Investor Presentation • Oct 13, 2023
Investor Presentation
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October 2023
This presentation has been prepared by Generalfinance and contains certain information of a forward-looking nature, projections, targets, and estimates that reflect Generalfinance management's current views related to future events. Forward-looking information not represent historical facts. Such information includes financial projections and estimates as well as related assumptions, information referring to plans, objectives, and expectations regarding future operations, products, and services, and information regarding future financial results. By their very nature, forwardlooking information involves a certain amount of risk, uncertainty and assumptions so that actual results could differ significantly from those expressed or implied in forward-looking information. These forward-looking statements have been developed from scenarios based on a set of economic assumptions related to a given competitive and regulatory environment.
There are a variety of factors that may cause actual results and performance to be materially different from the explicit or implicit contents of any forward-looking statements and thus, such forward-looking statements are not a reliable indicator of futures performance. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise expect as may be required by applicable law. The information and opinions contained in this Presentation are provided as at the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. Neither this Presentation nor any part of it nor the fact of its distribution may form the basis of, or be relied on or in connection with, any contract or investment decision.
The information, statements and opinions contained in this Presentation are for information purposes only and do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for securities or financial instruments or any advise or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments. None of the securities referred to herein have been, or will be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the securities laws of any State or other jurisdiction of the United States or in Australia, Canada or Japan or any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be unlawful (the "Other Countries"), and there will be no public offer of any such securities in the United States. This Presentation does not constitute or form apart of any offer or solicitation to purchase or subscribe for securities in the United States or the Other Countries.
Pursuant the consolidated law on financial intermediation of 24 February 1998 (article 154-bis, paragraph 2) Ugo Colombo, in his capacity as manager responsible for the preparation of the Company's financial reports declares that the accounting information contained in this Presentation reflects the Generalfinance documented results, financial accounts and accounting records. Neither the Company nor any of its or their respective representatives, directors or employees accept any liability whatsoever in connection with this Presentation or any of its contents or in relation to any loss arising from its use or from any reliance placed upon it.
Source: Management
In the overall fast growing factoring market (turnover in Italy is expected to grow from € 287bn in 2022 up to €294-€303bn in 2023) Generalfinance focuses on distressed sellers (UTP, forborne and past due) with a portfolio of performing debtors (in bonis)
Notes: (1) range of values estimated in the last Assifact report «ForeFact» 23 n.1
Source: Assifact, Banca d'Italia, Banca IFIS Market Watch, report PWC, company balance sheets and website
More than 28% of SMEs are in vulnerability or risk condition An annual average (2017-2021) of 1,389 companies entered nonbankruptcy procedures
The trend of total UTP/Past Due/Forborne, which is the best indicator for estimating Generalfinance's market niche, is estimated with an expected growth-from 101 billion in 2023 to 105 billion in 2025 of the stock
Notes: 1) Excluding Repo and Current Accounts Source: Assifact, Prometeia, Banca d'Italia, Banca IFIS Market Watch, report PWC, company balance sheets and website
The peculiarity of Generalfinance's business model is the choice of Seller–Debtor, where clients (Sellers) typically have a low credit rating (turnaround situation) while the Debtors underlying customer loans refer to a high credit rating (normally investment grade)
Notes: 1) Generalfinance data refers to 1H 2023 (LTM); Assifact data refers to March 31,2023; 2) Assifact data net of household debtors.
Generalfinance offers its customers (mostly companies under financial stress) rapid and customized interventions for the financing of the working capital and trade receivables, covering the entire supply chain finance
"Revolving" relationship (LIR1 at 24 months) in a predominantly "notification" mode and, where applicable, "acceptance" of the debt
3
2
| Macro score | Indicator | Assessment details |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | BRI | ▪ Counterparty summary assessment considering the economic and financial aspects, the history of the company, the shareholders structure, etc. |
| CGS | ▪ Counterparty summary assessment considering the economic and financial aspects, the history of the company, the shareholders structure, etc. |
|
| Commercial score |
Rating Score |
Counterparty summary assessment considering the economic ▪ and financial aspects, the history of the company, the shareholders structure, etc. |
| Delinquency Score |
Probability of late payments over the next 12 months ▪ |
|
| Failure Score |
Company probability of default over the next 12 months ▪ |
|
| 2 Payments |
Paydex | ▪ Score on the counterparty's payment performance |
| score | Payline | ▪ Score on the counterparty's payment performance |
| 3 Credit |
Grade Allianz Trade |
▪ Degree of credit insurability |
| insurability score |
DRA | ▪ Degree of credit insurability ▪ Coface – in progress |
| 4 Credit insurance |
Insurance | Insurance partnership with Allianz Trade to insure up to 100% of the ▪ credit cross, starting from amounts above 30k |
Generalfinance boasts a portfolio quality, both in terms of Payment Conditions and Payment Delays, better than the rest of the market
Given that the majority of Generalfinance's turnover is realized towards distressed Sellers, the Company can benefit from a reduction in risk, because of 3 main factors
Main 1H 2023 Results
Assifact NPE Ratio (%) as at June, 30 2023 Cost of Risk has been computed as Credit Risk Adjustments / Annual Disbursed Loans; Gross NPE («Non-Performing Exposure») Ratio has been computed as Gross NPE / Gross Loans to Customers
Default rate: NPE infow of the year / loans disbursement flow of the year
| Income Statement (€m) |
2020A | 2021A | 2022A | CAGR '20-'22 |
1H22 | 1H23 | YoY% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin Interest |
4 1 |
6 2 |
7 3 |
2% 33 |
3 8 |
3 8 |
1% 2 |
| Net Commission |
13 1 |
17 7 |
23 6 |
34 1% |
10 8 |
12 5 |
15 0% |
| Banking Net Income |
2 17 |
23 9 |
30 9 |
33 9% |
14 6 |
16 3 |
7% 11 |
| Net value adjustments / write-backs for credit risk |
(0 7) |
(0 2) |
(1 2) |
30 0% |
(0 2) |
(0 3) |
31 4% |
| Operating Costs |
(8 4) |
(9 8) |
(13 2) |
25 4% |
(7 0) |
(6 4) |
(8 6%) |
| Net Profit |
5 3 |
9 5 |
10 9 |
42 9% |
4 9 |
6 7 |
35 4% |
| (€m) | 2020A | 2021A | 2022A | CAGR '20-'22 |
1H22 | 1H23 | YoY% |
| Turnover | 760 7 |
402 9 1 , |
2 009 4 , |
62 5% |
932 6 |
140 1 1 , |
22 2% |
| Allocated Amount |
562 0 |
1 118 5 , |
1 674 0 , |
6% 72 |
776 8 |
931 7 |
9% 19 |
| LTV | 73 9% |
79 7% |
83 3% |
6 2% |
83 3% |
81 7% |
9% -1 |
| Net / Income Loan |
2% 11 |
9 6% |
8 7% |
8 6% |
8 2% |
||
| Banking (%) Average Interest / Net Income |
8% 23 |
0% 26 |
5% 23 |
(11 5%) |
8% 25 |
6% 23 |
(4 0%) |
| Margin Banking (%) Cost Income Ratio |
48 7% |
40 9% |
42 7% |
(0 5%) |
47 7% |
39 1% |
(8 6%) |
| ROE | 9% 30 |
0% 42 |
7% 23 |
(6 4%) |
6% 21 |
1% 26 |
(18 2%) 6% 20 |
| (%) | (12 4%) |
||||||
| Balance Sheet (€m) |
2020A | 2021A | 2022A | CAGR '20-'22 |
1H22 | 1H23 | YoY% |
| Cash Cash Equivalents & |
24 2 |
33 5 |
43 7 |
34 3% |
32 3 |
48 0 |
48 7% |
| Financial Assets |
176 5 |
321 0 |
385 4 |
47 8% |
361 7 |
408 7 |
13 0% |
| Other Assets |
9 5 |
10 8 |
14 7 |
24 8% |
13 2 |
13 3 |
0 3% |
| Total Assets |
210 2 |
365 3 |
443 8 |
45 3% |
407 2 |
470 0 |
4% 15 |
| Financial Liabilities |
175 4 |
314 6 |
368 4 |
9% 44 |
332 5 |
387 7 |
6% 16 |
| Other Liabilities |
12 2 |
18 7 |
18 6 |
23 1% |
24 0 |
24 2 |
0 7% |
| Liabilities Total |
187 6 |
333 3 |
387 0 |
6% 43 |
356 5 |
411 9 |
5% 15 |
| Shareholder's Equity |
22 6 |
32 0 |
56 8 |
58 6% |
50 7 |
58 1 |
14 5% |
▪ Around 99% of the factoring contracts have been renegotiated, changing the calculated interest rate from fixed to variable (based on Euribor 3M)
Notes: (1) Calculated as interest expense / average financial liabilities (current and previous year); (2) Spread: average interest rate on seller – average cost of funding (3) Interest income + Delayed payment Interest / average loans (current and previous year); (4) Calculated as Net Interest income/ average loans (current and previous year)
▪ Net Commission Income ~76% of the Net Banking Income
Note: (1) other net revenues and risk charges; (2) Operating Costs / Net Banking Income.
Operating costs 1H22 Adjusted (net of costs related to IPO): 5.8 €mln
Cost income ratio 1H2022 Adjusted (net of costs related to IPO): 39.7%
| Income Statement (€m) | 1H22 | 1H23 | YoY% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Interest income and similar income | 6.4 | 12.1 | 90.4% |
| Interest expense and similar charges | (2.6) | (8.3) | 218.3% |
| INTEREST MARGIN | 3.8 | 3.8 | 2.1% |
| Fee and commission income | 12.8 | 14.6 | 13.2% |
| Fee and commission expense | (2.0) | (2.1) | 4.0% |
| NET FEE AND COMMISSION INCOME | 10.8 | 12.5 | 15.0% |
| Dividends and similar income | 0.0 | 0.0 | (100.0%) |
| Net profi (loss) from trading | (0.0) | 0.0 | (294.1%) |
| Net results of other financial a/l measured at fv | 0.0 | 0.0 | (100.0%) |
| NET INTEREST AND OTHER BANKING INCOME | 14.6 | 16.3 | 11.7% |
| Net value adjustments / write-backs for credit risk | (0.2) | (0.3) | 31.4% |
| a) Financial assets measured at amortised cost | (0.2) | (0.3) | 31.4% |
| NET PROFIT (LOSS) FROM FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT | 14.4 | 16.0 | 11.4% |
| Administrative expenses | (6.4) | (6.9) | 7.4% |
| a) Personnel expenses | (3.0) | (3.7) | 23.7% |
| b) Other administrative expenses | (3.4) | (3.2) | (7.2%) |
| Net provision for risks and charges | (0.0) | (0.0) | (13.1%) |
| b) Other net provisions | (0.0) | (0.0) | (13.1%) |
| Net value adjustments / write-backs on pppe | (0.4) | (0.4) | 9.5% |
| Net value adjustments / write-backs on int. Ass. | (0.1) | (0.2) | 28.1% |
| Other operating income and expenses | (0.1) | 1.1 | (2246.0%) |
| OPERATING COSTS | (7.0) | (6.4) | (8.6%) |
| PRE-TAX PROFIT (LOSS) FROM CURRENT OPERATIONS | 7.4 | 9.7 | 30.2% |
| Income tax for the year on current operations | (2.5) | (3.0) | 19.7% |
| PROFIT (LOSS) FOR THE YEAR | 4.9 | 6.7 | 35.4% |
| Balance Sheet (€m) | 2022A | 1H23 | Var% YTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | 43.7 | 48.0 | 9.7% |
| Financial assets measured at fair value through p/l | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.7% |
| Financial assets measured at amortised cost | 385.4 | 408.7 | 6.0% |
| Equity investments | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |
| Property, Plan and Equipment (PPE) | 4.9 | 5.2 | 6.2% |
| Intangible assets | 2.0 | 2.3 | 10.6% |
| Tax assets | 4.6 | 3.2 | (30.6%) |
| a) current | 4.1 | 2.7 | (35.3%) |
| b) deferred | 0.5 | 0.5 | 15.1% |
| Other assets | 3.2 | 2.6 | (16.2%) |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 443.8 | 470.0 | 5.9% |
| Financial liabilities measured at amortised cost | 368.4 | 387.7 | 5.2% |
| a) payables | 331.2 | 345.2 | 4.2% |
| b) outstanding securities | 37.2 | 42.5 | 14.3% |
| Tax liabilities | 4.9 | 3.1 | (37.0%) |
| Other liabilities | 11.6 | 18.6 | 59.9% |
| Severance pay | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.6% |
| Provision for risk and charges | 0.8 | 1.2 | 42.1% |
| Share capital | 4.2 | 4.2 | 0.0% |
| Share premium reserve | 25.4 | 25.4 | 0.0% |
| Reserves | 16.2 | 21.6 | 33.7% |
| Valuation reserves | 0.1 | 0.1 | 47.1% |
| Profit (loss) for the year | 10.9 | 6.7 | (38.5%) |
| TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS'S EQUITY | 443.8 | 470.0 | 5.9% |
| Line (€ bn) Top |
2021A | 2022A ADJ |
2024E | CAGR '21-'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover | 4 1 , |
2 0 , |
3 4 , |
34% |
| Allocated Amount |
1 1 , |
1 7 , |
2 8 , |
36% |
| (2) LTV |
80% | 83% | 83% | n.a. |
| (€ mn) P&L |
2021A | 2022A ADJ |
2024E | CAGR '21-'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest Margin |
6 2 , |
7 3 , |
13 7 , |
30% |
| Net Commision |
17 7 , |
23 6 , |
35 7 , |
26% |
| Banking Net Income |
23 9 , |
30 9 , |
49 3 , |
27% |
| Operating costs |
(9 8) , |
(11 6) , |
(14 7) , |
14% |
| Net Profit |
9 5 , |
12 1 , |
21 5 , |
31% |
| BS (€ mn) |
2021A | 2022A ADJ |
2024E | CAGR '21-'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash Cash Equivalents & |
33 5 , |
43 7 , |
54 7 , |
18% |
| Financial Assets |
321 0 , |
385 4 , |
697 9 , |
30% |
| Other Assets |
10 8 , |
14 6 , |
13 8 , |
9% |
| Total Assets |
365 3 , |
443 8 , |
766 5 , |
28% |
| Financial Liabilities |
314 6 , |
368 4 , |
648 5 , |
27% |
| Other Liabilities |
18 7 , |
17 4 , |
36 7 , |
25% |
| Shareholder's Equity |
32 0 , |
58 0 , |
81 3 , |
36% |
| Total Liabilities |
365 3 , |
443 8 , |
766 5 , |
28% |
| (%) KPI |
2021A | 2022A ADJ |
2024E | CAGR '21-'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Banking Income / Average Loans |
9 6% , |
8 7% , |
8 0% , |
n.a. |
| Interest Margin / Net Banking Income |
26 0% , |
23 5% , |
27 8% , |
n.a. |
| Ratio Cost Income |
9% 40 , |
7% 37 , |
7% 29 , |
n.a. |
| ROE | 42 0% , |
26 3% , |
36 0% , |
n.a. |
| CET1 Ratio |
9 4% , |
14 6% , |
2% 11 , |
n.a. |
| Total Capital Ratio |
13 7% , |
6% 17 , |
13 3% , |
n.a. |
Note: 2022A ADJ means that the values are neutralized from IPO costs € 1,6 mn (2) LTV: Loan to Value
Pro solvendo Pro soluto
Italy RoW
Italy RoW
Pro solvendo Pro soluto
Generalfinance's Turnover data refers to June 30, 2023 Assifact's Turnover data refers to March 31, 2023 1) Household debtors have not been included
SIMPLE AND TRANSPARENT P&L PAIRED WITH ALMOST NO VOLATILITY OF FAIR VALUE / CREDIT ADJUSTMENT
| PRO SOLVENDO TRANSACTION | Formula | P&L Accounting | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Invoice's nominal value | 100,000 | a | |
| Advance rate | 80.00% | b | |
| Gross disbursed amount | 80,000 | c = a x b | |
| Maturity of disbursed amount (days) | 88 | e | |
| Contractual interest rate | 4.00% | f | |
| Interest revenues | 789.04 | g = ( c x f x (e+2) ) / 365 | Prepayment |
| DSO | 90 | h | |
| Monthly commission rate | 0.50% | i | |
| Commission revenues | 1500.00 | l = a x i x (h/30) | Prepayment |
| Total revenues | 2289.04 | m = g + l | Prepayment |
| Net disbursed amount | 77,710.96 | n = c - m | |
| Delay in payment (days) | 5 | o | |
| Delay in payment interest rate | 5.00% | p | |
| Delay in payment commission rate | 0.50% | q | |
| Delay in payment interest revenues | 54.79 | r = ( c x p x o) / 365 | Cash basis |
| Delay in payment commission revenues | 83.33 | s = a x q x (o/30) | Cash basis |
| Delay in payment total revenues | 138.13 | t = r + s | Cash basis |
| Non-advance amount | 20,000 | u = a - c | |
| Net settlement | 19,861.87 | v = u - t |
The offsetting mechanism is a specific technicality of the Factoring Agreement, which is elaborated consistently with the Assifact standard
"The Factor will be entitled to retain sums and set off the debts (of every kind) due by the Factor to the Seller against the Receivables (of every kind) due from the Seller to the Factor, including the Receivables due from the Seller to third parties and assigned to/guaranteed by the Factor.
Should the Seller default on any of its payment obligations, the Factor will be able to treat its Receivables as liquid and payable, even if not already fallen due. Offsets by the Seller require the prior written consent of the Factor".
A PRACTICAL EXAMPLE:
Seller A
| ID Borrower | Nominal Value (A) | LTV (B) | Disbursement (C) = (A x B) |
Unpaid | Amount Collected (D) |
Amounts not advanced to be settled (D - C) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | Yes | - | - |
| 2 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 3 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 4 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 5 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 6 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 7 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 8 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 9 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 10 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 1.000.000,00 | 800.000,00 | 900.000,00 | 180.000,00 | |||
| Debts of the Factor Unpaid debts |
180.000,00 | |||||
| compensated | 80.000,00 | |||||
| Netting to be liquidated | 100.000,00 |
In FY 2021, Generalfinance paid an average advance equal to 80% of Turnover. With regard to the prosolvendo factoring, Generalfinance is entitled to set off amounts owed by the Sellers to it against amounts owed by Generalfinance to the Sellers based on specific clauses included in the factoring agreement.
The Company has a high Debtor/Seller ratio equal to 58, growing steadily over the last 3 financial years, against an average of the Italian factoring market calculated excluding private assigned Debtors - equal to 101 , which expands the possibilities of offsetting between receivables and debit items against the Sellers as part of pro-solvendo transactions.
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