhancing our retention rate
  • Further cost reduction
  • Increasing digitalisation
  • Seeking attractive M&A opportunities

Pension – Completing the offer to Norwegian commercial customers

Strong profitability

Established challenger Positioned for continued growth and increased profits

  • Capitalising on a strong brand and large non-life commercial portfolio
  • Cross selling accident and health insurance with DC pension plans to SME customers
  • Continue to develop customer friendly digital solutions
  • Attractive market growth prospects
  • Capital light and scalable business model
  • Organic growth ambitions

Investments – Supporting the general insurance business

High share of fixed income investments High quality assets

Investment returns well above risk free rate Investment strategy

Split -
Rating
Match portfolio Free portfolio
NOK bn % NOK bn %
AAA 10.9 31.7 1.1 14.1
AA 3.1 9.0 1.0 12.1
A 4.7 13.6 2.1 26.6
BBB 1.8 5.1 1.2 14.8
BB 0.3 0.8 0.3 3.9
B 2.4 7.0 0.3 3.2
CCC or lower 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.7
Internal rating 7.9 22.8 1.5 18.8
Unrated 3.3 9.7 0.5 5.8
Fixed income portfolio 34.4 100.0 8.1 100.0
  • Conservative strategy
  • Strict limits on market, interest rate, ALM, currency and credit risks
  • SRI policy in place for 11 years

Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) Capital > SCR

Strong capital position… ..leads to potential for further M&A growth, or special dividends

  • Solid capitalisation to support dividend, regulatory uncertainty and growth
  • Solvency margin in the legal perspective will, all else equal, decrease by ~10pp by year-end as the FSA requires some model changes
  • In addition decrease due to actual dividend being subtracted from capital at year end and likely change in tax regulation
  • Further debt capacity as of Q318: Tier 1 NOK 1.5-2.1 bn

We have an attractive dividend policy

Strong track record of generating attractive shareholder returns Dividend policy

Gjensidige targets high and stable nominal dividends to its shareholders, and a pay-out ratio over time of at least 70 per cent of profit after tax (80 per cent payout ratio from 2019, assuming closing of the sale of Gjensidige Bank). When determining the size of the dividend, the expected future capital need will be taken into account.

Over time, Gjensidige will also pay out excess capital.

We will continue to deliver superior customer experiences and stable shareholder returns - in a sustainable way

Becoming the most customer-oriented general insurer in the Nordic and Baltic region

CSI: >78 Retention: >90% in Norway and >85% outside Norway

CSR target 2022

Reduce claims-related CO2 intensity relative to premiums year by year*

* Assuming CR within target range; reflecting normal claims years

1) Assuming annual run-off gains ~NOK 1 billion through 2022. Corresponds to 90-93 per cent given zero run-off gains post 2022.

2) Assuming sale of Gjensidige Bank

3) Corresponds to >16 per cent given zero run-off gains post 2022

4) Excluding run-off

Customer targets 2022 Annual financial targets 2019 - 2022

Ambitions Target 2019-2022
Combined ratio 86-89%1)
Cost ratio <15%
Solvency margin (PIM) 2)
135-200%
ROE after tax >20%1)-3)
UW result outside Norway NOK 750m4)
(in 2022)
Dividends Nominal high and stable
2)
(and >80 % over time)

Excellence in our core operations is our first priority

Retain strong and unique position in Norway

Strengthen profitability and growth outside Norway

Maintain capital discipline and attractive dividends

Digital customer experiences

Business intelligence and analytics

Dynamic organisational capabilities

Attractive value proposition

  • Proven track-record
  • Strong position in attractive market place
  • Scalable hard-to-copy business model and loyal customers
  • Efficient capital structure and good financial flexibility
  • Attractive dividend policy

Investor relations

Mitra Hagen Negård Head of Investor Relations [email protected] Mobile: +47 95 79 36 31

Live Christine Bjønness Investor relations officer [email protected] Mobile: +47 48 21 16 61

Address: Schweigaards gate 21, PO Box 700 Sentrum, 0106 Oslo, Norway www.gjensidige.no/ir

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